1. Machine learning forecasting in the macroeconomic environment: the case of the US output gap. (2025). Gogas, Periklis ; Papadimitriou, Theophilos ; Alexakis, Christos ; Sofianos, Emmanouil.
   In: Economic Change and Restructuring.
   RePEc:kap:ecopln:v:58:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1007_s10644-024-09849-w.

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2. Microdata-based output gap estimation using business tendency surveys. (2025). Ulrichs, Magdalena ; Grajski, Mariusz ; Baej, Mirosaw.
   In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.
   RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:174:y:2025:i:c:s016518892500034x.

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3. Business cycle synchronization and asymmetry in the European Union. (2024). Tica, Josip ; Panovska, Irina ; Arčabić, Vladimir ; Arabi, Vladimir.
   In: Economic Modelling.
   RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:139:y:2024:i:c:s0264999324001676.

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4. Estimating the output gap after COVID: How to address unprecedented macroeconomic variations. (2024). Parra-Amado, Daniel ; Granados, Camilo.
   In: Economic Modelling.
   RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:135:y:2024:i:c:s0264999324000671.

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5. Measuring the Unmeasurable: Unraveling the complexities of real-time output gap estimation. (2024). Restrepo-Ángel, Sergio ; Pulido-Mahecha, Karen ; Galeano-Ramirez, Franky Juliano ; Restrepo-Angel, Sergio.
   In: Borradores de Economia.
   RePEc:bdr:borrec:1284.

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6. Estimating the euro area output gap using multivariate information and addressing the COVID-19 pandemic. (2023). Wong, Benjamin ; Morley, James ; Sun, Yiqiao ; Rodriguez-Palenzuela, Diego.
   In: European Economic Review.
   RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:153:y:2023:i:c:s0014292123000144.

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7. Assessing uncertainty of output gap estimates: Evidence from Visegrad countries. (2022). Chalmoviansk, Jakub ; Nmec, Daniel.
   In: Economic Modelling.
   RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:116:y:2022:i:c:s026499932200236x.

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8. Estimating the Euro Area output gap using multivariate information and addressing the COVID-19 pandemic. (2022). Wong, Benjamin ; Morley, James ; Sun, Yiqiao ; Palenzuela, Diego Rodriguez.
   In: Working Paper Series.
   RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20222716.

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9. A multivariate unobserved components model to estimate potential output in the euro area: a production function based approach. (2021). Toth, Mate.
   In: Working Paper Series.
   RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20212523.

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10. Trends and cycles under changing economic conditions. (2020). Maria, José ; Duarte, Cláudia ; Sazedj, Sharmin.
    In: Economic Modelling.
    RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:92:y:2020:i:c:p:126-146.

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11. How Informative Are Real Time Output Gap Estimates in Europe?. (2019). Natal, Jean-Marc ; Kangur, Alvar ; Voigts, Simon ; Kirabaeva, Koralai.
    In: IMF Working Papers.
    RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2019/200.

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12. Inequality in Good and Bad Times: A Cross-Country Approach. (2019). HACIBEDEL, BURCU ; Muthoora, Priscilla S ; Mandon, Pierre ; Pouokam, Nathalie.
    In: IMF Working Papers.
    RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2019/020.

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13. Output Gap Estimates in the WAEMU Zone. (2019). THIOUNE, Thierno.
    In: International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues.
    RePEc:eco:journ1:2019-03-17.

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14. An Output Gap Measure for the Euro Area : Exploiting Country-Level and Cross-Sectional Data Heterogeneity. (2018). González-Astudillo, Manuel ; Gonzalez-Astudillo, Manuel.
    In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2018-40.

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15. U.K. Monetary Policy under Inflation Targeting. (2017). Nguyen, Anh ; Minh, Anh Dinh.
    In: Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:lie:wpaper:41.

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16. Decomposition of Russias GDP Growth Rates. (2016). Sinelnikov-Murylev, Sergey ; Kazakova, Maria ; Drobyshevsky, Sergey ; Alexeev, Michael.
    In: Research Paper Series.
    RePEc:gai:rpaper:128.

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17. Decomposition of Russias GDP Growth Rates. (2016). Sinelnikov-Murylev, Sergey ; Kazakova, Maria ; Drobyshevsky, Sergey ; Alexeev, Michael.
    In: Research Paper Series.
    RePEc:gai:rpaper:126.

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18. Estimating Output Gap and Potential Output for Russia and Its Usefulness by Forecasting Inflation. (2015). Kloudova, Dana .
    In: International Journal of Economic Sciences.
    RePEc:sek:jijoes:v:4:y:2015:i:1:p:45-59.

