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19. i Ii, (10) National income consists of labor income, tariff rebates Ri and the trade surplus, which is exogenous Si, i. e. Ii = wiLi + Ri – Si and X j i is country i’s expenditure on sector j goods.- 14 Demand of sectors k in all countries i for intermediate usage of sector j varieties produced in country n is given in the first term on the right hand side. The second term denotes the final demand. Tariff rebates are Ri = J j=1 X j i 1 – N n=1 j ni (1+t j ni) .15 14 Aggregate trade deficits in each country are exogenous in the model, which follows the theoretical framework of Caliendo and Parro (2015). All counterfactuals are calculated by holding the countries’ aggregate trade deficits constant, as a share of world GDP. 15 Instead of the goods market clearing condition, one can also use the expenditure equation X j i = J k=1 γ j,k i (1 – k i )(Fk i Xk i + Sk i ) + ! j
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22. n, while trade cost changes directly affect it (see eq. (13)). Trade shares change as a reaction to changes in trade costs, unit costs, and prices. The productivity dispersion (j indicates the intensity of the reaction. The higher (j, the bigger trade changes. Goods market clearing is ensured in eq. (15). Equation (16) provides the new equilibrium and the counterfactual income-equals-expenditure, thus balanced trade condition. The framework of Caliendo and Parro (2015) is exploited to solve the system for multiple sectors, which is an extension of the single-sector solution algorithm proposed by Alvarez and Lucas (2007). The initial guess is made about a vector of wage changes. Using eqs. (12) and (13), it then computes changes in prices, trade shares, expenditure levels, evaluates the trade balance condition eq. (16), and updates the change in wages based on deviations in the trade balance. Revisiting the Euro 945 A.3 Detailed Gravity Results
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1. German-US Trade Relations before the Election: Implications of a Trump Comeback. (2024). Hillrichs, Dorothee ; Flach, Lisandra ; Baur, Andreas.
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2. Diversification, integration, and opening: developments in modelling for policy. (2023). Udrea, Titus ; Capari, Leo ; Fuchs, Daniela ; Bauer, Anja.
   In: Science and Public Policy.
   RePEc:oup:scippl:v:50:y:2023:i:6:p:977-987..

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3. Instrumental‐variable estimation of exponential‐regression models with two‐way fixed effects with an application to gravity equations. (2022). Jochmans, Koen ; Verardi, Vincenzo.
   In: Journal of Applied Econometrics.
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4. Trade and welfare effects of a potential free trade agreement between Japan and the United States. (2022). Walter, Timo.
   In: Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv).
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5. The impact of the Japan-European Union Economic Partnership Agreement on the trade and income of Japan, the European Union, and South Korea. (2022). Yi, Chae-Deug.
   In: Asia Europe Journal.
   RePEc:kap:asiaeu:v:20:y:2022:i:3:d:10.1007_s10308-022-00646-6.

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6. Instrumental-Variable Estimation Of Exponential Regression Models With Two-Way Fixed Effects With An Application To Gravity Equations. (2022). Jochmans, Koen ; Verardi, Vincenzo.
   In: Post-Print.
   RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03818773.

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7. Transatlantic restart: Proposals for trade cooperation between the EU and the United States. (2021). Stamern, Vincent ; Felbermayr, Gabriel.
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8. Transatlantischer Neustart: Vorschläge zur handelspolitischen Zusammenarbeit zwischen EU und USA. (2021). Stamern, Vincent ; Felbermayr, Gabriel.
   In: Studien.
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9. Die USA sind mit großem Abstand Europas wichtigster Wirtschaftspartner. (2021). Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Braml, Martin.
   In: Kiel Policy Brief.
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10. Perspektiven einer erfolgreichen europäischen Handelspolitik im Kontext geopolitischer Herausforderungen. (2021). Sandkamp, Alexander-Nikolai ; Kamin, Katrin ; Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Kill, Sandra ; Jacobs, Anna-Katharina ; Hinz, Julian ; Chowdhry, Sonali.
    In: Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
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11. Volkswirtschaftlicher Nutzen des Nord-Ostsee-Kanals. (2021). Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Stamern, Vincent ; Schrader, Klaus ; Stehn, Jurgen.
    In: Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik.
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12. Instrumental-Variable Estimation Of Exponential Regression Models With Two-Way Fixed Effects With An Application To Gravity Equations. (2021). Jochmans, Koen ; Verardi, Vincenzo.
    In: TSE Working Papers.
    RePEc:tse:wpaper:126195.

