Ch 3

Copyright © 2012 Pearson Prentice Hall.
All rights reserved.
CHAPTER 3
What Do Interest
Rates Mean and
What Is Their Role
in Valuation?

© 2012 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 3-1
Chapter Preview
▪ Interest rates are among the most
closely watched variables in the
economy. It is imperative that you
understand exactly what is meant by the
phrase interest rates.
▪ The concept known as yield to maturity
(YTM) is the most accurate measure of
interest rates.

Chapter Preview
▪ Any description of interest rates entails
an understanding certain vernacular and
definitions, most of which will not only
pertain directly to interest rates but will
also be vital to understanding many
other foundational concepts presented
later in the text.

Chapter Preview
▪ We examine the terminology and calculation of
various rates
▪ Topics include:
─ Measuring Interest Rates
─ The Distinction Between Real and Nominal
Interest Rates
─ The Distinction Between Interest Rates and Returns

Present Value Introduction
▪ Different debt instruments have very different streams
of cash payments to the holder known as cash flows
(CF).
▪ All else being equal, debt instruments are evaluated
against one another based on the amount of each
cash flow and the timing of each cash flow.
▪ This evaluation, where the analysis of the amount and
timing of a debt instrument’s cash flows lead to its
yield to maturity or interest rate, is called present value
analysis.

Present Value
▪ Present discounted value is based on the
commonsense notion that a dollar of cash flow paid to
you one year from now is worth less than a dollar paid
to you today.
▪ Why?
Because you could invest the dollar in a savings
account that earns interest and have more than a
dollar in one year.
▪ The term present value (PV) can be extended to mean
the PV of a single cash flow or the sum of a sequence
or group of cash flows.

Present Value Concept:
Simple Loan Terms
▪ Loan Principal: the amount of funds the lender
provides to the borrower.
▪ Maturity Date: the date the loan must be repaid; the
Loan Term is from initiation to maturity date.
▪ Interest Payment: the cash amount that the borrower
must pay the lender for the use of the loan principal.
▪ Simple Interest Rate: the interest payment divided by
the loan principal; the percentage of principal that
must be paid as interest to the lender. Convention is to
express on an annual basis, irrespective of the loan
term.

Present Value Applications
There are four basic types of credit
instruments which incorporate present
value concepts:
1. Simple Loan
2. Fixed Payment Loan
3. Coupon Bond
4. Discount Bond

Present Value Concept: Simple
Loan
▪ What is the PV of $1 received one year from
now?
Ch 3 Example XLS

Present Value Concept:
Simple Loan (cont.)
▪ The previous example reinforces the
concept that $100 today is preferable to
$100 a year from now since today’s
$100 could be lent out (or deposited) at
10% interest to be worth $110 one year
from now, or $121 in two years or $133
in
three years.

Present Value of Cash Flows:
Example

Yield to Maturity: Loans
▪ Yield to maturity = interest rate that equates
today's value (today’s price) with present value of
all future payments
1. Simple Loan Interest Rate (i = 10%)
http://www.moneychimp.com/calculator/popup/calculator.htm

Yield to Maturity: Loans
2. Fixed Payment Loan (i = 12%)

Yield to Maturity: Bonds
3. Coupon Bond (Coupon rate = 10% = C/
F)
Consol: Fixed coupon payments of $C
forever
http://www.moneychimp.com/calculator/popup/
calculator.htm

Relationship Between Price
and Yield to Maturity
▪ Three interesting facts in Table 3.1
1. When bond is at par, yield equals coupon rate
2. Price and yield are negatively related
3. Yield greater than coupon rate when bond price is below par
value

Relationship Between Price
and Yield to Maturity
▪ It’s also straight-forward to show that the
value of a bond (price) and yield to
maturity (YTM) are negatively related. If i
increases, the PV of any given cash flow
is lower; hence, the price of the bond
must be lower.

Yield to Maturity: Bonds
4. One-Year Discount Bond
(P = $900, F = $1000)

Current Yield
▪ Current yield (CY) is just an approximation for
YTM—easier to calculate. However, we should
be aware of its properties:
1. If a bond’s price is near par and has a long maturity,
then CY is a good approximation.
2. A change in the current yield always signals
change in same direction as yield to maturity

Yield on a Discount Basis
▪ One-Year Bill (P = $900, F = $1000)
▪ Two Characteristics
1. Understates yield to maturity; longer the maturity,
greater is understatement
2. Change in discount yield always signals change
in same direction as yield to maturity

Bond Page of the Newspaper

Global perspective
▪ In November 1998, rates on Japanese
6-month government bonds were negative!
Investors were willing to pay more than they
would receive in the future.
▪ Why?
negative tbills?

