I have been making the argument that expertise is going to matter more than before, because experts may be able to get the most out of AI coworkers and are likely able to fact check and correct AI errors. Silicon Valley tells stories of the '10X engineer.' That is, a highly productive software engineer is up to 10 times better than an average one. The gap between the programmers in the top 75th percentile and those in the bottom 25 percentile can be as much as 27 times along some dimensions of programming quality. If you were in the bottom half of the skill distribution for writing, idea generation, analyses, or any number of other professional tasks, you will likely find that, with the help of AI, you have become quite good. In field after field, we are finding that a human working with an AI co-intelligence outperforms all but the best humans working without an AI. In our study of Boston Consulting Group (BCG), where previously the gap between the average performances of top and bottom performers was 22 percent, the gap shrank to a mere 4 percent once the consultants used GPT-4. - "Co-Intelligence" by the legendary Ethan Mollick
Co-intelligence will transform a lot. With the right combination of LLMs and pipelines every organization can finally give their teams the support and thought partnership they need but often don't get from their managers and teams. These AIs are always available- not blocked by meetings or other distractions that managers often have. Making institutional knowledge and wisdom available to all can open up new pathways for growth. When I was younger, I was afraid to ask questions to my boss, which I think stunted my early growth. With LLMs we can ask any question with no fear of ridicule. And sure - skeptics will say that LLMs hallucinate but it'll continue to get better and better. And RAG and newer solutions are shifting the playing field fast.
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