Growing Revenue Despite
a Declining Donor File
How One Nonprofit Reached 18% YOY Growth in
Three Years
Mark Publow, CFRE
Nicole Pena, Phoenix Rescue Mission
2
• Revenue was soft but we weren’t sure why
• Program budgets were expanding but were not accompanied by
clear plan for growing revenue
• We were repeating the same fundraising program but seeing
diminishing results
• As a result, the financial picture was not good
— No cash reserves
— Assuming new debt
— Total funding to program was declining
Anatomy of the Challenge
Fiscal Year
Total Cash
Contributions
Revenue
%
Variance
Active 12 mo.
donor count
% Variance Gift Count
%
Variance
FY2011 $8,089,389 NA 44,299 NA
FY2012 $7,399,654 -8.5% 40,213 -9.2% 94,677
FY2013 $7,196,235 -2.7% 37,760 -6.1% 89,552 -5.4%
FY2014 $7,535,102 4.7% 32,751 -13.3% 81,262 -9.3%
FY2015 $8,885,976 17.9% 32,583 -0.5% 84,985 4.6%
Fiscal
Year
Donor retention
rate
LYBUNT
12
months
Average Gift % Variance
Average
Donor Giving
Per Year
%
Variance
FY2011 63% 16,422 NA $182.61
FY2012 51% 19,436 $ 79.46 $184.01 0.8%
FY2013 59% 15,206 $ 80.36 1.1% $190.58 3.6%
FY2014 54% 14,972 $ 92.72 15.4% $230.07 20.7%
FY2015 64% 11,105 $ 104.56 12.8% $272.72 18.5%
5
Architecture of a Turnaround
Four Strategic “Shifts”
A. Shifting from Data Entry to Data Optimization
B. Shifting from Reporting to Analytics
C. Shifting our Donor Messaging
D. Shifting to a High Performance Ecosystem
6
Shifting from Data Entry to
Data Optimization
Database - The initial problem
• Reports out of RE were not only difficult to
set up, but data did not make sense or
sometimes did not yeild the same results.
• There had been no real thought (strategic
intent) behind how data input into RE had
been both structured and maintained, over
many years.
Database - The Ah-Ha Moment
• We needed to see the big picture, not so much
what were doing, as where we need to be.
• We need to focus on what we want to get out of RE
(meaningful reports and dashboards) as a driver for
how we input data.
Database - The initial problem
• Reports out of RE were not only difficult to
set up, but data did not make sense or
sometimes did not yeild the same results.
• There had been no real thought (strategic
intent) behind how data input into RE had
been both structured and maintained, over
many years.
Three Key Streams
• The “did not givers” (LYBUNT) 19,000 people for a
loss of 1.4 million in revenue
• The “do not mailers” (complained, overreacted,
dead?) - 15,000 marked DNM in 2011
• The “we have no cluers” (matching gift companies,
churches, businesses, volunteers – people in the
database that were seeking us out )
Database - Discovery
• Using the right codes for the wrong reasons
• Seven different ways, in three different places to say “do not
mail” in the database
• Solicitation codes: we weren’t sure how to use
• Attribute codes: were used for too many areas
• Constituency codes: were being ignored
• Our direct mail numbers were decreasing precipitously
Database – Course of Action
• Brainstormed what we believed were the ‘best’ categories or
descriptions for Solicitation codes, Attribute codes and
Constituency codes.
• Sought a Blackbaud consultant to ensure we were doing the
right things.
• Updated all of our data for SC’s, AC’s and CC’s (going back one
prior year)
• Mailed all of our “do not mailers” with a questionnaire.
• Mailed all of our LYBNT’s with an appeal.
• Cleaned up our mailing file query.
