1. Fiscal and monetary stabilization policy at the zero lower bound: Consequences of limited foresight. (2022). Xie, Yinxi ; Woodford, Michael.
   In: Journal of Monetary Economics.
   RePEc:eee:moneco:v:125:y:2022:i:c:p:18-35.

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2. Market-Based Monetary Policy Uncertainty. (2021). Mueller, Philippe ; Lakdawala, Aeimit ; Bauer, Michael.
   In: Working Paper Series.
   RePEc:fip:fedfwp:2019-12.

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3. The (ir)relevance of the nominal lower bound for real yield curve analysis. (2020). Schupp, Fabian.
   In: Working Paper Series.
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4. Inflation at risk in advanced and emerging economies. (2020). Zampolli, Fabrizio ; Mehrotra, Aaron ; Contreras, Juan ; Banerjee, Ryan.
   In: BIS Working Papers.
   RePEc:bis:biswps:883.

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5. The Federal Reserve’s Current Framework for Monetary Policy: A Review and Assessment. (2019). Wright, Jonathan ; Stock, James ; Eberly, Janice.
   In: NBER Working Papers.
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6. Tying down the anchor: monetary policy rules and the lower bound on interest rates. (2019). Williams, John ; Mertens, Thomas.
   In: Staff Reports.
   RePEc:fip:fednsr:887.

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7. Monetary policy frameworks and the effective lower bound on interest rates. (2019). Williams, John ; Mertens, Thomas.
   In: Staff Reports.
   RePEc:fip:fednsr:877.

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8. Understanding Persistent Stagnation. (2019). Singh, Sanjay ; Cuba-Borda, Pablo.
   In: International Finance Discussion Papers.
   RePEc:fip:fedgif:1243.

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9. Effective Lower Bound Risk. (2019). Schmidt, Sebastian ; Nakata, Taisuke ; Hills, Timothy S.
   In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
   RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2019-77.

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10. Inflation and Deflationary Biases in Inflation Expectations. (2019). Pfajfar, Damjan ; Lamla, Michael ; Rendell, Lea.
    In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2019-42.

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11. Precautionary Pricing: The Disinflationary Effects of ELB Risk. (2019). Leduc, Sylvain ; Carter, Thomas ; Amano, Robert.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedfwp:2019-26.

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12. Tying Down the Anchor: Monetary Policy Rules and the Lower Bound on Interest Rates. (2019). Williams, John ; Mertens, Thomas.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedfwp:2019-14.

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13. Monetary Policy Frameworks and the Effective Lower Bound on Interest Rates. (2019). Williams, John ; Mertens, Thomas.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedfwp:2019-01.

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14. Effective lower bound risk. (2019). Schmidt, Sebastian ; Hills, Timothy S ; Nakata, Taisuke.
    In: European Economic Review.
    RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:120:y:2019:i:c:s0014292119301813.

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15. Market-based monetary policy uncertainty. (2019). Mueller, Philippe ; Lakdawala, Aeimit ; Bauer, Michael.
    In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ces:ceswps:_7621.

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16. Understanding Persistent Stagnation. (2019). Singh, Sanjay ; Cuba-Borda, Pablo.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:cda:wpaper:329.

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17. Inflation and deflationary biases in inflation expectations. (2019). Pfajfar, Damjan ; Lamla, Michael ; Rendell, Lea.
    In: BIS Working Papers.
    RePEc:bis:biswps:789.

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1. Adam, Klaus and Roberto M Billi, “Optimal monetary policy under commitment with a zero bound on nominal interest rates,” Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, October 2006, 38 (7), 1877–1905.

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4. Chung, Hess, Jean-Philippe Laforte, David Reifschneider, and John C. Williams, “Have We Underestimated the Likelihood and Severity of Zero Lower Bound Events?,” Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2012, 44, 47–82.

5. Crump, Richard K., Stefano Eusepi, and Emanuel Moench, “The Term Structure of Expectations and Bond Yields,” Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report no. 775, 2017.
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6. D Short-term forecast densities for interest rate To ensure that liquidity is not a driver of our findings, we obtain data on options based on Eurodollar futures from Bloomberg for comparison with our longer-term forecasts. Eurodollar futures prices reflect market expectations of interest rates on three-month Eurodollar deposits for specific dates in the future. Thus, the options we use are contracts capturing market expectations of a three-month forward rate n years out. We focus on the 24-month horizon starting in January 2006.
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7. Durham, J Benson, “Implied Interest Rate Skew, Term Premiums, and the “Conundrum”,” Journal of Fixed Income, 2008.
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8. Eggertsson, Gauti B and Michael Woodford, “The Zero Interest-Rate Bound and Optimal Monetary Policy,” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2003, 2003 (1), 139–233.

