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The Advanced Contemporary Affairs ®
(Book 91)
ISBN 978-969-588-296-2
Price Rs. 500/-
Annual Subscription Rs. 2300/-
5th Issue, 2014
Trade Mark Registration No. 22177
The book series is backed and supported by the prestigious
think tank, Council on Contemporary Affairs – Pakistan
_______________
Articles and Essays included in the
Advanced Contemporary Affairs are being taken from national and international newspapers and
journals of repute.
The book series is designed to offer
the readers a conglomerate of enlightened, research oriented,
and thought provoking articles on current affairs
at minimum possible cost.
_______________
All correspondence and suggestions related to the Advanced Contemporary Affairs must be
addressed to the Editor’s office:
M. Imtiaz Shahid 614, 2nd Avenue, SW (B) Block
NFC, Lahore – Pakistan.
(Tel: 03222700004)
E-mail: advancedcontemporaryaffairs@gmail.com
mimtiazshahid@gmail.com
_______________
We welcome any article on current affairs for publication. These articles may be sent to the
Editor’s office.
_______________
Opinions expressed in articles and reviews published in the Advanced Contemporary Affairs are
those of the authors and should not be attributed to the editor or the publishers.
_______________
Grateful acknowledgements are due to all those Authors, Newspapers, Journals & Publishers,
whose articles and research works are included in this book series.
_______________
Published by Advanced Publishers
17–2nd Floor, Muslim Centre. Chatter Jee Road. Urdu Bazaar.
Lahore. Pakistan. Ph. (042) 37360555, 35056955 (email: advancedpublisherspk@gmail.com)
Advisory Board
Dr Hasan-Askari Rizvi
Political and Defence Analyst
Dr Farooq Hasnat
Middle East specialist
Middle East Centre Washington DC
Dr Nilofer Mehdi
Analyst Pakistan Foreign Policy
Dr Maqsud al Hasan Nuri
Analyst Central Asia, Afghanistan and the Gulf
Former President & Senior Research Fellow, Islamabad Policy Research Institute
(IPRI)
