1. The FOMC’s new individual economic projections and macroeconomic theories. (2023). Arai, Natsuki.
   In: Journal of Banking & Finance.
   RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:151:y:2023:i:c:s0378426623000705.

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2. The Forecasts of Individual FOMC Members: New Evidence after Ten Years. (2021). Kalfa, Sarp ; Marquez, Jaime.
   In: Working Papers.
   RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2021-003.

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3. Asymmetry, Complementarities, and State Dependence in Federal Reserve Forecasts. (2020). Owyang, Michael ; Komunjer, Ivana ; DiCecio, Riccardo ; Caunedo, Julieta.
   In: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.
   RePEc:wly:jmoncb:v:52:y:2020:i:1:p:205-228.

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4. Does the Greenspan era provide evidence on leadership in the FOMC?. (2015). Jung, Alexander ; El-Shagi, Makram.
   In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
   RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:43:y:2015:i:c:p:173-190.

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5. Evaluating the economic forecasts of FOMC members. (2015). Sheng, Xuguang Simon.
   In: International Journal of Forecasting.
   RePEc:eee:intfor:v:31:y:2015:i:1:p:165-175.

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6. Forecast dispersion, dissenting votes, and monetary policy preferences of FOMC members: the role of individual career characteristics and political aspects. (2014). Eichler, Stefan ; Lahner, Tom.
   In: Public Choice.
   RePEc:kap:pubcho:v:160:y:2014:i:3:p:429-453.

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7. Inflation and output growth uncertainty in individual survey expectations. (2014). Paloviita, Maritta ; Viren, Matti.
   In: Empirica.
   RePEc:kap:empiri:v:41:y:2014:i:1:p:69-81.

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8. Learning by Disinflating. (2013). Ellison, Martin ; Barnett, Alina.
   In: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.
   RePEc:wly:jmoncb:v:45:y:2013:i:4:p:731-746.

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9. Using forecasts to uncover the loss function of FOMC members. (2013). Tillmann, Peter ; Pierdzioch, Christian ; Rulke, Jan-Christoph.
   In: MAGKS Papers on Economics.
   RePEc:mar:magkse:201302.

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10. The influence and policy signaling role of FOMC forecasts. (2013). Hubert, Paul.
    In: Documents de Travail de l'OFCE.
    RePEc:fce:doctra:1303.

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11. The influence and policy signaling role of FOMC forecasts. (2013). Hubert, Paul.
    In: Documents de Travail de l'OFCE.
    RePEc:fce:doctra:13-03.

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12. Does the Greenspan era provide evidence on leadership in the FOMC?. (2013). Jung, Alexander ; El-Shagi, Makram.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20131579.

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13. Inflation and output growth uncertainty in individual survey expectations. (2012). Viren, Matti ; Paloviita, Maritta.
    In: Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:zbw:bofrdp:rdp2012_037.

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14. Are individual survey expectations internally consistent?. (2012). Paloviita, Maritta ; Viren, Matti.
    In: Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:tkk:dpaper:dp77.

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15. Inflation and output growth uncertainty in individual survey expectations. (2012). Paloviita, Maritta ; Viren, Matti.
    In: Research Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:bof:bofrdp:2012_037.

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16. Reputation and Forecast Revisions: Evidence from the FOMC. (2011). Tillmann, Peter.
    In: MAGKS Papers on Economics.
    RePEc:mar:magkse:201128.

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17. Central Bank Forecasts as an Instrument of Monetary Policy. (2011). Hubert, Paul.
    In: Documents de Travail de l'OFCE.
    RePEc:fce:doctra:1123.

