Black Swan
theory
The Future Forecast => Possible?
The World => Knowable?
Risk => Measurable?
Finance guru Nicolas Taleb
Uncertainty dominates
The Black Swan Theory Roots
Fragility of human knowledge
3 attributes
An Outlier
An extreme impact
Concoction
Examples (1)
Examples (2)
Examples (3)
Shall we predict?
Accuracy of prediction
Modelling and Prognoses
Nature's black swans (1)
Nature's black swans (2)
Nature's black swans (3)
Nature's black swans (4)
Financial black swans
Political black swans
Innovation's black swans
Black Swan Theory

More Related Content

PPT
The Black Swan Theory
PPTX
Black Swan Theory
PPTX
Black swan theory
PPTX
The black swan
PPTX
Plight2012
PDF
Mandela Efect
PDF
The Mandela Effect
PPT
Genre post apocalyptic
The Black Swan Theory
Black Swan Theory
Black swan theory
The black swan
Plight2012
Mandela Efect
The Mandela Effect
Genre post apocalyptic

More from Ilya Nikitin (6)

PDF
Поиск нечетких дубликатов видео
PDF
Распределенная статистическая система машинного перевода (Distributed statist...
PDF
Методология поиска и идентификации нечетких дубликатов видеоизображений
PDF
Распределенная статистическая система машинного перевода (Distributed statist...
PDF
PPT
C++ with DB
Поиск нечетких дубликатов видео
Распределенная статистическая система машинного перевода (Distributed statist...
Методология поиска и идентификации нечетких дубликатов видеоизображений
Распределенная статистическая система машинного перевода (Distributed statist...
C++ with DB
Ad

Recently uploaded (20)

PDF
ChatGPT for Dummies - Pam Baker Ccesa007.pdf
PDF
Uderstanding digital marketing and marketing stratergie for engaging the digi...
PDF
Trump Administration's workforce development strategy
PDF
Complications of Minimal Access-Surgery.pdf
PPTX
Computer Architecture Input Output Memory.pptx
PDF
Environmental Education MCQ BD2EE - Share Source.pdf
PPTX
Introduction to pro and eukaryotes and differences.pptx
PPTX
TNA_Presentation-1-Final(SAVE)) (1).pptx
PPTX
Chinmaya Tiranga Azadi Quiz (Class 7-8 )
PDF
1.3 FINAL REVISED K-10 PE and Health CG 2023 Grades 4-10 (1).pdf
PDF
FOISHS ANNUAL IMPLEMENTATION PLAN 2025.pdf
PDF
Paper A Mock Exam 9_ Attempt review.pdf.
PDF
Vision Prelims GS PYQ Analysis 2011-2022 www.upscpdf.com.pdf
PPTX
202450812 BayCHI UCSC-SV 20250812 v17.pptx
PDF
HVAC Specification 2024 according to central public works department
PDF
Hazard Identification & Risk Assessment .pdf
PPTX
A powerpoint presentation on the Revised K-10 Science Shaping Paper
PDF
Chinmaya Tiranga quiz Grand Finale.pdf
PDF
Practical Manual AGRO-233 Principles and Practices of Natural Farming
PDF
BP 704 T. NOVEL DRUG DELIVERY SYSTEMS (UNIT 2).pdf
ChatGPT for Dummies - Pam Baker Ccesa007.pdf
Uderstanding digital marketing and marketing stratergie for engaging the digi...
Trump Administration's workforce development strategy
Complications of Minimal Access-Surgery.pdf
Computer Architecture Input Output Memory.pptx
Environmental Education MCQ BD2EE - Share Source.pdf
Introduction to pro and eukaryotes and differences.pptx
TNA_Presentation-1-Final(SAVE)) (1).pptx
Chinmaya Tiranga Azadi Quiz (Class 7-8 )
1.3 FINAL REVISED K-10 PE and Health CG 2023 Grades 4-10 (1).pdf
FOISHS ANNUAL IMPLEMENTATION PLAN 2025.pdf
Paper A Mock Exam 9_ Attempt review.pdf.
Vision Prelims GS PYQ Analysis 2011-2022 www.upscpdf.com.pdf
202450812 BayCHI UCSC-SV 20250812 v17.pptx
HVAC Specification 2024 according to central public works department
Hazard Identification & Risk Assessment .pdf
A powerpoint presentation on the Revised K-10 Science Shaping Paper
Chinmaya Tiranga quiz Grand Finale.pdf
Practical Manual AGRO-233 Principles and Practices of Natural Farming
BP 704 T. NOVEL DRUG DELIVERY SYSTEMS (UNIT 2).pdf
Ad