UNIVERSITY OF HYDERABAD
SCHOOL OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES
PROJECT REPORT ON
CREDIT RATING
STATE BANK OF HYDERABAD (SMECCC ZONAL OFFICE)
SECUNDERABAD
SUBMITTED BY
Kumar Anubhav Deep
(14MBMA63)
PAGE 1
INTRODUCTION
State Bank of Hyderabad was constituted as State Bank on
08th
August 1941 under Hyderabad State Bank Act, 1941.
The Bank started with the unique distinction of being the
central bank of the erstwhile State of Hyderabad, covering
present-day Telangana region of Andhra Pradesh (A.P),
Hyderabad -Karnataka of Karnataka state and Marathwada
of Maharashtra state, to manage its currency - Osmania
Sikka and public debt apart from the functions of commercial
banking. The first branch of the bank was opened at
Gunfoundry, Hyderabad on 5th
April, 1942.
In 1953, the Bank took over the assets and liabilities of the
Hyderabad Mercantile Bank Ltd. In the same year the Bank
started conducting Government and Treasury business as
agent of Reserve Bank of India. In 1956, the Bank was taken
over by Reserve Bank of India as its first subsidiary and its
name was changed from Hyderabad State Bank to State
Bank of Hyderabad. The Bank became a subsidiary of State
Bank of India on the 1st
October 1959 and is now the largest
Associate Bank of State Bank of India.
All the branches of the Bank are totally networked under
Core Banking Solutions, offering a wide range of products to
its customers. All the customers of the Bank have access to
the latest technologies like Internet Banking, ATMs etc. The
Bank has pan India presence and operates through more
than 1600 Bank branches.
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
Simply put, I could not have done this work without the help
and support I received from the STATE BANK OF
HYDERABAD. Everybody is very friendly and cheerful and
no one could never feel stressed out or burned out in such a
wonderful work culture. First of all I would like to thank my
guide Miss.MONIKA, Chief Manager, SMECCC Zonal Office,
Secundrabad. She supported me throughout the project with
utmost co-operation. I am very much thankful to you madam,
for sparing your precious and valuable time for me and for
helping me in doing this project. I express my gratitude to my
faculty guide Dr. K. Ramalu Sir, Assistant Professor, School
of Management Studies, for his valuable guidance, which
helped me in preparing this project report. I place a deep
sense of gratitude to my family members and my friends who
have been constant source of inspiration during the
preparation of this project work.
Kumar Anubhav Deep
MBA Second Semester
(14MBMA63)
University Of Hyderabad
PAGE 3
PAGE 4
DECLARATION
This is to certify that the project titled “CREDIT RATING OF
STATE BANK OF HYDERABAD (SMECCC ZONAL
OFFICE)”has been done and is a bonafide work completed by
Kumar Anubhav Deep(Enrolment Number 14MBMA63), in
partial fulfilment of the requirement of the Masters of
Business Administration (MBA).
I hereby declare that this project work is the result of my own
efforts which I made in doing work in the bank and has not
copied from any other source. I have taken help from various
sources to gather necessary information to continue my
project and the research on the above topic. Some of the
references from which information is taken are given in the
reference section of this report.
This work has not been submitted earlier at any other
university or institute for the award of the degree.
Kumar Anubhav Deep
14MBMA63
University Of Hyderabad
PAGE 5
CONTENTS
Introduction………………………………………………….. 1
Acknowledgement………………………………………… 2
Declaration…………………………………………………… 3
Credit rating
Introduction, definition and importance……. 7
Factors affecting credit rating………………………. 11
Nature of credit rating………………………………….. 13
Instruments of credit rating…………………………. 15
Advantages of rating…………………………………….. 18
Disadvantages of rating………………………………… 21
Scoring system in SBH………………………………….. 23
Credit risk assessment
(Model of SBH)……………………………………………… 26
Types of risk covered…………………………………….. 29
Qualitative parameter…………………………………… 38
Risk score and rating transition mix…………….. 41
Hurdle scores…………………………………………………. 42
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Summary………………………………………………………... 47
Suggestion……………………………………………………… 48
Conclusion …………………………………………………….. 49
Bibliography……………………………………………………. 50
PAGE 7
CREDIT RATING
Introduction
With the increasing market orientation of the Indian economy
investors value a systematic assessment of two types of risks, namely
“business risk” arising out of the “open economy” and linkages between
money, capital and foreign exchange markets and “payments risk”.
With a view to protect small investors, who are the main target for
unlisted corporate debt in the form of fixed deposits with companies,
credit rating has been made mandatory. India was perhaps the first
amongst developing countries to set up a credit rating agency in 1988.
The function of credit rating was institutionalized when RBI made it
mandatory for the issue of Commercial Paper (CP) and subsequently
by SEBI. when it made credit rating compulsory for certain categories
of debentures and debt instruments. In June 1994, RBI made it
mandatory for Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) to be rated.
Credit rating is optional for Public Sector Undertakings (PSUs) bonds
and privately placed non-conve11ible debentures up to Rs. 50 million.
Fixed deposits of manufacturing companies also come under the
purview of optional credit rating.
Credit rating 1s concerned with an act of assigning values (In terms of
symbols) to fund raising Instrument by estimating worth, reputation,
solvency and honesty of the borrowing person so as to repose trust in
person's ability and intension to repay. The credit rating is an
assessment by an independent agency of the capacity of an issuer of
debt security to service the debt and repay the principal as per the
terms of Issue of debt. The rating given is based on an objective
judgement of a team of experts from the rating agency involved in the
credit rating. Credit rating 1s a process by which risk associated with a
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credit instrument is evaluated. The risk evaluation is only one factor
among various other factors such as price of security, maturity period,
yield, and tax considerations, which also counts in taking investment
decisions. It evaluates only a specific Instrument and indicates risks
associated with instruments only.
Meaning and Definition of Credit Rating
Credit rating is the opinion of the rating agency on the relative ability
and willingness of tile issuer of a debt instrument to meet the debt
service obligations as and when they arise. Rating is usually expressed
in alphabetical or alphanumeric symbols. Symbols are simple and
easily understood tool which help the investor to differentiate between
debt instruments on the basis of their underlying credit quality. Rating
companies also publish explanations for their symbols used as well as
the rationale for the ratings assigned by them, to facilitate deeper
understanding. In other words, the rating is an opinion on the
futureability and legal obligation of the issuer to make timely
payments of principal and interest on a specific fixed income security.
The rating measures the probability that the issuer will default on the
security over its life, which depending on the instrument may be a
matter of days to thirty years or more. In fact, the credit rating is a
symbolic indicator of the current opinion of the relative capability of
the issuer to service its debt obligation in a timely fashion, with
specific reference to the instrument being rated. It can also be defined
as an expression, through use of symbols, of the opinion about credit
quality of the issuer of security/instrument.
Various Definitions are provided by different agencies some of them
are listed below:
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 According to CRISIL “Credit rating is unbiased, objective and
independent opinion as to an issuer’s capacity to meet financial
obligations.”
 According to ICRA “Credit rating is a simple and easy to
understand symbolic indicators of the opinion of a credit rating
agency about the risk involved in a borrowing programmer of an
issuer with reference to the capacity of the issuer to repay the
debt as per terms of issue.”
 According to CARE “Credit rating is essentially the opinion of
the rating agency on the relative ability and willingness of the
issuer of a debt instrument to meet the debt service obligations
as and when they issue.”
Importance of Credit Rating
Credit ratings establish a link between risk and return. They thus
provide a yardstick against which to measure the risk inherent in any
instrument. An investor uses the ratings to assess the risk level and
compares the offered rate of return with his expected rate of return
(for the particular level of risk) to optimize his risk-return trade-off.
The risk perception of a common investor, in the absence of a credit
rating system, largely depends on his familiarity with the names of the
promoters or the collaborators. It is not feasible for the corporate
issuer of a debt instrument to offer every prospective investor the
opportunity to undertake a detailed risk evaluation. It is very
uncommon for different classes of investors to arrive at some uniform
conclusion as to the relative quality of the instrument. Moreover they
do not possess the requisite skills of credit evaluation.
Thus, the need for credit rating in today’s world cannot be
overemphasized. It is of great assistance to the investors in
makinginvestment decisions. It also helps the issuers of the debt
instruments to price their issues correctly and to reach out to new
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investors. Regulators like Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and Securities
and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) use credit rating to determine
eligibility criteria for some instruments. For example, the RBI has
stipulated a minimum credit rating by an approved agency for issue of
commercial paper. In general, credit rating is expected to improve
quality consciousness in the market and establish over a period of
time, a more meaningful relationship between the quality of debt and
the yield from it. Credit Rating is also a valuable input in establishing
business relationships of various types. However, credit rating by a
rating agency is not a recommendation to purchase or sale of a
security.
Generally Investors usually follow security ratings while making
investments. Ratings are considered to be an objective evaluation of
the probability that a borrower will default on a given security issue, by
the investors. Whenever a security issuer makes late payment, a
default occurs. In case of bonds, non-payment of either principal or
interest or both may cause liquidation of a company. In most of the
cases, holders of bonds issued by a bankrupt company receive only a
portion of the amount invested by them.
Thus, credit rating is a professional opinion given after studying all
available information at a particular point of time. Such opinions may
prove wrong in the context of subsequent events. Further, there is no
private contract between an investor and a rating agency and the
investor is free to accept or reject the opinion of the agency. Thus, a
rating agency cannot be held responsible for any losses suffered by the
investor taking investment decision on the basis of its rating. Thus,
credit rating is an investor service and a rating agency is expected to
maintain the highest possible level of analytical competence and
integrity. In the long run, the credibility of rating agency has to be
built, brick by brick, on the quality of its services provided, continuous
research undertaken and consistent efforts made.
PAGE 11
On the basis of above lines we can conclude that the increasing levels
of default resulting from easy availability of finance, has led to the
growing importance of the credit rating. The other factors are given
below:
1. The growth of information technology.
2. Globalization of financial markets.
3. Increasing role of capital and money markets.
4. Lack of government safety measures.
5. The trend towards privatization.
6. Securitization of debt.
Factors Affecting Credit Rating
Some of the factors which generally influence the ratings to be
assigned are given below:
1. The security issuer’s ability to service its debt. In order, they
calculate the past and likely future cash flows and compare with
fixed interest obligations of the issuer.
2. The volume and composition of outstanding debt.
3. The stability of the future cash flows and earning capacity of
company.
4. The interest coverage ratio i.e. how many number of times the
issuer is able to meet its fixed interest obligations.
5. Ratio of current assets to current liabilities (i.e. current ratio
(CR)) is calculated to assess the liquidity position of the issuing
firm.
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6. The value of assets pledged as collateral security and the
security’s priority of claim against the issuing firm’s assets.
7. Market position of the company products is judged by the
demand for the products, competitor’s market share,
distribution channels etc.
8. Operational efficiency is judged by capacity utilization, prospects
of expansion, modernization and diversification, availability of
raw material etc.
9. Track record of promoters, directors and expertise of staff also
affect the rating of a company.
NATURE OF CREDIT RATING
Some of the points which shows the nature of Credit Ratingare given
below:
1. Rating Based on Information
Any rating based entirely on published information has serious
limitations and the success of a rating agency will depend, to a great
extent, on its ability to access privileged information. Cooperation
from the issuers as well as their willingness to share even confidential
information are important pre-requisites. The rating agency must keep
information of confidential nature possessed during the rating process,
a secret.
2. Many factors affect ratings
Rating does not come out of a predetermined mathematical formula.
Final rating is given taking into account the quality of management,
corporate strategy, economic outlook and international environment.
To ensure consistency and reliability a number of qualified
professionals are involved in the rating process. The Rating
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Committee, which assigns the final rating, consists of specialized
financial and credit analysts. Rating agencies also ensure that the
rating process is free from any possible clash of interest.
