The document outlines an approach to challenge an organization's innovation strategy by providing systematic insights into how trends may impact business and how the innovation portfolio aligns. It involves using an innovation radar screen to identify trends and their likelihood and impact. Strategic scenario thinking is then used to estimate the impact of trends on business value and match with capabilities. Gaps and opportunities in the innovation portfolio are identified to develop new business strategies and plans. This approach provides a conceptual model to analyze the relationship between trends, business impact, and the innovation portfolio.