CropClimate | Using climate forecasts and crop modeling to transform data into value for farmers
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The document discusses the use of climate forecasts and crop modeling to assist farmers in making informed agricultural decisions despite the variability of climate. It highlights the types of decisions farmers can control, such as soil management and crop selection, and offers tools for forecasting climate risks to enhance crop management. Additionally, it emphasizes the importance of the CropClimate.org platform in translating seasonal climate information into actionable insights for farmers.
CropClimate | Using climate forecasts and crop modeling to transform data into value for farmers
- 1. Using climate forecasts and crop modeling to transform data into value for farmers Guillermo A. Baigorria gbaigorria@unl.edu School of Natural Resources – and – Dpt. of Agronomy & Horticulture International Consortium for Categorical Climate Forecast Applications
- 2. CropClimate.org Agricultural decisions We can control and improve: • Soils (fertilization, tillage/no-tillage, conservation, etc.) • Land allocation (where to crop what) • Genetics (variety, crop density, etc.) • Competition (weeds, insects, etc.)
- 3. CropClimate.org Agricultural decisions We can control and improve: • Soils (fertilization, tillage/no-tillage, conservation, etc.) • Land allocation (where to crop what) • Genetics (variety, crop density, etc.) • Competition (weeds, insects, etc.) We can not control: ClimateMain cause for interannual variability
- 4. CropClimate.org Agricultural decisions We can not control: But we can forecast it and used it for decision making Climate
- 5. Type of decisions Tactical decisions: When to plant, when to irrigate, when to fertilize, etc. Strategic decisions: Land allocation for different crops, selection of crop variety, insurance (type and level), etc. Long term decisions: Sell/purchase land, Invest on an irrigation system, machinery, etc. CropClimate.org
- 6. Type of decisions Tactical decisions: When to plant, when to irrigate, when to fertilize, etc. Strategic decisions: Land allocation for different crops, selection of crop variety, insurance (type and level), etc. Long term decisions: Sell/purchase land, Invest on an irrigation system, machinery, etc. CropClimate.org
- 7. Type of decisions Tactical decisions: When to plant, when to irrigate, when to fertilize, etc. Strategic decisions: Land allocation for different crops, selection of crop variety, insurance (type and level), etc. Long term decisions: Sell/purchase land, Invest on an irrigation system, machinery, etc. CropClimate.org Risk Taker vs Risk Averse
- 8. CropClimate.org CropClimate is a non-funded platform that translates categorical seasonal climate information into crop management decisions to take advantage and reduce impacts of climate on agriculture
- 9. CropClimate.org CropClimate will support Users in making decisions such as: - Selecting cultivar - Selecting planting date - Selecting plant density - Selecting crop insurance and it will provide Users with information about - Nationwide county level crop yield forecasts (prices?) - Climate risk forecasts
- 10. Categorical Seasonal Climate monitoring & forecasts (teleconnection indices) Categorical Discrete (e.g. El Niño, Neutral, La Niña) Seasonal Climate 1 to 9 months in advance CropClimate.org
- 11. Teleconnection indices El Niño and the Southern Oscillation (ENSO) El Niño La Niña CropClimate.org
- 12. Teleconnection indices El Niño and the Southern Oscillation (ENSO) El Niño Neutral La Niña CropClimate.org
- 13. Worldwide effects of ENSO El Niño La Niña CropClimate.org
- 14. CropClimate.org Worldwide effects of ENSO
- 18. So we know the effects, now What can we do? CropClimate.org
- 19. CropClimate.org
- 20. Using climate forecasts and crop modeling to transform data into value for farmers Guillermo A. Baigorria gbaigorria@unl.edu School of Natural Resources – and – Dpt. of Agronomy & Horticulture International Consortium for Categorical Climate Forecast Applications
- 21. • Because climate is non-stationary, global and regional climate driver trends are no longer important Source: The University of Alabama in Huntsville