How Does Your Claim
Department Measure Up?
www.theclm.org
Measuring Your Workers Compensation Claims
Department Using Data and Predictive Analytics
C. Michael Mattix, J.D., CPCU, ARe
Vice President, Claims and General Counsel
Armed Forces Insurance
Steven R. Henning, MBA, CPCU, Are
Vice President, Business Risk Review
Swiss Reinsurance
How Does Your Claim Department
Measure Up?
www.theclm.org
• Workers compensation claims
• Top 15 states
• Benchmarking exercise
• Audit of claim files – consistency
• Reserving: Analyze changes last 2 years
• Recommendations for improvement
• Follow-up to measure improvement
Project Scope
www.theclm.org
• Review of all relevant contracts, procedures
and policies
• Interviews with members of senior
management
• Audit of over 800 open lost time claims
• Multivariate Analysis of all WC transaction
data from 1994
Project Methodology
www.theclm.org
• Analyzed company data against known
industry benchmarking data:
Workers Compensation:
» NCCI
» WCRI
NOTE: USER BEWARE!
You must be a member of these organizations in order to use their data.
Even then, it is advisable to ask for permission to use in a benchmarking
exercise.
Benchmark Comparisons
www.theclm.org
2009/2010 claims
Average Incurred Benefits
More then 7 days lost time
© WCRI 2012. All rights reserved
www.theclm.org
What’s causing your pain?
Performance Metrics
www.theclm.org
Median and Average
Open Case Reserves
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
#Claims
Median $Case Reserve Avg $Case Reserve #Claims
www.theclm.org
Non-Initial Indemnity
Reserves Changes
$6,000
$7,353
$9,850
$9,000
$7,810 $8,023
$11,600
$10,915
$11,320
$12,500
$19,768
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
www.theclm.org
Open Case Reserves
California Only
$0
$1,000,000
$2,000,000
$3,000,000
$4,000,000
$5,000,000
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
1993 1994 1995 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
State CA
$Case Reserve
@YearEnd
PolEffYY
www.theclm.org
Open Case Reserves
California v. All Other
$0
$1,000,000
$2,000,000
$3,000,000
$4,000,000
$5,000,000
$6,000,000
$7,000,000
$8,000,000
$9,000,000
$10,000,000
CA NonCA CA NonCA CA NonCA CA NonCA
2001 2002 2003 2004
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
State (All) Before2001 2001-2004
$Case Reserve
@YearEnd CAvsNonCA
PolEffYY
www.theclm.org
New vs. Renewal Business
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
14,000,000
16,000,000
18,000,000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
New account in 2001+
OldAccount
LTclaim (All) Open (All) CAvsNonCA (All) State (All) Renewal (All)
Loss Exp OS
PolEffYY
Account Age
www.theclm.org
New vs. Renewal
California Only
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
New account in 2001+ OldAccount
LTclaim (All) Open (All) CAvsNonCA CA State (All) Renewal (All)
Loss Exp OS
PolEffYY
Account Age
www.theclm.org
Expense to Loss Ratio
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.12
0.14
0.16
12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
PaidExpense (All)
ExpenseToLoss
@
AccYY
www.theclm.org
Indemnity to Medical Ratio
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
IssuedDateMax (All)
IndToMed
@
AccYY
www.theclm.org
Claim Review
Data Collection Categories
Data Integrity
Initial Investigation
Claim Handling & Settlement
Expense Management
www.theclm.org
Date of Loss Correct
from First Report of Injury
Yes
82%
No
18%
www.theclm.org
Date of Report Correct
Date stamp (mail, fax, email, call log) in claim file
Yes
41%
No
59%
www.theclm.org
DATA INTEGRITY
Suggested Procedural Changes
Clear operational definitions
• Stress importance of data integrity
 Clear, unambiguous message
 Duty of every employee
Map from policy/claims system
• Performance metrics
 Adjuster responsible
 Part of performance evaluation
www.theclm.org
Re-opened Claims
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
0 1 2 3 4 5
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Open (All)
#Claims
CL_TIMES_CLOSED
DOIYY
www.theclm.org
Closed Lost-Time Claims
$1,708
$4,180
1,866
362
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
No ReOpen ReOpen
Median #Claims
www.theclm.org
Closed Lost Time Claims
$1,708
$4,180
$3,601
$23,399
1,866 1,702
164
362
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
No ReOpen ReOpen ReOpen - No Lawsuit ReOpen - Lawsuit
Median #Claims
www.theclm.org
Multivariate Analysis
Multivariate analysis (MVA) is based on the statistical
principle of multivariate statistics, which involves
observation and analysis of more than one statistical
variable at a time. In design and analysis, the
technique is used to perform trade studies across
multiple dimensions while taking into account the
effects of all variables on the responses of interest.
