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CAD and 
the Fifth IT Wave 
How the augmentation technologies of 
Cloud, Analytics, Mobile, and Social 
are transforming engineering and design 
Randall S. Newton 
Consilia Vektor 
October 2014 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Then and Now 
1992: The Internet sees censorship as damage, 
and routes around it. 
2014: The Internet sees the physical world and 
human relationships as data, and incorporates 
it. 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Five IT Waves 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Five IT Waves 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Five IT Waves 
MAINFRAME 
Centralized 
1960-1976 
100K units 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Five IT Waves 
MAINFRAME 
Centralized 
1960-1976 
100K units 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Five IT Waves 
MAINFRAME 
Centralized 
1960-1976 
100K units 
MINICOMPUTER 
Departmental 
1976-1992 
10M units 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Five IT Waves 
MAINFRAME 
Centralized 
1960-1976 
100K units 
MINICOMPUTER 
Departmental 
1976-1992 
10M units 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Five IT Waves 
MAINFRAME 
Centralized 
1960-1976 
100K units 
MINICOMPUTER 
Departmental 
1976-1992 
10M units 
PERSONAL COMPUTER 
LAN/WAN connected 
1992-2001 
100M units 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Five IT Waves 
MAINFRAME 
Centralized 
1960-1976 
100K units 
MINICOMPUTER 
Departmental 
1976-1992 
10M units 
PERSONAL COMPUTER 
LAN/WAN connected 
1992-2001 
100M units 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Five IT Waves 
MAINFRAME 
Centralized 
1960-1976 
100K units 
MINICOMPUTER 
Departmental 
1976-1992 
10M units 
PERSONAL COMPUTER 
LAN/WAN connected 
1992-2001 
100M units 
PERSONAL COMPUTER 
Internet Protocol 
2002-2012 
1B units 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Five IT Waves 
MAINFRAME 
Centralized 
1960-1976 
100K units 
MINICOMPUTER 
Departmental 
1976-1992 
10M units 
PERSONAL COMPUTER 
LAN/WAN connected 
1992-2001 
100M units 
PERSONAL COMPUTER 
Internet Protocol 
2002-2012 
1B units 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Five IT Waves 
MAINFRAME 
Centralized 
1960-1976 
100K units 
MINICOMPUTER 
Departmental 
1976-1992 
10M units 
PERSONAL COMPUTER 
LAN/WAN connected 
1992-2001 
100M units 
PERSONAL COMPUTER 
Internet Protocol 
2002-2012 
1B units 
AUGMENTATION 
PCs + CAMS 
2012 - ? 
100B units? 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Four Pillars of 
Augmentation 
C 
LOUD 
ANALYTICS 
MOBILE 
SOCIAL 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Augmentation 
On Demand 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Augmentation 
On Demand 
CLOUD: On-demand computation and storage 
ANALYTICS: On-demand insight 
MOBILE: On-demand access 
SOCIAL: On-demand collaboration 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Augmentation 
On Demand 
CLOUD: On-demand computation and storage 
ANALYTICS: On-demand insight 
MOBILE: On-demand access 
SOCIAL: On-demand collaboration 
More collaborative 
More connected 
Real-time 
Productive 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Augmentation 
On Demand 
CLOUD: On-demand computation and storage 
ANALYTICS: On-demand insight 
MOBILE: On-demand access 
SOCIAL: On-demand collaboration 
The Goal 
More collaborative 
More connected 
Real-time 
Productive 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
How Mobile CAD Fits 
in the Fifth Wave 
Extends digital workflow to new participants 
Keeps the process digital (more efficient) 
Access to data not limited by location 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
New Technologies Will 
Extend Mobile 
Ad hoc networks 
like FireChat 
Near Field 
Communications 
Internet of Things 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Turning Information 
into Actionable Data 
WHO: Social 
WHAT: Analytics 
WHEN: Cloud 
WHERE: Mobile 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Untethered Engineering 
Untethered Engineering is 
the ability to do any 
design task, from any 
screen, in any location, 
at any time, with 
resources on demand, 
as part of a collaborative 
team. 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Open Engineering 
The use of augmentation technologies such as cloud, analytics, social, 
and mobile to accelerate design, manufacturing, and construction 
processes. Ideas and production are no longer kept exclusively in-house, 
knowledge is shared, connections extended, and optimum 
solutions bloom from collaborative efforts involving talented sources 
across nations. 