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19. Estimating Output Gap and Potential Output for Russia and Its Uselfulness by Forecasting Inflation. (2014). Dana, Kloudova .
    In: Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences.
    RePEc:sek:iefpro:0402134.

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20. Do GAP Models Still have a Role to Play in Forecasting Inflation?. (2014). Kamal, Lillian.
    In: The International Journal of Business and Finance Research.
    RePEc:ibf:ijbfre:v:8:y:2014:i:3:p:1-12.

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21. Do We Really Need Filters In Estimating Output Gap? : Evidence From Turkey. (2013). Sarikaya, Cagri ; Kösem, Sevim ; Erdoğan Coşar, Evren ; Kosem, Sevim ; Cosar, Evren Erdogan.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:tcb:wpaper:1333.

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22. Modelo de Proyección Trimestral del BCRP: Actualización y novedades. (2013). Winkelried, Diego.
    In: Revista Estudios Económicos.
    RePEc:rbp:esteco:ree-26-01.

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23. Impact de la crise sur la croissance potentielle: Une approche par les modèles à composantes inobservables. (2011). Lemoine, Matthieu ; de la Serve, marie-elisabeth ; Chetouane, Mabrouk.
    In: Sciences Po publications.
    RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/5l6uh8ogmqildh09h61k862c2.

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24. Impact de la crise sur la croissance potentielle. (2011). Lemoine, Matthieu ; Chetouane, Mabrouk ; de la Serve, Marie-Elisabeth.
    In: Post-Print.
    RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03389354.

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25. The reliability of real-time estimates of the euro area output gap. (2011). Musso, Alberto ; Marcellino, Massimiliano.
    In: Economic Modelling.
    RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:28:y:2011:i:4:p:1842-1856.

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26. Impact de la crise sur la croissance potentielle. Une approche par les modèles à composantes inobservables. (2011). Lemoine, Matthieu ; de la Serve, Marie-Elisabeth ; Chetouane, Mabrouk.
    In: Economics Papers from University Paris Dauphine.
    RePEc:dau:papers:123456789/6706.

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27. Impact of the crisis on potential growth: An approach based on unobserved component models (in french). (2011). Lemoine, Matthieu ; de la Serve, marie-elisabeth ; Chetouane, M..
    In: Working papers.
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28. Three new empirical perspectives on the Hodrick–Prescott parameter. (2010). Fukuda, Kosei.
    In: Empirical Economics.
    RePEc:spr:empeco:v:39:y:2010:i:3:p:713-731.

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29. Monetary policy and inflation targeting in a small open-economy. (2010). Said, Fathin ; Abdul Karim, Zulkefly ; Md. Thahir, Md. Zyadi, ; Md. Said, Fathin Faezah, ; Jusoh, Mansor.
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30. A new production function estimate of the euro area output gap This paper is based on a report for Eurostat: Real time estimation of potential output, output gap, NAIRU and Phillips curve for Euro-zone, part of the Advanced statistical and econometric techniques for the analysis of PEEIs EUROSTAT Project , December 2007.. (2010). Reynès, Frédéric ; Lemoine, Matthieu ; Monperrus-Veroni, Paola ; Mazzi, Gian Luigi ; Reynes, Frederic.
    In: Journal of Forecasting.
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31. In Search of a Method for Measuring the Output Gap of the Swedish Economy. (2010). Jönsson, Kristian ; Jonsson, Kristian ; Hjelm, Goran.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:hhs:nierwp:0115.

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32. ESTIMATING OUTPUT GAP, CORE INFLATION, AND THE NAIRU FOR PERU, 1979-2007. (2010). Rodríguez, Gabriel.
    In: Applied Econometrics and International Development.
    RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:10:y:2010:i:1_10.

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33. Estimating Output Gap, Core Inflation, and the NAIRU for Peru. (2009). Rodríguez, Gabriel ; Rodriguez, Gabriel.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:rbp:wpaper:2009-011.

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34. Forecasting inflation with an uncertain output gap. (2008). Jore, Anne Sofie ; Brubakk, Leif ; Bjørnland, Hilde.
    In: Empirical Economics.
    RePEc:spr:empeco:v:35:y:2008:i:3:p:413-436.

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35. Structural Time Series Models for Business Cycle Analysis. (2008). Proietti, Tommaso.
    In: CEIS Research Paper.
    RePEc:rtv:ceisrp:109.

