SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Emerging HSCRC Methodologies

    Mary Beth Pohl         James Case
    Deputy Director,        Manager
Research and Methodology   KPMG LLP
         HSCRC
Population Health Incentives under a CMS
   Model Testing Demonstration Alter
      HSCRC Methodology Focus
• Today’s Discussion:
   – Incentives under the Medicare Waiver and under a new CMS model
     testing demonstration
   – Emerging tools & methodologies for success under a CMS model
     testing demonstration




                                                                      2
Healthcare Challenges During Waiver
          Negotiations in the 1980s
• Inpatient costs were rising rapidly across the U.S.
   – Driver: Medicare and Medicaid cost-based reimbursement
• Medicare, Medicaid, and Maryland did not recognize the costs
  of providing care to uninsured as a reimbursable expense.
• Hospitals serving large proportions of non-paying patients
  were threatened with insolvency.
   – Issues of access for patients




                                                              3
What Financial Policy Incentives Does
       the Medicare Waiver Promote?

                             • Lower utilization in the inpatient
                               setting on a per case basis
                             • Equity in payment across payers
 Medicare Waiver Test =          – Inability to cost shift, especially from
                                   public to private payers
Expenditures Per Discharge
                             • Access to care, shared cost of
                               social goods
                             • Solvency of efficient and effective
                               hospitals




                                                                      4
Medicare Waiver Successes and
                        Limitations
    Successes                                  Limitations
•    Cumulative growth rate in the             •   Per discharge cost is the highest in the
     Maryland inpatient charge per case has        nation
     outperformed the nation                   •   Outpatient expenditures not well
                                                   constrained
•    Maryland has incredible hospital access   •   The system is volume-based leading
     to care for all patient populations           to potential overutilization
•    Maryland has been innovative in           •   Difficulty in aligning with physician
     system design of care related to cost         financial incentives
     containment, quality, etc.                •   Cannot engage in certain CMS
                                                   initiatives under the ACA




                                                                                         5
What Financial Policy Incentives Does a CMS
  Model Testing Demonstration Promote?
                    • Lower inpatient and outpatient utilization
                      per capita
                    • Inpatient and outpatient cost containment
                    • Equity in payment across payers
 Model Testing =
                        – Inability to cost shift, especially from public to
 Expenditures Per         private payers
   Population       • Access to care, shared cost of social goods
                    • Solvency of efficient and effective
                      hospitals
                    • Alignment of incentives across hospital
                      and professional providers


                                                                      6
The HSCRC’s Role in Enhancing
             Population Health
• CMS continues to pursue hospital reimbursement models that
  shift operational mindsets to serve populations in geographic
  areas with low cost, high quality care.
   – Three part aim:
      Better health care (enhance patient experience, improve quality)
      Better health (healthy lifestyles, wider use of preventative care)
      Reduce cost
• Under a model testing demonstration, HSCRC methodologies
  must align with drivers to improve population health.



                                                                           7
Model Testing Methods
• Unit rates, annual update factor, and the variable cost factor
• Reasonableness of charges
• Hospital revenue constraint
   – Admission-Readmission Revenue (“ARR”)
   – Total Patient Revenue (“TPR”)
   – Population-based Reimbursement (“PBR”)
• New authorities
   – ACOs, Gain Sharing
   – Bundled Payments
• Quality


                                                                   8
Unit Rates Underlay HSCRC Methodologies
    1980     1990                2000              2010 2012 2013


            GIR (1985 – 2000)


                    TPR (1980 – Current)


                                        CPC (2000 – Current)

                                                           ARR
                                                          (2012)

                                                      PBR
                                                   (TBD, 2013)

               Unit Rates (1974 – Current)




                                                                    9
Annual Update Factor and
               Volume Adjustment
• Under a model testing demonstration, HSCRC regulatory
  authority will continue to rely on the annual update factor and
  variable cost factor as revenue control levers.
• HSCRC will need to recast application of the annual update
  factor and variable cost factor under a population-based
  constraint
   – Maryland must develop a robust all payer database