• Began placing constituents into mailing groups to test our
segmentation strategy
13
Shifting from Reporting to
Analytics
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
24,000
LYBUNTDonors
LYBUNT by Month (Rolling 12 Month Total Each Month)
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
Analytics - Course of Action
• Determined Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) we would use
• Long-term Donor Value
• Net Yield
• Average Gift / Gift Frequency
• Retention
• Pushed analytics to the forefront of discussions with
marketing agency partner(s)
• Attempted to push to analytics-led strategy … an uphill
climb
• Developed more sophisticated internal reporting and for the
first time internal analytics
• Identified (and sourced) external analytics resources / tools
Thanksgiving Appeals FY15 (YTD) - FY14 (12/12/14 data)
FY15 Appeal
#
Mailed
FY15
% Resp
FY15
Ag Gift
FY15 Net
Revenue
FY14 Appeal
#
Mailed
FY14
% Resp
FY14
Ag Gift
FY14 Net
Revenue
Thanksgiving Placemat 33,946 9.50% $56.54 $162,458 Thanksgiving 56,232 6.20% $57.58 $161,521
Thanksgiving MSMT 24,344 15.50% $49.61 $167,053 Thanksgiving F/U 56,232 4.50% $49.04 $102,882
Thanks Last Chance 26,655 5.80% $48.27 $56,506 Thanks Women + Kids 55,739 4.20% $41.20 $71,856
TOTAL (YTD) 84,945 $386,017 TOTAL 168,203 $336,259
Note: 590 of 3,766 gifts to MSMT were multiple gifts fromthe same donor (15.67%) - generally giving the same amount 2x
Note: Mailed 49.5% fewer pieces in FY15 and generated 14.8% MORE net revenue to date (appeals still generating revenue)
Analytics – One Example of Change
17
Shifting our Donor Messaging
Shifting Our Donor Message
The Challenge
• “Appeal of the Month” approach
• Appeal content was not localized (syndication program)
• Program services underwent dramatic change but
marketing program still based on “old” message
• Changing Lives Center – dramatic shift from serving
homeless men primarily with addition of a large center
serving homeless women and children
Course of Action
• Shifted from Appeal of the Month to 4 Campaigns per year
• To boost retention, restructured newsletter
• Brought writing in-house
• Shifted from 5-6 newsletters per year to monthly
• Expanded monthly mailing of newsletters to include
volunteers, gift-in-kind donors and deeper lapsed
DMA-DC 2016_Workshop - Growing Revenue Despite a Declining Donor File
DMA-DC 2016_Workshop - Growing Revenue Despite a Declining Donor File
22
Shifting to a High Performance
Ecosystem
23
• Who are your key stakeholders – internal and
external?
• How do you build performance that leads to
results?
• Creating a healthy and generative ecosystem
High Performance Ecosystem
24
• Development staff
• Program staff / partners
• CEO, CFO & Board
• Vendor Partners
• Engaged donors & volunteers
Key Stakeholders
25
Results
• Increased fundraising despite decline in file size
• Created operating reserves; discontinued bank LOC
• Established and raised $ for endowment (first-time)
• Shifted slowest FR season of the year (summer) to high
performance
• Tested and refined story-driven messaging to a variety of
segments
• Increased Net Yield to Program by at least 8% a year each
year
• Decreased total FR costs by at least 1% a year each year
26
Mark Publow, CDO
www.phoenixrescuemission.org
mpublow@childrensdefense.org
https://www.facebook.com/phoenixrescuemission/
@phxmission
Nicole Pena, Director of Marketing & Public Relations
Phoenix Rescue Mission
Growing Revenue Despite a Declining Donor File
npena@phoenixrescuemission.org

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DMA-DC 2016_Workshop - Growing Revenue Despite a Declining Donor File

  • 1. Growing Revenue Despite a Declining Donor File How One Nonprofit Reached 18% YOY Growth in Three Years Mark Publow, CFRE Nicole Pena, Phoenix Rescue Mission
  • 2. 2 • Revenue was soft but we weren’t sure why • Program budgets were expanding but were not accompanied by clear plan for growing revenue • We were repeating the same fundraising program but seeing diminishing results • As a result, the financial picture was not good — No cash reserves — Assuming new debt — Total funding to program was declining Anatomy of the Challenge
  • 3. Fiscal Year Total Cash Contributions Revenue % Variance Active 12 mo. donor count % Variance Gift Count % Variance FY2011 $8,089,389 NA 44,299 NA FY2012 $7,399,654 -8.5% 40,213 -9.2% 94,677 FY2013 $7,196,235 -2.7% 37,760 -6.1% 89,552 -5.4% FY2014 $7,535,102 4.7% 32,751 -13.3% 81,262 -9.3% FY2015 $8,885,976 17.9% 32,583 -0.5% 84,985 4.6%
  • 4. Fiscal Year Donor retention rate LYBUNT 12 months Average Gift % Variance Average Donor Giving Per Year % Variance FY2011 63% 16,422 NA $182.61 FY2012 51% 19,436 $ 79.46 $184.01 0.8% FY2013 59% 15,206 $ 80.36 1.1% $190.58 3.6% FY2014 54% 14,972 $ 92.72 15.4% $230.07 20.7% FY2015 64% 11,105 $ 104.56 12.8% $272.72 18.5%
  • 5. 5 Architecture of a Turnaround Four Strategic “Shifts” A. Shifting from Data Entry to Data Optimization B. Shifting from Reporting to Analytics C. Shifting our Donor Messaging D. Shifting to a High Performance Ecosystem
  • 6. 6 Shifting from Data Entry to Data Optimization
  • 7. Database - The initial problem • Reports out of RE were not only difficult to set up, but data did not make sense or sometimes did not yeild the same results. • There had been no real thought (strategic intent) behind how data input into RE had been both structured and maintained, over many years.
