SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Supply Chain Leaders Forum
Crafting Supply Chain Strategy –
How Technology Trends influence strategy formulation and execution
Center for Supply Chain Research
http://www.smeal.psu.edu/cscr
Presentation Date: 2013 – September - 05
Today’s Speaker:
Scott R. Sykes
www.linkedin.com/in/scottsykes/
Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 1
Agenda
I. Context
II. Supply Chain Technology
Market – short summary
III.Two Topics to Share
IV.Your Questions & Feedback
Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 2
„10
„08
„01
$0
$99
„95
Context – technology’s impact over the past two decades
(just one example from the academic world for today…)
1993 2003 2013
Britannica’s unit volume falls >50% from its peak year (1990)
 Technology innovation disrupts business “as usual”
The gift and curse (?) of
technology innovation is the pace
and frequency of change – both
from a business and a personal
perspective --
 It took two years for Microsoft‟s
„93 innovation to cut in half
Britannica‟s two-century old
business (that lacked a serious
competitor in its own industry)
 Microsoft‟s new business only
lived for 15 years itself (and they
were not impressive years at that)
 While Wikipedia had a shaky
beginning, it is now relied upon
daily by businesses, students
(and even scholars)
Implications for us…
Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 3
Your company’s business strategy should [1] inform the creation of
your supply chain strategy, and [2] the selection & deployment of
supporting and enabling technologies to make it happen…
Rollin Ford, CIO, Wal-Mart
• In a business age where in reality “there
are very few secrets out there anymore…”
• “…the only differentiating competitive
advantage becomes SPEED…”
• “…enhancing SPEED and agility
necessitates that organizations embrace
innovation and new technology models…”
For Wal-Mart, mapping supply chain strategy to business strategy entailed (at least) two
items: SPEED and AGILITY. For the company strategy – the key word is SPEED. For their
CIO, he adds the word AGILITY. His “technology footprint” must not only enable cost
supremacy and supply chain speed, but also afford the ability to adapt to change quickly.
Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 4
Today’s topic:
How to enable strategy with technology
 Change and uncertainty are the constants we face today.
 Technology is both a driver of the challenges brought by
change and a source of remedy for managing through it.
Today’s other topic:
How to navigate change (and select technologies for your
strategy) against a backdrop of high uncertainty
 Strategies must be set against this uncertain technology backdrop, and
 Supply chain technology strategies must be “sized” to fit [1] the strategic intent
of the business strategy, and [2] be balanced against the expected duration
 Technology fuels change in many ways
 In degree…
 In pace/frequency…
 In our business lives…
 In our personal lives…
Remember these?
Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 5
The best supply chain technology solution you identify for today’s
business strategy may very well be a member of one of these
“extended families” in the future…
Core Company Technology Acquisitions Summary –
Just for fun: How many buys since the turn of the Century?
Source: Wikipedia.org
40+
technology buys since the turn of the century
100+
technology buys since the turn of the century
80+
technology buys since the turn of the century
This market reality has implications for the crafting of your firm’s technology
investment strategy (to enable corporate strategy and/or supply chain strategy).
Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 6
In 2012, roughly half of the SCM Software Market ($8.3B)
was concentrated in four companies --
Company 2012 SCM
Revenue
2012 Market
Share
$ 2,040.4 24.6 %
$ 1,453.3 17.5 %
$ 426.0 5.1 %
$ 160.1 1.9 %
“Rest of Market” $ 4,216.0 50.9 %
Source: Gartner, 2013-May
The consolidation that has occurred in the
SCM software market over the past decade
places large shippers and their trading
partners in a sometimes uncomfortable
position –
Either buy from one of the large technology
firms (as they currently exist), or choose to do
business with one of the much smaller
vendors remaining…
To help think this conundrum through, we will
review a decision framework that categorizes
the criteria that go into a technology decision.
The dimensions are “solution fit” and
“duration.”
Pursuing a multi-year strategy with
a short-lived partner presents risk
Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 7
Agenda
I. Context
II. Supply Chain Technology
Market – short summary
III. Two Topics to Share
IV. Your Questions & Feedback
Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 8
Address some key trends that are driving today’s technology
space – recognizing that career supply chain professionals
lack the “nerd gene” required to keep abreast of all the topics
and trends that come out of the tech world.