9. Evans, Charles, Jonas D. M. Fisher, François Gourio, and Spencer Kane, “Risk Management for Monetary Policy Near the Zero Lower Bound,” Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Working Paper No. 2015-03, 2015.

10. Fleckenstein, Matthias, Francis A. Longstaff, and Hanno Lustig, “Deflation Risk,” The Review of Financial Studies, 2017, 30 (8), 2719Ű2760.
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11. Fuhrer, Jeffrey C and Brian F Madigan, “Monetary policy when interest rates are bounded at zero,” Review of Economics and Statistics, 1997, 79 (4), 573–585.

12. Gürkaynak, Refet S., Brian Sack, and Jonathan H. Wright, “The U.S. Treasury yield curve: 1961 to the present,” Journal of Monetary Economics, 2007, 54 (8), 2291 – 2304.

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14. Hills, Timothy S, Taisuke Nakata, and Sebastian Schmidt, “The Risky Steady State and the Interest Rate Lower Bound,” Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-009. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 2016.

15. Holston, Kathryn, Thomas Laubach, and John C. Williams, “Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants,” Journal of International Economics, 2017, 108 (S1), S59–S75.

16. Kiley, Michael T and John M Roberts, “Monetary policy in a low interest-rate world,” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2017.

17. Kiley, Michael T., “What Can the Data Tell Us About the Equilibrium Real Interest Rate?,” Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-077, Federal Reserve Board of Governors, 2015.
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18. Kitsul, Yuriy and Jonathan H. Wright, “The Economics of Options-Implied Inflation Probability Density Functions,” Journal of Financial Economics, 2013, 110 (3), 696 – 711.

19. Kydland, Finn E and Edward C Prescott, “Rules Rather than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans,” The Journal of Political Economy, 1977, pp. 473–491.

20. Laubach, Thomas and John C. Williams, “Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest,” Review of Economics and Statistics, 2003, 85 (4), 1063Ű70.

21. Lubik, Thomas A. and Christian Matthes, “Calculating the Natural Rate of Interest: A Comparison of Two Alternative Approaches,” FRB Richmond Economic Brief 15-10, 2015.
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22. Mendes, Rhys R, “Uncertainty and the Zero Lower Bound: A Theoretical Analysis,” Bank of Canada, 2011.

23. Reifschneider, David L and John C Williams, “Three lessons for monetary policy in a low-inflation era,” Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2000, pp. 936–966.

24. Reifschneider, David L., “Gauging the Ability of the FOMC to Respond to Future Recessions,” Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-068. Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 2016.
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25. Reis, Ricardo, “Funding Quantitative Easing to Target Inflation,” Jackson Hole Symposium, 2016.

26. Swanson, Eric T and John C Williams, “Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Medium- and Longer-Term Interest Rates,” American Economic Review, 2014, pp. 3154–3185.

27. Swanson, Eric T. and John C. Williams, “Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Yields and Exchange Rates in the U.K. and Germany,” Journal of International Economics, 2014, 92 (Supplement 1), S2 – S21. 36th Annual NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics.
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28. Williams, John C, “Heeding Daedalus: Optimal Inflation and the Zero Lower Bound,” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2010, 2010 (2), 1–37.
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29. Williams, John C., “Three Questions on R-star,” Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Economic Letter, 2017.
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30. Woodford, Michael, Interest and Prices: Foundations of a Theory of Monetary Policy, Princeton University Press, 2003.
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1. What to Expect from the Lower Bound on Interest Rates: Evidence from Derivatives Prices. (2020). Williams, John ; Mertens, Thomas.
   In: Working Paper Series.
   RePEc:fip:fedfwp:2018-03.

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2. Why may large economies suffer more at the zero lower bound?. (2016). Brzoza-Brzezina, Michal.
   In: KAE Working Papers.
   RePEc:sgh:kaewps:2016012.

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3. Does Calvo Meet Rotemberg at the Zero Lower Bound?. (2015). Ngo, Phuong ; Miao, Jianjun.
   In: 2015 Meeting Papers.
   RePEc:red:sed015:602.

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4. Dynamic Debt Deleveraging and Optimal Monetary Policy. (2015). Romei, Federica ; Eggertsson, Gauti ; Benigno, Pierpaolo.
   In: 2015 Meeting Papers.
   RePEc:red:sed015:390.

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5. Stabilization policy, rational expectations and price-level versus infl‡ation targeting: a survey. (2014). Minford, A. Patrick ; Hatcher, Michael.
   In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
   RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:9820.

