Detection of Warning Signs
for Potential Bid Rigging
Should be Strengthened
Auditor General's Office
Integrity, Excellence and Innovation
Presentation to the Audit Committee
on March 24, 2017
Beverly Romeo-Beehler, CPA, CMA, B.B.A., JD, ICD.D, CFF
Auditor General
Jane Ying, CPA, CMA, CIA, CGAP, MHSc
Assistant Auditor General
Ruchir Patel, CPA, CA, MBA
Senior Audit Manager
Why it Matters
1. City of Toronto awards over $1 billion annually
for construction contracts
2. Transportation Services procures over $100
million annually for road repair and maintenance
work
3. Competitive procurement helps to save costs
and ensure ‘a level playing field’
2
Audit Objectives and Scope
To assess whether:
1. effective controls were in place to ensure fair
and competitive tendering process; and
2. the City received the best value for money
3
Scope
4
Report 1: June 2015 Report – Improving the Tendering
Process for Paving Contracts (focused on unbalanced
bidding)
Report 2: This report – Detection of Warning Signs for
Potential Bid Rigging Should be Strengthened
Road
Resurfacing
Utility Cuts
Road
Maintenance
ECS –
Road/Bridge
construction
TTC
Water Paving
related
5
Overview of Findings
Four Categories
1. Bid and contractor information not being
analyzed to identify overspending and potential
problems
2. Poor quantity estimates (staff), and inflated
prices (contractors) result in extra costs
3. Monitoring and controls for detection of bid
rigging not in place
4. Potential conflicts of interest were not managed
effectively
6
Category 1: Analyzing Bid and
Contractor Information
7
District 1 District 2
District 3 District 4
PMMD
• Each District operated
independently
• No standardized information
for line items
• No centralized information for
bids – Information stored in
various Districts
8
What we expected What we found What we needed to do
to commence our work
Sequential list of contracts No list of contracts Used tender numbers to
ensure completeness of
contracts for 5 years
Centralized bid analysis and bid
documentation
Bid analysis and
documentation located in the
for districts or in PMMD
Centralize bid information,
scan all bid sheets for all bids in
ever tender for 5 years, convert
to excel
Consistent line items use across
the City
Every district operated
differently.
Line items different between
districts and changed within
districts in different years
Harmonized the data across
the City
Pricing database because
engineering estimates include
estimated prices
No database Entered the prices for all bids
Quantities estimated and
quantities used to be in one
database
Not the case Quantity estimate from
contract files, Actual usage
from the TMMS database
The Waterfront - Building the Data
9
All pricing information for every bid on
every tender for five years
10
Category 2: Inflated Prices
11
Example 1:
Comparison of bid prices two similar tenders (i.e. same
closing date, in the same District, similar scope of work).
Line Item Tender 1 Tender 2
Cold milling
40 mm
$47.26 (Contractor A) $5.00 (Contractor A)
Cold milling
75-100mm
$51.00 (Contractor A) $4.00 (Contractor A)
Cold milling
75-100mm
(Asbestos)
$60.00 (Contractor A) $30.00 (Contractor A)
Example of Cracks
12
Category 2: Inflated Prices (Contd.)
Example 2: Crack Repairs – Impact of Inflated Prices
from Contractor A who won the bids
Estimated
QTY
Actual
QTY
Overrun
Contractor
A’s
Winning
Price ($)
Second
Lowest
Bidder's
price ($)
Overpaid
($)
Total Loss
on the
contract ($)
Contract 1 1000 13356 1236% 46 14 440,361 995,890
Contract 2 3500 19756 464% 56 24 641,306 518,781
Contract 3 100 7372 7272% 60 12 360,083 270,752
Contract 4 1000 4403 340% 75 21 240,602 347,821
Contract 5 100 5332 5232% 59 12 254,991 270,638
Contract 6 1000 5662 466% 58 23 201,359 238,903
Contract 7 1000 3353 235% 55 15 135,278 204,365
Contract 8 1000 6379 538% 43 14 186,302 183,559
2,460,282 3,030,709
Example of grossly inaccurate quantity estimates
– Same contract series – year over year
14
Year Estimated
qty
Actual
qty
City’s price
estimate
Winning
bidder’s
price
Price range
among bidders
Per line item –
savings had the
second lowest
bidder been
selected
2012 1,000 6,379 $25 $42.50 $13.80-$42.50 $183,080
2013 1,000 13,356 $25 $46.00 $13.60-$46.00 $432,745
2014 1,000 5,662 $25 $58.00 $23.05-$58.00 $197,887
2015 3,500 19,756 $25 $56.00 $21.29-$56.00 $476,118
Example: Overall impact on final contract prices
15
Actual
amount paid
to the winning
bidder
Amount that
would have been
paid to the
second lowest
bidder
Estimated savings
had the second
lowest bidder been
selected
Contract 1 $4,322,657 $3,326,767 $995,890
Contract 2 $5,104,115 $4,585,334 $518,781
Contract 3 $2,729,233 $2,371,167 $358,065
Category 3: Controls to identify bid rigging
not in place
Examples of Red Flags …
A. Market Domination
B. Market Division
C. Cover bids / Coordinated bids
D. Subcontracting
16
Not conclusive of bid rigging
But flags should be monitored
A. Market Domination
“Same company always winning…This may be more suspicious if one
or more companies continually submit unsuccessful bids.”
