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Complexity theory and public management: a ‘becoming’ field
Since the special edition of Public Management Review on
‘Complexity Theory and Public Management’
in 2008 (Volume 10 (3)), co-edited by Geert Teisman and Erik-
Hans Klijn, academic interest in complexity
theory, and how it might be used to understand the world and
inform design and intervention in the
public policy/public management field, has grown and matured.
The inspiration for this special issue
arose out of intensive interactions among interested scholars in
conference panels (at American Society
for Public Administration, International Research Society for
Public Management, and the Challenges of
Making Public Administration and Complexity Theory group)
over the past few years and the realization
that a ‘stock-taking’ was required. While many public
management scholars knew a little bit about
complexity – and some knew a lot – there was still no consensus
about the contribution complexity
theory could or could not make to theory and practice. While we
did not achieve consensus this time
around, the papers selected for this edition provide a picture of
where we are and where scholars in this
field think we should go, and some examples of the most
promising routes to get there. Before
summarizing these findings, we provide a brief overview of
where we have come from and why we are
still a ‘becoming’ field.
Challenging fundamental assumptions
Nineteenth- and twentieth-century sciences which developed
beneath the umbra of Newtonian
theories, embedded some pervasive assumptions which might be
crudely summarized as (1)
relationships between individual components of any system can
be understood by isolating the
interacting parts, (2) there is a predictability to the relationship
among the parts, and (3) the result of
interactions and the working whole might eventually be
understood by simply summing the parts. So in
much the same way as the expert clockmaker might be able to
design, build, disassemble, and modify a
clock, understanding the individual parts and how they fit
together leads to understanding the
functioning whole and the capability to replicate it precisely as
required. This paradigm is dominated by
mechanical metaphors and leads to an assumption that the sum
of the parts equals the whole.
Dissatisfaction with the limitations of mechanical explanations
led to more sophisticated models which
were better at explaining the observed behaviour, initially of the
physical world, and then increasingly
the biological, ecological, and social worlds (e.g. Byrne 1998;
Cilliers 1998; Holland 1995; Kauffman
1993; Prigogine 1978; Prigogine and Stengers 1984; Stacey
1993; Waldrop 1992). Such modelling offered
new ontological insights about the nature of our world and the
way it behaves. This is summed up
briefly by saying that there are recursive, ongoing non-linear
interactions between the elements that
make up the whole and these elements adapt to each other in
non-linear ways. Their interactions create
contingency and uncertainty about what the future will become.
As a result, the whole lacks the
predictability of the machine model. Boulton (2010) refers to a
complex world view as ‘becoming’
because individual components in these worlds are
interdependent and in processes of ongoing
interaction with each other with the result that the world is not
static and fixed, but dynamic, ever-
changing, and becoming something different from what it was in
the past. Recognition of such inherent
uncertainty leads to a conclusion that Newtonian-like
mechanical models are inadequate for these types
of systems because the sum of the parts does not equal the
whole. Understanding of the whole cannot
be based only on an understanding of the disaggregated parts
because of the ongoing non-linear change
caused by the interactions between the parts. This shift in
understanding brings us to a complexity
world view: ‘sandwiched between a view that the world works
like a machine and a view that the world
is chaotic, unpredictable and without structure’ (Boulton, Allen,
and Bowman 2015, 29).
In this complexity-informed world view, ongoing non-linear
interactions result in macro patterns
becoming established. Complexity theory explains the way
many, repeated non-linear interactions
among elements within a whole result in macro forms and
patterns which emerge without design or
direction. Further, an initial pattern might be disrupted by
external events or internal processes and
reform into some new pattern. Boulton and colleagues sum up
what they call the ‘central tenet of
complexity theory’ and its contribution to understanding change
as ‘the detail and the variation’ of each
action – the effect of a regulation on various actors for example
– ‘coupled with the interconnection’ of
action and environment that ‘provide the fuel for innovation,
evolution and learning’ (Boulton, Allen,
and Bowman 2015, 29). That is, the future is a contingent,
emergent, systemic, and potentially path-
dependent product of reflexive non-linear interactions between
existing patterns and events. Its variety,
diversity, variation, and fluctuations can give rise to resili ence
and adaptability; is path dependent,
contingent on local context and on the sequence of what
happens; subject to episodic changes that can
tip into new regimes; has more than one future; can self-
organize, self-regulate; and have new features
emerge.
Introducing a complexity frame to public management
As an alternative to Newtonian mechanics, this last observation
about the contribution of complexity
theory for understanding unpredictability and change in human
systems leads us to its relevance for the
study of public policy and public management. Scholars and
practitioners of public policy and public
management are concerned with how to create or change
particular patterns of interaction between
actors to get a particular result: for example, how might
governments design a set of institutions to
bring about certain behaviours; or given a set of institutions,
how might the interactions between actors
and the institutions be governed to achieve a particular
outcome; and how might unintended negative
effects be avoided or positive ones enhanced? Furthermore,
complexity theory facilitates a focus on
multiple levels of scale simultaneously. Thus the individual
actors, and multiple layers of institutions of
varying complexity which interact, can all be brought into view
through the multi-scalar complexity lens.
We note, within the diverse scientific traditions of public policy
and public management theories,
attempts to explain dynamism and non-linear contingency in
how change takes place have become an
increasingly pertinent concern (Eppel 2017). In the last 20 years
– and rising sharply from around 2008
(Gerrits and Marks 2015) – we see increasingly explicit use of
complexity theory concepts for explaining
the way the public policy/management worlds behave and how
we might better design and manage
change in these worlds. David Byrne has also deepened our
understanding of the methodological
implications of complexity for the social sciences generally
(Byrne, 1011, Byrne and Callaghan 2014).
Scholars such as Sanderson (2009), Room (2011), and Morcol
(2012) have all argued for complexity
theory for understanding of how the social world of policy
processes work. Cairney (2012, 2013; Cairney
and Geyer, 2017) caution us that the looseness with which
complexity concepts are sometimes applied
could be an impediment but they also see a place for complexity
theory as a bridge between academic
and policymaker perspectives in support of pragmatism and
insights about how to influence emergent
behaviour. Sanderson (2009) advocates that the ambiguity and
uncertainty arising from a complex
adaptive world can be mitigated through the use of an
epistemology based on pragmatism and
complexity theory. Room (2011) suggests a blending of extant
theories such as institutionalism with
complexity theory for better understanding the micro/macro
dynamics of public policy. He suggests that
there is a complementarity in which complexity theory supplies
the micro mechanisms lacking in
institutional theory and institutional theory supplies a macro
framing specific to public policy which
complexity theory lacks. Morcol (2012) argues further that
complexity theory provides mechanisms and
concepts for understanding the macro/micro problems at the
heart of public policy process. That is,
complexity theory provides a micro mechanism for explaining
the macro patterns of interest to public
policy scholars. Growing interest in complexity and policy is
evidenced in the establishment of a new
Journal on Policy and Complex Systems in 2014.
In a parallel and consistent vein, Teisman and colleagues in the
Netherlands (Teisman, van Buuren, and
Gerrits 2009), Rhodes and colleagues in Ireland (Rhodes et al.
2011), Koliba and colleagues in the United
States (Koliba, Meek, and Zia 2011), and Eppel and colleagues
in New Zealand (Eppel, Turner, and Wolf
2011) have each employed complexity theory concepts to better
understand the core processes of
public management such as agenda setting, policy formation,
decision-making, and implementation.
These authors have more or less independently come to the
conclusion that complexity theory and
network theory are required and should be linked together to
provide an adequate basis on which to
develop governance theory and practice guidelines in modern
public management contexts. The extent
of complementarity between complexity theory and network
governance (Klijn and Koppenjan 2014;
Koppenjan and Klijn 2014) and new public management
theories is reflected in the establishment of the
journal Complexity, Governance and Networks in 2014.
Others have taken aim at how public sector change might be
better managed generally by enlisting
complexity thinking and concepts to inform processes of
designing and generating change (Boulton,
Allen, and Bowman 2015; Geyer and Rihani 2010; Innes and
Booher 2010). These authors identify
common themes such as the impossibility of prediction and
therefore the need to adopt more
experimental approaches to intervention based on the
assumption that there will be new phenomena
(unknown unknowns) likely to emerge endogenously. What has
occurred previously will continue to
affect the present (and the future). As a result, any externally
applied change will have uncertain effects,
some of which will lead to a helpful change and some not so.
Doing public policy and public
management in such a world requires cognisance of the above
characteristics – and particularly the
dynamics of self-organization, path-dependency, adaptation, and
emergence – in how we approach
policy and change (Rhodes et al. 2011). We also need
complexity’s lens to see the whole while taking
into account the relationships between the elements at different
levels of scale. Koliba and Zia (2012)
talk about the need for complexity friendly methods for
modelling the complex governance system.
Innes and Booher (2010) built their theory of collaborative
rationality for public policy on analysis of the
ongoing dialectic interaction between collaboration and praxis
as a means for understanding complex
change. Cairney and Geyer (2015) have made a substantial
contribution to thinking about the
contribution of complexity theory to policy studies and how it
might add to understanding of particular
policy fields, such as health (Tenbensel 2013) or concepts such
as power (Room, 2015) as well as
complexity friendly methods for research and practice.
Overview of papers in this edition
This plethora of contributions and theoretical explorations cries
out for framing and assessment to help
guide scholars engaging with complexity in the public
management/policy domains. To that end, our call
for contributions asked authors to consider how complexity
contributes to public management theory
and practice using one (or more) of three lenses: (1) complexity
theory-informed alternative
perspectives on the framing of problems and design of processes
of public administration to be
considered, (2) insights into alternative institutions that are
shaping public administration and
management processes, and (3) alternative practices to match
the complexity of the environment and
the challenges faced by public management scholars
administrators.
Furthermore, we note the need for a distinction to be made
between the use of complexity theory to
create and test concepts and theories to describe the world as it
is (which is often the domain of the
natural sciences), and the use of these concepts and theories to
design and bring about change (this
latter often the domain of social sciences). While these
perspectives inform each other, they often rely
on different ontological and epistemological foundations, and
this is apparent in the papers in this
special edition where we see both describe and design features
in the way authors have used
complexity theory.
Alternative perspectives
Alternative perspectives provided by complexity theory have
evolved markedly in the intervening years
between this issue and the last special issue of PMR addressing
complexity. We have already mentioned
the application of complexity concepts to understanding multi -
actor decision-making and institutional
change for instance. The authors in this issue further explore
models which attempt to incorporate the
specific use of complexity concepts such as feedback loops,
adaptation, attractors, and emergence to
reframe understanding of common phenomena experienced in
public administration such as policy
processes, implementation, natural resources management, and
public-sector reform.
In all of the papers in this issue, there is the explicit recognition
that a complexity perspective entails the
rejection of assumptions of predictability and control in public
management, and the adoption of
assumptions of multiple, interacting self-organizing entities that
learn and change over time. While
there are periods of stable behaviour and features of the system
that function as constraints on
elements of the system, the diversity and adaptation of entities
creates the possibility for both
evolutionary and unpredictable, sudden change.
An example of two inter-country independent decision-making
processes that became coupled over
time is used by Marks and Gerrits to illustrate the contribution
of game theoretic models to
understanding complex public administration processes. Their
game theory model is tested through an
experiment aimed at explaining how representatives of the two
governments involved who met each
other in two presumed independent decision-making arenas took
the history of their interactions from
one to the other, thereby influencing the overall outcome. Thus
they demonstrate the interdependency
and connectedness between systems that otherwise might be
assumed independent. Further, the
authors provide a testable formalized model that describes the
interaction and co-evolution of
independent agents over time for future scholars to build upon.
Haynes makes use of complexity theory to focus on multiple
levels of public administration systems. He
extends the conceptualization of the public administration
complex system to include the behaviour
disposition of the individual in relation to their public and
personal values, to conclude that the multi-
level capacity in complexity theory is, in part, bounded by
public service values. Further, he uses the
complexity concept of attractors to explain how public service
values at different levels (individual,
family/community, professional, and political) can play a role
in constraining (or indeed enabling) system
change over time. Both Haynes and Marks & Gerrits extend the
understanding of complex adaptive
systems (CAS) theory and public management by taking their
analysis of participating actors below the
level of description of the organization and the institutions.
They consider the largely unconscious
psychological dispositions of individual actors and their history
with other actors and its influence on
patterns of institutional and organizational decision-making
which are relevant to the design.
Rather than develop new models, Rhodes and Dowling assess to
what extent fitness landscape models
(Wright 1932; Kaufmann and Levin 1987) have been used
effectively by public management scholars to
date through a systematic review. Fitness landscapes are
evolutionary models that capture how the
behaviour and characteristics of independent agents operating in
a shared context result in individual
and system-wide outcomes. The authors remark on their
frequent use at the level of metaphor and the
limited attention paid to mapping the concepts of the model to
the features of the empirical
phenomenon being described. This conclusion might easily be
applied to a number of other complexity
concepts (Cairney and Geyer 2017), which, after several
decades of scholarly effort, raises concerns
about the translation of these concepts into the public
management domain. Nevertheless, Rhodes and
Dowling conclude that in combination with network theory,
fitness landscape models are ‘more aligned
with the actual features of complex governance systems than
game theory models which rely on highly
stylized assumptions about how agents behave and equally
fuzzy definitions of performance’ (Rhodes
and Dowling, this issue). We return to these ‘fuzzy definitions
of performance’ in our conclusion.
Alternative institutions
Alternative institutions are those that can influence the actions
of interdependent, autonomous agents
as they iteratively explore alternative solutions to wicked
problems, such as distributed authority
arrangements, multi-sector for a for decision-making and multi-
channel feedback arising from new
communication technologies. For example, in Haynes’
contribution, the notions of public service values
and public value are explored through the lens of CAS theory.
The paper offers a concrete and practical
example for understanding the dynamic influence of values on
complex policy systems. Haynes argues
for recognition of ‘soft’ patterns of values such as belief
systems and their dynamic influence on
organizational behaviours as well as ‘hard’ patterns such as
rules and structures and shows how the CAS
lens enables this.
Castlenovo and colleagues attend to the issues raised by the
federal–state–local governance structures
and how these might be re-imagined/understood using
complexity theory. For them, their complexity-
based lens acts as a heuristic device to understand the
misalignment of locally implemented outcomes
with the centrally defined objectives of a nationwide public
programme in Italy where the ‘Napoleonic’
administrative traditions dominate – arguing for a rethinking of
these traditions.
Tenbensel, rather than arguing for a particular type of
institutional change, builds on the approach taken
by Room (2011) and advocated by Cairney and Geyer (2017) in
bringing institutional theory together
with complexity theory using Crouch’s concept of recombinant
governance. Through an examination of
the fitness of various governance hybrids in the health sector in
New Zealand he demonstrates the
usefulness of being able to distinguish among various versions
of hybridity and to argue for a more
evolutionary perspective on institutional design and change.
Alternative practices
Complexity offers alternative ways of framing intervention and
bringing about successful change that
navigates the traps of unexpected changes and opens up
different ways of achieving innovation. Gear
and colleagues take us into the conceptual framing and research
methodology needed to examine the
complex problem of intimate partner violence (IPV). They
identify the limitations faced in developing
healthcare interventions in the absence of a complex adaptive
systems view. Existing efforts to
understand sustainable approaches in primary healthcare
settings have been dominated by the direct
cause–effect thinking reflected in randomized control trials and
like methodologies that have been so
prevalent in health research. Reframing the person entrapped by
IPV and their world, and the world of a
primary healthcare setting as two interacting complex adaptive
systems, shifts the research focus to the
reflexive interactions that occur between the person
experiencing IPV and the primary healthcare
setting. According to CAS theory, we would expect these
interactions to lead to mutual adaptations
within each of these complex systems, and therefore
intervention sustainability will occur when the
interaction and mutual adaptation generate outcomes that
stimulate ongoing engagement by both
systems. Without the CAS perspective, the self-organization,
coevolution, and emergence that leads to
sustainability cannot be studied. The conceptualization and
research design developed to study
healthcare responses to IPV might also be more widely
applicable to other complex social interventions.
Sustainability of the collaborative governance network is also
the focus of Scott and colleagues.
Complexity theory concepts are used to both describe how
sustainability is linked to the adaptability
and flexibility of the collaborative project but also to offer
insights into how the collaborative process
might be designed to encourage the development of
sustainability. Like many other papers in this
edition, their use of complexity theory is combined with other
theories – collaborative governance, in
this instance.
Meek and Marshall use a CAS lens to understand how the multi -
actor institutional governance of a
complex Southern Californian metropolitan water system
contributes to an adaptive resilience able to
respond effectively to the external stressors of severe and
sustained drought. Ongoing self-organization
and adaptation within and among the governance actors and
other stakeholders are characteristics of
the governance system which lead to emergent features which
help maintain resilience.
In the Castelnovo paper referred to already, we encounter the
empirical descriptions needed to
interpret the complexity factors that shaped an implementation
trajectory. They offer self-organization,
co-evolution, and emergence as mechanisms for understanding
the peculiar implementation path which
might otherwise be assumed to be the cumulative effect of a
series of legislative interventions not
always coherent in and among themselves. In so doing they
pave the way for the design of alternative
implementation practices.
Finally, scholar-teachers have also begun to incorporate
complexity theory into teaching practice. It has
proved useful for both integrating theories and for helping
students and practitioners to better frame
and understand the challenges of public management. In schools
of government, planning, and business
we are starting to see individual modules, components of
programmes, and indeed entire master’s
degrees being developed to introduce students to a complexity
‘perspective’ and to be exposed to the
tools and techniques to understand and intervene in complex
systems. Due to constraints of space, this
issue does not include any articles on this topic, but instead the
editors are working on a separate
special issue in ‘Complexity, Governance & Networks’
dedicated to the ways complexity is being taught
to public management/policy students around the world.
Whither complexity in public management?
The relevance of complexity theory for circumventing the
weaknesses of a mechanistic approach to
understanding public policy and management has been well -
trodden ground for decades. That this
continues to be pursued as complexity theory spreads across
policy domains suggests that it is this
fundamental capacity that is at the core of the attraction for
many scholars and practitioners. As
highlighted above, the use of complexity theory in public
management has developed both in relation to
the description of phenomena and design of institutions and
interventions to effect change.
From a theoretical perspective, the scholarship of the last
decade and the papers in this volume
demonstrate that complexity theory sits alongside, and in many
cases augments existing theories of
public policy and public management. Public policy and public
management draw on a variety of parent
disciplines such as politics, organization science, economics,
management, sociology, and psychology
(Raadschelders 2011) and bridging or integrating this plurality
continues to be an implicit – and in some
cases explicit – objective of scholars applying complexity
theory to this domain. A complexity
perspective can describe how interdependent agents interact
over time – within the constraints of
history, institutional forms, and/or values – to increase or
decrease overall (or individual) fitness,
sustainability, or resilience. It does this without the need to fall
back on predictable cause and effect
relationships among agents or contexts while still leaving room
for the identification of patterns and
likely pathways.
Furthermore, the ‘positive role for complexity theory as a way
to bridge academic and policy maker
discussions’ (Cairney and Geyer 2017, 1) – and we would add
‘practitioners’ – is evident in many of the
papers. Complexity acts as a challenge to the quest for certainty
in policymaking and also prompts
discussion about the role of pragmatism in policymaking. In this
issue, authors have argued for linking
complexity frameworks with institutional theory, network
theory, public value theory, and game theory
to better understand the dynamics of processes, outcomes, and
change in public policy/management
systems over time. Its strengths lie in its facilitation of a focus
on multiple levels of scale and its
provision of micro-level mechanisms for macro-level theories
such as institutional theory and
punctuated equilibrium theory (Eppel 2017). The key
mechanisms explored in this issue are based on
game theoretic interactions, search processes on fitness
landscapes, evolution arising from recombinant
novelty, and information exchange in networks – building on
the core complexity dynamics of self-
organization, adaptability, and emergence. In respect of
institutions, the conclusion one may draw from
these papers is that it is unlikely that current institutional forms
– whether they be hierarchical, market,
network, or values based – exhaust the range of potential
institutional forms that could be designed or
evolve in the public policy and administration space.
Experimenting with new forms would appear to be
an important complexity-friendly policymaking practice that
would lead to more sustainable public
systems.
The concepts of ‘sustainability’ and ‘resilience’ make an
appearance in several of the articles in this issue
as objectives of research and practice that are facilitated by a
complexity approach. However, there is
little agreement or indeed clear definition about what either of
these outcomes represent in the context
of public administration. Survival – or the ongoing existence of
agents, institutions, or systems if not of
the individual humans that make these up – is, of course, one
option, but this is not clarified or
challenged either in the papers in this issue or in the wider
academic community. It is incumbent upon
those scholars working in this area and using these concepts to
clearly define and debate what they
mean if the policy or practice recommendations arising from
their research are to be seriously
considered.
In addition to this definitional lacuna around sustainability and
resilience, the incorporation of
performance management research, theory and practice, has
been largely absent in the public
administration complexity literature. The fitness landscape
literature would appear to provide an
obvious link to performance, as evidenced by the use of the
phrase ‘performance landscapes’ to
describe this approach in organizational theory (Siggelkow and
Levinthal 2003; Rhodes and Donnelly-Cox
2008). This leads us to speculate about the compatibility of
complexity theory with our basic
understanding of the nature of performance management. The
issue may partially be due to the
multidimensionality of performance management (Bouckaert
and Halligan 2008) and the limitations of
how performance management has been conceived and practised
in the new public management
environment (Moynihan et al. 2011). Moynihan and colleagues
(2011) point to the limitations of current
research on performance management to take adequate
cognisance of governance complexity. So there
appears to be some room for each scholarly trajectory to learn
from the other.
But perhaps more important is that fact that we are still quite
far from developing complexity-based
models of agent interactions, behaviour, and change over time
that demonstrably produce/predict real-
world outcomes of any kind, not just performance. However, the
kind of direct cause and effect theories
we have come to believe represent the pinnacle of scholarly
achievement and the reliance on
experiments or random control trials to prove same are unlikely
to address the sorts of ‘wicked’
problems (Rittel and Webber 1973) that lie at the heart of public
policy and management. The need to
continue to adopt and refine complexity-informed theory,
institutions, and practice in a domain of
human endeavour as rich and varied as public administration is
as vital now as it was a decade ago.
Additional information
Notes on contributors
Elizabeth Anne Eppel
Elizabeth Anne Eppel is a Senior Research and Teaching Fellow
in the School of Government, Victoria
University of Wellington, New Zealand. Her research interests
are complexity in public policy processes,
governance networks, and collaborative governance.
Mary Lee Rhodes
Mary Lee Rhodes (B.A., M.Sc., MBA, Ph.D.) is an Associate
Professor of Public Management at Trinity
College, Dublin. Her research is focused on complex public
service systems and the dynamics of
performance. Prof. Rhodes has published numerous articles on
housing as a complex adaptive system
and her most recent book on Complexity and Public
Management was published by Routledge in 2011.
Her current research is on the nature and dynamics of social
impact and she is developing research on
social innovation, social finance, and well-being.
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Performance and Management in the Public Sector: Testing a
Model of
Relative Risk Aversion
Nicholson-Crotty, Sean
Nicholson-Crotty, Jill
Fernandez, Sergio
PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION REVIEW; JUL-AUG 2017, 77 4,
p603 12p.
WILEY
00333352
15406210
10.1111/puar.12619
Journal
English
000404376300018
Copyright (c) Clarivate Analytics Web of Science
Social Sciences Citation Index
Performance and Management in the
Public Sector: Testing a Model of
Relative Risk Aversion.
Research has demonstrated that management influences the
performance of public organizations, but almost
no research has explored how the success or failure of a public
organization influences the decisions of those
who manage it. Arguing that many decisions by public managers
are analogous to risky choice, the authors
use a well‐ validated model of relative risk aversion to
understand how such choices are influenced by
managers’ perceptions of organizational performance. They
theorize that managers will be less likely to
encourage innovation or give discretion to employees when they
are just reaching their goals relative to other
performance conditions. Analyses of responses to the 2011 and
2013 Federal Employee Viewpoint Surveys
provide considerable support for these assertions. The findings
have significant implications for our
understanding of the relationship between management and
performance in public organizations.
Related Content: Stanton (PAR July/August 2017)
Practitioner Points
Perceptions of performance influence the likelihood that public
managers will engage in risk‐ taking behavior.
Public managers are less likely to take risks as performance
begins to meet expectations than when
performance falls short of or exceeds expectations.
The willingness of public managers to embrace organizational
change, such as process innovations or
employee empowerment practices, is likely a function of current
organizational performance.
Over the past several decades, a large and growing literature has
demonstrated quite convincingly that
management matters for the performance of public
organizations. It has shown that the decisions public
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managers make—including whether to collaborate with
stakeholders in the environment, create green rather
than red tape within their organizations, and empower
employees to innovate, among others—have a
significant impact on the success of public organizations and
programs (see, e.g., DeHart‐ Davis [ 18] ;
Fernandez and Moldogaziev [ 22] ; Meier and O'Toole [ 48] ).
In many ways, the relationship between
management and performance undergirds the modern
administrative state and the systems that define it
(Moynihan and Pandey [ 57] ).
Scholars typically treat the relationship between management
and performance as nonreciprocal, assuming
that one influences the other but that the inverse is not true. As
a result, almost no work has explored how the
success or failure of a public organization influences the
decisions of those who manage it. This is a potentially
significant oversight because if performance is in fact
endogenous to management, this could cause us to
substantially overestimate the importance of the latter. In other
words, if public managers in high‐ performing
organizations make systematically different decisions than those
in poor‐ performing organizations, we might
attribute organizational success to those choices when causality
is actually running in the other direction.
Fortunately, very recent research has begun to address this
shortcoming by theorizing about the impact of
performance on managerial behavior in public organizations
(Meier, Favero, and Zhu [ 46] ). While
acknowledging the importance of that work, we will, for a
variety of reasons, suggest an alternative approach to
understanding the relationship between performance and
management. Specifically, we use a relative risk
model from the private management literature in order to
understand how several major types of decisions
made by public managers are influenced by the performance of
their organizations. This is a well‐ validated
approach to decision making that suggests that risk tolerance is
a function of performance relative to the
decision maker's goals or aspirations. Many managerial
behaviors advocated by modern management theories
—including the encouragement of innovativeness and
entrepreneurial behavior, employee empowerment, and
decentralization of decision making authority—impose potential
costs while having uncertain outcomes and
therefore can be conceived of as risky choice. Drawing on
relative risk theory, we develop specific hypotheses
about the performance conditions under which managers are
most likely to make these types of choices.