3. Ratings by more than one agency
In the well-developed capital markets, debt issues are, more often than
not, rated by more than one agency. And it is only natural that ratings
given by two or more agencies differ from each other e.g., a debt issue,
may be rated ‘AA+’ by one agency and ‘AA’ or ‘AA-’ by another. It will
indeed be unusual if one agency assigns a rating of AA while another
gives a ‘BBB’
4. Monitoring the already rated issues
A rating is an opinion given on the basis of information available at
particular point of time. Many factors may affect the debt servicing
capabilities of the issuer. It is, therefore, essential that rating agencies
monitor all outstanding debt issues rated by them as part of their
investor service. The rating agencies should put issues under close
credit watch and upgrade or downgrade the ratings as per the
circumstances after intensive interaction with the issuers.
5. Publication of ratings
In India, ratings are undertaken only at the request of the issuers and
only those ratings which are accepted by the issuers are published.
Thus, once a rating is accepted it is published and subsequent changes
emerging out of the monitoring by the agency will be published even if
such changes are not found acceptable by the issuers.
6. Right of appeal against assigned rating
Where an issuer is not satisfied with the rating assigned, he may
request for a review, furnishing additional information, if any,
considered relevant. The rating agency will undertake a review and
PAGE 14
thereafter give its final decision. Unless the rating agency had over
looked critical information at the first stage chances of the rating being
changed on appeal are rare.
7. Rating of rating agencies
Informed public opinion will be the touchstone on which the rating
companies have to be assessed and the success of a rating agency is
measured by the quality of the services offered, consistency and
integrity
8. Rating is for instrument and not for the issuer
Company
The important thing to note is that rating is done always for a
particular issue and not for a company or the Issuer. It is quite possible
that two instruments issued by the same company carry different
ratings, particularly if maturities are substantially different or one of
the instruments is backed by additional credit reinforcements like
guarantees. In many cases, short-term obligations, like commercial
paper (CP) carry the highest rating even as the risk profile changes for
longer maturities
9. Rating not applicable to equity shares
By definition, credit rating is an opinion on the issuer’s capacity to
service debt. In the case of equity there is no pre-determined servicing
obligation, as equity is in the nature of venture capital. So, credit rating
does not apply to equity shares.
10. Credit VS Financial analysis
Credit rating is much broader concept than financial analysis. One
important factor which needs consideration is that the rating is
normally done at the request of and with the active co-operation of the
issuer. The rating agency has access to unpublished information and
PAGE 15
the discussions with the senior management of issuers give meaningful
insights into corporate plans and strategies. Necessary adjustments are
made to the published accounts for the purpose of analysis. Rating is
carried out by specialized professionals who are highly qualified and
experienced. The final rating is assigned keeping in view the number of
factors.
11. Time taken in rating process
The rating process is a fairly detailed exercise. It involves, among other
things analysis of published financial information, visits to the issuer’s
offices and works, ‘intensive discussion with the senior executives of
issuers, discussions with auditors, bankers, creditors etc. It also
involves an in-depth study of the industry itself and a degree of
environment scanning. All this takes time, a rating agency may take 6
to 8 weeks or more to arrive at a decision. For rating short-term
instruments like commercial paper (CP), the time taken may vary from
3 to 4 weeks, as the focus will be more on short-term liquidity rather
than on long-term fundamentals. Rating agencies do not compromise
on the quality of their analysis or work under pressure from issuers for
quick results. Issuers are always advised to. Approach the rating
agencies sufficiently in advance so that issue schedules can be adhered
to.
INSTRUMENTS FOR CREDIT RATING
 Equity shares issued by a company.
 Preference shares issued by a company.
 Bonds/debentures issued by corporate, government etc.
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 Commercial papers issued by manufacturing companies, finance
companies, banks and financial institutions for raising sh0l1-term
loans.
 Fixed deposits raised for medium-term ranking as unsecured
borrowings.
 Borrowers who have borrowed money.
 Individuals.
RATING OTHER THAN DEBT INSTRUMENTS
1. Country Rating
A country may be rated whenever a loan is to be extended or some
major investment is to be made in it by international investors to
determine the safety and security of their investments. A number of
factors such as growth rate, industrial and agricultural production,
government policies, inflation, fiscal deficit etc. are taken into
consideration to arrive at such rating. Any upgrade movement in such
ratings has a positive impact on the stock markets.
2. Rating of Real Estate Builders and Developers
CRISIL has started assigning rating to the builders and developers with
the objective of helping and guiding prospective real estate buyers.
CRISIL thoroughly scrutinizes the sale deed papers, sanctioned plan,
and lawyers’ report government clearance certificates before assigning
rating to the builder or developer. Past experience of the builder,
number of properties built by the builder, financial strength, and time
taken for completion are some of the factors taken into consideration
by the CRISIL before giving a final rating to the real estate builder/
developer
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3. Chit Fund
Chit funds registered as a company are sometimes rated on their
ability to make timely payment of prize money to subscribers. The
rating helps the chit funds in better marketing of their fund and in
widening of the subscribers base. This service is provided by CRISIL.
4. Ratings of States
States of India have also approached rating agencies for rating. Rating
helps the State to attract investors both from India and abroad to make
investments. Investors find safety of their funds while investing in a
state with good rating. Foreign companies also come forward and set
up projects in such states with positive rating. Rating agencies take
into account various economic parameters such as industrial and
agricultural growth of the State, availability of raw material, labor etc.
and political parties agenda with respect to industry, labor etc.,
relation between Centre and State and freedom enjoyed by the states
in taking decisions while assigning final rating to the states. States like
Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh and
Kerala have already been rated by CRISIL.
ADVANTAGES OF CREDIT RATING
Some of the advantages are listed below which shows the importance
of credit rating:
1. Benefits to Investors
 Safety of investments. Credit rating gives an idea in advance to
the investors about the degree of financial strength of the issuer
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company. Based on rating he decides about the investment.
Highly rated issues gives an assurance to the investors of safety
of Investments and minimizes his risk.
 Recognition of risk and returns. Credit rating symbols indicate
both the returns expected and the risk attached to a particular
issue. It becomes easier for the investor to understand the worth
of the issuer company just by looking at the symbol because the
issue is backed by the financial strength of the company.
 Freedom of investment decisions. Investors need not seek advise
from the stock brokers, merchant bankers or the portfolio
managers before making investments. Investors today are free
and independent to take investment decisions themselves. They
base their decisions on rating symbols attached to a particular
security.
 Wider choice of investments. As it is mandatory to rate debt
obligations for every issuer company, at any particular time, wide
range of credit rated instruments are available for making
investment.
 Dependable credibility of issuer. Absence of any link between the
rater and rated firm ensures dependablecredibility of issuer and
attracts investors. As rating agency has no vested interest in issue
to be rated, and has no business connections or links with the
Board of Directors.
 Easy understanding of investment proposals. Investors require
no analytical knowledge on their part about the issuer company.
Depending upon rating symbols assigned by the rating agencies
they can proceed with decisions to make investment in any
particular rated security of a company.
 Relief from botheration to know company. Credit agencies
relieve investors from botheration of knowing the details of the
company, its history, nature of business, financial position,
liquidity and profitability position, composition of management
staff and Board of Directors etc.
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 Advantages of continuous monitoring. Credit rating agencies not
only assign rating symbols but also continuously monitor them.
The Rating agency downgrades or upgrades the rating symbols
following the decline or improvement in the financial position
respectively.
2. Benefits of Rating to the Company
Some of the points which shows the benefits of Credit Ratingto the
company are given below:
 Easy to raise resources. A company with highly rated instrument
finds it easy to raise resources from the public. Even though
investors in different sections of the society understand the
degree of risk and uncertainty attached to a particular security
but they still get attracted towards the highly rated instruments.
 Reduced cost of borrowing. Investors always like to make
investments in such instrument, which ensure safety and easy
liquidity rather than high rate of return. A company can reduce
the cost of borrowings by quoting lesser interest on those fixed
deposits or debentures or bonds, which are highly rated.
 Reduced cost of public issues. A company with highly rated
instruments has to make least efforts in raising funds through
public. It can reduce its expenditure on press and publicity.
Rating facilitates best pricing and timing of issues.
 Rating builds up image. Companies with highly rated
instrument enjoy better goodwill and corporate image in the
eyes of customers, shareholders, investors and creditors.
Customers feel confident of the quality of goods manufactured,
shareholders are sure of high returns, investors feel secured of
their investments and creditors are assured of timely payments
of interest and principal.
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 Rating facilitates growth. Rating motivates the promoters to
undertake expansion of their operations or diversify their
production activities thus leading to the growth of the company
in future.
 Recognition to unknown companies. Credit rating provides
recognition to relatively unknown companies going for public
issues through wide investor base.
3. Benefits to Intermediaries
Stock brokers have to make less efforts in persuading their clients to
select an investment proposal of making investment in highly rated
instruments. Thus rating enables brokers and other financial
intermediaries to save time, energy costs and manpower in convincing
their clients.
DISADVANTAGES OF CREDIT
RATING
After having lots of advantages there are several disadvantages also of
credit rating some of them are given below:
1. Non-disclosure of significant information
Firm being rated may not provide significant or material information,
which is likely to affect the investor’s decision as to investment, to the
investigation team of the credit rating company. Thus any decisions
taken in the absence of such significant information may put investors
at a loss.
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2. Static study
Rating is a static study of present and past historic data of the
company at one particular point of time. Number of factors including
economic, political, environment, and government policies have direct
bearing on the working of a company. Any changes after the
assignment of rating symbols may defeat the very purpose of risk
indicativeness of rating.
3. Rating is no certificate of soundness
Rating grades by the rating agencies are only an opinion about the
capability of the company to meets its interest obligations. Rating
symbols do not pinpoint towards quality of products or management
or staff etc. In other words rating does not give a certificate of the
complete soundness of the company. Users should form an
independent view of the rating symbol.
4. Rating may be biased
Personal bias of the investigating team might affect the quality of the
rating. The companies having lower grade rating do not advertise or
use the rating while raising funds from the public. In such a case the
investors cannot get the true information about the risk involved in
the instrument.
5. Rating under unfavorable conditions
Rating grades are not always representative of the true image of a
company. A company might be given low grade because it was passing
through unfavorable conditions when rated. Thus misleading
conclusions may be drawn by the investors which hampers the
company’s interest.
6. Difference in rating grades
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Same instrument may be rated differently by the two rating agencies
because of the personal judgment of the investigating staff on
qualitative aspects. This may further confuse the investors.
CREDIT RATING AND SCORING SYSTEM
Both credit scores and credit ratings provide a credit risk assessment.
When scores are gathered into homogeneous score segments or risk
classes, the result of the score is a “rating”. The difference b/t scores
and ratings become blurred. The score terminology is particularly used
in retail environments where large customer databases are scored
automatically by mostly statistical scoring systems. Ratings are
assigned to bond issues and take into account objective as well as
subjective elements. The subjective elements aim to capture outlooks
and future evolutions. Ratings result from a manual process that may
take days to weeks to complete.
Score systems and bureau scores are mainly used for internal purposes,
whereas external credit ratings are made public by the rating agencies
for investors.
Theratedcompaniespublishtheirratingstoraisecapital,because
theratingisanimportantelementoftheirfundingstrategy.Ratedcompanies
aresufficientlybig, becausetheyneedtodisposeofasufficientlydeveloped
financial management to raise capital from the capital markets, from
bond markets. Therefore, issue ratings typically concern publicly
traded debt.Individuals,however,donotpublishtheir scores.
Alsoforbankloans, thereisoftennointerestinrequestingtherating.
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Whereasagencyratingsare generally made public, internal credit
ratings and scores are typically not.
Ratingsaretypicallyperformanceratingsthatexpressanordinalriskmeasur
e. Theratingspublishedbytheagenciesdonotreflectaguaranteeddefault
risk. Investors decide what price they accept given the rating when
making theinvestment.Scoresexistforvariouspurposes,
applicationandbehavioral scoring being the most important ones for
retail customers.
Internal scores and ratings are used for internal risk management and
regulatory capital calculations. External ratings are used by banks for
the
samepurposesandforbenchmarkingtheirinternalratingswithexternalrati
ngs. External ratings are also consulted by investors for various
purposes in finance: investment decisions, pricing, portfolio
management etc. External ratings are generally available for large
companies, banks and sovereigns.
CREDIT RATING TERMINOLOGY
The rating industry or banks uses specific terminologies. Some of the
important terminologies are listed below:
1. Rating lifetime
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A rating is said to be new when it is assigned for the first time to an
issuer or issue. Ratings are reviewed on a regular basis by the agencies.
