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Advanced Feasibility Modelling
Session: 23rd Feb. Data-Driven Country Feasibility and Site Performance Prediction
Presenter:
David J Cocker
Chief Scientific Officer
MDCPartners
david.cocker.@mdcpartners.be
My talk today
Useful visuals
‘Less bling
more info’
Easy to understand
Understanding the
data you see
Data sources
Get to the value fasterDoing more
NewOld
Meta
statistics
Algorithms based
on looking back
Very
Old
Volume
2016 Scope david cocker
2016 Scope david cocker
Network of event horizons
Planning
v
v
v
v v
v v
v
v v
vv
v v
Commonality of process vs “I’ll do it my way”
People think lots
of data sources is good
BUSINESS QUESTIONS
Translating silos of data into
quantifiable information
Semantic Transformation
Creating ontologies to rank
and classify medical concepts
Introduction
Let’s start by agreeing that feasibility is a confidence
prediction in your downstream research network.
Planning
P
1 P
2
P
3
Event horizon
Planning
P
1 P
2
P
3
Event horizon
A range of robust
algorithms to get to
your data fast
All reports are exportable via URL
and kept active for one month
A range of robust
algorithms to get
your data fast
New tools to semantically filter
on trials and segment in/exclusion
New tools to semantically filter
on trials and segment in/exclusionDiseases
Excl-drug term
indication
Inclusion term
drug
2016 Scope david cocker
BUSINESS QUESTIONS
Epidemiology
Patient group discovery tools and options
After 8 years of development, our technology stack is sufficiently robust to expand to
public and private data assessment. From this private data repository, new dashboards
and insights can be rendered.
BUSINESS QUESTIONS
Epidemiology
New tools to semantically filter on trials and segment in/exclusion
600,000 words grouped by
protocol concepts
Looking back at past results
Can we learn from our mistakes?
Opening of new sites: case study 1
2014 (57) 2015 (128)
• 4 companies (Merck, Lilly, JNJ, Pfizer)
• Period 2006-----2015
• Sites opened in cardiovascular indications
(hypertension, hyperlipidemia, atherosclerosis, diabetes)
• Sites opened in immunological factors in
oncology
New investigators
Immuno-Oncology
new sites/trial
4.3
New sites/total sites
opened
0.185
Sites/trial
23
In this new therapeutic area, on
average, 4 out of 23 sites are new
sites which were not used by the
company before (18.5%)
1685/5,956
US sites 27%
New investigators onco
Cardiovascular trial analysis
4 major companies in the space
In these CV therapeutic areas, on average there are 3
new and 22 historic sites per trial. (11.6% new)
Trials 1,549
Average new site openings
Migrating from metabolic to oncology
Representing 24% site load of this therapeutic area
Diabetes
Lipid
lowering
10,000/22,000
US sites 47%
2016 Scope david cocker
To concepts
From text
he illusion of just counting words

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2016 Scope david cocker

  • 1. Advanced Feasibility Modelling Session: 23rd Feb. Data-Driven Country Feasibility and Site Performance Prediction Presenter: David J Cocker Chief Scientific Officer MDCPartners david.cocker.@mdcpartners.be
  • 2. My talk today Useful visuals ‘Less bling more info’ Easy to understand Understanding the data you see Data sources Get to the value fasterDoing more NewOld Meta statistics Algorithms based on looking back Very Old Volume
  • 5. Network of event horizons Planning v v v v v v v v v v vv v v Commonality of process vs “I’ll do it my way”
  • 6. People think lots of data sources is good
  • 7. BUSINESS QUESTIONS Translating silos of data into quantifiable information Semantic Transformation Creating ontologies to rank and classify medical concepts
  • 8. Introduction Let’s start by agreeing that feasibility is a confidence prediction in your downstream research network.
  • 11. A range of robust algorithms to get to your data fast All reports are exportable via URL and kept active for one month
  • 12. A range of robust algorithms to get your data fast
  • 13. New tools to semantically filter on trials and segment in/exclusion
  • 14. New tools to semantically filter on trials and segment in/exclusionDiseases Excl-drug term indication Inclusion term drug
  • 16. BUSINESS QUESTIONS Epidemiology Patient group discovery tools and options After 8 years of development, our technology stack is sufficiently robust to expand to public and private data assessment. From this private data repository, new dashboards and insights can be rendered.
  • 17. BUSINESS QUESTIONS Epidemiology New tools to semantically filter on trials and segment in/exclusion 600,000 words grouped by protocol concepts
  • 18. Looking back at past results Can we learn from our mistakes?
  • 19. Opening of new sites: case study 1 2014 (57) 2015 (128) • 4 companies (Merck, Lilly, JNJ, Pfizer) • Period 2006-----2015 • Sites opened in cardiovascular indications (hypertension, hyperlipidemia, atherosclerosis, diabetes) • Sites opened in immunological factors in oncology
  • 21. Immuno-Oncology new sites/trial 4.3 New sites/total sites opened 0.185 Sites/trial 23 In this new therapeutic area, on average, 4 out of 23 sites are new sites which were not used by the company before (18.5%) 1685/5,956 US sites 27%
  • 23. Cardiovascular trial analysis 4 major companies in the space In these CV therapeutic areas, on average there are 3 new and 22 historic sites per trial. (11.6% new) Trials 1,549 Average new site openings Migrating from metabolic to oncology Representing 24% site load of this therapeutic area Diabetes Lipid lowering 10,000/22,000 US sites 47%
  • 25. To concepts From text he illusion of just counting words

Editor's Notes

  • #4: There are leaders and many are rushing to catch up. And understandably, starting new trials and optimizing clinical strategy is high on their agendas.
  • #5: The race is on for pharmaceutical companies to establish and maintain their position in this emerging therapeutic space.