Analyst presentation q1_2012
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Hera Group reported Q1 2012 results that were largely in line with Q1 2011 results despite impacts from the Italian recession. EBITDA was slightly higher than in Q1 2011 due to performance in operations offsetting higher taxes. Net profits were affected by some extraordinary negative factors totaling around 12.7 million euros. Capex was in line with Q1 2011 and cash generation fully funded capex and seasonal changes in working capital. Net debt remained stable at 2,006 million euros, in line with the end of 2011.
Analyst presentation q1_2012
- 1. Hera Group Q1 results Analyst presentation 15th May 2012 www.gruppohera.it
- 2. Q1 2012: in line with last year results despite all 1 224 151 123 67 65 120 151 225 Ebitda Ebit Pretax Net profit Q1 '11 Q1 '12 81 99 129 137 135 225224 185 167 154 0 100 200 300 Q1 '03 Q1 '04 Q1 '05 Q1 '06 Q1 '07 Q1 '08 Q1 '09 Q1 '10 Q1 '11 Q1 '12 Hera unique business mix proven to effectively tackle with Italian recession confirming last year results. Performance in operations helped compensate higher taxes. Net profits affected by extraordinary negative factors (~12.7m€ Cip6 incentives, expired in Nov. 2011 and changed in fair value). Energy commercial expansion and procurement strategies confirmed positive contribution also in Q1 2012. Capex in line with Q1 ’11 at ~60m€. Cash generation fully funded capex and seasonal change in working capital. Net debt stable at 2,006m€ in line with 2011 year end level (1,987 m€). 10Y Q1 EBITDA track record Q1 Result Highlights +0.2% +0.1% (2.3%) (2.2%) +21.4% +28.7% +34.6% +40.6% +13 +18 +39
- 3. Q1 ’12: solid bottom line results Tariffs, energy prices and market expansion Higher financial charges mainly due to increase in debt and credit spreads 2 Tax increased due to higher profits of energy activities and additional Robin tax and IRAP (+2.5m€).
- 4. 224.7224.3 +4.3 (4.9) +1.0 180 Q1 '11 Cip6 Syn. & Org.G. M&A Q1 '12 Ebitda slightly ahead of ’11 outstanding results Hera Mix, helped to absorb recession impact Ebitda growth offsets end of Cip6 incentives Ebitda growth Drivers Ebitda by strategic area 3 • Energy increased contribution offsets mild winter and change in fair value. • Network increased Ebitda thanks to tariffs enhancement. • Waste affected by recession impact on Italian consumptions/production levels and negative one offs derived from Cip6 expiry. • Growth fuelled by gas supply. • Market expansion progressing reaching 500k costumers in electricity at the end of March. • M&A relates to Sadori Gas (July ’11) and 4MW solar plants (Feb. 2012).
- 5. Positive operating cash flows and stable net debt Q1 ’12 cash generation fully funded seasonal effects on working capital and capex. M&A mainly relates to acquisition of 4 solar plants and the majority stake in a landfill in Modena (Feronia). Stable net debts at 2b€. Financial debt profile: Fixed Rate: 69% Maturities by the end of 2014: 326.4m€ Committed credit lines: 330.0m€ 4 Q1 2012 cash flows +8.1 +129.6 (19.2) (27.3) (7.0) (55.6) (58.9) -40 10 60 110 160 Oper. CF* Capex NWC Prov. Free CF M&A Other Ch. Debt 0 Oper. CF* FCF pre extraord. Debt change * Net profit+Depreciations
- 6. Revenues mainly affected by recession impacts on volumes. EBITDA negatively affected by extraordinary factors: Industrial figures Financial highlights 5 • Expired Cip6 incentive on FEA plant (~5m€). • Intensive snow falls in February reduced plant availability, collection activities and increased logistic costs. • Lower capitalisations due to end of Rmini WTE plant construction. Waste: tackling with recession and extraordinary factors • Market expansion in new segments and markets. • Two new dry fermentation plants under construction • Cost reduction initiatives Actions to tackle with recession:
- 7. Water: tariff progression and volume increase underpinned results Volumes Financial highlights Revenues growth, mainly driven by tariffs increase. Volume change affected by unusual weather conditions in Q1 ’12. ATO contracts in force until the end of the year on ~50% of areas served and until 2014/2015 on the remaining part (Bologna and Modena provinces). EBITDA increase, mainly driven by revenue growth, accounts higher costs of electricity (+2.2m€), of fresh water (+0.9m€) and lower revenues from new connections related to poor real estate activity (-0.6m€). 6
- 8. Gas: strong growth in spite of mild March Volumes Financial highlights Revenues growth mainly driven by higher commodity prices and additional volumes traded. Volumes sold to final clients increased thanks to increase in costumer base, more than offsetting mild winter season in March. Trading activities expanded in Q1 partly because of the activity in the “mercato di bilanciamento”. District heating also contributed to growth with sizeble growth in volumes delivered. Ebitda increase mainly driven by margins in commercial activities, enhanced margins in distribution activities and Sadori Gas merger in July ’11 (~0.7m€). Q1 ’12 accounted a negative impact from change in fair value. 7
- 9. Electricity: market expansion continues Volumes Financial highlights Revenues growth mainly driven by higher commodity prices and volumes (related to further market expansion) more than compensating recession effects on demand (-3.7% electricity distributed). Good commercial performance also in Marche region. Group customer base slightly exceed 500k units (+19k costumers in first 3 months ’12). Positive impact of higher volumes on EBITDA was more than offset by negative change in fair values, decreased contribution from distribution activities (-0.5m€) and lower margins and MSD contribution from own plants. 8
- 10. A “complicate” quarter turn out with confirming results compared with outstanding Q1 2011 despite one offs impact and enhanced taxes. Performance in April show a recovery of low March gas sales and further trading opportunities. Progress in dry fermentation plants (bio- digesters) will progress the model “treatment- recovery-recycling” in all reference territories. Innovative commercial offer “Prezzo netto” launched in April. DPS of 9 €c approved by AGM and will be paid at the 7th of June. Closing remarks 9 224 151 123 67 65 120 151 225 Ebitda Ebit Pretax Net profit Q1 '11 Q1 '12 +0.2% +0.1% (2.3%) (2.2%) +21.4% +28.7% +34.6% +40.6% Q1 Results Highlights
- 11. Q&A session