We test these hypotheses in analyses of responses to the 2011
and 2013 Federal Employee Viewpoint
Surveys. In order to deal with endogeneity and help alleviate
common source bias, we predict an individual
employee's reports of managerial decisions regarding the
encouragement of innovation, empowerment
practices, and delegation of decision‐ making authority in 2013
with average assessments of performance by
managers within that employee's department in 2011. In an
additional analysis, we test directly for the impact
of a manager's performance assessment on his or her own
reported innovativeness. Across six different
dependent variables measuring managerial decisions, and in the
presence of numerous control variables and
fixed effects, the results are remarkably consistent with the
theoretical prediction that key choices made by
public managers are a function of organizational performance
and relative risk tolerance. We conclude with a
discussion of the implications for public management research.
Performance and Decision Making in the Public Management
Literature
As noted earlier, there is really not much to review when it
comes to studies that have used organizational
performance to predict how public managers will make
decisions. Work in the private sector has frequently
explored the ways in which performance feedback influences
firms’ willingness to adopt behaviors either to
address deficiency or to further leverage success (see, e.g.,
Chen [ 14] ; Iyer and Miller [ 32] ; Miller and Chen [
51] ). However, application of this behavioral theory (see Cyert
and March [ 17] ) to public organizations has
been very rare. A notable exception is Salge ([ 62] ), who finds
that negative performance feedback leads
organizations to search for solutions while slack resources
encourage innovativeness in a sample of English
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public hospitals. In a related article, Nielsen ([ 58] ) finds that
negative performance information induces Danish
school principals to reorder the multiple goals that their
organizations are asked to pursue, emphasizing areas
in which they are doing particularly poorly.
Despite these exceptions, attention to the impact of performance
on managerial decisions in public
organizations has been limited. Recognizing this significant
oversight, Meier, Favero, and Zhu ([ 46] ) build a
theory that imagines performance as a key driver of decision
making by public managers. Specifically, the
authors take a Bayesian approach in which the distance between
current performance and the manager's prior
regarding acceptable performance shapes the choices they make.
They are clear that priors could be formed
in a variety of ways but offer the intuitive expectation that
information about previous performance and the
performance of similar organizations is likely used by managers
to update their beliefs about acceptable levels
of current performance.
The theory suggests that “positive performance gaps,” where
current performance falls below acceptable
levels, should induce managers to be more innovative, seek
opportunities by networking with those in the
organizational environment, and centralize operations. They
hypothesize that the functional form of these
relationships will likely be quadratic, with managerial behaviors
of the kind just described becoming more
aggressive as the performance gap grows. Finally, the authors
suggest that the theory can be extended to
accommodate multiple goals, different levels of hierarchy, and
other realities faced by public organizations.
Meier, Favero, and Zhu's approach is promising, particularly in
its careful consideration of how managers
decide what level of performance they expect from their
organizations, and its attention to the impact of
performance on management is long overdue. It is also,
however, untested empirically. Additionally, the theory
does not deal adequately with conditions when current
performance exceeds the prior regarding an acceptable
level. The authors acknowledge that this type of “negative
performance gap” is likely to have an important
impact on managerial behavior and speculate that it might “be
translated into both additional resources and
autonomy” (Meier, Favero, and Zhu [ 46] , 1232). They do not,
however, generate precise expectations about
the impact of exceeding performance expectations on
managerial decision making. This is particularly
important if, as noted earlier, we are concerned about
overestimating the impact of management in high‐
performing organizations.
As a final challenge, there are some potential inconsistencies in
the expectations offered by the theory. For
example, the authors rely heavily on Miles et al.'s ([ 50] )
concept of prospector versus defender strategies to
identify the decisions managers may make under different
performance conditions. They suggest that poor
performance should motivate managers to encourage innovation
and expand contacts with the environment,
which Miles et al. classify as prospector strategies. Meier,
Favero, and Zhu also suggest that poor performance
will cause managers to centralize authority, but Miles et al.
argue that seeking “strict control of the
organization” is a defender strategy. More importantly, they
suggest that defenders and prospectors are
essentially opposites of one another and that each has a “high
degree of consistency among its solutions” to
organizational problems. Meier, Favero, and Zhu do not offer
sufficient explanation as to why they expect poor
performance to cause such inconsistent reactions among
managers. These issues will likely be worked out in
future iterations of the theory and subsequent empirical tests,
but for now, they suggest that it might be
profitable to explore other lenses for examining the relationship
between performance and management.
An Alternative Approach to Modeling Performance and
Management
We suggest that models of relative risk aversion can be used to
understand decisions that increase uncertainty
for public managers. We will return in the next section to which
tenets of modern management theory we
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believe fit in this category. Before that, however, it is important
to acknowledge the advancements made in the
study of risky choice in the public sector. Although some
research continues to assert that public organizations
have characteristics that can impede risk‐ taking or
entrepreneurial behaviors (see, e.g., Morris and Jones [ 54]
; Townsend [ 66] ), a growing number of studies have
demonstrated that risk‐ taking behavior is present and
predictable in public organizations. In an early contribution,
Bozeman and Kingsley ([ 10] ) test and refute the
assertion that public managers are inherently more risk averse
than their private sector counterparts.
Subsequent research has demonstrated that hierarchy and red
tape are negatively correlated with risk taking
among public managers and employee–supervisor trust is
positively associated (Nyhan [ 59] ; Turaga and
Bozeman 2005).
One key difference between these studies on public management
risk taking and the model we use is that they
rely on an absolute rather than a relative risk‐ aversion
perspective. Absolute and relative risk approaches both
assume that the utility of an outcome is a function of perceived
risk. Each suggests that decision makers are
risk averse when utility for an outcome diminishes as
uncertainty about obtaining it increases and risk seeking
when utility increases with uncertainty. However, the key
feature of absolute risk tolerance is that the functional
form of the relationship between utility and risk is fixed for
each individual. In other words, each person is either
risk averse or risk seeking. Under that assumption, performance
cannot have any impact on propensity for risk
taking.
Work on individual risk taking in other contexts, including
private firms, has long rejected the idea of fixed risk
tolerance in favor of relative risk aversion (see, e.g., Bromiley
and Curley [ 12] ). In these models, the level of
utility for an outcome is still a function of perceived risk, but
the same person can be risk loving and risk averse
depending on his or her performance relative to expectations.
Perhaps the most well known of these
approaches is prospect theory. Kahneman and Tversky ([ 34] )
offer a model of risky choice, which suggests
that the weights assigned to potential gains and losses change
depending on where decision makers feel they
are relative to their desired goal. Specifically, the theory
predicts that decision makers will be risk averse when
in a domain of gain but risk seeking in a domain of loss. In
other words, they will be more risk averse when
they are “winning” rather than “losing” relative to some
preestablished goal. Numerous studies have confirmed
that individual risk preferences vary based on the reference
point between gains and losses (see Tversky and
Kahneman [ 68] for a review).
Research has extended these findings from individuals to the
behavior of organizations and managers within
them (e.g., Bowman [ 7] ; Bromiley [ 11] ; Fiegenbaum and
Thomas [ 24] ). These studies argue that
organizations have variable risk preferences based on their
proximity to a preestablished reference point. More
specifically, they expect that managers will engage in riskier
behavior when performance and resources are
below aspirational levels but become more risk averse as they
begin to realize aspirations. Key insight into the
matter emerged from early efforts to develop a behavioral
theory of the firm. March and Simon ([ 43] ) argue
that the rate of innovation in organizations increases as existing
organizational structures and practices prove
to be inadequate and actual performance lags behind
expectations (see also Levitt and March [ 39] ).
Elaborating on the notion that necessity is the mother of
invention, Cyert and March ([ 17] ) argue that failure
induces search, which often leads to the adoption of innovative
solutions. They call these innovations
“problem‐ oriented innovations,” which are directly linked to a
problem, in contrast to slack innovations, which
are remotely related to a problem and are much easier to justify
when resources are abundant and rules for
allocating resources are relaxed.
March and Simon's ([ 43] ) and Cyert and March's ([ 17] )
research underscores the influence of performance
and aspirations on managerial behavior, particularly exposing
the organization to risk through innovation. In a
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similar vein, research on organizational learning has
emphasized the impact of performance feedback on
managerial decisions to engage in organizational change. Manns
and March ([ 40] ) predict and find that poor
financial performance, or financial adversity, leads university
departments to adopt changes in their curriculum
in order to improve their financial standing. Lant, Milliken, and
Batra ([ 36] ) find that past failures increase the
likelihood that firms will change their strategic orientation,
although external attributions of failure weaken this
relationship. Greve ([ 25] ) finds that the probability of major
organizational change decreases as performance
increases. Importantly, as performance meets and begins to
exceed historical and social aspiration levels, the
probability of major organizational change declines even more
sharply, highlighting the behavioral
consequences of performance relative to aspirations. Ironically,
transformation efforts in response to
performance shortfalls and other pressures from the external
environment expose organizations to “liability of
newness,” increasing the probability of failure in the future
(Amburgey, Kelly, and Barnett [ 2] ). Even when
change does not result in the demise of the organization, it has a
disruptive effect that imposes significant
costs on the organization (Barnett and Carroll [ 3] for a review
of the evidence).
In a synthesis of existing work, March and Shapira ([ 41] , [ 42]
) offer a model of relative risk preference that
suggests that a firm not facing bankruptcy but performing below
its goals will begin to take greater risks in an
attempt to rise to the aspirational or target level. As the firm
approaches or rises just above the level of
performance or resources it hopes to achieve, however,
managers will once again become risk averse,
overweighting the probability that risk taking could drop the
organization back below an acceptable level of
performance. Finally, the model hypothesizes that organizations
will become less risk averse if they find
themselves doing better than they hoped and may even become
risk seeking at very high levels of success.[ 1]
The model's assertion that organizations will become more
tolerant of risk once aspirations are far exceeded
build on the large literature on slack resources and innovation.
That research, generally speaking, asserts that
slack resources permit firms to more safely experiment with
new strategies (Hambrick and Snow [ 27] ; Moses
[ 55] ) and allows slack search, or the pursuit of projects that
may not be immediately justifiable but have high
potential (Levinthal and March [ 38] ).
March and Shapira use an empirically validated approach to
understanding the relationship between
performance and risk in the private sector (see Miller and Chen
[ 51] ). Authors have also validated very similar
aspirational models of the relationship between relative
performance and risk taking in studies of private firms
(see, e.g., Greve [ 25] , [ 26] ).
Applying the Model to Public Management Decisions
A relative risk model can help us understand the relationship
between performance and managerial decisions
under conditions of risk. The foundational assumption of this
approach is, of course, that the decisions of public
managers are related in some way to performance. We believe
that this should be a relatively uncontroversial
proposition, however, both because of the ubiquity of
performance measurement and management regimes in
the public sector (Poister [ 60] ; Sanger [ 63] ) and the
consistent findings that public managers go to great
lengths to avoid poor performance assessments (see, e.g.,
Heinrich [ 30] ; Van der Waldt [ 69] ).
If we accept the premise that public managers are concerned
about performance, then the next step in an
application of the relative risk approach to the public sector is
demonstrating that managerial decisions in that
context are analogous to risky choice. Obviously, not every
decision public managers make fits this criterion,
but we believe that many do. More importantly, we believe that
many of the managerial behaviors championed
by the New Public Management (NPM) and other modern public
management theories are best conceived of
as risky choice.
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At its core, NPM involves an effort to infuse public
management with ideas and practices from the private
sector (Haynes [ 29] ). When contrasted with “traditional”
public administration, these emphasize increased
innovativeness and entrepreneurship on the part of managers,
along with structures to incentivize such
behavior. They encourage increased discretion throughout the
organization and the empowerment of
employees to make changes that improve services. Finally,
modern management prescriptions suggest that
managers need to focus some energy outward, collaborating and
networking with those in the organizational
environment, in order to improve the performance of their
organizations and programs (see, e.g., Meier and
O'Toole [ 47] ; Milward and Provan [ 52] ; Moore [ 53] ).
Risky choice is typically defined as behavior requiring
investment or imposing potential costs when outcomes
are uncertain. Thus, anything that may increase costs and has
uncertainty surrounding benefits is a risk, and
we believe that many modern prescriptions for public managers
fit this definition. Indeed, scholars argue
explicitly that innovating is risk taking because it involves a
novel way of doing something that may or may not
work (Cohen and Eimicke [ 15] ; DiIulio et al. [ 19] ; Feeney
and DeHart‐ Davis [ 21] ).[ 2] It is a well‐ supported
assumption that adopting a new way of doing something
introduces uncertainty regarding outcomes and
therefore is inherently risky (see, e.g., Massa and Testa [ 44] ;
Mellahi and Wilkinson [ 49] ; Thomas and
Mueller [ 65] ; Vargas‐ Hernández [ 70] ; Vargas‐ Hernández,
Noruzi, and Sariolghalam [ 71] ).
Similarly, giving authority to another party creates both adverse
selection and moral hazard problems because
the true preferences of the agent are difficult for the principal to
observe and information asymmetries make it
hard for the latter to know the quality or efficiency of
production by the former (see Bawn [ 4] ; Bendor, Glazer,
and Hammond [ 5] ; Epstein and O'Halloran [ 20] ). These
issues significantly increase uncertainty regarding
outcomes. Finally, choosing to create or engage service delivery
networks or collaborating with those in the
organizational environment can create risk. Collaboration and
interorganizational networks require significant
resources, make management more challenging, introduce their
own agency problems when contractors are
used, and are often unsuccessful at producing desired outcomes
(see Huxham and Vangen [ 31] ; Romzek
and Johnston [ 61] ).[ 3]
Obviously, this is not an exhaustive list of managerial activities
that are analogous to risky choice. It does
demonstrate, however, that several decisions central to modern
public management are likely correlated with
risk tolerance. Because of that correlation, the model of relative
risk outlined earlier should be able to generate
accurate hypotheses about the relationship between
organizational performance and those decisions. The
theory predicts a quadratic relationship like the one presented in
figure [NaN] , where managers are more risk
averse when their organizations are just reaching performance
goals relative to conditions where they are
performing considerably better or worse than that level. In
terms of the decisions mentioned above, this
suggests the following:
Hypothesis 1: Public managers will promote more innovative
activity when they believe their organizations are
failing to meet or exceeding performance goals relative to when
they are just meeting those goals.
Hypothesis 2: Public managers will empower employees with
greater discretion when they believe their
organizations are failing to meet or exceeding performance
goals relative to when they are just meeting those
goals.
The theory also suggests that managers will network and
collaborate less when they are just achieving their
goals relative to other performance conditions, but we do not
have data to explicitly test this. Thus, we do not
offer it as a formal hypothesis.
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The expectations outlined here may seem counterintuitive
because they suggest that managers may act
similarly at different levels of performance, but they are
consistent with some observations of behavior in public
organizations. For example, some research finds that managers
may become more innovative when their
organizations are under stress and when they are performing
very well. The literature on organizational
turnaround in the public sector suggests that organizational
decline can often stimulate managerial innovation
(see, e.g., Boyne [ 8] ; Jas and Skelcher [ 33] ; McKinley,
Latham, and Braun [ 45] ), at least when there is a
recognition of poor performance and sufficient managerial
capacity.[ 4] These assertions are consistent with
Miles et al.'s ([ 50] ) expectation that private sector managers
would seek to be more innovative, and to more
effectively exploit the environment, when their organizations
are performing poorly.
Alternatively, many authors suggest that managers whose
organizations are performing better than expected
are the ones that are most likely to innovate and take risks.
Berry ([ 6] ) finds a positive relationship between
organizational slack and strategic innovation. Similarly, Boyne
and Walker ([ 9] ) argue that a prospector
strategy, which they define including “innovation and rapid
organizational responses to new circumstances,” is
most likely to be undertaken by public managers in
organizations with slack resources. Finally, Carpenter ([ 13]
) demonstrates that agencies can undertake behaviors that are
politically risky when they have used high
performance in other activities to build support among clients.
A relative risk model can help us understand the relationship
between performance and managerial decisions
under conditions of risk.
Data, Variables, and Methods
Testing these hypotheses requires data on both managerial
perceptions of performance and the decisions that
managers make regarding the promotion of innovation and
awarding of discretion to employees. We find these
data in responses to the 2011 and 2013 Federal Employee
Viewpoint Surveys (FEVS). The U.S. Office of
Personnel Management administered the 2013 FEVS to 781,047
employees in 81 federal government
agencies, including cabinet‐ level departments and independent
agencies of all sizes. A total of 376,577
employees completed the survey, for a government‐ wide
response rate of approximately 48 percent in 2013.
The 2011 FEVS was administered to a more limited sample and
elicited more than 266,000 responses, for a
response rate of 49.5 percent. The 81 agencies that participated
in the two surveys make up approximately 97
percent of the federal executive branch workforce. The Office
of Personnel Management uses a stratified
sampling approach that generates representative samples for the
federal government as a whole, for echelons
within the federal government (nonsupervisor, supervisor, and
executive), and for each of the individual
departments and agencies participating in the survey. The
surveys were administered electronically to
employees who were notified by e‐ mail; multiple follow‐ up
e‐ mails were sent to increase response rates.
We are interested in examining the degree to which perceived
performance influences managerial decisions,
but these variables are likely endogenous to one another. We
use time ordering in order to deal with the
potential for reciprocal causation. Specifically, we use the
average performance assessment of managers
within a unit in 2011 to predict individual nonmanagers’
responses in 2013 regarding the degree to which their
unit encourages innovation and creativity and empowers them to
make important decisions regarding work
processes.[ 5]
In order to have some confidence that we are matching
employees and managers in a meaningful way, we
need the smallest unit of aggregation possible, which in the
2011 FEVS is one tier below the agency level.
There are 284 such units identified in the data; they include
organizations such as the Employee Benefits
Security Administration within the Department of Labor and the
Agricultural Marketing Service within the
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Department of Agriculture. Every response in the FEVS is
associated with an agency, such as the Department
of Transportation or the Department of Health and Human
Services. In 2013, about 82 percent of respondents
identified a unit that the FEVS designates as one level below
the agency, leaving approximately 310,000 total
usable responses. When we match with those suborganizations
identified by respondents in the 2011 data, we
are left with approximately 229,000 responses. As noted earlier,
we average the responses of supervisors
within each unit and predict responses of individual employees
in each. Taking managers out of the sample
leaves us with 167,392 employees, which is reduced to an
analysis sample of between 111,000 and 115,000
because of missing data. Nonetheless, there are not significant
differences between this sample and the full
sample of nonsupervisors in the 2013 FEVS.
Dependent Variables
Our dependent variables in subsequent analyses measure the
degree to which employees suggest that their
organizations or managers create a culture of innovativeness
and empower employees with adequate
discretion. We take a multiple measures approach, modeling two
distinct variables for the first concept and
three for the second. For the concept of innovativeness culture,
we first model encouragement to innovate,
which is measured using the FEVS indicator “I feel encouraged
to come up with new and better ways of doing
things.” This measure represents the affective state or
experience of feeling on the part of the respondent that
makes him or her more inclined to innovate (Fernandez and
Moldogaziev [ 22] ). The second dependent
variable, rewarding innovation, is measured using the 2013
FEVS indicator “Creativity and innovation are
rewarded.” This measure represents the degree to which the
respondent feels his or her superiors in the
agency reward efforts to generate innovative ideas and/or
implement them. Available response categories
range from 1 for “strongly disagree” to 5 for “strongly agree”
for these measures.
We use three variables to capture the concept of employee
empowerment. The first is personal empowerment,
measured using the FEVS 2013 indicator “Employees have a
feeling of personal empowerment with respect to
work processes.” This variable captures management's
propensity to share power to shape work processes
with subordinates. The second variable in this set, leadership
opportunities, is measured with the FEVS
indicator “My supervisor/team leader provides me with
opportunities to demonstrate my leadership skills.” This
measure represents the extent to which employees exercise
power or the authority to act. The final variable
measuring empowerment is involvement in decisions, which we
capture with the question “How satisfied are
you with your involvement in decisions that affect your work?”
This last indicator indicates the extent to which
employees are allowed to influence decisions that affect them
and their work. Combined, the three indicators
represent elements of employee empowerment as a managerial
approach (Fernandez and Moldogaziev [ 22] ).
Again, the response categories for each of these range from 1
for “strongly disagree” to 5 for “strongly agree.”
Independent Variables
Our key independent variable captures managers’ perceptions of
performance. Specifically, we use the 2011
FEVS indicator “My agency is successful at accomplishing its
mission.” Although there are obviously multiple
goals that public organizations and the people within them
might pursue, we believe that the accomplishment
of mission is likely to be prominent among them. Available
answers again range from 1 for “strongly disagree”
to 5 for “strongly agree.” The reference or aspiration point is
described in the literature as a point that is
“psychologically neutral” between winning and losing (Kameda
and Davis [ 35] ) or “the smallest outcome that
would be deemed satisfactory by the decision maker”
(Schneider [ 64] ). We assume, therefore, that each
respondent is at their aspirational threshold somewhere between
the answers “neither agree or disagree” and
“agree.”
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Previous research using relative performance to predict
behavior has devoted significant attention to the ways
in which managers might set goals or aspirations for
performance. Much of this work suggests that the
aspirational threshold is determined through a comparison of
current performance with previous performance,
the performance of peers, or some combination of historical and
social factors (Cyert and March [ 17] ;
Haveman [ 28] ; Levinthal and March [ 38] ; Meier, Favero, and
Zhu [ 46] ; Salge [ 62] ). The assumption is that
managers can use these data as a decision heuristic to generate
some prediction of future performance, which
is assumed to become the aspiration or goal (see Greve [ 25] ).
Although we cannot observe these factors directly, our measure
of perceived performance, which asks about
the accomplishment of mission, likely captures both of these
historical and social factors. In other words,
managers’ responses are likely determined in part by how their
agency did in the past and how peer agencies
are doing. Additionally, because we directly measure responses
regarding perceived performance, we do not
have to infer managers’ perceptions of performance. We believe
this is an improvement over previous studies
because the theoretical model suggests that these perceptions,
rather than actual performance, influence risk
tolerance.
We average the responses to the question regarding mission
accomplishment across all supervisors within a
unit (one level below the agency level) and use the mean value
to predict individual nonsupervisor responses
within a unit to the questions discussed earlier. As noted in
figure [NaN] , relative risk theory predicts a concave
quadratic function, where managers are less willing to tolerate
the risks associated with innovativeness and
employee discretion when just achieving goals relative to
conditions when their organization performing worse
or better than that aspiration. In order to model this function,
we also include the average managerial
performance rating squared in each model. In order to provide
support for our hypotheses, the linear term
should be negatively signed, while the squared term should be
positive.
Control Variables
The models discussed here also include a variety of variables
that control for alternative explanations for our
dependent variables. The first set of these reflect individual
characteristics that may influence the degree to
which someone perceives themselves as innovative or believes
that their organization is supportive of such
activities. These individual‐ level controls include respondent
gender, age, minority status, pay category, and
tenure in the federal service. Studies suggest that all of these
characteristics may influence perceptions of
innovativeness, entrepreneurial behavior, and autonomy,
although the consistency and direction of the impact
for these measures are mixed.
We also include a measure of job satisfaction as a control
variable, assuming that this is likely to be correlated
with an employee's attitudes about the degree to which they are
encouraged to innovate or their feelings about
empowerment. Specifically, we include responses to the
question “Considering everything, how satisfied are
you with your job?” This measure should correlate positively
with the dependent variables.
Estimator
All models discussed here are weighted least squares
regressions using sample weights provided in the
FEVS. Each model also includes fixed effects at the agency
level to account for unmeasured organizational
characteristics, such as policies related to employee
empowerment, that might influence our dependent
variables. Finally, standard errors in our primary models are
clustered at one level below the agency level to
account for the fact that employees within units may be more
likely to answer similarly to one another. We use
weighted ordinary least squares rather than an ordered probit
estimator in our primary analyses because this
allows for a more intuitive plot of predicted responses for the
purpose of hypothesis testing.[ 6] However, to
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ensure that the findings are not biased by this choice of
estimator, we present ordered probit models for each
dependent variable in the appendix (table [NaN] ).
Findings
Primary Models
The findings from our primary analyses are presented in tables
[NaN] and [NaN] . The first contains the models
of encouragement to innovate (column 1) and rewarding
innovation (column 2), which capture the degree to
which employees feel that managers incentivize innovation.
First, it is important to point out that the models
perform quite well, explaining between 38 percent and 40
percent of the variation in more than 150,000
individual responses.
Relationship between Managers’ Perceptions of Performance
and Employee Reports of Innovative Culture
Encouraged to InnovateRewarded for Innovation
Accomplish mission (2011) −4.769 −6.657
(−2.18) (−2.34)
Accomplish mission (2011) squared 0.630 0.888
(2.28) (2.47)
Female 0.0644 0.0154
(5.20) (1.02)
Minority 0.0143 0.0343
(1.41) (3.39)
Pay category −0.0311 −0.0508
(−2.30) (−3.03)
Tenure −0.0130 −0.0327
(−1.90) (−4.39)
Job satisfaction 0.636 0.585
(101.07) (95.33)
Intercept 10.10 13.27
(2.34) (2.36)
N 111,774 108,773
R .33 .31
1 Notes: Models include sample weights and agency fixed
effects; standard errors are clustered at the
subagency level. T‐ statistics in parentheses.
2 * p < .05;
3 p < .01;
4 p < .001.
