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Angela Hey
Techviser
amhey@techviser.com
Technology Columnist The Mountain View Voice
 Device Designers
◦ What do I include, what can I leave out?
◦ Will my product be cannibalized by a new one?
 Application Designers
◦ What resources can I use in my apps?
◦ Which platform should I choose?
 Users
◦ What should I buy?
◦ How long will it last?
◦ Will the price come down?
Pioneering Technology
35 Years Later HP 35s
Source: HP
Source: John Wolff’s Web Museum
Source: http://www.old-
computers.com/museum/computer.asp?c=900
Source: http://www.mac-history.de/allgemein/2008-05-
25/power-macintosh-6100-und-newton-message-pad-
110
EO Personal
Communicator 440, 1993
Source: Computer History
Museum,
Gift of Rob Carr
Source: Digibarn Computer Museum
Gift of Ed Satterthwaite
Apple QuickTake 100- 1994
Source: Cnet
Nokia 9000 Communicator – 1996
Sources: The Register, 2nd August 2007
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2007/08/02/nokia_new_coke/
Photo
http://www.freelance-writers.org/?p=222
“…as a device to carry data, the Rex was second to none... and it spared me
many pounds of luggage on many occasions...”
Source - http://disruptormonkey.typepad.com/monkey/dead_technology/
Source: PDAdb.net
Source: HP
Source: Ars Technica
EyeFi Cards in 2010
Source: EyeFi
What devices do people use
Source: Comscore Oct 2010
http://www.comscoredatamine.com/2010/10/japan
-mobile-users-most-likely-to-access-browser-
and-apps/
Source: Nielsen, State of Mobile Apps, Sept 2010
Categories of Apps used in the Past 30 Days by
Smartphone and Feature Phone Users
Source: Nielsen, State of Mobile Apps, Sept 2010
Most Popular Apps used in the Past 30 Days on
Different Platforms
Can one device do it all?
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
200920102011201220132014
MobileDeviceOSShipped
ToUsers‘000s
Other
Windows
iOS/Apple
RIM/Blackberry
Android
Symbian
Note: 2012 and 2013 numbers are interpolated.
Source: Gartner and Betanews Sept 2010
What Can You Do?
Can one device do it all?
September 17, 2009
Ms. Jen says:
I am a one device kind of girl. I carry a small
purse and I want one phone with a great
camera, an internet connection, and if it
must ring then so be it…
Source: Nokia Conversations
Source: Nokia
Source: Sonic Mule, Inc. Apple App Store
Airport Remote Monitor
Source: Sojern on Apple App Store
Source: Apple App Store and Bill Atkinson Photography
"Mobile phones give you 5 billon
points of presence in the market--the
opportunity is huge," John Dick, SVP
and CIO Western Union
Oct 2010
Source: CTIA Enterprise and
Applications 2010
Bank of America – Mobile Banking
Source: BofA on Apple App Store
Source: Apple App Store, Starbucks
Can one device do it all?
Source:
Android Marketplace
Source: Google
Source: Vouchar in Android Market
Source: Modula In Android Market
Source: Highway North Interactive
In Android Market
What Can You Do?
Source: Nokia 9/16/2009 - http://conversations.nokia.com/2009/09/16/how-many-phones-do-you-carry/
September 17, 2009
10:26 am
Saami Matloob says:
…its a hassle to
carry three or two
phones at a time
leave alone four as
mentioned in the
poll. I use three
phones.
New
Inventions
Source: http://www.hardwaresphere.com/2010/03/17/solar-
vest-a-wearable-solar-charger/
$29.99 from Mattel
Source:
http://www.66mobile.com/devices/futuris
tic-cellphone-concepts.html
Victorinox Presentation Master
2010
Source: Steffen
Müller/Victorinox
Victorinox Swiss Champ
Source: Victorinox
When Can One Device Do It All?
 Business Exec
◦ Multiple devices - home/work, netbook/tablet
 Soccer Mom
◦ Simple, light device
 Teenager
◦ Messaging, entertaining device
 Photographer
◦ Wants real camera
 Hiker or Biker
◦ Needs power, light device
We could
share a
phone?
Can I have
my own?

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Can one device do it all?

