Pressure Cookers: Playoffs as the Ultimate Evaluation Tool
“Clutch or Collapse: The Final Four Games Tell the Story”
By Owen Kelly – Former Professional Scout, Cincinnati Reds
My memo-
The Stage Is Set
Here we are: four games left in the season. Three teams — the New York Mets, Cincinnati Reds, and Arizona Diamondbacks — are locked in a dogfight for the final playoff spot. One will survive. Two will go home. For the players, this isn’t just baseball anymore; it’s a trial by fire. For scouts like me, this is the true evaluation ground. Forget the box scores and spreadsheets. October baseball — or the fight to get there — reveals more about a player than 162 games ever could.
The Mets are clinging to hope despite a season of miscues, passed balls, and fundamentals gone missing. The Reds, young and hungry, are trying to prove that their rebuild is ahead of schedule. The Diamondbacks, scrappy and dangerous, are reminding everyone why they shocked the world just last year. Four games. Every pitch matters. Every at-bat carries the weight of a career.
The Scout’s Eye in October
Pressure doesn’t just test talent — it exposes character. Anyone can hit .280 in July when the sun is out and the stands are half-full. But can you deliver with 40,000 fans roaring, knowing your season hangs in the balance? Scouts aren’t just watching mechanics in these games; they’re watching heartbeat. Does the pitcher slow down when he falls behind in the count? Does the hitter chase because nerves are louder than discipline? Does the shortstop stay poised when the ball finds him in the 9th with two outs?
In these moments, the tools on the 20/80 scale collide with the immeasurable: courage, poise, baseball IQ. And make no mistake — October separates pretenders from professionals.
The Managers Know It Too
Earl Weaver used to say, “Momentum is the next day’s starting pitcher.” In this final stretch, that truth cuts sharper than ever. Managers know their margin for error is zero. They’re burning through bullpens, squeezing every matchup, and trusting players who prove they can handle the cauldron. A kid with nerves of steel can vault himself into the future with one clutch performance. A veteran who cracks under pressure may never shake the label.
This is where scouts and front offices must pay attention. A strong finish in these four games isn’t about padding stats — it’s about proving makeup. Baseball people remember who thrived when the walls closed in.
October Is the Truth Serum
No analytic model can measure what happens in this crucible. Algorithms don’t know fear, doubt, or fire. But scouts see it — in the eyes, in the body language, in the way a player breathes when the game is on the line. That’s why the last four games matter more than the last four months.
For the Mets, Reds, and Diamondbacks, the math is simple: one will earn the right to keep playing. But for the scouts, the lesson is timeless: the playoffs, and the chase to get there, are the ultimate evaluation tool. This is where baseball becomes truth.
MILB Baseball Scout-Baseball Info Solutions Inc; Associate Scout - Chattanooga Lookouts
12hSince Owen loves analytics I will share my favorite baseball analytics coaches. The best hitting analytical coach I knew was Alan Cockrell former batting coach of NY Yankees. He was outstanding. Best pitching analytical coach I know is Frank Anderson who is pitching coach at University of Tennessee under Tony Vitello. Greatest minor league analytical mgr was/is Landers Nolley. Now the guy is a jerk and I can’t stand him but his analytical managerial philosophy is the best I have seen. That’s all folks!!