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13. Global Value Chains. (2021). Chor, Davin ; Antras, Pol.
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14. Trade conflicts with side effects: Compensation for innocent bystanders when imposing punitive tariffs. (2020). Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Herrmann, Christoph.
    In: Studien.
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15. Handelskonflikte mit Nebenwirkungen: Zur Entschädigung Unbeteiligter bei der Verhängung von Strafzöllen. (2020). Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Herrmann, Christoph.
    In: Studien.
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16. The economic costs of war by other means. (2020). Mahlkow, Hendrik ; Kamin, Katrin ; Hinz, Julian ; Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Chowdhry, Sonali ; Jacobs, Anna-Katharina.
    In: Kiel Policy Brief.
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17. Greater than the sum of its parts? Does Austria profit from a widening network of EU free trade agreements?. (2020). Reiter, Oliver ; Gruebler, Julia ; Grubler, Julia.
    In: FIW Research Reports series.
    RePEc:wsr:ecbook:2020:i:vii-004.

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18. Greater than the sum of its parts? Does Austria profit from a widening network of EU free trade agreements?. (2020). Reiter, Oliver ; Grubler, Julia.
    In: FIW Research Reports series.
    RePEc:wsr:ecbook:2018:i:vii-004.

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19. Greater than the Sum of its Parts? How does Austria Profit from a Widening Network of EU Free Trade Agreements?. (2020). Reiter, Oliver ; Gruebler, Julia ; Grubler, Julia.
    In: wiiw Working Papers.
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20. Giving Away Wealth? Trade Effects of the Yuan Devaluation. (2020). Braml, Martin ; Steininger, Marina.
    In: CESifo Forum.
    RePEc:ces:ifofor:v:20:y:2020:i:04:p:32-35.

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21. Revisiting the euros trade cost and welfare effects. (2019). Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Steininger, Marina.
    In: Kiel Working Papers.
    RePEc:zbw:ifwkwp:2121.

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22. Airbus-Boeing-Konflikt gefährdet Waffenstillstand mit den USA. (2019). Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Stamer, Vincent.
    In: Kiel Policy Brief.
    RePEc:zbw:ifwkpb:128.

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23. Revisiting the Euro’s Trade Cost and Welfare Effects. (2019). Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Steininger, Marina.
    In: Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    RePEc:zbw:ifwkie:225299.

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24. A survey of the long-term impact of Brexit on the UK and the EU27 economies. (2019). Bisciari, Patrick.
    In: Working Paper Research.
    RePEc:nbb:reswpp:201901-366.

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25. Revisiting the Euro’s Trade Cost and Welfare Effects. (2019). Marina, Steininger.
    In: Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik).
    RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:239:y:2019:i:5-6:p:917-956:n:8.

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26. Revisiting the Euro’s Trade Cost and Welfare Effects. (2019). Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Marina, Steininger ; Gabriel, Felbermayr.
    In: Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik).
    RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:239:y:2019:i:5-6:p:917-956:n:7.

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27. Quantifying the EU-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement. (2019). Okubo, Toshihiro ; Kimura, Fukunari ; Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Steininger, Marina.
    In: Journal of the Japanese and International Economies.
    RePEc:eee:jjieco:v:51:y:2019:i:c:p:110-128.

