2009 unicef open everything nyc

Editor's Notes

• #2: This briefing is at www.oss.net/Peace. I have a fast 20 minutes overview for you, and then I will be available for a couple of hours to interact with anyone who in a round table discussion. If you prefer to have a plenary Q&A, you can choose to do that as well for a second 20 minutes and then break up.
• #3: This slide, created by Medard Gabel, co-creator with Buckminster Fuller of the World Game, has been rigorously documented. E. O. Wilson and Lester Brown both offer similar forecasts of what it would cost to save the Earth and its existing species including the human species. We do not lack for money. We lack for public intelligence that can assure public policy integrity.
• #4: The USA has the most to gain from realizing the true cost of our military in relation to all that we give up in social development and infrastructure.
• #5: There are over 30,000 pages from 750 world-class experts at www.oss.net, but for this group I want to highlight the availability, with Notes, of my keytone on the Open Everything topic, to Gnomedex 2008.
• #6: This is my area of interest. Each of you has received a copy of my book on THE NEW CRAFT OF INTELLIGENCE. I especially recommend Chapter 15, the new rules for the new craft of intelligence. You will also find a version of the NATO Open Source Intelligence Handbook that I wrote in the appendices along with other useful guides to doing citizen intelligence.
• #7: You can field my short piece on “Paradigms of Failure” online, and my most recent briefings at www.oss.net/Peace. The bottom line is that governments and corporations and other organizations have failed to adapt, failed to retain their integrity, and failed to scale—that’s three strikes and out.
• #8: These are actual depictions of the US political scene. As you might imagine, international relations and UN operations are even worse. Public intelligence—shared information and multicultural sense-making that is not secret—is how we break down these barriers to effectiveness. As this conference theme suggests: OPEN EVERYTHING.
• #9: The feedback loops between citizens providing the revenue, legislators allocating the revenue, bureaucrats obligating the revenue, and corporations spending the revenue, have all been broken and what little information passes between and among the groups is partial, biases, often false, and not at all accessible to most people. CLOSED LOOPS PROTECTED BY SECRECY AND LIES are a root cause of massive unnecessary entropy.
• #10: In modern thinking, a most valuable contribution has been made by the United Nations High-Level Panel on Threats and Challenges. Every one of these threats has real-life real-time implications implications for each of you, and these threats are not now being addressed responsibly by any government or by the United Nations.
• #11: Very briefly, you can look these names up on your own, I want to recognize both the multicultural nature of the High-Level Panel, and the caliber of its participants.
• #12: This is one of my favorite slides. The cover of the book corresponding to each of these pathologies is shown. As a side note, adding Forgotten Knowledge, there has been a recent public discussion of how we can no longer manufacture the Trident missile. They lost critical files for a critical component. We can talk about examples afterwards.
• #13: I borrowed this illustration from my friend Steve Arnold, author of two books on Google and a top analytic mind with respect to information technology. I added the red to show how Google’s patented Programmable Search Engine enable search subsidization so as to show you, the searcher, what someone else has paid for you to “find.” Great engineering but my colleagues Larry, Sergei, and Eric are not well-versed in the social sciences and so they tend to overlook the need for unbiased integrity in search results.
• #14: Here are three quick looks at “true costs” as “missing information” that could—if easily available to the public—redirect entire markets.
• #15: The future is here now, and it is OPEN EVERYTHING, about bottom-up multi-cultural decisions that are based primarily on shared open sources of information, not secrets, and that focus specifically on achieving sustainable long-term agreement. Open Source Software combined with Open Source Intelligence changes the rules of the game in favor of the general public.
• #16: This is the heart of my book, THE NEW CRAFT OF INTELLIGENCE: Personal, Public, & Political. It is available free online, at www.oss.net for those not receiving a copy today. I encourage you to read chapter 15, “New Rules for the New Craft of Intelligence.”
• #17: This is my newest analytic model, created after I was inspired by the UN High-Level Panel on Threats and Challenges. I studied the past 20 years or so of US Presidential transitions, and arrived at 12 core policy areas that appear to be consistently recongized. I then thought about what countries are certain to define the future on the basis of demography alone. PAUSE Each of you should consider using this model and also demanding of your represenatives in government that they use this model.
• #18: It’s all connected. Why are we using water we don’t have to flush oil we don’t need or grow grain we cannot eat to fuel cars that should be running on natural gas or not running at all? We must be able to do both policy spending and engineering implementations that are holistic and that take into account all costs and benefits.
• #19: It is now possible, and especially so if key countries such as China, India, and Malaysia (and in my own mind, Iran and Turkey as well as Venezuela), agree to create a global online Range of Needs Table at the item or household level. Using cell phones to enter “peace targets,” and using call centers as needed to manage the national, regional, and global “tables,” it is now possible to both harmonize organizational giving, and to provide a means for the one billion rich to give to the five billion poor at a $1 to $100 level.
• #20: This is a crude illustration of the power of voluntary collaborative action using only the Internet as a service of common value to all. I am totally blown away by the brilliance of the UNICEF Rapid SMS innovation project—it is clearly righteous, affordable, scalable, and universally applicable to all manner of public information sharing and sense-making needs.