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36. Real time estimation of potential output and output gap for theeuro-area: comparing production function with unobserved componentsand SVAR approaches. (2008). Reynès, Frédéric ; Monperrus-Veroni, Paola ; Lemoine, Matthieu ; Mazzi, Gian Luigi ; Reynes, Frederic.
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    RePEc:pra:mprapa:13128.

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37. Real Time Estimation of Potential Output and Output Gap for the Euro-Area : Comparing Production Function with Unobserved Components and SVAR Approaches. (2008). Reynès, Frédéric ; Lemoine, Matthieu ; Veroni, Paola ; Mazzi, Gian Luigi ; Reynes, Frederic.
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    RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-01027422.

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38. Real time estimation of potential output and output gap for the euro-area: comparing production function with unobserved components and SVAR approaches. (2008). Reynès, Frédéric ; Monperrus-Veroni, Paola ; Lemoine, Matthieu ; Mazzi, Gian Luigi ; Reynes, Frederic.
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    RePEc:fce:doctra:0834.

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39. Estimating potential output and the output gap for the euro area: a model-based production function approach. (2007). Proietti, Tommaso ; Musso, Alberto ; Westermann, Thomas.
    In: Empirical Economics.
    RePEc:spr:empeco:v:33:y:2007:i:1:p:85-113.

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40. Inflation Dynamics and the Cross-Sectional Distribution of Prices in the E.U. Periphery. (2007). Thomakos, Dimitrios ; Mendez-Carbajo, Diego ; Kottaridi, Constantina.
    In: Working Paper series.
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41. Inflation Dynamics and the Cross-Sectional Distribution of Prices in the E.U. Periphery. (2007). Thomakos, Dimitrios ; Mndez-Carbajo, Diego .
    In: Working Paper series.
    RePEc:rim:rimwps:43-07.

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42. Instability and nonlinearity in the euro area Phillips curve. (2007). van Dijk, Dick ; Stracca, Livio ; Musso, Alberto.
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    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:2007811.

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43. Capital, labour and productivity: What role do they play in the potential GPD weakness of France, Germany and Italy?. (2006). Zizza, Roberta ; Torrini, Roberto ; Döpke, Jörg ; Dopke, Jorg ; Bassanetti, Antonio.
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    RePEc:zbw:bubdp1:4246.

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44. Annex A5 : A model of the stochastic convergence between euro area business cycles. (2006). Lemoine, Matthieu.
    In: Sciences Po publications.
    RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/1461.

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45. Annex A5 : A model of the stochastic convergence between euro area business cycles. (2006). Lemoine, Matthieu.
    In: Sciences Po Economics Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/1461.

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46. The Econometric Analysis of Constructed Binary Time Series. Working paper #1. (2006). pagan, adrian ; Harding, Don.
    In: NCER Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:qut:auncer:2006-1.

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47. The Econometric Analysis of Constructed Binary Time Series. (2006). pagan, adrian ; Harding, Don.
    In: Department of Economics - Working Papers Series.
    RePEc:mlb:wpaper:963.

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48. Annex A5 : A model of the stochastic convergence between euro area business cycles. (2006). Lemoine, Matthieu.
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49. Annex A5 : A model of the stochastic convergence between euro area business cycles. (2006). Lemoine, Matthieu.
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    RePEc:hal:spmain:hal-00972793.

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50. Forecasting inflation with an uncertain output gap. (2006). Jore, Anne Sofie ; Brubakk, Leif ; Bjørnland, Hilde.
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    RePEc:bno:worpap:2006_02.

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51. Inflation Targeting and Output Growth: Evidence from Aggregate European Data. (2005). Miller, Stephen ; Apergis, Nicholas ; Vamvakidis, Athanassios ; Panethimitakis, Alexandros .
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52. Testing the significance and the non-linearity of the Phillips trade-off in the Euro Area. (2005). Martins, Manuel ; AGUIAR, Alvaro .
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    RePEc:spr:empeco:v:30:y:2005:i:3:p:665-691.

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53. Estimating the potential output of the euro area with a semi-structural multivariate Hodrick-Prescott filter. (2005). Lemoine, Matthieu ; Chagny, Odile.
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    RePEc:sce:scecf5:344.

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54. Inflation Targeting and Output Growth: Empirical Evidence for the European Union. (2005). International Monetary Fund, .
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55. Ciclo económico y desempleo estructural en la economía española. (2005). Domenech, Rafael ; Gomez, Victor.
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    RePEc:iec:inveco:v:29:y:2005:i:2:p:259-288.

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56. A model of the stochastic convergence between business cycles. (2005). Lemoine, Matthieu.
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    RePEc:fce:doctra:0505.

