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OPEC News and Exchange Rate Forecasting Using Dynamic Bayesian Learning. (2021). Salisu, Afees ; GUPTA, RANGAN ; Bouri, Elie ; Sheng, Xin.
In: Working Papers.
RePEc:pre:wpaper:202101.

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  1. The Relationship between Oil Prices and Exchange Rate: A Systematic Literature Review. (2023). Khan, Uzma ; Siddiqui, Taufeeque Ahmad ; Naushad, Mohammad ; Ahmed, Haseen.
    In: International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy.
    RePEc:eco:journ2:2023-03-63.

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  1. Ayadi, M.A., Ben Omrane, W., Lazrak, S., and Yan, X. (2020). OPEC production decisions, macroeconomic news, and volatility in the Canadian currency and oil markets. Finance Research Letters, 37, 101366.

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  7. Gupta, R., and Yoon, S-M. (2018). OPEC news and predictability of oil futures returns and volatility: Evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles approach. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 45(C), 206-214.

  8. Hailemariam, A., Smyth, R., and Zhang, X. (2019). Oil prices and economic policy uncertainty: Evidence from a nonparametric panel data model. Energy Economics, 83, 40-51.

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  12. Narayan, P. K. (2019). Can stale oil price news predict stock returns? Energy Economics, 83(C), 430-444.

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  14. Rossi, B. (2013). Exchange rate predictability. Journal of Economic Literature, 51(4), 1063– 1119.

  15. Salisu, A.A. and Ndako, U.B. (2018). Modelling stock price–exchange rate nexus in OECD countries: A new perspective. Economic Modelling, 74(C), 105-123.

  16. Salisu, A.A., Cunado, J., Isah, K., and Gupta, R. (2020a). Oil Price and Exchange Rate Behaviour of the BRICS. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade.

  17. Salisu, A.A., Ogbonna, A.E., and Adediran, I. (2020b). Stock-induced Google trends and sectoral stock returns. Journal of Forecasting. https://doi.org/10.1002/for.2722 Salisu, A.A., and Vo, X.V. (2020). Predicting stock returns in the presence of COVID-19 pandemic: The role of health news. International Review of Financial Analysis, 71, 101546. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2020.101546 Salisu, A.A., Adekunle, W., Alimi, W.A. and Emmanuel, Z. (2019). Predicting exchange rate with commodity prices: New evidence from Westerlund and Narayan (2015) estimator with structural breaks and asymmetries. Resources Policy, 62(C), 33-56.

  18. TABLE 1. Evaluation of Forecasting Results Using Newspaper-Based OPEC Index (GOPEC1): 1996:01-2020:08 (In-Sample: 1986:02-1995:12) Alternative sets of regressors PLL DML with GOPEC1 24.22 Type of restrictions: VAR lags DML with own-/cross-lags and NO GOPEC1 ( 4 = 0) 24.19 DML without own-/cross-lags ( 2 = 3 = 0) and GOPEC1 24.17 DML without own-/cross-lags ( 2 = 3 = 0) and NO REGRESSORS 24.08
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