Relationship between Managerial Perceptions of Performance
and Employee Reports of
Empowerment/Discretion
Personal EmpowermentLeadership OpportunitiesInvolvement in
Decisions
Accomplish mission (2011) −6.600 (−3.39) −6.932 (−2.47)
−4.426 (−2.42)
Accomplish mission (2011) squared 0.872 (3.56) 0.886 (2.48)
0.570 (2.47)
Female −0.0480 −0.0331 −0.0158
(−4.07) (−2.66) (−1.56)
Minority 0.109 −0.0378 0.0130
2
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(9.61) (−3.00) (1.29)
Pay category −0.0181 −0.0473 −0.0159
(−1.38) (−3.47) (−1.16)
Tenure −0.0312 −0.0418 −0.0308
(−3.48) (−5.71) (−6.26)
Job satisfaction 0.606 0.572 0.658
(95.74) (97.62) (113.10)
Intercept 13.36 15.21 9.528
(3.44) (2.75) (2.62)
N 110,477 112,546 113,235
R .35 .29 .42
5 Notes: Models include sample weights and agency fixed
effects; standard errors are clustered at the
subagency level. T‐ statistics in parentheses.
6 p < .05;
7 p < .01;
8 p < .001.
Before turning to the key independent variables, we can quickly
note the impact of the controls. The measure
of satisfaction is positively correlated with both dependent
variables. The results also suggest that
nonsupervisors in a higher pay category and those with longer
tenure both feel less encouraged to innovate
and less certain that creativity and innovation will be rewarded.
Identifying as a minority is positively and
significantly related to both dependent variables, although it
fails to reach traditional levels of statistical
significance in the model of rewarding innovation. Female
employees feel that managers are more likely to
reward innovation and creativity, but they are not significantly
more likely to feel that they are encouraged to
innovate.
Female employees feel that managers are more likely to reward
innovation and creativity, but they are not
significantly more likely to feel that they are encouraged to
innovate.
The real variables of interest are the measure of average
managers’ assessments of performance within a unit
and the squared term. Both are highly statistically significant in
both models. The negative coefficients on the
first terms coupled with the positive coefficients on the squared
terms suggest a concave quadratic function in
which values decrease until an inflection point and then
increase after that point. These results are easier to
conceptualize graphically. Figure [NaN] shows the predi cted
quadratic form of the relationship between
performance and the two innovation variables, with the
associated 95 percent confidence intervals.
We turn now to table [NaN] , which presents the models of
personal empowerment, leadership opportunities,
and involvement in decisions, which capture the degree of
empowerment and decision‐ making discretion that
employees believe managers of their organizations provide.
These models also perform well, explaining 35
percent, 29 percent, and 42 percent of the variation in employee
perceptions. As with the models of innovation,
employee satisfaction is strongly and positively correlated with
all three dependent variables. Female
respondents are consistently less likely to report that they feel
empowered, have sufficient leadership
opportunities, or are adequately involved in decisions affecting
their work. The other control variables perform
relatively inconsistently across the three models.
2
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The key variables of interest, including managers’ assessment
of performance and assessment of
performance squared, are again significant and in the expected
direction in all models. As in the case of the
innovativeness culture models, signs on the two terms suggest a
concave quadratic function. Again the
relationship between performance and employee assessments is
easier to present graphically, which we do in
figure [NaN] .
An Additional Analysis
The analyses presented here provide considerable evidence in
support of a relative risk approach to the
relationship between organizational performance and
managerial decision making. This section will provide an
additional analysis focusing on individual managers that is
designed to increase confidence in those results.
As noted earlier, we believe that using aggregate manager
assessments of performance calculated in 2011 to
predict individual employee assessments in 2013 is a good
approach because it establishes time order
between the independent and dependent variables and helps
overcome the common source bias problem.
However, the findings discussed earlier are more convincing if
we can show a correlation between an
individual manager's perceptions of performance and statements
about his or her own behavior. We restrict the
sample for this analysis to the approximately 62,000 FEVS
respondents who identified themselves as
supervisors in 2013. We acknowledge that such a design cannot
deal with issues of endogeneity and common
method bias, and thus we suggest that these results only be
interpreted as supplementary to the findings
discussed earlier.
There is only one item in the FEVS that reflects a response by
managers about their own behavior, and we use
that question as the dependent variable in this analysis.
Specifically, we model responses to the item “I am
constantly looking for ways to do my job better.” This measure
captures the behavioral aspect of
innovativeness. Such behavior may include searching for ideas
generated and implemented elsewhere,
developing new ideas through experimentation, vicarious
learning and other behavior, and refashioning the
ideas of others to achieve a better fit with extant conditions
(Altshuler and Zegans [ 1] ; Fernandez and Wise [
23] ).
We again use responses to the item “My agency is successful at
accomplishing its mission” to create the
independent variable. In this analysis, however, we create
individual indicators for different response
categories. We create a single measure titled below threshold,
from responses of “strongly disagree” and
“disagree,” because there are relatively few responses in the
former category.[ 7] We use “neither agree or
disagree” responses as the threshold where managers do not feel
they are doing overly well or overly poorly.
Finally, we create an indicator titled above threshold using the
“agree” response category. We use “strongly
agree” as the excluded category. Based on the relative risk
approach, we expect that the coefficients on these
indicators will form a U‐ shaped pattern that matches figure
[NaN] , where managers are least likely to innovate
when they are just reaching performance goals, relative to other
conditions.
The model includes controls for the manager's gender, minority
status, pay category, federal tenure, and
satisfaction with his or her job. It also includes sample weights
and fixed effects at the agency level. This
reduces the analyzed sample to 51,970, but is important to
control for unmeasured characteristics that may
influence innovativeness. Standard errors are again clustered at
one level below the agency level.
The results from the analysis of individual managers are
presented in table [NaN] . The model is highly
significant and explains a reasonable amount of the variation in
individual manager response. Female and
minority bureaucrats, along with those who were more satisfied
with their job and in a higher pay category,
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report more personal innovation. After controlling for those
factors, the amount of time in the federal service is
negatively correlated with the dependent variable.
Relationship between Individual Managers’ Perceptions of
Performance and Their Reports of Personal
Innovativeness
Personal Innovation
Below threshold −0.275
(−12.75)
Aspirational threshold −0.344
(−23.58)
Above threshold −0.260
(−34.92)
Female 0.0665
(9.60)
Minority 0.0486
(4.77)
Pay category 0.00738
(0.91)
Tenure −0.0554
(−10.13)
Job satisfaction 0.138
(15.83)
Intercept 4.173
(118.24)
N 51,970
9 Notes: Models include sample weights and agency fixed
effects; standard errors are clustered at the
subagency level. T‐ statistics in parentheses.
10 * p < .05;
11 p < .01;
12 p < .001.
The key independent variables are the indicators of managerial
performance assessment. The impacts of
those dummy variables relative to our theoretical expectations
are most easily assessed visually. Figure [NaN]
graphs those coefficients, with associated 95 percent confidence
intervals. Beginning at the right side of the
figure, the plot suggests that managers who just agree, rather
than strongly agree, that their organization is
meeting its goals report significantly less personal innovation.
Moving left across the x‐ axis, reports of personal
innovativeness drop significantly for those managers responding
“neither agree nor disagree” to the statement
about the agency accomplishing its mission. This represents the
lowest point in reported innovativeness. When
we move to managers who disagree or strongly disagree with
the statement about agency performance, the
coefficient becomes significantly less negative, indicating that
managers are more likely to report personal
innovativeness at that performance condition.
Discussion
The results presented here strongly support our expectations
that managers in public organizations become
more risk averse when they are just accomplishing their goals
relative to higher and lower performance
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conditions. The findings presented in table and figure [NaN]
confirm that managers are less likely to foster
innovation and entrepreneurial behavior in their organizations
when they are just meeting performance
aspirations. Relative risk approaches suggest that this is what
we should expect because managers are more
likely to overweight losses, and the probability of backsliding,
when they are just realizing acceptable levels of
performance. These results suggest that a relative risk approach
might offer some theoretical clarity to
previous, somewhat counterintuitive observations that public
managers are more likely to seek out innovative
solutions both when their organizations are in decline (Jas and
Skelcher [ 33] ) and when they are flush with
high performance (Boyne and Walker [ 9] ).
The findings presented in table and figure [NaN] support our
expectations that managers will be more risk
averse, and thus less likely to cede discretion to employees,
when they are just meeting performance goals.
They also appear less likely to give leadership opportunities to
employees or to create an environment in which
subordinates feel they have an adequate voice when their
agencies are just meeting expectations relative to
performing at either a higher or a lower level. Again, this is
what we would expect given the predictions of
relative risk theory.
Finally, the findings from the analysis of individual ‐ level
managers, presented in table and figure [NaN] ,
strongly support our theoretical expectations regarding
managerial behavior at the aspirational threshold, when
they feel their organizations are just reaching or just about to
reach their goals. The correlation between
individual managers’ assessments of performance and their
reported innovativeness form a U‐ shaped pattern,
similar to the concave quadratic function revealed in analyses
using average manager attitudes about
performance to predict employee reports about managerial
behavior. Moreover, the inflection points, where
relative risk theory suggests that managers are most risk averse
and least willing to make risky decisions, are
quite similar in both analyses. This provides confirmation of the
results reported here in a different sample and
at a different unit of analysis.
Conclusion
The relationship between performance and managerial decision
making in public organizations has gone
essentially unexplored until very recently. In order to address
this gap, we propose that relative risk aversion
theories can help us understand when managers make decisions
that impose potential costs but have
uncertain payoffs—in other words, when they make decisions
that are analogous to risky choice. Empirical
analyses of responses from the 2011 and 2013 Federal
Employee Viewpoint Surveys illustrate the value of
such theories for understanding and predicting when public
managers will take risks.
These results have significant implications for our
understanding of public management. A large and growing
literature suggests that differences in performance across public
organizations can be attributed to the actions
of public managers. Our findings suggest the degree to which
“management matters” could be misestimated in
this work. If public managers do more to encourage innovati on
or empower employees when they are in
organizations that are already performing highly, then
researchers could find artificially large effects for these
behaviors when they use them to predict performance in a
sample of such organizations. Our results suggest
that managers in low‐ performing organizations will also be
more willing to delegate discretion to employees
and to encourage innovation. In a cross‐ sectional study, this
could lead to the conclusion that these
management activities reduce performance, when in fact the low
levels of performance are causing the
observed management behavior.
Our results also imply that the effectiveness of recent public
sector reforms designed to incentivize innovation
and entrepreneurial behavior, such as performance pay and
employee empowerment, likely depend in part on
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the existing level of organizational performance. These reforms
are typically designed to increase the benefits
or decrease the costs of innovation, creativity, and risk taking.
Our results suggest that such reforms may be
most effective in organizations that are far exceeding or falling
far short of their performance goals because
those are the organizational contexts in which public managers
will be most willing to take risks and, therefore,
most likely to embrace such reforms.
The effectiveness of recent public sector reforms designed to
incentivize innovation and entrepreneurial
behavior, such as performance pay and employee empowerment,
likely depend in part on the existing level of
organizational performance.
Obviously, these conclusions are tentative and need to be
confirmed in subsequent research. At the very least,
however, our results suggest that studies of public
entrepreneurship and the organizational characteristics that
contribute to it must take account of the relationship between
goal accomplishment and risk tolerance. More
generally, they suggest that performance matters for
management.
Appendix Table A1 Results from Models Estimated Using
Ordered Probit Regression
EncourageRewardedEmpowermentLeadershipInvolvement
Accomplish mission (2011) −5.440 −7.528 −8.069 −7.980
−6.323
(2.294) (3.147) (2.235) (3.140) (−1.95)
Accomplish mission (2011) squared 0.718 1.003 1.066 1.021
0.820
(0.290) (0.399) (0.281) (0.399) (2.01)
Female 0.0695 0.0199 −0.0547 −0.0273 −0.0375
(0.0136) (0.0169) (0.0138) (0.0142) (−2.11)
Minority 0.0154 0.0365 0.126 −0.0340 0.0148
(0.0107) (0.0109) (0.0122) (0.0143) (1.30)
Pay category −0.0327 −0.0564 −0.0214 −0.0500 −0.0133
(0.0147) (0.0187) (0.0152) (0.0151) (−0.72)
Tenure −0.0181 −0.0384 −0.0391 −0.0518 −0.0409
(0.00785) (0.00844) (0.0105) (0.00868) (−5.82)
Job satisfaction 0.690 0.662 0.714 0.618 0.827
(0.00913) (0.00727) (0.00609) (0.00879) (81.99)
N 111,774 108,773 110,477 112,546 113,235
Footnotes
1 The model also suggests that managers will become risk
averse when facing bankruptcy, but because public
organizations do not face organizational death in the same way
as private firms, we focus here on the other
expectations offered by the model.
2 See also studies that separate concepts of entrepreneurship,
innovation, and risk taking (e.g., Covin and
Slevin 16; Morris and Jones 54).
3 However, it is important to note literature that suggests that
networks and collaboration may help
organizations manage uncertainty, and by extension risk, under
certain conditions (see, e.g., Moynihan 56).
4 See Levine (37) for the argument that managers may also
engage in retrenchment during periods of decline.
5 Creating our independent and dependent variables using
responses from different groups within an
organization in different years also helps overcome the common
source bias problem. It is important to
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acknowledge that it may still exist, however, because of shared
experiences by managers and employees
within the same unit.
6 Ordinary least squares allows us to show one plot of the
predicted category into which each respondent falls
on each dependent variable across the range of the performance
measure rather than the separately plotting
the conditional probability of being in each category.
7 Results do not change substantially if we create different
indicators for each response category. “Strongly
disagree” is not statistically distinct from “disagree” in the
coefficient plot.
8 Related Content: Stanton (PAR July/August 2017)
References
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Graph: Theoretical Relationship between Performance and Risk
Tolerance
Graph: Plots of Relationship between Performance and
Managerial Choices Regarding Innovation
Graph: Plots of Relationship between Performance and
Managerial Choices Regarding Discretion and
Empowerment
Graph: Plot of Impacts of Different Levels of Perceived
Performance on Managers’ Reports of Personal
Innovativeness
~~~~~~~~
By Sean Nicholson‐ Crotty; Jill Nicholson‐ Crotty and Sergio
Fernandez
Sean Nicholson‐ Crotty is professor in the School of Public and
Environmental Affairs at Indiana University,
Bloomington. His research focuses on the management of public
organizations, intergovernmental relations,
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and the diffusion of policy innovations among governments.
E‐ mail:
Jill Nicholson‐ Crotty is associate professor in the School of
Public and Environmental Affairs at Indiana
University, Bloomington. Her research focuses on the
management of public and nonprofit organizations as
well as on the role of race, gender, and representation on the
outcomes of public programs. E‐ mail:
Sergio Fernandez is associate professor in the School of Public
and Environmental Affairs at Indiana
University, Bloomington, and visiting professor in the
Department of Public Management and Governance at
the University of Johannesburg, South Africa. His research
focuses on organizational behavior in the public
sector, government contracting and procurement, and
representative bureaucracy. E‐ mail:
Copyright of Public Administration Review is the property of
Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied
or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the
copyright holder's express written permission.
However, users may print, download, or email articles for
individual use.
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Week 6
PUB-7020 V1: Public Management Theory (2585392437)
Managing Risks
Establishing sound risk management processes is a crucial
aspect of being a successful
organization. Risk management should be a recurring theme
among public organizations
because risks are sometimes unavoidable and should be planned
to every extent possible.
Since public management theories are guidelines for managers,
establishing theoretical
frameworks should also have a platform in public agencies.
Theoretical frameworks can
make the difference between sound and poor judgement. Having
protocols in place to
assess and manage risks can help catch unwanted intrusions,
whether through cyber-
related invaders or through personnel errors.
Theoretical frameworks in conjunction with enterprise risk
management can help detect
internal errors and external attacks. Technological advancement
has created many
opportunities for cyber criminals to attack public domains,
especially federal and state
government entities. For example, social media and other public
platforms are primary
targets for cyber criminals. Social media allow cyber criminals
to create fake profiles and
allow these actors to infiltrate organizations’ systems with the
potential to gain access to
millions of Americans’ personally identifiable information.
These cyber criminals can use
these systems to cripple critical infrastructure. The federal
government is a regular target
of people with bad intents. The intelligence community plays a
vital role in establishing
protected networks to catch cyber-attacks. However, each
organization should be
prepared to protect its infrastructure against serious threats. By
developing, testing, and
instituting systematic frameworks, public agencies can assure
strict attention is given to
gaps in service and gaps in system architecture.
Risk assessment should be a recurring practice within large and
small agencies providing
service to the general public. It is widely expected that
organizations like the U.S. Postal
Service should have well-tested security measures in place to
detect hazards and protect
against fraud, criminal intent, and mishandling of packages. It
is also expected that
organizations like the Social Security Administration have
systems in place to prevent
inadvertent disclosure of Americans’ social security numbers.
Finally, it is widely expected
that the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) within
DHS would implement sound
security measures to protect airports, ports, and other areas of
mass transportation to
ensure passengers’ safety while at those establishments. Just as
it is expected that the
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Books and Resources for this Week
How to Prepare a Pamphlet or
Brochure
PDF document
Nicholson-Crotty, S., Nicholson-Crotty,
J., & Fernandez, S. (2017). Performance
and management in the public sector:
Testing a model of relative...
Link
Sobelman, S. A., & Santopietro, J. M.
(2018). Managing risk: Aligning
technology use with the law, ethics
codes, and practice standards. In
Using...
Link
agencies previously mentioned take necessary actions to assess,
detect, and manage risks,
it should be the case for every organization that provides
services to the general public. It
cannot be overstated how important risk assessment is regarding
the protection of life
and property.
Each manager has a role to play in the management of risks.
Each member of the team
should also play a part in managing risks within the
organization. Efficient risk
management frameworks are designed to detect risks at every
level. In public
organizations, every employee should be trained in risk
management to ensure the
organization is prepared for potential threats. Policies regarding
risks should be clearly
disseminated throughout the organization.
Be sure to review this week's resources carefully. You are
expected to apply the
information from these resources when you prepare your
assignments.
60 % 3 of 5 topics complete
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Syllabus 3/3
World Health Organization. (2018).
Organization [Website].
Link
Week 6 – Assignment: Develop Public Organizations'
Risk Mitigation Practices
Assignment
Due August 8 at 11:59 PM
This week, you will prepare a pamphlet. Serving as a director
within the World Health
Organization (WHO), create a risk mitigation strategy briefing
to communicate the steps
you would take to protect sensitive material such as health
records, research survey data,
and personally identifiable information (PII) from becoming
public knowledge. In your
pamphlet, be sure to include the following:
Determine potential risks of the unwanted release of sensitive
information to the
public.
Explain risks associated with inadvertent release of private
information on a global
scale.
Specify how your mitigation strategy protects agency
information.
Dictate the importance of sound policies in public health
information systems.
Support your assignment with at least three scholarly resources.
In addition to these
specified resources, other appropriate scholarly resources,
including seminal articles, may
be included.
Length: 4-6 pages, not including title and reference pages.
Your assignment should demonstrate thoughtful consideration
of the ideas and concepts
presented in the course by providing new thoughts and insights
relating directly to this
topic. Your response should reflect scholarly writing and
current APA standards where
appropriate. Be sure to adhere to Northcentral University's
Academic Integrity Policy.
Upload your document, and then click the Submit to Dropbox
button.
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13
1
Managing Risk
Aligning Technology Use With the Law,
Ethics Codes, and Practice Standards
R
isk management may be derived from law, professional
standards and
the individual institution’s mission, and public relations
strategies
and is expressed through institutional policies and practices
(Brock &
Mastroianni, 2013). When it comes to running a technologically
and
ethically sound practice, psychologists, psychiatrists and other
mental health
professionals must do some homework. They must have an up-
to-date under-
standing of (a) statutes such as the Health Insurance Portability
and Account-
ability Act of 1996 (HIPAA); (b) codes of ethics and
professional guidelines that
define the clinical standard of care, as well as how to manage
risk; and (c) the
specific vulnerabilities associated with all types of eHealth
technology used in
the practice, from record-keeping to technology-assisted
interventions. This
chapter provides an overview of some of the fundamental issues
to consider
when incorporating technology into a mental health practice.
Some specific
legal issues, such as licensing in multiple jurisdictions, are
discussed in Chap-
ter 2, which also contains illustrations of how to maintain
privacy and a safe
environment in the clinic.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1037/0000085-002
Using Technology in Mental Health Practice, J. J. Magnavita
(Editor)
Copyright © 2018 by the American Psychological Association.
All rights reserved.
Steven A. Sobelman and John M. Santopietro
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14 S o B E l M A n A n d S A n T o P I E T r o
The Challenge of Ethical Practice
in the Information Age
Many mental health professionals, especially those trained
before the millennium,
have often had a head-in-the-sand response to technology, either
avoidance or a ten-
dency to accept only minimal responsibility for the risks
associated with technology
use. Although paper records and simple security measures (e.g.,
locked file cabinets)
may work for some, there is a steady march toward more
inclusion of technology
in our work. For those who have ventured into such advances,
the accompanying
security risks and concerns are ever more complex. We know
that increased use of
information technologies has created risks to the privacy of
individuals (drummond,
Cromarty, & Battersby, 2015). This also applies to the privacy
of patients in a mental
health care setting. While it’s true that new technologies are
always emerging and new
vulnerabilities are always being created—and that specific
references in this chapter
will likely be dated within a year of publication—the approach
we recommend to
“stay current” provides a steady frame to address a constantly
changing ethical and
regulatory landscape.
FAlSE SEnSE oF SECurITy
It is easy to get lulled into a false sense of security when it
comes to using electronic
devices or the Internet for your practice. As software interfaces
become better designed
and more intuitive, what used to be a steep learning curve has
flattened out. Faster
Internet speeds and broader bandwidth allow us to effortlessly
upload video, eligibility
requests, et cetera to the cloud, where data can live until we call
it up. our computers
don’t “blue screen” often, like they did decades ago; wireless
connections work fine
most of the time. Thus, we are lulled into thinking that hacks
will happen to others
and not to us. Some other poor therapist or health system will
have to notify the gov-
ernment about the breach affecting their patients’ Protected
Health Information (PHI;
united States department of Health and Human Services, 2013),
but we are covered.
After all, we had our IT pro install antivirus software when she
set up our new system
5 years ago. All we have to do is set it up and forget it, right?
Wrong!
Mental health practitioners are increasingly using electronic
means for com-
municating, recording, and storing data. data breaches should be
of concern to all
practitioners, especially mental health clinicians who deal with
highly confidential
and potentially very damaging information. Many health
providers, including those
who specialize in mental health, keep patient e-mails and text
messages, contact
information, billing records, and schedules in an environment
that is rife for hacking
(“largest Healthcare data Breaches of 2016,” 2017).
Are you guilty of this too? Before we get to specifics of the
law, ethics, and
practice standards, let’s spend a few minutes going over three
basic types of security
measures that all professional therapists need to put in place for
their practice and
monitor on a regular schedule. In information security these are
known as physical,
Co
py
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gh
t
Am
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ch
ol
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No
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di
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.
15Managing Risk
administrative, and technical controls. Within each category
there are also preventive,
detective, and corrective methods of control.
Physical Controls
Physical security controls are the most basic of security systems
and include the locked
file cabinet example above. They are what we use to control
availability and physical
access to sensitive information, ensuring that
unauthorized persons are excluded from physical spaces and
assets where
their presence represents a potential threat. All types of
computers, computing
devices and associated communications facilities must be
considered as sensitive
assets and spaces and be protected accordingly. Examples of
physical security
controls are physical access systems including guards and
receptionists, door
access controls, restricted areas, closed-circuit television
(CCTV), automatic door
controls and human traps, physical intrusion detection systems,
and physical
protection systems. Administrative and technical controls
depend on proper
physical security controls being in place. (yau, 2013)
Although it is not likely that the costs of extreme measures such
as “human traps”
would outweigh the benefits at a typical mental health private
practice, many of the
other controls listed above are just good common sense.
Administrative Controls
Administrative controls are the practices and procedures around
all work that is
performed in an office or virtual environment. Some examples
include having
clear operating hours and after-hours response systems in place
for service con-
tinuity, an ongoing training and education schedule for all
employees, and basic
“good housekeeping” such as having clear sign-on procedures,
backing up data on a
nightly basis, and keeping equipment in working order. Phones
should be password
protected and any patient names stored in the device’s built-in
system should be
limited (e.g., to first names and a last-name initial). Examples
also include having
emergency management plans in place, and screening and alert
systems that trigger
further assessment (e.g., for suicide risk) or reporting (e.g.,
mandatory reporting
of suspected abuse). Administrative controls additionally s pell
out expectations for
all employees regarding the maintenance of their own health
and their daily pre-
paredness to work in a patient care environment. Finally,
“administrative controls
are the process of developing and ensuring compliance with
policy and procedures.
They tend to be things that employees may do, or must always
do, or cannot do”
(northcutt, 2013, para. 3).
For the most part, administrative controls are intended to limit
the effects of
human error on ethical practice. Human error represents the
most likely cause
of data breaches and computer virus propagation. Many of us
have heard stories
of laptops or uSB drives with sensitive data being lost or stolen.
Sending a fax or
an e-mail to the wrong address, clicking on a phishing link, and
other mistakes
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16 S o B E l M A n A n d S A n T o P I E T r o
can lead to data breaches, with potentially harmful resul ts.
Avoiding these types
of errors requires education and awareness about the potential
mistakes that can be
made with various devices and software. To minimize mistakes,
you might, for exam-
ple, implement a system for error interception, such as a
buffering system so that there
is a delay before information is sent. When an employee is
terminated, there should
be a clear list of steps that are routinely followed: “disable their
account, change
the server password, and so forth” (dulaney, 2014, para. 10). All
communications
should include a statement of the communication’s confidential
nature and limits of
privacy, which should discourage data breaches that might
occur due to a patient’s
failure to use secure channels. Although some errors cannot be
corrected, practitio-
ners still have an obligation to track them to see where there
may be faults in the
system that need correction.
Technical Controls
Technical controls are those controls implemented through
technology, such as fire-
walls, intrusion detection and prevention systems (e.g.,
antivirus, antimalware pro-
grams), and encryption. These are the controls that protect
Social Security numbers
and credit card data. They also protect computer systems from
spyware, which allows
hackers to access personal information covertly online. In case
of device theft, remote
wiping technology can be employed to delete sensitive
information and/or disable the
device altogether. The best security against malicious acts is to
employ device encryp-
tion, as well as end-to-end encryption for e-mails and
messaging systems. one should
also carefully evaluate services that help ensure HIPAA
compliance when considering
apps, videoconferencing services, and cloud storage.
Mining data for patterns is a potential source for a data breach.
