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IT-Tool DeCiDe
Demographic Challenges in Development
Demographic Megatrends in Asia and Eastern Europe –
Challenges and Opportunities for Health and Social Protection
November 13 – 14, 2013, Hanoi, Viet Nam

Dr. Thomas Ott
OAGIS
Objectives
 to visualize demographic scenarios,
 to illustrate the interrelationships between demography,
development and global challenges,
 to derive and prioritize objectives and strategies,
 to identify potential fields of cooperation,
 to develop “business” for GIZ.
Target Audience
 (political) decision makers in partner countries
 executives and consultants in governmental departments

 sectoral experts (in need to add a demographic aspect)
 journalists, students and other multipliers
Technical Background and User Interface
 Microsoft Excel™ 2007 and higher
 150+ Sheets

 multilingual (German, English, French, …)
 distinct color scheme for ease of orientation
 open access to all data allowing easy updates and modifications
Content and Structure
 10 demographic challenges with 57 indicators (time series)
 14 demographic options and policy fields

 spaces for user-defined challenges and options
 interactive assessment of challenges and options for mutual
development of strategies
 6 simulations of future population growth and change
 prototype with data for 6 countries from 3 continents
(each country with 2 reference countries)

Challenges

Options

Strategies
I Introduction

Introduction

Population Data/Capacities
Population Growth
Populations Structure
Population Distribution

Settings

II Challenges
CH 1

CH 2

Overview of Challenges

CH 3

CH 4

CH 5

CH 6

CH 7

Looking back
Looking ahead
Aggregation and Weighting of Challenges

III Options

IV Strategies

CH 8

CH 9

CH 10

CH 11
Challenges












Poverty
Scarcity of Resources
Health Risks
Climate Change
Ageing and Lack of Social Security
Lack of Prospects for Young People
Susceptibility to Conflicts, Missing Government and Security
Urbanization
Development of Rural Areas and Food Supply
Migration
User Defined Challenges
IT-Tool DeCiDe: Demographic Challenges in Development
IT-Tool DeCiDe: Demographic Challenges in Development
IT-Tool DeCiDe: Demographic Challenges in Development
IT-Tool DeCiDe: Demographic Challenges in Development
I Introduction

Introduction

Population Data/Capacities
Population Growth
Populations Structure
Population Distribution

Settings

II Challenges
CH 1

Overview of Challenges

CH 2

CH 3

CH 4

CH 5

CH 6

CH 7

CH 8

CH 9

CH 10

CH 11

Looking back
Looking ahead
Aggregation and Weighting of Challenges

III Options
OP 1

OP 2

Overview of Options and Policy Fields

OP 3

OP 4

OP 5

OP 6

OP 7

OP 8

OP 9

OP 10

Aggregation and Weighting of Options

IV Strategies

OP 11

OP 12

OP 13

OP 14

OP 15
Policy Fields and Options
















Demographic Capacity Development
Rights and Self-Determination of Women
Security of Resources
Health Care, SRHR and Family Planning
Adaption to Climate Change
Establishing and Strengthening of Social Security Systems
Education
Promoting the Young Generation
Employment Policy and Economic Development
Supporting Generational Ties
Governance and Security
Urban Development and Urban Planning
Rural Development and Decentralization
Organizing Migration
User Defined Challenges
IT-Tool DeCiDe: Demographic Challenges in Development
IT-Tool DeCiDe: Demographic Challenges in Development
IT-Tool DeCiDe: Demographic Challenges in Development
I Introduction

Introduction

Population Data/Capacities
Population Growth
Populations Structure
Population Distribution

Settings

II Challenges
CH 1

Overview of Challenges

CH 2

CH 3

CH 4

CH 5

CH 6

CH 7

CH 8

CH 9

CH 10

CH 11

Looking back
Looking ahead
Aggregation and Weighting of Challenges

III Options
OP 1

OP 2

Overview of Options and Policy Fields

OP 3

OP 4

OP 5

OP 6

OP 7

OP 8

OP 9

OP 10

Aggregation and Weighting of Options

IV Strategies

Final Assessment and Simulation Results

Joint Definition of Strategies

OP 11

OP 12

OP 13

OP 14

OP 15
Final Assessment and Simulation



“Traffic Lights”
Projection of demographic key indicators
IT-Tool DeCiDe: Demographic Challenges in Development
IT-Tool DeCiDe: Demographic Challenges in Development
IT-Tool DeCiDe: Demographic Challenges in Development
Interactive Presentation of the Tool
Imprint