Editor's Notes

  • #6: The Compass portable was the first computer of the Grid company; and the very first clamshell laptop (GRiD had the patent on the clamshell idea).  It was an expensive portable business computer incorporating large memories (both RAM and data storage) for the time, but above all one of the first graphic amber plasma flat screen.  It was housed in in a matt-black finished magnesium case. Not only does this gave increased protection (and weight) that some plastic shells, it also acted as a heat-sink, so there was no cooling fan. Stangely, there was no carrying handle either. Above the keyboard was a panel displaying common command codes to refresh user's memory.  Instead of a disk drive, first Compass held a 384 KB non-volatile bubble memory (like the Sharp PC-5000). Software could be loaded from a Grid server, however, user could connect an external 360 KB floppy disc or 10 MB hard disk unit. The Compass also featured a built-in modem.  Source: www.old-computers.com http://www.old-computers.com/museum/computer.asp?c=900
  • #10: The camera was capable of storing eight photos at 640x480 resolution, 32 photos at 320x240 resolution, or a mixture of both sizes. All photos were at 24-bit color. The camera had a built-in flash, but no focus or zoom controls. Other than downloading the photos to a computer, there was no way to preview them on the camera, nor was there any way to delete individual photos from the camera (though there was a recessed 'trash' button which would delete the entire contents of the camera). It was one of the first digital cameras that were targeted to consumers to be released. Source: Wikipedia
  • #11: The first Communicator, the Nokia 9000, appeared in 1996. Despite its bulk, its awkward keyboard (even then, no match for the Psion PDAs of the day), and slow and expensive data connectivity, it won instant popularity with some important markets. Sales staff could send and receive faxes to make a proposal or clinch a deal, while the self-employed found it even more useful - it was an office computer in the pocket. The Noika 9000 communication is really great. It supports 2G network for GSM 900. The phone measures 173x64x38mm & weighs 397 grams. The standard lithium Lon battery lets you enjoy up to 35 hours of standby time & 3 hours of talk time. You can easily send & receive SMS, Email & fax via this device. The display is unique. It comes in the form of grayscale LCD & displays at 640×200 pixels resolution. The phone can be set on monophonic ring tones. You can store call records on this phone. There is a facility to store 10 dialed, 10 missed 16 received call records. The 8 MB internal memory is great to allow you to enjoy the best storage of your favorite stuff. The Nokia 9000 communication is available in amazing black color. Other features of this phone include system & security, Help, Organizer, Tern nail, Telnet & a lot more. This phone lets you enjoy the latest of mobile communication features. This phone looks great. You can flaunt the phone and prove your niche style in public. The Nokia 9000 communication is simply fabulous! Overall, a great mobile communication device!
  • #22: Gartner claims that Android will be second only to Symbian in mobile OS market share -- based on sales -- this year. By 2014, Symbian and Android will be near even -- with 30.2 percent and 29.6 percent share, respectively. The two so-called "open" mobile operating systems would command about 60 percent market share. With respect to Symbian's future, Gartner's forecast is the most damning to date. But it's worse for Microsoft's mobile operating system. "The worldwide mobile OS market is dominated by four players: Symbian, Android, Research In Motion and iOS," Roberta Cozza, Gartner principal research analyst, asserted in a statement. She predicts that the "OS space will consolidate around a few key OS providers," and she doesn't include Microsoft as one of them. Gartner puts Microsoft's mobile OS No. 6 in 2014, behind -- gasp -- Meego, which has negligible market share today. Intel and Nokia are codeveloping Meego. Market share is but one measure. Unit shipments is another. Gartner sees Windows Phone OS shipments little more than doubling in the forecast period (2009-2014) -- from 15 million to 34.5 million units. By comparison, Android shipments will rise to 259 million from 6.8 million units. IDC's forecast, also through 2014, is for smartphones, and it holds slim glimmers of hope for Microsoft: The analyst firm asserts the smartphone market can "comfortably support up to five OS players," which would include Microsoft. On smartphones, Microsoft's mobile OS will grow 43.3 percent through 2014, with share rising to nearly 10 percent. Apple's iOS share will fall to within 1.1 percent of Microsoft's mobile OS in 2014. Neither of these forecasts is particularly hopeful for Windows Phone 7, which circles back to the "Who will bury whom?" question. One answer: Analysts are burying Windows Phone 7. But are the epitaphs premature? What analyst in 2006 predicted that Apple would release an innovation-leading smartphone in 2007 or successful mobile applications store in 2008? Who in 2007 predicted that two years after the autumn 2008 launch of Google G1 that Android would be the world's second-most popular mobile operating system -- measured by market share? No credible analyst I know of. The point: In such a rapidly evolving market can analyst forecasts truly be trusted? I'm skeptical.
  • #26: The Environmental Literacy Council reported that the weight of a typical cell phone in the early 1990s was 10.5 ounces (298 grams; for comparison, a paperclip weighs about 1 gram) and in 2000 was 7.7 ounces (218 grams). In 2005, a typical cell phone weighed about 4 ounces (113 grams), exclusive of batteries and battery charger; this weight was used as the basis for the analyses that follow.
  • #27: Dr. Ge Wang Co-Founder, CTO, and Chief Creative Officer Ge is an Assistant Professor at Stanford University, at the Center for Computer Research in Music and Acoustics (CCRMA). He holds a PhD in Computer Science from Princeton University and a BS in Computer Science from Duke University. Ge is the creator and chief architect of the ChucK audio programming language, and is the founding director of the Stanford Laptop Orchestra (SLOrk) and of the Stanford Mobile Phone Orchestra (MoPhO).
  • #38: Why? Home/Work Entertainment/Office International Travel
  • #40: If you want one, Chinavasion has this Solar Vest CVFR-S09 selling for $126 right now. The Solar vest will help you collect sun energy through its 4 solar panels at the back side, and store it onto its 8,800mAh Capacity rechargeable battery. Coded s CVFR-S09, this made in China’s Solar vest is getting a complete set of power connectors and device connectors, so there is no way you can’t find the suitable connector for charging your modern gadgets.
  • #43: The term "Swiss Army knife" is a registered trademark owned by Wenger S.A. and Victorinox A.G.. It originated in Ibach Schwyz, Switzerland in 1897. As "Schweizer Offiziersmesser" (Swiss Officers Knife) was too difficult for them to say, they called it the "Swiss army knife", and that is the name it is now known by all over the world. In 2006 Wenger produced a knife called "The Giant" with 87 tools and 141 different functions that retailed for about GBP 550, and is recognised by the Guinness Book of Records as the world's most multifunctional penknife. The Guinness Book of Records recognizes a one-off 314-blade Swiss Army-style knife made in 1991 by Master Cutler Hans Meister as the world's largest penknife, weighing 11 pounds. For a review on the Presentation Master see: http://www.gadling.com/2010/01/12/review-victorinox-presentation-master-bluetooth-usb/ Laserpointer Bluetooth Remote Control Biometric Secured USB 2 Flash Memory Stick up to 32 GB Fingerprint module blades nailfile with screwdriver key ring, inox secure Application