A rating is affirmed if the review does not indicate changes. One
speaks about a confirmation when the review was triggered by an
external request or change in terms. A rating is downgraded/upgraded
when the rating has been lowered/raised in the scale. During the
lifetime of the issue or issuer, the rating can be withdrawn.This means
that the rating is removed for any reason (mergers and acquisitions,
not sufficient information, rating contract stopped) and is no longer
maintained by the agency.
2. Rating watch and outlook
Ratings also have a rating outlook that indicates the medium-term
potential evolution of the rating in the future. A positive/negative
outlook indicates that the rating may be raised or lowered. A rating
with a stable outlook is not likely to change. A developing rating
outlook means the opposite of a stable rating: the rating may be
lowered or raised. Credit watch lists are used to determineshorter-
termsevolution.Aratingsisputonthe watch list whenan event or
deviation from the expected trend occurs and there is a reasonable
probability for a rating change.
3. Solicited versus unsolicited ratings
Solicited ratings are ratings that are initiated and paid for by the issuer.
However, some issuers do not want to be rated because they seldom
raise debt or equity in international financial markets, or because they
are afraid of getting an unfavorable rating that may limit their future
access to funding. Based on public information available on them, they
may get rated anyway, resulting in unsolicited ratings.
PAGE 25
4. Split ratings
The spectacular growth in the number of credit rating agencies causes
many debtors or debt instruments to be rated multiple times. A split
rating arises when different agencies assign different ratings to the
same debtor or instrument. The impact of these differences is now
bigger than ever. Since ratings provide the key input for the regulatory
capital calculation, split ratings will lead to different levels of safety
capital. Banks can then cherry-pick the rating agencies with a view to
minimizing their safety capital, which is of course an undesirable
practice. Furthermore, investors will react differently based on
whether a debt instrument is characterized by multiple equivalent
ratings or when split ratings are present.
Split ratings may also directly impact regulations, since regulators may
put restrictions on the number of speculative investments and a debt
instrument may be considered speculative by one agency and non-
speculative by another. Reasons for split ratings are, e.g. different
rating methodologies, access to different information, use of different
rating scales, and sample selectionbias.
WHAT IS CREDIT RISK ASSESSMENT?
Credit risk, or the risk that money owed is not repaid, has been
prevalent in banking history. It is a principal and perhaps the most
important risk type that has been present in finance, commerce and
trade transactions from ancient cultures till today. Numerous small
and large failures, combined with the corresponding economic and
PAGE 26
social impact, further accelerated the importance of credit risk
management throughout history. Credit risk management is a process
that involves the identification of potential risks, the measurement of
these risks, the appropriate treatment, and the actual implementation
of risk models. Efficient credit risk management tools have been vital
in allowing the phenomenal growth in consumer credit during the last
50 years. Without accurate automated decision tools, credit lending
would not have allowed banks to expand the loan book with the speed
they have.
Nowadays, effective credit risk measurement and management is
recognized by many economic
factors,notintheleastbecauseoffinancialfailuresofbanks themselves. The
level of capital, acushion to absorb credit and other losses, is matched
to the portfolio risk depending ontherisk characteristics
ofindividualtransactions, theirconcentrationand correlation. All
organizations, including banks, need to optimally allocate capital in
relation to the selective investments made. Hence, efficient tools and
techniques for risk measurement are a key cornerstone of a good credit
risk management.
CREDIT RISK ASSESSMENT (CRA)
MODELS OF SBH
Some CRA models are given in Trade and Service segment in the
circulars of STATE BANK OF HYDERABAD:
PAGE 27
1. The RBI has issued final Guidelines on New Capital Adequacy
Framework (Basel II) on 27th
April, 2007. It envisages that Banks
are required to progress from Standardized approach to
advanced approaches for management of Credit, Operational,
and Market risks in a phased manner. The Credit Risk
Assessment (CRA) Models form an important part of this
exercise for Credit Risk. Accordingly, the existing CRA models
were reviewed and New Models, in conformity with the Basel-II
Guidelines have been devised on the lines of State Bank of India
(SBI). The implementation of the New Models would facilitate
the transition from Standardized approach to Internal Ratings
Based (IRB) approaches for management of Credit Risk.
2. A distinguishing feature of the new Model is introduction of a
two dimensional structure for risk rating i.e. Borrower Rating
(issuer) and Facility Rating (issue). A Counterparty would thus
have one Borrower Rating and several Facility Ratings. The
Rating Scale has been expanded to 16 Grades (SBH-1 to SBH-16)
as against the existing 8-point Scale. Facility Ratings would also
range from FR1 to FR 16. For internal reporting within the Bank,
the Borrower Rating was also Facility Ratings, together with the
relative scores (within brackets), would need to be indicated.
3. The new CRA models will be applicable to all accounts with
aggregate exposure (Fund Based + Non Fund-Based) of Rs 25
lacs & above, for both Non-Trading Sector (C&I, SSI & AGL
Segments) and Trading Sector (including Services). While
accounts with exposures above Rs 5 crores will be covered under
Regular Model, those with exposures up to Rs. 5 crores will be
covered under the Simplified Model.
4. Facility Rating will be applicable only for exposures covered
under the Regular Model.
PAGE 28
5. .The New CRA Models are to be implemented from 15/4/2008 on
a parallel basis for a period of 3 months for accounts having
Fund and Non-fund exposure of Rs.50 crores and above. From
15/7/2008, new CRA Models are required to be implemented by
all branches replacing the existing CRA models of
Manufacturing and Trade.
6. The existing practice of CRA for NBFC & PER segment advances
will continue as per the existing system.
7. Greater level of involvement of concerned staff is required for
successful migration to new rating models.
8. There are three enclosures to this e-circular :
 New Credit Risk Assessment Models – A Gist
 New CRA Models for Non-Trading Sector (Value
Statements/Scoring Bands)
 New CRA Models for Trading Sector (Value Statements/Scoring
Bands).
9. The branches are advised to familiarize themselves with the
revised guidelines and bring the contents of the circular to the
notice of all the staff members.
PAGE 29
NEW CREDIT RISK ASSESSMENT
(CRA) MODELS
A GIST
Background
A review of Credit Risk assessment (CRA) Models for Non-Trading &
Trading Sectors was undertaken with the objective of making them
Basel-II compliant and meeting the requirements of Internal Ratings
Based (IRB) Approach. The New CRA Models are being released for
Bank-wide implementation.
Salient Features of New CRA Models
a. Type of Models
b. Type of Ratings
S.No. Exposure
Level(FB+NFB Limits)
Non-Trading
Sector
Trading Sector
1. Over Rs 5 crore Regular Model Regular Model
2. Rs 0.25 crore to Rs. 5
crore
Simplified Model Simplified Model
S.No. Model Type of Rating
1. Regular Model (a) Borrower Rating
(b) Facility Rating
2. Simplified Model Borrower Rating
PAGE 30
(c)Types of Risk Covered :
Borrower Rating
Regular
Model
Regular
Model
Simplified
Model
Simplified
Model
Existing
Company
New
Company
Existing
Company
New
Company
1. Financial Risk(FR) 65 25
(65*O.39)
70 35
(70/2)
2. Qualitative
Factor(-ve)
(-10) (-10) (-10) (-10)
3. Business &
Industry Risk
(BR & IR)
/Business Risk
(for Trading
Sector)
20 30
(20*1.5)
20 40(20*2)
4. Management
Risk (MR)
15 45
(15*3)
10 25
(10*2.5)
5. Qualitative
Parameter
(External
Rating)
(+5) (+5) (+5) (+5)
PAGE 31
Total 100 100 100 100
6. Borrower Rating
based on the above
Score
7. Country Risk (CR)
8. Final Borrower
Rating after CR
9. Financial
Statement Quality
Excellent/Good/Satisfactory/Poor
10. Risk Score/Rating
Transition Matrix
Comments on Trend in Rating
Facility Rating (Regular Models)
S.No. Parameter Maximum Score
Risk Drivers for Loss Given Default
(LGD)
I. Current Ratio [Working Capital/ Non-
Fund Based Facility (except Capex)]
Or Project Debt/Equity[Term
Loan/Non-Fund Based Facility
6
II. Nature of Charge 4
III. Industry /(Trade- for Trading Sector) 6
IV. Geography 2
V. Unit Characteristics (a) Leverage/
Enforcement of Collateral-4
8
PAGE 32
(b) Safety, Value & Existence of
Assets-4
VI. Macro-Economic Conditions
(a) GDP Growth Rate : Impact of
Business Cycle - 2
(b) Insolvency Legislation in the
Jurisdiction-1
(c) Impact of Systemic/Legal Factors
on Recovery-1
(d) Time Period for Recovery-1
5
VII. Total Security (Primary + Collateral) 60
Risk Drivers for Exposure at Default
(EAD)
I. Nature of Commitment
(Revolving/Non-Revolving)
1
II. Credit Quality of Borrower 5
III. Tenor of Facility 3
Total Score 100
Facility Rating based on the above Score
New Rating Scales - Borrower Rating: 16 Rating Grades
S.No. Borrower
Rating
Range
of
Scores
Risk Level Comfort
Level
1. SB1 94-100 Virtually Zero
risk
Virtually
Absolute
safety
2. SB2 90-93 Lowest Risk Highest safety
3. SB3 86-89 Lower Risk Higher safety
PAGE 33
4. SB4 81-85 Low Risk High safety
5. SB5 76-80 Moderate
Risk with
Adequate
Cushion
Adequate
safety
6. SB6 70-75 Moderate
Risk
Moderate
Safety
7. SB7 64-69 Moderate
Risk
Moderate
Safety
8. SB8 57-63 Average Risk Average
Safety
Threshold
9. SB9 50-56 Average Risk Average
Safety
Threshold
10. SB10 45-49 Acceptable
Risk (Risk
Tolerance
Threshold)
Safety
Threshold
11. SB11 40-44 Borderline
risk
Inadequate
safety
12. SB12 35-39 High Risk Low safety
13. SB13 30-34 Higher Risk Lower safety
14. SB14 25-29 Substantial
risk
Lowest safety
PAGE 34
15. SB15 < 24 Pre-Default
Risk
(extremely
vulnerable to
default)
NIL
16. SB16 --- Default Grade NIL
New Rating Scales –Facility Rating (separate for
each fund based and non-fund based facility): 16
rating grades
S.n
o
Facilit
y
Grades
Rang
e of
score
s
LGD level(
recovery
level)
Risk Level Comfort
Level
1 FR1 94-
100
Zero LGD Virtually
Zero Risk
Virtually
Absolute
Safety
PAGE 35
2 FR2 87-93 Lowest
LGD
(Highest
Recovery
Lowest
Risk
Highest
Safety
3 FR3 80-86 Lower LGD
(Higher
Recovery
Lowest
Risk
Highest
Safety
4 FR4 73-79 Very Low
LGD (High
Recovery
Low Risk High
Safety
5 FR5 66-72 Low LGD
(Adequate
Recovery)
Moderate
Risk with
Adequate
Cushion
Adequate
Safety
6 FR6 59-65 Moderate
LGD
(Moderate
Recovery)
Moderate
Risk
Moderate
Safety
7 FR7 52-58 Moderate
LGD
(Moderate
Recovery)
Moderate
Risk
Moderate
Safety
8 FR8 45-51 Average
LGD
(Average
recovery)
Average
Risk
Above
Safety
Threshol
d
9 FR9 38-44 Average
LGD
(Average
Average
Risk
Above
Safety
Threshol
PAGE 36
recovery) d
10 FR10 31-37 LGD
Tolerance
Threshold
(Recovery
Tolerance
Threshold
Acceptable
Risk (Risk
Tolerance
Threshold)
Safety
Threshol
d
11 FR11 24-30 High LGD
(Low
recovery)
High Risk Low
Safety
12 FR12 17-23
Higher
LGD
(Lower
Recovery)
Higher
RISK
Lower
Safety
13 FR13 11-16 Substantia
l LGD
(Small
recovery)
Substantia
l Risk
Lowest
Safety
14 FR14 5-10 Highest
LGD
(Minimal /
Zero
recovery)
Substantia
l Risk
Lowest
Safety
15 FR15 1-4 Highest
LGD
(Minimal /
Zero
recovery)
Highest
Risk
NIL
PAGE 37
Mapping to Existing Borrower Rating Bands
New CRA
Model
Score
New CRA
Model
Grade
Existing
CRA
Model
Grade
Existing
CRA
Model
Score
1 94-100 SB1 SBH1 >=90
2 90-93 SB2 SBH1 >=75
3 86-89 SB3 SBH2 >=75
4 81-85 SB4 SBH2 >=75
5 76-80 SB5 SBH2 >=65
6 70-75 SB6 SBH3 >=65
7 64-69 SB7 SBH3 >=50
8 57-63 SB8 SBH4 >=50
9 50-56 SB9 SBH4 >=45
10 45-49 SB10 SBH5 >=35
11 40-44 SB11 SBH6 >=35
12 35-39 SB12 SBH6 >=35
13 30-34 SB13 SBH7 >=25
14 25-29 SB14 SBH7 >=25
15 < 24 SB15 SBH8 < 25
16 - S16
PAGE 38
Qualitative Parameter (External Rating)
Solicited Rating by a recognized External Credit Rating Agency
(ECRA) translates to additional Score. Following ECRAs
recognized by RBI are considered for this purpose:
S.No Type ECRA
1 Domestic (a) Credit Analysis
& Research
Limited; (b)
CRISIL Limited; (c)
FITCH India; (d)
ICRA Limited.