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IT-Tool DeCiDe: Demographic Challenges in Development

  • 1. IT-Tool DeCiDe Demographic Challenges in Development Demographic Megatrends in Asia and Eastern Europe – Challenges and Opportunities for Health and Social Protection November 13 – 14, 2013, Hanoi, Viet Nam Dr. Thomas Ott OAGIS
  • 2. Objectives  to visualize demographic scenarios,  to illustrate the interrelationships between demography, development and global challenges,  to derive and prioritize objectives and strategies,  to identify potential fields of cooperation,  to develop “business” for GIZ.
  • 3. Target Audience  (political) decision makers in partner countries  executives and consultants in governmental departments  sectoral experts (in need to add a demographic aspect)  journalists, students and other multipliers
  • 4. Technical Background and User Interface  Microsoft Excel™ 2007 and higher  150+ Sheets  multilingual (German, English, French, …)  distinct color scheme for ease of orientation  open access to all data allowing easy updates and modifications
  • 5. Content and Structure  10 demographic challenges with 57 indicators (time series)  14 demographic options and policy fields  spaces for user-defined challenges and options  interactive assessment of challenges and options for mutual development of strategies  6 simulations of future population growth and change  prototype with data for 6 countries from 3 continents (each country with 2 reference countries) Challenges Options Strategies
  • 6. I Introduction Introduction Population Data/Capacities Population Growth Populations Structure Population Distribution Settings II Challenges CH 1 CH 2 Overview of Challenges CH 3 CH 4 CH 5 CH 6 CH 7 Looking back Looking ahead Aggregation and Weighting of Challenges III Options IV Strategies CH 8 CH 9 CH 10 CH 11
  • 7. Challenges            Poverty Scarcity of Resources Health Risks Climate Change Ageing and Lack of Social Security Lack of Prospects for Young People Susceptibility to Conflicts, Missing Government and Security Urbanization Development of Rural Areas and Food Supply Migration User Defined Challenges
  • 12. I Introduction Introduction Population Data/Capacities Population Growth Populations Structure Population Distribution Settings II Challenges CH 1 Overview of Challenges CH 2 CH 3 CH 4 CH 5 CH 6 CH 7 CH 8 CH 9 CH 10 CH 11 Looking back Looking ahead Aggregation and Weighting of Challenges III Options OP 1 OP 2 Overview of Options and Policy Fields OP 3 OP 4 OP 5 OP 6 OP 7 OP 8 OP 9 OP 10 Aggregation and Weighting of Options IV Strategies OP 11 OP 12 OP 13 OP 14 OP 15
  • 13. Policy Fields and Options                Demographic Capacity Development Rights and Self-Determination of Women Security of Resources Health Care, SRHR and Family Planning Adaption to Climate Change Establishing and Strengthening of Social Security Systems Education Promoting the Young Generation Employment Policy and Economic Development Supporting Generational Ties Governance and Security Urban Development and Urban Planning Rural Development and Decentralization Organizing Migration User Defined Challenges
  • 17. I Introduction Introduction Population Data/Capacities Population Growth Populations Structure Population Distribution Settings II Challenges CH 1 Overview of Challenges CH 2 CH 3 CH 4 CH 5 CH 6 CH 7 CH 8 CH 9 CH 10 CH 11 Looking back Looking ahead Aggregation and Weighting of Challenges III Options OP 1 OP 2 Overview of Options and Policy Fields OP 3 OP 4 OP 5 OP 6 OP 7 OP 8 OP 9 OP 10 Aggregation and Weighting of Options IV Strategies Final Assessment and Simulation Results Joint Definition of Strategies OP 11 OP 12 OP 13 OP 14 OP 15
  • 18. Final Assessment and Simulation   “Traffic Lights” Projection of demographic key indicators