                                                                10
HSCRC Must Also Recast Reasonableness
   of Charges (ROC) Methodologies
• Tools to compare hospital charges continue to serve an
  important role under a model testing demonstration
• HSCRC must recast the ROC to align with a population based
  constraint
• HSCRC is also investigating data sources for national
  comparisons




                                                           11
31 Hospitals Entered into ARR Agreements for
                   FY 2012
• Mercy                                    • Anne Arundel Medical Center
• LifeBridge - Sinai                       • Bon Secours
• LifeBridge - Northwest                   • St. Joseph Medical Center
• UMMS - Baltimore Washington Medical      • MedStar - Franklin Square
Center                                     • MedStar - Good Samaritan
• UMMS - Civista Medical Center            • MedStar - Harbor Hospital
• UMMS - Harford Memorial Hospital         • MedStar - St. Mary's Hospital
• UMMS - Kernan Hospital                   • MedStar - Montgomery General Hospital
• UMMS - Maryland General Hospital         • MedStar - Union Memorial Hospital
• UMMS - Upper Chesapeake Medical Center   • Holy Cross Hospital
• UMMS - University of Maryland Medical    • Washington Adventist Hospital
Center                                     • Shady Grove Adventist Hospital
• JHHS - Johns Hopkins Hospital            • Peninsula Regional
• JHHS - Johns Hopkins Bayview Medical     • Doctors
Center                                     • GBMC
• JHHS - Howard County General Hospital    • Frederick Regional Health System
• JHHS - Suburban Hospital                 • Saint Agnes



                                                                                 12
ARR is a Voluntary Revenue Constraint
   Program Developed by the HSCRC
• ARR provides hospitals a financial incentive to more
  effectively coordinate care and reduce unnecessary
  readmissions to their facilities
   – Inpatient: all-cause, all-DRG, 30-day readmissions window
   – Current focus on readmissions within the facility or within
     the hospital system for “linked system hospitals”
• Three year program beginning in FY 2012; currently
  in Year 2 of three year agreements



                                                               13
ARR Builds Upon the Inpatient CPC
       to Develop Bundled Weights
• In weight development, HSCRC bundles CPC weights into
  Charge Per Episode (CPE) weights
   – For a given DRG-SOI, CPE approved revenue is higher than CPC
     equivalents
• When grouping hospital discharges, HSCRC credits hospitals
  with all weight associated with a 30-day episode of care
  window at the initial admission
   – Readmissions receive no weight
• A hospitals financially “wins” by reducing readmissions on a
  case mix adjusted basis by retaining 30-day CPE weight, while
  reducing the costs associated with the readmission


                                                                    14
Using Medicare Data, Maryland has the Nation’s
            Highest Readmissions Rate
25.0%
          MD
         21.6%
                                         Medicare Hospital Readmission Rate 2010
                                                           US
20.0%
                                                           18.2%



15.0%




10.0%




5.0%




0.0%
        1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54
                                                                                             Source: Institute of Medicine Geographic Variation Data Base




                                                                                                                                                         15
Medicare Readmission Rates per 1,000 Beneficiaries
                                                                   MD          US
25


        21.11
                  20.39
20                          19.2                19.09     19.06
                                      18.64                                                  18.51
                                                                     17.97
                                                                                    17.48              17.41
                                                                                                                 16.3      16.29     15.92

15
        15.44                                                                                15.04
                  14.91                         14.96     14.64
                            14.32     14.31                             14.3        14.34              14.33
                                                                                                                 13.77     13.51     13.78

10




 5



                                                                                                                   ARR Program
 0
       Q1 2009   Q2 2009   Q3 2009   Q4 2009   Q1 2010   Q2 2010    Q3 2010     Q4 2010     Q1 2011   Q2 2011   Q3 2011   Q4 2011   Q1 2012

