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Using formal models in analysis of
       Biological Pathways


            Prof. P.S. Thiagarajan NUS
       Liu Bing and S. Akshay Postdocs NUS
     Sucheendra Palaniappan PhD student NUS
   Subra Biswas and Alexandre Gouaillard BMRC
                Blaise Genest CNRS
       Bruno Karelovic CNRS Master student
Studying Pathway dynamics




       Methods: ODEs , Stochastic approaches, Petri Net…
    2
EGF-NGF Pathway




3
EGF-NGF Pathway as ODEs




    ODE (differential equations) for « Smooth » behaviors
             (enough reactants or enough cells)

4
Akt Signaling Pathway
                                                        Growth
                                                        Factors

    Bcl-2 will factors then
    Phosphorylated will bind
    Akt and PDK will AKT will
     Activated PI3K will
     PI3K will then get then
     Growth then dimerize
    with besurface receptors
    then Bax at to into cellto
    translocate Mitochondrial
     phosphorylate membrane
     recruited to the
     to cell freedthePIP2
    cytoplasm where it is
    membrane,where Akt
    membrane activated
     PIP3 it is preventing
     where                                          P

    phosphorylate Bad
    apoptosis
    phosphorylated                           PI3K                         P
                                                                              PIP2 P
                                                                              P P
                              GTP                                                    P
                           Ras                                                 Akt


               P21 P
                   Activated - Kinase                    Interaction of Phosphatase
                                              PI3K
                 Raf1
                 Raf1                                    and Inhibitors such as LYAkt

                     P
                 P
                  MEK
                  MEK                        PDK1



                              P
                         P
                          ERK                                                            Bax
                           ERK                                               P
                                                                                               Bax
                                                                          Bad
                                    Na+/H+ Exchangers         Bad
                                                              Bad
                                                                 P        Bad

                                                                          Bcl-2
                                                                  Bcl-2


                                                                   Mitochondria
    Growth Factors can also
    activate the MAPK
    pathway at the same time

5
What we want to obtain:




6
What Biologists have and
                  want
Have: Hypothesised diagram of interactions (see previous slide)

                                              Want: Is it correct (enough)?


Have: Some (few, noisy) data for concentration of some species at some
(few,noisy) time point + some (few, noisy) rates of reactions.
                                                    0.6




                                                    0.4
                    Concentration of 1 molecule
                    over time, with 3 data points   0.2




                                                    0.0
                                                          1   8   15 22 29 36 43 50 57 64 71 78 85 92 99




                                              Want: model fitting experiments
What Biologists want
                   Want: if model correct, in silico predictions

Reaction 2 and 5
blocked




                                In silico
                                 model
                                                            computations

                                                             0.6




                                                             0.4




                                                             0.2



Interesting? Do wet lab experiments, with drugs              0.0

blocking reaction 2 and 5 to confirm                               1   8   15 22 29 36 43 50 57 64 71 78 85 92 99
Mass action law


                            V1
         S1 + S2                         2P
                            V2



        dP = k1. [S1] [S2] – k2 [P]2


    Unknown!
    (can be known in vitro with these molecules only,
    but in the cell/in a cell population different)

    + no close form solutions: Simulate ODE by taking small time step

9
Determining Parameter Values
    Experimental measurements
        Expensive
        Not possible to measure all the parameters
        In vitro measurements may not reflect the actual
         physiological conditions in the cell (Minton, 2001)
        Cell population-based measurements are not very
         accurate +Noisy (Kim & Price, 2010)




                  Akt*



    10
Parameter Estimation
    Goal:
        Find values of parameter so that model prediction
         generated by simulations using these values can
         match experimental data



                               krbNGF = 0.33, KmAkt = 0.16, kpRaf1 = 0.42 … …   target

                               krbNGF = 0.49, KmAkt = 0.08, kpRaf1 = 0.97 … …


                               krbNGF = 0.88, KmAkt = 0.21, kpRaf1 = 0.05 … …



                Time



    11
Global Methods
    Evolutionary strategy
    Genetic algorithm
    Simulated annealing
    Particle swarm optimization




    12
Dynamic Bayesian Network (DBN)
               ODE                                    DBN

                                       …….       Et    Et+1         Et+2
     dS
         = −k1.S .E + k 2 .ES                                               …….
     dt                                                             St+2
                                                 St    St+1
     dE
         = −k1.S .E + (k 2 + k3 ).ES
     dt
                                             ESt       ESt+1        ESt+2
     dES
          = k1.S .E − (k 2 + k3 ).ES
      dt
     dP                                …….       Pt    Pt+1         Pt+2
                                                                            …….
         = k3 .ES
     dt                                      t           t+1          t+2