• #21: This slide depicts how harmonization can be achieved for a specific location, for instance, East Timor (Timore –Leste). Up to this point all organizations have been selfish and ignorant. That can end now. Not only can we share the burden of information collection and processing and multi-disciplinary sense-making, but we can PROFIT from doing so. Trust lowers the cost of doing business. Sharing information is a perfect means for achieving trust.
• #22: Here again, a crude depiction of how intelligent information sharing and sense-making can lower the costs and increase the profits for all, while also avoiding the costs that come with illegal timber harvesting, lower-level insurgencies that arise out of a strong feeling of being cheated by international companies, and so on.
• #23: A handful of us—roughly six dedicated senior professionals, have fought the US secret intellience community since 1988 to get this little box, the Open Source Agency, into the very small government brain. Although shown here as co-equal to the CIA and part of the US Intelligence Community, I believe we will succeed in making it a sister agency to the Broadcasting Board of Governors, operating under diplomatic auspices.
• #24: The ideas for what the OSA should do are my own. The fact of the need for an OSA is now documented, and USD(I) did a full staff study under Dr. Stephen Cambone, offering the U.S. Special Operations Command $2B a year. They turned it down, the Administration has changed, now we have to start over. However, all of this has been briefed to the highest level civil servants of the Office of Management and Budget, and they agree it is needed, starting at $125 million a year, going toward $2 billion a year. I need the help of Ambassadors to the UN in getting this on the UN agenda and in front of Ambassador Susan Rice.
• #25: Here are needed UN Headquarters elements: Office of the Assistant Secretary General for Decision-Support (in DSS, or DPKO) Principal Deputy for UN System (PDASG/DS) Deputy for Peacekeeping Support (DASG/PKI) Deputy for Global Range of Needs Table (DASG/GRN) Office of Information-Sharing Treaties & Agreements EarthGame™ as new international decision-support standard, F/OSS, GPS data attributes
• #26: If the UN Member States agree, we can easily create and OPEN Multinational Decision Support Centre. 90+ Nations, mid-career intelligence analysts replace logisticians Deals only with unclassified information but in all languages and mediums Copy of everything goes to US “high-side” as payment, but originals remains UN property Could be located anywhere from Groton to NYC to Quantico to Tampa or Miami.
• #27: The ultimate means for our joining together to create a prosperous world at peace is what I call the Earth Rescue Circle. Here is how it looks both up close as a patch. My intent, as all this gets organized, is to enable anyone who wishes to join the Earth Rescue Circle, both to call in Peace Targets and to help move items from point of donation to point of installation. The UNICEF Rapid SMS innovation is clearly a vital part of the solution. I commend to your attention the annual STRONG ANGEL exercise, and the TOOZL toolkit that it offers free on a flashdrive.
• #28: The essence of my vision is that the five billion poor do not have time to go to schools, but they are intelligent and they can speak and read a language, so we should give them free cell phones and connect them to free knowledge. Not only can they be educated one cell call at a time, and consequently create infinite stabilizing wealth, but they become a global early warning network for disease, crime, envrionmental degradation, and so on. I look to the major demographic powers to realize that this is the only way they will elevate their poor with the added advantage of creating stabilizing wealth.
• #29: After listening to the opening presentations this morning I realized I needed to add some software slides, so here in rapid succession are four slides you can study at your leisure later. This first slide is something I created in the mid-1990’s. Unlike Nova Spivak’s similar slide, I emphasize Human Intelligence and treat IT as an enabler, not a substitute for thinking.
• #30: Most of the world is till in Quadrant I, while many of you are in Quadrant II. I have lived in Quadrant III since 1992, and we all need to get to Quadrant IV.
• #31: These eighteen functionalities were identified by CIA’s Office of Scientific and Weapons Research (OSWR) in 1985, and CIA still does not have, today, an integrated analytic desktop toolkit. All of these functions are needed, but only if they are both integrated and also F/OSS in nature.
• #32: This is a list of the 20 proprietary softwares—there may be a couple that are now open source—being used by the U.S. Special Operations Command’s Open Source Intelligence Branch, J-23. All of these softwares need to either become F/OSS, or be displaced by F/OSS equivalents.
• #33: This is the bottom line and my next to last slide. Today intelligence has absolutely nothing to do with major decisions about how the U.S. taxpayer dollar is spent. Intelligence is not relevant because we have not learned how to do OSINT and make a compelling public case for “trade-offs.” This is what $100M can buy—a warship or large ground unit with tanks and artillery—or 1000 diplomats—or 10,000 Peace Corps volunteers—or a water desalination plant—or one day of war over water. The same contrasts exist with respect to terrorism, poverty, disease, and dictatorships.
• #34: There you have it. Open Everything, but especially Open Source Intelligence and Open Source Software and Open Money. One Planet, One God, One We. I will be here until around 3 this afternoon, and will gladly participate in a round-table discussion. You can find this briefing at www.oss.net/Peace Thank you.