create a website

Indeterminate forecast accuracy under indeterminacy. (2017). Sorge, Marco ; Fanelli, Luca.
In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:53:y:2017:i:c:p:57-70.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

Cited: 5

Citations received by this document

Cites: 39

References cited by this document

Cocites: 46

Documents which have cited the same bibliography

Coauthors: 0

Authors who have wrote about the same topic

Citations

Citations received by this document

  1. Inflation persistence and monetary policy: DSGE‐VAR approach. (2022). Chin, Kuohsuan.
    In: Manchester School.
    RePEc:bla:manchs:v:90:y:2022:i:6:p:715-729.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  2. Stabilizing Taylor rules and determinacy under unit root supply shocks: A re-examination. (2021). Sorge, Marco.
    In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
    RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:68:y:2021:i:c:s0164070421000227.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  3. Under the same (Chole)sky: DNK models, timing restrictions and recursive identification of monetary policy shocks. (2021). Sorge, Marco ; Angelini, Giovanni.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:bol:bodewp:wp1160.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  4. Arbitrary initial conditions and the dimension of indeterminacy in linear rational expectations models. (2020). Sorge, Marco.
    In: Decisions in Economics and Finance.
    RePEc:spr:decfin:v:43:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s10203-019-00269-4.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  5. Bayesian forecast combination in VAR-DSGE models. (2019). Li, Xue ; Chin, Kuo-Hsuan.
    In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
    RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:59:y:2019:i:c:p:278-298.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

References

References cited by this document

    References contributed by pco326-18210

  1. Alessi, L. , Barigozzi, M. , Capasso, M. , 2011. Nonfundamentalness in structural econometric models: a review. Int. Stat. Rev. 79, 16–47. Atkeson, A. , Ohanian, L.E. , 2001. Are phillips curves useful for forecasting inflation? Q. Rev. 25, 2–11.

  2. Benati, L. , 2008. Investigating inflation persistence across monetary regimes. Q. J. Econ. 123, 1005–1060.

  3. Benati, L. , Surico, P. , 2008. Evolving U.S. monetary policy and the decline of inflation predictability. J. Eur. Econ. Assoc. 6, 634–646.

  4. Benati, L. , Surico, P. , 2009. VAR analysis and the great moderation. Am. Econ. Rev. 99, 1636–1652.

  5. Binder, M. , Pesaran, M.H. , 1995. Multivariate rational expectations models and macroeconomic modelling: a review and some new results. In: Pesaran, M., Wickens, M. (Eds.), Handbook of Applied Econometrics. Blackwell, Oxford, pp. 139–187.

  6. Boivin, J. , Giannoni, M.P. , 2006. Has monetary policy become more effective? Rev. Econ. Stat. 88, 445–462.

  7. Broze, L. , Szafarz, A. , 1991. The Econometric Analysis of Non-Uniqueness in Rational Expectations Models. North-Holland, Amsterdam.

  8. Canova, F. , Gambetti, L. , 2010. Do expectations matter? Alessi the great moderation revisited. Am. Econ. J. Macroecon. 2, 183–205.

  9. Castelnuovo, E. , Fanelli, L. , 2015a. Monetary policy indeterminacy and identification failures in the U.S.: results from a robust test. J. Appl. Econom. 30, 924–947.

  10. Castelnuovo, E. , Fanelli, L. , 2015b. Monetary policy indeterminacy and identification failures in the U.S.: results from a robust test. J. Appl. Econom. 30, 924–947 . Supporting Information.
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  11. Castelnuovo, E. , Surico, P. , 2010. Monetary policy, inflation expectations and the price puzzle. Econ. J. 120, 1262–1283.

  12. Christoffel, K., Coenen, G., Warne, A., 2010. Forecasting with DSGE models. In: Clements, M., Hendry, D. (Eds.), Oxford Handbook on Economic Forecasting. Oxford University Press. Clarida, R.J. , Galì, J. , Gertler, M. , 20 0 0. Monetary policy rules and macroeconomic stability: evidence and some theory. Q. J. Econ. 115, 147–180 .

  13. Cogley, T. , Primiceri, G. , Sargent, T.J. , 2010. Inflation-gap persistence in the US. Am. Econ. J. Macroecon. 2, 43–69.

  14. Cogley, T. , Sargent, T.J. , 2005. Drifts and volatilities: monetary policies and outcomes in the post WWII US. Rev. Econ. Dyn. 8, 262–302.

  15. D’Agostino, A. , Surico, P. , 2012. A century of inflation forecast. Rev. Econ. Stat. 94, 1097–1106.

  16. D’Agostino, A., Giannone, D., Surico, P. 2008, (Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability. CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP6594.

