For the first time, researchers at Institute of Industrial Science, The University of Tokyo, quickly and efficiently measure the seafloor down to the centimeter-level using an unmanned aerial vehicle. Credit: Institute of Industrial Science, The University of Tokyo

Megathrust earthquakes are large earthquakes that occur on faults found along the boundaries between tectonic plates. The Nankai Trough is a megathrust earthquake zone lying off the southwestern coast of Japan, and experts estimate that this zone could generate a potentially devastating (magnitude 8 or 9) large earthquake sometime in the next 30 years. In addition to the direct catastrophic impact of such powerful ground shaking, a seismic event of this magnitude could trigger cascading hazards such as destructive tsunamis.

Developing the technologies for efficient and reliable seafloor monitoring is paramount when considering the potential for socioeconomic harm represented by megathrust earthquakes. Traditionally, seafloor measurements have been obtained using transponder stations located on the seafloor that communicate with satellites via buoys or ocean-going vessels to produce accurate positional information. However, using such systems has problems such as low efficiency and speed.

In a study published in Earth and Space Science, researchers at the Institute of Industrial Science, The University of Tokyo, have addressed the challenge of acquiring reliable, high-precision, real-time seafloor measurements by constructing a seaplane-type unmanned (UAV) that can withstand ocean currents and wind. This vehicle is intended for use with the Global Navigation Satellite System–Acoustic (GNSS-A)—a system that uses satellites to determine locations on Earth—to provide a communication link with seafloor transponder stations.

"We conducted initial experiments in a ," explains lead author of the study Yuto Yoshizumi, "and found that the proposed system can detect distances to an accuracy within 2.1 cm."

To further evaluate the system, at-sea trial tests were performed by landing the UAV on the sea surface off the coast of Japan under optimal sea conditions.

"The results were hugely encouraging," says senior author Yusuke Yokota. "These seafloor positioning measurements are the first ever achieved using a UAV, and we attained a horizontal root mean square error of approximately 1–2 cm, which is easily comparable to that of existing vessel-based systems."

The rapid real-time acquisition of seafloor information using the UAV system is expected to provide the foundation for advanced research into earthquake disaster prevention. Such data is urgently needed, given the speed and frequency of occurrences of megathrust earthquakes on the Nankai Trough.

More information: Construction and Demonstration of a Seaplane-type UAV-based High-Precision GNSS-A Seafloor Crustal Deformation Observation System, Earth and Space Science (2025). DOI: 10.1029/2025EA004237

Journal information: Earth and Space Science