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Cochrane, J. (1988) How Big Is The Random Walk in GNP?, Journal of Political Economy 96, 893-920.
Kim, C.-J. (1994) Dynamic Linear Models with Markov Switching, Journal of Econometrics 60, 1-22.
Kim, C.J. and C. Nelson (1999) State-Space Models with Regime Switching. Cambridge: MIT Press.
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