Share a technology decision framework for assessing and
mapping your technology strategy to your business strategy
Three topics to share today --
1
2
Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 9
Technology decision-making model – Fit & Duration
Most are familiar with fit. Duration is an equally important dimension to assess.
Some enterprise technology choices have 10 to 15 year durations (and as we
have discussed this morning, a lot can change in that amount of time).
- Solution Duration -
-SolutionFit-
short long
low
high
Just
Say No
Explore
“free”
1st Gain
Confidence,
then Buy
Buy on
Price
No. Self-explanatory.
No truly available solution yet exists to meet your
design. If your expected duration is relatively short (3
years or less), consider an innovation partnership
where your firm trades future referenceability for a
low- to no-cost solution (Note: many software firms
begin this way).
You find a good solution fit, and the expected
duration of this need is relatively short (3 years or
less). Buy on price and then manage your risk as
appropriate for the program in question.
You find a good fit. The duration of your intent is
long-term (measured in half-decades or longer). After
solution fit is scored, then assess:
 Prospective vendor’s technical architecture (e.g., Is it a
new solution built to run on SAP HANA?).
 Prospective vendor’s strategic investors
 Prospective vendor’s management team’s bios
If the vendor’s “end game” might be with a larger firm
you prefer not to do business with, factor that in.
1
2
3
4
43
12
Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 10
5 Significant Trends in the B2B & Supply Chain Space
Topic Observations Players Notes
Cloud • OpEx v. CapEx
• Faster Deployments, less customization (typically)
• More data business opportunities
1. Salesforce
2. SAP
3. Oracle
4. JDA Software
- 1st profitable
- M&A
- M&A
- Went Private to ∆
Freemium • Alternative economic streams (advertising, data)
• Point-of-entry strategic design to „land and expand‟
1. Tradeshift
2. Ariba
3. Countless others
- eInvoicing Platform
- Apps & B2B Network
- (many will fail…)
Big Data • IPO‟s happening now
• IBM‟s smarter planet effort
• ERP‟s buying in via analytics & cloud
1. Tableau
2. IBM
3. SAP & Oracle
- IPO in May, up 50+%
- Product & Services Play
- Analytics buys (Business Objects
and Hyperion, respectively)
Mobile • Leapfrogging infrastructure in emerging markets
(no cord to cut)
• App solutions designed for tablets rather than PCs
1. Samsung
2. Apple
3. Nokia
- Bet placed on Google Android
- Innovation play
- Microsoft buy, 9/3/13 for $7.2B
Social • Corporate “tribes” via Jive, Yammer, Chatter
• Professional default is LinkedIn.com
1. Jive
2. Microsoft
3. Salesforce
- IPO Dec. 2011, now below IPO
- Yammer, 4y/o firm  $1.2B cash
- Chatter solution gaining wide
adoption in their installed base
Source(s): Wikipedia.org, Yahoo Finance, Kleiner Perkins Caufield Byers, Corporate Websites, and interviews with colleagues at these firms
All of the technological shifts currently underway in the software market are going to have significant
and profound application to global supply chains. The forward-thinking firms that figure out the right
mix of solutions to apply in their businesses will capture significant competitive advantage.
Summary
Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 11
USA Productivity Gains
Source(s): Federal Reserve, 2012; Northwestern Univ., Robert Gordon, Economist, 2012;
Investors Business Daily, 2013-June-26
A fundamental requirement for the 5 trends that will
ultimately take them global…
Cloud
Freemium
Big Data
Mobile
Social
Reliable,
high-
bandwidth
Internet
As more of Earth‟s citizens
acquire the same access,
entire new waves of
economic productivity gains
and business value creation
can and will be triggered
= total gain ~ technology impact
2004 - Today
+1.6%
+0.54%
Applied to the rest of the world?
2012 - 2021
= total gain ~ technology impact
2021 - 2031
? ?