     Source: Delmarva Foundation




                                                                                                                                       16
HSCRC Must Seek Exemption from
    CMS Readmissions Program in FY 2014
• ACA provides Maryland an avenue to gain exemption from CMS’
  Readmissions Reduction Program
   – FY 2013 IPPS final rule gives Maryland a pass on applying for the exemptions
• Next year, HSCRC anticipates needing to submit an exemption
  request demonstrating how Maryland’s ARR program meets or
  exceeds Medicare’s program (savings and outcomes)
• HSCRC and CMS staff discussed Maryland’s program structure
   – Maryland’s program viewed as “all carrot and no stick”
   – Strong indication that HSCRC must move ARR into model with explicit
     Medicare savings to exemption in FFY 2014



                                                                            17
ARR Policy Likely to Evolve
• Modification 1: Modifying ARR into a Shared Savings Model
   – Preliminary options:
       • Scaling approach that is not revenue neutral while setting the bar at a
         threshold in line with low readmission facilities – data challenges
       • Target modification –level of modification required, need modeling
• Modification 2: Readmissions Payment Methodology for All
   – Hospitals not under an alternative agreement will adhere to payment
     methodologies of ARR
• Modification 3: Move one-day stay cases back into CPC/CPE
   – ARR “wins” held neutral for decrease in one-day stay cases
                                 Stay Tuned…


                                                                                   18
Total Patient Revenue, a Global Budget
 Arrangement, is in Place for 10 Hospitals
• Establishes a global budget for all inpatient and outpatient
  hospital services for a facility
   – Annually, each TPR hospital global budget inflated by the annual
     update factor, plus a population adjustment (capped); no case mix
     adjustment
• Best serves hospitals with defined catchment areas
• HSCRC developing TPR monitoring tools
   – More timely snapshots, merging case mix and financial information
• TPR hospitals in year 3 of three year agreements
   – Discussions happening for next TPR agreements



                                                                         19
Population-Based Reimbursement (“PBR”)

• In alignment with CMS’ goals to provide incentives for
  hospitals treating populations, the HSCRC has begun
  exploring concepts in Population Health Management
• The methodology is still in development but it’s concepts are
  as follows.




                                                                  20
PBR Methodology – In Development

• It is important to understand the components of the PBR
  concept:
   – Geographic area → controls activity (cases and visits) in identified zip
     codes
   – Hospital spending → includes both inpatient and outpatient services
   – Major services lines → responsible only for services that they provide
       • Excludes tertiary services
       • Excludes specialty services




                                                                            21
PBR Methodology – In Development
Geographic Area
• The defined geographic area must be an area that the PBR
  hospital controls
• Control is defined at the zip code level on a percentage basis.
  Options under consideration include a range:
   – 25% to 75%
• Approximately 50% of the patient activity suggests the PBR
  hospital has significant market penetration to influence patient
  health
   – Less than 50% may not provide significant control




                                                                     22
PBR Methodology – In Development

Hospital Spending
• The PBR encompasses the HSCRC regulated charges in the
  PBR zip codes for all hospitals
   – It includes both inpatient and outpatient charges
• PBR zip code thresholds could be set using an equivalent case




                                                              23
PBR Methodology – In Development
Major Service Lines
• PBR hospitals would only be responsible for services they provide
   – For example: If the PBR hospital did not provide obstetric services,
     they would be excluded from the PBR.
   – Currently testing methodologies for service exclusion:
       • APR-DRG basis for inpatient services
       • CPT/ICD-9 basis for outpatient services
• Other exclusions could include services outside the PBR hospital’s
  control. For example:
   – Tertiary services (example: certain services provided JHH and UMMC)
   – Specialty services (example: certain services provided at Kernan)



                                                                           24
Methods Requiring CMS Authorization
• Under a model testing demonstration, Maryland may request
  authority for methods not currently available to the state
   – ACOs
   – Gain sharing
   – Bundled payments
• Maryland’s all payer hospital system provides power of scale to
  magnify system savings under ACOs, gain sharing, and bundled
  payment initiatives
   – We recognize the need of these methods to enhance TPR, PBR, and ARR
   – However, translating these to an all payer environment is not well defined;
     will require much activity to establish the programs