Dr A Z Hilali
Analyst South Asian Security
Dean of Contemporary Studies National Defence University, Islamabad
Dr Mansoor Akbar Kundi
Vice Chancellor, Gomal University, D I Khan
Dr Muhammad Ahsan
Analyst Muslim World & International Political Economy
Dr Zafar Nawaz Jaspal
Analyst Nuclearization
Dr Nauman Zafar
University of Indiana, USA
Analyst Pakistan US Relations
Dr Zahid Anwer
Analyst Russia & Central Asia
Guo Xiaobing
Fellow, China Institute of Contemporary International Relations, Beijing
Faiza Mir
Analyst Balochistan & Tribal Areas
C O N T E N T S
S.#. Description Page
11. Russia and Pakistan: Shared Challenges and Common
Opportunities
Vladimir Moskalenko and Petr Topychkanov
69
12. OPEC Decision a Shot in Oil Price War
Nick Beams
78
13. Preparing for the Collapse of the Petrodollar System
Jerry Robinson
80
PART ONE
INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS
1. Twenty-six Things about the Islamic State (ISIL) that Obama Does
Not Want You to Know About
Prof Michel Chossudovsky
1
2. Does Obama Really Want to Defeat Islamic State?
Alessandro Bruno
4
3. The Arab Uprisings: Causes, Consequences, and Perspectives
Rami Khouri
7
4. The Geostrategic Consequences of the Arab Spring
Zaki Samy Elakawi
18
5. The Tragedy of the Arabs
The Economist
24
6. Global Jihad and the Tribal Areas of Pakistan
Muhammad Ali Khan Saif
25
7. The 2014 US Withdrawal – An Unsettled Quagmire for Pakistan
Lubna Sunawar
42
8. Post-US Withdrawal from Afghanistan: Internal and External
Dimensions
Conference Report
53
9. CTBT: A Critical Evaluation from a Pakistani Perspective
Malik Qasim Mustafa
58
10. Pakistan’s Role in the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation
Forum Report
66
14. After Modi's Big Win: Can India and Pakistan Enhance Relations?
Frederic Grare
110
15. Hindutva and Indian Minorities
Muhammad Nawaz Khan
113
16. India-Pakistan Relations: A Destructive Equilibrium
Jordan Olmstead
118
17. Pakistan-India Relations via SAARC
Khalid Iqbal
121
18. SAARC Summit Debriefing
Sharmadha Srinivasan
123
19. Ahead of SAARC Summit, Subdued Expectations
Deepak Dobhal
124
20. Saarc Summit and After
Inayatullah
126
21. Implementation of Indus Waters Treaty: Perceptions and Reality
Mirza Asif Baig
131
22. The Challenge of Halving Poverty By 2015: Where Do India and
Pakistan Stand?
Syed Imran Sardar
129
23. Feasibility of Granting Transit Facility to India for Afghanistan and
CARs
Dr. Kamal Monnoo
145
24. President Ghani’s Endeavours
Amna Ejaz Rafi
146
25. Emerging Contours of Pak-Afghan Relations
Khalid Iqbal
147
26. Pakistan, India, and the Secret War for Afghanistan
Parviz Azizi
149
27. Rise of China: Implications for Pakistan
Muhammad Munir
151
PART TWO
ASIAN AFFAIRS
28. The Beijing Bend: Future Trajectory of Pakistan-China Relations
Adnan Qaiser
159
29. New ‘Oil Shock’ – Impact on South Asia
Shahid Javed Burki
163
30. A Palestinian State: Elusions and Illusions of Sovereignty
Anthony Rusonik
164
PART THREE
PAKISTAN AFFAIRS
31. Economy of Tomorrow: A Case Study of Pakistan
Dr. Hafiz A Pasha
170
32. General Macroeconomic Overview 171
33. Income Distribution, Consumption Demand and Inclusive
Development
179
34. Green New Deal and Benefits of an Ecological Focus 199
35. General Evaluation 208
36. Natural Hazards and Disaster Management in Pakistan
Himayatullah Khan and Abuturab Khan
212
37. 5 Unusual Causes of Drought in Pakistan’s Desert of Tharparkar
Mimuba
232
38. Pakistan’s Impending Famine
Michael Kugelman
234
39. Democracy, Inclusion and Governance: The Inseparable Links
Jamil Nasir
236
40. Reimagining Human Rights in Pakistan In search of a human rights
policy
Asad Jamal
246
41. Education System Reform in Pakistan: Why, When, and How?
Mehnaz Aziz, David E. Bloom, Salal Humair, Emmanuel Jimenez,
Larry Rosenberg &, Zeba Sathar
252
42. Demographic Doom Or Demographic Dreams: Pakistan at the
Crossroads
Zeba A. Sathar
266
43. A Transatlantic Pakistan Policy
Dhruva Jaishankar, John Rydqvist Andrew& Small Daniel Twining
273
45. Nuclear Proliferation
Dhruva Jaishankar
275
46. Counterterrorism and Security
John Rydqvist
279
47. Governance & Civil-Military Relations
Daniel Twining
285
48. Economic Development
Andrew Small
289
49. Strategic Decision Making in Pakistan
Asad Durrani
293
50. Conflict in Balochistan: Natural Resources and the Way Forward
Maliha Tariq
304
51. Balochistan Liberation Charter — The Reality
Dr. Noor ul Haq
312
52. Drug Use in Pakistan 2013
United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime
316
(ii) (iii) (v) (vi) (vii) (viii)
Editor in Chief
M Imtiaz Shahid
Backed by:
Council on Contemporary Affairs, Pakistan
(Lahore, London, Washington D.C.)
17-2nd Floor, Muslim Centre, Chatter Jee Road,
Urdu Bazaar, Lahore.
