- As I see it, this finding is actually confirmed by trends in US capital flow data and is very stimulating in understanding the market dynamics during the crisis. According to capital movement statistics by the US Treasury Department as shown in Chart 1, US investors seemed to purchase Asian stocks at low prices even during the Asian crisis and sold them at higher prices to take profits in the latter half of 1999.
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- BIS Papers No 2 43 Graph 1a. Components of net portfolio investment (US$M.): Korea -25000 -20000 -15000 -10000 -5000 0 5000 10000 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Net portfolio investment Change in bank claims Net securities issuance Graph 1b. Components of net portfolio investment (US$M.): Thailand -15000 -10000 -5000 0 5000 10000 15000 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Net portfolio investment Change in bank claims Net securities issuance BIS Papers No 2 Graph 1c. Components of net portfolio investment (US$M): Philippines -3000 -2000 -1000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Net portfolio investment Change in bank claims Net securities issuance Source (all graphs): IMF, BIS.
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- BIS Papers No 2 59 Table 5 Local stock markets: capitalisation data and indices used in daily regressions Market capitalisation (US$bn)Country End-1994 End-1999 Index Number of index members Korea 192 309 KOSPI 200 Index 200 Taiwan 247 376 TWSE Weighted Index 452 Thailand 131 58 Bangkok SET Index 394 Indonesia 47 64 Jakarta LQ-45 Index 45 Malaysia 199 145 KL Composite Index 100 Philippines 56 48 Philippines Composite Index 33 Source: IFC; Bloomberg.
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BIS Papers No 2 Errunza, V, L W Senbet, and K Hogan, 1998, The Pricing of Country Funds from Emerging Markets: Theory and Evidence, International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance 1, 111-43.
- BIS Papers No 2 Table 2 Asian closed-end country funds Fund Date of inception Market capitalisation ($M.) Average premium 1995-99 Premium at 31 December 1999 Korea Fund 08/29/84 825 + 0.03 â 0.31 Korean Investment Fund 02/01/92 71 â 0.04 â 0.31 Taiwan Equity Fund 07/01/94 NA â 0.15 â 0.11 Taiwan Fund 12/01/86 NA â 0.09 â 0.14 Thai Fund 02/01/88 97 + 0.27 + 0.31 Thai Capital Fund 05/01/90 NA + 0.18 + 0.30 Jakarta Growth Fund 04/01/90 16 + 0.10 + 0.03 Indonesia Fund 03/09/90 24 + 0.24 + 0.19 Malaysia Fund 05/01/87 70 + 0.12 + 0.28 First Philippine Fund 11/01/89 56 â 0.16 â 0.20 Average 166 + 0.05 + 0.00 Source: Bloomberg; authorâs calculations. Market capitalisations are as of year-end 1999 and are not reported by the Taiwan Fund, Taiwan Equity Fund and Thai Capital Fund. The premium, measured weekly, is defined as the natural logarithm of the ratio of price to net asset value.
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Brown, S J, W N Goetzmann, and J M Park, 1998, Hedge Funds and the Asian Crisis of 1997, Working Paper, Yale School of Management.
Choe, Hyuk, Bong-Chan Kho, and Rene Stulz, 1999, Do Foreign Investors Destabilize Stock Markets: The Korean Experience in 1997, Journal of Financial Economics 54, 227-264.
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- In contrast, Japanese investors exhibited different investment behaviour, as shown in Chart 2. It was not until 1999 that net equity investment from Japan to Asian countries turned to a positive figure.
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