The Federal Trade
Commission (2012) noted that “consumers face a landscape of
virtually ubiquitous col-
lection of their data. Whether such collection occurs online or
offline does not alter the
consumer’s privacy interest in her or her data” (p. 18).
Summary data can be extracted
and inferences made without our knowledge. The Winston law
Firm website http://
www.stopdatamining.me reminds us that “collecting, analyzing
and selling every
aspect of your life for marketing purposes is perfectly legal.
Indeed, it’s worth billions
of dollars of business. data brokers acquire and rate trillions of
transactions per day and
their databases contain updated information” on every market
transaction that takes
place nationwide. Mental health providers should know that
it is therefore relatively easy for those with access to metadata
to infer that
a private citizen who has regular contact (data) with the
professional e-mail
address of a mental health professional may be in therapy for
some form of
mental health issue. (drummond et al., 2015, p. 231)
To prevent mining of confidential data, we recommend the
judicious use of stand-
alone (i.e., non-Internet connected) systems where feasible. To
minimize the effects
of data mining online, consider using browser extensions that
block data tracking
cookies and actively opting out of data broker and direct
marketing activities.
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17Managing Risk
HEAlTH InSurAnCE PorTABIlITy And
ACCounTABIlITy ACT oF 1996 (HIPAA)
now that we’ve covered some basics, we can go into more depth
about why issues of
confidentiality around patient information are a critical aspect
to consider in this new
technological era. The first reason is simple: It’s the law.
HIPAA has become a fixture
both in parlance and practice throughout health care and has
been at times confusing
and misunderstood. The united States legislation that provides
data privacy and secu-
rity provisions for safeguarding medical information, both the
HIPAA Privacy rule and
Security rules are triggered when a health care provider (or an
entity such as a billing
service acting on behalf of the health care provider) transmits
health information in
electronic form about any designated standard transactions. The
American Psychological
Association (APA; 2013) in a publication designed to address
HIPAA concerns states,
for most mental health and health practitioners, triggering the
need to comply
with HIPAA and the Privacy rule occurs when they do all the
following:
Electronically transmit Protected Health Information (PHI) in
connection with
insurance claims or other third-party reimbursement. (p. 2)
This APA publication continues:
the most common form of electronic transmission for
practitioners is via the
Internet (for example, sending e-mail to a patient or an
insurance carrier or
making transactions on an insurance company website).
Electronic transmission
also includes transmitting electronic information: to cloud
storage, from a
mobile device, such as a smart phone or tablet, via Wi -Fi
networks and flash
drives, as well as via websites where patients submit PHI. (p. 3)
It is important to note that PHI includes any past, present, and
future information
that is generated or received by a health care provider, an
employer, a school, a life
insurance policy, or a health insurance company.
The HIPAA Privacy rule ensures that all covered entities keep
patients’ PHI secure
and properly educate their patients about their rights under
HIPAA. Proper educa-
tion involves providing patients with a written statement that
describes how health
care providers and other covered entities can use or share their
PHI. This should be
included in the initial consultation both verbally and in a
written format. The HIPAA
Security rule details the steps health care providers must take to
keep patients’ elec-
tronic PHI secure. Providers are required to continually assess
the security of their
electronic health record systems and then put specific physical,
administrative, and
technical safeguards in place (as described above) to protect
against the risks that
were revealed during the assessment.
It is very important to note that
the Privacy rule specifically does not preempt a narrow range of
state laws,
such as laws giving or denying parents access to their children’s
records,
regardless of how stringent they are. The result of the
complicated preemption
analysis is that the law you must follow is a mixture of Privacy
rule and state
privacy law provisions. (APA, 2013, p. 4)
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18 S o B E l M A n A n d S A n T o P I E T r o
As HIPAA became more engrained in the everyday practices of
health care
providers, in 2009 the u.S. Congress passed the Health
Information Technology
for Economic and Clinical Health (HITECH) Act. With the
initiation of HITECH,
regulations and guidelines were enacted and directed toward
protecting PHI in the
digital age. This act was the start of “a major shift in the
enforcement strategy of
the office of the national Coordinator for Health Information
Technology (onC).
Because of the HITECH Act, non-compliance resulted in
financial and professional
standing losses for businesses” (“What is Protected Health
Information?”, 2017,
para. 12).
In January, 2013, the HITECH-HIPAA final rule was
announced, which
implemented all the HIPAA modifications mentioned in the
HITECH Act.
one notable change was the direct application of HIPAA to
business associates,
which were previously governed by their contract with a
covered entity.
However, after the modifications from the HITECH Act,
business associates
became subject to HIPAA sanctions as well as enforcement.
(“What is
Protected Health Information?”, 2017, para. 13)
Business associates are entities that extend a practitioner’s
ability to use patient
data in an efficient way. They may perform a variety of
functions, such as processing
or administration, data analysis, utilization review, quality
assurance, billing, benefit
management, practice management, and repricing. Business
associate services include
legal, actuarial, accounting, consulting, data aggregation,
management, administra-
tive, accreditation, and financial services. Examples of business
associates can be found
online (https://www.hhs.gov/hipaa/for-
professionals/privacy/guidance/business-
associates/index.html). As of 2013, it was business associates
that caused more than
20% of all security breaches reported to the HHS; such breaches
affect approximately
12 million patients each year (Solove, 2013).
numerous resources are available from the APA Practice
organization (http://
www.apapractice.org; and
http://www.apapracticecentral.org/business/hipaa/hippa-
privacy-primer.pdf, which offers more specifics on HITECH-
HIPAA).
Professional Ethics Codes
Although professional organizations have always provided
guidance and guidelines
on technology, change is so rapid that it becomes a challenge
for them to keep the
guidelines current. Thus, part of the burden of risk management
falls to ethical deci-
sion making on the part of practitioners, extending to the
training they provide their
staff (Sobelman & younggren, 2016). unfortunately, simply
using new technologies
can sometimes expose underlying vulnerabilities or misuses,
such that a new guideline
is required; however, the goal thus far has been to write
guidelines more broadly and
in such a way as to enable them to be applied to multiple, even
unforeseen, circum-
stances. The APA’s Ethical Principles of Psychologists and
Code of Conduct (2017; hereinafter,
APA Ethics Code) states the following:
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19Managing Risk
4.01 Maintaining Confidentiality
Psychologists have a primary obligation and take reasonable
precautions to
protect confidential information obtained through or stored in
any medium,
recognizing that the extent and limits of confidentiality may be
regulated by law
or established by institutional rules or professional or scientific
relationship.
4.02c discussing the limits of Confidentiality
Psychologists who offer services, products or information via
electronic transmission
inform clients/patients of the risks to privacy and limits of
confidentiality.
The more recent APA Guidelines for the Practice of
Telepsychology (American Psychological
Association, Joint Task Force for the development of
Telepsychology Guidelines for
Psychologists, 2013) recommend that psychologists become
knowledgeable and com-
petent “in the use of the telecommunication technologies being
utilized” and make
sure that client/patients are made aware of the “increased risks
to loss of security and
confidentiality when using telecommunication technologies”
(pp. 791–799).
Sometimes ethical guidelines can even sound like an alert and
strike a caution-
ary tone, as in the following from the American Psychiatric
Association (2013):
“Growing concern regarding the civil rights of patients and the
possible adverse
effects of computerization, duplication equipment, and data
banks makes the dis-
semination of confidential information an increasing hazard” (p.
6). Additionally,
the American Psychiatric Association (2016) recently warned
that “the advent
and expansion of the use of electronic medical records and the
increasing use of
care coordinators and integration of medical care present
challenges to traditional
notions of patient confidentiality” (p. 4). An abundance of
caution is appropriate,
given the weight of the u.S. Health and Human Services mission
to “ensure that
people have equal access and opportunities to participate in
certain health care and
human services programs without unlawful discrimination” (see
https://www.hhs.
gov/ocr/).
In other words, it is incumbent upon us as practitioners to
understand that we
are responsible for the security and confidentiality of our client
and patient records,
no matter what method or technology we use. Compliance with
the law and with
the enforceable ethics codes of our professional associations
resides with us, and we
cannot pass the buck to office managers or our IT support staff.
It is we who must
inform our patients of the limitations. A thorough informed
consent process, includ-
ing documentation thereof, should be a standard part of
practice. Specific risks spelled
out in informed consent forms may include e-mail and text
messaging risks.
In the APA Ethics Code, the General Principles, as opposed to
Ethical Standards,
are aspirational in nature. As noted in the text,
Their intent is to guide and inspire psychologists toward the
very highest ethical
ideals of the profession. General Principles, in contrast to
Ethical Standards, do
not represent obligations and should not form the basis for
imposing sanctions.
relying upon General Principles for either of these reasons
distorts both their
meaning and purpose.
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20 S o B E l M A n A n d S A n T o P I E T r o
The APA Ethics Code Task Force attempted to address a
possible conflict between
law and ethics by allowing psychologists to adhere to a legal
obligation in the face of
a competing ethical obligation, by stating the following:
1.02 Conflicts Between Ethics and law, regulations, or other
Governing
legal Authority
If psychologists’ ethical responsibilities conflict with law,
regulations, or other
governing legal authority, psychologists clarify the nature of
the conflict, make
known their commitment to the Ethics Code and take reasonable
steps to
resolve the conflict consistent with the General Principles and
Ethical Standards
of the Ethics Code. under no circumstances may this standard be
used to justify
or defend violating human rights.
In the next section, we offer a technology-infused mental health
care scenario
that presents various low-level and higher level risk
management challenges. As you
read, reflect on the ethical principles and laws cited above, as
well as the information
security control examples presented. For each technology-
related action in the case
study, try to identify specific ways the practitioner can manage
risk while still offering
direct benefits to the patient in terms of access to care and
treatment that meets high
standards, and/or indirect benefits to the patient in the form of
professional develop-
ment for the clinician.
Case Study
A young man is concerned about how much he is worrying
about starting graduate
school. Worrying is starting to pervade his mind to the point
where he is having
trouble sleeping and even remembering to eat. He decides to
look up his symptoms on
the Internet. He types some key words about his symptoms into
a search engine and
discovers a mental health informational site that provides a
symptom checklist. After
he completes a brief symptom checklist, the site returns a result
that suggests that
he might be suffering from an anxiety disorder. The site
provides psychoeducation—
information about various anxiety disorders, possible causes,
and evidence-based
treatment approaches, as well as some stress reduction
suggestions. He tries some of
the stress reduction exercises and experiences a degree of relief
in the fact that he is
experiencing symptoms that are not uncommon. Still, his
symptoms trouble him.
He returns to the informational site and clicks on a link that
brings him to a mental
health clinician referral site, and then to a therapist locator site
providing listings for
mental health professionals. He searches through a number of
profiles and decides
on a professional nearby that he believes is qualified. He is able
to click on a link to a
professional website and the clinician’s Facebook page and
Twitter account, and after
reviewing the therapist’s credentials decides to proceed with
scheduling an initial
session. Through the therapist’s website, he is able to review
the practice policies and
insurances accepted. He completes a comprehensive intake
questionnaire and symp-
tom description online. He schedules an appointment online too.
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21Managing Risk
The practitioner is notified of the new patient and is able to
review the intake
form and symptom checklist to derive an initial sense of the
clinical issues and patient
characteristics. The pretreatment data are automatically
uploaded and stored in an
encrypted database to be used to monitor progress and serve as
baseline criteria to
measure outcomes. All of this is done with the patient’s
informed consent.
After the patient’s first office visit, the intake information,
pretreatment data, and
initial clinical evaluation are used to formulate an initial
treatment plan. The clinician
accesses the Internet and uses a search engine for the latest
clinical practice guide-
lines (Hollon, 2016) to determine the recommended evidence-
based treatments and
to keep abreast of the most current findings. At this time, any
needed information
can be discovered using PICoT (Patient/population,
Intervention, Comparison inter-
vention, outcome, Time frame) questions which are formulated
to help clinicians
discover the most current evidence (new york university
libraries, 2017). Based on
the evaluation and pretreatment data, a diagnostic formulation is
made. Clinician
and patient discuss various treatment options by phone and
agree on an approach
to try, starting with the patient’s next appointment. The patient
is invited to use his
smartphone to download some apps he can use to keep track of
mood and anxiety,
so that a better picture of the triggers can be identified. Another
app using biometric
sensors via his smartphone is used to gather some physiological
concomitants of his
anxiety, such as heart rate variability and patterns of movement.
These data can be
uploaded from the patient’s smartphone to the clinician’s portal
site, where she is able
to monitor trends and also utilize the physiological parameters
to assess treatment
response. The patient is also provided with links to various sites
that offer supportive
and accessible adjunctive psychoeducation.
In another office in her suite, the clinician has a room devoted
to helping patients
learn how to make state changes—represented by optimal
balance between the sym-
pathetic and parasympathetic nervous systems, called
coherence. For our patient, in this
example, the clinician prescribes adjunctive heart rate
variability biofeedback, which
is overseen by a technician. For other patients, other treatments
are considered, such
as neurofeedback, virtual reality therapy, electrocranial therapy,
and transcranial mag-
netic stimulation (TMS). While she does not have the resources
for TMS in her practice,
when appropriate, she refers to another clinician who does.
during the course of treatment, the patient arrives 5 minutes
early for each ses-
sion and is asked to complete a scale on a tablet that links to the
clinician’s computer.
A summary of the treatment alliance and patient progress is
available to the clinician
before she meets with her patient. during the session, the patient
reports that he will
be unable to attend face-to-face sessions for a month, and after
discussing the advan-
tages and limitations of teletherapy, and providing informed
consent, the patient and
clinician decide that during this period they will conduct
teletherapy sessions. These
sessions prove to be a relief to the patient as a break in
treatment seemed untimely.
As part of the clinician’s continuing professional development,
she has signed up
for some online webinars on the latest evidence-based strategies
for working with
anxiety disorders. during the webinar she hears of additional
training, including an
online supervision group that she decides to join. As part of the
training, she is required
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22 S o B E l M A n A n d S A n T o P I E T r o
to have videotape supervision of her patients. She asks her
patient if he would allow
his sessions to be videotaped for this purpose. He agrees, and
she uses a digital video
camera and saves the video on a password-protected site. using
an encrypted video
communication service, she meets virtually with her supervisor,
and together they are
able to view the videotape of her patients providing shared
clinical material as opposed
to self-report.
As you read this case study, did any red flags present
themselves? Maybe you
identified some areas where you would like more detailed
information on both the
benefits and risks—social media policies, for example (for a list
of articles for cli-
nicians about social media, see http://drkkolmes.com/clinician-
articles/). or maybe
you were able to articulate some questions to ask your staff or
business associates
about how best to safeguard patient data and take calculated
risks with technology.
Additionally, you might ask the following:
❚ ❚ In which parts of the scenario does the clinician’s
responsibility to comply with
HIPAA/HITECH come into play?
❚ ❚ Was informed consent obtained at every juncture when it is
needed?
❚ ❚ What physical, administrative, and/or technical
vulnerabilities has the clinician
accounted for, and how might those controls be reinforced?
❚ ❚ Aside from specific security vulnerabilities, what boundary
challenges need to
be considered? (Kolmes & Taube, 2014)
Conclusion
online mental health programs have a strong evidence base.
APA defined evidence-based
as “the integration of the best available research with clinical
expertise in the context of
patient characteristics, culture and preference” (APA
Presidential Task Force on Evidence-
Based Practice, 2006, p. 273). Their role in population health
strategies needs further
exploration, including the most effective use of limited clinical
staff resources. Turvey
and roberts (2015) reminded us that patient portals and personal
health records serve
to enhance mental health treatment also, though concerns
specific to mental health
must be addressed to support broader adoption of portals. user -
friendly, well-designed,
patient-centered health information technology may integrate
many functions (connect-
ing patient records or e-mails or treatment enhanced
technologies) to promote a holistic
approach to care plans and overall wellness. The securi ty needs
of using this technology
will require that providers and patients be well informed about
how best to use these
technologies to support behavioral health interventions (Turvey
& roberts, 2015).
It is an intimidating and possibly consuming task to stay up-to-
date with all the
advances in technology in the mental health field. And with the
changes in the tech-
nology landscape, mental health practitioners will continually
need to adhere to high
standards of care. Therefore, it should be abundantl y clear that
keeping data secure
must be of paramount importance. But even encryption
companies have been hacked,
as in the case of TrueCrypt (Constantin, 2015). So, what are we
supposed to do if
even those systems that meet the highest industry standards can
be compromised by
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23Managing Risk
hackers? let’s be clear: There will never be a perfect security
and privacy solution to
any electronic medical record, health-related electronic
communication, telehealth
program, or mobile health app. on some level, our efforts to
follow HIPAA standards,
professional standards, and ethical standards, and to maintain a
risk-managed prac-
tice setting, will always be aspirational. The best we can do is
to accept and own our
responsibilities as professionals and adopt practices that help us
to stay current.
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enhance clinical deci-
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10.1037/14711-005
Kolmes, K., & Taube, d. o. (2014). Seeking and finding our
clients on the Internet:
Boundary considerations in cyberspace. Professional
Psychology: Research and Practice,
45, 3–10. http://dx.doi.org/10.1037/a0029958
largest Healthcare data Breaches of 2016. (2017). HIPAA
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of-2016-8631/
new york university libraries. (2017). Framing the research
question: PICO(T). retrieved
from
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northcutt, S. (2013). Security controls. retrieved from
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research/security-laboratory/article/security-controls
Sobelman, S. A., & younggren, J. n. (2016). Clinical decision
making and risk man-
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mental health practice
(pp. 245–271). Washington, dC: American Psychological
Association. http://
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Solove, d. J. (2013). HIPAA turns 10: Analyzing the past,
present and future impact. Jour-
nal of AHIMA, 84(4), 22–28.
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Turvey, C. l., & roberts, l. J. (2015). recent developments in the
use of online
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What is protected health information? (2017). retrieved from the
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3:e118. http://dx.doi.org/10.4172/2168-9695.1000e118
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on
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1
How to Prepare a Pamphlet
A pamphlet is a format that allows you to target specific
populations by selecting, and
then presenting concise information to improve knowledge
levels, to change attitudes
toward a subject, to use in conjunction with other marketing
approaches, and to educate
individuals, their families, and professionals.
Challenges Involved in Developing a Pamphlet
Writing and developing content for an effective pamphlet is
challenging. You have a
limited amount of space in which to briefly, clearly, and
professionally provide
information to your targeted readers. Therefore, it is vitally
important to outline and
organize your pamphlet content, and then deliver it in a way
that appeals to your
readers.
1. Identify the key concepts. Your assignment will outline
several points that must be
covered.
2. Use headings or subtitles to address those key concepts.
3. Explain the key points at the beginning of each section.
4. Cite your supporting resources properly just as you would do
with a traditional paper.
Note: Double-check with your instructor to determine if he or
she will accept
footnotes rather than a reference section for your pamphlet if it
helps to improve the
readability and appearance of your information.
5. Be sure to use graphics, photographs, charts, and other
illustrations that are
appropriate for your topic and intended audience.
6. Make sure your design layout is logical, appealing, and
relevant to ensure your
targeted readers benefit from your pamphlet’s content.
Creating a Pamphlet – The Basics
There are several software programs, including Microsoft
Publisher, that are designed
to create a variety of different written materials. However, you
can easily create your
own using Microsoft Word.
Depending on the version of Word that you may have, you can
open a template and
simply cut and paste your information into a template; or you
can search the Internet for
a free template that meets your needs.
You can use Word to create a simple pamphlet by completing
the following steps:
2
1. Open a new file in Word. Then, name it and save it as you
would any other
assignment.
2. Go to Page Layout>Margins>Narrow (1/2 inch).
3. Write your content or text. and then insert your graphics.
4. Go to Page Layout>Orientation>Landscape. Change to
Landscape (11 x 8 ½).
5. Highlight the text.
6. With text highlighted, go to Page Layout>Columns>Three.
Click and save.
Now, your file is a draft pamphlet that you can review, revise,
and proofread before you
submit it to your instructor for feedback.
Creating an Effective Pamphlet – Simple Tips
Effective pamphlets present information that is organized,
informative, supported by
valid research, and easy to understand. You can prepare an
effective pamphlet by using
the following tips:
1. Use short, yet compelling words, and brief sentences. Keep
your audience in mind.
2. Use quotes sparingly. As a rule, quotes have value for
emphasis if you cannot
rephrase the information any better in your own words.
3. Write your content using the active voice. (Active voice:
“Families can provide
support to children struggling with homework by finding a great
tutor.” Passive voice:
“Support can be provided by the family to children struggling
with homework by find
a great tutor.”)
4. Be positive. “Families should” instead of, “Families should
not.”
Knowing Your Targeted Readers
vels of
education, demographics,
etc.) to ensure the success of your presentation.
expertise.
Planning Your Pamphlet Content
As you prepare your pamphlet content, consider the following
questions:
What is the
intended “take away”?
that they have
learned?
your pamphlet?
3
Pamphlet Content Guidelines
1. Use a simple font with a point-size of no less than 12-point
(footnotes should be no
smaller than 9 point).
2. Be consistent. Use the same font throughout your pamphlet.
3. Use color, underlining, and italics sparingly and for emphasis
only.
4. Use white space effectively. If text is squeezed together, it is
difficult to read. Take
time to edit your information so that your key concepts are
clearly and simply
presented.
5. Use graphics that are relevant to your pamphlet’s overall
content.
6. Be sure the graphics complement your content, instead of
overwhelming it and
creating distractions.
7. Ensure your graphics are tasteful, inclusive, and appropriate
for your readers.
References
1. Nicholson-Crotty, S., Nicholson-Crotty, J., & Fernandez, S.
(2017). Performance and management in the public sector:
Testing a model of relative.. (PDF attached)
2. Sobelman, S. A., & Santopietro, J. M. (2018). Managing risk:
Aligning technology use with the law, ethics codes, and practice
standards. In Using... (PDF attached)
