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AMAZON'S KIRANANOW:THE INDIAN ONLINE GROCERY MARKET
Peder Viland Aanonsen / Melody Ucros / Leopold W. Hofmann / Lixuan Guan
July 13th, 2017
Objectives
• Decide on a business model
• Grow and retain customer base
• Consistently deliver quality service
• Optimize cost-structure
Advantages
• Speed and convenience
• More variety of products
• Additional payment methods
• Flexible return policy
• Better deals
• 6th largest grocery market
• Mobile internet users will double by 2020
• By 2021, 40% of retail will be online and
grocery segment represents 2%
• FDI not allowed on inventory-based model
India
• Low tech adoption (consumers & retailers)
• Unorganized market, small kirana stores
• Minimal margins, profit based on volume
• Consumer habit is to check product quality
and negotiate prices at local kirana
• No repeat orders or referrals
Challenges
Understanding The Case
The Result of Initial Efforts
Frequency
1 Supplier post deceptive prices 12
2 Customer service not helpful 8
3 Items out of stock 8
4 Lacking variety of products 7
5 Order cancelled 7
6 Sourcing stores unpopular 6
7 Delivery unprofessional 6
8 Technical issues when using the app 4
9 Wrong products were delivered 4
10 Several ordered items missing 3
11 App deletes basket when changing address 2
12 Poor quality products 2
13 Customer service not available in local language 1
Themes
Based	on	the	42	“most	helpful”	app	reviews	from	June	and	July	2017
Review	4Review	3
Review	1 Review	2
Sample of Existing Reviews
“Pathetic people.. once you
order, they call you up
and say the discounted
products are not available.”
“Many out of stock items are
shown in Stock. In almost every
order I placed, one item
or other is out of stock.”
“It's better to actually buy directly
from the stores in market where you
have variety in items.”
”The call center behaves as they
don’t understand what is being
communicated , so this is my last
order with Amazon now."
India Market Size
79Mobile traffic
Purchase Groceries34%
Average annual income
7260 USD
Internet Penetration34.8%
Total Population
1326 million
364.98
Million
Smartphone users
2468.4
USD
Grocery expense
per year per men
Online Grocery
27%
35%
Mobile PC
Higher online shopping on PC
2.6x/month
$25/ order
Analysis of Opportunity
Bargaining Power
of Suppliers
Threat of New
Entrants
Industry Rivalry
Average 2.38
• Power of suppliers fairly low
• Significance of Sales Volume
Average: 3
• Highly regulated FDI
• High capital investment to compete
• Incumbents not profitable
Average: 3.9
• Similar players
• Low cost of switching
• Undifferentiated products
Analysis of Industry
Threat of
Substitutes
Bargaining Power
of Buyers
Conclusion on
Industry
Average: 4
• Offline the biggest substitute
• Cheaper alternative than online
Average: 4.3
• Price sensitive buyers
• Low switching costs amongst services
Analysis of Industry
Customers have high bargaining
power and many substitutes.
Focus strategy on retention.
Areas of Strategic Improvement
Partners Service People
Action Plan: Partners Partners
Guaranteed Stock
Standardized Prices
Easier Tech Adoption
Integrated Inventory System
Action 1: Centralize the Sourcing System, through a partnership
with 4 Big Supermarket chains, 30 stores in Bengaluru
Action Plan: Partners Partners
Trained Team of Order Pickers
Standard Expiration Dates
Standard Product Quality
Feedback System
Action 2: Implement Quality Control Measures to enforce a consistent
level of service and products
Action Plan: Service Service
Action 3: Add a web version of Amazon Now in order to expand customer base
Action 4: Adjust Customer Service Hours for New Target, and add Cash Option
Action Plan: Service Service
Action 5: Standardize the process and customer journey
2:00pm – 11:00pm
Always smile, salute,
deliver, collect, and
ask for feedback.
Action 6 : Train and Incentivize the Order Pickers at the Supermarkets
Action Plan: People People
Action 7 : Onboarding the delivery staff to fulfill standard service expectations
Action 8 : Win and retain more customers
Reward Based on Performance
Reward Based on Customer Feedback
Exclusive Promotions and Coupons
Frequency
1 Supplier post deceptive prices 12
2 Customer service not helpful 8
3 Items out of stock 8
4 Lacking variety of products 7
5 Order cancelled 7
6 Sourcing stores unpopular 6
7 Delivery unprofessional 6
8 Technical issues when using the app 4
9 Wrong products were delivered 4
10 Several ordered items missing 3
11 App deletes basket when changing address 2
12 Poor quality products 2
13 Customer service not available in local language 1
Themes
Enhancing the Customer Experience
Customer	ReviewsPerformance	Indicators
Problems	Solved Market	Share	
2020: Expected Results
4.8Billion
1.4Billion
• App Store Rating (4.5+)
• Orders Per Day (15k+/region)
• Orders Returned (less than 5%)
• Customer Retention (70%)
• Employee Turnover (1+ years)
• Inventory: Exclusive Partnerships
• Quality: Team of Order Pickers
• Inconsistency: Training Program
• Accessibility: Web Version
• Control: Feedback System
• Tech Adoption: Business Professionals
What	Ifs
An Alternative Scenario
Contingency	Plan
Positives
• FDI regulations change, and allow for
inventory-based model
• Competitors never profitable & lack capital
Negative
• Delivery delays due to limited partners
• Coupons fail to compensate for negotiating
habit of consumers
• Online Grocery Segment fails to reach
significant traction from population
• Customer loyalty toward local competitors
• Finding capable and reliable workforce
Consider a merger with a local company
• Future CashCow Market
• Circumvent the government regulations
Established Customer Base
• Service expanded to other cities
Change Business Model to Inventory-Based
• More Profitable
• Area of Expertise
Retract from Market
• Market shows no growth potential
• Government strengthen regulations
BACK-UP SLIDES
AmazonNow Suggestions
Number of employees 130
Of employees working at a time 70%
Number of employees working any time 91
Number of Hours Worked per month 30*9*91=24 570
Targeted orders 15,000
Average order per hour 15,000/24570 = 0,6105
Can we deliver within 2-3 hours?
