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Customer Discovery
Class # 2a

Iain Verigin

1
Today
• Majority of Time : Review an example –
“what exactly does this work looks like”
• Timeline
– Quickly Recap “Customer Discovery Planning”
– Example – MammOptics – LeanLaunch Pad project
Customer Discovery
Customer
Discovery

Customer
Validation

Customer
Creation

Scale
Company

• Stop selling, start listening

– There are no facts inside your building, so get outside

• Test your hypotheses

– Two are fundamental: problem and product concept

3
Discovery Phase =
Hypothesis Testing
•
•
•
•

What is the Hypothesis?
Where does the Hypothesis come from?
Why Test them?
How do you test them?

4
Customer Discovery: Rules
• Rule 1:
Facts are outside the building, opinions are inside.
• Rule 2:
Solve a problem that customers say is important and
valuable
• Rule 3:
Does the product concept solve that problem?

5
Customer Discovery: Exit Criteria
• What are your customers top problems?
– How much will they pay to solve them

• Does your product concept solve them?
– Do customers agree?
– How much will they pay?

• Can you draw a day-in-the-lifeof a customer
– before & after your product

• Can you draw the org chart of users & buyers

6
Customer Dev’t Process
Time Frames
Customer
Discovery

Customer
Validation

Customer
Creation

Scale
Company

Existing Market: 1 Months - 1 Year

Resegmenting a Market: 6 Months - 3 Years

New Market: 1 - 3 Years

7
Customer Discovery
Time Frames
Customer
Discovery

Customer
Validation

Customer
Creation

Scale
Company

Existing: 1 - 6 Months

Resegmenting: 3 - 12 Months

New: 12 - 24 Months

8
Customer Discovery
In Detail

9
Methodology
• Customer Development can take months, or years
• Each Step has a set of phases
• Plan what you need to learn in writing
… so that everyone knows:
–
–
–
–

what they should be doing
when they should do it
If they succeeded
If they need to do more

• These are checklists,
not “Inviolable Commandments”

10
State Your Hypothesis
• One-time writing exercise
• All other time is spent in front of customers
• Assumes you’re smart
– ( but guessing )

11
building
blocks
TEAM NAME HERE

Who are our Key
Partners?

FILL OUT ALL 9 BOXES OF THE CANVAS IN ORDER 1 THUR 9

What Key
Activities do we
require?
Manufacturing?
Software? Supply
chain?

Who are our key
suppliers?
What are we
getting from
them? Giving
them?

Which of our
customer’s
problems are we
helping to solve?

How will we Get,
Keep and Grow
Customers?

Which customer
needs are we
satisfying

What Key
Resources we
require?
Financial,
physical, IP, HR?

What are the most important costs inherent
in our business model? Fixed? Variable?

What are the Key
Features of our
product that match
customers
problem/need?

Who are our most
important
customers?
What are their
archetypes?

Through which
Channels do our
Customer
Segments
want to be
reached?

What Job do they
want us to get
done for them?

How do we make money? What’s the revenue
model? Pricing tactics?
CUSTOMER SEGMENTS

images by JAM
VALUE PROPOSITIONS

images by JAM
Product (Solution) Hypothesis
•
•
•
•
•
•

Features
Benefits
Product Delivery Schedule
Intellectual Property
Total Cost of Ownership
Dependency Analysis
– What is out of our control?

16
Customer/Problem Hypotheses
•
•
•
•

•
•
•
•

Types of Customers
Magnitude of the problem
Visionaries
A Day in the Life of a customer
( Service Journey)
Organizational impact
ROI Justification
Problem Recognition
Minimum Feature Set

17
Competition Hypotheses
•
•
•
•

Who is out there?
Why are they important?
How do customers use them today?
What don’t customers like about them?

18
CHANNELS

images by JAM
Distribution/ Pricing Hypotheses
•
•
•
•
•

Distribution Model
Distribution Diagram
Sales Cycle/Ramp
Channel strategy
Pricing (ASP, LTV)
– Actual Selling Price, Life Time Value

• Customer Organization Map
• Demand Creation

20
CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIPS

images by JAM
Demand Creation Hypotheses
• How do competitors create demand?
• How will you?
–
–
–
–

•
•
•
•

Viral
Advertising
PR
Trade shows

Who are influencers/recommendors?
Key trade shows?
Key trends?
Start assembling advisory board

22
Get keep grow

23
Get keep grow

24
Type of Market Hypotheses
• Positioning and Differentiation
– Existing Market
• The product is the basis of competition

– New Market
• Creating the market is the basis of competition

– Resegment - Redefine Existing Market
• New segment of the existing market is the basis of competition

• :Think: What does my playing field look like?