3. World Health Organization. (2018). Organizatio n [Website].
https://www.who.int/

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Complexity theory and public management a ‘becoming’ field

  • 1. Complexity theory and public management: a ‘becoming’ field Since the special edition of Public Management Review on ‘Complexity Theory and Public Management’ in 2008 (Volume 10 (3)), co-edited by Geert Teisman and Erik- Hans Klijn, academic interest in complexity theory, and how it might be used to understand the world and inform design and intervention in the public policy/public management field, has grown and matured. The inspiration for this special issue arose out of intensive interactions among interested scholars in conference panels (at American Society for Public Administration, International Research Society for Public Management, and the Challenges of Making Public Administration and Complexity Theory group) over the past few years and the realization that a ‘stock-taking’ was required. While many public management scholars knew a little bit about complexity – and some knew a lot – there was still no consensus about the contribution complexity theory could or could not make to theory and practice. While we did not achieve consensus this time
  • 2. around, the papers selected for this edition provide a picture of where we are and where scholars in this field think we should go, and some examples of the most promising routes to get there. Before summarizing these findings, we provide a brief overview of where we have come from and why we are still a ‘becoming’ field. Challenging fundamental assumptions Nineteenth- and twentieth-century sciences which developed beneath the umbra of Newtonian theories, embedded some pervasive assumptions which might be crudely summarized as (1) relationships between individual components of any system can be understood by isolating the interacting parts, (2) there is a predictability to the relationship among the parts, and (3) the result of interactions and the working whole might eventually be understood by simply summing the parts. So in much the same way as the expert clockmaker might be able to design, build, disassemble, and modify a clock, understanding the individual parts and how they fit together leads to understanding the
  • 3. functioning whole and the capability to replicate it precisely as required. This paradigm is dominated by mechanical metaphors and leads to an assumption that the sum of the parts equals the whole. Dissatisfaction with the limitations of mechanical explanations led to more sophisticated models which were better at explaining the observed behaviour, initially of the physical world, and then increasingly the biological, ecological, and social worlds (e.g. Byrne 1998; Cilliers 1998; Holland 1995; Kauffman 1993; Prigogine 1978; Prigogine and Stengers 1984; Stacey 1993; Waldrop 1992). Such modelling offered new ontological insights about the nature of our world and the way it behaves. This is summed up briefly by saying that there are recursive, ongoing non-linear interactions between the elements that make up the whole and these elements adapt to each other in non-linear ways. Their interactions create contingency and uncertainty about what the future will become. As a result, the whole lacks the predictability of the machine model. Boulton (2010) refers to a complex world view as ‘becoming’ because individual components in these worlds are interdependent and in processes of ongoing
  • 4. interaction with each other with the result that the world is not static and fixed, but dynamic, ever- changing, and becoming something different from what it was in the past. Recognition of such inherent uncertainty leads to a conclusion that Newtonian-like mechanical models are inadequate for these types of systems because the sum of the parts does not equal the whole. Understanding of the whole cannot be based only on an understanding of the disaggregated parts because of the ongoing non-linear change caused by the interactions between the parts. This shift in understanding brings us to a complexity world view: ‘sandwiched between a view that the world works like a machine and a view that the world is chaotic, unpredictable and without structure’ (Boulton, Allen, and Bowman 2015, 29). In this complexity-informed world view, ongoing non-linear interactions result in macro patterns becoming established. Complexity theory explains the way many, repeated non-linear interactions among elements within a whole result in macro forms and patterns which emerge without design or
  • 5. direction. Further, an initial pattern might be disrupted by external events or internal processes and reform into some new pattern. Boulton and colleagues sum up what they call the ‘central tenet of complexity theory’ and its contribution to understanding change as ‘the detail and the variation’ of each action – the effect of a regulation on various actors for example – ‘coupled with the interconnection’ of action and environment that ‘provide the fuel for innovation, evolution and learning’ (Boulton, Allen, and Bowman 2015, 29). That is, the future is a contingent, emergent, systemic, and potentially path- dependent product of reflexive non-linear interactions between existing patterns and events. Its variety, diversity, variation, and fluctuations can give rise to resili ence and adaptability; is path dependent, contingent on local context and on the sequence of what happens; subject to episodic changes that can tip into new regimes; has more than one future; can self- organize, self-regulate; and have new features emerge. Introducing a complexity frame to public management
  • 6. As an alternative to Newtonian mechanics, this last observation about the contribution of complexity theory for understanding unpredictability and change in human systems leads us to its relevance for the study of public policy and public management. Scholars and practitioners of public policy and public management are concerned with how to create or change particular patterns of interaction between actors to get a particular result: for example, how might governments design a set of institutions to bring about certain behaviours; or given a set of institutions, how might the interactions between actors and the institutions be governed to achieve a particular outcome; and how might unintended negative effects be avoided or positive ones enhanced? Furthermore, complexity theory facilitates a focus on multiple levels of scale simultaneously. Thus the individual actors, and multiple layers of institutions of varying complexity which interact, can all be brought into view through the multi-scalar complexity lens. We note, within the diverse scientific traditions of public policy and public management theories, attempts to explain dynamism and non-linear contingency in how change takes place have become an
  • 7. increasingly pertinent concern (Eppel 2017). In the last 20 years – and rising sharply from around 2008 (Gerrits and Marks 2015) – we see increasingly explicit use of complexity theory concepts for explaining the way the public policy/management worlds behave and how we might better design and manage change in these worlds. David Byrne has also deepened our understanding of the methodological implications of complexity for the social sciences generally (Byrne, 1011, Byrne and Callaghan 2014). Scholars such as Sanderson (2009), Room (2011), and Morcol (2012) have all argued for complexity theory for understanding of how the social world of policy processes work. Cairney (2012, 2013; Cairney and Geyer, 2017) caution us that the looseness with which complexity concepts are sometimes applied could be an impediment but they also see a place for complexity theory as a bridge between academic and policymaker perspectives in support of pragmatism and insights about how to influence emergent behaviour. Sanderson (2009) advocates that the ambiguity and uncertainty arising from a complex
  • 8. adaptive world can be mitigated through the use of an epistemology based on pragmatism and complexity theory. Room (2011) suggests a blending of extant theories such as institutionalism with complexity theory for better understanding the micro/macro dynamics of public policy. He suggests that there is a complementarity in which complexity theory supplies the micro mechanisms lacking in institutional theory and institutional theory supplies a macro framing specific to public policy which complexity theory lacks. Morcol (2012) argues further that complexity theory provides mechanisms and concepts for understanding the macro/micro problems at the heart of public policy process. That is, complexity theory provides a micro mechanism for explaining the macro patterns of interest to public policy scholars. Growing interest in complexity and policy is evidenced in the establishment of a new Journal on Policy and Complex Systems in 2014. In a parallel and consistent vein, Teisman and colleagues in the Netherlands (Teisman, van Buuren, and Gerrits 2009), Rhodes and colleagues in Ireland (Rhodes et al. 2011), Koliba and colleagues in the United
  • 9. States (Koliba, Meek, and Zia 2011), and Eppel and colleagues in New Zealand (Eppel, Turner, and Wolf 2011) have each employed complexity theory concepts to better understand the core processes of public management such as agenda setting, policy formation, decision-making, and implementation. These authors have more or less independently come to the conclusion that complexity theory and network theory are required and should be linked together to provide an adequate basis on which to develop governance theory and practice guidelines in modern public management contexts. The extent of complementarity between complexity theory and network governance (Klijn and Koppenjan 2014; Koppenjan and Klijn 2014) and new public management theories is reflected in the establishment of the journal Complexity, Governance and Networks in 2014. Others have taken aim at how public sector change might be better managed generally by enlisting complexity thinking and concepts to inform processes of designing and generating change (Boulton, Allen, and Bowman 2015; Geyer and Rihani 2010; Innes and Booher 2010). These authors identify
  • 10. common themes such as the impossibility of prediction and therefore the need to adopt more experimental approaches to intervention based on the assumption that there will be new phenomena (unknown unknowns) likely to emerge endogenously. What has occurred previously will continue to affect the present (and the future). As a result, any externally applied change will have uncertain effects, some of which will lead to a helpful change and some not so. Doing public policy and public management in such a world requires cognisance of the above characteristics – and particularly the dynamics of self-organization, path-dependency, adaptation, and emergence – in how we approach policy and change (Rhodes et al. 2011). We also need complexity’s lens to see the whole while taking into account the relationships between the elements at different levels of scale. Koliba and Zia (2012) talk about the need for complexity friendly methods for modelling the complex governance system. Innes and Booher (2010) built their theory of collaborative rationality for public policy on analysis of the
  • 11. ongoing dialectic interaction between collaboration and praxis as a means for understanding complex change. Cairney and Geyer (2015) have made a substantial contribution to thinking about the contribution of complexity theory to policy studies and how it might add to understanding of particular policy fields, such as health (Tenbensel 2013) or concepts such as power (Room, 2015) as well as complexity friendly methods for research and practice. Overview of papers in this edition This plethora of contributions and theoretical explorations cries out for framing and assessment to help guide scholars engaging with complexity in the public management/policy domains. To that end, our call for contributions asked authors to consider how complexity contributes to public management theory and practice using one (or more) of three lenses: (1) complexity theory-informed alternative perspectives on the framing of problems and design of processes of public administration to be considered, (2) insights into alternative institutions that are shaping public administration and management processes, and (3) alternative practices to match
  • 12. the complexity of the environment and the challenges faced by public management scholars administrators. Furthermore, we note the need for a distinction to be made between the use of complexity theory to create and test concepts and theories to describe the world as it is (which is often the domain of the natural sciences), and the use of these concepts and theories to design and bring about change (this latter often the domain of social sciences). While these perspectives inform each other, they often rely on different ontological and epistemological foundations, and this is apparent in the papers in this special edition where we see both describe and design features in the way authors have used complexity theory. Alternative perspectives Alternative perspectives provided by complexity theory have evolved markedly in the intervening years between this issue and the last special issue of PMR addressing complexity. We have already mentioned the application of complexity concepts to understanding multi -
  • 13. actor decision-making and institutional change for instance. The authors in this issue further explore models which attempt to incorporate the specific use of complexity concepts such as feedback loops, adaptation, attractors, and emergence to reframe understanding of common phenomena experienced in public administration such as policy processes, implementation, natural resources management, and public-sector reform. In all of the papers in this issue, there is the explicit recognition that a complexity perspective entails the rejection of assumptions of predictability and control in public management, and the adoption of assumptions of multiple, interacting self-organizing entities that learn and change over time. While there are periods of stable behaviour and features of the system that function as constraints on elements of the system, the diversity and adaptation of entities creates the possibility for both evolutionary and unpredictable, sudden change.
  • 14. An example of two inter-country independent decision-making processes that became coupled over time is used by Marks and Gerrits to illustrate the contribution of game theoretic models to understanding complex public administration processes. Their game theory model is tested through an experiment aimed at explaining how representatives of the two governments involved who met each other in two presumed independent decision-making arenas took the history of their interactions from one to the other, thereby influencing the overall outcome. Thus they demonstrate the interdependency and connectedness between systems that otherwise might be assumed independent. Further, the authors provide a testable formalized model that describes the interaction and co-evolution of independent agents over time for future scholars to build upon. Haynes makes use of complexity theory to focus on multiple levels of public administration systems. He extends the conceptualization of the public administration complex system to include the behaviour disposition of the individual in relation to their public and personal values, to conclude that the multi-
  • 15. level capacity in complexity theory is, in part, bounded by public service values. Further, he uses the complexity concept of attractors to explain how public service values at different levels (individual, family/community, professional, and political) can play a role in constraining (or indeed enabling) system change over time. Both Haynes and Marks & Gerrits extend the understanding of complex adaptive systems (CAS) theory and public management by taking their analysis of participating actors below the level of description of the organization and the institutions. They consider the largely unconscious psychological dispositions of individual actors and their history with other actors and its influence on patterns of institutional and organizational decision-making which are relevant to the design. Rather than develop new models, Rhodes and Dowling assess to what extent fitness landscape models (Wright 1932; Kaufmann and Levin 1987) have been used effectively by public management scholars to date through a systematic review. Fitness landscapes are evolutionary models that capture how the behaviour and characteristics of independent agents operating in a shared context result in individual
  • 16. and system-wide outcomes. The authors remark on their frequent use at the level of metaphor and the limited attention paid to mapping the concepts of the model to the features of the empirical phenomenon being described. This conclusion might easily be applied to a number of other complexity concepts (Cairney and Geyer 2017), which, after several decades of scholarly effort, raises concerns about the translation of these concepts into the public management domain. Nevertheless, Rhodes and Dowling conclude that in combination with network theory, fitness landscape models are ‘more aligned with the actual features of complex governance systems than game theory models which rely on highly stylized assumptions about how agents behave and equally fuzzy definitions of performance’ (Rhodes and Dowling, this issue). We return to these ‘fuzzy definitions of performance’ in our conclusion. Alternative institutions Alternative institutions are those that can influence the actions of interdependent, autonomous agents
  • 17. as they iteratively explore alternative solutions to wicked problems, such as distributed authority arrangements, multi-sector for a for decision-making and multi- channel feedback arising from new communication technologies. For example, in Haynes’ contribution, the notions of public service values and public value are explored through the lens of CAS theory. The paper offers a concrete and practical example for understanding the dynamic influence of values on complex policy systems. Haynes argues for recognition of ‘soft’ patterns of values such as belief systems and their dynamic influence on organizational behaviours as well as ‘hard’ patterns such as rules and structures and shows how the CAS lens enables this. Castlenovo and colleagues attend to the issues raised by the federal–state–local governance structures and how these might be re-imagined/understood using complexity theory. For them, their complexity- based lens acts as a heuristic device to understand the misalignment of locally implemented outcomes with the centrally defined objectives of a nationwide public programme in Italy where the ‘Napoleonic’
  • 18. administrative traditions dominate – arguing for a rethinking of these traditions. Tenbensel, rather than arguing for a particular type of institutional change, builds on the approach taken by Room (2011) and advocated by Cairney and Geyer (2017) in bringing institutional theory together with complexity theory using Crouch’s concept of recombinant governance. Through an examination of the fitness of various governance hybrids in the health sector in New Zealand he demonstrates the usefulness of being able to distinguish among various versions of hybridity and to argue for a more evolutionary perspective on institutional design and change. Alternative practices Complexity offers alternative ways of framing intervention and bringing about successful change that navigates the traps of unexpected changes and opens up different ways of achieving innovation. Gear and colleagues take us into the conceptual framing and research methodology needed to examine the complex problem of intimate partner violence (IPV). They identify the limitations faced in developing
  • 19. healthcare interventions in the absence of a complex adaptive systems view. Existing efforts to understand sustainable approaches in primary healthcare settings have been dominated by the direct cause–effect thinking reflected in randomized control trials and like methodologies that have been so prevalent in health research. Reframing the person entrapped by IPV and their world, and the world of a primary healthcare setting as two interacting complex adaptive systems, shifts the research focus to the reflexive interactions that occur between the person experiencing IPV and the primary healthcare setting. According to CAS theory, we would expect these interactions to lead to mutual adaptations within each of these complex systems, and therefore intervention sustainability will occur when the interaction and mutual adaptation generate outcomes that stimulate ongoing engagement by both systems. Without the CAS perspective, the self-organization, coevolution, and emergence that leads to sustainability cannot be studied. The conceptualization and research design developed to study healthcare responses to IPV might also be more widely
  • 20. applicable to other complex social interventions. Sustainability of the collaborative governance network is also the focus of Scott and colleagues. Complexity theory concepts are used to both describe how sustainability is linked to the adaptability and flexibility of the collaborative project but also to offer insights into how the collaborative process might be designed to encourage the development of sustainability. Like many other papers in this edition, their use of complexity theory is combined with other theories – collaborative governance, in this instance. Meek and Marshall use a CAS lens to understand how the multi - actor institutional governance of a complex Southern Californian metropolitan water system contributes to an adaptive resilience able to respond effectively to the external stressors of severe and sustained drought. Ongoing self-organization and adaptation within and among the governance actors and other stakeholders are characteristics of the governance system which lead to emergent features which help maintain resilience.
  • 21. In the Castelnovo paper referred to already, we encounter the empirical descriptions needed to interpret the complexity factors that shaped an implementation trajectory. They offer self-organization, co-evolution, and emergence as mechanisms for understanding the peculiar implementation path which might otherwise be assumed to be the cumulative effect of a series of legislative interventions not always coherent in and among themselves. In so doing they pave the way for the design of alternative implementation practices. Finally, scholar-teachers have also begun to incorporate complexity theory into teaching practice. It has proved useful for both integrating theories and for helping students and practitioners to better frame and understand the challenges of public management. In schools of government, planning, and business we are starting to see individual modules, components of programmes, and indeed entire master’s degrees being developed to introduce students to a complexity ‘perspective’ and to be exposed to the tools and techniques to understand and intervene in complex systems. Due to constraints of space, this
  • 22. issue does not include any articles on this topic, but instead the editors are working on a separate special issue in ‘Complexity, Governance & Networks’ dedicated to the ways complexity is being taught to public management/policy students around the world. Whither complexity in public management? The relevance of complexity theory for circumventing the weaknesses of a mechanistic approach to understanding public policy and management has been well - trodden ground for decades. That this continues to be pursued as complexity theory spreads across policy domains suggests that it is this fundamental capacity that is at the core of the attraction for many scholars and practitioners. As highlighted above, the use of complexity theory in public management has developed both in relation to the description of phenomena and design of institutions and interventions to effect change. From a theoretical perspective, the scholarship of the last decade and the papers in this volume
  • 23. demonstrate that complexity theory sits alongside, and in many cases augments existing theories of public policy and public management. Public policy and public management draw on a variety of parent disciplines such as politics, organization science, economics, management, sociology, and psychology (Raadschelders 2011) and bridging or integrating this plurality continues to be an implicit – and in some cases explicit – objective of scholars applying complexity theory to this domain. A complexity perspective can describe how interdependent agents interact over time – within the constraints of history, institutional forms, and/or values – to increase or decrease overall (or individual) fitness, sustainability, or resilience. It does this without the need to fall back on predictable cause and effect relationships among agents or contexts while still leaving room for the identification of patterns and likely pathways. Furthermore, the ‘positive role for complexity theory as a way to bridge academic and policy maker discussions’ (Cairney and Geyer 2017, 1) – and we would add ‘practitioners’ – is evident in many of the
  • 24. papers. Complexity acts as a challenge to the quest for certainty in policymaking and also prompts discussion about the role of pragmatism in policymaking. In this issue, authors have argued for linking complexity frameworks with institutional theory, network theory, public value theory, and game theory to better understand the dynamics of processes, outcomes, and change in public policy/management systems over time. Its strengths lie in its facilitation of a focus on multiple levels of scale and its provision of micro-level mechanisms for macro-level theories such as institutional theory and punctuated equilibrium theory (Eppel 2017). The key mechanisms explored in this issue are based on game theoretic interactions, search processes on fitness landscapes, evolution arising from recombinant novelty, and information exchange in networks – building on the core complexity dynamics of self- organization, adaptability, and emergence. In respect of institutions, the conclusion one may draw from these papers is that it is unlikely that current institutional forms – whether they be hierarchical, market, network, or values based – exhaust the range of potential institutional forms that could be designed or
  • 25. evolve in the public policy and administration space. Experimenting with new forms would appear to be an important complexity-friendly policymaking practice that would lead to more sustainable public systems. The concepts of ‘sustainability’ and ‘resilience’ make an appearance in several of the articles in this issue as objectives of research and practice that are facilitated by a complexity approach. However, there is little agreement or indeed clear definition about what either of these outcomes represent in the context of public administration. Survival – or the ongoing existence of agents, institutions, or systems if not of the individual humans that make these up – is, of course, one option, but this is not clarified or challenged either in the papers in this issue or in the wider academic community. It is incumbent upon those scholars working in this area and using these concepts to clearly define and debate what they mean if the policy or practice recommendations arising from their research are to be seriously considered.
  • 26. In addition to this definitional lacuna around sustainability and resilience, the incorporation of performance management research, theory and practice, has been largely absent in the public administration complexity literature. The fitness landscape literature would appear to provide an obvious link to performance, as evidenced by the use of the phrase ‘performance landscapes’ to describe this approach in organizational theory (Siggelkow and Levinthal 2003; Rhodes and Donnelly-Cox 2008). This leads us to speculate about the compatibility of complexity theory with our basic understanding of the nature of performance management. The issue may partially be due to the multidimensionality of performance management (Bouckaert and Halligan 2008) and the limitations of how performance management has been conceived and practised in the new public management environment (Moynihan et al. 2011). Moynihan and colleagues (2011) point to the limitations of current research on performance management to take adequate cognisance of governance complexity. So there appears to be some room for each scholarly trajectory to learn
  • 27. from the other. But perhaps more important is that fact that we are still quite far from developing complexity-based models of agent interactions, behaviour, and change over time that demonstrably produce/predict real- world outcomes of any kind, not just performance. However, the kind of direct cause and effect theories we have come to believe represent the pinnacle of scholarly achievement and the reliance on experiments or random control trials to prove same are unlikely to address the sorts of ‘wicked’ problems (Rittel and Webber 1973) that lie at the heart of public policy and management. The need to continue to adopt and refine complexity-informed theory, institutions, and practice in a domain of human endeavour as rich and varied as public administration is as vital now as it was a decade ago. Additional information Notes on contributors Elizabeth Anne Eppel Elizabeth Anne Eppel is a Senior Research and Teaching Fellow in the School of Government, Victoria
  • 28. University of Wellington, New Zealand. Her research interests are complexity in public policy processes, governance networks, and collaborative governance. Mary Lee Rhodes Mary Lee Rhodes (B.A., M.Sc., MBA, Ph.D.) is an Associate Professor of Public Management at Trinity College, Dublin. Her research is focused on complex public service systems and the dynamics of performance. Prof. Rhodes has published numerous articles on housing as a complex adaptive system and her most recent book on Complexity and Public Management was published by Routledge in 2011. Her current research is on the nature and dynamics of social impact and she is developing research on social innovation, social finance, and well-being. Previous article View issue table of contents Next article References Bouckaert, G., and J. Halligan. 2008. Managing Performance:
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  • 38. Social Sciences Citation Index Performance and Management in the Public Sector: Testing a Model of Relative Risk Aversion. Research has demonstrated that management influences the performance of public organizations, but almost no research has explored how the success or failure of a public organization influences the decisions of those who manage it. Arguing that many decisions by public managers are analogous to risky choice, the authors use a well‐ validated model of relative risk aversion to understand how such choices are influenced by managers’ perceptions of organizational performance. They theorize that managers will be less likely to encourage innovation or give discretion to employees when they are just reaching their goals relative to other performance conditions. Analyses of responses to the 2011 and 2013 Federal Employee Viewpoint Surveys provide considerable support for these assertions. The findings have significant implications for our understanding of the relationship between management and performance in public organizations. Related Content: Stanton (PAR July/August 2017) Practitioner Points Perceptions of performance influence the likelihood that public managers will engage in risk‐ taking behavior. Public managers are less likely to take risks as performance begins to meet expectations than when
  • 39. performance falls short of or exceeds expectations. The willingness of public managers to embrace organizational change, such as process innovations or employee empowerment practices, is likely a function of current organizational performance. Over the past several decades, a large and growing literature has demonstrated quite convincingly that management matters for the performance of public organizations. It has shown that the decisions public 7/19/2021 Roadrunner Search Discovery Service https://eds.a.ebscohost.com/eds/delivery?sid= 4ecb0120-79db- 47cc-ae30-f2627ec8909b%40sdc-v- sessmgr03&vid=2&ReturnUrl=https%3a%2f%2fe… 2/21 managers make—including whether to collaborate with stakeholders in the environment, create green rather than red tape within their organizations, and empower employees to innovate, among others—have a significant impact on the success of public organizations and programs (see, e.g., DeHart‐ Davis [ 18] ; Fernandez and Moldogaziev [ 22] ; Meier and O'Toole [ 48] ). In many ways, the relationship between management and performance undergirds the modern administrative state and the systems that define it (Moynihan and Pandey [ 57] ). Scholars typically treat the relationship between management and performance as nonreciprocal, assuming that one influences the other but that the inverse is not true. As a result, almost no work has explored how the
  • 40. success or failure of a public organization influences the decisions of those who manage it. This is a potentially significant oversight because if performance is in fact endogenous to management, this could cause us to substantially overestimate the importance of the latter. In other words, if public managers in high‐ performing organizations make systematically different decisions than those in poor‐ performing organizations, we might attribute organizational success to those choices when causality is actually running in the other direction. Fortunately, very recent research has begun to address this shortcoming by theorizing about the impact of performance on managerial behavior in public organizations (Meier, Favero, and Zhu [ 46] ). While acknowledging the importance of that work, we will, for a variety of reasons, suggest an alternative approach to understanding the relationship between performance and management. Specifically, we use a relative risk model from the private management literature in order to understand how several major types of decisions made by public managers are influenced by the performance of their organizations. This is a well‐ validated approach to decision making that suggests that risk tolerance is a function of performance relative to the decision maker's goals or aspirations. Many managerial behaviors advocated by modern management theories —including the encouragement of innovativeness and entrepreneurial behavior, employee empowerment, and decentralization of decision making authority—impose potential costs while having uncertain outcomes and therefore can be conceived of as risky choice. Drawing on relative risk theory, we develop specific hypotheses about the performance conditions under which managers are most likely to make these types of choices.
