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The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management




    The Survivals of eCommerce
   Systems After the WTC Attacks

                  John R. Harrald, Ph.D.
                   Youn Hee Kim, M.S.
    Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management
             The George Washington University

Supported by NSF Grant CMS 0219953
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management




                                   Contents

•   Project overview
•   Research method
•   eCommerce system recovery overview at WTC
•   Technology for surviving
•   Future research tasks
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management




                September 11, 2001
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management




               September 11, 2001
• 19 terrorists hijacked 4 aircraft for suicide attacks
• Almost 3000 people killed
• In Manhattan: - 34.5 million ft2 office space lost
                    - $50-70 billion in insured losses
• Most of these direct economic losses were
  incurred by the private sector
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management




Terrorist Groups are Targeting
  U.S. and World Economy
 “The settlement of this overburdened account will
 indeed be heavy. We will also aim to continue, by
 permission of Allah, the destruction of the
 American economy.”

 Ayman Al-Zawahiri, head of Al-Qaeda operational
 planning
 (6 October, 2002)
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management




                  Project overview
• National Science Foundation Funded the study:
  Financial and Strategic impacts of the attacks on
  large publicly held corporations.
• Project consists of three sections
   – Section 1: Organizational strategies for coping with
     extreme events
   – Sections 2: System recovery from extreme events
   – Section 3: Defining of a common body of knowledge
     for executive level crisis managements of extreme
     events
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management




                  Research method
• Select target companies out of 330 companies
  in WTC
• Compare the financial performance for 18
  months by using stock price.
• Conduct personal interviews and surveys to
  CEOs, CIOs and other executive officers and
  technical personnel
• Analyze data and compare the result of three
  sections
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management


              Selection of Companies
  GOAL: To sort through the thousands of companies
  that had been directly affected by the attacks in order
  to formulate a list of 20 and 25 companies to be studied




                                                                   www.tenantwise.com
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management



                          Results
 • Company 30, Fast Recovery Example
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management


                                Results
       Company 33, Non-Recovery Example
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management



                                          Results




Ranked Average change in Stock price between 9/11/2001 & 3/11/2003
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management



          Research method for the
         section 2: system recovery
            from extreme events
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management




           eCommerce system recovery
               overview at WTC

• Merrill Lynch, one of the largest investment firm
   – Number of employees lost : 3
   – Amount of office space lost: 2,083,555
   – Physical location affected: 4 World Financial
     Center, Whole Building
   – 2002 revenue: $28.5billion
   – Headquarters: 4 World Financial Center, New
     York, NY 10080
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management




           eCommerce system recovery
               overview at WTC

• Merrill Lynch, one of the largest investment firm
   – Returned back to work within 24hours
   – Transferring trading operations to London, Tokyo
     and Hong Kong
   – Used their web site to communicate relocation and
     emergency transportation information to employees
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management



Merrill Lynch stock performance
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management




         eCommerce system recovery
             overview at WTC

• Citigroup
  – Number of employees lost: 3
  – Amount of office space lost : 7 WTC (7 WTC
  was leased to Citicorp)
  – 2002 net income before taxes: $ 20.537 billion
  – Headquarters: Citigroup Inc. 399 Park
    Avenue, New York, NY, 10043
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management




          eCommerce system recovery
              overview at WTC

• Citigroup
  – Returned back to work within 24 hours
  – Transferred Series of computer and backup
    data to another branches (as far as London)
  – Obtain a spare office location for emergency
    use
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management




         eCommerce system recovery
             overview at WTC

• Marsh & McLennan Cos.
  – Number of employees: 295 (mostly, IT staffs)
  – Amount of office space lost: 600,000 sq.ft. (North
    Tower, Floors 93-100 )
  – 2002 revenue: $10.4 billion
  – Headquarters: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New
    York City, NY
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management




        eCommerce system recovery
            overview at WTC

• Marsh & McLennan Cos.
  – Came back to work few days after the attack
  – Using the international structure, the firm quickly
    pulled lost data from other locations
  – Relocated workers to New Jersey and
    Pennsylvania within 7-10 days
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management



          Marsh & McLennan stock
                performance
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management




          eCommerce system recovery
              overview at WTC

• NYBOT(New York Board Of Trade)
  – Parent company of coffee, sugar and cocoa
    exchange Inc.(CSCE) and the New York
    Cotton Exchange (NYCE).
  – Lost its primary trading facility in WTC
  – Lost the main trading machines in WTC
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management




          eCommerce system recovery
              overview at WTC

• NYBOT(New York Board Of Trade)
  – Returned back to the normal situation after 7 days
    (Monday, Sept. 17th)
  – Prepared the hot site with Comdisco (commercial
    disaster recovery service bureau in 1993, $300,000
    maintain cost/year)
  – Adding 700 phone line and 20 T-1 to the hot site and
    run the business.
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management




