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2. A Measure of Trend Wage Inflation. (2023). Melcangi, Davide ; Audoly, Richard ; Almuzara, Martin.
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1. Almuzara, Martin and Argia Sbordone, 2022. “Inflation Persistence: How Much Is There and Where Is It Coming From?,” Federal Reserve Bank of New York Liberty Street Economics, April 20, 2022, https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2022/04/inflation-persistence-howmuch -is-there-and-where-is-it-coming-from/.

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3. Atkeson, A., and L. E. Ohanian, 2001. ‘‘Are Phillips Curves Useful for Forecasting Inflation?’’ Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review 25:1 (2001), 2–11.

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12. Kiley, Michael T., 2008. ‘‘Estimating the Common Trend Rate of Inflation for Consumer Prices and Consumer Prices excluding Food and Energy,’’ FEDS working paper 2008-38 (2008).

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1. Beyond Aggregates: A Dual Lens on Eurozone Trend Inflation. (2025). Yakut, Dilan Aydin.
   In: Research Technical Papers.
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2. Improving inflation forecasts using robust measures. (2024). Verbrugge, Randal ; Zaman, Saeed.
   In: International Journal of Forecasting.
   RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:2:p:735-745.

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3. The Role of Wages in Trend Inflation: Back to the 1980s?. (2023). Kiley, Michael.
   In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
   RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2023-22.

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4. Underlying inflation and asymmetric risks. (2023). Pacce, Matías ; Leiva-Leon, Danilo ; LE BIHAN, Hervé.
   In: Working Paper Series.
   RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20232848.

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5. Inflation persistence. (2009). Fuhrer, Jeffrey.
   In: Working Papers.
   RePEc:fip:fedbwp:09-14.

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6. Reconsidering the role of monetary indicators for euro area inflation from a Bayesian perspective using group inclusion probabilities. (2007). Schumacher, Christian ; Scharnagl, Michael.
   In: Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies.
   RePEc:zbw:bubdp1:5573.

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7. Federal Reserve Information During the Great Moderation. (2007). Whelan, Karl ; D'Agostino, Antonello.
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   RePEc:pra:mprapa:6092.

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8. Commentary on \\Model fit and model selection\\. (2007). Ohanian, Lee.
   In: Review.
   RePEc:fip:fedlrv:y:2007:i:jul:p:361-370:n:v.89no.4.

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9. Phillips curve instability and optimal monetary policy. (2007). Davig, Troy.
   In: Research Working Paper.
   RePEc:fip:fedkrw:rwp07-04.

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10. Maintaining low inflation: money, interest rates, and policy stance. (2007). Reynard, Samuel.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:2007756.

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11. Monetary Policy and Inflation Dynamics. (2006). Roberts, John.
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:812.

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12. Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?. (2006). Watson, Mark ; Stock, James.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:12324.

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13. Empirical Phillips Curves in OECD Countries: Has There Been A Common Breakdown?. (2006). Doyle, Matthew.
    In: Staff General Research Papers Archive.
    RePEc:isu:genres:12684.

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14. Monetary Policy and Inflation Dynamics. (2006). Roberts, John.
    In: International Journal of Central Banking.
    RePEc:ijc:ijcjou:y:2006:q:3:a:6.

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15. Forecasting inflation and output: comparing data-rich models with simple rules. (2006). Kliesen, Kevin ; Gavin, William.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedlwp:2006-054.

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16. Inflation: do expectations trump the gap?. (2006). Piger, Jeremy.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedlwp:2006-013.

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17. Combining forecasts from nested models. (2006). McCracken, Michael ; Clark, Todd.
    In: Research Working Paper.
    RePEc:fip:fedkrw:rwp06-02.

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18. Forecasting professional forecasters. (2006). Wright, Jonathan ; Ghysels, Eric.
    In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2006-10.

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19. Real-time model uncertainty in the United States: the Fed from 1996-2003. (2006). Tetlow, Robert ; Ironside, Brian.
    In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2006-08.

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20. Forecasting measures of inflation for the Estonian economy. (2006). Consolo, Agostino.
    In: Bank of Estonia Working Papers.
    RePEc:eea:boewps:wp2006-03.

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21. Comparing alternative predictors based on large-panel factor models. (2006). Giannone, Domenico ; D'Agostino, Antonello.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:2006680.

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22. (Un)Predictability and macroeconomic stability. (2006). Surico, Paolo ; Giannone, Domenico ; D'Agostino, Antonello.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:2006605.

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23. Linking Real Activity and Financial Markets: The Bonds, Equity, and Money (BEAM) Model. (2006). Li, Fuchun ; Gauthier, Celine .
    In: Staff Working Papers.
    RePEc:bca:bocawp:06-42.

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24. (Un)Predictability and Macroeconomic Stability. (2005). Surico, Paolo ; Giannone, Domenico ; D'Agostino, Antonello.
    In: Macroeconomics.
    RePEc:wpa:wuwpma:0510024.

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25. A comprehensive short-run analysis of a (possible) Turkish Phillips curve. (2005). Kutepeli, Yeim.
    In: Applied Economics.
    RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:5:p:581-591.

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26. Where Did the Productivity Growth Go? Inflation Dynamics and the Distribution of Income. (2005). Gordon, Robert ; Dew-Becker, Ian.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:11842.