+3.1%
+1.5%
1995 - 2004
Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 12
Global Internet access and reliability of bandwidth is
driving a big adoption cycle for business and consumer
Geography 2012 Internet
Users (MMs)
Additions from
2008-2012 (MMs)
% Penetration
of Total Population
USA 244 +18
(vs. BRIC)
CHINA 564 +264
INDIA 137 +88
RUSSIA 70 +33
BRAZIL 88 +27
GLOBAL 2,406 +902
Sources: United Nations, International Telecommunications Union, internetworldstats.com
78%
42%
11%
49%
45%
39%
As more of the global population comes online and, as more and more
businesses become connected at high (and reliable) bandwidth, new
business innovations can move from the white board to the marketplace.
Relevant Takeaway:
Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 13
One additional thought on the current relevance of the
Duration assessment criterion -
Question Answer
How many firms in the Fortune 500? 500
How many firms in the Global 2000? 2,000
How much commerce flows annually in
G2000 supply chains?
~ $12T
How many years Duration can an enterprise
software investment represent?
10 to 15
Holding things constant for ease of discussion then…over
the next 10 years, over $120 Trillion in commerce will be
conducted in global G2000 supply chains, all of it needing
enabling technologies to manage it.
Much of the previous enterprise cycle from Y2K and the
subsequent supply chain innovations that came out of the
business process re-engineering wave it triggered are
reaching their end-of-useful-life dates…
A High-Stakes competition is queuing up – in your backyard
Framework
Market Trends
_
_
Cloud
Freemium
Big Data
Mobile
Social
Contact:
scott@scottsykes.com
www.linkedin.com/in/scottsykes/

More Related Content

PDF
Tech trends-2014 final-electronic-single.2.11
PDF
Deloitte University Press Tech Trends 2014
PDF
Dtt en wp_techtrends_10022014
PDF
The AI Path: Past, Present & Future
PDF
Buy? Build? Why Not Both?
PDF
The Future of HCM: 7 Trends You Need To Know
PDF
Traversing the M&A Minefield
PDF
IT From boring to sexy
Tech trends-2014 final-electronic-single.2.11
Deloitte University Press Tech Trends 2014
Dtt en wp_techtrends_10022014
The AI Path: Past, Present & Future
Buy? Build? Why Not Both?
The Future of HCM: 7 Trends You Need To Know
Traversing the M&A Minefield
IT From boring to sexy

What's hot (17)

PDF
Steven cosgrove short resume 2017
PDF
Human Capital Management Market by Solution
PDF
Cloud Watch on HCM Summary Version
PDF
A Positive Outlook: Fourth Annual State of the Retail Supply Chain Report
PDF
IT4IT™
DOCX
Mark falkowski resume
PDF
7 20 10 Cerg Final Lo Res
PPTX
Enterprise Content Management Market Landscape and its Implications on Canon
DOCX
osman gulecyuz resume
PDF
The Forrester Wave Enterprise Business Intelligence Platforms, Q3 2008
PDF
Microsoft Mobile Oy Story: IT Operations Fit for the 3rd Platform
PDF
Imex powerof10 executivesummaryreport
PPT
Presentation To Seda Technology Programme
DOCX
Report on strategic rules of Information System for changing the bases of com...
PDF
Why IT Struggles With Digital Transformation and What to Do About It
PDF
Building the Agile Enterprise - Cloud Computing
PDF
The Future of IT Infrastructure
Steven cosgrove short resume 2017
Human Capital Management Market by Solution
Cloud Watch on HCM Summary Version
A Positive Outlook: Fourth Annual State of the Retail Supply Chain Report
IT4IT™
Mark falkowski resume
7 20 10 Cerg Final Lo Res
Enterprise Content Management Market Landscape and its Implications on Canon
osman gulecyuz resume
The Forrester Wave Enterprise Business Intelligence Platforms, Q3 2008
Microsoft Mobile Oy Story: IT Operations Fit for the 3rd Platform
Imex powerof10 executivesummaryreport
Presentation To Seda Technology Programme
Report on strategic rules of Information System for changing the bases of com...