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57. SOME ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF CONSTRUCTED BINARY TIME SERIES. (2005). pagan, adrian.
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58. The reliability of Canadian output-gap estimates. (2005). van Norden, Simon ; Cayen, Jean-Philippe.
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    RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:16:y:2005:i:3:p:373-393.

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59. The reliability of Canadian output gap estimates. (2004). van Norden, Simon ; Cayen, Jean-Philippe.
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    RePEc:zbw:bubdp1:2295.

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60. An estimation of the euro area potential output with a semi-structural multivariate Hodrick-Prescott filter. (2004). Lemoine, Matthieu ; Chagny, Odile.
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    RePEc:fce:doctra:0414.

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1. Mind the Gap: Computing Finance-Neutral Output Gaps in Latin-American Economies. (2015). Ojeda-Joya, Jair ; Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose ; Amador Torres, Juan ; Jaulin-Mendez, Oscar ; Amador-Torres, Juan ; Tenjo-Galarza, Fernando.
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2. Is there scientific progress in macroeconomics? The case of the NAIRU. (2015). Setterfield, Mark ; Lang, Dany.
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3. Estimation of NAIRU with Inflation Expectation Data. (2015). Wang, Weining ; Härdle, Wolfgang ; Cui, Wei ; Hardle, Wolfgang K..
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4. The Phillips Curve: (In)stability, the role of credit, and implications for potential output measurement. (2014). Schleer, Frauke ; Kappler, Marcus.
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5. Trend-cycle decomposition for Peruvian GDP: application of an alternative method. (2014). Rodríguez, Gabriel ; Guillen, Angel.
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6. Measuring the natural rates, gaps, and deviation cycles. (2014). Murasawa, Yasutomo.
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   RePEc:spr:empeco:v:47:y:2014:i:2:p:495-522.