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6. Robust Stability of Monetary Policy Rules under Adaptive Learning. (2012). Gaus, Eric.
   In: Working Papers.
   RePEc:urs:urswps:13-01.

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7. International policy spillovers at the zero lower bound. (2012). Lipinska, Anna ; Haberis, Alex.
   In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
   RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2012-23.

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8. Optimal policy for macro-financial stability. (2012). Young, Eric ; Rebucci, Alessandro ; Otrok, Christopher ; Benigno, Gianluca ; Chen, Huigang.
   In: LSE Research Online Documents on Economics.
   RePEc:ehl:lserod:51519.

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9. Robustly Optimal Monetary Policy in a Microfounded New Keynesian Model. (2012). Woodford, Michael ; Adam, Klaus.
   In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
   RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:8826.

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10. Was the New Deal Contractionary?. (2012). Eggertsson, Gauti.
    In: American Economic Review.
    RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:102:y:2012:i:1:p:524-55.

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11. Quantitative and credit easing policies at the zero lower bound on the nominal interest rate. (2011). Dai, Meixing.
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:28129.

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12. Managing a Liquidity Trap: Monetary and Fiscal Policy. (2011). Werning, Iván.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:17344.

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13. Should Central Banks Raise their Inflation Targets? Some Relevant Issues. (2011). McCallum, Bennett T..
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:17005.

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14. Global Liquidity Trap. (2011). Teranishi, Yuki ; Sudo, Nao ; Nakajima, Tomoyuki ; Fujiwara, Ippei.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:16867.

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15. What Fiscal Policy Is Effective at Zero Interest Rates?. (2011). Eggertsson, Gauti B..
    In: NBER Chapters.
    RePEc:nbr:nberch:12027.

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16. Monetary regime switches and unstable objectives. (2011). Nunes, Ricardo ; Debortoli, Davide.
    In: International Finance Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedgif:1036.

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17. Have we underestimated the likelihood and severity of zero lower bound events?. (2011). Williams, John ; Laforte, Jean-Philippe ; Chung, Hess ; Reifschneider, David.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedfwp:2011-01.

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18. New Keynesian dynamics in a low interest rate environment. (2011). Boneva, Lena ; Braun, R. ; Korber, Lena Mareen .
    In: FRB Atlanta Working Paper.
    RePEc:fip:fedawp:2011-10.

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19. Government debt and optimal monetary and fiscal policy. (2011). Adam, Klaus.
    In: European Economic Review.
    RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:55:y:2011:i:1:p:57-74.

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20. The implications of inflation in an estimated new Keynesian model. (2011). Guerron, Pablo ; Guerron-Quintana, Pablo A..
    In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.
    RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:35:y:2011:i:6:p:947-962.

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21. Inflation versus price-level targeting and the zero lower bound: Stochastic simulations from the Smets-Wouters US model. (2011). Hatcher, Michael.
    In: Cardiff Economics Working Papers.
    RePEc:cdf:wpaper:2011/24.

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22. Comparing inflation and price-level targeting: A comprehensive review of the literature. (2011). Hatcher, Michael.
    In: Cardiff Economics Working Papers.
    RePEc:cdf:wpaper:2011/22.

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23. Trend inflation, endogenous mark-ups and the non-vertical Phillips curve. (2010). Tirelli, Patrizio ; Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni ; acocella, nicola ; Patrizio, Tirelli ; Nicola, Acocella.
    In: wp.comunite.
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24. Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Stabilisation Policies. (2010). Adam, Klaus.
    In: OECD Economics Department Working Papers.
    RePEc:oec:ecoaaa:765-en.

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25. Optimal Monetary Stabilization Policy. (2010). Woodford, Michael.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:16095.

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26. A Time-Invariant Duration Policy under the Zero Lower Bound. (2010). Ueda, Kozo.
    In: IMES Discussion Paper Series.
    RePEc:ime:imedps:10-e-12.

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27. Global Liquidity Trap. (2010). Teranishi, Yuki ; Sudo, Nao ; Nakajima, Tomoyuki ; Fujiwara, Ippei.
    In: IMES Discussion Paper Series.
    RePEc:ime:imedps:10-e-11.

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28. The Fiscal Multiplier and Spillover in a Global Liquidity Trap. (2010). Ueda, Kozo ; Fujiwara, Ippei.
    In: IMES Discussion Paper Series.
    RePEc:ime:imedps:10-e-03.