          Critical Success Factors

• Preparedness
    – Intensive preparation after the WTC
      bombing in 1993
         • NYBOT: started to build the hot site in 1995
         • AON: prepared disaster recovery plan
    – Y2K preparation
         • Merrill Lynch: prepare the data center for
           the computer malfunctions.
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management




           Critical Success Factors

• Action
  – Rapid decision making procedures
       • Marsh and McLennan: rapidly decided the
         office relocations and
  – Knowledgeable technical staffs and vendor's
    supports
       • NYBOT: added the phone line and T-1 lines
         within one day with vendor’s quick supports.
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management




           Technology for surviving

• Mirroring (data shadowing)
  – Merrill Lynch used this technology to protect
    critical data as a part of their Y2K preparation
  – Many e-commerce companies use this technique to
    transfer the important data
  – Version and IBM start to service the rerouting
    calls service from a damaged office to another
    location
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management




            Technology for surviving

• Clustering/zoning
   – Isolation technique to prevent localized failure
     impacting the entire storage system.
• Wireless technology
   – NOBOT: distributed 200 cells to trader after the
     attack
   – After the attack, many companies consider wireless
     network service options for reliable data
     communications.
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management




           Technology for surviving

• Data redundancy
  – Successfully recovered companies had a redundancy
    data (customer records, transactions records) in other
    locations.
  – Hot site and cold site is also part of redundancy
    strategies.
  – Doing regular data/log back up and save them to
    multiple places are the key.
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management



                    Next Tasks
 Determine what caused discrepancies
 between the outliers, and confirm our
 findings regarding market absorption of
 financial loss,
 Investigate strategic impact on corporations
 not directly impacted by WTC attack and
 compare with sample companies.
 Interviews, surveys will investigate specific
 eCommerce issues
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management




                How was                    Framework for Analysis
                it used?                   of Strategic Impacts


                                                                           What was
                                  How did             What was
What was                                                                   modified or
                                  it work?            learned?
in place?                                                                   changed?




               What was
              improvised?

                                       Revised Corporate Strategy

                                       Investments in preparedness
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management



             Expected Results
Unique evaluation of financial impacts of
WTC attacks on large corporations.

Evaluation of corporate preparedness, disaster
recovery and business continuity strategies
procedures, and technology.

Evaluation of survival techniques and
Technologies for eCommerce

Better understanding of impact of extreme events
events on corporate strategy, plans, & investment
The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management




                            Questions?


For additional information contact John R. Harrald at
   jharrald@gwu.edu
   (202) 994-7153
   www.gwu.edu/~icdrm