US Dept of Justice
• Examples of winning patterns from five contractors (2010 To June 2015)
17
Contractor
# of Times
Bid
# of Times
Won
Odds of
Winning
A 43 27 63%
B 52 12 23%
C 49 3 6%
D 35 5 14%
E 24 0 0%
Market Domination
Bidding Patterns - (2010 to 2015)
55 Local Road Resurfacing Contracts
18
District 1 District 2 District 3 District 4
Tender Calls Issued 16 13 12 14
Unique Bidders 18 16 9 5
Winners 5 8 4 3
Number of times
Contractor A bid
12 5 12 14
Number of bids won
by Contractor A
11 1 7 8
A. What a Competitive Market looks like…
19
A. Signs of Market Domination
20
B. Signs of Market Division
21
"Market division is an agreement among suppliers not to compete in designated
geographic regions or for specific customers." Competition Bureau
C. Signs of Cover Bidding / Coordinating Bids
22
Item
No.
Estimated
Quantity
Estimated
Price
Contractor
F's Price
Contractor
A's Price
Contractor A's
Price compared
to Contractor
F's Price
Contractor
G's Price
147 8 $5,000 $1,983 $2,181 110% $16,000
148 8 $3,500 $5,837 $6,421 110% $16,000
149 6 $4,000 $2,076 $2,284 110% $16,000
150 6 $3,000 $5,537 $6,091 110% $16,000
151 2 $3,000 $4,321 $4,753 110% $16,000
152 50 $28 $60 $66 110% $125
153 1400 $20 $12 $13 110% $20
154 1400 $20 $12 $13 110% $20
155 1400 $20 $16 $18 110% $25
156 10 $700 $766 $843 110% $2,200
157 1 $6,000 $6,128 $6,741 110% $28,000
158 1 $6,000 $9,716 $10,688 110% $28,000
159 1 $5,000 $9,716 $10,688 110% $28,000
160 1 $7,000 $7,682 $8,450 110% $28,000
161 1 $3,000 $7,682 $8,450 110% $28,000
162 1 $4,000 $5,635 $6,199 110% $28,000
163 1 $5,000 $5,635 $6,199 110% $28,000
164 100 $20 $181 $199 110% $350
165 1400 $85 $66 $73 110% $90
“Suspicious indicators of bid rigging include when we notice the same increment
between the bids of each company….” US Department of Justice
D. Subcontractors
• City is not monitoring the
subcontracting arrangements
• Several examples where contractors
lost on the bid but became
subcontractors
23
“...when losing bidders are hired as subcontractors or suppliers, or a contractor includes
subcontractors in its bid that are competing for the prime contract, these are red flags of
bid rigging OECD
4. Potential Conflicts of Interest
City is not fully monitoring relationships for
emerging conflicts and proper segregation of duties
• Former City employees working for contactors
• Former employees of contractors working for
the City
• Close relatives of City employees working for
contractors
24
Timeline
March 2015 – AG Office began developing informal database of construction contracts
and bids to analyze multi-year bidding trends
November 2015 – High level concerns discussed with City Manager
January 2015
Briefed Transportation Mgt about the pervasive nature of the issue -
Provided audit tools, information and database to inform the upcoming contract
cycle
February 2016 – Draft report provided to Management
We recommended the City conduct its own investigation because the issues were
broad, longstanding and deeply concerning – Mgt involved Law Enforcement.
June 2016 – AG Report: Improving the Tendering Process for Paving Contracts
December 2016 – City concluded its investigation
AG presented to about 600 staff to help educate and raise awareness of the issues to
help change the culture and their responsibility to report if they suspect wrongdoing.
March 2017 – AG Report Detection of Warning Signs for Potential Bid Rigging Should be
Strengthened
25
Overall
1. The significant control deficiencies and lack of
routine analysis of bid submissions and bidding
patterns, combined with grossly inaccurate quantity
estimates and inflated prices left the City vulnerable
to potential bid rigging.
26
2. Each District operated as essentially a separate entity
and our review found several red flags, inflated
pricing and domination of the market by a few
contractors.