Drive on google
maps: 20 minutes
Suppliers Distribution	Centres	
(DCs)
Scheduling	and	Routing Delivery
Amazon	Fresh Hub-and-spoke	inventory-
based	model	enables	tight	
control	over	quality	along	
with	hyperlocal	delivery,	to	
avoid	costly	investments	in	
delivery.	
DCs	have	refrigeration	
and	freezer	
capabilities	for	storing	
items
Refrigerated	delivery	trucks;	
routes	are	designed	to	
minimize	total	distance	
travelled	and	maximize	fullness	
of	the	truck.	
Grocery	crates,	reusable	
totes,	insulated	coolers,	
frozen	bottles,	and	dry	
ice.	
Amazon	Now Zero-inventory	model,	but	
centralize	few	supermarkets	
to	avoid	the	costs	of	an	
inventory-based	system,	but	
still	remain	in	control	over	
quality.	
No	DCs	are	required,	
products	are	not	stores,	
quality	and	freshness	of	
product	is	maintained	by	
the	quality-control	
employee	at	each	
supermarket
Based	on	customer's	preferred	
time	slots
Riders	hired	by	Amazon	
on	a	contractual	basis,	
are	taught	by	Amazon	to	
ensure	customer	
satisfaction
Kirana	Now Hyperlocal	delivery	model-
deliveries	are	sourced	the	
local	retailers;	zero-inventory	
model.
No	DCs	are	required	
because	products	are	not	
stored,	as	in	the	case	of	
the	inventory-based	
model;	quality	and	
freshness	of	product	is	
maintained	by	the	local	
kirana	stores.
Based	on	customer's	preferred	
time	slots.	
Local	delivery	persons	or	
kirana	stores;	local	
employees	deliver	the	
product	to	the	customer’s	
doorstep.	
What’s the Difference?

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AmazonNow Suggestions

  • 1. AMAZON'S KIRANANOW:THE INDIAN ONLINE GROCERY MARKET Peder Viland Aanonsen / Melody Ucros / Leopold W. Hofmann / Lixuan Guan July 13th, 2017
  • 2. Objectives • Decide on a business model • Grow and retain customer base • Consistently deliver quality service • Optimize cost-structure Advantages • Speed and convenience • More variety of products • Additional payment methods • Flexible return policy • Better deals • 6th largest grocery market • Mobile internet users will double by 2020 • By 2021, 40% of retail will be online and grocery segment represents 2% • FDI not allowed on inventory-based model India • Low tech adoption (consumers & retailers) • Unorganized market, small kirana stores • Minimal margins, profit based on volume • Consumer habit is to check product quality and negotiate prices at local kirana • No repeat orders or referrals Challenges Understanding The Case
  • 3. The Result of Initial Efforts Frequency 1 Supplier post deceptive prices 12 2 Customer service not helpful 8 3 Items out of stock 8 4 Lacking variety of products 7 5 Order cancelled 7 6 Sourcing stores unpopular 6 7 Delivery unprofessional 6 8 Technical issues when using the app 4 9 Wrong products were delivered 4 10 Several ordered items missing 3 11 App deletes basket when changing address 2 12 Poor quality products 2 13 Customer service not available in local language 1 Themes Based on the 42 “most helpful” app reviews from June and July 2017
  • 4. Review 4Review 3 Review 1 Review 2 Sample of Existing Reviews “Pathetic people.. once you order, they call you up and say the discounted products are not available.” “Many out of stock items are shown in Stock. In almost every order I placed, one item or other is out of stock.” “It's better to actually buy directly from the stores in market where you have variety in items.” ”The call center behaves as they don’t understand what is being communicated , so this is my last order with Amazon now."
