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Strategic bias and professional affiliations of macroeconomic forecasters. (2009). Ashiya, Masahiro.
In: Journal of Forecasting.
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:28:y:2009:i:2:p:120-130.

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Cites: 22

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  1. Uncertainty and macroeconomic forecasts: Evidence from survey data. (2024). Qiu, Yajie ; Liu, Xiaoquan ; Deschamps, Bruno.
    In: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization.
    RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:224:y:2024:i:c:p:463-480.

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  2. Rationality and biases insights from disaggregated firm level inflation expectations data. (2023). Reid, Monique ; Siklos, Pierre.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:rbz:wpaper:11050.

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  3. Strategic bias and popularity effect in the prediction of economic surprises. (2021). Stork, Philip ; Kräussl, Roman ; Kraussl, Roman ; Felix, Luiz.
    In: Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:wly:jforec:v:40:y:2021:i:6:p:1095-1117.

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  4. Crises, market shocks, and herding behavior in stock price forecasts. (2021). Tsuchiya, Yoichi.
    In: Empirical Economics.
    RePEc:spr:empeco:v:61:y:2021:i:2:d:10.1007_s00181-020-01894-4.

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  5. Polish GDP forecast errors: a tale of inefficiency. (2021). Rybacki, Jakub.
    In: Bank i Kredyt.
    RePEc:nbp:nbpbik:v:52:i:2:p:123-142.

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  6. Macroeconomic forecasting in Poland: The role of forecasting competitions. (2020). Rybacki, Jakub.
    In: Central European Economic Journal.
    RePEc:vrs:ceuecj:v:7:y:2020:i:54:p:1-11:n:1.

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  7. Polish GDP Forecast Errors: A Tale of Ineffectiveness. (2020). Rybacki, Jakub.
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:98952.

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  8. Coordinating judgmental forecasting: Coping with intentional biases. (2019). Rook, Laurens ; van Dalen, Jan .
    In: Omega.
    RePEc:eee:jomega:v:87:y:2019:i:c:p:46-56.

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  9. Do Macroforecasters Herd?. (2018). Clements, Michael.
    In: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.
    RePEc:wly:jmoncb:v:50:y:2018:i:2-3:p:265-292.

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  10. Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle. (2017). Jannsen, Nils ; Dovern, Jonas.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:33:y:2017:i:4:p:760-769.

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  11. Wishful Bias in Predicting Us Recessions: Indirect Evidence. (2016). Smirnov, Sergey ; Avdeeva, Daria A.
    In: HSE Working papers.
    RePEc:hig:wpaper:135/ec/2016.

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  12. Assessing macroeconomic forecasts for Japan under an asymmetric loss function. (2016). Tsuchiya, Yoichi.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:32:y:2016:i:2:p:233-242.

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  13. Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle. (2015). Jannsen, Nils ; Dovern, Jonas.
    In: Kiel Working Papers.
    RePEc:zbw:ifwkwp:1989.

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  14. Predicting US Recessions: Does a Wishful Bias Exist?. (2014). Smirnov, Sergey.
    In: HSE Working papers.
    RePEc:hig:wpaper:77/ec/2014.

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  15. Financial markets forecasts revisited: Are they rational, stubborn or jumpy?. (2013). Shigemi, Yosuke ; Nakazono, Yoshiyuki ; Ichiue, Hibiki ; Fujiwara, Ippei.
    In: Economics Letters.
    RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:118:y:2013:i:3:p:526-530.

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  16. Talking to the inattentive Public: How the media translates the Reserve Bank’s communications. (2011). Reid, Monique ; Du Plessis, Stan.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:sza:wpaper:wpapers147.

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  17. Talking to the inattentive public: How the media translates the Reserve Bank€™s communications. (2011). Reid, Monique ; Du Plessis, Stan.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:rza:wpaper:254.

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  18. Strategic forecasting on the FOMC. (2011). Tillmann, Peter.
    In: European Journal of Political Economy.
    RePEc:eee:poleco:v:27:y:2011:i:3:p:547-553.

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  19. Contributions of economists to the housing-price bubble. (2011). Starr, Martha.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:amu:wpaper:2011-03.

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  20. Testing homogeneity of Japanese CPI forecasters. (2010). Ashiya, Masahiro.
    In: Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:jof:jforec:v:29:y:2010:i:5:p:435-441.

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  21. Review of the Australian Economy 2009–10: On the Road to Recovery. (2010). Tsiaplias, Sarantis ; Lim, Guay ; Claus, Edda ; Chua, Chew.
    In: Australian Economic Review.
    RePEc:bla:ausecr:v:43:y:2010:i:1:p:1-11.

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  22. Are 16-month-ahead forecasts useful? A directional analysis of Japanese GDP forecasts. (2006). Ashiya, Masahiro.
    In: Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:jof:jforec:v:25:y:2006:i:3:p:201-207.

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References

References cited by this document

  1. Ashiya M, Doi T. 2001. Herd behavior of Japanese economists. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 46: 343-346. .

  2. Ashiya M. 2003. Testing the rationality of Japanese GDP forecasts: the sign of forecast revision matters. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 50: 263-269. .

  3. Ashiya M. 2005. Twenty-two years of Japanese institutional forecasts. Applied Financial Economics Letters 1: 79-84. .
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  4. Ashiya M. 2006. Testing the rationality of forecast revisions made by the IMF and the OECD. Journal of Forecasting 25: 25-36. .

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  17. Oller LE, Barot B. 2000. Comparing the accuracy of European GDP forecasts. International Journal of Forecasting 16: 293-315. .
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  18. Pons J. 1999. Evaluating the OECD's forecasts for economic growth. Applied Economics 31: 893-902. .

  19. Pons-Novell Jordi. 2003. Strategic bias, herding behavior and economic forecasts. Journal of Forecasting 22: 67-77. .

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  22. White H. 1980. A heteroskedasticity-consistent covariance matrix and a direct test for heteroskedasticity. Econometrica 48: 817-838. .

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