2 International (a) FITCH;
(b) Moody’s;
(c)Standard
& Poor’s
RBI has clarified that “Cash Credit Exposures tend
to be generally rolled over and also tend to be drawn on an
average for a major portion of the sanctioned limits. Hence even
though a cash credit exposure may be sanctioned for a period of
one year or less, these exposures should be reckoned as Long
Term Exposures and accordingly, the Long Term Ratings
accorded by the chosen Credit Rating Agencies will be relevant.”
The Scoring Bands for factoring External Rating (Long
Term/Short Term) are as under:
Long Short Short Short Short Standardized Additional
PAGE 39
Term
Rating
term
rating
CARE
term
rating
CRISIL
term
rating
FITCH
term
rating
ICRA
Approach
Risk weight
Score
Under
New CRA
Models
AAA PR1+ P1+ F1+ A1+ 20% 5
AA PR1 P1 F1 A1 30% 305
A PR2 P2 F2 A2 50% 2
BBB PR3 P3 F3 A3 100% 1
BB &
Below
PR4
PR5
P4
P5
B,c,d A4
A5
150% 0
Multiple Ratings:
In case of borrowers having multiple ratings from recognized
ECRAs, following procedure is to be followed:
(i) If there is only one ECRA rating for a particular claim, that
rating would be used to determine scoring;
(ii) If there are two ratings accorded by ECRAs which map into
different risk weights, the rating corresponding to the higher risk
weight would be taken cognizance of for scoring ;
(iii) If there are three or more ratings accorded by ECRAs, with
different risk weights, the ratings corresponding to the two lowest risk
weights should be referred to and the rating corresponding to the
higher of the two risk weights should be taken cognizance of for
scoring.
PAGE 40
Financial Statement Quality
The credit analyst is to comment on the quality,
adequacy and reliability of financial statements/information
irrespective of the Risk Rating. This includes consideration of
the size and capabilities of the accounting firm, compared to
the complexities of the borrower and its financial statements.
The comments on the quality of financial statements should
include the quality of information provided to the Bank. The
Quality is to be indicated as Excellent /Good /Satisfactory
/Poor. This step is not instrumental in improvement of rating
but is helpful in defining the best possible Borrower rating.
Risk Score /Rating Transition Matrix
A major fluctuation in scores resulting in upgradation or
deterioration in Rating by more than one stage, is to be commented
upon. Upgradation in Rating only on account of higher score in
parameters other than Financial Risk, is to be examined and
commented upon. This provides an additional risk awareness tool for
the Credit Analyst.
(1) Country Risk (Applicable for borrowers having 25% or more
cash flow or assets outside India)
PAGE 41
Country risk is the risk that a borrower will not be able to service
its obligations to pay because of cross-border restrictions on the
convertibility or availability of a given currency. It is also an
assessment of the political and economic risk of a country. Country
Risk is assumed to exist when 25% or more of the borrower’s cash flow
or assets are located outside India. Country Risk Ratings are circulated
by Foreign Department (FD) of SBI. Last FD Circular No. 070/2007-08
dated 27th July, 2007 indicates Risk category-wise list of countries as
on 31/03/2007. Our International Banking Department (IBD) will issue
guidelines from time to time on Country Risk based on SBI guidelines.
(2) Entry Barriers
 Minimum Score ‘2’ under ‘Integrity’ parameter under
‘Management
 Full Compliance with Environmental regulations
Hurdle Scores
Regular
Model
existing
company
Regular
Model
new
company
Simplified
Model
existing
company
Simplified
Model new
company
Financial Risk
(FR)
25/65 10/25 30/70 15/35
Business & 12/20 16/30 10/20 20/40
PAGE 42
Industry Risk
(B&IR)
[Business Risk
(BR) for
trade]
Management
Risk (MR)
8/15 22/45 5/10 13/25
Aggregate
hurdle Score
45/100 48/100 45/100 48/100
Hurdle Grade SB10 SB10 SB10 SB10
Score Range 45-49 corresponds to SB10. Hence as per New CRA Models
SB10 is the new Hurdle Grade. Under Facility Rating, if the score goes
below the hurdle rate of FR10, the reasons for low score are to be given.
Factoring Decimal Scores while aggregating Score for Risk Grading
Score up to 0. 4 to be ignored;
 Score of 0.5 or more to be rounded off to the next number.
 Reporting of Risk Score along with Rating:
Aggregate Risk Score is to be shown in brackets along with Borrower
Rating in internal reporting within the Bank.
 Frequency of Rating: Annual
 Risk Assessment for New Units
Activity Status Basis of Risk Assessment
Newly incorporated unit where
the production/commercial
Projected Financials
PAGE 43
production is yet to begin
Newly incorporated unit where
the audited financials relate to
less than 12 months of
commercial production.
Projected Financials
Newly incorporated unit where
the audited financials reflect
minimum 12 months of working
after the start of commercial
production.
Audited Financials
For rating purpose, a new unit refers to a newly incorporated
Firm/Company which may continue to be regarded as new for a period
of three years after the start of commercial production. However, in
the case of Companies/Firms promoted by an established Group, a
view regarding their status as new or otherwise would be taken by
Sanctioning Authority after one year’s performance.
General
(i) For units engaged in both ‘industrial’ & ‘trading’ activities, the Risk
Rating will be done based on the predominant activity financed by the
Bank and the relevant model used.
(ii) If data on a certain industry for ‘industry comparison’ in CRIS-
INFAC or CMIE or any other published source is not available, the
score would be normalized. In a Multi Division Company, the thrust of
scoring under ‘Industry Outlook’ would be limited to the industry
being financed by the Bank.
(iii) Wherever a parameter is not applicable, the score would be
normalized.
(iv) For a new unit, where value statements for some of the parameters
appear to be out of place for scoring, the Credit Analyst would assess
PAGE 44
whether the unit has any plans to measure up to the levels indicated
under those value statements and then score accordingly.
(v) While Borrower rating of a unit will remain unchanged for a period
up to one year, the different facilities would be rated simultaneously
with Borrower Rating or as and when the facility is
sanctioned/reappraised. A unit would carry several different Facility
Ratings e.g. if a unit is enjoying one Working Capital facility & two
(say) Term Loan facilities, it will have one Borrower Rating & 3 Facility
Ratings.
(vi) Borrower rating would not be assessed each time a new facility is
sanctioned to the unit within the year.
(vii) While working out the Facility Rating, the share of total security
against that facility.
Facility Rating
(i) Facility Rating Design
A Borrowing Company may be availing either one or more of
Fund Based (FB) Facilities such as Working Capital (WC)
/Term Loan (TL) or/and Non-Fund Based (NFB) Facilities
like, Letters of Credit (L C)/Bank Guarantee (BG). All the
facilities are to be rated separately viz., if a Borrowing
Company has both WC & TL & two Bank Guarantee Facilities
& three different L/C Facilities; in total, the Company would
have one Borrower Rating & seven (i.e, 1+1+2 + 3 = 7) Facility
Ratings. The pricing of loans, in future, will be linked to
Facility Rating after building up adequate Loss Given Default
(LGD) data base. For the present, pricing will continue to be
linked to Borrower Rating only.
(ii) Facility Hurdle Rate
PAGE 45
All facilities are expected to meet the Facility Hurdle Rate of FR10.
Reasons for not crossing this Hurdle Rate would need to be
commented upon by the Credit Analyst.
(iii) Loss Given Default (LGD)
Facility Rating would reflect the degree of severity of loss in the event
of default on the obligation. Facility Rating Grade will thus translate to
a LGD Scale, indicating loss percentage. The present Facility Rating
Grades/Scales are empirically designed to reflect LGD levels.
(iv) Collateral
The Collaterals are an important ingredient of Facility Rating design;
their quality and depth affects the severity of LGD for any facility and
hence the Facility Rating itself. As an element of risk (uncertainty) is
involved, prudence is required in assessing the value of the collateral
offered for obtaining credit facility. The security is thus to be valued as
it would be in a distress scenario i.e., the extent of availability of
proceeds (legal certainty) in the event of failure of the business.
Basel-II does not differentiate between Primary & Collateral Securities
and all securities charged for a loan are designated as “Collaterals”.
Thus, while for monitoring of Drawing Power (DP) or DP related issues
in borrowable accounts, the securities charged would continue to be
segregated into Primary and Collateral securities, however, for the
purpose of risk assessment, all securities will be treated as collateral
securities.
(v) Scoring under Facility Rating
Scoring under ‘Total Security ‘Parameter under Facility Rating requires
an in-depth look into types of Collaterals & Guarantees and their
recognition and valuation as per Basel-II /RBI Document as discussed
PAGE 46
in Bank’s Collateral ManagementPolicy. This would necessitate
detailed analysis of Collaterals/Guarantees to facilitate scoring.
PAGE 47
SUMMARY
The credit rating is an assessment, by an Independent agency, of the
capacity of an Issuer of debt security to service the debt and repay the
principal as per the terms of Issue of debt The role of credit rating has
become most important in the modem financial market The
international market is witnessing a larger number of credit rating
agencies These rating agencies rate the Instrument internationally and
within their provinces. Thearea of ra3ngs has been wide spread from
short term rating to long term rating The ratings are given by these
agencies for the securities, entities and sovereigns Some of the active
and well known international rating agencies are (I) Japan Credit
rating Agency Ltd (JCR), (11) Fitch, (111) Moody's Investors Service, (N)
Standard & Poor's, (v) AM Best Company, and (VI) Duff and Phelps
Credit Rating Company (DCR).
In India so far market shows very clearly that there is no danger of
competitive generosity, which can eventually destroy the credibility of
the rating service itself The experience of the Indian rating agencies so
far is that about 25-30 percent of their ratings are not accepted or used
Increasing Risk averse on by lenders and Investors and restricted
avenue for raising capital will lead to a greater demand for structured
finance ratings The newer forms of securitization such as trade
receivables and credit card receivables are also expected to contribute
to growth in rating business In coming years The Insurance sector
privatization and opening up of pension funds would go further long
way to ensure whatever they invested is rated. The health Insurance
Industry is opening up new vistas of growth for rating agencies There
will be a strong demand for rating services on the back of debt market
Upswing due to reducing interest rates and almost stagnation In equity
initialpublic offering and rights Issues market The Interest rate belong
remaining soft would be again a good demand for re-financing and
hence ratings.
PAGE 48
SUGGESTION
 Current rating system is good.
 The loan processing time should be reduced.
 Bank provide loan only on the basis of the repayment capacity of
the borrower and hence it is suggested to adopt some modern
methods to appraise the loan to the business to check the
feasibility of the project for appraising such high amount of loan
 The bank should focus more on advertising to increase
awareness among the public about the service it offers.
 Need for improvised methods that are on par with international
standards.