Ph. 042 37360555, 35056955
mailto: advancedpublisherspk@gmail.com

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Advanced Contemporary Affairs By: M Imtiaz Shahid Contents Book 91

  • 1. The Advanced Contemporary Affairs ® (Book 91) ISBN 978-969-588-296-2 Price Rs. 500/- Annual Subscription Rs. 2300/- 5th Issue, 2014 Trade Mark Registration No. 22177 The book series is backed and supported by the prestigious think tank, Council on Contemporary Affairs – Pakistan _______________ Articles and Essays included in the Advanced Contemporary Affairs are being taken from national and international newspapers and journals of repute. The book series is designed to offer the readers a conglomerate of enlightened, research oriented, and thought provoking articles on current affairs at minimum possible cost. _______________ All correspondence and suggestions related to the Advanced Contemporary Affairs must be addressed to the Editor’s office: M. Imtiaz Shahid 614, 2nd Avenue, SW (B) Block NFC, Lahore – Pakistan. (Tel: 03222700004) E-mail: advancedcontemporaryaffairs@gmail.com mimtiazshahid@gmail.com _______________ We welcome any article on current affairs for publication. These articles may be sent to the Editor’s office. _______________ Opinions expressed in articles and reviews published in the Advanced Contemporary Affairs are those of the authors and should not be attributed to the editor or the publishers. _______________ Grateful acknowledgements are due to all those Authors, Newspapers, Journals & Publishers, whose articles and research works are included in this book series. _______________ Published by Advanced Publishers 17–2nd Floor, Muslim Centre. Chatter Jee Road. Urdu Bazaar. Lahore. Pakistan. Ph. (042) 37360555, 35056955 (email: advancedpublisherspk@gmail.com)
  • 2. Advisory Board Dr Hasan-Askari Rizvi Political and Defence Analyst Dr Farooq Hasnat Middle East specialist Middle East Centre Washington DC Dr Nilofer Mehdi Analyst Pakistan Foreign Policy Dr Maqsud al Hasan Nuri Analyst Central Asia, Afghanistan and the Gulf Former President & Senior Research Fellow, Islamabad Policy Research Institute (IPRI) Dr A Z Hilali Analyst South Asian Security Dean of Contemporary Studies National Defence University, Islamabad Dr Mansoor Akbar Kundi Vice Chancellor, Gomal University, D I Khan Dr Muhammad Ahsan Analyst Muslim World & International Political Economy Dr Zafar Nawaz Jaspal Analyst Nuclearization Dr Nauman Zafar University of Indiana, USA Analyst Pakistan US Relations Dr Zahid Anwer Analyst Russia & Central Asia Guo Xiaobing Fellow, China Institute of Contemporary International Relations, Beijing Faiza Mir Analyst Balochistan & Tribal Areas
  • 3. C O N T E N T S S.#. Description Page 11. Russia and Pakistan: Shared Challenges and Common Opportunities Vladimir Moskalenko and Petr Topychkanov 69 12. OPEC Decision a Shot in Oil Price War Nick Beams 78 13. Preparing for the Collapse of the Petrodollar System Jerry Robinson 80 PART ONE INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS 1. Twenty-six Things about the Islamic State (ISIL) that Obama Does Not Want You to Know About Prof Michel Chossudovsky 1 2. Does Obama Really Want to Defeat Islamic State? Alessandro Bruno 4 3. The Arab Uprisings: Causes, Consequences, and Perspectives Rami Khouri 7 4. The Geostrategic Consequences of the Arab Spring Zaki Samy Elakawi 18 5. The Tragedy of the Arabs The Economist 24 6. Global Jihad and the Tribal Areas of Pakistan Muhammad Ali Khan Saif 25 7. The 2014 US Withdrawal – An Unsettled Quagmire for Pakistan Lubna Sunawar 42 8. Post-US Withdrawal from Afghanistan: Internal and External Dimensions Conference Report 53 9. CTBT: A Critical Evaluation from a Pakistani Perspective Malik Qasim Mustafa 58 10. Pakistan’s Role in the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation Forum Report 66