  • 41. We test these hypotheses in analyses of responses to the 2011 and 2013 Federal Employee Viewpoint Surveys. In order to deal with endogeneity and help alleviate common source bias, we predict an individual employee's reports of managerial decisions regarding the encouragement of innovation, empowerment practices, and delegation of decision‐ making authority in 2013 with average assessments of performance by managers within that employee's department in 2011. In an additional analysis, we test directly for the impact of a manager's performance assessment on his or her own reported innovativeness. Across six different dependent variables measuring managerial decisions, and in the presence of numerous control variables and fixed effects, the results are remarkably consistent with the theoretical prediction that key choices made by public managers are a function of organizational performance and relative risk tolerance. We conclude with a discussion of the implications for public management research. Performance and Decision Making in the Public Management Literature As noted earlier, there is really not much to review when it comes to studies that have used organizational performance to predict how public managers will make decisions. Work in the private sector has frequently explored the ways in which performance feedback influences firms’ willingness to adopt behaviors either to address deficiency or to further leverage success (see, e.g., Chen [ 14] ; Iyer and Miller [ 32] ; Miller and Chen [ 51] ). However, application of this behavioral theory (see Cyert and March [ 17] ) to public organizations has been very rare. A notable exception is Salge ([ 62] ), who finds that negative performance feedback leads organizations to search for solutions while slack resources encourage innovativeness in a sample of English
  • 42. 7/19/2021 Roadrunner Search Discovery Service https://eds.a.ebscohost.com/eds/delivery?sid=4ecb01 20-79db- 47cc-ae30-f2627ec8909b%40sdc-v- sessmgr03&vid=2&ReturnUrl=https%3a%2f%2fe… 3/21 public hospitals. In a related article, Nielsen ([ 58] ) finds that negative performance information induces Danish school principals to reorder the multiple goals that their organizations are asked to pursue, emphasizing areas in which they are doing particularly poorly. Despite these exceptions, attention to the impact of performance on managerial decisions in public organizations has been limited. Recognizing this significant oversight, Meier, Favero, and Zhu ([ 46] ) build a theory that imagines performance as a key driver of decision making by public managers. Specifically, the authors take a Bayesian approach in which the distance between current performance and the manager's prior regarding acceptable performance shapes the choices they make. They are clear that priors could be formed in a variety of ways but offer the intuitive expectation that information about previous performance and the performance of similar organizations is likely used by managers to update their beliefs about acceptable levels of current performance. The theory suggests that “positive performance gaps,” where current performance falls below acceptable levels, should induce managers to be more innovative, seek opportunities by networking with those in the organizational environment, and centralize operations. They
  • 43. hypothesize that the functional form of these relationships will likely be quadratic, with managerial behaviors of the kind just described becoming more aggressive as the performance gap grows. Finally, the authors suggest that the theory can be extended to accommodate multiple goals, different levels of hierarchy, and other realities faced by public organizations. Meier, Favero, and Zhu's approach is promising, particularly in its careful consideration of how managers decide what level of performance they expect from their organizations, and its attention to the impact of performance on management is long overdue. It is also, however, untested empirically. Additionally, the theory does not deal adequately with conditions when current performance exceeds the prior regarding an acceptable level. The authors acknowledge that this type of “negative performance gap” is likely to have an important impact on managerial behavior and speculate that it might “be translated into both additional resources and autonomy” (Meier, Favero, and Zhu [ 46] , 1232). They do not, however, generate precise expectations about the impact of exceeding performance expectations on managerial decision making. This is particularly important if, as noted earlier, we are concerned about overestimating the impact of management in high‐ performing organizations. As a final challenge, there are some potential inconsistencies in the expectations offered by the theory. For example, the authors rely heavily on Miles et al.'s ([ 50] ) concept of prospector versus defender strategies to identify the decisions managers may make under different performance conditions. They suggest that poor performance should motivate managers to encourage innovation and expand contacts with the environment,
  • 44. which Miles et al. classify as prospector strategies. Meier, Favero, and Zhu also suggest that poor performance will cause managers to centralize authority, but Miles et al. argue that seeking “strict control of the organization” is a defender strategy. More importantly, they suggest that defenders and prospectors are essentially opposites of one another and that each has a “high degree of consistency among its solutions” to organizational problems. Meier, Favero, and Zhu do not offer sufficient explanation as to why they expect poor performance to cause such inconsistent reactions among managers. These issues will likely be worked out in future iterations of the theory and subsequent empirical tests, but for now, they suggest that it might be profitable to explore other lenses for examining the relationship between performance and management. An Alternative Approach to Modeling Performance and Management We suggest that models of relative risk aversion can be used to understand decisions that increase uncertainty for public managers. We will return in the next section to which tenets of modern management theory we 7/19/2021 Roadrunner Search Discovery Service https://eds.a.ebscohost.com/eds/delivery?sid=4ecb0120-79db- 47cc-ae30-f2627ec8909b%40sdc-v- sessmgr03&vid=2&ReturnUrl=https%3a%2f%2fe… 4/21 believe fit in this category. Before that, however, it is important to acknowledge the advancements made in the study of risky choice in the public sector. Although some research continues to assert that public organizations
  • 45. have characteristics that can impede risk‐ taking or entrepreneurial behaviors (see, e.g., Morris and Jones [ 54] ; Townsend [ 66] ), a growing number of studies have demonstrated that risk‐ taking behavior is present and predictable in public organizations. In an early contribution, Bozeman and Kingsley ([ 10] ) test and refute the assertion that public managers are inherently more risk averse than their private sector counterparts. Subsequent research has demonstrated that hierarchy and red tape are negatively correlated with risk taking among public managers and employee–supervisor trust is positively associated (Nyhan [ 59] ; Turaga and Bozeman 2005). One key difference between these studies on public management risk taking and the model we use is that they rely on an absolute rather than a relative risk‐ aversion perspective. Absolute and relative risk approaches both assume that the utility of an outcome is a function of perceived risk. Each suggests that decision makers are risk averse when utility for an outcome diminishes as uncertainty about obtaining it increases and risk seeking when utility increases with uncertainty. However, the key feature of absolute risk tolerance is that the functional form of the relationship between utility and risk is fixed for each individual. In other words, each person is either risk averse or risk seeking. Under that assumption, performance cannot have any impact on propensity for risk taking. Work on individual risk taking in other contexts, including private firms, has long rejected the idea of fixed risk tolerance in favor of relative risk aversion (see, e.g., Bromiley and Curley [ 12] ). In these models, the level of utility for an outcome is still a function of perceived risk, but the same person can be risk loving and risk averse
  • 46. depending on his or her performance relative to expectations. Perhaps the most well known of these approaches is prospect theory. Kahneman and Tversky ([ 34] ) offer a model of risky choice, which suggests that the weights assigned to potential gains and losses change depending on where decision makers feel they are relative to their desired goal. Specifically, the theory predicts that decision makers will be risk averse when in a domain of gain but risk seeking in a domain of loss. In other words, they will be more risk averse when they are “winning” rather than “losing” relative to some preestablished goal. Numerous studies have confirmed that individual risk preferences vary based on the reference point between gains and losses (see Tversky and Kahneman [ 68] for a review). Research has extended these findings from individuals to the behavior of organizations and managers within them (e.g., Bowman [ 7] ; Bromiley [ 11] ; Fiegenbaum and Thomas [ 24] ). These studies argue that organizations have variable risk preferences based on their proximity to a preestablished reference point. More specifically, they expect that managers will engage in riskier behavior when performance and resources are below aspirational levels but become more risk averse as they begin to realize aspirations. Key insight into the matter emerged from early efforts to develop a behavioral theory of the firm. March and Simon ([ 43] ) argue that the rate of innovation in organizations increases as existing organizational structures and practices prove to be inadequate and actual performance lags behind expectations (see also Levitt and March [ 39] ). Elaborating on the notion that necessity is the mother of invention, Cyert and March ([ 17] ) argue that failure induces search, which often leads to the adoption of innovative solutions. They call these innovations
  • 47. “problem‐ oriented innovations,” which are directly linked to a problem, in contrast to slack innovations, which are remotely related to a problem and are much easier to justify when resources are abundant and rules for allocating resources are relaxed. March and Simon's ([ 43] ) and Cyert and March's ([ 17] ) research underscores the influence of performance and aspirations on managerial behavior, particularly exposing the organization to risk through innovation. In a 7/19/2021 Roadrunner Search Discovery Service https://eds.a.ebscohost.com/eds/delivery?sid=4ecb0120-79db- 47cc-ae30-f2627ec8909b%40sdc-v- sessmgr03&vid=2&ReturnUrl=https%3a%2f%2fe… 5/21 similar vein, research on organizational learning has emphasized the impact of performance feedback on managerial decisions to engage in organizational change. Manns and March ([ 40] ) predict and find that poor financial performance, or financial adversity, leads university departments to adopt changes in their curriculum in order to improve their financial standing. Lant, Milliken, and Batra ([ 36] ) find that past failures increase the likelihood that firms will change their strategic orientation, although external attributions of failure weaken this relationship. Greve ([ 25] ) finds that the probability of major organizational change decreases as performance increases. Importantly, as performance meets and begins to exceed historical and social aspiration levels, the probability of major organizational change declines even more sharply, highlighting the behavioral consequences of performance relative to aspirations. Ironically,
  • 48. transformation efforts in response to performance shortfalls and other pressures from the external environment expose organizations to “liability of newness,” increasing the probability of failure in the future (Amburgey, Kelly, and Barnett [ 2] ). Even when change does not result in the demise of the organization, it has a disruptive effect that imposes significant costs on the organization (Barnett and Carroll [ 3] for a review of the evidence). In a synthesis of existing work, March and Shapira ([ 41] , [ 42] ) offer a model of relative risk preference that suggests that a firm not facing bankruptcy but performing below its goals will begin to take greater risks in an attempt to rise to the aspirational or target level. As the firm approaches or rises just above the level of performance or resources it hopes to achieve, however, managers will once again become risk averse, overweighting the probability that risk taking could drop the organization back below an acceptable level of performance. Finally, the model hypothesizes that organizations will become less risk averse if they find themselves doing better than they hoped and may even become risk seeking at very high levels of success.[ 1] The model's assertion that organizations will become more tolerant of risk once aspirations are far exceeded build on the large literature on slack resources and innovation. That research, generally speaking, asserts that slack resources permit firms to more safely experiment with new strategies (Hambrick and Snow [ 27] ; Moses [ 55] ) and allows slack search, or the pursuit of projects that may not be immediately justifiable but have high potential (Levinthal and March [ 38] ). March and Shapira use an empirically validated approach to understanding the relationship between
  • 49. performance and risk in the private sector (see Miller and Chen [ 51] ). Authors have also validated very similar aspirational models of the relationship between relative performance and risk taking in studies of private firms (see, e.g., Greve [ 25] , [ 26] ). Applying the Model to Public Management Decisions A relative risk model can help us understand the relationship between performance and managerial decisions under conditions of risk. The foundational assumption of this approach is, of course, that the decisions of public managers are related in some way to performance. We believe that this should be a relatively uncontroversial proposition, however, both because of the ubiquity of performance measurement and management regimes in the public sector (Poister [ 60] ; Sanger [ 63] ) and the consistent findings that public managers go to great lengths to avoid poor performance assessments (see, e.g., Heinrich [ 30] ; Van der Waldt [ 69] ). If we accept the premise that public managers are concerned about performance, then the next step in an application of the relative risk approach to the public sector is demonstrating that managerial decisions in that context are analogous to risky choice. Obviously, not every decision public managers make fits this criterion, but we believe that many do. More importantly, we believe that many of the managerial behaviors championed by the New Public Management (NPM) and other modern public management theories are best conceived of as risky choice. 7/19/2021 Roadrunner Search Discovery Service
  • 50. https://eds.a.ebscohost.com/eds/delivery?sid=4ecb0120-79db- 47cc-ae30-f2627ec8909b%40sdc-v- sessmgr03&vid=2&ReturnUrl=https%3a%2f%2fe… 6/21 At its core, NPM involves an effort to infuse public management with ideas and practices from the private sector (Haynes [ 29] ). When contrasted with “traditional” public administration, these emphasize increased innovativeness and entrepreneurship on the part of managers, along with structures to incentivize such behavior. They encourage increased discretion throughout the organization and the empowerment of employees to make changes that improve services. Finally, modern management prescriptions suggest that managers need to focus some energy outward, collaborating and networking with those in the organizational environment, in order to improve the performance of their organizations and programs (see, e.g., Meier and O'Toole [ 47] ; Milward and Provan [ 52] ; Moore [ 53] ). Risky choice is typically defined as behavior requiring investment or imposing potential costs when outcomes are uncertain. Thus, anything that may increase costs and has uncertainty surrounding benefits is a risk, and we believe that many modern prescriptions for public managers fit this definition. Indeed, scholars argue explicitly that innovating is risk taking because it involves a novel way of doing something that may or may not work (Cohen and Eimicke [ 15] ; DiIulio et al. [ 19] ; Feeney and DeHart‐ Davis [ 21] ).[ 2] It is a well‐ supported assumption that adopting a new way of doing something introduces uncertainty regarding outcomes and therefore is inherently risky (see, e.g., Massa and Testa [ 44] ; Mellahi and Wilkinson [ 49] ; Thomas and Mueller [ 65] ; Vargas‐ Hernández [ 70] ; Vargas‐ Hernández, Noruzi, and Sariolghalam [ 71] ).
  • 51. Similarly, giving authority to another party creates both adverse selection and moral hazard problems because the true preferences of the agent are difficult for the principal to observe and information asymmetries make it hard for the latter to know the quality or efficiency of production by the former (see Bawn [ 4] ; Bendor, Glazer, and Hammond [ 5] ; Epstein and O'Halloran [ 20] ). These issues significantly increase uncertainty regarding outcomes. Finally, choosing to create or engage service delivery networks or collaborating with those in the organizational environment can create risk. Collaboration and interorganizational networks require significant resources, make management more challenging, introduce their own agency problems when contractors are used, and are often unsuccessful at producing desired outcomes (see Huxham and Vangen [ 31] ; Romzek and Johnston [ 61] ).[ 3] Obviously, this is not an exhaustive list of managerial activities that are analogous to risky choice. It does demonstrate, however, that several decisions central to modern public management are likely correlated with risk tolerance. Because of that correlation, the model of relative risk outlined earlier should be able to generate accurate hypotheses about the relationship between organizational performance and those decisions. The theory predicts a quadratic relationship like the one presented in figure [NaN] , where managers are more risk averse when their organizations are just reaching performance goals relative to conditions where they are performing considerably better or worse than that level. In terms of the decisions mentioned above, this suggests the following: Hypothesis 1: Public managers will promote more innovative
  • 52. activity when they believe their organizations are failing to meet or exceeding performance goals relative to when they are just meeting those goals. Hypothesis 2: Public managers will empower employees with greater discretion when they believe their organizations are failing to meet or exceeding performance goals relative to when they are just meeting those goals. The theory also suggests that managers will network and collaborate less when they are just achieving their goals relative to other performance conditions, but we do not have data to explicitly test this. Thus, we do not offer it as a formal hypothesis. 7/19/2021 Roadrunner Search Discovery Service https://eds.a.ebscohost.com/eds/delivery?sid=4ecb0120-79db- 47cc-ae30-f2627ec8909b%40sdc-v- sessmgr03&vid=2&ReturnUrl=https%3a%2f%2fe… 7/21 The expectations outlined here may seem counterintuitive because they suggest that managers may act similarly at different levels of performance, but they are consistent with some observations of behavior in public organizations. For example, some research finds that managers may become more innovative when their organizations are under stress and when they are performing very well. The literature on organizational turnaround in the public sector suggests that organizational decline can often stimulate managerial innovation (see, e.g., Boyne [ 8] ; Jas and Skelcher [ 33] ; McKinley, Latham, and Braun [ 45] ), at least when there is a
  • 53. recognition of poor performance and sufficient managerial capacity.[ 4] These assertions are consistent with Miles et al.'s ([ 50] ) expectation that private sector managers would seek to be more innovative, and to more effectively exploit the environment, when their organizations are performing poorly. Alternatively, many authors suggest that managers whose organizations are performing better than expected are the ones that are most likely to innovate and take risks. Berry ([ 6] ) finds a positive relationship between organizational slack and strategic innovation. Similarly, Boyne and Walker ([ 9] ) argue that a prospector strategy, which they define including “innovation and rapid organizational responses to new circumstances,” is most likely to be undertaken by public managers in organizations with slack resources. Finally, Carpenter ([ 13] ) demonstrates that agencies can undertake behaviors that are politically risky when they have used high performance in other activities to build support among clients. A relative risk model can help us understand the relationship between performance and managerial decisions under conditions of risk. Data, Variables, and Methods Testing these hypotheses requires data on both managerial perceptions of performance and the decisions that managers make regarding the promotion of innovation and awarding of discretion to employees. We find these data in responses to the 2011 and 2013 Federal Employee Viewpoint Surveys (FEVS). The U.S. Office of Personnel Management administered the 2013 FEVS to 781,047 employees in 81 federal government agencies, including cabinet‐ level departments and independent agencies of all sizes. A total of 376,577
  • 54. employees completed the survey, for a government‐ wide response rate of approximately 48 percent in 2013. The 2011 FEVS was administered to a more limited sample and elicited more than 266,000 responses, for a response rate of 49.5 percent. The 81 agencies that participated in the two surveys make up approximately 97 percent of the federal executive branch workforce. The Office of Personnel Management uses a stratified sampling approach that generates representative samples for the federal government as a whole, for echelons within the federal government (nonsupervisor, supervisor, and executive), and for each of the individual departments and agencies participating in the survey. The surveys were administered electronically to employees who were notified by e‐ mail; multiple follow‐ up e‐ mails were sent to increase response rates. We are interested in examining the degree to which perceived performance influences managerial decisions, but these variables are likely endogenous to one another. We use time ordering in order to deal with the potential for reciprocal causation. Specifically, we use the average performance assessment of managers within a unit in 2011 to predict individual nonmanagers’ responses in 2013 regarding the degree to which their unit encourages innovation and creativity and empowers them to make important decisions regarding work processes.[ 5] In order to have some confidence that we are matching employees and managers in a meaningful way, we need the smallest unit of aggregation possible, which in the 2011 FEVS is one tier below the agency level. There are 284 such units identified in the data; they include organizations such as the Employee Benefits Security Administration within the Department of Labor and the
  • 55. Agricultural Marketing Service within the 7/19/2021 Roadrunner Search Discovery Service https://eds.a.ebscohost.com/eds/delivery?sid=4ecb0120-79db- 47cc-ae30-f2627ec8909b%40sdc-v- sessmgr03&vid=2&ReturnUrl=https%3a%2f%2fe… 8/21 Department of Agriculture. Every response in the FEVS is associated with an agency, such as the Department of Transportation or the Department of Health and Human Services. In 2013, about 82 percent of respondents identified a unit that the FEVS designates as one level below the agency, leaving approximately 310,000 total usable responses. When we match with those suborganizations identified by respondents in the 2011 data, we are left with approximately 229,000 responses. As noted earlier, we average the responses of supervisors within each unit and predict responses of individual employees in each. Taking managers out of the sample leaves us with 167,392 employees, which is reduced to an analysis sample of between 111,000 and 115,000 because of missing data. Nonetheless, there are not significant differences between this sample and the full sample of nonsupervisors in the 2013 FEVS. Dependent Variables Our dependent variables in subsequent analyses measure the degree to which employees suggest that their organizations or managers create a culture of innovativeness and empower employees with adequate discretion. We take a multiple measures approach, modeling two distinct variables for the first concept and three for the second. For the concept of innovativeness culture,
  • 56. we first model encouragement to innovate, which is measured using the FEVS indicator “I feel encouraged to come up with new and better ways of doing things.” This measure represents the affective state or experience of feeling on the part of the respondent that makes him or her more inclined to innovate (Fernandez and Moldogaziev [ 22] ). The second dependent variable, rewarding innovation, is measured using the 2013 FEVS indicator “Creativity and innovation are rewarded.” This measure represents the degree to which the respondent feels his or her superiors in the agency reward efforts to generate innovative ideas and/or implement them. Available response categories range from 1 for “strongly disagree” to 5 for “strongly agree” for these measures. We use three variables to capture the concept of employee empowerment. The first is personal empowerment, measured using the FEVS 2013 indicator “Employees have a feeling of personal empowerment with respect to work processes.” This variable captures management's propensity to share power to shape work processes with subordinates. The second variable in this set, leadership opportunities, is measured with the FEVS indicator “My supervisor/team leader provides me with opportunities to demonstrate my leadership skills.” This measure represents the extent to which employees exercise power or the authority to act. The final variable measuring empowerment is involvement in decisions, which we capture with the question “How satisfied are you with your involvement in decisions that affect your work?” This last indicator indicates the extent to which employees are allowed to influence decisions that affect them and their work. Combined, the three indicators represent elements of employee empowerment as a managerial approach (Fernandez and Moldogaziev [ 22] ).
  • 57. Again, the response categories for each of these range from 1 for “strongly disagree” to 5 for “strongly agree.” Independent Variables Our key independent variable captures managers’ perceptions of performance. Specifically, we use the 2011 FEVS indicator “My agency is successful at accomplishing its mission.” Although there are obviously multiple goals that public organizations and the people within them might pursue, we believe that the accomplishment of mission is likely to be prominent among them. Available answers again range from 1 for “strongly disagree” to 5 for “strongly agree.” The reference or aspiration point is described in the literature as a point that is “psychologically neutral” between winning and losing (Kameda and Davis [ 35] ) or “the smallest outcome that would be deemed satisfactory by the decision maker” (Schneider [ 64] ). We assume, therefore, that each respondent is at their aspirational threshold somewhere between the answers “neither agree or disagree” and “agree.” 7/19/2021 Roadrunner Search Discovery Service https://eds.a.ebscohost.com/eds/delivery?sid=4ecb0120-79db- 47cc-ae30-f2627ec8909b%40sdc-v- sessmgr03&vid=2&ReturnUrl=https%3a%2f%2fe… 9/21 Previous research using relative performance to predict behavior has devoted significant attention to the ways in which managers might set goals or aspirations for performance. Much of this work suggests that the aspirational threshold is determined through a comparison of current performance with previous performance,
  • 58. the performance of peers, or some combination of historical and social factors (Cyert and March [ 17] ; Haveman [ 28] ; Levinthal and March [ 38] ; Meier, Favero, and Zhu [ 46] ; Salge [ 62] ). The assumption is that managers can use these data as a decision heuristic to generate some prediction of future performance, which is assumed to become the aspiration or goal (see Greve [ 25] ). Although we cannot observe these factors directly, our measure of perceived performance, which asks about the accomplishment of mission, likely captures both of these historical and social factors. In other words, managers’ responses are likely determined in part by how their agency did in the past and how peer agencies are doing. Additionally, because we directly measure responses regarding perceived performance, we do not have to infer managers’ perceptions of performance. We believe this is an improvement over previous studies because the theoretical model suggests that these perceptions, rather than actual performance, influence risk tolerance. We average the responses to the question regarding mission accomplishment across all supervisors within a unit (one level below the agency level) and use the mean value to predict individual nonsupervisor responses within a unit to the questions discussed earlier. As noted in figure [NaN] , relative risk theory predicts a concave quadratic function, where managers are less willing to tolerate the risks associated with innovativeness and employee discretion when just achieving goals relative to conditions when their organization performing worse or better than that aspiration. In order to model this function, we also include the average managerial performance rating squared in each model. In order to provide support for our hypotheses, the linear term
  • 59. should be negatively signed, while the squared term should be positive. Control Variables The models discussed here also include a variety of variables that control for alternative explanations for our dependent variables. The first set of these reflect individual characteristics that may influence the degree to which someone perceives themselves as innovative or believes that their organization is supportive of such activities. These individual‐ level controls include respondent gender, age, minority status, pay category, and tenure in the federal service. Studies suggest that all of these characteristics may influence perceptions of innovativeness, entrepreneurial behavior, and autonomy, although the consistency and direction of the impact for these measures are mixed. We also include a measure of job satisfaction as a control variable, assuming that this is likely to be correlated with an employee's attitudes about the degree to which they are encouraged to innovate or their feelings about empowerment. Specifically, we include responses to the question “Considering everything, how satisfied are you with your job?” This measure should correlate positively with the dependent variables. Estimator All models discussed here are weighted least squares regressions using sample weights provided in the FEVS. Each model also includes fixed effects at the agency level to account for unmeasured organizational characteristics, such as policies related to employee empowerment, that might influence our dependent variables. Finally, standard errors in our primary models are clustered at one level below the agency level to
  • 60. account for the fact that employees within units may be more likely to answer similarly to one another. We use weighted ordinary least squares rather than an ordered probit estimator in our primary analyses because this allows for a more intuitive plot of predicted responses for the purpose of hypothesis testing.[ 6] However, to 7/19/2021 Roadrunner Search Discovery Service https://eds.a.ebscohost.com/eds/delivery?sid=4ecb0120-79db- 47cc-ae30-f2627ec8909b%40sdc-v- sessmgr03&vid=2&ReturnUrl=https%3a%2f%2f… 10/21 ensure that the findings are not biased by this choice of estimator, we present ordered probit models for each dependent variable in the appendix (table [NaN] ). Findings Primary Models The findings from our primary analyses are presented in tables [NaN] and [NaN] . The first contains the models of encouragement to innovate (column 1) and rewarding innovation (column 2), which capture the degree to which employees feel that managers incentivize innovation. First, it is important to point out that the models perform quite well, explaining between 38 percent and 40 percent of the variation in more than 150,000 individual responses. Relationship between Managers’ Perceptions of Performance and Employee Reports of Innovative Culture Encouraged to InnovateRewarded for Innovation Accomplish mission (2011) −4.769 −6.657
  • 61. (−2.18) (−2.34) Accomplish mission (2011) squared 0.630 0.888 (2.28) (2.47) Female 0.0644 0.0154 (5.20) (1.02) Minority 0.0143 0.0343 (1.41) (3.39) Pay category −0.0311 −0.0508 (−2.30) (−3.03) Tenure −0.0130 −0.0327 (−1.90) (−4.39) Job satisfaction 0.636 0.585 (101.07) (95.33) Intercept 10.10 13.27 (2.34) (2.36) N 111,774 108,773 R .33 .31 1 Notes: Models include sample weights and agency fixed effects; standard errors are clustered at the subagency level. T‐ statistics in parentheses. 2 * p < .05; 3 p < .01; 4 p < .001. Relationship between Managerial Perceptions of Performance