www.theclm.org
Multivariate Analysis
What did our analysis uncover?
Reserving Issue: Claims involving female workers were
under reserved by 12%
Severity: 3 occupational codes were driving the
severity
www.theclm.org
Multivariate Analysis
Why is this important?
www.theclm.org
 Innovators and entrepreneurs
well into implementation
 Focus on WC, GL and Auto BI
 Targeted at high/low cost
claimants, including those
involving fraud, litigation and
subrogation
 Broad interest by primary
insurers, TPAs and large self
insureds (No reinsurers!)
 Predictive models built custom
to the organization
 Standard practice in leading
companies
 Seamlessly integrated with
business rules and system
automation to drive results
 Early adopters leverage
capability to gain market share
 Pay-as-you-go type of predictive
models that leverage common IT
structure
TODAY 2014 and BEYOND
Industry assesses
value of predictive
modeling
Innovators
launch
technology
Slow movers
scramble to
catch up
Leaders achieve
competitive
advantage
PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS
www.theclm.org
Predictive Analytics
Focus on the “Vital Few”
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
0.25 0.5 1 1.75 2.5 3
4
7
30
50
PercentageofTotalIncurredLosses
Decile
Predictive analytics allow you to
focus additional resources on those
20% of claims responsible for 80%
of total payments
www.theclm.org
Performance Analytics
• Audit Sampling Considerations
• Primary claim file review
– Sample Size Criteria (population size, confidence
level, desired precision)
– Open/Closed (depends on issue reviewed)
– Size of Claim (segmented into large, medium,
small)
– By Line of Business
– By Adjuster/Supervisor/Branch Office
– Occurrence dates (weighted > 2007)
www.theclm.org
Performance Analytics
• All audit questions are objective (answers are
"Yes", "No" or "N/A")
• Broad range of adjuster behaviors measured,
focused on each phase of a well-managed
workers compensation file
– Coverage - Initial Investigation
– File Management - Reserving
– Recovery - Vendor Management
– Return to Work - Resolution
• Operational Definitions are specific, measurable,
actionable, realistic and time-oriented
www.theclm.org
Three Point Contact
3 days
3%
Late
13%
None
84%
www.theclm.org
Claim Reporting Lag
Time from DOL to DOR
0-3
26%
4-7
18%
8-14
16%
15-30
15%
More than 30
25%
www.theclm.org
Accident Verification
Meaningful Contact with Employer and Employee
Yes
60%
No
40%
www.theclm.org
Witnesses
Contact/interview with identified witnesses
Yes
33%
No
67%
www.theclm.org
AWW Verification
Yes
57%
No
43%
www.theclm.org
ISO Filing
Initial filing within 10 days and appropriate refilings
Yes
58%
No
42%
www.theclm.org
Initial Investigation
Suggested Procedural Changes
Loss Intake Process:
Importance of the First Few Days
 Improved Data Integrity
 Ensure requisite documents are available for claim
handling
 Establish rapport with injured worker
 Establish clear factual basis of loss
 Obtain clear plan of treatment from treating physicians
www.theclm.org
Initial Investigation
Suggested Procedural Changes
Three-Point Contact
Witness Contact/Statements
ISO filings
Accident Verification
 Mandatory
 Clear Operational Definitions
 Performance Metrics
 Documentation
www.theclm.org
Claim Management
Suggested Procedural Changes
Medical records
Request treatment plans/outcomes
Surveillance
 Clear assignment (physical manifestation of injury, physical
description/photo)
 Limit number of hours/days of assignment
www.theclm.org
Claim Management
Suggested Procedural Changes
IMEs
 Clear assignment: Send complete medical records, claim notes,
surveillance results, pleadings, depositions, etc.
