The European Vision for the 6G Network Ecosystem
The 6G Smart Networks and Services Industry Association (6G-IA) (working under the EU’s Smart Networks and Services Joint Undertaking (SNS JU)) has recently published its latest vision for 6G[1].
As I set out in my book “The 6G Manifesto”, there are two 6G camps, simplistically one that argues for 5G-on-steriods and the other that argues for minimal-software-only upgrades. The 6G-IA is very much in the 5G-on-steriods camp. Perhaps this should be no surprise, its membership is predominantly manufacturers and academics, with just a few MNOs. Indeed, it is at the extreme end of the camp, arguing, for example:
“Regarding peak data rates, most stakeholders seem to agree that a value of up to 1 Tbps should be targeted, while only one stakeholder adopted a more modest target of 200 Gbps. The ITU has adopted the smaller value for the IMT-2030 recommendations. Regarding average user data rates there were ambitious stakeholders targeting up to 10 Gbps or even 100 Gbps, and more modest ones targeting 1 Gbps. The ITU recommendations have opted for an even lower value of up to 500 Mbps.”
It states that the use cases include collaborative robots, immersive cyberspace, digital twins and physical awareness. It believes 5G has been a success, saying “we are convinced that the new opportunities enabled by 5G are heading to the right direction and simply need further development”.
Beyond the obvious unwillingness to acknowledge the reality of the industry, the slow-down of data growth and the financial concerns of many in the eco-system, there are many issues. For example:
· The table of the performance requirements for each of the key applications shows a maximum data rate of 250Mbits/s whereas the target is 1Tbits/s - 4,000 times greater. Similarly, almost all applications have latency requirements above 10ms whereas the target is 0.1-1ms.
· While there is much lip-service to sustainability and energy-efficiency, the document broadly admits that it has no idea how to deliver or measure this and that it is unlikely to happen anyway because it will impose costs on users.
· While it talks a little about multi-network integration it says nothing about Wi-Fi, concentrating instead on cellular, NTN-enabled satellites and cellular-based IoT solutions.
· It says that each operator will need at least 500MHz more spectrum (so around 2GHz in total) and suggests the 7GHz and 14GHz bands as a source of this (the entirety of both bands would be needed to deliver 2GHz of bandwidth). It says nothing about the coverage issues associated with using such bands.
· It lists as key technologies THz frequencies and reconfigurable intelligent surfaces (RIS) both of which will be very expensive to deploy.
· It sets out many challenges but is very weak on how these might be resolved.
And, above all, it is not a vision for the network ecosystem, as the title suggests. It is instead a view on what 6G might be but says nothing about how the ecosystem can benefit from it, in particular not considering the business case for any operator or private network deployer.
It is a clear sign that the two camps still exist, and do not appear to be moving closer to each other at all, if anything they are diverging. The MNOs have a lot of work to do if they want to avoid being saddled with a 6G solution that they neither want nor can afford but nevertheless are pressured into deploying: clearly their current efforts are insufficient.
Silly because they don't understand the physics Achieving 1 Tbit/s would require a minimum of a 200 GHz channel using mmWave phased arrays say 100-300 GHz! Transistors are not very linerar at these frequencies. And, a single array designed for say 200 GHz would not have the bandwidth. I have a whole chapter on this in my book. Where are can buy just chapter 8. https://digital-library.theiet.org/doi/book/10.1049/pbte111e
Founder & CTO at WEIGHTLESS.SPACE LTD
10moTo me, William Webb , the 5G on steroids movement to maximise bandwidth as a 6G objective, doesn't seem take account of data ingress & egress constraints. I ask myself: How many consumer endpoints will be able to receive data at the proposed bandwidths? While there may be some, what % of the network users will they be? And are they willing to split the total investment cost needed to provision this increase in wireless bandwidth only they consume? How many of these ulta high bandwidth consumers will simply opt to consume bandwidth over fibre to the premises (FTTP), assuming that an option they have? The same argument applies to high bandwidth application servers, how many will willingly increase their data outflow to serve consumers on wireless connections?
Thank you for writing about this William Webb. We will make sure to cover these developments as well in our next edition of #6G market research. As reference, our latest version is here (see below). "In its fourth year of analyzing the emerging six-generation wireless market, the publisher of this report is the leading market research company focused upon emerging 6G technologies, capabilities, solutions, applications and services. This report edition expands upon previous analysis focused primarily upon emerging 6G technologies. This edition evaluates 6G development including technology investment, R&D, prototyping and testing." https://www.marketresearch.com/Mind-Commerce-Publishing-v3122/Generation-Wireless-6G-Tech-Development-33848607/