                                                                           25
Bundled Payments

• Maryland hospitals were not permitted to participate in CMS’
  Bundled Payment initiative
• One of the most valuable parts of applying for the bundled
  payment initiative was access to the underlying data




                                                                 26
Bundled Payments

• How could bundled payments work in Maryland without the
  participation of physicians, post-acute providers, and other
  provider entities?
• Bundled payments are not a new concept
   – Charge per case
   – Charge per episode
   – Alternative Rate Methodologies (“ARM”)




                                                                 27
Bundled Payments

• Alternative Rate Arrangements (“ARM”)
   – The Commission may permit arrangements to accept financial risk for
     the provision of hospital services under certain conditions and
     circumstances.
       •   Capitated contracts
       •   Global pricing
       •   Case-rate pricing
       •   Procedure-based pricing
   – Must be based on underlying cost
   – Must be available to all payers on the same terms and conditions




                                                                           28
Quality
• Under a new CMS model testing demonstration hospital and
  system quality continues to be important
   – CMS will require monitoring across a range of indicators including access
     to care and patient experience
   – CMS also will require reporting
• Continue to move forward initiatives to keep pace with CMS
  quality programs




                                                                            29
In Conclusion…

• The State is working with CMS to develop a CMS model
  testing demonstration with incentives around population health
  management.
• The HSCRC’s tools and methodologies must support the shift
  in this operational mindset.
• It will take significant efforts from HSCRC and hospital staff
  to develop thoughtful methods to succeed under this new
  model testing approach.




                                                              30
Emerging HSCRC Methodologies

     Mary Beth Pohl           James Case
     Deputy Director,          Manager
 Research and Methodology     KPMG LLP
          HSCRC
Mary.Pohl@maryland.gov      jcase@kpmg.com

More Related Content

PDF
Webinar: Comprehensive End-Stage Renal Disease Care (CEC) Model - Application...
PDF
Webinar: Primary Care First Model Options - Payment
PDF
Webinar: Comprehensive Primary Care Initiative - For Primary Care Physicians
PDF
Webinar: Beneficiary Engagement and Incentives: Direct Decision Support (DDS)...
PDF
Webinar: Frontier Community Health Integration Project Demonstration - Introd...
PDF
Navigating The Oncology Care Maze
PDF
Accountable Care Organizations: Savings, Quality, and Information Technology
PDF
Mark Zezza: Moving towards accountable care in the US
Webinar: Comprehensive End-Stage Renal Disease Care (CEC) Model - Application...
Webinar: Primary Care First Model Options - Payment
Webinar: Comprehensive Primary Care Initiative - For Primary Care Physicians
Webinar: Beneficiary Engagement and Incentives: Direct Decision Support (DDS)...
Webinar: Frontier Community Health Integration Project Demonstration - Introd...
Navigating The Oncology Care Maze
Accountable Care Organizations: Savings, Quality, and Information Technology
Mark Zezza: Moving towards accountable care in the US

What's hot (20)

