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SIMMETHOD
BUSINESS RISK INDEX
How To Measure And Predict The
Business Risk Of Your Strategy And
Execution?
4/12/2015 1
www.simmethod.blogspot.com
SIMMETHOD
How To Measure And Predict The Risk Of Your
Strategy & Execution?
In the words of Lou D'Ambrosio, former Sears
CEO and president:
• "Our first quarter was adversely impacted by
unfavorable weather, economic pressures
facing our customers and comparisons to last
year's government-sponsored stimulus
program related to the purchase of
appliances”.
4/12/2015
www.simmethod.blogspot.com
2
SIMMETHOD
How To Measure And Predict The Risk Of Your
Strategy & Execution?
• However, we also fell short on executing
with excellence. We can not control the
weather or economy or government
spending. But we can control how we
execute and leverage the potent set of
assets we have."
4/12/2015
www.simmethod.blogspot.com
3
SIMMETHOD
C-Level Leading Indicators
In spite of billions of dollars
spent on predictive analytics
and business intelligence
Why do companies fail to
perform or continue to miss
their targets?
3/20/2015
www.simmethod.blogspot.com
4
SIMMETHOD
Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive
Index And C-Level Risk Alerts
Unlike product or process analytics or
industry specific ratios, the SIMMETHOD
algorithms:
Review business data and stockholders
valuation-decisions across business
sectors and
Build industry-agnostic holistic
indices in order to:
4/12/2015 5www.simmethod.blogspot.com
SIMMETHOD
Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive
Index And Risk Alerts
Identify, measure, correlate and
Predict your strengths, weaknesses, risks and
opportunities versus your competitors from
inside or outside your industry and
Receive C-level risk alerts linked to a
competitive intelligence database
4/12/2015 6
www.simmethod.blogspot.com
The SIMMETHOD Algorithms
SIMMETHOD
Strategy &
Execution
Performance
Predictive Index
Stockholders
valuation and
management’s
rating
C-level strategy
& execution
Business model
Management’s
ability to
strategize &
execute against
competitors
Competitors
strategy &
execution
4/12/2015 7www.simmethod.blogspot.com
SIMMETHOD Algorithms: Measuring And Predicting
The Risk Of Your Strategy & Execution
SIMMETHOD
Risk Index
Sales
Profit
Cash Debt
Overheads
HR
4/12/2015 8
www.simmethod.blogspot.com
SIMMETHOD Risk Index
(The higher the score the less risk)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
SIMMETHOD Strategy & Execution Risk Index
4/12/2015 9
www.simmethod.blogspot.com
SIMMETHOD Best-In-Class risk
management enterprises
SIMMETHOD Risk Index
(The higher the score the less risk)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
SIMMETHOD Strategy & Execution Risk Index (2nd quartile)
4/12/2015 10
www.simmethod.blogspot.com
SIMMETHOD Risk Index
(The higher the score the less risk)
-4.5
-4
-3.5
-3
-2.5
-2
-1.5
-1
-0.5
0
SIMMETHOD Risk Index (3rd quartile)
4/12/2015 11
www.simmethod.blogspot.com
Twitter’s
SIMMETHOD
Risk Index
SIMMETHOD Risk Index
(The higher the score the less risk)
-12
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
SIMMETHOD Risk Index (4th quartile)
4/12/2015 12
www.simmethod.blogspot.com
The SIMMETHOD strategy
& execution high risk
enterprises
SIMMETHOD
Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
SIMMETHOD
Management
Controllable
Resources Index
SIMMETHOD
Strategy &
Execution
Performance
Predictive Index
4/12/2015 13www.simmethod.blogspot.com
SIMMETHOD
Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
SIMMETHOD
Management
Controllable
Resources Index
SIMMETHOD
Strategy &
Execution
Performance
Predictive Index
4/12/2015 14www.simmethod.blogspot.com
SIMMETHOD
Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
SIMMETHOD
Management
Controllable Resources
Index
SIMMETHOD Strategy
& Execution
Performance Predictive
Index
4/12/2015 15www.simmethod.blogspot.com
The Strategy & Execution Performance
Predictive Index is a new context, holistic and
industry agnostic index able to provide a C-
level view of your risk and performance
SIMMETHOD
Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
AT&T
Atos
ThomasCook
Adecco
GrupoTelevisa
FidelityNational…
ComputerSciences
Sodexco
Verizoncomm
AmericanExpress
TimeWarnerCable
CompalElecronics
HP
Expedia
Capgemini
Comcast
Libertyinteractive
Telefonica
VeriskAnalytics
Cablevision
Centurylink
Innolux
SIMMETHOD Management
Controllable Resources Index
SIMMETHOD Strategy &
Execution Performance
Predictive Index
4/12/2015 16www.simmethod.blogspot.com
SIMMETHOD
Link Between The Risk Index And Your
Future Performance
-50.00
-40.00
-30.00
-20.00
-10.00
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
Top 25% Top 50% Bottom 50% Bottom 25%
SIMMETHOD avg
Strategy & Execution
Performance
Predictive Index
Margin
SIMMETHOD Risk
Index
4/12/2015 17
www.simmethod.blogspot.com
SIMMETHOD
Link Between The Risk Index And Your
Future Performance
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
Top 25% Top 50% Bottom 50% Bottom 25%
Enterprise value
created by $1 of
overheads
SIMMETHOD Risk
Index
4/12/2015 18
www.simmethod.blogspot.com
SIMMETHOD
Link Between The Risk Index And Your
Future Performance
-50.00
-40.00
-30.00
-20.00
-10.00
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
Top 25% Top 50% Bottom 50% Bottom 25%
SIMMETHOD avg
Strategy & Execution
Performance
Predictive Index
Enterprise value
created by $1 of cash
SIMMETHOD Risk
Index
4/12/2015 19
www.simmethod.blogspot.com
SIMMETHOD
Correlation between the Risk Index And The Strategy
& Execution Performance Predictive Index
4/12/2015
www.simmethod.blogspot.com
20
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
SIMMETHOD Risk
Index
SIMMETHOD
Strategy &
Execution
Performance
Predictive Index
SIMMETHOD
Correlation between the Risk Index And The
Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index
4/12/2015
www.simmethod.blogspot.com
21
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
SIMMETHOD
Risk Index
SIMMETHOD
Strategy &
Execution
Performance
Predictive Index
SIMMETHOD
Correlation between the Risk Index And The
Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
SIMMETHOD
Risk Index
SIMMETHOD
Strategy &
Execution
Performance
Predictive Index
4/12/2015 22
www.simmethod.blogspot.com
SIMMETHOD
Correlation between the Risk Index And The Strategy
& Execution Performance Predictive Index
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
SIMMETHOD
Risk Index
SIMMETHOD
Strategy &
Execution
Performance
Predictive Index
4/12/2015 23
www.simmethod.blogspot.com
SIMMETHOD
Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive
Index And Risk Alerts
SIMMETHOD’s Strategy
& Execution
Performance Predictive
Indices and Risk Profiles
are not deterministic.
Businesses that act
on their
SIMMETHOD
leading indicators
and risk alerts will
improve their
performance.
4/12/2015 www.simmethod.blogspot.com 24
SIMMETHOD’s Disclaimer
• The purpose of the SIMMETHOD Strategy &
Execution Performance Predictive Index and
risk and opportunities alerts is not to make a
business right or wrong but rather contribute
towards the understanding of management
actions in comparison to industry’s peers and
the SIMMETHOD Best In Class.
4/12/2015 www.simmethod.blogspot.com 25
SIMMETHOD’s Disclaimer
• SIMMETHOD’s Global Strategy & Execution
Performance Predictive Index and risk and
opportunities alerts do not seek to be exact
but rather serve as a conduit to ask better
questions and seek better answers in the
performance improvement, risk minimization
and value creation journey.
4/12/2015 www.simmethod.blogspot.com 26
SIMMETHOD’s Disclaimer
• Sometimes, the value of a metric in itself
does not provide the greatest of insights, but
valuable actionable knowledge is gained
from its ability to provide a trend or a
common comparison yardstick with other
businesses across a range of
industries.
4/12/2015 www.simmethod.blogspot.com 27
SIMMETHOD’s Disclaimer
• This Presentation is for informational
purpose only and SIMMETHOD shall not be
liable for the contents of the Presentation or
for any damage incurred or alleged to be
incurred to any of the businesses included in
the Presentation as a result of its content.