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29. The Zero Lower Bound and Monetary Policy in a Global Economy: A Simple Analytical Investigation. (2010). Teranishi, Yuki ; Sudo, Nao ; Fujiwara, Ippei.
    In: International Journal of Central Banking.
    RePEc:ijc:ijcjou:y:2010:q:1:a:6.

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30. Global liquidity trap. (2010). Teranishi, Yuki ; Sudo, Nao ; Nakajima, Tomoyuki ; Fujiwara, Ippei.
    In: Globalization Institute Working Papers.
    RePEc:fip:feddgw:56.

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31. The fiscal multiplier and spillover in a global liquidity trap. (2010). Ueda, Kozo ; Fujiwara, Ippei.
    In: Globalization Institute Working Papers.
    RePEc:fip:feddgw:51.

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32. The Effects of Foreign Shocks When Interest Rates Are at Zero. (2010). Guerrieri, Luca ; Erceg, Christopher ; Bodenstein, Martin.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:8006.

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33. Global Liquidity Trap: A Simple Analytical Investigation. (2009). Teranishi, Yuki ; Sudo, Nao ; Fujiwara, Ippei.
    In: IMES Discussion Paper Series.
    RePEc:ime:imedps:09-e-31.

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34. Optimal exchange-rate policy in a low interest rate environment. (2009). Pavasuthipaisit, Robert .
    In: Journal of the Japanese and International Economies.
    RePEc:eee:jjieco:v:23:y:2009:i:3:p:264-282.

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35. Gains from interest-rate smoothing in a small open economy with zero-bound aversion. (2009). Kam, Timothy.
    In: The North American Journal of Economics and Finance.
    RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:20:y:2009:i:1:p:24-45.

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36. Heeding Daedalus: Optimal Inflation and the Zero Lower Bound. (2009). Williams, John.
    In: Brookings Papers on Economic Activity.
    RePEc:bin:bpeajo:v:40:y:2009:i:2009-02:p:1-49.

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37. Monetary Policy Lag, Zero Lower Bound, and Inflation Targeting. (2009). Nishiyama, Shin-Ichi.
    In: Staff Working Papers.
    RePEc:bca:bocawp:09-2.

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38. Monetary Policy Trade-Offs in an Estimated Open-Economy DSGE Model. (2008). Svensson, Lars ; Lindé, Jesper ; Laséen, Stefan ; Adolfson, Malin ; Lasen, Stefan.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
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39. The Zero Interest Rate Policy. (2008). Teranishi, Yuki ; Sugo, Tomohiro.
    In: IMES Discussion Paper Series.
    RePEc:ime:imedps:08-e-20.

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40. Inflation Thresholds and Relative Price Variability: Evidence from U.S. Cities. (2008). Nautz, Dieter ; Bick, Alexander.
    In: International Journal of Central Banking.
    RePEc:ijc:ijcjou:y:2008:q:3:a:3.

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41. Optimal and Simple Monetary Policy Rules with Zero Floor on the Nominal Interest Rate. (2008). Nakov, Anton.
    In: International Journal of Central Banking.
    RePEc:ijc:ijcjou:y:2008:q:2:a:3.

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42. Price-level targeting and risk management in a low-inflation economy. (2008). Billi, Roberto.
    In: Research Working Paper.
    RePEc:fip:fedkrw:rwp08-09.

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43. Liquidity trap and optimal monetary policy in open economies. (2008). Nakajima, Tomoyuki.
    In: Journal of the Japanese and International Economies.
    RePEc:eee:jjieco:v:22:y:2008:i:1:p:1-33.

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44. Central bank reputation in a forward-looking model. (2008). Loisel, Olivier.
    In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.
    RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:32:y:2008:i:11:p:3718-3742.

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45. Monetary Policy Trade-Offs in an Estimated Open-Economy DSGE Model. (2008). Svensson, Lars ; Lindé, Jesper ; Laséen, Stefan ; Adolfson, Malin.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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46. Adopting Price-Level Targeting under Imperfect Credibility: An Update. (2008). Ueberfeldt, Alexander ; Shukayev, Malik ; Kryvtsov, Oleksiy.
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47. The Role of the Real Interest Rate in US Macroeconomic History. (2007). Weber, Ernst.
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48. Downward nominal wage rigidity in Poland. (2007). Brzoza-Brzezina, Michal ; Broza-Brzezina, Micha ; Socha, Jacek.
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49. Fiscal multipliers and policy coordination. (2006). Eggertsson, Gauti.
    In: Staff Reports.
    RePEc:fip:fednsr:241.

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50. Central Bank Reputation in a Forward-Looking Model.. (2005). Loisel, Olivier.
    In: Working papers.
    RePEc:bfr:banfra:127.

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