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1. Atkeson, A. ; Ohanian, L.E. Are Phillips curves useful for forecasting inflation?. 2001 Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review. 25 2-11

2. Ball, L. ; Tchaidze, R.T. The Fed and the New Economy. 2002 American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings. 92 108-114

3. Banternghansa, C., McCracken, M.W., 2009. Forecast Disagreement Among FOMC Members. Working Paper 2009-059A, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

4. Capistrán, C. Bias in Federal Reserve inflation forecasts: Is the Federal Reserve irrational or just cautious?. 2008 Journal of Monetary Economics. 55 1415-1427

5. Clark, T.E. ; McCracken, M. The predictive content of the output gap for inflation: resolving in-sample and out-of-sample evidence. 2006 Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking. 38 1127-1148

6. Ellison, M., Sargent, T.J., 2009. A Defence of the FOMC. Unpublished, Oxford University.

7. Fendel, R. ; Lis, E.M. ; Rülke, J.-C. Do professional forecasters believe in the Phillips curve? Evidence from the G7 countries. 2010 Journal of Forecasting. -
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8. Gavin, W.T. ; Mandal, R.J. Evaluating FOMC forecasts. 2003 International Journal of Forecasting. 655-667

9. Gavin, W.T., 2003. FOMC forecasts: is all the information in the central tendency? Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, 27–46.

10. Gavin, W.T., Pande, G., 2008. FOMC consensus forecasts. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, 149–163.

11. Gorodnichenko, Y. ; Shapiro, M.D. Monetary policy when potential output is uncertain: understanding the growth gamble of the 1990s. 2007 Journal of Monetary Economics. 54 1132-1162

12. Meade, E.E., Thornton, D.L., 2010. The Phillips Curve and US Monetary Policy: What the FOMC Transcripts Tell Us. Working Paper 2010-017A, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

13. Orphanides, A., Wieland, V., 2008. Economic projections and rules of thumb for monetary policy. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, 307–324.

14. Romer, C.D. ; Romer, D.H. The FOMC versus the staff: where can monetary policymakers add value?. 2008 American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings. 98 230-235

15. Romer, D.H. A new data set on monetary policy: the economic forecasts of individual members of the FOMC. 2010 Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking. 42 951-957

16. Staiger, D. ; Stock, J.H. ; Watson, M.W. Prices, Wages, and the US NAIRU in the 1990s. 2001 En : Krueger, A.B. ; Solow, R. The Roaring Nineties: Can Full Employment be Sustained. Rusell Sage Foundation: New York

17. Tetlow, R.J. ; Ironside, B. Real-time model uncertainty in the United States: the Fed, 1996–2003. 2007 Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking. 39 1533-1561
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1. Inflation persistence. (2009). Fuhrer, Jeffrey.
   In: Working Papers.
   RePEc:fip:fedbwp:09-14.

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2. Reconsidering the role of monetary indicators for euro area inflation from a Bayesian perspective using group inclusion probabilities. (2007). Schumacher, Christian ; Scharnagl, Michael.
   In: Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies.
   RePEc:zbw:bubdp1:5573.

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3. Federal Reserve Information During the Great Moderation. (2007). Whelan, Karl ; D'Agostino, Antonello.
   In: MPRA Paper.
   RePEc:pra:mprapa:6092.

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4. Commentary on \\Model fit and model selection\\. (2007). Ohanian, Lee.
   In: Review.
   RePEc:fip:fedlrv:y:2007:i:jul:p:361-370:n:v.89no.4.

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5. Phillips curve instability and optimal monetary policy. (2007). Davig, Troy.
   In: Research Working Paper.
   RePEc:fip:fedkrw:rwp07-04.

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6. Maintaining low inflation: money, interest rates, and policy stance. (2007). Reynard, Samuel.
   In: Working Paper Series.
   RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:2007756.

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7. Monetary Policy and Inflation Dynamics. (2006). Roberts, John.
   In: MPRA Paper.
   RePEc:pra:mprapa:812.

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8. Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?. (2006). Watson, Mark ; Stock, James.
   In: NBER Working Papers.
   RePEc:nbr:nberwo:12324.