 Ask specific questions about causation and treatment (modalities and
frequency), etc.
 Keep the end in mind (i.e., what is the goal of performing the IME?)
www.theclm.org
Claim Management
Suggested Procedural Changes
Action Plan in file
 Action plan completed by adjuster no later than 60 days from
assignment
 Contains specific actions, dates and actors
Supervisor Notes
 Timing -- regular cadence (e.g., 30, 60, 120, etc.)
 Specific file direction/action
www.theclm.org
Claim Management
Suggested Procedural Changes
Reserves
 Use reserve worksheet – document changes
 Set timely; reviewed timely
 Consider using statistical reserves for 90 days
 Place medical reserves on files with PTD or lifetime medical exposure
 Review underlying assumptions annually
 Consistent with Company Philosophy
 Clear operational definition
 Changed circumstances
 Audits
www.theclm.org
Claim Management
Suggested Procedural Changes
Expense Management
 Legal Assignment
 Legal Expenses
 Medical Case Management Assignment
 Medical Case Management Expenses
 Vocational Rehabilitation Assignment
 Vocational Rehabilitation Expenses
 Claim Handler Maintaining Control
www.theclm.org
Organizational Recommendation
 Claim Intake Unit
 Large Loss Unit
 Settlement Specialist
 Supervisors are strictly administrative
 Claim Committee (Formal and informal)
www.theclm.org
Questions
Thank you for the opportunity to discuss this
exciting topic. We are glad to respond to any
questions you may have.
www.theclm.org
Legal Notice
• ©2012 Armed Forces Insurance and Swiss Re. All rights
reserved.
• You are not permitted to create any modifications or derivatives of this
presentation or to use it for commercial or other public purposes without
the prior written permission of Armed Forces Insurance and Swiss Re.
• Although all the information used was taken from reliable sources, Armed
Forces Insurance and Swiss Re do not accept any responsibility for the
accuracy or comprehensiveness of the details given. All liability for the
accuracy and completeness thereof or for any damage resulting from the
use of the information contained in this presentation is expressly
excluded. Under no circumstances shall Armed Forces Insurance, its
affiliates or Swiss Re or its Group companies be liable for any financial
and/or consequential loss relating to this presentation.

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Claim Analytics.pptx %5bRead-Only%5d (1)

  • 1. How Does Your Claim Department Measure Up?
  • 2. www.theclm.org Measuring Your Workers Compensation Claims Department Using Data and Predictive Analytics C. Michael Mattix, J.D., CPCU, ARe Vice President, Claims and General Counsel Armed Forces Insurance Steven R. Henning, MBA, CPCU, Are Vice President, Business Risk Review Swiss Reinsurance How Does Your Claim Department Measure Up?
  • 3. www.theclm.org • Workers compensation claims • Top 15 states • Benchmarking exercise • Audit of claim files – consistency • Reserving: Analyze changes last 2 years • Recommendations for improvement • Follow-up to measure improvement Project Scope
  • 4. www.theclm.org • Review of all relevant contracts, procedures and policies • Interviews with members of senior management • Audit of over 800 open lost time claims • Multivariate Analysis of all WC transaction data from 1994 Project Methodology
  • 5. www.theclm.org • Analyzed company data against known industry benchmarking data: Workers Compensation: » NCCI » WCRI NOTE: USER BEWARE! You must be a member of these organizations in order to use their data. Even then, it is advisable to ask for permission to use in a benchmarking exercise. Benchmark Comparisons
  • 6. www.theclm.org 2009/2010 claims Average Incurred Benefits More then 7 days lost time © WCRI 2012. All rights reserved
  • 7. www.theclm.org What’s causing your pain? Performance Metrics
  • 8. www.theclm.org Median and Average Open Case Reserves - 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 - 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 #Claims Median $Case Reserve Avg $Case Reserve #Claims
  • 9. www.theclm.org Non-Initial Indemnity Reserves Changes $6,000 $7,353 $9,850 $9,000 $7,810 $8,023 $11,600 $10,915 $11,320 $12,500 $19,768 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
  • 10. www.theclm.org Open Case Reserves California Only $0 $1,000,000 $2,000,000 $3,000,000 $4,000,000 $5,000,000 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 1993 1994 1995 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 State CA $Case Reserve @YearEnd PolEffYY
