Amaya, D., Christoffersen, P., Jacobs, K., and Vasquez, A. (2015). Does realized skewness predict the cross-section of equity returns? Journal of Financial Economics, 118, 135â167.
Andersen T.G., and Bollerslev T. (1998). Answering the skeptics: Yes, standard volatility models do provide accurate forecasts. International Economic Review, 39(4), 885â905.
Barndorff-Nielsen, O.E. and Shephard, N. (2004). Power and bipower variation with stochastic volatility and jumps. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 2, 1â37.
Barndorff-Nielsen, O.E. and Shephard, N. (2006). Econometrics of testing for jumps in financial economics using bipower variation. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 4, 1â30.
Barro, R.J. (2006). Rare disasters and asset markets in the twentieth century. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 121, 823â866.
Barro, R.J., and UrsuÌa, J.F. (2008). Macroeconomic Crises since 1870. Brooking Papers on Economic Activity, 39(1), 255â350.
- Battiston, S., Dafermos, Y., and Monasterolo, I. (2021). Climate risks and financial stability. Journal of Financial Stability, 54, 100867.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Ben Nasr, A. Lux, T., Ajmi, A.N., and Gupta, R. (2016). Forecasting the volatility of the Dow Jones Islamic stock market index: Long memory vs. regime switching. International Review of Economics and Finance, 45(1), 559â571.
Ben-Rephael, A., Da, Z., and Israelsen, R. D. (2017). It depends on where you search: Institutional investor attention and underreaction to news. Review of Financial Studies, 30(9), 3009â3047.
Berkman, H., Jacobsen, B., and Lee, J.B. (2011). Time-varying rare disaster risk and stock returns, Journal of Financial Economics, 101, 313â332.
Berkman, H., Jacobsen, B., and Lee, J.B. (2017). Rare disaster risk and the expected equity risk premium, Accounting and Finance, 57(2), 351â372.
Bonato, M., Cepni, O., Gupta, R., and Pierdzioch, C. (2022). Climate risks and realized volatility of major commodity currency exchange rates. Journal of Financial Markets. DOI: https: //doi.org/10.1016/j.finmar.2022.100760. Bonato, M., Cepni, O., Gupta, R., and Pierdzioch, C. (Forthcoming). El NinÌo, La NinÌa, and forecastability of the realized variance of agricultural commodity prices: Evidence from a machine learning approach. Journal of Forecasting.
Bua, G., Kapp, D., Ramella, F., and Rognone, L. (2022). Transition versus physical climate risk pricing in European financial markets: A text-based approach. European Central Bank Working Paper No. 2022/2677.
- Centre for Applied Macro and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School, Working Papers No. 10/2020.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Chaney, T., Sraer, D., and Thesmar, D. (2012). The collateral channel: how real estate shocks affect corporate investment. American Economic Review, 102(6), 2381â2409.
Choi, D., Gao, Z., and Jiang, W. (2020). Attention to global warming. Review of Financial Studies, 33 (3), 1112â1145.
- CÌoricÌ, B. (2021). Economic Disasters: A New Data Set. Finance Research Letters, 39(C), 101612.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
CÌoricÌ, B., and SÌimicÌ, V. (2021). Economic disasters and aggregate investment. Empirical Economics, 61(6) 3087â3124.
Clark, T.E., and West, K.D. (2007). Approximately normal tests for equal predictive accuracy in nested models. Journal of Econometrics, 138(1), 291â311.
Corsi, F. (2009). A simple approximate long-memory model of realized volatility. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 7, 174â196.
Coval, J.D., and Moskowitz, T.J. (1999). Home bias at home: local equity preference in domestic portfolios. Journal of Finance, 54, 2045â2073.
Coval, J.D., and Moskowitz, T.J. (2001). The geography of investment: Informed trading and asset prices. Journal of Political Economy, 199(4), 811â841.
Elliott, G., Komunjer, I., and Timmermann, A. (2005). Estimation and testing of forecasting rationality under flexible loss. Review of Economic Studies, 72: 1107â1125.
Engle, R.F., Giglio, S., Kelly, B., Lee, H., and Stroebel, J. (2020). Hedging climate change news.
- Faccini, R., Matin, R., and Skiadopoulos, G. (2021). Dissecting climate risks: Are they reflected in stock prices? Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3795964.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Flori, A., Pammolli, F., and Spelta, A. (2021). Commodity prices co-movements and financial stability: a multidimensional visibility nexus with climate conditions. Journal of Financial Stability, 54, 100876.
- Giglio, S., Kelly, B., and Stroebel, J. (2021). Climate finance. Annual Review of Financial Economics, 13, 15â36. Gil-Alana, L.A., Gupta, R., Sauci, L., and Carmona-Gonzalez, N. (Forthcoming). Temperature and precipitation in the US states: Long memory, persistence and time trend. Theoretical and Applied Climatology.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Giot, P., Laurent, S., and Petitjean, M. (2010). Trading activity, realized volatility and jumps. Journal of Empirical Finance, 17(1), 168â175.