Web-based design communities 
New web-based tools for analysis, simulation, and rendering 
Shared knowledge 
Crowdsourcing 
Real-time interaction for the entire team 
Visualization as an upfront technology, not as a one-off 
Customers are collaborators, clients as partners 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
The Goal 
Integrate the digital into every step 
of the design/engineer/build/deploy 
construction or manufacturing process. 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Using Social Networks 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Thank You for Your Time 
Randall 
Keeper of the car keys 
Randall Newton (randall@consiliavektor.com) 
Principal Analyst, Consilia Vektor (www.consiliavektor.com) 
Twitter: @RSNatWork 
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/randallnewton 
Director, Ukrainian 
Relations 
His Kenya village 
needs fresh 
water; you can 
help: 
www.gofundme.com/ 
791ecw 
Treasurer 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
About Consilia Vektor 
Consilia Vektor is a research and consulting service for the technical 
software industry and related disciplines. Founder and Principal 
Analyst Randall S. Newton has more than 25 years of experience in 
computer-aided design technology as a programmer, marketing 
consultant, author, journalist, and business analyst. 
From our base in the American Pacific Northwest we roam the world 
virtually and physically to track and describe the trends 
shaping the Digital Epoch. 
Consilia Vektor 
+1.509.720.8833 
PO Box 1647 
Tonasket, WA 98855 USA 
www.consiliavektor.com 
randall@consiliavektor.com 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014
Extra notes 
to accompany printed version 
Design and engineering status quo is rooted in desktop processes, central storage, hierarchical 
workflows and data access. 
Existing changes have done little to reinvent design processes. It is a case of paper on glass: 
processes originally done at a desk on paper are now done at a desk on a computer. 
Cloud offers virtualization, which re-allocates computer resources so that many servers run one 
task, or one server runs many tasks in parallel. The result is delivery of custom computing 
experiences on-demand. The expense of owning and operating a high-performance computing 
environment can become an occasional rental. Computation and storage become utilities, 
available for use on demand. 
In the new on-demand (CAMS) computing era, analytics means data moves from being in a vault 
to being a river. Data is mobile and fluid, increasing its utility. 
Mobile technology challenges the notion of hierarchical workflow based on serial tasks and local 
computation and storage. 
Social technology turns informal information into usable data. Conversations become a strategic 
asset. 
The centralization of human and computer resources is a vestigial artifact of a bygone era. 
Untethered design transforms a closed process into an open one. The benefits include rapid 
iteration, access to talent, lower development costs, increased quality, and greater insight into 
processes. 
Wednesday, October 8, 2014

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Untethered Engineering and the Fifth IT Wave

  • 1. CAD and the Fifth IT Wave How the augmentation technologies of Cloud, Analytics, Mobile, and Social are transforming engineering and design Randall S. Newton Consilia Vektor October 2014 Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 2. Then and Now 1992: The Internet sees censorship as damage, and routes around it. 2014: The Internet sees the physical world and human relationships as data, and incorporates it. Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 3. Five IT Waves Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 4. Five IT Waves Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 5. Five IT Waves MAINFRAME Centralized 1960-1976 100K units Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 6. Five IT Waves MAINFRAME Centralized 1960-1976 100K units Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 7. Five IT Waves MAINFRAME Centralized 1960-1976 100K units MINICOMPUTER Departmental 1976-1992 10M units Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 8. Five IT Waves MAINFRAME Centralized 1960-1976 100K units MINICOMPUTER Departmental 1976-1992 10M units Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 9. Five IT Waves MAINFRAME Centralized 1960-1976 100K units MINICOMPUTER Departmental 1976-1992 10M units PERSONAL COMPUTER LAN/WAN connected 1992-2001 100M units Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 10. Five IT Waves MAINFRAME Centralized 1960-1976 100K units MINICOMPUTER Departmental 1976-1992 10M units PERSONAL COMPUTER LAN/WAN connected 1992-2001 100M units Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 11. Five IT Waves MAINFRAME Centralized 1960-1976 100K units MINICOMPUTER Departmental 1976-1992 10M units PERSONAL COMPUTER LAN/WAN connected 1992-2001 100M units PERSONAL COMPUTER Internet Protocol 2002-2012 1B units Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 12. Five IT Waves MAINFRAME Centralized 1960-1976 100K units MINICOMPUTER Departmental 1976-1992 10M units PERSONAL COMPUTER LAN/WAN connected 1992-2001 100M units PERSONAL COMPUTER Internet Protocol 2002-2012 1B units Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 13. Five IT Waves MAINFRAME Centralized 1960-1976 100K units MINICOMPUTER Departmental 1976-1992 10M units PERSONAL COMPUTER LAN/WAN connected 1992-2001 100M units PERSONAL COMPUTER Internet Protocol 2002-2012 1B units AUGMENTATION PCs + CAMS 2012 - ? 