 The bank must bring more transparency in rating of the project
there should be explanation for rating of the project that was
sanctioned by higher authority.
PAGE 49
CONCLUSION
As per the analysis done the result that has been got its good enough
to justify that this proposal has all the required criteria’s and qualities
required by the bank. And it is also expected to give a very good
return and value to the company. The financial tools used for
assessing is more appropriate to this project and the values are also
favorable to the company to be considered by the bank for
sanctioning the loan. I like to conclude by saying that this Project
Proposal should be good and looks more feasible by satisfying the
criteria of the bank. It also enlightened me with the working of SME
loan center.
Finally would like to stretch sincere gratitude towards STATE BANK
OF HYDERABAD and School of Management Studies, Hyderabad
for providing this learning opportunity.
PAGE 50
BIBILIOGRAPHY
Books
M R Agarwal, “Financial Management”
(Garima Publications)
Websites
http://www.sbhyd.com
www.rbi.org.in
Others
Bank manuals

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CREDIT RATING PROJECT

  • 1. UNIVERSITY OF HYDERABAD SCHOOL OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES PROJECT REPORT ON CREDIT RATING STATE BANK OF HYDERABAD (SMECCC ZONAL OFFICE) SECUNDERABAD SUBMITTED BY Kumar Anubhav Deep (14MBMA63)
  • 2. PAGE 1 INTRODUCTION State Bank of Hyderabad was constituted as State Bank on 08th August 1941 under Hyderabad State Bank Act, 1941. The Bank started with the unique distinction of being the central bank of the erstwhile State of Hyderabad, covering present-day Telangana region of Andhra Pradesh (A.P), Hyderabad -Karnataka of Karnataka state and Marathwada of Maharashtra state, to manage its currency - Osmania Sikka and public debt apart from the functions of commercial banking. The first branch of the bank was opened at Gunfoundry, Hyderabad on 5th April, 1942. In 1953, the Bank took over the assets and liabilities of the Hyderabad Mercantile Bank Ltd. In the same year the Bank started conducting Government and Treasury business as agent of Reserve Bank of India. In 1956, the Bank was taken over by Reserve Bank of India as its first subsidiary and its name was changed from Hyderabad State Bank to State Bank of Hyderabad. The Bank became a subsidiary of State Bank of India on the 1st October 1959 and is now the largest Associate Bank of State Bank of India. All the branches of the Bank are totally networked under Core Banking Solutions, offering a wide range of products to its customers. All the customers of the Bank have access to the latest technologies like Internet Banking, ATMs etc. The Bank has pan India presence and operates through more than 1600 Bank branches.
  • 3. PAGE 2 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT Simply put, I could not have done this work without the help and support I received from the STATE BANK OF HYDERABAD. Everybody is very friendly and cheerful and no one could never feel stressed out or burned out in such a wonderful work culture. First of all I would like to thank my guide Miss.MONIKA, Chief Manager, SMECCC Zonal Office, Secundrabad. She supported me throughout the project with utmost co-operation. I am very much thankful to you madam, for sparing your precious and valuable time for me and for helping me in doing this project. I express my gratitude to my faculty guide Dr. K. Ramalu Sir, Assistant Professor, School of Management Studies, for his valuable guidance, which helped me in preparing this project report. I place a deep sense of gratitude to my family members and my friends who have been constant source of inspiration during the preparation of this project work. Kumar Anubhav Deep MBA Second Semester (14MBMA63) University Of Hyderabad
  • 5. PAGE 4 DECLARATION This is to certify that the project titled “CREDIT RATING OF STATE BANK OF HYDERABAD (SMECCC ZONAL OFFICE)”has been done and is a bonafide work completed by Kumar Anubhav Deep(Enrolment Number 14MBMA63), in partial fulfilment of the requirement of the Masters of Business Administration (MBA). I hereby declare that this project work is the result of my own efforts which I made in doing work in the bank and has not copied from any other source. I have taken help from various sources to gather necessary information to continue my project and the research on the above topic. Some of the references from which information is taken are given in the reference section of this report. This work has not been submitted earlier at any other university or institute for the award of the degree. Kumar Anubhav Deep 14MBMA63 University Of Hyderabad
  • 6. PAGE 5 CONTENTS Introduction………………………………………………….. 1 Acknowledgement………………………………………… 2 Declaration…………………………………………………… 3 Credit rating Introduction, definition and importance……. 7 Factors affecting credit rating………………………. 11 Nature of credit rating………………………………….. 13 Instruments of credit rating…………………………. 15 Advantages of rating…………………………………….. 18 Disadvantages of rating………………………………… 21 Scoring system in SBH………………………………….. 23 Credit risk assessment (Model of SBH)……………………………………………… 26 Types of risk covered…………………………………….. 29 Qualitative parameter…………………………………… 38 Risk score and rating transition mix…………….. 41 Hurdle scores…………………………………………………. 42
  • 7. PAGE 6 Summary………………………………………………………... 47 Suggestion……………………………………………………… 48 Conclusion …………………………………………………….. 49 Bibliography……………………………………………………. 50
  • 8. PAGE 7 CREDIT RATING Introduction With the increasing market orientation of the Indian economy investors value a systematic assessment of two types of risks, namely “business risk” arising out of the “open economy” and linkages between money, capital and foreign exchange markets and “payments risk”. With a view to protect small investors, who are the main target for unlisted corporate debt in the form of fixed deposits with companies, credit rating has been made mandatory. India was perhaps the first amongst developing countries to set up a credit rating agency in 1988. The function of credit rating was institutionalized when RBI made it mandatory for the issue of Commercial Paper (CP) and subsequently by SEBI. when it made credit rating compulsory for certain categories of debentures and debt instruments. In June 1994, RBI made it mandatory for Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) to be rated. Credit rating is optional for Public Sector Undertakings (PSUs) bonds and privately placed non-conve11ible debentures up to Rs. 50 million. Fixed deposits of manufacturing companies also come under the purview of optional credit rating. Credit rating 1s concerned with an act of assigning values (In terms of symbols) to fund raising Instrument by estimating worth, reputation, solvency and honesty of the borrowing person so as to repose trust in person's ability and intension to repay. The credit rating is an assessment by an independent agency of the capacity of an issuer of debt security to service the debt and repay the principal as per the terms of Issue of debt. The rating given is based on an objective judgement of a team of experts from the rating agency involved in the credit rating. Credit rating 1s a process by which risk associated with a
  • 9. PAGE 8 credit instrument is evaluated. The risk evaluation is only one factor among various other factors such as price of security, maturity period, yield, and tax considerations, which also counts in taking investment decisions. It evaluates only a specific Instrument and indicates risks associated with instruments only. Meaning and Definition of Credit Rating Credit rating is the opinion of the rating agency on the relative ability and willingness of tile issuer of a debt instrument to meet the debt service obligations as and when they arise. Rating is usually expressed in alphabetical or alphanumeric symbols. Symbols are simple and easily understood tool which help the investor to differentiate between debt instruments on the basis of their underlying credit quality. Rating companies also publish explanations for their symbols used as well as the rationale for the ratings assigned by them, to facilitate deeper understanding. In other words, the rating is an opinion on the futureability and legal obligation of the issuer to make timely payments of principal and interest on a specific fixed income security. The rating measures the probability that the issuer will default on the security over its life, which depending on the instrument may be a matter of days to thirty years or more. In fact, the credit rating is a symbolic indicator of the current opinion of the relative capability of the issuer to service its debt obligation in a timely fashion, with specific reference to the instrument being rated. It can also be defined as an expression, through use of symbols, of the opinion about credit quality of the issuer of security/instrument. Various Definitions are provided by different agencies some of them are listed below:
  • 10. PAGE 9  According to CRISIL “Credit rating is unbiased, objective and independent opinion as to an issuer’s capacity to meet financial obligations.”  According to ICRA “Credit rating is a simple and easy to understand symbolic indicators of the opinion of a credit rating agency about the risk involved in a borrowing programmer of an issuer with reference to the capacity of the issuer to repay the debt as per terms of issue.”  According to CARE “Credit rating is essentially the opinion of the rating agency on the relative ability and willingness of the issuer of a debt instrument to meet the debt service obligations as and when they issue.” Importance of Credit Rating Credit ratings establish a link between risk and return. They thus provide a yardstick against which to measure the risk inherent in any instrument. An investor uses the ratings to assess the risk level and compares the offered rate of return with his expected rate of return (for the particular level of risk) to optimize his risk-return trade-off. The risk perception of a common investor, in the absence of a credit rating system, largely depends on his familiarity with the names of the promoters or the collaborators. It is not feasible for the corporate issuer of a debt instrument to offer every prospective investor the opportunity to undertake a detailed risk evaluation. It is very uncommon for different classes of investors to arrive at some uniform conclusion as to the relative quality of the instrument. Moreover they do not possess the requisite skills of credit evaluation. Thus, the need for credit rating in today’s world cannot be overemphasized. It is of great assistance to the investors in makinginvestment decisions. It also helps the issuers of the debt instruments to price their issues correctly and to reach out to new
  • 11. PAGE 10 investors. Regulators like Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) use credit rating to determine eligibility criteria for some instruments. For example, the RBI has stipulated a minimum credit rating by an approved agency for issue of commercial paper. In general, credit rating is expected to improve quality consciousness in the market and establish over a period of time, a more meaningful relationship between the quality of debt and the yield from it. Credit Rating is also a valuable input in establishing business relationships of various types. However, credit rating by a rating agency is not a recommendation to purchase or sale of a security. Generally Investors usually follow security ratings while making investments. Ratings are considered to be an objective evaluation of the probability that a borrower will default on a given security issue, by the investors. Whenever a security issuer makes late payment, a default occurs. In case of bonds, non-payment of either principal or interest or both may cause liquidation of a company. In most of the cases, holders of bonds issued by a bankrupt company receive only a portion of the amount invested by them. Thus, credit rating is a professional opinion given after studying all available information at a particular point of time. Such opinions may prove wrong in the context of subsequent events. Further, there is no private contract between an investor and a rating agency and the investor is free to accept or reject the opinion of the agency. Thus, a rating agency cannot be held responsible for any losses suffered by the investor taking investment decision on the basis of its rating. Thus, credit rating is an investor service and a rating agency is expected to maintain the highest possible level of analytical competence and integrity. In the long run, the credibility of rating agency has to be built, brick by brick, on the quality of its services provided, continuous research undertaken and consistent efforts made.
  • 12. PAGE 11 On the basis of above lines we can conclude that the increasing levels of default resulting from easy availability of finance, has led to the growing importance of the credit rating. The other factors are given below: 1. The growth of information technology. 2. Globalization of financial markets. 3. Increasing role of capital and money markets. 4. Lack of government safety measures. 5. The trend towards privatization. 6. Securitization of debt. Factors Affecting Credit Rating Some of the factors which generally influence the ratings to be assigned are given below: 1. The security issuer’s ability to service its debt. In order, they calculate the past and likely future cash flows and compare with fixed interest obligations of the issuer. 2. The volume and composition of outstanding debt. 3. The stability of the future cash flows and earning capacity of company. 4. The interest coverage ratio i.e. how many number of times the issuer is able to meet its fixed interest obligations. 5. Ratio of current assets to current liabilities (i.e. current ratio (CR)) is calculated to assess the liquidity position of the issuing firm.