  • 5. India Market Size 79Mobile traffic Purchase Groceries34% Average annual income 7260 USD Internet Penetration34.8% Total Population 1326 million 364.98 Million Smartphone users 2468.4 USD Grocery expense per year per men Online Grocery 27% 35% Mobile PC Higher online shopping on PC 2.6x/month $25/ order Analysis of Opportunity
  • 6. Bargaining Power of Suppliers Threat of New Entrants Industry Rivalry Average 2.38 • Power of suppliers fairly low • Significance of Sales Volume Average: 3 • Highly regulated FDI • High capital investment to compete • Incumbents not profitable Average: 3.9 • Similar players • Low cost of switching • Undifferentiated products Analysis of Industry
  • 7. Threat of Substitutes Bargaining Power of Buyers Conclusion on Industry Average: 4 • Offline the biggest substitute • Cheaper alternative than online Average: 4.3 • Price sensitive buyers • Low switching costs amongst services Analysis of Industry Customers have high bargaining power and many substitutes. Focus strategy on retention.
  • 8. Areas of Strategic Improvement Partners Service People
  • 9. Action Plan: Partners Partners Guaranteed Stock Standardized Prices Easier Tech Adoption Integrated Inventory System Action 1: Centralize the Sourcing System, through a partnership with 4 Big Supermarket chains, 30 stores in Bengaluru
  • 10. Action Plan: Partners Partners Trained Team of Order Pickers Standard Expiration Dates Standard Product Quality Feedback System Action 2: Implement Quality Control Measures to enforce a consistent level of service and products
  • 11. Action Plan: Service Service Action 3: Add a web version of Amazon Now in order to expand customer base
  • 12. Action 4: Adjust Customer Service Hours for New Target, and add Cash Option Action Plan: Service Service Action 5: Standardize the process and customer journey 2:00pm – 11:00pm Always smile, salute, deliver, collect, and ask for feedback.
  • 13. Action 6 : Train and Incentivize the Order Pickers at the Supermarkets Action Plan: People People Action 7 : Onboarding the delivery staff to fulfill standard service expectations Action 8 : Win and retain more customers Reward Based on Performance Reward Based on Customer Feedback Exclusive Promotions and Coupons
  • 14. Frequency 1 Supplier post deceptive prices 12 2 Customer service not helpful 8 3 Items out of stock 8 4 Lacking variety of products 7 5 Order cancelled 7 6 Sourcing stores unpopular 6 7 Delivery unprofessional 6 8 Technical issues when using the app 4 9 Wrong products were delivered 4 10 Several ordered items missing 3 11 App deletes basket when changing address 2 12 Poor quality products 2 13 Customer service not available in local language 1 Themes Enhancing the Customer Experience
  • 15. Customer ReviewsPerformance Indicators Problems Solved Market Share 2020: Expected Results 4.8Billion 1.4Billion • App Store Rating (4.5+) • Orders Per Day (15k+/region) • Orders Returned (less than 5%) • Customer Retention (70%) • Employee Turnover (1+ years) • Inventory: Exclusive Partnerships • Quality: Team of Order Pickers • Inconsistency: Training Program • Accessibility: Web Version • Control: Feedback System • Tech Adoption: Business Professionals
  • 16. What Ifs An Alternative Scenario Contingency Plan Positives • FDI regulations change, and allow for inventory-based model • Competitors never profitable & lack capital Negative • Delivery delays due to limited partners • Coupons fail to compensate for negotiating habit of consumers • Online Grocery Segment fails to reach significant traction from population • Customer loyalty toward local competitors • Finding capable and reliable workforce Consider a merger with a local company • Future CashCow Market • Circumvent the government regulations Established Customer Base • Service expanded to other cities Change Business Model to Inventory-Based • More Profitable • Area of Expertise Retract from Market • Market shows no growth potential • Government strengthen regulations
  • 19. Number of employees 130 Of employees working at a time 70% Number of employees working any time 91 Number of Hours Worked per month 30*9*91=24 570 Targeted orders 15,000 Average order per hour 15,000/24570 = 0,6105 Can we deliver within 2-3 hours? Drive on google maps: 20 minutes
  • 20. Suppliers Distribution Centres (DCs) Scheduling and Routing Delivery Amazon Fresh Hub-and-spoke inventory- based model enables tight control over quality along with hyperlocal delivery, to avoid costly investments in delivery. DCs have refrigeration and freezer capabilities for storing items Refrigerated delivery trucks; routes are designed to minimize total distance travelled and maximize fullness of the truck. Grocery crates, reusable totes, insulated coolers, frozen bottles, and dry ice. Amazon Now Zero-inventory model, but centralize few supermarkets to avoid the costs of an inventory-based system, but still remain in control over quality. No DCs are required, products are not stores, quality and freshness of product is maintained by the quality-control employee at each supermarket Based on customer's preferred time slots Riders hired by Amazon on a contractual basis, are taught by Amazon to ensure customer satisfaction Kirana Now Hyperlocal delivery model- deliveries are sourced the local retailers; zero-inventory model. No DCs are required because products are not stored, as in the case of the inventory-based model; quality and freshness of product is maintained by the local kirana stores. Based on customer's preferred time slots. Local delivery persons or kirana stores; local employees deliver the product to the customer’s doorstep. What’s the Difference?