  • 11. www.theclm.org Open Case Reserves California v. All Other $0 $1,000,000 $2,000,000 $3,000,000 $4,000,000 $5,000,000 $6,000,000 $7,000,000 $8,000,000 $9,000,000 $10,000,000 CA NonCA CA NonCA CA NonCA CA NonCA 2001 2002 2003 2004 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 State (All) Before2001 2001-2004 $Case Reserve @YearEnd CAvsNonCA PolEffYY
  • 12. www.theclm.org New vs. Renewal Business 0 2,000,000 4,000,000 6,000,000 8,000,000 10,000,000 12,000,000 14,000,000 16,000,000 18,000,000 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 New account in 2001+ OldAccount LTclaim (All) Open (All) CAvsNonCA (All) State (All) Renewal (All) Loss Exp OS PolEffYY Account Age
  • 13. www.theclm.org New vs. Renewal California Only 0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 New account in 2001+ OldAccount LTclaim (All) Open (All) CAvsNonCA CA State (All) Renewal (All) Loss Exp OS PolEffYY Account Age
  • 14. www.theclm.org Expense to Loss Ratio 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.12 0.14 0.16 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 PaidExpense (All) ExpenseToLoss @ AccYY
  • 15. www.theclm.org Indemnity to Medical Ratio 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 IssuedDateMax (All) IndToMed @ AccYY
  • 16. www.theclm.org Claim Review Data Collection Categories Data Integrity Initial Investigation Claim Handling & Settlement Expense Management
  • 17. www.theclm.org Date of Loss Correct from First Report of Injury Yes 82% No 18%
  • 18. www.theclm.org Date of Report Correct Date stamp (mail, fax, email, call log) in claim file Yes 41% No 59%
  • 19. www.theclm.org DATA INTEGRITY Suggested Procedural Changes Clear operational definitions • Stress importance of data integrity  Clear, unambiguous message  Duty of every employee Map from policy/claims system • Performance metrics  Adjuster responsible  Part of performance evaluation
  • 20. www.theclm.org Re-opened Claims 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 0 1 2 3 4 5 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Open (All) #Claims CL_TIMES_CLOSED DOIYY
  • 22. www.theclm.org Closed Lost Time Claims $1,708 $4,180 $3,601 $23,399 1,866 1,702 164 362 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 No ReOpen ReOpen ReOpen - No Lawsuit ReOpen - Lawsuit Median #Claims
  • 23. www.theclm.org Multivariate Analysis Multivariate analysis (MVA) is based on the statistical principle of multivariate statistics, which involves observation and analysis of more than one statistical variable at a time. In design and analysis, the technique is used to perform trade studies across multiple dimensions while taking into account the effects of all variables on the responses of interest.
  • 24. www.theclm.org Multivariate Analysis What did our analysis uncover? Reserving Issue: Claims involving female workers were under reserved by 12% Severity: 3 occupational codes were driving the severity
  • 26. www.theclm.org  Innovators and entrepreneurs well into implementation  Focus on WC, GL and Auto BI  Targeted at high/low cost claimants, including those involving fraud, litigation and subrogation  Broad interest by primary insurers, TPAs and large self insureds (No reinsurers!)  Predictive models built custom to the organization  Standard practice in leading companies  Seamlessly integrated with business rules and system automation to drive results  Early adopters leverage capability to gain market share  Pay-as-you-go type of predictive models that leverage common IT structure TODAY 2014 and BEYOND Industry assesses value of predictive modeling Innovators launch technology Slow movers scramble to catch up Leaders achieve competitive advantage PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS
  • 27. www.theclm.org Predictive Analytics Focus on the “Vital Few” 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 0.25 0.5 1 1.75 2.5 3 4 7 30 50 PercentageofTotalIncurredLosses Decile Predictive analytics allow you to focus additional resources on those 20% of claims responsible for 80% of total payments
  • 28. www.theclm.org Performance Analytics • Audit Sampling Considerations • Primary claim file review – Sample Size Criteria (population size, confidence level, desired precision) – Open/Closed (depends on issue reviewed) – Size of Claim (segmented into large, medium, small) – By Line of Business – By Adjuster/Supervisor/Branch Office – Occurrence dates (weighted > 2007)