4/12/2015 www.simmethod.blogspot.com 28
Jorge Oscar Tabacman
jtabacman@gmail.com
Twitter ID: SIMMETHOD
SIMMETHOD
A new way to measure and predict
the risk and performance of your
business and alert you of new threats
and opportunities
4/12/2015 29www.simmethod.blogspot.com

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Simmethod risk index

  • 1. SIMMETHOD BUSINESS RISK INDEX How To Measure And Predict The Business Risk Of Your Strategy And Execution? 4/12/2015 1 www.simmethod.blogspot.com
  • 2. SIMMETHOD How To Measure And Predict The Risk Of Your Strategy & Execution? In the words of Lou D'Ambrosio, former Sears CEO and president: • "Our first quarter was adversely impacted by unfavorable weather, economic pressures facing our customers and comparisons to last year's government-sponsored stimulus program related to the purchase of appliances”. 4/12/2015 www.simmethod.blogspot.com 2
  • 3. SIMMETHOD How To Measure And Predict The Risk Of Your Strategy & Execution? • However, we also fell short on executing with excellence. We can not control the weather or economy or government spending. But we can control how we execute and leverage the potent set of assets we have." 4/12/2015 www.simmethod.blogspot.com 3
  • 4. SIMMETHOD C-Level Leading Indicators In spite of billions of dollars spent on predictive analytics and business intelligence Why do companies fail to perform or continue to miss their targets? 3/20/2015 www.simmethod.blogspot.com 4
  • 5. SIMMETHOD Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index And C-Level Risk Alerts Unlike product or process analytics or industry specific ratios, the SIMMETHOD algorithms: Review business data and stockholders valuation-decisions across business sectors and Build industry-agnostic holistic indices in order to: 4/12/2015 5www.simmethod.blogspot.com
  • 6. SIMMETHOD Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index And Risk Alerts Identify, measure, correlate and Predict your strengths, weaknesses, risks and opportunities versus your competitors from inside or outside your industry and Receive C-level risk alerts linked to a competitive intelligence database 4/12/2015 6 www.simmethod.blogspot.com
  • 7. The SIMMETHOD Algorithms SIMMETHOD Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index Stockholders valuation and management’s rating C-level strategy & execution Business model Management’s ability to strategize & execute against competitors Competitors strategy & execution 4/12/2015 7www.simmethod.blogspot.com
  • 8. SIMMETHOD Algorithms: Measuring And Predicting The Risk Of Your Strategy & Execution SIMMETHOD Risk Index Sales Profit Cash Debt Overheads HR 4/12/2015 8 www.simmethod.blogspot.com
  • 9. SIMMETHOD Risk Index (The higher the score the less risk) 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 SIMMETHOD Strategy & Execution Risk Index 4/12/2015 9 www.simmethod.blogspot.com SIMMETHOD Best-In-Class risk management enterprises
  • 10. SIMMETHOD Risk Index (The higher the score the less risk) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 SIMMETHOD Strategy & Execution Risk Index (2nd quartile) 4/12/2015 10 www.simmethod.blogspot.com
  • 11. SIMMETHOD Risk Index (The higher the score the less risk) -4.5 -4 -3.5 -3 -2.5 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 SIMMETHOD Risk Index (3rd quartile) 4/12/2015 11 www.simmethod.blogspot.com Twitter’s SIMMETHOD Risk Index
  • 12. SIMMETHOD Risk Index (The higher the score the less risk) -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 SIMMETHOD Risk Index (4th quartile) 4/12/2015 12 www.simmethod.blogspot.com The SIMMETHOD strategy & execution high risk enterprises
  • 13. SIMMETHOD Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 SIMMETHOD Management Controllable Resources Index SIMMETHOD Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index 4/12/2015 13www.simmethod.blogspot.com
  • 14. SIMMETHOD Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 SIMMETHOD Management Controllable Resources Index SIMMETHOD Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index 4/12/2015 14www.simmethod.blogspot.com
  • 15. SIMMETHOD Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 SIMMETHOD Management Controllable Resources Index SIMMETHOD Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index 4/12/2015 15www.simmethod.blogspot.com The Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index is a new context, holistic and industry agnostic index able to provide a C- level view of your risk and performance