  17. Edge, R.M. , Gurkaynak, R.S. , 2010. How useful are estimated DSGE model forecasts for central bankers? Brook. Pap. Econ. Act. 41, 209–259.
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  18. Fanelli, L. , 2012. Determinacy, indeterminacy and dynamic misspecification in linear rational expectations models. J. Econom. 170, 153–163.

  19. Fanelli, L. , Paruolo, P. , 2010. Speed of adjustment in cointegrated systems. J. Econom. 158, 130–141.

  20. Farmer, R.E.A. , Khramov, V. , Nicolò, G. , 2015. Solving and estimating indeterminate DSGE models. J. Econ. Dyn. Control 54, 17–36.

  21. Faust, J. , Wright, J.H. , 2009. Comparing greenbook and reduced form forecasts using a large realtime dataset. J. Bus. Econ. Stat. 27, 468–479.

  22. Fernández-Villaverde, J. , Rubio-Ramírez, J. , Sargent, T. , Watson, M. , 2007. ABCs (and Ds) of understanding VARs. Am. Econ. Rev. 97, 1021–1026.

  23. Fuhrer, J.C. , 2010. Inflation persistence. In: Friedman, B., Woodford, M. (Eds.), Handbook of Monetary Economics 3. North Holland.

  24. Fujiwara, I. , Hirose, Y. , 2014. Indeterminacy and forecastability. J. Money Credit Bank. 46, 243–251.

  25. Gürkaynak, R. , Kısacıko ˘glu, B. , Rossi, B. , 2013. Do DSGE models forecast more accurately out-of-sample than reduced form models? In: Fomby, T., Kilian, L., Murphy, A. (Eds.), VAR Models in Macroeconomics –New Developments and Applications: Essays in Honor of Christopher A. Sims. Advances in Econo- metrics, 32. Emerald Group Publishing Limited, pp. 27–80.
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  26. Giacomini, R. , 2015. Economic theory and forecasting: lessons from the literature. Econom. J. 18, C22–C41.

  27. Herbst, E. , Schorfheide, F. , 2012. Evaluating DSGE model forecasts of comovements. J. Econom. 171, 152–166.

  28. Kascha, C. , Mertens, K. , 2009. Business cycle analysis and VARMA models. J. Econom. Dyn. Control 33, 267–282.

  29. Komunjer, I. , Ng, S. , 2011. Dynamic identification of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models. Econometrica 79, 1995–2032.

  30. Koop, G. , Pesaran, H.M. , Potter, S. , 1996. Impulse response analysis in nonlinear multivariate models. J. Econom. 74, 119–147.

  31. Lubik, T.A. , Schorfheide, F. , 2003. Computing sunspot equilibria in linear rational expectations models. J. Econ. Dyn. Control 28, 273–285.

  32. Lubik, T.A. , Schorfheide, F. , 2004. Testing for indeterminacy: an application to U.S. monetary policy. Am. Econ. Rev. 94, 190–217.

  33. Orphanides, A. , van Norden, S. , 2005. The reliability of inflation forecasts based on output gap estimates in real time. J. Money Credit Bank. 37, 583–601.

  34. Pivetta, F. , Reis, R. , 2007. The persistence of inflation in the united states. J. Econ. Dyn. Control 31, 1326–1358.

  35. Rossi, B. , Sekhposyan, T. , 2010. Have models’ forecasting performance changed over time, and when? Int. J. Forecast. 26, 808–835.
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  36. Smets, F. , Wouters, R. , 2007. Shocks and frictions in US business cycles: a Bayesian DSGE approach. Am. Econ. Rev. 97, 586–606.

  37. Sorge, M.M. , 2012. News shocks or parametric indeterminacy? An observational equivalence result in linear rational expectations models. Econ. Lett. 114, 198–200.

  38. Stock, J.H. , Watson, M.W. , 2002. Has the business cycle changed and why?. In: Gertler, M., Rogoff, K. (Eds.), NBER Macroeconomics Annuals. NBER.