100B units? Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 14. Four Pillars of Augmentation C LOUD ANALYTICS MOBILE SOCIAL Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 15. Augmentation On Demand Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 16. Augmentation On Demand CLOUD: On-demand computation and storage ANALYTICS: On-demand insight MOBILE: On-demand access SOCIAL: On-demand collaboration Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 17. Augmentation On Demand CLOUD: On-demand computation and storage ANALYTICS: On-demand insight MOBILE: On-demand access SOCIAL: On-demand collaboration More collaborative More connected Real-time Productive Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 18. Augmentation On Demand CLOUD: On-demand computation and storage ANALYTICS: On-demand insight MOBILE: On-demand access SOCIAL: On-demand collaboration The Goal More collaborative More connected Real-time Productive Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 19. How Mobile CAD Fits in the Fifth Wave Extends digital workflow to new participants Keeps the process digital (more efficient) Access to data not limited by location Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 20. New Technologies Will Extend Mobile Ad hoc networks like FireChat Near Field Communications Internet of Things Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 21. Turning Information into Actionable Data WHO: Social WHAT: Analytics WHEN: Cloud WHERE: Mobile Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 22. Untethered Engineering Untethered Engineering is the ability to do any design task, from any screen, in any location, at any time, with resources on demand, as part of a collaborative team. Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 23. Open Engineering The use of augmentation technologies such as cloud, analytics, social, and mobile to accelerate design, manufacturing, and construction processes. Ideas and production are no longer kept exclusively in-house, knowledge is shared, connections extended, and optimum solutions bloom from collaborative efforts involving talented sources across nations. Web-based design communities New web-based tools for analysis, simulation, and rendering Shared knowledge Crowdsourcing Real-time interaction for the entire team Visualization as an upfront technology, not as a one-off Customers are collaborators, clients as partners Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 24. The Goal Integrate the digital into every step of the design/engineer/build/deploy construction or manufacturing process. Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 25. Using Social Networks Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 26. Thank You for Your Time Randall Keeper of the car keys Randall Newton (randall@consiliavektor.com) Principal Analyst, Consilia Vektor (www.consiliavektor.com) Twitter: @RSNatWork LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/randallnewton Director, Ukrainian Relations His Kenya village needs fresh water; you can help: www.gofundme.com/ 791ecw Treasurer Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 27. About Consilia Vektor Consilia Vektor is a research and consulting service for the technical software industry and related disciplines. Founder and Principal Analyst Randall S. Newton has more than 25 years of experience in computer-aided design technology as a programmer, marketing consultant, author, journalist, and business analyst. From our base in the American Pacific Northwest we roam the world virtually and physically to track and describe the trends shaping the Digital Epoch. Consilia Vektor +1.509.720.8833 PO Box 1647 Tonasket, WA 98855 USA www.consiliavektor.com randall@consiliavektor.com Wednesday, October 8, 2014
  • 28. Extra notes to accompany printed version Design and engineering status quo is rooted in desktop processes, central storage, hierarchical workflows and data access. Existing changes have done little to reinvent design processes. It is a case of paper on glass: processes originally done at a desk on paper are now done at a desk on a computer. Cloud offers virtualization, which re-allocates computer resources so that many servers run one task, or one server runs many tasks in parallel. The result is delivery of custom computing experiences on-demand. The expense of owning and operating a high-performance computing environment can become an occasional rental. Computation and storage become utilities, available for use on demand. In the new on-demand (CAMS) computing era, analytics means data moves from being in a vault to being a river. Data is mobile and fluid, increasing its utility. Mobile technology challenges the notion of hierarchical workflow based on serial tasks and local computation and storage. Social technology turns informal information into usable data. Conversations become a strategic asset. The centralization of human and computer resources is a vestigial artifact of a bygone era. Untethered design transforms a closed process into an open one. The benefits include rapid iteration, access to talent, lower development costs, increased quality, and greater insight into processes. Wednesday, October 8, 2014