Why IT Struggles With Digital Transformation and What to Do About It
Building the Agile Enterprise - Cloud Computing
The Future of IT Infrastructure
Ad

Viewers also liked (18)

PPTX
Supply Chain Strategy
PDF
Business Process Improvement - A Strategic and Supply Chain Perspective
PDF
Supply Chain Strategy Profile
PPTX
4 pillars of Supply Chain Strategy
PPT
Supply chain strategy
PPTX
Supply Chain Strategy Or Design
PPTX
Ford motors supply chain management
PPT
Supply Chain (Chap10)
PDF
Different supply chain strategies
PPTX
Supply Chain Management of 7 eleven
PPTX
Supply Chain Strategy at 7-Eleven
PDF
Deloitte - Supply Chain Strategy
PDF
Supply Chain Strategy
PPTX
Business strategy- Walmart
PPT
Nike competitive analysis
PPTX
Independent Supply Chain Strategy Evaluation
PPT
Porter's Generic Strategies
PPTX
Porter's Generic Strategies with examples
Supply Chain Strategy
Business Process Improvement - A Strategic and Supply Chain Perspective
Supply Chain Strategy Profile
4 pillars of Supply Chain Strategy
Supply chain strategy
Supply Chain Strategy Or Design
Ford motors supply chain management
Supply Chain (Chap10)
Different supply chain strategies
Supply Chain Management of 7 eleven
Supply Chain Strategy at 7-Eleven
Deloitte - Supply Chain Strategy
Supply Chain Strategy
Business strategy- Walmart
Nike competitive analysis
Independent Supply Chain Strategy Evaluation
Porter's Generic Strategies
Porter's Generic Strategies with examples
Ad

Similar to Crafting Supply Chain Strategy - Technology Considerations (20)

PPT
Frost & Sullivan Smart Buildings Think Tank Cr
PDF
ETDP 2015 D1 SMAC & the Journey from Automation to Digital Factory - Snjeev K...
PDF
Plante Moran Strategy Webinar
PPTX
Modular Data Centers: Benefits and Best Practices
PDF
Most Significant Trends Impacting Global Supply Chain and Manufacturing Teams
PPT
UM MBA Program: Technology Assessment Process
PDF
Thinking about VC themes
PPT
Successful Processes for Selecting a Content Management System: How to Become...
PPT
Promoting the Semantic Web
PPT
Theme Discussions
DOCX
Netw 583 strategic management of technology entire class
PDF
Modernizing the Analytics and Data Science Lifecycle for the Scalable Enterpr...
PDF
The race for supply chain 2030
PDF
Why Is Supply Chain Planning So Hard? 16 FEB 2016
PDF
How Customer Experience is Driving Application Modernization
PPTX
MIT 323_3 Drivers of Technological Change.pptx
PDF
The path to self-disruption
PDF
Managing and Using Information Systems A Strategic Approach 6th Edition Pearl...
PDF
Managing and Using Information Systems A Strategic Approach 6th Edition Pearl...
PPSX
Business agility imperatives smarter solutions-transformation-icty 2011-1
Frost & Sullivan Smart Buildings Think Tank Cr
ETDP 2015 D1 SMAC & the Journey from Automation to Digital Factory - Snjeev K...
Plante Moran Strategy Webinar
Modular Data Centers: Benefits and Best Practices
Most Significant Trends Impacting Global Supply Chain and Manufacturing Teams
UM MBA Program: Technology Assessment Process
Thinking about VC themes
Successful Processes for Selecting a Content Management System: How to Become...
Promoting the Semantic Web
Theme Discussions
Netw 583 strategic management of technology entire class
Modernizing the Analytics and Data Science Lifecycle for the Scalable Enterpr...
The race for supply chain 2030
Why Is Supply Chain Planning So Hard? 16 FEB 2016
How Customer Experience is Driving Application Modernization
MIT 323_3 Drivers of Technological Change.pptx
The path to self-disruption
Managing and Using Information Systems A Strategic Approach 6th Edition Pearl...
Managing and Using Information Systems A Strategic Approach 6th Edition Pearl...
