Architecting Dynamics of Net-Zero Roadmap
- 1. Bangkok, Thailand / Page 1 (2) Edition: April 8, 2022 Architecting Dynamics of Net-Zero Roadmap Transformation of Net-Zero Governance Strategy and Structural Change Dynamics of the Energy Value Chains Siripong Treetasanatavorn Sloan Fellow, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Governance Dynamics at Two Levels: • Level 1: Mapping Causal Baseline of GHG Emissions: Governance of net- zero strategy requires exhaustive mapping of GHG emissions sources to the corresponding dynamics of socio-economic growth, all in greater narrative of structural reform in each sector and industry. Electricity and transportation are leading causes of GHG emissions from example of the U.S.,1 but substantive net-zero impact only comes together on a broad-based mitigation approach, addressable across the entire emissions chains (inspecting the chart from left to right as depicted), all on the premise of whole-of-nation integrated strategy.
- 2. S. Treetasanatavorn. Architecting Dynamics of Net-Zero Roadmap Edition: April 8, 2022 Bangkok, Thailand / Page 2 (2) • Level 2: Shifting Mix of Demand-Supply Dynamics: What's critical in this greater context is however also an energy transition roadmap that translates chain of GHG emissions from the first level to substantive reform strategy that directly influences choices of primary and secondary energy sources (supply mix on the left), but also consequential impact to market and policy dynamics in each specific sector (sectoral demand on the right). In this sense, structural shift of the energy equilibrium must be the focus, considering short- and long- run change dynamics that engage rational choice in the economy and society especially that makes sense of growth and security but also sustainability and resilience — all in the same narrative of change (see example of U.S. energy landscape considering particularly conducive roles of gas and electrification2 ). References (in appearance order): 1. See the illustration of GHG emissions flows for the U.S. case by WRI (2008): https://www.wri.org/data/us-greenhouse-gas-emissions-flow-chart 2. See energy flow chart (sankey analysis) for the case of the U.S. from Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (2020): https://flowcharts.llnl.gov