  • 16. SIMMETHOD Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 AT&T Atos ThomasCook Adecco GrupoTelevisa FidelityNational… ComputerSciences Sodexco Verizoncomm AmericanExpress TimeWarnerCable CompalElecronics HP Expedia Capgemini Comcast Libertyinteractive Telefonica VeriskAnalytics Cablevision Centurylink Innolux SIMMETHOD Management Controllable Resources Index SIMMETHOD Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index 4/12/2015 16www.simmethod.blogspot.com
  • 17. SIMMETHOD Link Between The Risk Index And Your Future Performance -50.00 -40.00 -30.00 -20.00 -10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 Top 25% Top 50% Bottom 50% Bottom 25% SIMMETHOD avg Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index Margin SIMMETHOD Risk Index 4/12/2015 17 www.simmethod.blogspot.com
  • 18. SIMMETHOD Link Between The Risk Index And Your Future Performance -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 Top 25% Top 50% Bottom 50% Bottom 25% Enterprise value created by $1 of overheads SIMMETHOD Risk Index 4/12/2015 18 www.simmethod.blogspot.com
  • 19. SIMMETHOD Link Between The Risk Index And Your Future Performance -50.00 -40.00 -30.00 -20.00 -10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 Top 25% Top 50% Bottom 50% Bottom 25% SIMMETHOD avg Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index Enterprise value created by $1 of cash SIMMETHOD Risk Index 4/12/2015 19 www.simmethod.blogspot.com
  • 20. SIMMETHOD Correlation between the Risk Index And The Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index 4/12/2015 www.simmethod.blogspot.com 20 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 SIMMETHOD Risk Index SIMMETHOD Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index
  • 21. SIMMETHOD Correlation between the Risk Index And The Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index 4/12/2015 www.simmethod.blogspot.com 21 -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 SIMMETHOD Risk Index SIMMETHOD Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index
  • 22. SIMMETHOD Correlation between the Risk Index And The Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 SIMMETHOD Risk Index SIMMETHOD Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index 4/12/2015 22 www.simmethod.blogspot.com
  • 23. SIMMETHOD Correlation between the Risk Index And The Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 SIMMETHOD Risk Index SIMMETHOD Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index 4/12/2015 23 www.simmethod.blogspot.com
  • 24. SIMMETHOD Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index And Risk Alerts SIMMETHOD’s Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Indices and Risk Profiles are not deterministic. Businesses that act on their SIMMETHOD leading indicators and risk alerts will improve their performance. 4/12/2015 www.simmethod.blogspot.com 24
  • 25. SIMMETHOD’s Disclaimer • The purpose of the SIMMETHOD Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index and risk and opportunities alerts is not to make a business right or wrong but rather contribute towards the understanding of management actions in comparison to industry’s peers and the SIMMETHOD Best In Class. 4/12/2015 www.simmethod.blogspot.com 25
  • 26. SIMMETHOD’s Disclaimer • SIMMETHOD’s Global Strategy & Execution Performance Predictive Index and risk and opportunities alerts do not seek to be exact but rather serve as a conduit to ask better questions and seek better answers in the performance improvement, risk minimization and value creation journey. 4/12/2015 www.simmethod.blogspot.com 26
  • 27. SIMMETHOD’s Disclaimer • Sometimes, the value of a metric in itself does not provide the greatest of insights, but valuable actionable knowledge is gained from its ability to provide a trend or a common comparison yardstick with other businesses across a range of industries. 4/12/2015 www.simmethod.blogspot.com 27
  • 28. SIMMETHOD’s Disclaimer • This Presentation is for informational purpose only and SIMMETHOD shall not be liable for the contents of the Presentation or for any damage incurred or alleged to be incurred to any of the businesses included in the Presentation as a result of its content. 4/12/2015 www.simmethod.blogspot.com 28
  • 29. Jorge Oscar Tabacman jtabacman@gmail.com Twitter ID: SIMMETHOD SIMMETHOD A new way to measure and predict the risk and performance of your business and alert you of new threats and opportunities 4/12/2015 29www.simmethod.blogspot.com