3. There are 12 recommendations from two reports.
Management accepted all findings and is
implementing many measures to address this
situation.

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2017.AU8.3 Background: Detection of Warning Signs for Potential Bid Rigging Should be Strengthened

  • 1. Detection of Warning Signs for Potential Bid Rigging Should be Strengthened Auditor General's Office Integrity, Excellence and Innovation Presentation to the Audit Committee on March 24, 2017 Beverly Romeo-Beehler, CPA, CMA, B.B.A., JD, ICD.D, CFF Auditor General Jane Ying, CPA, CMA, CIA, CGAP, MHSc Assistant Auditor General Ruchir Patel, CPA, CA, MBA Senior Audit Manager
  • 2. Why it Matters 1. City of Toronto awards over $1 billion annually for construction contracts 2. Transportation Services procures over $100 million annually for road repair and maintenance work 3. Competitive procurement helps to save costs and ensure ‘a level playing field’ 2
  • 3. Audit Objectives and Scope To assess whether: 1. effective controls were in place to ensure fair and competitive tendering process; and 2. the City received the best value for money 3
  • 4. Scope 4 Report 1: June 2015 Report – Improving the Tendering Process for Paving Contracts (focused on unbalanced bidding) Report 2: This report – Detection of Warning Signs for Potential Bid Rigging Should be Strengthened Road Resurfacing Utility Cuts Road Maintenance ECS – Road/Bridge construction TTC Water Paving related
  • 5. 5
  • 6. Overview of Findings Four Categories 1. Bid and contractor information not being analyzed to identify overspending and potential problems 2. Poor quantity estimates (staff), and inflated prices (contractors) result in extra costs 3. Monitoring and controls for detection of bid rigging not in place 4. Potential conflicts of interest were not managed effectively 6
  • 7. Category 1: Analyzing Bid and Contractor Information 7 District 1 District 2 District 3 District 4 PMMD • Each District operated independently • No standardized information for line items • No centralized information for bids – Information stored in various Districts
  • 8. 8 What we expected What we found What we needed to do to commence our work Sequential list of contracts No list of contracts Used tender numbers to ensure completeness of contracts for 5 years Centralized bid analysis and bid documentation Bid analysis and documentation located in the for districts or in PMMD Centralize bid information, scan all bid sheets for all bids in ever tender for 5 years, convert to excel Consistent line items use across the City Every district operated differently. Line items different between districts and changed within districts in different years Harmonized the data across the City Pricing database because engineering estimates include estimated prices No database Entered the prices for all bids Quantities estimated and quantities used to be in one database Not the case Quantity estimate from contract files, Actual usage from the TMMS database
  • 9. The Waterfront - Building the Data 9
  • 10. All pricing information for every bid on every tender for five years 10
  • 11. Category 2: Inflated Prices 11 Example 1: Comparison of bid prices two similar tenders (i.e. same closing date, in the same District, similar scope of work). Line Item Tender 1 Tender 2 Cold milling 40 mm $47.26 (Contractor A) $5.00 (Contractor A) Cold milling 75-100mm $51.00 (Contractor A) $4.00 (Contractor A) Cold milling 75-100mm (Asbestos) $60.00 (Contractor A) $30.00 (Contractor A)
  • 13. Category 2: Inflated Prices (Contd.) Example 2: Crack Repairs – Impact of Inflated Prices from Contractor A who won the bids Estimated QTY Actual QTY Overrun Contractor A’s Winning Price ($) Second Lowest Bidder's price ($) Overpaid ($) Total Loss on the contract ($) Contract 1 1000 13356 1236% 46 14 440,361 995,890 Contract 2 3500 19756 464% 56 24 641,306 518,781 Contract 3 100 7372 7272% 60 12 360,083 270,752 Contract 4 1000 4403 340% 75 21 240,602 347,821 Contract 5 100 5332 5232% 59 12 254,991 270,638 Contract 6 1000 5662 466% 58 23 201,359 238,903 Contract 7 1000 3353 235% 55 15 135,278 204,365 Contract 8 1000 6379 538% 43 14 186,302 183,559 2,460,282 3,030,709
  • 14. Example of grossly inaccurate quantity estimates – Same contract series – year over year 14 Year Estimated qty Actual qty City’s price estimate Winning bidder’s price Price range among bidders Per line item – savings had the second lowest bidder been selected 2012 1,000 6,379 $25 $42.50 $13.80-$42.50 $183,080 2013 1,000 13,356 $25 $46.00 $13.60-$46.00 $432,745 2014 1,000 5,662 $25 $58.00 $23.05-$58.00 $197,887 2015 3,500 19,756 $25 $56.00 $21.29-$56.00 $476,118