  39. Stock, J.H. , Watson, M.W. , 2007. Why has U.S. inflation become harder to forecast? J. Money Credit Bank. 39, 3–33.

Cocites

Documents in RePEc which have cited the same bibliography

  1. Inference in mixed causal and noncausal models with generalized Student’s t-distributions. (2025). Hecq, Alain ; Giancaterini, Francesco.
    In: Econometrics and Statistics.
    RePEc:eee:ecosta:v:33:y:2025:i:c:p:1-12.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  2. Sequential Monte Carlo for Noncausal Processes. (2025). Cubadda, Gianluca ; Grassi, Stefano ; Giancaterini, Francesco.
    In: Papers.
    RePEc:arx:papers:2501.03945.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  3. Evidence of non-fundamentalness in OECD capital stocks. (2024). Lobato, Ignacio N ; Aguirre, Antonio.
    In: Empirical Economics.
    RePEc:spr:empeco:v:67:y:2024:i:2:d:10.1007_s00181-024-02564-5.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  4. Imperfect Information and Hidden Dynamics. (2023). wright, stephen ; Pearlman, Joseph ; Levine, Paul ; Yang, BO.
    In: School of Economics Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:sur:surrec:1223.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  5. Quantile Autoregression-based Non-causality Testing. (2023). Jin, Weifeng.
    In: Papers.
    RePEc:arx:papers:2301.02937.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  6. Government spending news and surprise shocks: It’s the timing and persistence. (2022). Kim, Soyoung ; Kang, Ji Hye.
    In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
    RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:73:y:2022:i:c:s016407042200043x.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  7. Do energy efficiency improvements reduce energy use? Empirical evidence on the economy-wide rebound effect in Europe and the United States. (2022). Stern, David ; Moneta, Alessio ; Bruns, Stephan ; Berner, Anne.
    In: Energy Economics.
    RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:110:y:2022:i:c:s014098832200113x.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  8. Inference in mixed causal and noncausal models with generalized Students t-distributions. (2022). Hecq, Alain ; Giancaterini, Francesco.
    In: Papers.
    RePEc:arx:papers:2012.01888.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  9. Spectral decomposition of the information about latent variables in dynamic macroeconomic models. (2021). Iskrev, Nikolay.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:ptu:wpaper:w202105.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  10. Under the same (Chole)sky: DNK models, timing restrictions and recursive identification of monetary policy shocks. (2021). Sorge, Marco ; Angelini, Giovanni.
    In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.
    RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:133:y:2021:i:c:s0165188921002001.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  11. Under the same (Chole)sky: DNK models, timing restrictions and recursive identification of monetary policy shocks. (2021). Sorge, Marco ; Angelini, Giovanni.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:bol:bodewp:wp1160.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  12. Common Components Structural VARs. (2020). Lippi, Marco ; Gambetti, Luca ; Forni, Mario ; Sala, Luca.
    In: Center for Economic Research (RECent).
    RePEc:mod:recent:147.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  13. Common Component Structural VARs. (2020). Lippi, Marco ; Gambetti, Luca ; Forni, Mario ; Sala, Luca.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:15529.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  14. On the sources of information about latent variables in DSGE models. (2019). Iskrev, Nikolay.
    In: European Economic Review.
    RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:119:y:2019:i:c:p:318-332.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  15. Identification of Noncausal Models by Quantile Autoregressions. (2019). Hecq, Alain ; Sun, LI.
    In: Papers.
    RePEc:arx:papers:1904.05952.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  16. The Impact of Credit Booms and Economic Policy on Labour Productivity: A Sectoral Analysis. (2018). Pfeifer, Lukáš ; Hodula, Martin.
    In: ACTA VSFS.
    RePEc:prf:journl:v:12:y:2018:i:1:p:10-42.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  17. Misspecification of noncausal order in autoregressive processes. (2018). Jasiak, Joann ; gourieroux, christian.
    In: Journal of Econometrics.
    RePEc:eee:econom:v:205:y:2018:i:1:p:226-248.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  18. Efficiency improvements for minimum distance estimation of causal and invertible ARMA models. (2018). Velasco, Carlos ; Lobato, Ignacio N.
    In: Economics Letters.
    RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:162:y:2018:i:c:p:150-152.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  19. Government Purchases Reloaded : Informational Insufficiency and Heterogeneity in Fiscal VARs. (2017). Ricco, Giovanni ; Ellahie, Atif.
    In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
    RePEc:wrk:warwec:1138.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  20. Dealing with Misspecification in DSGE Models: A Survey. (2017). Paccagnini, Alessia.
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:82914.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  21. Residual-based diagnostic tests for noninvertible ARMA models. (2017). Nyholm, Juho.
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:81033.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  22. Mixed Causal-Noncausal Autoregressions with Strictly Exogenous Regressors. (2017). Telg, Sean ; Issler, João ; Hecq, Alain.
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:80767.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  23. Size Effects of Fiscal Policy and Business Confidence in the Euro Area. (2017). Savva, Christos ; Michail, Nektarios ; Koursaros, Demetris.
