Alistair Maiden's thoughts on the recent UK budget.
I'm genuinely disappointed with the UK Budget. With a clear mandate and a strong majority, this government had every opportunity to drive real change. Instead, we saw a lack of creativity - a continuation of policies that don't adequately address the need to expand our economy. Chancellor Rachel Reeves promised "a budget for growth" but even the Office for Budget Responsibility admitted it would merely "temporarily boost" the economy. And my disappointment is reflected in the latest economic growth figures. The UK economy grew by just 0.1% between July and September - and actually shrank in September - with uncertainty over the Budget being blamed for the sluggishness. This growth figure is far beneath the 0.5% seen between April and June and comes in well below expectations. The outlook is gloomy. The business community's reaction has been particularly telling. The CBI's lead economist Ben Jones believes the Budget has triggered alarm in the business sector, saying it "set off warning lights." He points to the increase in National Insurance Contributions, which he expects will force businesses to become "more cautious" about "pay, hiring and investment." Tax rises drive up prices and hit employment figures. Households too had concerns about what the Budget would mean for them in the lead-up to the announcement. Economic analysts share this concern. "Some of the slowing is the result of elevated uncertainty," suggests Abrdn's deputy chief economist Luke Bartholomew, noting how both "firms and households speculated about possible tax changes ahead of the Budget." Labour's top priority in government was supposed to be economic growth, but these figures do not bode well, covering the first three months of the new government. Here's the simple truth: Interest payments are eating up more of our budget every year. This isn't sustainable, and pretending otherwise helps no one. Let's talk about the obvious opportunities being ignored. Take recreational drugs - bringing this market into a legal, taxable framework could inject much-needed funds into our economy. Where are the "nudge taxes" on processed and fast foods that could generate revenue while improving public health? It's not radical thinking - it's pragmatic economics. What's truly frustrating is the lack of strategic vision. The global economy is transforming rapidly; we need forward-thinking. We need bolder, smarter policies if we're serious about building an economy that works. Make no mistake - this budget is a missed chance and the latest figures prove it. https://lnkd.in/eUTdTUAc