25
REVENUE STREAMS

images by JAM
Market/Opportunity Analysis
How Big is It?: Market/Opportunity Analysis
– Identify a Customer and Market Need
– Size the Market
– Competitors
– Growth Potential
How Big is the Pie?
Total Available Market

• How many people would want/need
the product?
• How large is the market be
(in $’s) if they all bought?

Total Available Market •

How many units would that be?

How Do I Find Out?
• Industry Analysts – Gartner, Forrester
• Wall Street Analysts – Goldman, Morgan
How Big is My Slice?
Served Available Market
• How many people need/can use product?

• How many people have the money to
buy the product
Total
Available
Market

Served
Available
Market

• How large would the market be (in $’s)
if they all bought?

• How many units would that be?

How Do I Find Out?
• Talk to potential customers
Total
Served
Available Available
Market
Market

How Much Can I Eat?
Target Market
• Who am I going to sell to in year 1, 2 & 3?
• How many customers is that?
• How large is the market be
(in $’s) if they all bought?
• How many units would that be?

Target
Market How Do I Find Out?
• Talk to potential customers
• Identify and talk to channel partners
• Identify and talk to competitors
Market Size: Summary
• Market Size Questions:
– How big can this market be?
– How much of it can we get?

– Market growth rate
– Market structure (Mature or in flux?)
• Most important: Talk to Customers and Sales Channel
• Next important: Market size by competitive approximation

– Wall Street analyst reports are great
• And : Market research firms Like Forester, Gartner
KEY RESOURCES

images by JAM
KEY ACTIVITIES

images by JAM
KEY PARTNERS

images by JAM
COST STRUCTURE

images by JAM
key
activities

value proposition

customer
relationships

key
partners

customer
segments

cost
structure

revenue
streams

key
resources

channels
images by JAM
:Score Card: ( Hypothesis Summary)

test
Guess

Guess

Guess

Guess

Guess

Guess
Guess

Guess

Guess
37
WHAT DOES THIS “REALLY” LOOK
LIKE?
38
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
?

?

?
?

?
40

?

?
possible
alternatives
radiation-free
detection of
breast cancer

42

hospitals
proprietary IP

43

medicaldevicema
nufacturers
?

?

?
?

?
44

?

?
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
But,
Realize They’re Hypotheses
9 Guesses

Guess

Guess

Guess

Guess
Guess

Guess

Guess

Guess

Guess
The Final Presentation

How Does This Really Work?
Stanford Lean LaunchPad Class
8 Weeks From an Idea to a Business
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
I.I.T.Y.I.W.H.T.K.Y
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
Key Opinion Leaders
(KOLs)
Key Opinion
Leaders (KOLs)
Key Opinion
Leaders (KOLs)
Key Opinion
Leaders (KOLs)
Key Opinion
Leaders (KOLs)
Key Opinion
Leaders (KOLs)
•
•
•

•
•
•
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
2a customer discovery ( canvas and story ).2013.q2
WHAT ARE YOU “REALLY”
THINKING?
115
! Holy Cow !
! I don’t know any of this stuff !
? How deep do I need to go ?
:HELP:
116
:Think:
• In practice I call “Version 1.0” a “Splat”
– I find it sets the tone/expectation much better
– Nb. expectation is that this phase requires 2 to 3 passes (
or iterations ) before its done.

• Keys
– You want to figure out what you know and don’t know.
• :Issue: A lot of people are afraid to “write down” what they don’t
know, or accept that they don’t know.

– The real work is “Outside” the building to fill in the blanks
& convert assumptions into facts

117
:Aside:

Before You Start
• Board and Management Buy-In
– “Learning & discovery” not execution

• Customer Development Team
– Not traditional hires

• Sufficient funding for 2-3 passes

118
:Aside:

! Titles Matter !
“Traditional organizations & titles fail”
CEO

VP Eng

VP Mkt

VP Sales

VP Biz Dev

• People equate their titles with their functions
– Standard titles describe execution functions

• We need new titles consistent with “learning &
discovery” functions
119
:Aside:

Customer Development Team
“Tasks”
CEO

VP Product
Dev

Technical
Visionary

Business
Visionary

Business
Execution

In Front of Customer Positions

Nb. This doesn’t mean “VP, Product Dev” doesn’t visit customers
120
Documenting
• “Not too much and not to little”
• Get to know yourself
– Basic Rule of Thumb
• Marketers like to analyse and plan
– Ielotsa documentation

• Sales likes to live in the field
– Ie none

121
122
Design The Tests
• These can be simple.
• Q. How Accurate is our Service Journey
Sketch?
• Action: Review our “Service Journey Sketch”
with Emergency Staff at “n” hospitals.

123

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