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What is the End Game?
“When a man does not know what harbour he is making
for, no wind is the right wind.”
Lucius Annaeus Seneca AD 53
What is the End Game?
Introduction
3
Managing pension risk
1. Transfer to members
Change benefit format, e.g.
ETVs, Early Retirement
2. Hold risk on balance
sheet
Matching assets (e.g. LDI,
buy-in, longevity swaps)
3. Transfer to external
entity
Buyout
What is the End Game?
A game of many parts
Companies are reacting
What is the End Game?
Tightening regulation and credit crisis
Headline deals
What is the End Game?
What you read in the press
Headline deals
What is the End Game?
The year of the longevity swap
Headline deals
What is the End Game?
A new generation of Buy-in insurers
Market Share 2008
2009
• Paternoster remains out of the
market citing current regulatory
and financial uncertainties
• Longevity swaps took off with
almost £3bn of transaction
completed
• AIG wrote its largest buyout yet of
£29m in March 2009 despite
highly published difficulties by the
US parent
What is the End Game?
The movers and shakers
Source: LCP
9
Source: Hymans Robertson
Buy-out and Buy in deals No of Deals completed
2009
Value of deals completed
(£M)
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3
Aegon 4 4 3 52 44 38
Alico (formerly AIG) 1 2 3 11 12 8
Aviva 12 11 7 68 23 58
Legal and General 25 16 26 485 219 43
Lucida - - 1 - - 500
MetLife 1 2 3 44 234 120
Paternoster - - - - - -
Pension Insurance Corporation 1 2 3 230 72 191
Prudential - - - - - -
Rothesay Life - - - - - -
Total 44 37 46 890 604 958
What is the End Game?
Market volumes
Source: Hymans Robertson
Contacts
Disclaimer
Disclaimer For professional investors only. Not suitable for private customers.
The information herein was obtained from various sources. We do not guarantee every aspect of its accuracy. The information is for your private information and is for discussion purposes only. A variety of
market factors and assumptions may affect this analysis, and this analysis does not reflect all possible loss scenarios. There is no certainty that the parameters and assumptions used in this analysis can be
duplicated with actual trades. Any historical exchange rates, interest rates or other reference rates or prices which appear above are not necessarily indicative of future exchange rates, interest rates, or other
reference rates or prices. Neither the information, recommendations or opinions expressed herein constitutes an offer to buy or sell any securities, futures, options, or investment products on your behalf.
Unless otherwise stated, any pricing information in this message is indicative only, is subject to change and is not an offer to transact. Where relevant, the price quoted is exclusive of tax and delivery costs.
Any reference to the terms of executed transactions should be treated as preliminary and subject to further due diligence .
Please note, the accurate calculation of the liability profile used as the basis for implementing any capital markets transactions is the sole responsibility of the Trustees' actuarial advisors. Redington Ltd will
estimate the liabilities if required but will not be held responsible for any loss or damage howsoever sustained as a result of inaccuracies in that estimation. Additionally, the client recognizes that Redington
Ltd does not owe any party a duty of care in this respect.
Redington Ltd are investment consultants regulated by the Financial Services Authority. We do not advise on all implications of the transactions described herein. This information is for discussion purposes
and prior to undertaking any trade, you should also discuss with your professional tax, accounting and / or other relevant advisers how such particular trade(s) affect you. All analysis (whether in respect of
tax, accounting, law or of any other nature), should be treated as illustrative only and not relied upon as accurate.
Redington Limited (reg no 6660006) is a company authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority and registered in England and Wales. Registered office: 13-15 Mallow Street London EC1Y 8RD
Direct Line: +44 (0) 20 7250 3416
Telephone: +44 (0) 20 7250 3331
Redington
13-15 Mallow Street
London EC1Y 8RD
Robert Gardner
Founder &Co-CEO
robert.gardner@redington.co.uk
www.redington.co.uk
THE DESTINATION FOR ASSET & LIABILITY MANAGEMENT
Contacts
10

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What is the End Game?