Quiz
▪ Define the real rate of interest.
▪ Have U.S. short term real interest rates
ever been negative? Why?
▪ Have you ever earned a negative real
return on any of your liquid assets?

Distinction Between Real
and Nominal Interest Rates
▪ Real interest rate
1. Interest rate that is adjusted for expected
changes in the price level
ir = i – πe
2. Real interest rate more accurately reflects
true cost of borrowing
3. When the real rate is low, there are greater
incentives to borrow and less to lend

Distinction Between Real
and Nominal Interest Rates (cont.)
▪ If i = 5% and πe
= 0% then
▪ If i = 10% and πe
= 20% then

U.S. Real and Nominal
Interest Rates
Sample of current rates and indexes
http://www.martincapital.com/charts.htm

Distinction Between Interest Rates
and Returns
▪ Rate of Return: we can decompose returns
into two pieces:
where = current yield, and
= capital gains.

Key Facts about the Relationship
Between Rates and Returns
Sample of current coupon rates and yields on government bonds
http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/iyc.html

Maturity and the Volatility
of Bond Returns
▪ Key findings from Table 3.2
1. Only bond whose return = yield is one with
maturity = holding period
2. For bonds with maturity > holding period,
i P implying capital loss
3. Longer is maturity, greater is price change
associated with interest rate change

Maturity and the Volatility
of Bond Returns (cont.)
▪ Key findings from Table 3.2 (continued)
4. Longer is maturity, more return changes
with change in interest rate
5. Bond with high initial interest rate can still
have negative return if i

Reinvestment Risk
▪ Occurs if hold series of short bonds over
long holding period
▪ i at which reinvest uncertain
▪ Gain from i ↑, lose when i ↓

QUIZ
According to Table 3.2, a 10% coupon bond with 10 years
to maturity, will suffer a 40.3% capital loss if interest rates
rise from 10% to 20%.
Suppose you purchase a 10 year Zero coupon bond with a
10% YTM. In other words, you can buy a $1000 face value
bond at a discount so that it provides a 10% YTM.
What would your capital loss be on the Zero-coupon bond
if interest rates (YTM) rise to 20% next year? Why is the
capital loss different than the loss on the 10% coupon
bond? HINT: Just use a PV calculation for $1,000
received 10 years from now and change the discount rate
and # years.
http://www.investopedia.com/
calculator/

Formula for Duration
▪ Key facts about duration
1. All else equal, when the maturity of a bond
lengthens, the duration rises as well
2. All else equal, when interest rates rise, the
duration of a coupon bond fall

Calculating Duration i =10%,
10-Year 10% Coupon Bond

Calculating Duration i = 20%,
10-Year 10% Coupon Bond

Formula for Duration
1. The higher is the coupon rate on the bond,
the shorter is the duration of the bond
2. Duration is additive: the duration of a
portfolio of securities is the weighted-
average of the durations of the individual
securities, with the weights equaling the
proportion of the portfolio invested in each

Duration and Interest-Rate Risk
▪ i ↑ 10% to 11%:
─ Table 3.4, −10% coupon bond

Duration and
Interest-Rate Risk (cont.)
▪ i ↑ 10% to 11%:
─ 20% coupon bond, DUR = 5.72 years

Duration and
Interest-Rate Risk (cont.)
▪ The greater is the duration of a security,
the greater is the percentage change in
the market value of the security for a
given change in interest rates
▪ Therefore, the greater is the duration of
a security, the greater is its interest-rate
risk

Chapter Summary
▪ Measuring Interest Rates: We examined
several techniques for measuring the
interest rate required on debt
instruments.
▪ The Distinction Between Real and
Nominal Interest Rates: We examined
the meaning of interest in the context of
price inflation.

Chapter Summary (cont.)
▪ The Distinction Between Interest Rates
and Returns: We examined what each
means and how they should be viewed
for asset valuation.

Ch 3

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