  • 15. Example: Overall impact on final contract prices 15 Actual amount paid to the winning bidder Amount that would have been paid to the second lowest bidder Estimated savings had the second lowest bidder been selected Contract 1 $4,322,657 $3,326,767 $995,890 Contract 2 $5,104,115 $4,585,334 $518,781 Contract 3 $2,729,233 $2,371,167 $358,065
  • 16. Category 3: Controls to identify bid rigging not in place Examples of Red Flags … A. Market Domination B. Market Division C. Cover bids / Coordinated bids D. Subcontracting 16 Not conclusive of bid rigging But flags should be monitored
  • 17. A. Market Domination “Same company always winning…This may be more suspicious if one or more companies continually submit unsuccessful bids.” US Dept of Justice • Examples of winning patterns from five contractors (2010 To June 2015) 17 Contractor # of Times Bid # of Times Won Odds of Winning A 43 27 63% B 52 12 23% C 49 3 6% D 35 5 14% E 24 0 0%
  • 18. Market Domination Bidding Patterns - (2010 to 2015) 55 Local Road Resurfacing Contracts 18 District 1 District 2 District 3 District 4 Tender Calls Issued 16 13 12 14 Unique Bidders 18 16 9 5 Winners 5 8 4 3 Number of times Contractor A bid 12 5 12 14 Number of bids won by Contractor A 11 1 7 8
  • 19. A. What a Competitive Market looks like… 19
  • 20. A. Signs of Market Domination 20
  • 21. B. Signs of Market Division 21 "Market division is an agreement among suppliers not to compete in designated geographic regions or for specific customers." Competition Bureau
  • 22. C. Signs of Cover Bidding / Coordinating Bids 22 Item No. Estimated Quantity Estimated Price Contractor F's Price Contractor A's Price Contractor A's Price compared to Contractor F's Price Contractor G's Price 147 8 $5,000 $1,983 $2,181 110% $16,000 148 8 $3,500 $5,837 $6,421 110% $16,000 149 6 $4,000 $2,076 $2,284 110% $16,000 150 6 $3,000 $5,537 $6,091 110% $16,000 151 2 $3,000 $4,321 $4,753 110% $16,000 152 50 $28 $60 $66 110% $125 153 1400 $20 $12 $13 110% $20 154 1400 $20 $12 $13 110% $20 155 1400 $20 $16 $18 110% $25 156 10 $700 $766 $843 110% $2,200 157 1 $6,000 $6,128 $6,741 110% $28,000 158 1 $6,000 $9,716 $10,688 110% $28,000 159 1 $5,000 $9,716 $10,688 110% $28,000 160 1 $7,000 $7,682 $8,450 110% $28,000 161 1 $3,000 $7,682 $8,450 110% $28,000 162 1 $4,000 $5,635 $6,199 110% $28,000 163 1 $5,000 $5,635 $6,199 110% $28,000 164 100 $20 $181 $199 110% $350 165 1400 $85 $66 $73 110% $90 “Suspicious indicators of bid rigging include when we notice the same increment between the bids of each company….” US Department of Justice
  • 23. D. Subcontractors • City is not monitoring the subcontracting arrangements • Several examples where contractors lost on the bid but became subcontractors 23 “...when losing bidders are hired as subcontractors or suppliers, or a contractor includes subcontractors in its bid that are competing for the prime contract, these are red flags of bid rigging OECD
  • 24. 4. Potential Conflicts of Interest City is not fully monitoring relationships for emerging conflicts and proper segregation of duties • Former City employees working for contactors • Former employees of contractors working for the City • Close relatives of City employees working for contractors 24
  • 25. Timeline March 2015 – AG Office began developing informal database of construction contracts and bids to analyze multi-year bidding trends November 2015 – High level concerns discussed with City Manager January 2015 Briefed Transportation Mgt about the pervasive nature of the issue - Provided audit tools, information and database to inform the upcoming contract cycle February 2016 – Draft report provided to Management We recommended the City conduct its own investigation because the issues were broad, longstanding and deeply concerning – Mgt involved Law Enforcement. June 2016 – AG Report: Improving the Tendering Process for Paving Contracts December 2016 – City concluded its investigation AG presented to about 600 staff to help educate and raise awareness of the issues to help change the culture and their responsibility to report if they suspect wrongdoing. March 2017 – AG Report Detection of Warning Signs for Potential Bid Rigging Should be Strengthened 25
  • 26. Overall 1. The significant control deficiencies and lack of routine analysis of bid submissions and bidding patterns, combined with grossly inaccurate quantity estimates and inflated prices left the City vulnerable to potential bid rigging. 26 2. Each District operated as essentially a separate entity and our review found several red flags, inflated pricing and domination of the market by a few contractors. 3. There are 12 recommendations from two reports. Management accepted all findings and is implementing many measures to address this situation.