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9. Empirical Phillips Curves in OECD Countries: Has There Been A Common Breakdown?. (2006). Doyle, Matthew.
   In: Staff General Research Papers Archive.
   RePEc:isu:genres:12684.

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10. Monetary Policy and Inflation Dynamics. (2006). Roberts, John.
    In: International Journal of Central Banking.
    RePEc:ijc:ijcjou:y:2006:q:3:a:6.

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11. Forecasting inflation and output: comparing data-rich models with simple rules. (2006). Kliesen, Kevin ; Gavin, William.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedlwp:2006-054.

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12. Inflation: do expectations trump the gap?. (2006). Piger, Jeremy.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedlwp:2006-013.

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13. Combining forecasts from nested models. (2006). McCracken, Michael ; Clark, Todd.
    In: Research Working Paper.
    RePEc:fip:fedkrw:rwp06-02.

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14. Forecasting professional forecasters. (2006). Wright, Jonathan ; Ghysels, Eric.
    In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2006-10.

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15. Real-time model uncertainty in the United States: the Fed from 1996-2003. (2006). Tetlow, Robert ; Ironside, Brian.
    In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2006-08.

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16. Forecasting measures of inflation for the Estonian economy. (2006). Consolo, Agostino.
    In: Bank of Estonia Working Papers.
    RePEc:eea:boewps:wp2006-03.

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17. Comparing alternative predictors based on large-panel factor models. (2006). Giannone, Domenico ; D'Agostino, Antonello.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:2006680.

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18. (Un)Predictability and macroeconomic stability. (2006). Surico, Paolo ; Giannone, Domenico ; D'Agostino, Antonello.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:2006605.

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19. Linking Real Activity and Financial Markets: The Bonds, Equity, and Money (BEAM) Model. (2006). Li, Fuchun ; Gauthier, Celine .
    In: Staff Working Papers.
    RePEc:bca:bocawp:06-42.

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20. (Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability. (2005). Surico, Paolo ; Giannone, Domenico ; D'Agostino, Antonello.
    In: Macroeconomics.
    RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:0510024.

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21. A comprehensive short-run analysis of a (possible) Turkish Phillips curve. (2005). Kutepeli, Yeim.
    In: Applied Economics.
    RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:5:p:581-591.

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22. Where Did the Productivity Growth Go? Inflation Dynamics and the Distribution of Income. (2005). Gordon, Robert ; Dew-Becker, Ian.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:11842.

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23. Do Macro Variables, Asset Markets or Surveys Forecast Inflation Better?. (2005). Wei, Min ; Bekaert, Geert ; Ang, Andrew.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:11538.

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24. Monetary Policy in Real Time. (2005). Sala, Luca ; Reichlin, Lucrezia ; Giannone, Domenico.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:igi:igierp:284.

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25. In search of the natural rate of unemployment. (2005). Morley, James ; King, Thomas.
    In: Supervisory Policy Analysis Working Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedlsp:2005-05.

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26. Has output become more predictable? changes in Greenbook forecast accuracy. (2005). Tulip, Peter.
    In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2005-31.

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27. Model confidence sets for forecasting models. (2005). Nason, James ; Lunde, Asger ; Hansen, Peter.
    In: FRB Atlanta Working Paper.
    RePEc:fip:fedawp:2005-07.

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28. The Phillips curve and long-term unemployment. (2005). Llaudes, Ricardo.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:2005441.

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29. Where did the Productivity Growth Go? Inflation Dynamics and the Distribution of Income. (2005). Gordon, Robert ; Dew-Becker, Ian.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:5419.

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30. Monetary Policy in Real Time. (2005). Sala, Luca ; Reichlin, Lucrezia ; Giannone, Domenico.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:4981.

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31. The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time. (2005). van Norden, Simon ; Orphanides, Athanasios.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:4830.