  • 13. PAGE 12 6. The value of assets pledged as collateral security and the security’s priority of claim against the issuing firm’s assets. 7. Market position of the company products is judged by the demand for the products, competitor’s market share, distribution channels etc. 8. Operational efficiency is judged by capacity utilization, prospects of expansion, modernization and diversification, availability of raw material etc. 9. Track record of promoters, directors and expertise of staff also affect the rating of a company. NATURE OF CREDIT RATING Some of the points which shows the nature of Credit Ratingare given below: 1. Rating Based on Information Any rating based entirely on published information has serious limitations and the success of a rating agency will depend, to a great extent, on its ability to access privileged information. Cooperation from the issuers as well as their willingness to share even confidential information are important pre-requisites. The rating agency must keep information of confidential nature possessed during the rating process, a secret. 2. Many factors affect ratings Rating does not come out of a predetermined mathematical formula. Final rating is given taking into account the quality of management, corporate strategy, economic outlook and international environment. To ensure consistency and reliability a number of qualified professionals are involved in the rating process. The Rating
  • 14. PAGE 13 Committee, which assigns the final rating, consists of specialized financial and credit analysts. Rating agencies also ensure that the rating process is free from any possible clash of interest. 3. Ratings by more than one agency In the well-developed capital markets, debt issues are, more often than not, rated by more than one agency. And it is only natural that ratings given by two or more agencies differ from each other e.g., a debt issue, may be rated ‘AA+’ by one agency and ‘AA’ or ‘AA-’ by another. It will indeed be unusual if one agency assigns a rating of AA while another gives a ‘BBB’ 4. Monitoring the already rated issues A rating is an opinion given on the basis of information available at particular point of time. Many factors may affect the debt servicing capabilities of the issuer. It is, therefore, essential that rating agencies monitor all outstanding debt issues rated by them as part of their investor service. The rating agencies should put issues under close credit watch and upgrade or downgrade the ratings as per the circumstances after intensive interaction with the issuers. 5. Publication of ratings In India, ratings are undertaken only at the request of the issuers and only those ratings which are accepted by the issuers are published. Thus, once a rating is accepted it is published and subsequent changes emerging out of the monitoring by the agency will be published even if such changes are not found acceptable by the issuers. 6. Right of appeal against assigned rating Where an issuer is not satisfied with the rating assigned, he may request for a review, furnishing additional information, if any, considered relevant. The rating agency will undertake a review and
  • 15. PAGE 14 thereafter give its final decision. Unless the rating agency had over looked critical information at the first stage chances of the rating being changed on appeal are rare. 7. Rating of rating agencies Informed public opinion will be the touchstone on which the rating companies have to be assessed and the success of a rating agency is measured by the quality of the services offered, consistency and integrity 8. Rating is for instrument and not for the issuer Company The important thing to note is that rating is done always for a particular issue and not for a company or the Issuer. It is quite possible that two instruments issued by the same company carry different ratings, particularly if maturities are substantially different or one of the instruments is backed by additional credit reinforcements like guarantees. In many cases, short-term obligations, like commercial paper (CP) carry the highest rating even as the risk profile changes for longer maturities 9. Rating not applicable to equity shares By definition, credit rating is an opinion on the issuer’s capacity to service debt. In the case of equity there is no pre-determined servicing obligation, as equity is in the nature of venture capital. So, credit rating does not apply to equity shares. 10. Credit VS Financial analysis Credit rating is much broader concept than financial analysis. One important factor which needs consideration is that the rating is normally done at the request of and with the active co-operation of the issuer. The rating agency has access to unpublished information and
  • 16. PAGE 15 the discussions with the senior management of issuers give meaningful insights into corporate plans and strategies. Necessary adjustments are made to the published accounts for the purpose of analysis. Rating is carried out by specialized professionals who are highly qualified and experienced. The final rating is assigned keeping in view the number of factors. 11. Time taken in rating process The rating process is a fairly detailed exercise. It involves, among other things analysis of published financial information, visits to the issuer’s offices and works, ‘intensive discussion with the senior executives of issuers, discussions with auditors, bankers, creditors etc. It also involves an in-depth study of the industry itself and a degree of environment scanning. All this takes time, a rating agency may take 6 to 8 weeks or more to arrive at a decision. For rating short-term instruments like commercial paper (CP), the time taken may vary from 3 to 4 weeks, as the focus will be more on short-term liquidity rather than on long-term fundamentals. Rating agencies do not compromise on the quality of their analysis or work under pressure from issuers for quick results. Issuers are always advised to. Approach the rating agencies sufficiently in advance so that issue schedules can be adhered to. INSTRUMENTS FOR CREDIT RATING  Equity shares issued by a company.  Preference shares issued by a company.  Bonds/debentures issued by corporate, government etc.
  • 17. PAGE 16  Commercial papers issued by manufacturing companies, finance companies, banks and financial institutions for raising sh0l1-term loans.  Fixed deposits raised for medium-term ranking as unsecured borrowings.  Borrowers who have borrowed money.  Individuals. RATING OTHER THAN DEBT INSTRUMENTS 1. Country Rating A country may be rated whenever a loan is to be extended or some major investment is to be made in it by international investors to determine the safety and security of their investments. A number of factors such as growth rate, industrial and agricultural production, government policies, inflation, fiscal deficit etc. are taken into consideration to arrive at such rating. Any upgrade movement in such ratings has a positive impact on the stock markets. 2. Rating of Real Estate Builders and Developers CRISIL has started assigning rating to the builders and developers with the objective of helping and guiding prospective real estate buyers. CRISIL thoroughly scrutinizes the sale deed papers, sanctioned plan, and lawyers’ report government clearance certificates before assigning rating to the builder or developer. Past experience of the builder, number of properties built by the builder, financial strength, and time taken for completion are some of the factors taken into consideration by the CRISIL before giving a final rating to the real estate builder/ developer
  • 18. PAGE 17 3. Chit Fund Chit funds registered as a company are sometimes rated on their ability to make timely payment of prize money to subscribers. The rating helps the chit funds in better marketing of their fund and in widening of the subscribers base. This service is provided by CRISIL. 4. Ratings of States States of India have also approached rating agencies for rating. Rating helps the State to attract investors both from India and abroad to make investments. Investors find safety of their funds while investing in a state with good rating. Foreign companies also come forward and set up projects in such states with positive rating. Rating agencies take into account various economic parameters such as industrial and agricultural growth of the State, availability of raw material, labor etc. and political parties agenda with respect to industry, labor etc., relation between Centre and State and freedom enjoyed by the states in taking decisions while assigning final rating to the states. States like Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh and Kerala have already been rated by CRISIL. ADVANTAGES OF CREDIT RATING Some of the advantages are listed below which shows the importance of credit rating: 1. Benefits to Investors  Safety of investments. Credit rating gives an idea in advance to the investors about the degree of financial strength of the issuer
  • 19. PAGE 18 company. Based on rating he decides about the investment. Highly rated issues gives an assurance to the investors of safety of Investments and minimizes his risk.  Recognition of risk and returns. Credit rating symbols indicate both the returns expected and the risk attached to a particular issue. It becomes easier for the investor to understand the worth of the issuer company just by looking at the symbol because the issue is backed by the financial strength of the company.  Freedom of investment decisions. Investors need not seek advise from the stock brokers, merchant bankers or the portfolio managers before making investments. Investors today are free and independent to take investment decisions themselves. They base their decisions on rating symbols attached to a particular security.  Wider choice of investments. As it is mandatory to rate debt obligations for every issuer company, at any particular time, wide range of credit rated instruments are available for making investment.  Dependable credibility of issuer. Absence of any link between the rater and rated firm ensures dependablecredibility of issuer and attracts investors. As rating agency has no vested interest in issue to be rated, and has no business connections or links with the Board of Directors.  Easy understanding of investment proposals. Investors require no analytical knowledge on their part about the issuer company. Depending upon rating symbols assigned by the rating agencies they can proceed with decisions to make investment in any particular rated security of a company.  Relief from botheration to know company. Credit agencies relieve investors from botheration of knowing the details of the company, its history, nature of business, financial position, liquidity and profitability position, composition of management staff and Board of Directors etc.
  • 20. PAGE 19  Advantages of continuous monitoring. Credit rating agencies not only assign rating symbols but also continuously monitor them. The Rating agency downgrades or upgrades the rating symbols following the decline or improvement in the financial position respectively. 2. Benefits of Rating to the Company Some of the points which shows the benefits of Credit Ratingto the company are given below:  Easy to raise resources. A company with highly rated instrument finds it easy to raise resources from the public. Even though investors in different sections of the society understand the degree of risk and uncertainty attached to a particular security but they still get attracted towards the highly rated instruments.  Reduced cost of borrowing. Investors always like to make investments in such instrument, which ensure safety and easy liquidity rather than high rate of return. A company can reduce the cost of borrowings by quoting lesser interest on those fixed deposits or debentures or bonds, which are highly rated.  Reduced cost of public issues. A company with highly rated instruments has to make least efforts in raising funds through public. It can reduce its expenditure on press and publicity. Rating facilitates best pricing and timing of issues.  Rating builds up image. Companies with highly rated instrument enjoy better goodwill and corporate image in the eyes of customers, shareholders, investors and creditors. Customers feel confident of the quality of goods manufactured, shareholders are sure of high returns, investors feel secured of their investments and creditors are assured of timely payments of interest and principal.
  • 21. PAGE 20  Rating facilitates growth. Rating motivates the promoters to undertake expansion of their operations or diversify their production activities thus leading to the growth of the company in future.  Recognition to unknown companies. Credit rating provides recognition to relatively unknown companies going for public issues through wide investor base. 3. Benefits to Intermediaries Stock brokers have to make less efforts in persuading their clients to select an investment proposal of making investment in highly rated instruments. Thus rating enables brokers and other financial intermediaries to save time, energy costs and manpower in convincing their clients. DISADVANTAGES OF CREDIT RATING After having lots of advantages there are several disadvantages also of credit rating some of them are given below: 1. Non-disclosure of significant information Firm being rated may not provide significant or material information, which is likely to affect the investor’s decision as to investment, to the investigation team of the credit rating company. Thus any decisions taken in the absence of such significant information may put investors at a loss.
  • 22. PAGE 21 2. Static study Rating is a static study of present and past historic data of the company at one particular point of time. Number of factors including economic, political, environment, and government policies have direct bearing on the working of a company. Any changes after the assignment of rating symbols may defeat the very purpose of risk indicativeness of rating. 3. Rating is no certificate of soundness Rating grades by the rating agencies are only an opinion about the capability of the company to meets its interest obligations. Rating symbols do not pinpoint towards quality of products or management or staff etc. In other words rating does not give a certificate of the complete soundness of the company. Users should form an independent view of the rating symbol. 4. Rating may be biased Personal bias of the investigating team might affect the quality of the rating. The companies having lower grade rating do not advertise or use the rating while raising funds from the public. In such a case the investors cannot get the true information about the risk involved in the instrument. 5. Rating under unfavorable conditions Rating grades are not always representative of the true image of a company. A company might be given low grade because it was passing through unfavorable conditions when rated. Thus misleading conclusions may be drawn by the investors which hampers the company’s interest. 6. Difference in rating grades
  • 23. PAGE 22 Same instrument may be rated differently by the two rating agencies because of the personal judgment of the investigating staff on qualitative aspects. This may further confuse the investors. CREDIT RATING AND SCORING SYSTEM Both credit scores and credit ratings provide a credit risk assessment. When scores are gathered into homogeneous score segments or risk classes, the result of the score is a “rating”. The difference b/t scores and ratings become blurred. The score terminology is particularly used in retail environments where large customer databases are scored automatically by mostly statistical scoring systems. Ratings are assigned to bond issues and take into account objective as well as subjective elements. The subjective elements aim to capture outlooks and future evolutions. Ratings result from a manual process that may take days to weeks to complete. Score systems and bureau scores are mainly used for internal purposes, whereas external credit ratings are made public by the rating agencies for investors. Theratedcompaniespublishtheirratingstoraisecapital,because theratingisanimportantelementoftheirfundingstrategy.Ratedcompanies aresufficientlybig, becausetheyneedtodisposeofasufficientlydeveloped financial management to raise capital from the capital markets, from bond markets. Therefore, issue ratings typically concern publicly traded debt.Individuals,however,donotpublishtheir scores. Alsoforbankloans, thereisoftennointerestinrequestingtherating.