  • 8. Database - The Ah-Ha Moment • We needed to see the big picture, not so much what were doing, as where we need to be. • We need to focus on what we want to get out of RE (meaningful reports and dashboards) as a driver for how we input data.
  • 9. Database - The initial problem • Reports out of RE were not only difficult to set up, but data did not make sense or sometimes did not yeild the same results. • There had been no real thought (strategic intent) behind how data input into RE had been both structured and maintained, over many years.
  • 10. Three Key Streams • The “did not givers” (LYBUNT) 19,000 people for a loss of 1.4 million in revenue • The “do not mailers” (complained, overreacted, dead?) - 15,000 marked DNM in 2011 • The “we have no cluers” (matching gift companies, churches, businesses, volunteers – people in the database that were seeking us out )
  • 11. Database - Discovery • Using the right codes for the wrong reasons • Seven different ways, in three different places to say “do not mail” in the database • Solicitation codes: we weren’t sure how to use • Attribute codes: were used for too many areas • Constituency codes: were being ignored • Our direct mail numbers were decreasing precipitously
  • 12. Database – Course of Action • Brainstormed what we believed were the ‘best’ categories or descriptions for Solicitation codes, Attribute codes and Constituency codes. • Sought a Blackbaud consultant to ensure we were doing the right things. • Updated all of our data for SC’s, AC’s and CC’s (going back one prior year) • Mailed all of our “do not mailers” with a questionnaire. • Mailed all of our LYBNT’s with an appeal. • Cleaned up our mailing file query. • Began placing constituents into mailing groups to test our segmentation strategy
  • 14. 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 22,000 24,000 LYBUNTDonors LYBUNT by Month (Rolling 12 Month Total Each Month) FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
  • 15. Analytics - Course of Action • Determined Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) we would use • Long-term Donor Value • Net Yield • Average Gift / Gift Frequency • Retention • Pushed analytics to the forefront of discussions with marketing agency partner(s) • Attempted to push to analytics-led strategy … an uphill climb • Developed more sophisticated internal reporting and for the first time internal analytics • Identified (and sourced) external analytics resources / tools
  • 16. Thanksgiving Appeals FY15 (YTD) - FY14 (12/12/14 data) FY15 Appeal # Mailed FY15 % Resp FY15 Ag Gift FY15 Net Revenue FY14 Appeal # Mailed FY14 % Resp FY14 Ag Gift FY14 Net Revenue Thanksgiving Placemat 33,946 9.50% $56.54 $162,458 Thanksgiving 56,232 6.20% $57.58 $161,521 Thanksgiving MSMT 24,344 15.50% $49.61 $167,053 Thanksgiving F/U 56,232 4.50% $49.04 $102,882 Thanks Last Chance 26,655 5.80% $48.27 $56,506 Thanks Women + Kids 55,739 4.20% $41.20 $71,856 TOTAL (YTD) 84,945 $386,017 TOTAL 168,203 $336,259 Note: 590 of 3,766 gifts to MSMT were multiple gifts fromthe same donor (15.67%) - generally giving the same amount 2x Note: Mailed 49.5% fewer pieces in FY15 and generated 14.8% MORE net revenue to date (appeals still generating revenue) Analytics – One Example of Change
  • 18. Shifting Our Donor Message The Challenge • “Appeal of the Month” approach • Appeal content was not localized (syndication program) • Program services underwent dramatic change but marketing program still based on “old” message • Changing Lives Center – dramatic shift from serving homeless men primarily with addition of a large center serving homeless women and children
  • 19. Course of Action • Shifted from Appeal of the Month to 4 Campaigns per year • To boost retention, restructured newsletter • Brought writing in-house • Shifted from 5-6 newsletters per year to monthly • Expanded monthly mailing of newsletters to include volunteers, gift-in-kind donors and deeper lapsed
  • 22. 22 Shifting to a High Performance Ecosystem
  • 23. 23 • Who are your key stakeholders – internal and external? • How do you build performance that leads to results? • Creating a healthy and generative ecosystem High Performance Ecosystem
  • 24. 24 • Development staff • Program staff / partners • CEO, CFO & Board • Vendor Partners • Engaged donors & volunteers Key Stakeholders
  • 25. 25 Results • Increased fundraising despite decline in file size • Created operating reserves; discontinued bank LOC • Established and raised $ for endowment (first-time) • Shifted slowest FR season of the year (summer) to high performance • Tested and refined story-driven messaging to a variety of segments • Increased Net Yield to Program by at least 8% a year each year • Decreased total FR costs by at least 1% a year each year
  • 26. 26 Mark Publow, CDO www.phoenixrescuemission.org mpublow@childrensdefense.org https://www.facebook.com/phoenixrescuemission/ @phxmission Nicole Pena, Director of Marketing & Public Relations Phoenix Rescue Mission Growing Revenue Despite a Declining Donor File npena@phoenixrescuemission.org