                                                       Liu.et.al [ TCS 2011]


 • Discretize time domain into finite time points
 • Discretize the value domain of each species
                => Probability distribution
13
Validation of the DBN wrt. ODE (Contd)
     2.7                              1.5
                              pJAK2                                  pEpoR
     1.8                               1


     0.9                              0.5


      0                                0
           1   21   41   61     81          1   21    41        61        81




                          actSHP1                                     mSHP1
     12                               3.6


      8                               2.4

      4
                                      1.2

      0
           1   21   41   61     81     0
                                            1    21        41        61        81




14
Semantics of DBN
      E0    E1     E2
                         ………   Et-1    Et




      S0    S1     S2
                         ………   St-1    St
                                                 Exponential
                                                 Complexity
                         ………
      ES0   ES1    ES2         Est-1   ESt




                         ………
      P0    P1     P2          Pt-1    Pt




15                                           Joint at time t-1
Pathway Decomposition


   Decomposition: Akt/MAPK Pathway

                                                       Decompositional approach

                                                       Treat components one by one in
                                                        order to feed the computation to next
                                                        steps.

                                                       But: seldom all theoretically valid
                                                        fragments are small enough

                                                       => resort to approximation to find
                                                                      not so bad
                                                             experimental decomposition
                                                                    (Bruno’s work)
HFPN model of the Akt / MAPK pathway (Koh et al 2006)
     16
Pathway Decomposition


                        Decomposition

                              Approximate probability distributions
                              in 2 different ways.
                               Best: 2sd way is “more exact”
                                     (that we have).

                              Assume the similar approx
                              distributions to be the exact ones
                              If none, 2 “better” approximations.

                              Delete the similar approx and
                              decompose again (less constraints)…
   17
Conclusion

•   Formal models can be helpful in bioinformatics:

         Compact representation
         Structurally decompose pathway in pieces.
         Error Analysis …

High dimension: we need approximations, be pragmatic
       => be optimistic! Believe the fastest will work.
              (ODE vs Gillpesie, FF vs HFF vs exact etc)
       => then validation to be sure we don’t do nonsense.
       => if we do nonsense, then work more.
Problem: Size = 5^32 states
 ⇒ Resort to approximated computation and representation.
        Ususally: Factored Frontier (FF): all species independant.
        New: Hybrid FF, between FF and exact
Biological Applications


                 TLR4 signalling pathway with new components.

               Important pathway for the Human immune system

                      Involved in Sepsis (complex disease,
               characterized by whole-body inflammatory response)




                               Collaboration with
                           A*STAR/SiGN (Biopolis)
                            (Groups of Subra Biswas
                          and of Alexandre Gouaillard)
Future?
Medical image not always sufficient to detect accurately pathology




                   Multimode analysis (tissular, molecular)


   Image not always conclusive                     Molecular information
                                                   not always sufficient
   ⇒ Add molecular information                     => may need number of cells
                                                   with some form, multi modal analysis
Near Future?
In between: population of cells




  Experimental data = image analysis

  Modeling: local forces (cellular automata)
            + biochemical reactions (apopthosis = death of cells)
            + cell division


                With P.S. Thiagarajan (NUS) and Gregory Batt (INRIA Rocquencourt)
Akt-MAPK Pathway as a Petri Net
                                                                                                         Serum




                                                                                             R
                                                                                                                 1
                                                                                                                              Ract
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 For discrete behaviors
                                              DPI
                                                          46
                                                                         NOX5
                                                                                                          Rint                                                                                                   (few molecules in a cell,
                                                                ROS
                                                                                              3

                                                                                                                      LY294002
                                                                                                                              2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 need to count them 1 by 1)
                                                          47


Ras         15         Rasa             Pak         48      Pakp                            PI3K          4                    PI3Ka



            16                                      49                                                    5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Leads to stochastic behaviors
                 17       18                                                                                          PIP2            6               PIP3                  AKTcyto

                                                                                            PTEN                                      7                                                                          (each cell can evolve in 2
      Raf                                    Rafp