    In: IJFS.
    RePEc:gam:jijfss:v:5:y:2017:i:4:p:26-:d:118051.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  24. Government purchases reloaded: Informational insufficiency and heterogeneity in fiscal VARs. (2017). Ricco, Giovanni ; Ellahie, Atif.
    In: Journal of Monetary Economics.
    RePEc:eee:moneco:v:90:y:2017:i:c:p:13-27.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  25. Indeterminate forecast accuracy under indeterminacy. (2017). Sorge, Marco ; Fanelli, Luca.
    In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
    RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:53:y:2017:i:c:p:57-70.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  26. Noncausality and the commodity currency hypothesis. (2017). Nyberg, Henri ; Lof, Matthijs.
    In: Energy Economics.
    RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:65:y:2017:i:c:p:424-433.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  27. Government Purchases Reloaded : Informational Insufficiency and Heterogeneity in Fiscal VARs. (2017). Ricco, Giovanni ; Ellahie, Atif.
    In: Economic Research Papers.
    RePEc:ags:uwarer:269308.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  28. Do Seasonal Adjustments Induce Noncausal Dynamics in Inflation Rates?. (2016). Telg, Sean ; Lieb, Lenard ; Hecq, Alain.
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:74922.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  29. The response of asset prices to monetary policy shocks: stronger than thought. (2016). Kerssenfischer, Mark ; Alessi, Lucia.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20161967.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  30. Measuring Nonfundamentalness for Structural VARs. (2016). Soccorsi, Stefano.
    In: Working Papers ECARES.
    RePEc:eca:wpaper:2013/222962.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  31. Identification of Mixed Causal-Noncausal Models : How Fat Should We Go?. (2015). Telg, Sean ; Lieb, Lenard ; Hecq, Alain.
    In: Research Memorandum.
    RePEc:unm:umagsb:2015035.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  32. Indeterminacy, Misspecification and Forecastability: Good Luck in Bad Policy?. (2015). Sorge, Marco ; Fanelli, Luca.
    In: CSEF Working Papers.
    RePEc:sef:csefwp:402.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  33. Are the shocks obtained from SVAR fundamental?. (2015). Hamidi Sahneh, Mehdi.
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:65126.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  34. Technological Standardization, Endogenous Productivity and Transitory Dynamics. (2014). Schmidt, Julia ; Baron, J..
    In: Working papers.
    RePEc:bfr:banfra:503.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  35. On the Fundamentalness of Nonfundamentalness in DSGE Models. (2013). Sorge, Marco.
    In: CSEF Working Papers.
    RePEc:sef:csefwp:340.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  36. Essays on Expectations and the Econometrics of Asset Pricing. (2013). Lof, Matthijs.
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:59064.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  37. The relationship between DSGE and VAR models. (2013). Giacomini, Raffaella.
    In: CeMMAP working papers.
    RePEc:ifs:cemmap:21/13.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  38. The common component of firm growth. (2013). Capasso, Marco ; Barigozzi, Matteo ; Alessi, Lucia.
    In: Structural Change and Economic Dynamics.
    RePEc:eee:streco:v:26:y:2013:i:c:p:73-82.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  39. NONCAUSAL VECTOR AUTOREGRESSION. (2013). Saikkonen, Pentti ; Lanne, Markku.
    In: Econometric Theory.
    RePEc:cup:etheor:v:29:y:2013:i:03:p:447-481_00.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  40. Noncausality and asset pricing. (2013). Lof, Matthijs.
    In: Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics.
    RePEc:bpj:sndecm:v:17:y:2013:i:2:p:211-220:n:6.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  41. Causal Inference by Independent Component Analysis: Theory and Applications. (2013). Moneta, Alessio ; Coad, Alex ; Hoyer, Patrik O. ; Entner, Doris.
    In: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics.
    RePEc:bla:obuest:v:75:y:2013:i:5:p:705-730.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  42. The relationship between DSGE and VAR models. (2013). Giacomini, Raffaella.
    In: CeMMAP working papers.
    RePEc:azt:cemmap:21/13.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  43. Government Spending Reloaded: Fundamentalness and Heterogeneity in Fiscal SVARs. (2012). Ricco, Giovanni ; Ellahie, Atif.
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:42105.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  44. A monetáris politika hatása a magyar gazdaságra. Elemzés strukturális, dinamikus faktormodellel. (2012). Pellényi, Gábor ; Pellenyi, Gabor .
    In: Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences).
    RePEc:ksa:szemle:1296.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  45. Identifying News Shocks from SVARs. (2012). Jidoud, Ahmat ; Fève, Patrick ; Feve, Patrick.
    In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
    RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:34:y:2012:i:4:p:919-932.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  46. Noncausality and Asset Pricing. (2011). Lof, Matthijs.
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:30519.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

Coauthors

Authors registered in RePEc who have wrote about the same topic

Report date: 2025-09-21 19:48:41 || Missing content? Let us know

CitEc is a RePEc service, providing citation data for Economics since 2001. Last updated August, 3 2024. Contact: Jose Manuel Barrueco.