PDF
Webinar: Strong Start - Partnerships Between States and Applicants
PDF
Webinar: Medicare Advantage Value-Based Insurance Design Model - Hospice Inte...
PDF
Health Care Reform - Now What Do We Do
PDF
Webinar: Accountable Health Comunities Model - Overview & Application Require...
PDF
Webinar: Strong Start Delivering Enhanced Prenatal Care
PDF
Webinar: Medicare Advantage Value-Based Insurance Design Model - Model Year 1...
PDF
Open Door Forum: Comprehensive End Stage Renal Disease Care Initiative - Req...
PDF
Webinar: Health Care Innovation Awards Round Two - Overview of Categories One...
PDF
Open Door Forum: Next Generation ACO Model - 2017 Letter of Intent Overview
PDF
Webinar 2 of 2: Emergency Triage, Treat, and Transport (ET3) Model - Overview
PPTX
Accountable Care Organizations: A Look at ACO Design and Implementation
PDF
Explaining Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs): Key Strategies for Educatin...
PDF
Webinar: Bundled Payments for Care Improvemement Initiative - Overview and Pa...
PDF
Webinar: Medicare Advantage Value-Based Insurance Design Model - 2022 Request...
PDF
Conference Call: Strong Start for Mothers and Newborns
PDF
Webinar: Accountable Health Communities Model - State Medicaid Agency Roles
PDF
Evolution of Accountable Care Organization (ACO) Initiatives at CMS - Public ...
PDF
Webinar: Comprehensive Primary Care Plus - Interested Payer Overview
Webinar: Strong Start - Partnerships Between States and Applicants
Webinar: Medicare Advantage Value-Based Insurance Design Model - Hospice Inte...
Health Care Reform - Now What Do We Do
Webinar: Accountable Health Comunities Model - Overview & Application Require...
Webinar: Strong Start Delivering Enhanced Prenatal Care
Webinar: Medicare Advantage Value-Based Insurance Design Model - Model Year 1...
Open Door Forum: Comprehensive End Stage Renal Disease Care Initiative - Req...
Webinar: Health Care Innovation Awards Round Two - Overview of Categories One...
Open Door Forum: Next Generation ACO Model - 2017 Letter of Intent Overview
Webinar 2 of 2: Emergency Triage, Treat, and Transport (ET3) Model - Overview
Accountable Care Organizations: A Look at ACO Design and Implementation
Explaining Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs): Key Strategies for Educatin...
Webinar: Bundled Payments for Care Improvemement Initiative - Overview and Pa...
Webinar: Medicare Advantage Value-Based Insurance Design Model - 2022 Request...
Conference Call: Strong Start for Mothers and Newborns
Webinar: Accountable Health Communities Model - State Medicaid Agency Roles
Evolution of Accountable Care Organization (ACO) Initiatives at CMS - Public ...
Webinar: Comprehensive Primary Care Plus - Interested Payer Overview
Ad

Similar to Emerging hscrc methodologies case pohl (final) (20)

PPTX
Aco Overview For Ahca V32
PPTX
Future of Nursing - Fort Wayne
PDF
Future Medical Staff Models Leaders For Today 10.23.09
PPTX
Future of Nursing - Crown Point
PDF
Webinar: CMS Innovation Center Update
PDF
William Shrank: Payment reform activities at CMS
PPT
The Economics of Health Reform: Implications for Health Professionals
PDF
Webinar: State Innovation Models Initiative - Overview
PPT
Ohio aug 2012 (cmprssd)
PDF
PDF
Automated Post-Discharge Care: An Essential Tool to Reduce Readmissions
PDF
Torsten Hecke: Predictive models in health care management in a German statut...
PDF
Medicaid: An Edge of Your Seat View of Medicaid Risk Adjustment by Bonnie Burke
PDF
Options For Financing Health Reform Comparing The Impact Of Selected Policy O...
PPT
815 039 aco summit mw v4final
PDF
IBM and Cincom: Guiding Smarter Interactions in Healthcare Reform
PPTX
Using clinical co-management to improve quality and keep physicians
PDF
Kaiser Slides on People-Who are Dually Eligible for Medicare-and-medicaid-med...
 
PPTX
Albany 26th oct 2011
Aco Overview For Ahca V32
Future of Nursing - Fort Wayne
Future Medical Staff Models Leaders For Today 10.23.09
Future of Nursing - Crown Point
Webinar: CMS Innovation Center Update
William Shrank: Payment reform activities at CMS
The Economics of Health Reform: Implications for Health Professionals
Webinar: State Innovation Models Initiative - Overview
Ohio aug 2012 (cmprssd)
Automated Post-Discharge Care: An Essential Tool to Reduce Readmissions
Torsten Hecke: Predictive models in health care management in a German statut...
Medicaid: An Edge of Your Seat View of Medicaid Risk Adjustment by Bonnie Burke
Options For Financing Health Reform Comparing The Impact Of Selected Policy O...
815 039 aco summit mw v4final
IBM and Cincom: Guiding Smarter Interactions in Healthcare Reform
Using clinical co-management to improve quality and keep physicians
Kaiser Slides on People-Who are Dually Eligible for Medicare-and-medicaid-med...
 