                  19           20                                                          PDK1cyto     50
                                                                                                                                                 8                               9
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 different ways at random)
                 21              22           24               25                                        51           PDK1
                                                                                            PDK2
                                                                                                                                           PIP3.AKT
                                                                                                                                      10
  MEK                          MEKp                      MEKpp
                                                                                                                             PIP3.AKTp
                        23                           26                                                       12                                           11



                                                                                                                                      13

                         27                          29                                            PIP3.AKTpp                                                          14

      ERK                      ERKp                       ERKpp
                                                                                            PP2A
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Ex: pathogene
                         28                          30


                                                                                                                     34      35                  37             38                                                 evading host response)
                                                                                              Badp112                                                                  Badp136        Bax   40         Baxcyto
                                      MKP3
                                                                                                                                           Bad

                                                                    31      32
                                                                                                                      36                              39                                    41

                                                                                                                                                                                            Bcl2.Bax
                                                                                                                                             42                             44
                                                    P90RSK                33     P90RSKp              Bcl2.Bad
                                                                                                                                     43                                               45
                                                                                                                                                                Bcl2




23

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Using Formal Models For Analysis Of Biological Pathways

  • 1. Using formal models in analysis of Biological Pathways Prof. P.S. Thiagarajan NUS Liu Bing and S. Akshay Postdocs NUS Sucheendra Palaniappan PhD student NUS Subra Biswas and Alexandre Gouaillard BMRC Blaise Genest CNRS Bruno Karelovic CNRS Master student
  • 2. Studying Pathway dynamics  Methods: ODEs , Stochastic approaches, Petri Net… 2
  • 4. EGF-NGF Pathway as ODEs ODE (differential equations) for « Smooth » behaviors (enough reactants or enough cells) 4
  • 5. Akt Signaling Pathway Growth Factors Bcl-2 will factors then Phosphorylated will bind Akt and PDK will AKT will Activated PI3K will PI3K will then get then Growth then dimerize with besurface receptors then Bax at to into cellto translocate Mitochondrial phosphorylate membrane recruited to the to cell freedthePIP2 cytoplasm where it is membrane,where Akt membrane activated PIP3 it is preventing where P phosphorylate Bad apoptosis phosphorylated PI3K P PIP2 P P P GTP P Ras Akt P21 P Activated - Kinase Interaction of Phosphatase PI3K Raf1 Raf1 and Inhibitors such as LYAkt P P MEK MEK PDK1 P P ERK Bax ERK P Bax Bad Na+/H+ Exchangers Bad Bad P Bad Bcl-2 Bcl-2 Mitochondria Growth Factors can also activate the MAPK pathway at the same time 5
  • 6. What we want to obtain: 6