  • 2. “When a man does not know what harbour he is making for, no wind is the right wind.” Lucius Annaeus Seneca AD 53 What is the End Game? Introduction
  • 3. 3 Managing pension risk 1. Transfer to members Change benefit format, e.g. ETVs, Early Retirement 2. Hold risk on balance sheet Matching assets (e.g. LDI, buy-in, longevity swaps) 3. Transfer to external entity Buyout What is the End Game? A game of many parts
  • 4. Companies are reacting What is the End Game? Tightening regulation and credit crisis
  • 5. Headline deals What is the End Game? What you read in the press
  • 6. Headline deals What is the End Game? The year of the longevity swap
  • 7. Headline deals What is the End Game? A new generation of Buy-in insurers
  • 8. Market Share 2008 2009 • Paternoster remains out of the market citing current regulatory and financial uncertainties • Longevity swaps took off with almost £3bn of transaction completed • AIG wrote its largest buyout yet of £29m in March 2009 despite highly published difficulties by the US parent What is the End Game? The movers and shakers Source: LCP
  • 9. 9 Source: Hymans Robertson Buy-out and Buy in deals No of Deals completed 2009 Value of deals completed (£M) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Aegon 4 4 3 52 44 38 Alico (formerly AIG) 1 2 3 11 12 8 Aviva 12 11 7 68 23 58 Legal and General 25 16 26 485 219 43 Lucida - - 1 - - 500 MetLife 1 2 3 44 234 120 Paternoster - - - - - - Pension Insurance Corporation 1 2 3 230 72 191 Prudential - - - - - - Rothesay Life - - - - - - Total 44 37 46 890 604 958 What is the End Game? Market volumes Source: Hymans Robertson
  • 10. Contacts Disclaimer Disclaimer For professional investors only. Not suitable for private customers. The information herein was obtained from various sources. We do not guarantee every aspect of its accuracy. The information is for your private information and is for discussion purposes only. A variety of market factors and assumptions may affect this analysis, and this analysis does not reflect all possible loss scenarios. There is no certainty that the parameters and assumptions used in this analysis can be duplicated with actual trades. Any historical exchange rates, interest rates or other reference rates or prices which appear above are not necessarily indicative of future exchange rates, interest rates, or other reference rates or prices. Neither the information, recommendations or opinions expressed herein constitutes an offer to buy or sell any securities, futures, options, or investment products on your behalf. Unless otherwise stated, any pricing information in this message is indicative only, is subject to change and is not an offer to transact. Where relevant, the price quoted is exclusive of tax and delivery costs. Any reference to the terms of executed transactions should be treated as preliminary and subject to further due diligence . Please note, the accurate calculation of the liability profile used as the basis for implementing any capital markets transactions is the sole responsibility of the Trustees' actuarial advisors. Redington Ltd will estimate the liabilities if required but will not be held responsible for any loss or damage howsoever sustained as a result of inaccuracies in that estimation. Additionally, the client recognizes that Redington Ltd does not owe any party a duty of care in this respect. Redington Ltd are investment consultants regulated by the Financial Services Authority. We do not advise on all implications of the transactions described herein. This information is for discussion purposes and prior to undertaking any trade, you should also discuss with your professional tax, accounting and / or other relevant advisers how such particular trade(s) affect you. All analysis (whether in respect of tax, accounting, law or of any other nature), should be treated as illustrative only and not relied upon as accurate. Redington Limited (reg no 6660006) is a company authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority and registered in England and Wales. Registered office: 13-15 Mallow Street London EC1Y 8RD Direct Line: +44 (0) 20 7250 3416 Telephone: +44 (0) 20 7250 3331 Redington 13-15 Mallow Street London EC1Y 8RD Robert Gardner Founder &Co-CEO robert.gardner@redington.co.uk www.redington.co.uk THE DESTINATION FOR ASSET & LIABILITY MANAGEMENT Contacts 10