Gupta, R., Nel, J., and Pierdzioch, C. (2021). Investor confidence and forecastability of US stock market realized volatility: Evidence from machine learning. Journal of Behevaioral Finance.
- Hastie, T., Tibshirani, R., Friedman, J. (2009) The elements of statistical learning: Data mining, inference, and prediction, 2nd ed.: Springer: New York, NY, USA.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Hill, B. (1975). A simple general approach to inference about the tail of a distribution. Annals of Statistics, 3, 1163-1173.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Kapfhammer, F., Larsen, V.H., and Thorsrud, L.A. (2020). Climate risk and commodity currencies.
- Kim, H.S., Matthes, C., and Phan, T. (2021). Extreme weather and the macroeconomy. Federal reserve Bank of Richmond, Working Paper No. 21â14.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Korniotis, G.M., and Kumar, A. (2013). State-level business cycles and local return predictability.
Liu, R., and Gupta, R. (2022). Investorsâ uncertainty and forecasting stock market volatility. Journal of Behavioral Finance, 23(3), 327â337.
- Liu, R., Demirer, R., Gupta, R., and Wohar, M.E. (2020). Do bivariate multifractal models improve volatility forecasting in financial time series? An application to foreign exchange and stock markets. Journal of Forecasting, 39(2), 155â167.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
McAleer, M., and Medeiros, M.C. (2008). Realized volatility: A review. Econometric Reviews, 27, 10â45.
Mei, D., Liu, J., Ma, F., and Chen, W. (2017). Forecasting stock market volatility: Do realized skewness and kurtosis help?, Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 481, 153â159.
MuÌller, U.A., Dacorogna, M.M., DaveÌ, R.D., Olsen, R.B., and Pictet, O.V. (1997). Volatilities of different time resolutions: Analyzing the dynamics of market components. Journal of Empirical Finance, 4, 213â239.
Pesaran, M.H., and Timmermann, A. (2000). A recursive modelling approach to predicting UK stock returns. Economic Journal, 110, 159â191.
Pham, A.V., Adrian, C., Garg, M., Phang, S-Y., and Truong, C. (2021). State-level COVID-19 outbreak and stock returns. Finance Research Letters, 43, 102002.
Pirinsky, C., and Wang, Q. (2006). Does corporate headquarters location matter for stock returns? Journal of Finance, 61, 1991â2015.
Poon, S-H., and Granger, C.W.J. (2003). Forecasting volatility in financial markets: A review. Journal of Economic Literature, 41(2), 478â539.
- Rapach, D.E., Strauss, J.K., and Wohar, M.E. (2008). Forecasting stock return volatility in the presence of structural breaks, in Forecasting in the Presence of Structural Breaks and Model Uncertainty, in David E. Rapach and Mark E. Wohar (Eds.), Vol. 3 of Frontiers of Economics and Globalization, Bingley, United Kingdom: Emerald, 381â416.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Rietz, T. (1988). The equity risk premium: A solution. Journal of Monetary Economics, 22, 117â131.
Salisu, A.A., Demirer, R., and Gupta, R. (2022a). Financial turbulence, systemic risk and the predictability of stock market volatility. Global Finance Journal, 52(1), 100699.
- Salisu, A.A., Gupta, R., and Ogbonna, A.E. (2022b). A moving average heterogeneous autoregressive model for forecasting the realized volatility of the US stock market: Evidence from over a century of data. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 27(1), 384â400. item Segnon, M., Gupta, R., and Wilfling, B. (Forthcoming). Forecasting stock market volatility with regime-switching GARCH-MIDAS: The role of geopolitical risks. International Journal of Forecasting.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Sheng, X., Gupta, R., and Çepni, O. (2022a). The effects of climate risks on economic activity in a panel of US states: The role of uncertainty. Economics Letters, 213, 110374.
Sheng, X., Gupta, R., and Çepni, O. (2022b). Persistence of state-level uncertainty of the United States: The role of climate risks. Economics Letters, 215, 110500.
Stroebel, J., and Wurgler, J. (2021). What do you think about climate finance? Journal of Financial Economics, 142, 487â498.
Tsai, J., and Wachter, J.A. (2015). Disaster risk and its implications for asset pricing. Annual Review of Financial Economics, 7, 219â252.
van Benthem, A.A., Crooks, E., Giglio, S., Schwob, E., and Stroebel, J. (2022). The effect of climate risks on the interactions between financial markets and energy companies. Nature Energy, 7, 690â697.
Wachter, J.A. (2013). Can time-varying risk of rare disasters explain aggregate stock market volatility ?. Journal of Finance, 68(3), 987â1035.
- Zhou, H., and Zhu, J.Q. (2012). An empirical examination of jump risk in asset pricing and volatility forecasting in Chinaâs equity and bond markets. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 20(5), 857â880.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now