Albany 26th oct 2011
Ad

Recently uploaded (20)

PDF
Booking.com The Global AI Sentiment Report 2025
PDF
1911 Gold Corporate Presentation Aug 2025.pdf
PPTX
basic introduction to research chapter 1.pptx
PDF
NISM Series V-A MFD Workbook v December 2024.khhhjtgvwevoypdnew one must use ...
DOCX
Handbook of Entrepreneurship- Chapter 5: Identifying business opportunity.docx
DOCX
80 DE ÔN VÀO 10 NĂM 2023vhkkkjjhhhhjjjj
PPTX
2025 Product Deck V1.0.pptxCATALOGTCLCIA
PPTX
Astra-Investor- business Presentation (1).pptx
PDF
THE COMPLETE GUIDE TO BUILDING PASSIVE INCOME ONLINE
PDF
Digital Marketing & E-commerce Certificate Glossary.pdf.................
PDF
NEW - FEES STRUCTURES (01-july-2024).pdf
PDF
Family Law: The Role of Communication in Mediation (www.kiu.ac.ug)
PPTX
Board-Reporting-Package-by-Umbrex-5-23-23.pptx
PDF
Satish NS: Fostering Innovation and Sustainability: Haier India’s Customer-Ce...
PDF
ANALYZING THE OPPORTUNITIES OF DIGITAL MARKETING IN BANGLADESH TO PROVIDE AN ...
PDF
TyAnn Osborn: A Visionary Leader Shaping Corporate Workforce Dynamics
PDF
Daniels 2024 Inclusive, Sustainable Development
PDF
Tata consultancy services case study shri Sharda college, basrur
PPTX
CTG - Business Update 2Q2025 & 6M2025.pptx
PDF
Keppel_Proposed Divestment of M1 Limited
Booking.com The Global AI Sentiment Report 2025
1911 Gold Corporate Presentation Aug 2025.pdf
basic introduction to research chapter 1.pptx
NISM Series V-A MFD Workbook v December 2024.khhhjtgvwevoypdnew one must use ...
Handbook of Entrepreneurship- Chapter 5: Identifying business opportunity.docx
80 DE ÔN VÀO 10 NĂM 2023vhkkkjjhhhhjjjj
2025 Product Deck V1.0.pptxCATALOGTCLCIA
Astra-Investor- business Presentation (1).pptx
THE COMPLETE GUIDE TO BUILDING PASSIVE INCOME ONLINE
Digital Marketing & E-commerce Certificate Glossary.pdf.................
NEW - FEES STRUCTURES (01-july-2024).pdf
Family Law: The Role of Communication in Mediation (www.kiu.ac.ug)
Board-Reporting-Package-by-Umbrex-5-23-23.pptx
Satish NS: Fostering Innovation and Sustainability: Haier India’s Customer-Ce...
ANALYZING THE OPPORTUNITIES OF DIGITAL MARKETING IN BANGLADESH TO PROVIDE AN ...
TyAnn Osborn: A Visionary Leader Shaping Corporate Workforce Dynamics
Daniels 2024 Inclusive, Sustainable Development
Tata consultancy services case study shri Sharda college, basrur
CTG - Business Update 2Q2025 & 6M2025.pptx
Keppel_Proposed Divestment of M1 Limited

Emerging hscrc methodologies case pohl (final)