  • 29. www.theclm.org Performance Analytics • All audit questions are objective (answers are "Yes", "No" or "N/A") • Broad range of adjuster behaviors measured, focused on each phase of a well-managed workers compensation file – Coverage - Initial Investigation – File Management - Reserving – Recovery - Vendor Management – Return to Work - Resolution • Operational Definitions are specific, measurable, actionable, realistic and time-oriented
  • 30. www.theclm.org Three Point Contact 3 days 3% Late 13% None 84%
  • 31. www.theclm.org Claim Reporting Lag Time from DOL to DOR 0-3 26% 4-7 18% 8-14 16% 15-30 15% More than 30 25%
  • 32. www.theclm.org Accident Verification Meaningful Contact with Employer and Employee Yes 60% No 40%
  • 35. www.theclm.org ISO Filing Initial filing within 10 days and appropriate refilings Yes 58% No 42%
  • 36. www.theclm.org Initial Investigation Suggested Procedural Changes Loss Intake Process: Importance of the First Few Days  Improved Data Integrity  Ensure requisite documents are available for claim handling  Establish rapport with injured worker  Establish clear factual basis of loss  Obtain clear plan of treatment from treating physicians
  • 37. www.theclm.org Initial Investigation Suggested Procedural Changes Three-Point Contact Witness Contact/Statements ISO filings Accident Verification  Mandatory  Clear Operational Definitions  Performance Metrics  Documentation
  • 38. www.theclm.org Claim Management Suggested Procedural Changes Medical records Request treatment plans/outcomes Surveillance  Clear assignment (physical manifestation of injury, physical description/photo)  Limit number of hours/days of assignment
  • 39. www.theclm.org Claim Management Suggested Procedural Changes IMEs  Clear assignment: Send complete medical records, claim notes, surveillance results, pleadings, depositions, etc.  Ask specific questions about causation and treatment (modalities and frequency), etc.  Keep the end in mind (i.e., what is the goal of performing the IME?)
  • 40. www.theclm.org Claim Management Suggested Procedural Changes Action Plan in file  Action plan completed by adjuster no later than 60 days from assignment  Contains specific actions, dates and actors Supervisor Notes  Timing -- regular cadence (e.g., 30, 60, 120, etc.)  Specific file direction/action
  • 41. www.theclm.org Claim Management Suggested Procedural Changes Reserves  Use reserve worksheet – document changes  Set timely; reviewed timely  Consider using statistical reserves for 90 days  Place medical reserves on files with PTD or lifetime medical exposure  Review underlying assumptions annually  Consistent with Company Philosophy  Clear operational definition  Changed circumstances  Audits
  • 42. www.theclm.org Claim Management Suggested Procedural Changes Expense Management  Legal Assignment  Legal Expenses  Medical Case Management Assignment  Medical Case Management Expenses  Vocational Rehabilitation Assignment  Vocational Rehabilitation Expenses  Claim Handler Maintaining Control
  • 43. www.theclm.org Organizational Recommendation  Claim Intake Unit  Large Loss Unit  Settlement Specialist  Supervisors are strictly administrative  Claim Committee (Formal and informal)
  • 44. www.theclm.org Questions Thank you for the opportunity to discuss this exciting topic. We are glad to respond to any questions you may have.
  • 45. www.theclm.org Legal Notice • ©2012 Armed Forces Insurance and Swiss Re. All rights reserved. • You are not permitted to create any modifications or derivatives of this presentation or to use it for commercial or other public purposes without the prior written permission of Armed Forces Insurance and Swiss Re. • Although all the information used was taken from reliable sources, Armed Forces Insurance and Swiss Re do not accept any responsibility for the accuracy or comprehensiveness of the details given. All liability for the accuracy and completeness thereof or for any damage resulting from the use of the information contained in this presentation is expressly excluded. Under no circumstances shall Armed Forces Insurance, its affiliates or Swiss Re or its Group companies be liable for any financial and/or consequential loss relating to this presentation.