Business agility imperatives smarter solutions-transformation-icty 2011-1

Recently uploaded (20)

PPTX
Detection-First SIEM: Rule Types, Dashboards, and Threat-Informed Strategy
PDF
How UI/UX Design Impacts User Retention in Mobile Apps.pdf
PDF
Building Integrated photovoltaic BIPV_UPV.pdf
PPTX
Cloud computing and distributed systems.
PPTX
A Presentation on Artificial Intelligence
PDF
Electronic commerce courselecture one. Pdf
PDF
Build a system with the filesystem maintained by OSTree @ COSCUP 2025
PPTX
KOM of Painting work and Equipment Insulation REV00 update 25-dec.pptx
PDF
7 ChatGPT Prompts to Help You Define Your Ideal Customer Profile.pdf
PPT
“AI and Expert System Decision Support & Business Intelligence Systems”
PPT
Teaching material agriculture food technology
PDF
Encapsulation_ Review paper, used for researhc scholars
PDF
Mobile App Security Testing_ A Comprehensive Guide.pdf
PDF
Reach Out and Touch Someone: Haptics and Empathic Computing
PPTX
Digital-Transformation-Roadmap-for-Companies.pptx
PDF
Unlocking AI with Model Context Protocol (MCP)
PDF
Peak of Data & AI Encore- AI for Metadata and Smarter Workflows
PPTX
PA Analog/Digital System: The Backbone of Modern Surveillance and Communication
PDF
Advanced methodologies resolving dimensionality complications for autism neur...
PDF
Network Security Unit 5.pdf for BCA BBA.
Detection-First SIEM: Rule Types, Dashboards, and Threat-Informed Strategy
How UI/UX Design Impacts User Retention in Mobile Apps.pdf
Building Integrated photovoltaic BIPV_UPV.pdf
Cloud computing and distributed systems.
A Presentation on Artificial Intelligence
Electronic commerce courselecture one. Pdf
Build a system with the filesystem maintained by OSTree @ COSCUP 2025
KOM of Painting work and Equipment Insulation REV00 update 25-dec.pptx
7 ChatGPT Prompts to Help You Define Your Ideal Customer Profile.pdf
“AI and Expert System Decision Support & Business Intelligence Systems”
Teaching material agriculture food technology
Encapsulation_ Review paper, used for researhc scholars
Mobile App Security Testing_ A Comprehensive Guide.pdf
Reach Out and Touch Someone: Haptics and Empathic Computing
Digital-Transformation-Roadmap-for-Companies.pptx
Unlocking AI with Model Context Protocol (MCP)
Peak of Data & AI Encore- AI for Metadata and Smarter Workflows
PA Analog/Digital System: The Backbone of Modern Surveillance and Communication
Advanced methodologies resolving dimensionality complications for autism neur...
Network Security Unit 5.pdf for BCA BBA.

Crafting Supply Chain Strategy - Technology Considerations

  • 1. Supply Chain Leaders Forum Crafting Supply Chain Strategy – How Technology Trends influence strategy formulation and execution Center for Supply Chain Research http://www.smeal.psu.edu/cscr Presentation Date: 2013 – September - 05 Today’s Speaker: Scott R. Sykes www.linkedin.com/in/scottsykes/
  • 2. Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 1 Agenda I. Context II. Supply Chain Technology Market – short summary III.Two Topics to Share IV.Your Questions & Feedback
  • 3. Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 2 „10 „08 „01 $0 $99 „95 Context – technology’s impact over the past two decades (just one example from the academic world for today…) 1993 2003 2013 Britannica’s unit volume falls >50% from its peak year (1990)  Technology innovation disrupts business “as usual” The gift and curse (?) of technology innovation is the pace and frequency of change – both from a business and a personal perspective --  It took two years for Microsoft‟s „93 innovation to cut in half Britannica‟s two-century old business (that lacked a serious competitor in its own industry)  Microsoft‟s new business only lived for 15 years itself (and they were not impressive years at that)  While Wikipedia had a shaky beginning, it is now relied upon daily by businesses, students (and even scholars) Implications for us…
  • 4. Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 3 Your company’s business strategy should [1] inform the creation of your supply chain strategy, and [2] the selection & deployment of supporting and enabling technologies to make it happen… Rollin Ford, CIO, Wal-Mart • In a business age where in reality “there are very few secrets out there anymore…” • “…the only differentiating competitive advantage becomes SPEED…” • “…enhancing SPEED and agility necessitates that organizations embrace innovation and new technology models…” For Wal-Mart, mapping supply chain strategy to business strategy entailed (at least) two items: SPEED and AGILITY. For the company strategy – the key word is SPEED. For their CIO, he adds the word AGILITY. His “technology footprint” must not only enable cost supremacy and supply chain speed, but also afford the ability to adapt to change quickly.