  • 1. Emerging HSCRC Methodologies Mary Beth Pohl James Case Deputy Director, Manager Research and Methodology KPMG LLP HSCRC
  • 2. Population Health Incentives under a CMS Model Testing Demonstration Alter HSCRC Methodology Focus • Today’s Discussion: – Incentives under the Medicare Waiver and under a new CMS model testing demonstration – Emerging tools & methodologies for success under a CMS model testing demonstration 2
  • 3. Healthcare Challenges During Waiver Negotiations in the 1980s • Inpatient costs were rising rapidly across the U.S. – Driver: Medicare and Medicaid cost-based reimbursement • Medicare, Medicaid, and Maryland did not recognize the costs of providing care to uninsured as a reimbursable expense. • Hospitals serving large proportions of non-paying patients were threatened with insolvency. – Issues of access for patients 3
  • 4. What Financial Policy Incentives Does the Medicare Waiver Promote? • Lower utilization in the inpatient setting on a per case basis • Equity in payment across payers Medicare Waiver Test = – Inability to cost shift, especially from public to private payers Expenditures Per Discharge • Access to care, shared cost of social goods • Solvency of efficient and effective hospitals 4
  • 5. Medicare Waiver Successes and Limitations Successes Limitations • Cumulative growth rate in the • Per discharge cost is the highest in the Maryland inpatient charge per case has nation outperformed the nation • Outpatient expenditures not well constrained • Maryland has incredible hospital access • The system is volume-based leading to care for all patient populations to potential overutilization • Maryland has been innovative in • Difficulty in aligning with physician system design of care related to cost financial incentives containment, quality, etc. • Cannot engage in certain CMS initiatives under the ACA 5
  • 6. What Financial Policy Incentives Does a CMS Model Testing Demonstration Promote? • Lower inpatient and outpatient utilization per capita • Inpatient and outpatient cost containment • Equity in payment across payers Model Testing = – Inability to cost shift, especially from public to Expenditures Per private payers Population • Access to care, shared cost of social goods • Solvency of efficient and effective hospitals • Alignment of incentives across hospital and professional providers 6
  • 7. The HSCRC’s Role in Enhancing Population Health • CMS continues to pursue hospital reimbursement models that shift operational mindsets to serve populations in geographic areas with low cost, high quality care. – Three part aim: Better health care (enhance patient experience, improve quality) Better health (healthy lifestyles, wider use of preventative care) Reduce cost • Under a model testing demonstration, HSCRC methodologies must align with drivers to improve population health. 7
  • 8. Model Testing Methods • Unit rates, annual update factor, and the variable cost factor • Reasonableness of charges • Hospital revenue constraint – Admission-Readmission Revenue (“ARR”) – Total Patient Revenue (“TPR”) – Population-based Reimbursement (“PBR”) • New authorities – ACOs, Gain Sharing – Bundled Payments • Quality 8
  • 9. Unit Rates Underlay HSCRC Methodologies 1980 1990 2000 2010 2012 2013 GIR (1985 – 2000) TPR (1980 – Current) CPC (2000 – Current) ARR (2012) PBR (TBD, 2013) Unit Rates (1974 – Current) 9
  • 10. Annual Update Factor and Volume Adjustment • Under a model testing demonstration, HSCRC regulatory authority will continue to rely on the annual update factor and variable cost factor as revenue control levers. • HSCRC will need to recast application of the annual update factor and variable cost factor under a population-based constraint – Maryland must develop a robust all payer database 10
  • 11. HSCRC Must Also Recast Reasonableness of Charges (ROC) Methodologies • Tools to compare hospital charges continue to serve an important role under a model testing demonstration • HSCRC must recast the ROC to align with a population based constraint • HSCRC is also investigating data sources for national comparisons 11