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32. Estimating equilibrium real interest rates in real-time. (2004). Kozicki, Sharon ; Clark, Todd.
    In: Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies.
    RePEc:zbw:bubdp1:2298.

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33. Sequential Information Flow and Real-Time Diagnosis of Swiss Inflation: Intra-Monthly DCF Estimates for a Low-Inflation Environment. (2004). Fischer, Andreas ; Amstad, Marlene.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:szg:worpap:0406.

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34. Predicting the recent behavior of inflation using output gap-based Phillips curves. (2004). Mehra, Yash P..
    In: Economic Quarterly.
    RePEc:fip:fedreq:y:2004:i:sum:p:65-88:n:v.90no.3.

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35. In search of a robust inflation forecast. (2004). Fisher, Jonas ; Brave, Scott.
    In: Economic Perspectives.
    RePEc:fip:fedhep:y:2004:i:qiv:p:12-31:n:v.28no.4.

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36. The reliability of inflation forecasts based on output gap estimates in real time. (2004). van Norden, Simon ; Orphanides, Athanasios.
    In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2004-68.

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37. Inside and Outside Bounds: Threshold Estimates of the Phillips Curve. (2004). Olivei, Giovanni ; Barnes, Michelle.
    In: Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings.
    RePEc:ecm:ausm04:295.

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38. The predictive content of the output gap for inflation : resolving in-sample and out-of-sample evidence. (2003). McCracken, Michael ; Clark, Todd.
    In: Research Working Paper.
    RePEc:fip:fedkrw:rwp03-06.

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39. Women and the Phillips curve: do women’s and men’s labor market outcomes differentially affect real wage growth and inflation?. (2003). Butcher, Kristin ; Barrow, Lisa ; Anderson, Katharine.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedhwp:wp-03-22.

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40. Forecasting U.S. inflation by Bayesian Model Averaging. (2003). Wright, Jonathan.
    In: International Finance Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedgif:780.

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41. Bayesian Model Averaging and exchange rate forecasts. (2003). Wright, Jonathan.
    In: International Finance Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedgif:779.

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42. Inside and outside bounds: threshold estimates of the Phillips curve. (2003). Olivei, Giovanni ; Barnes, Michelle.
    In: New England Economic Review.
    RePEc:fip:fedbne:y:2003:p:3-18.

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43. Forecasting inflation: a comparison of linear Phillips curve models and nonlinear time serie models. (2003). Marrocu, Emanuela ; Ascari, Guido.
    In: Working Paper CRENoS.
    RePEc:cns:cnscwp:200307.

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44. Supply Shocks and Inflation Targeting. (2003). Kanczuk, Fabio.
    In: Anais do XXXI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 31st Brazilian Economics Meeting].
    RePEc:anp:en2003:b01.

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45. Openness And The Output-Inflation Tradeoff: Floating Vs. Fixed Exchange Rates. (2002). Chi-Wa, Yuen.
    In: International Economic Journal.
    RePEc:taf:intecj:v:16:y:2002:i:4:p:1-26.

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46. When can we forecast inflation?. (2002). Zhou, Ruilin ; Liu, Chin ; Fisher, Jonas.
    In: Economic Perspectives.
    RePEc:fip:fedhep:y:2002:i:qi:p:32-44:n:v.26no.1.

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47. Can the Phillips curve help forecast inflation?. (2002). Lansing, Kevin.
    In: FRBSF Economic Letter.
    RePEc:fip:fedfel:y:2002:i:oct4:n:2002-29.

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48. Is there a Phillips Curve in the US and the EU15 Countries? An empirical investigation. (2002). .
    In: DFAEII Working Papers.
    RePEc:ehu:dfaeii:200232.

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49. G-7 Inflation Forecasts. (2002). Canova, Fabio.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:3283.

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50. A Core Inflation Index for the Euro Area. (2001). veronese, giovanni ; Reichlin, Lucrezia ; Forni, Mario ; Cristadoro, Riccardo.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:3097.

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