  • 62. and Employee Reports of Empowerment/Discretion Personal EmpowermentLeadership OpportunitiesInvolvement in Decisions Accomplish mission (2011) −6.600 (−3.39) −6.932 (−2.47) −4.426 (−2.42) Accomplish mission (2011) squared 0.872 (3.56) 0.886 (2.48) 0.570 (2.47) Female −0.0480 −0.0331 −0.0158 (−4.07) (−2.66) (−1.56) Minority 0.109 −0.0378 0.0130 2 7/19/2021 Roadrunner Search Discovery Service https://eds.a.ebscohost.com/eds/delivery?sid=4ecb0120-79db- 47cc-ae30-f2627ec8909b%40sdc-v- sessmgr03&vid=2&ReturnUrl=https%3a%2f%2fe… 11/21 (9.61) (−3.00) (1.29) Pay category −0.0181 −0.0473 −0.0159 (−1.38) (−3.47) (−1.16) Tenure −0.0312 −0.0418 −0.0308 (−3.48) (−5.71) (−6.26) Job satisfaction 0.606 0.572 0.658 (95.74) (97.62) (113.10) Intercept 13.36 15.21 9.528
  • 63. (3.44) (2.75) (2.62) N 110,477 112,546 113,235 R .35 .29 .42 5 Notes: Models include sample weights and agency fixed effects; standard errors are clustered at the subagency level. T‐ statistics in parentheses. 6 p < .05; 7 p < .01; 8 p < .001. Before turning to the key independent variables, we can quickly note the impact of the controls. The measure of satisfaction is positively correlated with both dependent variables. The results also suggest that nonsupervisors in a higher pay category and those with longer tenure both feel less encouraged to innovate and less certain that creativity and innovation will be rewarded. Identifying as a minority is positively and significantly related to both dependent variables, although it fails to reach traditional levels of statistical significance in the model of rewarding innovation. Female employees feel that managers are more likely to reward innovation and creativity, but they are not significantly more likely to feel that they are encouraged to innovate. Female employees feel that managers are more likely to reward innovation and creativity, but they are not significantly more likely to feel that they are encouraged to innovate. The real variables of interest are the measure of average
  • 64. managers’ assessments of performance within a unit and the squared term. Both are highly statistically significant in both models. The negative coefficients on the first terms coupled with the positive coefficients on the squared terms suggest a concave quadratic function in which values decrease until an inflection point and then increase after that point. These results are easier to conceptualize graphically. Figure [NaN] shows the predi cted quadratic form of the relationship between performance and the two innovation variables, with the associated 95 percent confidence intervals. We turn now to table [NaN] , which presents the models of personal empowerment, leadership opportunities, and involvement in decisions, which capture the degree of empowerment and decision‐ making discretion that employees believe managers of their organizations provide. These models also perform well, explaining 35 percent, 29 percent, and 42 percent of the variation in employee perceptions. As with the models of innovation, employee satisfaction is strongly and positively correlated with all three dependent variables. Female respondents are consistently less likely to report that they feel empowered, have sufficient leadership opportunities, or are adequately involved in decisions affecting their work. The other control variables perform relatively inconsistently across the three models. 2 7/19/2021 Roadrunner Search Discovery Service https://eds.a.ebscohost.com/eds/delivery?sid=4ecb0120-79db- 47cc-ae30-f2627ec8909b%40sdc-v-
  • 65. sessmgr03&vid=2&ReturnUrl=https%3a%2f%2f… 12/21 The key variables of interest, including managers’ assessment of performance and assessment of performance squared, are again significant and in the expected direction in all models. As in the case of the innovativeness culture models, signs on the two terms suggest a concave quadratic function. Again the relationship between performance and employee assessments is easier to present graphically, which we do in figure [NaN] . An Additional Analysis The analyses presented here provide considerable evidence in support of a relative risk approach to the relationship between organizational performance and managerial decision making. This section will provide an additional analysis focusing on individual managers that is designed to increase confidence in those results. As noted earlier, we believe that using aggregate manager assessments of performance calculated in 2011 to predict individual employee assessments in 2013 is a good approach because it establishes time order between the independent and dependent variables and helps overcome the common source bias problem. However, the findings discussed earlier are more convincing if we can show a correlation between an individual manager's perceptions of performance and statements about his or her own behavior. We restrict the sample for this analysis to the approximately 62,000 FEVS respondents who identified themselves as supervisors in 2013. We acknowledge that such a design cannot deal with issues of endogeneity and common method bias, and thus we suggest that these results only be interpreted as supplementary to the findings
  • 66. discussed earlier. There is only one item in the FEVS that reflects a response by managers about their own behavior, and we use that question as the dependent variable in this analysis. Specifically, we model responses to the item “I am constantly looking for ways to do my job better.” This measure captures the behavioral aspect of innovativeness. Such behavior may include searching for ideas generated and implemented elsewhere, developing new ideas through experimentation, vicarious learning and other behavior, and refashioning the ideas of others to achieve a better fit with extant conditions (Altshuler and Zegans [ 1] ; Fernandez and Wise [ 23] ). We again use responses to the item “My agency is successful at accomplishing its mission” to create the independent variable. In this analysis, however, we create individual indicators for different response categories. We create a single measure titled below threshold, from responses of “strongly disagree” and “disagree,” because there are relatively few responses in the former category.[ 7] We use “neither agree or disagree” responses as the threshold where managers do not feel they are doing overly well or overly poorly. Finally, we create an indicator titled above threshold using the “agree” response category. We use “strongly agree” as the excluded category. Based on the relative risk approach, we expect that the coefficients on these indicators will form a U‐ shaped pattern that matches figure [NaN] , where managers are least likely to innovate when they are just reaching performance goals, relative to other conditions. The model includes controls for the manager's gender, minority
  • 67. status, pay category, federal tenure, and satisfaction with his or her job. It also includes sample weights and fixed effects at the agency level. This reduces the analyzed sample to 51,970, but is important to control for unmeasured characteristics that may influence innovativeness. Standard errors are again clustered at one level below the agency level. The results from the analysis of individual managers are presented in table [NaN] . The model is highly significant and explains a reasonable amount of the variation in individual manager response. Female and minority bureaucrats, along with those who were more satisfied with their job and in a higher pay category, 7/19/2021 Roadrunner Search Discovery Service https://eds.a.ebscohost.com/eds/delivery?sid=4ecb0120-79db- 47cc-ae30-f2627ec8909b%40sdc-v- sessmgr03&vid=2&ReturnUrl=https%3a%2f%2f… 13/21 report more personal innovation. After controlling for those factors, the amount of time in the federal service is negatively correlated with the dependent variable. Relationship between Individual Managers’ Perceptions of Performance and Their Reports of Personal Innovativeness Personal Innovation Below threshold −0.275 (−12.75) Aspirational threshold −0.344
  • 68. (−23.58) Above threshold −0.260 (−34.92) Female 0.0665 (9.60) Minority 0.0486 (4.77) Pay category 0.00738 (0.91) Tenure −0.0554 (−10.13) Job satisfaction 0.138 (15.83) Intercept 4.173 (118.24) N 51,970 9 Notes: Models include sample weights and agency fixed effects; standard errors are clustered at the subagency level. T‐ statistics in parentheses. 10 * p < .05; 11 p < .01; 12 p < .001. The key independent variables are the indicators of managerial
  • 69. performance assessment. The impacts of those dummy variables relative to our theoretical expectations are most easily assessed visually. Figure [NaN] graphs those coefficients, with associated 95 percent confidence intervals. Beginning at the right side of the figure, the plot suggests that managers who just agree, rather than strongly agree, that their organization is meeting its goals report significantly less personal innovation. Moving left across the x‐ axis, reports of personal innovativeness drop significantly for those managers responding “neither agree nor disagree” to the statement about the agency accomplishing its mission. This represents the lowest point in reported innovativeness. When we move to managers who disagree or strongly disagree with the statement about agency performance, the coefficient becomes significantly less negative, indicating that managers are more likely to report personal innovativeness at that performance condition. Discussion The results presented here strongly support our expectations that managers in public organizations become more risk averse when they are just accomplishing their goals relative to higher and lower performance 7/19/2021 Roadrunner Search Discovery Service https://eds.a.ebscohost.com/eds/delivery?sid=4ecb0120-79db- 47cc-ae30-f2627ec8909b%40sdc-v- sessmgr03&vid=2&ReturnUrl=https%3a%2f%2f… 14/21 conditions. The findings presented in table and figure [NaN] confirm that managers are less likely to foster innovation and entrepreneurial behavior in their organizations
  • 70. when they are just meeting performance aspirations. Relative risk approaches suggest that this is what we should expect because managers are more likely to overweight losses, and the probability of backsliding, when they are just realizing acceptable levels of performance. These results suggest that a relative risk approach might offer some theoretical clarity to previous, somewhat counterintuitive observations that public managers are more likely to seek out innovative solutions both when their organizations are in decline (Jas and Skelcher [ 33] ) and when they are flush with high performance (Boyne and Walker [ 9] ). The findings presented in table and figure [NaN] support our expectations that managers will be more risk averse, and thus less likely to cede discretion to employees, when they are just meeting performance goals. They also appear less likely to give leadership opportunities to employees or to create an environment in which subordinates feel they have an adequate voice when their agencies are just meeting expectations relative to performing at either a higher or a lower level. Again, this is what we would expect given the predictions of relative risk theory. Finally, the findings from the analysis of individual ‐ level managers, presented in table and figure [NaN] , strongly support our theoretical expectations regarding managerial behavior at the aspirational threshold, when they feel their organizations are just reaching or just about to reach their goals. The correlation between individual managers’ assessments of performance and their reported innovativeness form a U‐ shaped pattern, similar to the concave quadratic function revealed in analyses using average manager attitudes about performance to predict employee reports about managerial
  • 71. behavior. Moreover, the inflection points, where relative risk theory suggests that managers are most risk averse and least willing to make risky decisions, are quite similar in both analyses. This provides confirmation of the results reported here in a different sample and at a different unit of analysis. Conclusion The relationship between performance and managerial decision making in public organizations has gone essentially unexplored until very recently. In order to address this gap, we propose that relative risk aversion theories can help us understand when managers make decisions that impose potential costs but have uncertain payoffs—in other words, when they make decisions that are analogous to risky choice. Empirical analyses of responses from the 2011 and 2013 Federal Employee Viewpoint Surveys illustrate the value of such theories for understanding and predicting when public managers will take risks. These results have significant implications for our understanding of public management. A large and growing literature suggests that differences in performance across public organizations can be attributed to the actions of public managers. Our findings suggest the degree to which “management matters” could be misestimated in this work. If public managers do more to encourage innovati on or empower employees when they are in organizations that are already performing highly, then researchers could find artificially large effects for these behaviors when they use them to predict performance in a sample of such organizations. Our results suggest that managers in low‐ performing organizations will also be more willing to delegate discretion to employees and to encourage innovation. In a cross‐ sectional study, this
  • 72. could lead to the conclusion that these management activities reduce performance, when in fact the low levels of performance are causing the observed management behavior. Our results also imply that the effectiveness of recent public sector reforms designed to incentivize innovation and entrepreneurial behavior, such as performance pay and employee empowerment, likely depend in part on 7/19/2021 Roadrunner Search Discovery Service https://eds.a.ebscohost.com/eds/delivery?sid=4ecb0120-79db- 47cc-ae30-f2627ec8909b%40sdc-v- sessmgr03&vid=2&ReturnUrl=https%3a%2f%2f… 15/21 the existing level of organizational performance. These reforms are typically designed to increase the benefits or decrease the costs of innovation, creativity, and risk taking. Our results suggest that such reforms may be most effective in organizations that are far exceeding or falling far short of their performance goals because those are the organizational contexts in which public managers will be most willing to take risks and, therefore, most likely to embrace such reforms. The effectiveness of recent public sector reforms designed to incentivize innovation and entrepreneurial behavior, such as performance pay and employee empowerment, likely depend in part on the existing level of organizational performance. Obviously, these conclusions are tentative and need to be confirmed in subsequent research. At the very least,
  • 73. however, our results suggest that studies of public entrepreneurship and the organizational characteristics that contribute to it must take account of the relationship between goal accomplishment and risk tolerance. More generally, they suggest that performance matters for management. Appendix Table A1 Results from Models Estimated Using Ordered Probit Regression EncourageRewardedEmpowermentLeadershipInvolvement Accomplish mission (2011) −5.440 −7.528 −8.069 −7.980 −6.323 (2.294) (3.147) (2.235) (3.140) (−1.95) Accomplish mission (2011) squared 0.718 1.003 1.066 1.021 0.820 (0.290) (0.399) (0.281) (0.399) (2.01) Female 0.0695 0.0199 −0.0547 −0.0273 −0.0375 (0.0136) (0.0169) (0.0138) (0.0142) (−2.11) Minority 0.0154 0.0365 0.126 −0.0340 0.0148 (0.0107) (0.0109) (0.0122) (0.0143) (1.30) Pay category −0.0327 −0.0564 −0.0214 −0.0500 −0.0133 (0.0147) (0.0187) (0.0152) (0.0151) (−0.72) Tenure −0.0181 −0.0384 −0.0391 −0.0518 −0.0409 (0.00785) (0.00844) (0.0105) (0.00868) (−5.82) Job satisfaction 0.690 0.662 0.714 0.618 0.827 (0.00913) (0.00727) (0.00609) (0.00879) (81.99) N 111,774 108,773 110,477 112,546 113,235 Footnotes
  • 74. 1 The model also suggests that managers will become risk averse when facing bankruptcy, but because public organizations do not face organizational death in the same way as private firms, we focus here on the other expectations offered by the model. 2 See also studies that separate concepts of entrepreneurship, innovation, and risk taking (e.g., Covin and Slevin 16; Morris and Jones 54). 3 However, it is important to note literature that suggests that networks and collaboration may help organizations manage uncertainty, and by extension risk, under certain conditions (see, e.g., Moynihan 56). 4 See Levine (37) for the argument that managers may also engage in retrenchment during periods of decline. 5 Creating our independent and dependent variables using responses from different groups within an organization in different years also helps overcome the common source bias problem. It is important to ** ** *** ** * ** ** *** ** * *** *** * * *** *** ** ** *** *** ** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ***
  • 75. 7/19/2021 Roadrunner Search Discovery Service https://eds.a.ebscohost.com/eds/delivery?sid=4ecb0120-79db- 47cc-ae30-f2627ec8909b%40sdc-v- sessmgr03&vid=2&ReturnUrl=https%3a%2f%2f… 16/21 acknowledge that it may still exist, however, because of shared experiences by managers and employees within the same unit. 6 Ordinary least squares allows us to show one plot of the predicted category into which each respondent falls on each dependent variable across the range of the performance measure rather than the separately plotting the conditional probability of being in each category. 7 Results do not change substantially if we create different indicators for each response category. “Strongly disagree” is not statistically distinct from “disagree” in the coefficient plot. 8 Related Content: Stanton (PAR July/August 2017) References Altshuler, Alan A., and Marc D. Zegans. 1997. Innovation and Public Management: Notes from the State House and City Hall. In Innovation in American Government: Challenges, Opportunities, and Dilemmas, edited by Alan A. Altshuler, and Marc D. Zegens, 68 – 80. Washington, DC : Brookings Institution. Amburgey, Terry L., Dawn Kelly, and William P. Barnett. 1993. Resetting the Clock: The Dynamics of
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  • 77. Administration Review 58 ( 2 ): 109 – 18. 11 Bromiley, Philip. 1991. Testing a Causal Model of Corporate Risk Taking and Performance. Academy of Management Journal 34 ( 1 ): 37 – 59. 12 Bromiley, Philip, and Shawn Curley. 1992. Individual Differences in Risk Taking. In Risk‐ Taking Behavior, edited by J. Frank Yates, 87 – 132. Chichester, UK : Wiley. 7/19/2021 Roadrunner Search Discovery Service https://eds.a.ebscohost.com/eds/delivery?sid=4ecb0120-79db- 47cc-ae30-f2627ec8909b%40sdc-v- sessmgr03&vid=2&ReturnUrl=https%3a%2f%2f… 17/21 13 Carpenter, Daniel P. 2001. The Forging of Bureaucratic Autonomy: Reputation, Networks, and Policy Innovation in Executive Agencies. Princeton, NJ : Princeton University Press. 14 Chen, Wei‐ Ru. 2008. Determinants of Firms’ Backward‐ and Forward‐ Looking R&D Search Behavior. Organization Science 19 ( 4 ): 609 – 22. 15 Cohen, Steven, and William Eimicke. 1998. The Use of Citizen Surveys in Measuring Agency Performance: The Case of the New York City Department of Parks and Recreation. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Society for Public Administration, Seattle, WA, May 9–13. 16 Covin, Jeffrey G., and Dennis P. Slevin. 1991. A Conceptual Model of Entrepreneurship as Firm Behavior.
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  • 81. 37 Levine, Robert J. 1978. The Role of Assessment of Risk‐ Benefit Criteria in the Determination of the Appropriateness of Research Involving Human Subjects. In The Belmont Report: Ethical Principles and Guidelines for the Protection of Human Subjects of Research, appendix, vol. II. Washington, DC : National Commission on the Protection of Humans Subjects of Biomedical and Behavioral Research. https://videocast.nih.gov/pdf/ohrp_appendix_belmont_report_vo l_1.pdf [accessed July 18, 2016]. 38 Levinthal, Daniel A., and James G. March. 1981. A Model of Adaptive Organizational Search. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 2 ( 4 ): 307 – 33. 39 Levitt, Barbara, and James G. March. 1988. Organizational Learning. Annual Review of Sociology 14 : 319 – 40. 40 Manns, Curtis L., and James G. March. 1978. Financial Adversity: Internal Competition and Curriculum Change in a University. Administrative Science Quarterly 23 ( 4 ): 541 – 52. 41 March, James G., and Zur Shapira. 1987. Managerial Perspectives on Risk and Risk Taking. Management Science 33 ( 11 ): 1404 – 18. 42 March, James G., and Zur Shapira. 1992. Variable Risk Preferences and the Focus of Attention. Psychological Review 99 ( 1 ): 172 – 83. 43 March, James G., and Herbert A. Simon. 1958. Organizations. New York : Wiley. 44 Massa, Silvia, and Stefania Testa. 2008. Innovation and
  • 82. SMEs: Misaligned Perspectives and Goals among Entrepreneurs, Academics, and Policy Makers. Technovation 28 ( 7 ): 393 – 407. 7/19/2021 Roadrunner Search Discovery Service https://eds.a.ebscohost.com/eds/delivery?sid=4ecb0120-79db- 47cc-ae30-f2627ec8909b%40sdc-v- sessmgr03&vid=2&ReturnUrl=https%3a%2f%2f… 19/21 45 McKinley, William, Scott Latham, and Michael Braun. 2014. Organizational Decline and Innovation: Turnarounds and Downward Spirals. Academy of Management Review 39 ( 1 ): 88 – 110. 46 Meier, Kenneth M., Nathan Favero, and Ling Zhu. 2015. Performance Gaps and Managerial Decisions: A Bayesian Decision Theory of Managerial Action. Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory 25 ( 4 ): 1221 – 46. 47 Meier, Kenneth J., and Laurence J. O'Toole, Jr. 2001. Managerial Strategies and Behavior in Networks: A Model with Evidence from U.S. Public Education. Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory 11 ( 3 ): 271 – 94. 48 Meier, Kenneth J., and Laurence J. O'Toole, Jr. 2002. Public Management and Organizational Performance: The Effect of Managerial Quality. Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 21 ( 4 ): 629 – 43. 49 Mellahi, Kamel, and Adrian Wilkinson. 2008. A Study of the Association between Downsizing and
  • 83. Innovation Determinants. International Journal of Innovation Management 12 ( 4 ): 677 – 98. 50 Miles, Raymond E., Charles C. Snow, Alan D. Meyer, and Henry J. Coleman, Jr. 1978. Organizational Strategy, Structure, and Process. Academy of Management Review 3 ( 3 ): 546 – 62. 51 Miller, Kent D., and Wie‐ Ru Chen. 2004. Variable Organizational Risk Preferences: Tests of the March‐ Shapira Model. Academy of Management Journal 47 ( 1 ): 105 – 15. 52 Milward, H. Brinton, and Keith G. Provan. 2006. A Manager's Guide to Choosing and Using Collaborative Networks. Washington, DC : IBM Center for the Business of Government. 53 Moore, Mark H. 1995. Creating Public Value: Strategic Management in Government. Cambridge, MA : Harvard University Press. 54 Morris, Michael H., and Foard F. Jones. 1999. Entrepreneurship in Established Organizations: The Case of the Public Sector. Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice 24 ( 1 ): 71 – 91. 55 Moses, O. Douglas. 1992. Organizational Slack and Risk‐ Taking Behaviour: Tests of Product Pricing Strategy. Journal of Organizational Change Management 5 ( 3 ): 38 – 54. 56 Moynihan, Donald P. 2008. Learning under Uncertainty: Networks in Crisis Management. Public Administration Review 68 ( 2 ): 350 – 65.
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  • 85. 181 – 210. 63 Sanger, Mary B. 2013. Does Measuring Performance Lead to Better Performance? Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 32 ( 1 ): 185 – 203. 64 Schneider, Sandra L. 1992. Framing and Conflict: Aspiration Level Contingency, the Status Quo, and Current Theories of Risky Choice. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition 18 ( 5 ): 1040 – 57. 65 Thomas, Anisya S., and Stephen L. Mueller. 2000. A Case for Comparative Entrepreneurship: Assessing the Relevance of Culture. Journal of International Business Studies 31 ( 2 ): 287 – 301. 66 Townsend, William. 2013. Innovation and the Perception of Risk in the Public Sector. International Journal of Organizational Innovation 5 ( 3 ): 21 – 34. 67 Turaga, Rama Mohan R., and Barry Bozeman. 2005. Red Tape and Public Managers’ Decision Making. American Review of Public Administration 35 ( 4 ): 363 – 379. 68 Tversky, Amos, and Daniel Kahneman. 1991. Loss Aversion in Riskless Choice: A Reference‐ Dependent Model. Quarterly Journal of Economics 106 ( 4 ): 1039 – 61. 69 Van der Waldt, Gerritt. 2004. Managing Performance in the Public Sector: Concepts, Considerations and Challenges. Johannesburg, South Africa : Juta and Company. 70 Vargas‐ Hernández, José G. 2011. Modeling Risk and Innovation Management. Journal of Competitiveness Studies 19 ( 3–4 ): 45 – 57.
  • 86. 71 Vargas‐ Hernández, José G., Mohammad Reza Noruzi, and Narges Sariolghalam. 2010. Risk or Innovation: Which One Is Far More Preferable in Innovation Projects? International Journal of Marketing Studies 2 ( 1 ): 233 – 44. Graph: Theoretical Relationship between Performance and Risk Tolerance Graph: Plots of Relationship between Performance and Managerial Choices Regarding Innovation Graph: Plots of Relationship between Performance and Managerial Choices Regarding Discretion and Empowerment Graph: Plot of Impacts of Different Levels of Perceived Performance on Managers’ Reports of Personal Innovativeness ~~~~~~~~ By Sean Nicholson‐ Crotty; Jill Nicholson‐ Crotty and Sergio Fernandez Sean Nicholson‐ Crotty is professor in the School of Public and Environmental Affairs at Indiana University, Bloomington. His research focuses on the management of public organizations, intergovernmental relations, 7/19/2021 Roadrunner Search Discovery Service https://eds.a.ebscohost.com/eds/delivery?sid=4ecb0120-79db- 47cc-ae30-f2627ec8909b%40sdc-v-
  • 87. sessmgr03&vid=2&ReturnUrl=https%3a%2f%2f… 21/21 and the diffusion of policy innovations among governments. E‐ mail: Jill Nicholson‐ Crotty is associate professor in the School of Public and Environmental Affairs at Indiana University, Bloomington. Her research focuses on the management of public and nonprofit organizations as well as on the role of race, gender, and representation on the outcomes of public programs. E‐ mail: Sergio Fernandez is associate professor in the School of Public and Environmental Affairs at Indiana University, Bloomington, and visiting professor in the Department of Public Management and Governance at the University of Johannesburg, South Africa. His research focuses on organizational behavior in the public sector, government contracting and procurement, and representative bureaucracy. E‐ mail: Copyright of Public Administration Review is the property of Wiley-Blackwell and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. 7/19/2021 PUB-7020 V1: Public Management Theory (2585392437) - PUB-7020 V1: Public Management Theory (2585392437) https://ncuone.ncu.edu/d2l/le/content/135194/printsyllabus/Print
  • 88. Syllabus 1/3 Week 6 PUB-7020 V1: Public Management Theory (2585392437) Managing Risks Establishing sound risk management processes is a crucial aspect of being a successful organization. Risk management should be a recurring theme among public organizations because risks are sometimes unavoidable and should be planned to every extent possible. Since public management theories are guidelines for managers, establishing theoretical frameworks should also have a platform in public agencies. Theoretical frameworks can make the difference between sound and poor judgement. Having protocols in place to assess and manage risks can help catch unwanted intrusions, whether through cyber- related invaders or through personnel errors. Theoretical frameworks in conjunction with enterprise risk management can help detect internal errors and external attacks. Technological advancement has created many
  • 89. opportunities for cyber criminals to attack public domains, especially federal and state government entities. For example, social media and other public platforms are primary targets for cyber criminals. Social media allow cyber criminals to create fake profiles and allow these actors to infiltrate organizations’ systems with the potential to gain access to millions of Americans’ personally identifiable information. These cyber criminals can use these systems to cripple critical infrastructure. The federal government is a regular target of people with bad intents. The intelligence community plays a vital role in establishing protected networks to catch cyber-attacks. However, each organization should be prepared to protect its infrastructure against serious threats. By developing, testing, and instituting systematic frameworks, public agencies can assure strict attention is given to gaps in service and gaps in system architecture. Risk assessment should be a recurring practice within large and small agencies providing
  • 90. service to the general public. It is widely expected that organizations like the U.S. Postal Service should have well-tested security measures in place to detect hazards and protect against fraud, criminal intent, and mishandling of packages. It is also expected that organizations like the Social Security Administration have systems in place to prevent inadvertent disclosure of Americans’ social security numbers. Finally, it is widely expected that the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) within DHS would implement sound security measures to protect airports, ports, and other areas of mass transportation to ensure passengers’ safety while at those establishments. Just as it is expected that the https://ncuone.ncu.edu/d2l/home/135194 7/19/2021 PUB-7020 V1: Public Management Theory (2585392437) - PUB-7020 V1: Public Management Theory (2585392437) https://ncuone.ncu.edu/d2l/le/content/135194/printsyllabus/Print Syllabus 2/3 Books and Resources for this Week
  • 91. How to Prepare a Pamphlet or Brochure PDF document Nicholson-Crotty, S., Nicholson-Crotty, J., & Fernandez, S. (2017). Performance and management in the public sector: Testing a model of relative... Link Sobelman, S. A., & Santopietro, J. M. (2018). Managing risk: Aligning technology use with the law, ethics codes, and practice standards. In Using... Link agencies previously mentioned take necessary actions to assess, detect, and manage risks, it should be the case for every organization that provides services to the general public. It cannot be overstated how important risk assessment is regarding the protection of life and property.
  • 92. Each manager has a role to play in the management of risks. Each member of the team should also play a part in managing risks within the organization. Efficient risk management frameworks are designed to detect risks at every level. In public organizations, every employee should be trained in risk management to ensure the organization is prepared for potential threats. Policies regarding risks should be clearly disseminated throughout the organization. Be sure to review this week's resources carefully. You are expected to apply the information from these resources when you prepare your assignments. 60 % 3 of 5 topics complete javascript:void(0); https://ncuone.ncu.edu/d2l/le/content/135194/viewContent/1365 675/View https://ncuone.ncu.edu/d2l/le/content/135194/viewContent/1365 676/View https://ncuone.ncu.edu/d2l/le/content/135194/viewContent/1365 677/View 7/19/2021 PUB-7020 V1: Public Management Theory (2585392437) - PUB-7020 V1: Public Management Theory
  • 93. (2585392437) https://ncuone.ncu.edu/d2l/le/content/135194/printsyllabus/Print Syllabus 3/3 World Health Organization. (2018). Organization [Website]. Link Week 6 – Assignment: Develop Public Organizations' Risk Mitigation Practices Assignment Due August 8 at 11:59 PM This week, you will prepare a pamphlet. Serving as a director within the World Health Organization (WHO), create a risk mitigation strategy briefing to communicate the steps you would take to protect sensitive material such as health records, research survey data, and personally identifiable information (PII) from becoming public knowledge. In your pamphlet, be sure to include the following: Determine potential risks of the unwanted release of sensitive information to the public.
  • 94. Explain risks associated with inadvertent release of private information on a global scale. Specify how your mitigation strategy protects agency information. Dictate the importance of sound policies in public health information systems. Support your assignment with at least three scholarly resources. In addition to these specified resources, other appropriate scholarly resources, including seminal articles, may be included. Length: 4-6 pages, not including title and reference pages. Your assignment should demonstrate thoughtful consideration of the ideas and concepts presented in the course by providing new thoughts and insights relating directly to this topic. Your response should reflect scholarly writing and current APA standards where appropriate. Be sure to adhere to Northcentral University's Academic Integrity Policy. Upload your document, and then click the Submit to Dropbox button.