  • 24. PAGE 23 Whereasagencyratingsare generally made public, internal credit ratings and scores are typically not. Ratingsaretypicallyperformanceratingsthatexpressanordinalriskmeasur e. Theratingspublishedbytheagenciesdonotreflectaguaranteeddefault risk. Investors decide what price they accept given the rating when making theinvestment.Scoresexistforvariouspurposes, applicationandbehavioral scoring being the most important ones for retail customers. Internal scores and ratings are used for internal risk management and regulatory capital calculations. External ratings are used by banks for the samepurposesandforbenchmarkingtheirinternalratingswithexternalrati ngs. External ratings are also consulted by investors for various purposes in finance: investment decisions, pricing, portfolio management etc. External ratings are generally available for large companies, banks and sovereigns. CREDIT RATING TERMINOLOGY The rating industry or banks uses specific terminologies. Some of the important terminologies are listed below: 1. Rating lifetime
  • 25. PAGE 24 A rating is said to be new when it is assigned for the first time to an issuer or issue. Ratings are reviewed on a regular basis by the agencies. A rating is affirmed if the review does not indicate changes. One speaks about a confirmation when the review was triggered by an external request or change in terms. A rating is downgraded/upgraded when the rating has been lowered/raised in the scale. During the lifetime of the issue or issuer, the rating can be withdrawn.This means that the rating is removed for any reason (mergers and acquisitions, not sufficient information, rating contract stopped) and is no longer maintained by the agency. 2. Rating watch and outlook Ratings also have a rating outlook that indicates the medium-term potential evolution of the rating in the future. A positive/negative outlook indicates that the rating may be raised or lowered. A rating with a stable outlook is not likely to change. A developing rating outlook means the opposite of a stable rating: the rating may be lowered or raised. Credit watch lists are used to determineshorter- termsevolution.Aratingsisputonthe watch list whenan event or deviation from the expected trend occurs and there is a reasonable probability for a rating change. 3. Solicited versus unsolicited ratings Solicited ratings are ratings that are initiated and paid for by the issuer. However, some issuers do not want to be rated because they seldom raise debt or equity in international financial markets, or because they are afraid of getting an unfavorable rating that may limit their future access to funding. Based on public information available on them, they may get rated anyway, resulting in unsolicited ratings.
  • 26. PAGE 25 4. Split ratings The spectacular growth in the number of credit rating agencies causes many debtors or debt instruments to be rated multiple times. A split rating arises when different agencies assign different ratings to the same debtor or instrument. The impact of these differences is now bigger than ever. Since ratings provide the key input for the regulatory capital calculation, split ratings will lead to different levels of safety capital. Banks can then cherry-pick the rating agencies with a view to minimizing their safety capital, which is of course an undesirable practice. Furthermore, investors will react differently based on whether a debt instrument is characterized by multiple equivalent ratings or when split ratings are present. Split ratings may also directly impact regulations, since regulators may put restrictions on the number of speculative investments and a debt instrument may be considered speculative by one agency and non- speculative by another. Reasons for split ratings are, e.g. different rating methodologies, access to different information, use of different rating scales, and sample selectionbias. WHAT IS CREDIT RISK ASSESSMENT? Credit risk, or the risk that money owed is not repaid, has been prevalent in banking history. It is a principal and perhaps the most important risk type that has been present in finance, commerce and trade transactions from ancient cultures till today. Numerous small and large failures, combined with the corresponding economic and
  • 27. PAGE 26 social impact, further accelerated the importance of credit risk management throughout history. Credit risk management is a process that involves the identification of potential risks, the measurement of these risks, the appropriate treatment, and the actual implementation of risk models. Efficient credit risk management tools have been vital in allowing the phenomenal growth in consumer credit during the last 50 years. Without accurate automated decision tools, credit lending would not have allowed banks to expand the loan book with the speed they have. Nowadays, effective credit risk measurement and management is recognized by many economic factors,notintheleastbecauseoffinancialfailuresofbanks themselves. The level of capital, acushion to absorb credit and other losses, is matched to the portfolio risk depending ontherisk characteristics ofindividualtransactions, theirconcentrationand correlation. All organizations, including banks, need to optimally allocate capital in relation to the selective investments made. Hence, efficient tools and techniques for risk measurement are a key cornerstone of a good credit risk management. CREDIT RISK ASSESSMENT (CRA) MODELS OF SBH Some CRA models are given in Trade and Service segment in the circulars of STATE BANK OF HYDERABAD:
  • 28. PAGE 27 1. The RBI has issued final Guidelines on New Capital Adequacy Framework (Basel II) on 27th April, 2007. It envisages that Banks are required to progress from Standardized approach to advanced approaches for management of Credit, Operational, and Market risks in a phased manner. The Credit Risk Assessment (CRA) Models form an important part of this exercise for Credit Risk. Accordingly, the existing CRA models were reviewed and New Models, in conformity with the Basel-II Guidelines have been devised on the lines of State Bank of India (SBI). The implementation of the New Models would facilitate the transition from Standardized approach to Internal Ratings Based (IRB) approaches for management of Credit Risk. 2. A distinguishing feature of the new Model is introduction of a two dimensional structure for risk rating i.e. Borrower Rating (issuer) and Facility Rating (issue). A Counterparty would thus have one Borrower Rating and several Facility Ratings. The Rating Scale has been expanded to 16 Grades (SBH-1 to SBH-16) as against the existing 8-point Scale. Facility Ratings would also range from FR1 to FR 16. For internal reporting within the Bank, the Borrower Rating was also Facility Ratings, together with the relative scores (within brackets), would need to be indicated. 3. The new CRA models will be applicable to all accounts with aggregate exposure (Fund Based + Non Fund-Based) of Rs 25 lacs & above, for both Non-Trading Sector (C&I, SSI & AGL Segments) and Trading Sector (including Services). While accounts with exposures above Rs 5 crores will be covered under Regular Model, those with exposures up to Rs. 5 crores will be covered under the Simplified Model. 4. Facility Rating will be applicable only for exposures covered under the Regular Model.
  • 29. PAGE 28 5. .The New CRA Models are to be implemented from 15/4/2008 on a parallel basis for a period of 3 months for accounts having Fund and Non-fund exposure of Rs.50 crores and above. From 15/7/2008, new CRA Models are required to be implemented by all branches replacing the existing CRA models of Manufacturing and Trade. 6. The existing practice of CRA for NBFC & PER segment advances will continue as per the existing system. 7. Greater level of involvement of concerned staff is required for successful migration to new rating models. 8. There are three enclosures to this e-circular :  New Credit Risk Assessment Models – A Gist  New CRA Models for Non-Trading Sector (Value Statements/Scoring Bands)  New CRA Models for Trading Sector (Value Statements/Scoring Bands). 9. The branches are advised to familiarize themselves with the revised guidelines and bring the contents of the circular to the notice of all the staff members.
  • 30. PAGE 29 NEW CREDIT RISK ASSESSMENT (CRA) MODELS A GIST Background A review of Credit Risk assessment (CRA) Models for Non-Trading & Trading Sectors was undertaken with the objective of making them Basel-II compliant and meeting the requirements of Internal Ratings Based (IRB) Approach. The New CRA Models are being released for Bank-wide implementation. Salient Features of New CRA Models a. Type of Models b. Type of Ratings S.No. Exposure Level(FB+NFB Limits) Non-Trading Sector Trading Sector 1. Over Rs 5 crore Regular Model Regular Model 2. Rs 0.25 crore to Rs. 5 crore Simplified Model Simplified Model S.No. Model Type of Rating 1. Regular Model (a) Borrower Rating (b) Facility Rating 2. Simplified Model Borrower Rating
  • 31. PAGE 30 (c)Types of Risk Covered : Borrower Rating Regular Model Regular Model Simplified Model Simplified Model Existing Company New Company Existing Company New Company 1. Financial Risk(FR) 65 25 (65*O.39) 70 35 (70/2) 2. Qualitative Factor(-ve) (-10) (-10) (-10) (-10) 3. Business & Industry Risk (BR & IR) /Business Risk (for Trading Sector) 20 30 (20*1.5) 20 40(20*2) 4. Management Risk (MR) 15 45 (15*3) 10 25 (10*2.5) 5. Qualitative Parameter (External Rating) (+5) (+5) (+5) (+5)
  • 32. PAGE 31 Total 100 100 100 100 6. Borrower Rating based on the above Score 7. Country Risk (CR) 8. Final Borrower Rating after CR 9. Financial Statement Quality Excellent/Good/Satisfactory/Poor 10. Risk Score/Rating Transition Matrix Comments on Trend in Rating Facility Rating (Regular Models) S.No. Parameter Maximum Score Risk Drivers for Loss Given Default (LGD) I. Current Ratio [Working Capital/ Non- Fund Based Facility (except Capex)] Or Project Debt/Equity[Term Loan/Non-Fund Based Facility 6 II. Nature of Charge 4 III. Industry /(Trade- for Trading Sector) 6 IV. Geography 2 V. Unit Characteristics (a) Leverage/ Enforcement of Collateral-4 8
  • 33. PAGE 32 (b) Safety, Value & Existence of Assets-4 VI. Macro-Economic Conditions (a) GDP Growth Rate : Impact of Business Cycle - 2 (b) Insolvency Legislation in the Jurisdiction-1 (c) Impact of Systemic/Legal Factors on Recovery-1 (d) Time Period for Recovery-1 5 VII. Total Security (Primary + Collateral) 60 Risk Drivers for Exposure at Default (EAD) I. Nature of Commitment (Revolving/Non-Revolving) 1 II. Credit Quality of Borrower 5 III. Tenor of Facility 3 Total Score 100 Facility Rating based on the above Score New Rating Scales - Borrower Rating: 16 Rating Grades S.No. Borrower Rating Range of Scores Risk Level Comfort Level 1. SB1 94-100 Virtually Zero risk Virtually Absolute safety 2. SB2 90-93 Lowest Risk Highest safety 3. SB3 86-89 Lower Risk Higher safety
  • 34. PAGE 33 4. SB4 81-85 Low Risk High safety 5. SB5 76-80 Moderate Risk with Adequate Cushion Adequate safety 6. SB6 70-75 Moderate Risk Moderate Safety 7. SB7 64-69 Moderate Risk Moderate Safety 8. SB8 57-63 Average Risk Average Safety Threshold 9. SB9 50-56 Average Risk Average Safety Threshold 10. SB10 45-49 Acceptable Risk (Risk Tolerance Threshold) Safety Threshold 11. SB11 40-44 Borderline risk Inadequate safety 12. SB12 35-39 High Risk Low safety 13. SB13 30-34 Higher Risk Lower safety 14. SB14 25-29 Substantial risk Lowest safety
  • 35. PAGE 34 15. SB15 < 24 Pre-Default Risk (extremely vulnerable to default) NIL 16. SB16 --- Default Grade NIL New Rating Scales –Facility Rating (separate for each fund based and non-fund based facility): 16 rating grades S.n o Facilit y Grades Rang e of score s LGD level( recovery level) Risk Level Comfort Level 1 FR1 94- 100 Zero LGD Virtually Zero Risk Virtually Absolute Safety
  • 36. PAGE 35 2 FR2 87-93 Lowest LGD (Highest Recovery Lowest Risk Highest Safety 3 FR3 80-86 Lower LGD (Higher Recovery Lowest Risk Highest Safety 4 FR4 73-79 Very Low LGD (High Recovery Low Risk High Safety 5 FR5 66-72 Low LGD (Adequate Recovery) Moderate Risk with Adequate Cushion Adequate Safety 6 FR6 59-65 Moderate LGD (Moderate Recovery) Moderate Risk Moderate Safety 7 FR7 52-58 Moderate LGD (Moderate Recovery) Moderate Risk Moderate Safety 8 FR8 45-51 Average LGD (Average recovery) Average Risk Above Safety Threshol d 9 FR9 38-44 Average LGD (Average Average Risk Above Safety Threshol
  • 37. PAGE 36 recovery) d 10 FR10 31-37 LGD Tolerance Threshold (Recovery Tolerance Threshold Acceptable Risk (Risk Tolerance Threshold) Safety Threshol d 11 FR11 24-30 High LGD (Low recovery) High Risk Low Safety 12 FR12 17-23 Higher LGD (Lower Recovery) Higher RISK Lower Safety 13 FR13 11-16 Substantia l LGD (Small recovery) Substantia l Risk Lowest Safety 14 FR14 5-10 Highest LGD (Minimal / Zero recovery) Substantia l Risk Lowest Safety 15 FR15 1-4 Highest LGD (Minimal / Zero recovery) Highest Risk NIL
  • 38. PAGE 37 Mapping to Existing Borrower Rating Bands New CRA Model Score New CRA Model Grade Existing CRA Model Grade Existing CRA Model Score 1 94-100 SB1 SBH1 >=90 2 90-93 SB2 SBH1 >=75 3 86-89 SB3 SBH2 >=75 4 81-85 SB4 SBH2 >=75 5 76-80 SB5 SBH2 >=65 6 70-75 SB6 SBH3 >=65 7 64-69 SB7 SBH3 >=50 8 57-63 SB8 SBH4 >=50 9 50-56 SB9 SBH4 >=45 10 45-49 SB10 SBH5 >=35 11 40-44 SB11 SBH6 >=35 12 35-39 SB12 SBH6 >=35 13 30-34 SB13 SBH7 >=25 14 25-29 SB14 SBH7 >=25 15 < 24 SB15 SBH8 < 25 16 - S16
  • 39. PAGE 38 Qualitative Parameter (External Rating) Solicited Rating by a recognized External Credit Rating Agency (ECRA) translates to additional Score. Following ECRAs recognized by RBI are considered for this purpose: S.No Type ECRA 1 Domestic (a) Credit Analysis & Research Limited; (b) CRISIL Limited; (c) FITCH India; (d) ICRA Limited. 2 International (a) FITCH; (b) Moody’s; (c)Standard & Poor’s RBI has clarified that “Cash Credit Exposures tend to be generally rolled over and also tend to be drawn on an average for a major portion of the sanctioned limits. Hence even though a cash credit exposure may be sanctioned for a period of one year or less, these exposures should be reckoned as Long Term Exposures and accordingly, the Long Term Ratings accorded by the chosen Credit Rating Agencies will be relevant.” The Scoring Bands for factoring External Rating (Long Term/Short Term) are as under: Long Short Short Short Short Standardized Additional
  • 40. PAGE 39 Term Rating term rating CARE term rating CRISIL term rating FITCH term rating ICRA Approach Risk weight Score Under New CRA Models AAA PR1+ P1+ F1+ A1+ 20% 5 AA PR1 P1 F1 A1 30% 305 A PR2 P2 F2 A2 50% 2 BBB PR3 P3 F3 A3 100% 1 BB & Below PR4 PR5 P4 P5 B,c,d A4 A5 150% 0 Multiple Ratings: In case of borrowers having multiple ratings from recognized ECRAs, following procedure is to be followed: (i) If there is only one ECRA rating for a particular claim, that rating would be used to determine scoring; (ii) If there are two ratings accorded by ECRAs which map into different risk weights, the rating corresponding to the higher risk weight would be taken cognizance of for scoring ; (iii) If there are three or more ratings accorded by ECRAs, with different risk weights, the ratings corresponding to the two lowest risk weights should be referred to and the rating corresponding to the higher of the two risk weights should be taken cognizance of for scoring.