  • 5. Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 4 Today’s topic: How to enable strategy with technology  Change and uncertainty are the constants we face today.  Technology is both a driver of the challenges brought by change and a source of remedy for managing through it. Today’s other topic: How to navigate change (and select technologies for your strategy) against a backdrop of high uncertainty  Strategies must be set against this uncertain technology backdrop, and  Supply chain technology strategies must be “sized” to fit [1] the strategic intent of the business strategy, and [2] be balanced against the expected duration  Technology fuels change in many ways  In degree…  In pace/frequency…  In our business lives…  In our personal lives… Remember these?
  • 6. Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 5 The best supply chain technology solution you identify for today’s business strategy may very well be a member of one of these “extended families” in the future… Core Company Technology Acquisitions Summary – Just for fun: How many buys since the turn of the Century? Source: Wikipedia.org 40+ technology buys since the turn of the century 100+ technology buys since the turn of the century 80+ technology buys since the turn of the century This market reality has implications for the crafting of your firm’s technology investment strategy (to enable corporate strategy and/or supply chain strategy).
  • 7. Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 6 In 2012, roughly half of the SCM Software Market ($8.3B) was concentrated in four companies -- Company 2012 SCM Revenue 2012 Market Share $ 2,040.4 24.6 % $ 1,453.3 17.5 % $ 426.0 5.1 % $ 160.1 1.9 % “Rest of Market” $ 4,216.0 50.9 % Source: Gartner, 2013-May The consolidation that has occurred in the SCM software market over the past decade places large shippers and their trading partners in a sometimes uncomfortable position – Either buy from one of the large technology firms (as they currently exist), or choose to do business with one of the much smaller vendors remaining… To help think this conundrum through, we will review a decision framework that categorizes the criteria that go into a technology decision. The dimensions are “solution fit” and “duration.” Pursuing a multi-year strategy with a short-lived partner presents risk
  • 8. Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 7 Agenda I. Context II. Supply Chain Technology Market – short summary III. Two Topics to Share IV. Your Questions & Feedback
  • 9. Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 8 Address some key trends that are driving today’s technology space – recognizing that career supply chain professionals lack the “nerd gene” required to keep abreast of all the topics and trends that come out of the tech world. Share a technology decision framework for assessing and mapping your technology strategy to your business strategy Three topics to share today -- 1 2
  • 10. Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 9 Technology decision-making model – Fit & Duration Most are familiar with fit. Duration is an equally important dimension to assess. Some enterprise technology choices have 10 to 15 year durations (and as we have discussed this morning, a lot can change in that amount of time). - Solution Duration - -SolutionFit- short long low high Just Say No Explore “free” 1st Gain Confidence, then Buy Buy on Price No. Self-explanatory. No truly available solution yet exists to meet your design. If your expected duration is relatively short (3 years or less), consider an innovation partnership where your firm trades future referenceability for a low- to no-cost solution (Note: many software firms begin this way). You find a good solution fit, and the expected duration of this need is relatively short (3 years or less). Buy on price and then manage your risk as appropriate for the program in question. You find a good fit. The duration of your intent is long-term (measured in half-decades or longer). After solution fit is scored, then assess:  Prospective vendor’s technical architecture (e.g., Is it a new solution built to run on SAP HANA?).  Prospective vendor’s strategic investors  Prospective vendor’s management team’s bios If the vendor’s “end game” might be with a larger firm you prefer not to do business with, factor that in. 1 2 3 4 43 12