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27. Do Macro Variables, Asset Markets or Surveys Forecast Inflation Better?. (2005). Wei, Min ; Bekaert, Geert ; Ang, Andrew.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:11538.

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28. Monetary Policy in Real Time. (2005). Sala, Luca ; Reichlin, Lucrezia ; Giannone, Domenico.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:igi:igierp:284.

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29. In search of the natural rate of unemployment. (2005). Morley, James ; King, Thomas.
    In: Supervisory Policy Analysis Working Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedlsp:2005-05.

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30. Has output become more predictable? changes in Greenbook forecast accuracy. (2005). Tulip, Peter.
    In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2005-31.

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31. Model confidence sets for forecasting models. (2005). Nason, James ; Lunde, Asger ; Hansen, Peter.
    In: FRB Atlanta Working Paper.
    RePEc:fip:fedawp:2005-07.

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32. The Phillips curve and long-term unemployment. (2005). Llaudes, Ricardo.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:2005441.

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33. Where did the Productivity Growth Go? Inflation Dynamics and the Distribution of Income. (2005). Gordon, Robert ; Dew-Becker, Ian.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:5419.

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34. Monetary Policy in Real Time. (2005). Sala, Luca ; Reichlin, Lucrezia ; Giannone, Domenico.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:4981.

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35. The Reliability of Inflation Forecasts Based on Output Gap Estimates in Real Time. (2005). van Norden, Simon ; Orphanides, Athanasios.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:4830.

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36. Estimating equilibrium real interest rates in real-time. (2004). Kozicki, Sharon ; Clark, Todd.
    In: Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies.
    RePEc:zbw:bubdp1:2298.

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37. Sequential Information Flow and Real-Time Diagnosis of Swiss Inflation: Intra-Monthly DCF Estimates for a Low-Inflation Environment. (2004). Fischer, Andreas ; Amstad, Marlene.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:szg:worpap:0406.

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38. Predicting the recent behavior of inflation using output gap-based Phillips curves. (2004). Mehra, Yash P..
    In: Economic Quarterly.
    RePEc:fip:fedreq:y:2004:i:sum:p:65-88:n:v.90no.3.

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39. In search of a robust inflation forecast. (2004). Fisher, Jonas ; Brave, Scott.
    In: Economic Perspectives.
    RePEc:fip:fedhep:y:2004:i:qiv:p:12-31:n:v.28no.4.

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40. The reliability of inflation forecasts based on output gap estimates in real time. (2004). van Norden, Simon ; Orphanides, Athanasios.
    In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2004-68.

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41. Inside and Outside Bounds: Threshold Estimates of the Phillips Curve. (2004). Olivei, Giovanni ; Barnes, Michelle.
    In: Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings.
    RePEc:ecm:ausm04:295.

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42. The predictive content of the output gap for inflation : resolving in-sample and out-of-sample evidence. (2003). McCracken, Michael ; Clark, Todd.
    In: Research Working Paper.
    RePEc:fip:fedkrw:rwp03-06.

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43. Women and the Phillips curve: do women’s and men’s labor market outcomes differentially affect real wage growth and inflation?. (2003). Butcher, Kristin ; Barrow, Lisa ; Anderson, Katharine.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedhwp:wp-03-22.

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44. Forecasting U.S. inflation by Bayesian Model Averaging. (2003). Wright, Jonathan.
    In: International Finance Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedgif:780.

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45. Bayesian Model Averaging and exchange rate forecasts. (2003). Wright, Jonathan.
    In: International Finance Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedgif:779.

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46. Inside and outside bounds: threshold estimates of the Phillips curve. (2003). Olivei, Giovanni ; Barnes, Michelle.
    In: New England Economic Review.
    RePEc:fip:fedbne:y:2003:p:3-18.

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47. Forecasting inflation: a comparison of linear Phillips curve models and nonlinear time serie models. (2003). Marrocu, Emanuela ; Ascari, Guido.
    In: Working Paper CRENoS.
    RePEc:cns:cnscwp:200307.

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48. Supply Shocks and Inflation Targeting. (2003). Kanczuk, Fabio.
    In: Anais do XXXI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 31st Brazilian Economics Meeting].
    RePEc:anp:en2003:b01.

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49. Openness And The Output-Inflation Tradeoff: Floating Vs. Fixed Exchange Rates. (2002). Chi-Wa, Yuen.
    In: International Economic Journal.
    RePEc:taf:intecj:v:16:y:2002:i:4:p:1-26.

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50. When can we forecast inflation?. (2002). Zhou, Ruilin ; Liu, Chin ; Fisher, Jonas.
    In: Economic Perspectives.
    RePEc:fip:fedhep:y:2002:i:qi:p:32-44:n:v.26no.1.

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51. Can the Phillips curve help forecast inflation?. (2002). Lansing, Kevin.
    In: FRBSF Economic Letter.
    RePEc:fip:fedfel:y:2002:i:oct4:n:2002-29.

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52. Is there a Phillips Curve in the US and the EU15 Countries? An empirical investigation. (2002). .
    In: DFAEII Working Papers.
    RePEc:ehu:dfaeii:200232.

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53. G-7 Inflation Forecasts. (2002). Canova, Fabio.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:3283.

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54. A Core Inflation Index for the Euro Area. (2001). veronese, giovanni ; Reichlin, Lucrezia ; Forni, Mario ; Cristadoro, Riccardo.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:3097.

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