  • 4. 14. After Modi's Big Win: Can India and Pakistan Enhance Relations? Frederic Grare 110 15. Hindutva and Indian Minorities Muhammad Nawaz Khan 113 16. India-Pakistan Relations: A Destructive Equilibrium Jordan Olmstead 118 17. Pakistan-India Relations via SAARC Khalid Iqbal 121 18. SAARC Summit Debriefing Sharmadha Srinivasan 123 19. Ahead of SAARC Summit, Subdued Expectations Deepak Dobhal 124 20. Saarc Summit and After Inayatullah 126 21. Implementation of Indus Waters Treaty: Perceptions and Reality Mirza Asif Baig 131 22. The Challenge of Halving Poverty By 2015: Where Do India and Pakistan Stand? Syed Imran Sardar 129 23. Feasibility of Granting Transit Facility to India for Afghanistan and CARs Dr. Kamal Monnoo 145 24. President Ghani’s Endeavours Amna Ejaz Rafi 146 25. Emerging Contours of Pak-Afghan Relations Khalid Iqbal 147 26. Pakistan, India, and the Secret War for Afghanistan Parviz Azizi 149 27. Rise of China: Implications for Pakistan Muhammad Munir 151 PART TWO ASIAN AFFAIRS
  • 5. 28. The Beijing Bend: Future Trajectory of Pakistan-China Relations Adnan Qaiser 159 29. New ‘Oil Shock’ – Impact on South Asia Shahid Javed Burki 163 30. A Palestinian State: Elusions and Illusions of Sovereignty Anthony Rusonik 164 PART THREE PAKISTAN AFFAIRS 31. Economy of Tomorrow: A Case Study of Pakistan Dr. Hafiz A Pasha 170 32. General Macroeconomic Overview 171 33. Income Distribution, Consumption Demand and Inclusive Development 179 34. Green New Deal and Benefits of an Ecological Focus 199 35. General Evaluation 208 36. Natural Hazards and Disaster Management in Pakistan Himayatullah Khan and Abuturab Khan 212 37. 5 Unusual Causes of Drought in Pakistan’s Desert of Tharparkar Mimuba 232 38. Pakistan’s Impending Famine Michael Kugelman 234 39. Democracy, Inclusion and Governance: The Inseparable Links Jamil Nasir 236 40. Reimagining Human Rights in Pakistan In search of a human rights policy Asad Jamal 246 41. Education System Reform in Pakistan: Why, When, and How? Mehnaz Aziz, David E. Bloom, Salal Humair, Emmanuel Jimenez, Larry Rosenberg &, Zeba Sathar 252 42. Demographic Doom Or Demographic Dreams: Pakistan at the Crossroads Zeba A. Sathar 266
  • 6. 43. A Transatlantic Pakistan Policy Dhruva Jaishankar, John Rydqvist Andrew& Small Daniel Twining 273 45. Nuclear Proliferation Dhruva Jaishankar 275 46. Counterterrorism and Security John Rydqvist 279 47. Governance & Civil-Military Relations Daniel Twining 285 48. Economic Development Andrew Small 289 49. Strategic Decision Making in Pakistan Asad Durrani 293 50. Conflict in Balochistan: Natural Resources and the Way Forward Maliha Tariq 304 51. Balochistan Liberation Charter — The Reality Dr. Noor ul Haq 312 52. Drug Use in Pakistan 2013 United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime 316 (ii) (iii) (v) (vi) (vii) (viii) Editor in Chief M Imtiaz Shahid
  • 7. Backed by: Council on Contemporary Affairs, Pakistan (Lahore, London, Washington D.C.) 17-2nd Floor, Muslim Centre, Chatter Jee Road, Urdu Bazaar, Lahore. Ph. 042 37360555, 35056955 mailto: advancedpublisherspk@gmail.com