Alfarano, S., Lux, T., 2007. A noise trader model as a generator of apparent power laws and long memory. Macroeconomic Dynamics ii, Supplement S i, 80-i 0 i.
Alfarano, S., Lux, T., Wagner, F., 2008. Time-variation of higher moments in a financial market with heterogeneous agents: an analytical approach. Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control 32, ioi-i36.
Bacchetta, P., van Wincoop, E., 2006. Can information heterogeneity explain the exchange rate determination puzzle?. American Economic Review 96, 552-576.
- Bacchetta, P., van Wincoop, E., 2006a. Incomplete information processing: a solution to the forward discount puzzle. CEPR discussion papers.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Bams, D., Walkowiak, K., Wolff, C.C., 2004. More evidence on the dollar risk premium in the foreign exchange market. Journal of International Money and Finance 23, 27i-282.
Boswijk, H.P., Hommes, C.H., Manzan, 5., 2007. Behavioral heterogeneity in stock prices. Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control, forthcoming. Brock, W.A., Hommes, C.C., i998. Heterogeneous beliefs and routes to chaos in a simple asset pricing model. Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control 22, i235-i274.
- Capistr
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Cheung, Y.-W., Chinn, M.D., Garcia Pascual, A., 2005. Empirical exchange rate models of the nineties: are any fit to survive?. Journal of International Money and Finance 24, iiSO-ii75. Chen, S.-H., Lux, T., Marchesi, M., 200i. Testing for non-linear structure in an artificial financial market. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 46, 327-342.
Chiarella, C., Dieci, R., He, X.-Z., 2007. Heterogeneous expectations and speculative behaviour in a dynamic multi-asset framework. Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control, forthcoming. Day, R.H., Huang, W., i990. Bulls, bears and market sheep. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization i4, 299-329.
Dc Grauwe, P., Grimaldi, M., 2006. Exchange rate puzzles: a tale of switching attractors. European Economic Review 50, i-33. Elliott, G., Ito, T., i999. Heterogeneous expectations and tests of efficiency in the Yen/Dollar forward exchange rate market. Journal of Monetary Economics 43, 435-45 6.
Frenkel, M., Pierdzioch, C., Stadtmann, G., 2004. The accuracy of press reports regarding the foreign exchange interventions of the Bank of Japan. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money i4, 25-36. Froot, K.A., Frankel, J.A., i989. Forward discount bias: Is it an exchange risk premium?. Quarterly Journal of Economics i04, i39-i6i. Goodman, S.H., i979. Foreign exchange rate forecasting techniques: implications for business and policy. Journal of Finance 34, 4i5-427.
- Hau, H., Rey, H., 2006. Exchange rates, stock prices, and capital flows. Review of Financial Studies 9, 273-3i7. Ito, T., i990. Foreign exchange rate expectations: micro survey data. American Economic Review 80, 434-449.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Ito, T., Yabu, T., 2004. What prompts Japan to intervene in the forex market? A new approach to a reaction function. NBER Working Paper, i0456.
Jeanne, 0., Rose, A.K., 2002. Noise trading and exchange rate regimes. Quarterly Journal of Economics ii7, 537-569. Johansen, S., i995. Likelihood-based inference in cointegrated vector auto-regressive models. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
- Johansen, 5., 2006. Cointegration: an overview. In: Mills, T.C., Patterson, K. (Eds.). Palgrave Handbook of Econometrics: Volume i, Econometric Theory. Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan, 540-577.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Kilian, L., Taylor, M.P., 2003. Why is it so difficult to beat the random walk forecast of exchange rates?. Journal of International Economics 60, 85-i07. Lux, T., i998. The socio-economic dynamics of speculative markets: interacting agents, chaos, and the fat tails of return distributions. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 33, i43-i65. MacDonald, R., i999. Exchange rates: do fundamentals matter?. Economic Journal i09, 673-69 i. MacDonald, R., Marsh, I.W., i996. Cunency forecasters and heterogeneous: confirmation and consequences. Journal of International Money and Finance iS, 665-685.
Mankiw, N.G., Reis, R., 2002. Sticky information versus sticky prices: a proposal to replace the new Keynesian Phillips curve. Quarterly Journal of Economics i i7, i295-i328.
Mankiw, N.G., Reis, R., Wolfers, J., 2003. Disagreement about inflation expectations. NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003, 209-48.
Manzan, S., Westerhoff, F., 2005. Representativeness of news and exchange rate dynamics. Journal of Economic Dynamics & Controls 29, 677-689.
Manzan, S., Westerhoff, F., 2007. Heterogeneous expectations, exchange rate dynamics and predictability. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 64, ii i-i28. Mark, N.C., Wu, Y., i998. Rethinking deviations from uncovered interest parity: the role of covariance risk and noise. Economic Journal i08, i686-i706. Meese, R.A., Rogoff, K., i983. Empirical exchange rate models of the seventies. Journal of International Economics i4, 3-24.
Menkhoff, L., Taylor, M.P., 2007. The obstinate passion of foreign exchange professionals: technical analysis. Journal of Economic Literature 45, 936-972.
Nielsen, H.B., 2004. Cointegration analysis in the presence of outliers. Econometrics Journal 7, 249-27i. Obstfeld, M., Rogoff, K.S., i995. Exchange rate dynamics redux. Journal of Political Economy i03, 624-660.
Reis, R., 2007. Inattentive consumers. Journal of Monetary Economics 53, i76i-i800.
- Sarno, L., Taylor, M.P., 2002. The economics of exchange rates. Cambridge et al.: Cambridge University Press.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Sims, C., 2003. Implications of rational inattention. Journal of Monetary Economics 50, 665-690.
Westerhoff, F.H., 2003. Expectations driven distortions in the foreign exchange market. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization Si, 389-4i2.
Westerhoff, F.H., Reitz, 5., 2003. Nonlinearities and cyclical behavior: the role of chartists and fundamentalists. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics 7, i i2Sff.
Wieland, C., Westerhoff, F.H., 2005. Exchange rate dynamics, central bank interventions and chaos control methods. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 58, i i7-i32.
- ZEW Centre for European Economic Research, 2004. Financial Market Report, i3:2. TABLE 1 Descriptive statistics of consensus expectations US-dollar GB-pound JP-yen consensus dispersion consensus dispersion consensus dispersion mean 1.133 0.070 0.718 0.042 1.319 0.043 std. 0.120 0.017 0.065 0.011 0.136 0.009 25%-q. 1.049 0.058 0.671 0.035 1.231 0.036 75%-q. 1.225 0.078 0.762 0.047 1.402 0.048 mm. 0.881 0.043 0.628 0.024 0.975 0.028 max.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now