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28. Heterogeneous Effects of Tariff and Non-tariff Trade-Policy Barriers in Quantitative General Equilibrium. (2019). Erhardt, Katharina ; Egger, Peter.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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29. Trump’s trade attack on China − who will have the last laugh?. (2019). Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Steininger, Marina.
    In: CESifo Forum.
    RePEc:ces:ifofor:v:20:y:2019:i:01:p:27-32.

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30. Trump’s trade attack on China – who laughs last?. (2019). Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Steininger, Marina.
    In: EconPol Policy Brief.
    RePEc:ces:econpb:_13.

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31. Quantifying the EU-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement. (2018). Okubo, Toshihiro ; Kimura, Fukunari ; Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Steininger, Marina.
    In: Keio-IES Discussion Paper Series.
    RePEc:keo:dpaper:2018-015.

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32. Türkiye Avrupa Birliði Ýliþkilerinin Geleceði: Gümrük Birliði’nin Güncellenmesi. (2018). Kuukali, Cem ; Kalayc, Cemalettin.
    In: Isletme ve Iktisat Calismalari Dergisi.
    RePEc:eco:journ4:2018-03-2.

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33. Brexit and its Economic Consequences for the German State of Hesse. (2018). Lehmann, Robert ; Steininger, Marina ; Felbermayr, Gabriel.
    In: ifo Forschungsberichte.
    RePEc:ces:ifofob:93.

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34. Quantifying the EU-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement. (2018). Okubo, Toshihiro ; Kimura, Fukunari ; Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Steininger, Marina.
    In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ces:ceswps:_7241.

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35. How deep is your love? A quantitative spatial analysis of the transatlantic trade partnership. (2018). Krebs, Oliver ; Pflger, Michael.
    In: Review of International Economics.
    RePEc:bla:reviec:v:26:y:2018:i:1:p:171-222.

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36. Effekte der US-Präsidentschaft Trump – Neuer Protektionismus. (2017). Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Steininger, Marina.
    In: FIW Policy Brief series.
    RePEc:wsr:pbrief:y:2017:i:037.

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37. Quantifying Trump: The Costs of a Protectionist US. (2017). Yalcin, Erdal ; Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Steininger, Marina.
    In: CESifo Forum.
    RePEc:ces:ifofor:v:18:y:2017:i:04:p:28-36.

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38. Global Impact of a Protectionist U.S. Trade Policy. (2017). Steininger, Marina ; Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Yalcin, Erdal.
    In: ifo Forschungsberichte.
    RePEc:ces:ifofob:89.

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39. Global Impact of a Protectionist U.S. Trade Policy. (2017). Steininger, Marina ; Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Yalcin, Erdal.
    In: ifo Forschungsberichte.
    RePEc:ces:ifofob:88.

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40. Wie vorteilhaft ist internationaler Handel?: Ein neuer Ansatz zur Vermessung der Gewinne. (2017). Jung, Benjamin ; Wilhelm, Kohler ; Benjamin, Jung.
    In: Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik.
    RePEc:bpj:pewipo:v:18:y:2017:i:1:p:32-55:n:2.

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41. TTIP and Intra-European Trade: Boon or Bane?. (2016). Heiland, Inga ; Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Aichele, Rahel ; Inga, Heiland ; Gabriel, Felbermayr ; Rahel, Aichele .
    In: Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik).
    RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:236:y:2016:i:1:p:639-664:n:5.

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42. TTIP and intra-European trade: boon or bane?. (2016). Heiland, Inga ; Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Aichele, Rahel.
    In: ifo Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ces:ifowps:_220.

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43. Wie gefährlich ist die angekündigte Handelspolitik von Donald Trump?. (2016). Felbermayr, Gabriel ; Steininger, Marina.
    In: ifo Schnelldienst.
    RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:69:y:2016:i:22:p:34-41.

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44. How Deep is Your Love? A Quantitative Spatial Analysis of the Transatlantic Trade Partnership. (2016). Krebs, Oliver ; Pfluger, Michael.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:bav:wpaper:168_krebspflueger.

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