  • 41. PAGE 40 Financial Statement Quality The credit analyst is to comment on the quality, adequacy and reliability of financial statements/information irrespective of the Risk Rating. This includes consideration of the size and capabilities of the accounting firm, compared to the complexities of the borrower and its financial statements. The comments on the quality of financial statements should include the quality of information provided to the Bank. The Quality is to be indicated as Excellent /Good /Satisfactory /Poor. This step is not instrumental in improvement of rating but is helpful in defining the best possible Borrower rating. Risk Score /Rating Transition Matrix A major fluctuation in scores resulting in upgradation or deterioration in Rating by more than one stage, is to be commented upon. Upgradation in Rating only on account of higher score in parameters other than Financial Risk, is to be examined and commented upon. This provides an additional risk awareness tool for the Credit Analyst. (1) Country Risk (Applicable for borrowers having 25% or more cash flow or assets outside India)
  • 42. PAGE 41 Country risk is the risk that a borrower will not be able to service its obligations to pay because of cross-border restrictions on the convertibility or availability of a given currency. It is also an assessment of the political and economic risk of a country. Country Risk is assumed to exist when 25% or more of the borrower’s cash flow or assets are located outside India. Country Risk Ratings are circulated by Foreign Department (FD) of SBI. Last FD Circular No. 070/2007-08 dated 27th July, 2007 indicates Risk category-wise list of countries as on 31/03/2007. Our International Banking Department (IBD) will issue guidelines from time to time on Country Risk based on SBI guidelines. (2) Entry Barriers  Minimum Score ‘2’ under ‘Integrity’ parameter under ‘Management  Full Compliance with Environmental regulations Hurdle Scores Regular Model existing company Regular Model new company Simplified Model existing company Simplified Model new company Financial Risk (FR) 25/65 10/25 30/70 15/35 Business & 12/20 16/30 10/20 20/40
  • 43. PAGE 42 Industry Risk (B&IR) [Business Risk (BR) for trade] Management Risk (MR) 8/15 22/45 5/10 13/25 Aggregate hurdle Score 45/100 48/100 45/100 48/100 Hurdle Grade SB10 SB10 SB10 SB10 Score Range 45-49 corresponds to SB10. Hence as per New CRA Models SB10 is the new Hurdle Grade. Under Facility Rating, if the score goes below the hurdle rate of FR10, the reasons for low score are to be given. Factoring Decimal Scores while aggregating Score for Risk Grading Score up to 0. 4 to be ignored;  Score of 0.5 or more to be rounded off to the next number.  Reporting of Risk Score along with Rating: Aggregate Risk Score is to be shown in brackets along with Borrower Rating in internal reporting within the Bank.  Frequency of Rating: Annual  Risk Assessment for New Units Activity Status Basis of Risk Assessment Newly incorporated unit where the production/commercial Projected Financials
  • 44. PAGE 43 production is yet to begin Newly incorporated unit where the audited financials relate to less than 12 months of commercial production. Projected Financials Newly incorporated unit where the audited financials reflect minimum 12 months of working after the start of commercial production. Audited Financials For rating purpose, a new unit refers to a newly incorporated Firm/Company which may continue to be regarded as new for a period of three years after the start of commercial production. However, in the case of Companies/Firms promoted by an established Group, a view regarding their status as new or otherwise would be taken by Sanctioning Authority after one year’s performance. General (i) For units engaged in both ‘industrial’ & ‘trading’ activities, the Risk Rating will be done based on the predominant activity financed by the Bank and the relevant model used. (ii) If data on a certain industry for ‘industry comparison’ in CRIS- INFAC or CMIE or any other published source is not available, the score would be normalized. In a Multi Division Company, the thrust of scoring under ‘Industry Outlook’ would be limited to the industry being financed by the Bank. (iii) Wherever a parameter is not applicable, the score would be normalized. (iv) For a new unit, where value statements for some of the parameters appear to be out of place for scoring, the Credit Analyst would assess
  • 45. PAGE 44 whether the unit has any plans to measure up to the levels indicated under those value statements and then score accordingly. (v) While Borrower rating of a unit will remain unchanged for a period up to one year, the different facilities would be rated simultaneously with Borrower Rating or as and when the facility is sanctioned/reappraised. A unit would carry several different Facility Ratings e.g. if a unit is enjoying one Working Capital facility & two (say) Term Loan facilities, it will have one Borrower Rating & 3 Facility Ratings. (vi) Borrower rating would not be assessed each time a new facility is sanctioned to the unit within the year. (vii) While working out the Facility Rating, the share of total security against that facility. Facility Rating (i) Facility Rating Design A Borrowing Company may be availing either one or more of Fund Based (FB) Facilities such as Working Capital (WC) /Term Loan (TL) or/and Non-Fund Based (NFB) Facilities like, Letters of Credit (L C)/Bank Guarantee (BG). All the facilities are to be rated separately viz., if a Borrowing Company has both WC & TL & two Bank Guarantee Facilities & three different L/C Facilities; in total, the Company would have one Borrower Rating & seven (i.e, 1+1+2 + 3 = 7) Facility Ratings. The pricing of loans, in future, will be linked to Facility Rating after building up adequate Loss Given Default (LGD) data base. For the present, pricing will continue to be linked to Borrower Rating only. (ii) Facility Hurdle Rate
  • 46. PAGE 45 All facilities are expected to meet the Facility Hurdle Rate of FR10. Reasons for not crossing this Hurdle Rate would need to be commented upon by the Credit Analyst. (iii) Loss Given Default (LGD) Facility Rating would reflect the degree of severity of loss in the event of default on the obligation. Facility Rating Grade will thus translate to a LGD Scale, indicating loss percentage. The present Facility Rating Grades/Scales are empirically designed to reflect LGD levels. (iv) Collateral The Collaterals are an important ingredient of Facility Rating design; their quality and depth affects the severity of LGD for any facility and hence the Facility Rating itself. As an element of risk (uncertainty) is involved, prudence is required in assessing the value of the collateral offered for obtaining credit facility. The security is thus to be valued as it would be in a distress scenario i.e., the extent of availability of proceeds (legal certainty) in the event of failure of the business. Basel-II does not differentiate between Primary & Collateral Securities and all securities charged for a loan are designated as “Collaterals”. Thus, while for monitoring of Drawing Power (DP) or DP related issues in borrowable accounts, the securities charged would continue to be segregated into Primary and Collateral securities, however, for the purpose of risk assessment, all securities will be treated as collateral securities. (v) Scoring under Facility Rating Scoring under ‘Total Security ‘Parameter under Facility Rating requires an in-depth look into types of Collaterals & Guarantees and their recognition and valuation as per Basel-II /RBI Document as discussed
  • 47. PAGE 46 in Bank’s Collateral ManagementPolicy. This would necessitate detailed analysis of Collaterals/Guarantees to facilitate scoring.
  • 48. PAGE 47 SUMMARY The credit rating is an assessment, by an Independent agency, of the capacity of an Issuer of debt security to service the debt and repay the principal as per the terms of Issue of debt The role of credit rating has become most important in the modem financial market The international market is witnessing a larger number of credit rating agencies These rating agencies rate the Instrument internationally and within their provinces. Thearea of ra3ngs has been wide spread from short term rating to long term rating The ratings are given by these agencies for the securities, entities and sovereigns Some of the active and well known international rating agencies are (I) Japan Credit rating Agency Ltd (JCR), (11) Fitch, (111) Moody's Investors Service, (N) Standard & Poor's, (v) AM Best Company, and (VI) Duff and Phelps Credit Rating Company (DCR). In India so far market shows very clearly that there is no danger of competitive generosity, which can eventually destroy the credibility of the rating service itself The experience of the Indian rating agencies so far is that about 25-30 percent of their ratings are not accepted or used Increasing Risk averse on by lenders and Investors and restricted avenue for raising capital will lead to a greater demand for structured finance ratings The newer forms of securitization such as trade receivables and credit card receivables are also expected to contribute to growth in rating business In coming years The Insurance sector privatization and opening up of pension funds would go further long way to ensure whatever they invested is rated. The health Insurance Industry is opening up new vistas of growth for rating agencies There will be a strong demand for rating services on the back of debt market Upswing due to reducing interest rates and almost stagnation In equity initialpublic offering and rights Issues market The Interest rate belong remaining soft would be again a good demand for re-financing and hence ratings.
  • 49. PAGE 48 SUGGESTION  Current rating system is good.  The loan processing time should be reduced.  Bank provide loan only on the basis of the repayment capacity of the borrower and hence it is suggested to adopt some modern methods to appraise the loan to the business to check the feasibility of the project for appraising such high amount of loan  The bank should focus more on advertising to increase awareness among the public about the service it offers.  Need for improvised methods that are on par with international standards.  The bank must bring more transparency in rating of the project there should be explanation for rating of the project that was sanctioned by higher authority.
  • 50. PAGE 49 CONCLUSION As per the analysis done the result that has been got its good enough to justify that this proposal has all the required criteria’s and qualities required by the bank. And it is also expected to give a very good return and value to the company. The financial tools used for assessing is more appropriate to this project and the values are also favorable to the company to be considered by the bank for sanctioning the loan. I like to conclude by saying that this Project Proposal should be good and looks more feasible by satisfying the criteria of the bank. It also enlightened me with the working of SME loan center. Finally would like to stretch sincere gratitude towards STATE BANK OF HYDERABAD and School of Management Studies, Hyderabad for providing this learning opportunity.
  • 51. PAGE 50 BIBILIOGRAPHY Books M R Agarwal, “Financial Management” (Garima Publications) Websites http://www.sbhyd.com www.rbi.org.in Others Bank manuals