  • 11. Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 10 5 Significant Trends in the B2B & Supply Chain Space Topic Observations Players Notes Cloud • OpEx v. CapEx • Faster Deployments, less customization (typically) • More data business opportunities 1. Salesforce 2. SAP 3. Oracle 4. JDA Software - 1st profitable - M&A - M&A - Went Private to ∆ Freemium • Alternative economic streams (advertising, data) • Point-of-entry strategic design to „land and expand‟ 1. Tradeshift 2. Ariba 3. Countless others - eInvoicing Platform - Apps & B2B Network - (many will fail…) Big Data • IPO‟s happening now • IBM‟s smarter planet effort • ERP‟s buying in via analytics & cloud 1. Tableau 2. IBM 3. SAP & Oracle - IPO in May, up 50+% - Product & Services Play - Analytics buys (Business Objects and Hyperion, respectively) Mobile • Leapfrogging infrastructure in emerging markets (no cord to cut) • App solutions designed for tablets rather than PCs 1. Samsung 2. Apple 3. Nokia - Bet placed on Google Android - Innovation play - Microsoft buy, 9/3/13 for $7.2B Social • Corporate “tribes” via Jive, Yammer, Chatter • Professional default is LinkedIn.com 1. Jive 2. Microsoft 3. Salesforce - IPO Dec. 2011, now below IPO - Yammer, 4y/o firm  $1.2B cash - Chatter solution gaining wide adoption in their installed base Source(s): Wikipedia.org, Yahoo Finance, Kleiner Perkins Caufield Byers, Corporate Websites, and interviews with colleagues at these firms All of the technological shifts currently underway in the software market are going to have significant and profound application to global supply chains. The forward-thinking firms that figure out the right mix of solutions to apply in their businesses will capture significant competitive advantage. Summary
  • 12. Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 11 USA Productivity Gains Source(s): Federal Reserve, 2012; Northwestern Univ., Robert Gordon, Economist, 2012; Investors Business Daily, 2013-June-26 A fundamental requirement for the 5 trends that will ultimately take them global… Cloud Freemium Big Data Mobile Social Reliable, high- bandwidth Internet As more of Earth‟s citizens acquire the same access, entire new waves of economic productivity gains and business value creation can and will be triggered = total gain ~ technology impact 2004 - Today +1.6% +0.54% Applied to the rest of the world? 2012 - 2021 = total gain ~ technology impact 2021 - 2031 ? ? +3.1% +1.5% 1995 - 2004
  • 13. Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 12 Global Internet access and reliability of bandwidth is driving a big adoption cycle for business and consumer Geography 2012 Internet Users (MMs) Additions from 2008-2012 (MMs) % Penetration of Total Population USA 244 +18 (vs. BRIC) CHINA 564 +264 INDIA 137 +88 RUSSIA 70 +33 BRAZIL 88 +27 GLOBAL 2,406 +902 Sources: United Nations, International Telecommunications Union, internetworldstats.com 78% 42% 11% 49% 45% 39% As more of the global population comes online and, as more and more businesses become connected at high (and reliable) bandwidth, new business innovations can move from the white board to the marketplace. Relevant Takeaway:
  • 14. Prepared for Penn State Center for Supply Chain Research – Supply Chain Leaders Forum, 2013 – September. 13 One additional thought on the current relevance of the Duration assessment criterion - Question Answer How many firms in the Fortune 500? 500 How many firms in the Global 2000? 2,000 How much commerce flows annually in G2000 supply chains? ~ $12T How many years Duration can an enterprise software investment represent? 10 to 15 Holding things constant for ease of discussion then…over the next 10 years, over $120 Trillion in commerce will be conducted in global G2000 supply chains, all of it needing enabling technologies to manage it. Much of the previous enterprise cycle from Y2K and the subsequent supply chain innovations that came out of the business process re-engineering wave it triggered are reaching their end-of-useful-life dates… A High-Stakes competition is queuing up – in your backyard