  • 95. https://ncuone.ncu.edu/d2l/le/content/135194/viewContent/1365 678/View https://ncuone.ncu.edu/d2l/le/content/135194/viewContent/1365 651/View 13 1 Managing Risk Aligning Technology Use With the Law, Ethics Codes, and Practice Standards R isk management may be derived from law, professional standards and the individual institution’s mission, and public relations strategies and is expressed through institutional policies and practices (Brock & Mastroianni, 2013). When it comes to running a technologically and ethically sound practice, psychologists, psychiatrists and other mental health professionals must do some homework. They must have an up- to-date under- standing of (a) statutes such as the Health Insurance Portability and Account- ability Act of 1996 (HIPAA); (b) codes of ethics and professional guidelines that define the clinical standard of care, as well as how to manage risk; and (c) the specific vulnerabilities associated with all types of eHealth
  • 96. technology used in the practice, from record-keeping to technology-assisted interventions. This chapter provides an overview of some of the fundamental issues to consider when incorporating technology into a mental health practice. Some specific legal issues, such as licensing in multiple jurisdictions, are discussed in Chap- ter 2, which also contains illustrations of how to maintain privacy and a safe environment in the clinic. http://dx.doi.org/10.1037/0000085-002 Using Technology in Mental Health Practice, J. J. Magnavita (Editor) Copyright © 2018 by the American Psychological Association. All rights reserved. Steven A. Sobelman and John M. Santopietro Co py ri gh t Am er ic an P sy
  • 98. 14 S o B E l M A n A n d S A n T o P I E T r o The Challenge of Ethical Practice in the Information Age Many mental health professionals, especially those trained before the millennium, have often had a head-in-the-sand response to technology, either avoidance or a ten- dency to accept only minimal responsibility for the risks associated with technology use. Although paper records and simple security measures (e.g., locked file cabinets) may work for some, there is a steady march toward more inclusion of technology in our work. For those who have ventured into such advances, the accompanying security risks and concerns are ever more complex. We know that increased use of information technologies has created risks to the privacy of individuals (drummond, Cromarty, & Battersby, 2015). This also applies to the privacy of patients in a mental health care setting. While it’s true that new technologies are always emerging and new vulnerabilities are always being created—and that specific references in this chapter will likely be dated within a year of publication—the approach we recommend to “stay current” provides a steady frame to address a constantly changing ethical and regulatory landscape. FAlSE SEnSE oF SECurITy It is easy to get lulled into a false sense of security when it
  • 99. comes to using electronic devices or the Internet for your practice. As software interfaces become better designed and more intuitive, what used to be a steep learning curve has flattened out. Faster Internet speeds and broader bandwidth allow us to effortlessly upload video, eligibility requests, et cetera to the cloud, where data can live until we call it up. our computers don’t “blue screen” often, like they did decades ago; wireless connections work fine most of the time. Thus, we are lulled into thinking that hacks will happen to others and not to us. Some other poor therapist or health system will have to notify the gov- ernment about the breach affecting their patients’ Protected Health Information (PHI; united States department of Health and Human Services, 2013), but we are covered. After all, we had our IT pro install antivirus software when she set up our new system 5 years ago. All we have to do is set it up and forget it, right? Wrong! Mental health practitioners are increasingly using electronic means for com- municating, recording, and storing data. data breaches should be of concern to all practitioners, especially mental health clinicians who deal with highly confidential and potentially very damaging information. Many health providers, including those who specialize in mental health, keep patient e-mails and text messages, contact information, billing records, and schedules in an environment that is rife for hacking
  • 100. (“largest Healthcare data Breaches of 2016,” 2017). Are you guilty of this too? Before we get to specifics of the law, ethics, and practice standards, let’s spend a few minutes going over three basic types of security measures that all professional therapists need to put in place for their practice and monitor on a regular schedule. In information security these are known as physical, Co py ri gh t Am er ic an P sy ch ol og ic al A ss oc ia
  • 101. ti on . No t fo r fu rt he r di st ri bu ti on . 15Managing Risk administrative, and technical controls. Within each category there are also preventive, detective, and corrective methods of control. Physical Controls Physical security controls are the most basic of security systems and include the locked
  • 102. file cabinet example above. They are what we use to control availability and physical access to sensitive information, ensuring that unauthorized persons are excluded from physical spaces and assets where their presence represents a potential threat. All types of computers, computing devices and associated communications facilities must be considered as sensitive assets and spaces and be protected accordingly. Examples of physical security controls are physical access systems including guards and receptionists, door access controls, restricted areas, closed-circuit television (CCTV), automatic door controls and human traps, physical intrusion detection systems, and physical protection systems. Administrative and technical controls depend on proper physical security controls being in place. (yau, 2013) Although it is not likely that the costs of extreme measures such as “human traps” would outweigh the benefits at a typical mental health private practice, many of the other controls listed above are just good common sense. Administrative Controls Administrative controls are the practices and procedures around all work that is performed in an office or virtual environment. Some examples include having clear operating hours and after-hours response systems in place for service con-
  • 103. tinuity, an ongoing training and education schedule for all employees, and basic “good housekeeping” such as having clear sign-on procedures, backing up data on a nightly basis, and keeping equipment in working order. Phones should be password protected and any patient names stored in the device’s built-in system should be limited (e.g., to first names and a last-name initial). Examples also include having emergency management plans in place, and screening and alert systems that trigger further assessment (e.g., for suicide risk) or reporting (e.g., mandatory reporting of suspected abuse). Administrative controls additionally s pell out expectations for all employees regarding the maintenance of their own health and their daily pre- paredness to work in a patient care environment. Finally, “administrative controls are the process of developing and ensuring compliance with policy and procedures. They tend to be things that employees may do, or must always do, or cannot do” (northcutt, 2013, para. 3). For the most part, administrative controls are intended to limit the effects of human error on ethical practice. Human error represents the most likely cause of data breaches and computer virus propagation. Many of us have heard stories of laptops or uSB drives with sensitive data being lost or stolen. Sending a fax or an e-mail to the wrong address, clicking on a phishing link, and other mistakes
  • 105. he r di st ri bu ti on . 16 S o B E l M A n A n d S A n T o P I E T r o can lead to data breaches, with potentially harmful resul ts. Avoiding these types of errors requires education and awareness about the potential mistakes that can be made with various devices and software. To minimize mistakes, you might, for exam- ple, implement a system for error interception, such as a buffering system so that there is a delay before information is sent. When an employee is terminated, there should be a clear list of steps that are routinely followed: “disable their account, change the server password, and so forth” (dulaney, 2014, para. 10). All communications should include a statement of the communication’s confidential nature and limits of privacy, which should discourage data breaches that might occur due to a patient’s
  • 106. failure to use secure channels. Although some errors cannot be corrected, practitio- ners still have an obligation to track them to see where there may be faults in the system that need correction. Technical Controls Technical controls are those controls implemented through technology, such as fire- walls, intrusion detection and prevention systems (e.g., antivirus, antimalware pro- grams), and encryption. These are the controls that protect Social Security numbers and credit card data. They also protect computer systems from spyware, which allows hackers to access personal information covertly online. In case of device theft, remote wiping technology can be employed to delete sensitive information and/or disable the device altogether. The best security against malicious acts is to employ device encryp- tion, as well as end-to-end encryption for e-mails and messaging systems. one should also carefully evaluate services that help ensure HIPAA compliance when considering apps, videoconferencing services, and cloud storage. Mining data for patterns is a potential source for a data breach. The Federal Trade Commission (2012) noted that “consumers face a landscape of virtually ubiquitous col- lection of their data. Whether such collection occurs online or offline does not alter the consumer’s privacy interest in her or her data” (p. 18). Summary data can be extracted
  • 107. and inferences made without our knowledge. The Winston law Firm website http:// www.stopdatamining.me reminds us that “collecting, analyzing and selling every aspect of your life for marketing purposes is perfectly legal. Indeed, it’s worth billions of dollars of business. data brokers acquire and rate trillions of transactions per day and their databases contain updated information” on every market transaction that takes place nationwide. Mental health providers should know that it is therefore relatively easy for those with access to metadata to infer that a private citizen who has regular contact (data) with the professional e-mail address of a mental health professional may be in therapy for some form of mental health issue. (drummond et al., 2015, p. 231) To prevent mining of confidential data, we recommend the judicious use of stand- alone (i.e., non-Internet connected) systems where feasible. To minimize the effects of data mining online, consider using browser extensions that block data tracking cookies and actively opting out of data broker and direct marketing activities. Co py ri gh t
  • 109. bu ti on . 17Managing Risk HEAlTH InSurAnCE PorTABIlITy And ACCounTABIlITy ACT oF 1996 (HIPAA) now that we’ve covered some basics, we can go into more depth about why issues of confidentiality around patient information are a critical aspect to consider in this new technological era. The first reason is simple: It’s the law. HIPAA has become a fixture both in parlance and practice throughout health care and has been at times confusing and misunderstood. The united States legislation that provides data privacy and secu- rity provisions for safeguarding medical information, both the HIPAA Privacy rule and Security rules are triggered when a health care provider (or an entity such as a billing service acting on behalf of the health care provider) transmits health information in electronic form about any designated standard transactions. The American Psychological Association (APA; 2013) in a publication designed to address HIPAA concerns states, for most mental health and health practitioners, triggering the need to comply
  • 110. with HIPAA and the Privacy rule occurs when they do all the following: Electronically transmit Protected Health Information (PHI) in connection with insurance claims or other third-party reimbursement. (p. 2) This APA publication continues: the most common form of electronic transmission for practitioners is via the Internet (for example, sending e-mail to a patient or an insurance carrier or making transactions on an insurance company website). Electronic transmission also includes transmitting electronic information: to cloud storage, from a mobile device, such as a smart phone or tablet, via Wi -Fi networks and flash drives, as well as via websites where patients submit PHI. (p. 3) It is important to note that PHI includes any past, present, and future information that is generated or received by a health care provider, an employer, a school, a life insurance policy, or a health insurance company. The HIPAA Privacy rule ensures that all covered entities keep patients’ PHI secure and properly educate their patients about their rights under HIPAA. Proper educa- tion involves providing patients with a written statement that describes how health care providers and other covered entities can use or share their PHI. This should be included in the initial consultation both verbally and in a written format. The HIPAA
  • 111. Security rule details the steps health care providers must take to keep patients’ elec- tronic PHI secure. Providers are required to continually assess the security of their electronic health record systems and then put specific physical, administrative, and technical safeguards in place (as described above) to protect against the risks that were revealed during the assessment. It is very important to note that the Privacy rule specifically does not preempt a narrow range of state laws, such as laws giving or denying parents access to their children’s records, regardless of how stringent they are. The result of the complicated preemption analysis is that the law you must follow is a mixture of Privacy rule and state privacy law provisions. (APA, 2013, p. 4) Co py ri gh t Am er ic an P
  • 113. 18 S o B E l M A n A n d S A n T o P I E T r o As HIPAA became more engrained in the everyday practices of health care providers, in 2009 the u.S. Congress passed the Health Information Technology for Economic and Clinical Health (HITECH) Act. With the initiation of HITECH, regulations and guidelines were enacted and directed toward protecting PHI in the digital age. This act was the start of “a major shift in the enforcement strategy of the office of the national Coordinator for Health Information Technology (onC). Because of the HITECH Act, non-compliance resulted in financial and professional standing losses for businesses” (“What is Protected Health Information?”, 2017, para. 12). In January, 2013, the HITECH-HIPAA final rule was announced, which implemented all the HIPAA modifications mentioned in the HITECH Act. one notable change was the direct application of HIPAA to business associates, which were previously governed by their contract with a covered entity. However, after the modifications from the HITECH Act, business associates became subject to HIPAA sanctions as well as enforcement. (“What is Protected Health Information?”, 2017, para. 13) Business associates are entities that extend a practitioner’s
  • 114. ability to use patient data in an efficient way. They may perform a variety of functions, such as processing or administration, data analysis, utilization review, quality assurance, billing, benefit management, practice management, and repricing. Business associate services include legal, actuarial, accounting, consulting, data aggregation, management, administra- tive, accreditation, and financial services. Examples of business associates can be found online (https://www.hhs.gov/hipaa/for- professionals/privacy/guidance/business- associates/index.html). As of 2013, it was business associates that caused more than 20% of all security breaches reported to the HHS; such breaches affect approximately 12 million patients each year (Solove, 2013). numerous resources are available from the APA Practice organization (http:// www.apapractice.org; and http://www.apapracticecentral.org/business/hipaa/hippa- privacy-primer.pdf, which offers more specifics on HITECH- HIPAA). Professional Ethics Codes Although professional organizations have always provided guidance and guidelines on technology, change is so rapid that it becomes a challenge for them to keep the guidelines current. Thus, part of the burden of risk management falls to ethical deci- sion making on the part of practitioners, extending to the training they provide their
  • 115. staff (Sobelman & younggren, 2016). unfortunately, simply using new technologies can sometimes expose underlying vulnerabilities or misuses, such that a new guideline is required; however, the goal thus far has been to write guidelines more broadly and in such a way as to enable them to be applied to multiple, even unforeseen, circum- stances. The APA’s Ethical Principles of Psychologists and Code of Conduct (2017; hereinafter, APA Ethics Code) states the following: Co py ri gh t Am er ic an P sy ch ol og ic al A ss oc
  • 116. ia ti on . No t fo r fu rt he r di st ri bu ti on . 19Managing Risk 4.01 Maintaining Confidentiality Psychologists have a primary obligation and take reasonable precautions to protect confidential information obtained through or stored in any medium, recognizing that the extent and limits of confidentiality may be
  • 117. regulated by law or established by institutional rules or professional or scientific relationship. 4.02c discussing the limits of Confidentiality Psychologists who offer services, products or information via electronic transmission inform clients/patients of the risks to privacy and limits of confidentiality. The more recent APA Guidelines for the Practice of Telepsychology (American Psychological Association, Joint Task Force for the development of Telepsychology Guidelines for Psychologists, 2013) recommend that psychologists become knowledgeable and com- petent “in the use of the telecommunication technologies being utilized” and make sure that client/patients are made aware of the “increased risks to loss of security and confidentiality when using telecommunication technologies” (pp. 791–799). Sometimes ethical guidelines can even sound like an alert and strike a caution- ary tone, as in the following from the American Psychiatric Association (2013): “Growing concern regarding the civil rights of patients and the possible adverse effects of computerization, duplication equipment, and data banks makes the dis- semination of confidential information an increasing hazard” (p. 6). Additionally, the American Psychiatric Association (2016) recently warned that “the advent
  • 118. and expansion of the use of electronic medical records and the increasing use of care coordinators and integration of medical care present challenges to traditional notions of patient confidentiality” (p. 4). An abundance of caution is appropriate, given the weight of the u.S. Health and Human Services mission to “ensure that people have equal access and opportunities to participate in certain health care and human services programs without unlawful discrimination” (see https://www.hhs. gov/ocr/). In other words, it is incumbent upon us as practitioners to understand that we are responsible for the security and confidentiality of our client and patient records, no matter what method or technology we use. Compliance with the law and with the enforceable ethics codes of our professional associations resides with us, and we cannot pass the buck to office managers or our IT support staff. It is we who must inform our patients of the limitations. A thorough informed consent process, includ- ing documentation thereof, should be a standard part of practice. Specific risks spelled out in informed consent forms may include e-mail and text messaging risks. In the APA Ethics Code, the General Principles, as opposed to Ethical Standards, are aspirational in nature. As noted in the text, Their intent is to guide and inspire psychologists toward the
  • 119. very highest ethical ideals of the profession. General Principles, in contrast to Ethical Standards, do not represent obligations and should not form the basis for imposing sanctions. relying upon General Principles for either of these reasons distorts both their meaning and purpose. Co py ri gh t Am er ic an P sy ch ol og ic al A ss oc ia ti on
  • 120. . No t fo r fu rt he r di st ri bu ti on . 20 S o B E l M A n A n d S A n T o P I E T r o The APA Ethics Code Task Force attempted to address a possible conflict between law and ethics by allowing psychologists to adhere to a legal obligation in the face of a competing ethical obligation, by stating the following: 1.02 Conflicts Between Ethics and law, regulations, or other Governing legal Authority
  • 121. If psychologists’ ethical responsibilities conflict with law, regulations, or other governing legal authority, psychologists clarify the nature of the conflict, make known their commitment to the Ethics Code and take reasonable steps to resolve the conflict consistent with the General Principles and Ethical Standards of the Ethics Code. under no circumstances may this standard be used to justify or defend violating human rights. In the next section, we offer a technology-infused mental health care scenario that presents various low-level and higher level risk management challenges. As you read, reflect on the ethical principles and laws cited above, as well as the information security control examples presented. For each technology- related action in the case study, try to identify specific ways the practitioner can manage risk while still offering direct benefits to the patient in terms of access to care and treatment that meets high standards, and/or indirect benefits to the patient in the form of professional develop- ment for the clinician. Case Study A young man is concerned about how much he is worrying about starting graduate school. Worrying is starting to pervade his mind to the point where he is having trouble sleeping and even remembering to eat. He decides to look up his symptoms on
  • 122. the Internet. He types some key words about his symptoms into a search engine and discovers a mental health informational site that provides a symptom checklist. After he completes a brief symptom checklist, the site returns a result that suggests that he might be suffering from an anxiety disorder. The site provides psychoeducation— information about various anxiety disorders, possible causes, and evidence-based treatment approaches, as well as some stress reduction suggestions. He tries some of the stress reduction exercises and experiences a degree of relief in the fact that he is experiencing symptoms that are not uncommon. Still, his symptoms trouble him. He returns to the informational site and clicks on a link that brings him to a mental health clinician referral site, and then to a therapist locator site providing listings for mental health professionals. He searches through a number of profiles and decides on a professional nearby that he believes is qualified. He is able to click on a link to a professional website and the clinician’s Facebook page and Twitter account, and after reviewing the therapist’s credentials decides to proceed with scheduling an initial session. Through the therapist’s website, he is able to review the practice policies and insurances accepted. He completes a comprehensive intake questionnaire and symp- tom description online. He schedules an appointment online too. Co
  • 124. r di st ri bu ti on . 21Managing Risk The practitioner is notified of the new patient and is able to review the intake form and symptom checklist to derive an initial sense of the clinical issues and patient characteristics. The pretreatment data are automatically uploaded and stored in an encrypted database to be used to monitor progress and serve as baseline criteria to measure outcomes. All of this is done with the patient’s informed consent. After the patient’s first office visit, the intake information, pretreatment data, and initial clinical evaluation are used to formulate an initial treatment plan. The clinician accesses the Internet and uses a search engine for the latest clinical practice guide- lines (Hollon, 2016) to determine the recommended evidence- based treatments and to keep abreast of the most current findings. At this time, any
  • 125. needed information can be discovered using PICoT (Patient/population, Intervention, Comparison inter- vention, outcome, Time frame) questions which are formulated to help clinicians discover the most current evidence (new york university libraries, 2017). Based on the evaluation and pretreatment data, a diagnostic formulation is made. Clinician and patient discuss various treatment options by phone and agree on an approach to try, starting with the patient’s next appointment. The patient is invited to use his smartphone to download some apps he can use to keep track of mood and anxiety, so that a better picture of the triggers can be identified. Another app using biometric sensors via his smartphone is used to gather some physiological concomitants of his anxiety, such as heart rate variability and patterns of movement. These data can be uploaded from the patient’s smartphone to the clinician’s portal site, where she is able to monitor trends and also utilize the physiological parameters to assess treatment response. The patient is also provided with links to various sites that offer supportive and accessible adjunctive psychoeducation. In another office in her suite, the clinician has a room devoted to helping patients learn how to make state changes—represented by optimal balance between the sym- pathetic and parasympathetic nervous systems, called coherence. For our patient, in this example, the clinician prescribes adjunctive heart rate
  • 126. variability biofeedback, which is overseen by a technician. For other patients, other treatments are considered, such as neurofeedback, virtual reality therapy, electrocranial therapy, and transcranial mag- netic stimulation (TMS). While she does not have the resources for TMS in her practice, when appropriate, she refers to another clinician who does. during the course of treatment, the patient arrives 5 minutes early for each ses- sion and is asked to complete a scale on a tablet that links to the clinician’s computer. A summary of the treatment alliance and patient progress is available to the clinician before she meets with her patient. during the session, the patient reports that he will be unable to attend face-to-face sessions for a month, and after discussing the advan- tages and limitations of teletherapy, and providing informed consent, the patient and clinician decide that during this period they will conduct teletherapy sessions. These sessions prove to be a relief to the patient as a break in treatment seemed untimely. As part of the clinician’s continuing professional development, she has signed up for some online webinars on the latest evidence-based strategies for working with anxiety disorders. during the webinar she hears of additional training, including an online supervision group that she decides to join. As part of the training, she is required Co
  • 128. r di st ri bu ti on . 22 S o B E l M A n A n d S A n T o P I E T r o to have videotape supervision of her patients. She asks her patient if he would allow his sessions to be videotaped for this purpose. He agrees, and she uses a digital video camera and saves the video on a password-protected site. using an encrypted video communication service, she meets virtually with her supervisor, and together they are able to view the videotape of her patients providing shared clinical material as opposed to self-report. As you read this case study, did any red flags present themselves? Maybe you identified some areas where you would like more detailed information on both the benefits and risks—social media policies, for example (for a list of articles for cli- nicians about social media, see http://drkkolmes.com/clinician- articles/). or maybe
  • 129. you were able to articulate some questions to ask your staff or business associates about how best to safeguard patient data and take calculated risks with technology. Additionally, you might ask the following: ❚ ❚ In which parts of the scenario does the clinician’s responsibility to comply with HIPAA/HITECH come into play? ❚ ❚ Was informed consent obtained at every juncture when it is needed? ❚ ❚ What physical, administrative, and/or technical vulnerabilities has the clinician accounted for, and how might those controls be reinforced? ❚ ❚ Aside from specific security vulnerabilities, what boundary challenges need to be considered? (Kolmes & Taube, 2014) Conclusion online mental health programs have a strong evidence base. APA defined evidence-based as “the integration of the best available research with clinical expertise in the context of patient characteristics, culture and preference” (APA Presidential Task Force on Evidence- Based Practice, 2006, p. 273). Their role in population health strategies needs further exploration, including the most effective use of limited clinical staff resources. Turvey and roberts (2015) reminded us that patient portals and personal health records serve to enhance mental health treatment also, though concerns specific to mental health
  • 130. must be addressed to support broader adoption of portals. user - friendly, well-designed, patient-centered health information technology may integrate many functions (connect- ing patient records or e-mails or treatment enhanced technologies) to promote a holistic approach to care plans and overall wellness. The securi ty needs of using this technology will require that providers and patients be well informed about how best to use these technologies to support behavioral health interventions (Turvey & roberts, 2015). It is an intimidating and possibly consuming task to stay up-to- date with all the advances in technology in the mental health field. And with the changes in the tech- nology landscape, mental health practitioners will continually need to adhere to high standards of care. Therefore, it should be abundantl y clear that keeping data secure must be of paramount importance. But even encryption companies have been hacked, as in the case of TrueCrypt (Constantin, 2015). So, what are we supposed to do if even those systems that meet the highest industry standards can be compromised by Co py ri gh t Am
  • 132. ti on . 23Managing Risk hackers? let’s be clear: There will never be a perfect security and privacy solution to any electronic medical record, health-related electronic communication, telehealth program, or mobile health app. on some level, our efforts to follow HIPAA standards, professional standards, and ethical standards, and to maintain a risk-managed prac- tice setting, will always be aspirational. The best we can do is to accept and own our responsibilities as professionals and adopt practices that help us to stay current. References American Psychiatric Association. (2013). The principles of medical ethics with annota- tions especially applicable to psychiatry. retrieved from https://www.psychiatry.org/ File%20library/Psychiatrists/Practice/Ethics/principles-medical- ethics.pdf American Psychiatric Association. (2016). APA commentary on ethics in practice. retrieved from https://www.psychiatry.org/File%20library/Psychiatrists/Practic e/Ethics/
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  • 139. rt he r di st ri bu ti on . 1 How to Prepare a Pamphlet A pamphlet is a format that allows you to target specific populations by selecting, and then presenting concise information to improve knowledge levels, to change attitudes toward a subject, to use in conjunction with other marketing approaches, and to educate individuals, their families, and professionals. Challenges Involved in Developing a Pamphlet
  • 140. Writing and developing content for an effective pamphlet is challenging. You have a limited amount of space in which to briefly, clearly, and professionally provide information to your targeted readers. Therefore, it is vitally important to outline and organize your pamphlet content, and then deliver it in a way that appeals to your readers. 1. Identify the key concepts. Your assignment will outline several points that must be covered. 2. Use headings or subtitles to address those key concepts. 3. Explain the key points at the beginning of each section. 4. Cite your supporting resources properly just as you would do with a traditional paper. Note: Double-check with your instructor to determine if he or she will accept footnotes rather than a reference section for your pamphlet if it helps to improve the readability and appearance of your information. 5. Be sure to use graphics, photographs, charts, and other
  • 141. illustrations that are appropriate for your topic and intended audience. 6. Make sure your design layout is logical, appealing, and relevant to ensure your targeted readers benefit from your pamphlet’s content. Creating a Pamphlet – The Basics There are several software programs, including Microsoft Publisher, that are designed to create a variety of different written materials. However, you can easily create your own using Microsoft Word. Depending on the version of Word that you may have, you can open a template and simply cut and paste your information into a template; or you can search the Internet for a free template that meets your needs. You can use Word to create a simple pamphlet by completing the following steps: 2
  • 142. 1. Open a new file in Word. Then, name it and save it as you would any other assignment. 2. Go to Page Layout>Margins>Narrow (1/2 inch). 3. Write your content or text. and then insert your graphics. 4. Go to Page Layout>Orientation>Landscape. Change to Landscape (11 x 8 ½). 5. Highlight the text. 6. With text highlighted, go to Page Layout>Columns>Three. Click and save. Now, your file is a draft pamphlet that you can review, revise, and proofread before you submit it to your instructor for feedback. Creating an Effective Pamphlet – Simple Tips Effective pamphlets present information that is organized, informative, supported by valid research, and easy to understand. You can prepare an effective pamphlet by using the following tips: 1. Use short, yet compelling words, and brief sentences. Keep your audience in mind.
  • 143. 2. Use quotes sparingly. As a rule, quotes have value for emphasis if you cannot rephrase the information any better in your own words. 3. Write your content using the active voice. (Active voice: “Families can provide support to children struggling with homework by finding a great tutor.” Passive voice: “Support can be provided by the family to children struggling with homework by find a great tutor.”) 4. Be positive. “Families should” instead of, “Families should not.” Knowing Your Targeted Readers vels of education, demographics, etc.) to ensure the success of your presentation. expertise. Planning Your Pamphlet Content As you prepare your pamphlet content, consider the following questions:
  • 144. What is the intended “take away”? that they have learned? your pamphlet? 3 Pamphlet Content Guidelines 1. Use a simple font with a point-size of no less than 12-point (footnotes should be no smaller than 9 point). 2. Be consistent. Use the same font throughout your pamphlet. 3. Use color, underlining, and italics sparingly and for emphasis only. 4. Use white space effectively. If text is squeezed together, it is difficult to read. Take time to edit your information so that your key concepts are clearly and simply presented.
  • 145. 5. Use graphics that are relevant to your pamphlet’s overall content. 6. Be sure the graphics complement your content, instead of overwhelming it and creating distractions. 7. Ensure your graphics are tasteful, inclusive, and appropriate for your readers. References 1. Nicholson-Crotty, S., Nicholson-Crotty, J., & Fernandez, S. (2017). Performance and management in the public sector: Testing a model of relative.. (PDF attached) 2. Sobelman, S. A., & Santopietro, J. M. (2018). Managing risk: Aligning technology use with the law, ethics codes, and practice standards. In Using... (PDF attached) 3. World Health Organization. (2018). Organizatio n [Website]. https://www.who.int/