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7. Morocco and the US Free Trade Agreement: A specific factors model with unemployment and energy imports. (2014). Thompson, Henry ; Malki, Mostafa .
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8. Measuring the Euro area output gap using a multivariate unobserved components model containing phase shifts. (2012). Chen, Xiaoshan ; Mills, Terence.
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9. Identifying the Phillips curve through shifts in volatility. (2012). Kajuth, Florian.
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10. Estimating Europe’s natural rates. (2011). Berger, Tino.
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11. A small New Keynesian state space model of the Australian economy. (2011). Sheen, Jeffrey ; Leu, Shawn.
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13. Labour taxes and unemployment evidence from a panel unobserved component model. (2010). Everaert, Gerdie ; Berger, Tino.
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14. Using A Forward-Looking Phillips Curve to Estimate the Output Gap in Peru. (2010). Rodríguez, Gabriel ; Rodriguez, Gabriel.
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15. Estimating Output Gap, Core Inflation, and the NAIRU for Peru. (2009). Rodríguez, Gabriel ; Rodriguez, Gabriel.
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16. Using A Forward-Looking Phillips Curve to Estimate the Output Gap in Peru. (2009). Rodríguez, Gabriel ; Rodriguez, Gabriel.
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17. Measuring uncertainty of the euro area NAIRU: Monte Carlo and empirical evidence for alternative confidence intervals in a state space framework. (2008). Schumacher, Christian.
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18. Real Time Estimation of Potential Output and Output Gap for the Euro-Area : Comparing Production Function with Unobserved Components and SVAR Approaches. (2008). Reynès, Frédéric ; Lemoine, Matthieu ; Veroni, Paola ; Mazzi, Gian Luigi.
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19. Real Time Estimation of Potential Output and Output Gap for the Euro-Area : Comparing Production Function with Unobserved Components and SVAR Approaches. (2008). Veroni, Paola ; Lemoine, Matthieu ; Mazzi, Gian Luigi ; Reynes, Frederic.
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20. Estimating Europe’s Natural Rates from a forward-looking Phillips curve. (2008). Berger, Tino.
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21. I metodi di stima del PIL potenziale tra fondamenti di Teoria economica e Contenuto empirico. (2008). Palumbo, Antonella.
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22. Structural Time Series Models for Business Cycle Analysis. (2008). Proietti, Tommaso.
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23. Real time estimation of potential output and output gap for theeuro-area: comparing production function with unobserved componentsand SVAR approaches. (2008). Reynès, Frédéric ; Monperrus-Veroni, Paola ; Lemoine, Matthieu ; Mazzi, Gian Luigi ; Reynes, Frederic.
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24. Real time estimation of potential output and output gap for the euro-area: comparing production function with unobserved components and SVAR approaches. (2008). Reynès, Frédéric ; Monperrus-Veroni, Paola ; Lemoine, Matthieu ; Mazzi, Gian Luigi ; Reynes, Frederic.
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25. Estimating Germanys Potential Output. (2007). Tober, Silke ; Logeay, Camille ; Horn, Gustav.
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26. New measures of the output gap based on the forward-looking new Keynesian Phillips curve. (2007). Nelson, Charles ; Basistha, Arabinda.
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27. Structural and reduced approaches of the equilibrium rate of unemployment, a comparison between France and the United States. (2007). Sterdyniak, Henri ; Reynès, Frédéric ; Heyer, Eric ; Reynes, Frederic.
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28. How much has labour taxation contributed to European structural unemployment?. (2007). Rossi, Alessandro ; Planas, Christophe ; Roeger, Werner.
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29. Capital, labour and productivity: What role do they play in the potential GPD weakness of France, Germany and Italy?. (2006). Zizza, Roberta ; Torrini, Roberto ; Döpke, Jörg ; Dopke, Jorg ; Bassanetti, Antonio.
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30. Calculating potential growth rates and output gaps - A revised production function approach. (2006). Denis, Cécile ; Werner Röger, ; McMorrow, Kieran ; Grenouilleau, Daniel ; Cécile Denis, .
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31. Integration of Macroeconomic Behavioural Relationships and the Input-output Block (Romanian Modelling Experience). (2006). Dobrescu, Emilian.
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32. Trend-Cycle Correlation, Drift Break and the Estimation of Trend and Cycle in Canadian GDP. (2005). Basistha, Arabinda.
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33. Inflation Targeting and Output Growth: Evidence from Aggregate European Data. (2005). Miller, Stephen ; Apergis, Nicholas ; Vamvakidis, Athanassios ; Panethimitakis, Alexandros .
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34. Testing the significance and the non-linearity of the Phillips trade-off in the Euro Area. (2005). Martins, Manuel ; AGUIAR, Alvaro .
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35. Measuring the NAIRU with Reduced Uncertainty: A Multiple Indicator-Common Component Approach. (2005). Startz, Richard ; Basistha, Arabinda.
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36. Inflation Targeting and Output Growth: Empirical Evidence for the European Union. (2005). International Monetary Fund, .
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37. How much has labour taxation contributed to European structural unemployment?. (2004). Rossi, Alessandro ; Planas, Christophe ; Roeger, Werner.
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38. Variables observables et inobservables dans la théorie du taux de chômage déquilibre : une comparaison France / Etats-Unis. (2004). Sterdyniak, Henri ; Reynès, Frédéric ; Heyer, Eric.
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39. Variables observables et inobservables dans la théorie du taux de chômage déquilibre : une comparaison France / Etats-Unis. (2004). Sterdyniak, Henri ; Reynes, Frederic ; Heyer, Eric.
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40. Can inflation data improve the real-time reliability of output gap estimates?. (2004). Rossi, Alessandro ; Planas, Christophe.
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41. Variables observables et inobservables dans la theorie du taux de chomage d’equilibre, une comparaison France/Etats-Unis.. (2004). Sterdyniak, Henri ; Reynès, Frédéric ; Heyer, Eric.
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42. Une approche éclectique destimation du PIB potentiel pour le Royaume-Uni. (2004). St-Arnaud, Charles.
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43. Trend, cycle, and non-linear trade-off in the Euro Area 1970-2001. (2003). Martins, Manuel ; Manuel M. F. Martins, ; AGUIAR, Alvaro .
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44. How much has labour taxation contributed to European structural unemployment?. (2003). Rossi, Alessandro ; Planas, Christophe ; Roeger, Werner.
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45. Assessment criteria for output gap estimates. (2003). Camba-Mendez, Gonzalo ; Rodriguez-Palenzuela, Diego.
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46. Is the NAIRU More Useful in Forecasting Inflation than the Natural Rate of Unemployment?. (2002). Claar, Victor.
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47. Production function approach to calculating potential growth and output gaps - estimates for the EU Member States and the US. (2002). Denis, Cécile ; Werner Röger, ; McMorrow, Kieran ; Cécile Denis, .
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48. Unoberserved Components Models for Quarterly German GDP. (2002). Flaig, Gebhard.
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49. Estimating the Output Gap Using Business Survey Data - A Bivariate Structural Time Series Model for the German Economy. (2000). Flaig, Gebhard ; Ploetscher, Claudia.
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50. Medium-Term Forecasts of Potential GDP and Inflation Using Age Structure Information. (1999). .
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