  • 7. What Biologists have and want Have: Hypothesised diagram of interactions (see previous slide) Want: Is it correct (enough)? Have: Some (few, noisy) data for concentration of some species at some (few,noisy) time point + some (few, noisy) rates of reactions. 0.6 0.4 Concentration of 1 molecule over time, with 3 data points 0.2 0.0 1 8 15 22 29 36 43 50 57 64 71 78 85 92 99 Want: model fitting experiments
  • 8. What Biologists want Want: if model correct, in silico predictions Reaction 2 and 5 blocked In silico model computations 0.6 0.4 0.2 Interesting? Do wet lab experiments, with drugs 0.0 blocking reaction 2 and 5 to confirm 1 8 15 22 29 36 43 50 57 64 71 78 85 92 99
  • 9. Mass action law V1 S1 + S2 2P V2 dP = k1. [S1] [S2] – k2 [P]2 Unknown! (can be known in vitro with these molecules only, but in the cell/in a cell population different) + no close form solutions: Simulate ODE by taking small time step 9
  • 10. Determining Parameter Values  Experimental measurements  Expensive  Not possible to measure all the parameters  In vitro measurements may not reflect the actual physiological conditions in the cell (Minton, 2001)  Cell population-based measurements are not very accurate +Noisy (Kim & Price, 2010) Akt* 10
  • 11. Parameter Estimation  Goal:  Find values of parameter so that model prediction generated by simulations using these values can match experimental data krbNGF = 0.33, KmAkt = 0.16, kpRaf1 = 0.42 … … target krbNGF = 0.49, KmAkt = 0.08, kpRaf1 = 0.97 … … krbNGF = 0.88, KmAkt = 0.21, kpRaf1 = 0.05 … … Time 11
  • 12. Global Methods  Evolutionary strategy  Genetic algorithm  Simulated annealing  Particle swarm optimization 12
  • 13. Dynamic Bayesian Network (DBN) ODE DBN ……. Et Et+1 Et+2 dS = −k1.S .E + k 2 .ES ……. dt St+2 St St+1 dE = −k1.S .E + (k 2 + k3 ).ES dt ESt ESt+1 ESt+2 dES = k1.S .E − (k 2 + k3 ).ES dt dP ……. Pt Pt+1 Pt+2 ……. = k3 .ES dt t t+1 t+2 Liu.et.al [ TCS 2011] • Discretize time domain into finite time points • Discretize the value domain of each species => Probability distribution 13
  • 14. Validation of the DBN wrt. ODE (Contd) 2.7 1.5 pJAK2 pEpoR 1.8 1 0.9 0.5 0 0 1 21 41 61 81 1 21 41 61 81 actSHP1 mSHP1 12 3.6 8 2.4 4 1.2 0 1 21 41 61 81 0 1 21 41 61 81 14
  • 15. Semantics of DBN E0 E1 E2 ……… Et-1 Et S0 S1 S2 ……… St-1 St Exponential Complexity ……… ES0 ES1 ES2 Est-1 ESt ……… P0 P1 P2 Pt-1 Pt 15 Joint at time t-1
  • 16. Pathway Decomposition Decomposition: Akt/MAPK Pathway  Decompositional approach  Treat components one by one in order to feed the computation to next steps.  But: seldom all theoretically valid fragments are small enough  => resort to approximation to find not so bad experimental decomposition (Bruno’s work) HFPN model of the Akt / MAPK pathway (Koh et al 2006) 16
  • 17. Pathway Decomposition Decomposition Approximate probability distributions in 2 different ways. Best: 2sd way is “more exact” (that we have). Assume the similar approx distributions to be the exact ones If none, 2 “better” approximations. Delete the similar approx and decompose again (less constraints)… 17
  • 18. Conclusion • Formal models can be helpful in bioinformatics: Compact representation Structurally decompose pathway in pieces. Error Analysis … High dimension: we need approximations, be pragmatic => be optimistic! Believe the fastest will work. (ODE vs Gillpesie, FF vs HFF vs exact etc) => then validation to be sure we don’t do nonsense. => if we do nonsense, then work more.
  • 19. Problem: Size = 5^32 states ⇒ Resort to approximated computation and representation. Ususally: Factored Frontier (FF): all species independant. New: Hybrid FF, between FF and exact
  • 20. Biological Applications TLR4 signalling pathway with new components. Important pathway for the Human immune system Involved in Sepsis (complex disease, characterized by whole-body inflammatory response) Collaboration with A*STAR/SiGN (Biopolis) (Groups of Subra Biswas and of Alexandre Gouaillard)
  • 21. Future? Medical image not always sufficient to detect accurately pathology Multimode analysis (tissular, molecular) Image not always conclusive Molecular information not always sufficient ⇒ Add molecular information => may need number of cells with some form, multi modal analysis
  • 22. Near Future? In between: population of cells Experimental data = image analysis Modeling: local forces (cellular automata) + biochemical reactions (apopthosis = death of cells) + cell division With P.S. Thiagarajan (NUS) and Gregory Batt (INRIA Rocquencourt)
  • 23. Akt-MAPK Pathway as a Petri Net Serum R 1 Ract For discrete behaviors DPI 46 NOX5 Rint (few molecules in a cell, ROS 3 LY294002 2 need to count them 1 by 1) 47 Ras 15 Rasa Pak 48 Pakp PI3K 4 PI3Ka 16 49 5 Leads to stochastic behaviors 17 18 PIP2 6 PIP3 AKTcyto PTEN 7 (each cell can evolve in 2 Raf Rafp 19 20 PDK1cyto 50 8 9 different ways at random) 21 22 24 25 51 PDK1 PDK2 PIP3.AKT 10 MEK MEKp MEKpp PIP3.AKTp 23 26 12 11 13 27 29 PIP3.AKTpp 14 ERK ERKp ERKpp PP2A Ex: pathogene 28 30 34 35 37 38 evading host response) Badp112 Badp136 Bax 40 Baxcyto MKP3 Bad 31 32 36 39 41 Bcl2.Bax 42 44 P90RSK 33 P90RSKp Bcl2.Bad 43 45 Bcl2 23