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E commerce052503

  • 1. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management The Survivals of eCommerce Systems After the WTC Attacks John R. Harrald, Ph.D. Youn Hee Kim, M.S. Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management The George Washington University Supported by NSF Grant CMS 0219953
  • 2. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management Contents • Project overview • Research method • eCommerce system recovery overview at WTC • Technology for surviving • Future research tasks
  • 3. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management September 11, 2001
  • 4. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management September 11, 2001 • 19 terrorists hijacked 4 aircraft for suicide attacks • Almost 3000 people killed • In Manhattan: - 34.5 million ft2 office space lost - $50-70 billion in insured losses • Most of these direct economic losses were incurred by the private sector
  • 5. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management Terrorist Groups are Targeting U.S. and World Economy “The settlement of this overburdened account will indeed be heavy. We will also aim to continue, by permission of Allah, the destruction of the American economy.” Ayman Al-Zawahiri, head of Al-Qaeda operational planning (6 October, 2002)
  • 6. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management Project overview • National Science Foundation Funded the study: Financial and Strategic impacts of the attacks on large publicly held corporations. • Project consists of three sections – Section 1: Organizational strategies for coping with extreme events – Sections 2: System recovery from extreme events – Section 3: Defining of a common body of knowledge for executive level crisis managements of extreme events
  • 7. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management Research method • Select target companies out of 330 companies in WTC • Compare the financial performance for 18 months by using stock price. • Conduct personal interviews and surveys to CEOs, CIOs and other executive officers and technical personnel • Analyze data and compare the result of three sections
  • 8. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management Selection of Companies GOAL: To sort through the thousands of companies that had been directly affected by the attacks in order to formulate a list of 20 and 25 companies to be studied www.tenantwise.com
  • 9. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management Results • Company 30, Fast Recovery Example
  • 10. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management Results Company 33, Non-Recovery Example
  • 11. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management Results Ranked Average change in Stock price between 9/11/2001 & 3/11/2003
  • 12. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management Research method for the section 2: system recovery from extreme events
  • 13. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management eCommerce system recovery overview at WTC • Merrill Lynch, one of the largest investment firm – Number of employees lost : 3 – Amount of office space lost: 2,083,555 – Physical location affected: 4 World Financial Center, Whole Building – 2002 revenue: $28.5billion – Headquarters: 4 World Financial Center, New York, NY 10080
  • 14. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management eCommerce system recovery overview at WTC • Merrill Lynch, one of the largest investment firm – Returned back to work within 24hours – Transferring trading operations to London, Tokyo and Hong Kong – Used their web site to communicate relocation and emergency transportation information to employees
  • 15. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management Merrill Lynch stock performance
  • 16. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management eCommerce system recovery overview at WTC • Citigroup – Number of employees lost: 3 – Amount of office space lost : 7 WTC (7 WTC was leased to Citicorp) – 2002 net income before taxes: $ 20.537 billion – Headquarters: Citigroup Inc. 399 Park Avenue, New York, NY, 10043
  • 17. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management eCommerce system recovery overview at WTC • Citigroup – Returned back to work within 24 hours – Transferred Series of computer and backup data to another branches (as far as London) – Obtain a spare office location for emergency use
  • 18. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management eCommerce system recovery overview at WTC • Marsh & McLennan Cos. – Number of employees: 295 (mostly, IT staffs) – Amount of office space lost: 600,000 sq.ft. (North Tower, Floors 93-100 ) – 2002 revenue: $10.4 billion – Headquarters: 1166 Avenue of the Americas, New York City, NY
  • 19. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management eCommerce system recovery overview at WTC • Marsh & McLennan Cos. – Came back to work few days after the attack – Using the international structure, the firm quickly pulled lost data from other locations – Relocated workers to New Jersey and Pennsylvania within 7-10 days
  • 20. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management Marsh & McLennan stock performance
  • 21. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management eCommerce system recovery overview at WTC • NYBOT(New York Board Of Trade) – Parent company of coffee, sugar and cocoa exchange Inc.(CSCE) and the New York Cotton Exchange (NYCE). – Lost its primary trading facility in WTC – Lost the main trading machines in WTC
  • 22. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management eCommerce system recovery overview at WTC • NYBOT(New York Board Of Trade) – Returned back to the normal situation after 7 days (Monday, Sept. 17th) – Prepared the hot site with Comdisco (commercial disaster recovery service bureau in 1993, $300,000 maintain cost/year) – Adding 700 phone line and 20 T-1 to the hot site and run the business.
  • 23. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management Critical Success Factors • Preparedness – Intensive preparation after the WTC bombing in 1993 • NYBOT: started to build the hot site in 1995 • AON: prepared disaster recovery plan – Y2K preparation • Merrill Lynch: prepare the data center for the computer malfunctions.
  • 24. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management Critical Success Factors • Action – Rapid decision making procedures • Marsh and McLennan: rapidly decided the office relocations and – Knowledgeable technical staffs and vendor's supports • NYBOT: added the phone line and T-1 lines within one day with vendor’s quick supports.
  • 25. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management Technology for surviving • Mirroring (data shadowing) – Merrill Lynch used this technology to protect critical data as a part of their Y2K preparation – Many e-commerce companies use this technique to transfer the important data – Version and IBM start to service the rerouting calls service from a damaged office to another location
  • 26. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management Technology for surviving • Clustering/zoning – Isolation technique to prevent localized failure impacting the entire storage system. • Wireless technology – NOBOT: distributed 200 cells to trader after the attack – After the attack, many companies consider wireless network service options for reliable data communications.
  • 27. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management Technology for surviving • Data redundancy – Successfully recovered companies had a redundancy data (customer records, transactions records) in other locations. – Hot site and cold site is also part of redundancy strategies. – Doing regular data/log back up and save them to multiple places are the key.
  • 28. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management Next Tasks Determine what caused discrepancies between the outliers, and confirm our findings regarding market absorption of financial loss, Investigate strategic impact on corporations not directly impacted by WTC attack and compare with sample companies. Interviews, surveys will investigate specific eCommerce issues
  • 29. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management How was Framework for Analysis it used? of Strategic Impacts What was How did What was What was modified or it work? learned? in place? changed? What was improvised? Revised Corporate Strategy Investments in preparedness
  • 30. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management Expected Results Unique evaluation of financial impacts of WTC attacks on large corporations. Evaluation of corporate preparedness, disaster recovery and business continuity strategies procedures, and technology. Evaluation of survival techniques and Technologies for eCommerce Better understanding of impact of extreme events events on corporate strategy, plans, & investment
  • 31. The George Washington University Institute for Crisis, Disaster, and Risk Management Questions? For additional information contact John R. Harrald at jharrald@gwu.edu (202) 994-7153 www.gwu.edu/~icdrm