  • 12. 31 Hospitals Entered into ARR Agreements for FY 2012 • Mercy • Anne Arundel Medical Center • LifeBridge - Sinai • Bon Secours • LifeBridge - Northwest • St. Joseph Medical Center • UMMS - Baltimore Washington Medical • MedStar - Franklin Square Center • MedStar - Good Samaritan • UMMS - Civista Medical Center • MedStar - Harbor Hospital • UMMS - Harford Memorial Hospital • MedStar - St. Mary's Hospital • UMMS - Kernan Hospital • MedStar - Montgomery General Hospital • UMMS - Maryland General Hospital • MedStar - Union Memorial Hospital • UMMS - Upper Chesapeake Medical Center • Holy Cross Hospital • UMMS - University of Maryland Medical • Washington Adventist Hospital Center • Shady Grove Adventist Hospital • JHHS - Johns Hopkins Hospital • Peninsula Regional • JHHS - Johns Hopkins Bayview Medical • Doctors Center • GBMC • JHHS - Howard County General Hospital • Frederick Regional Health System • JHHS - Suburban Hospital • Saint Agnes 12
  • 13. ARR is a Voluntary Revenue Constraint Program Developed by the HSCRC • ARR provides hospitals a financial incentive to more effectively coordinate care and reduce unnecessary readmissions to their facilities – Inpatient: all-cause, all-DRG, 30-day readmissions window – Current focus on readmissions within the facility or within the hospital system for “linked system hospitals” • Three year program beginning in FY 2012; currently in Year 2 of three year agreements 13
  • 14. ARR Builds Upon the Inpatient CPC to Develop Bundled Weights • In weight development, HSCRC bundles CPC weights into Charge Per Episode (CPE) weights – For a given DRG-SOI, CPE approved revenue is higher than CPC equivalents • When grouping hospital discharges, HSCRC credits hospitals with all weight associated with a 30-day episode of care window at the initial admission – Readmissions receive no weight • A hospitals financially “wins” by reducing readmissions on a case mix adjusted basis by retaining 30-day CPE weight, while reducing the costs associated with the readmission 14
  • 15. Using Medicare Data, Maryland has the Nation’s Highest Readmissions Rate 25.0% MD 21.6% Medicare Hospital Readmission Rate 2010 US 20.0% 18.2% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 Source: Institute of Medicine Geographic Variation Data Base 15
  • 16. Medicare Readmission Rates per 1,000 Beneficiaries MD US 25 21.11 20.39 20 19.2 19.09 19.06 18.64 18.51 17.97 17.48 17.41 16.3 16.29 15.92 15 15.44 15.04 14.91 14.96 14.64 14.32 14.31 14.3 14.34 14.33 13.77 13.51 13.78 10 5 ARR Program 0 Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Source: Delmarva Foundation 16
  • 17. HSCRC Must Seek Exemption from CMS Readmissions Program in FY 2014 • ACA provides Maryland an avenue to gain exemption from CMS’ Readmissions Reduction Program – FY 2013 IPPS final rule gives Maryland a pass on applying for the exemptions • Next year, HSCRC anticipates needing to submit an exemption request demonstrating how Maryland’s ARR program meets or exceeds Medicare’s program (savings and outcomes) • HSCRC and CMS staff discussed Maryland’s program structure – Maryland’s program viewed as “all carrot and no stick” – Strong indication that HSCRC must move ARR into model with explicit Medicare savings to exemption in FFY 2014 17
  • 18. ARR Policy Likely to Evolve • Modification 1: Modifying ARR into a Shared Savings Model – Preliminary options: • Scaling approach that is not revenue neutral while setting the bar at a threshold in line with low readmission facilities – data challenges • Target modification –level of modification required, need modeling • Modification 2: Readmissions Payment Methodology for All – Hospitals not under an alternative agreement will adhere to payment methodologies of ARR • Modification 3: Move one-day stay cases back into CPC/CPE – ARR “wins” held neutral for decrease in one-day stay cases Stay Tuned… 18
  • 19. Total Patient Revenue, a Global Budget Arrangement, is in Place for 10 Hospitals • Establishes a global budget for all inpatient and outpatient hospital services for a facility – Annually, each TPR hospital global budget inflated by the annual update factor, plus a population adjustment (capped); no case mix adjustment • Best serves hospitals with defined catchment areas • HSCRC developing TPR monitoring tools – More timely snapshots, merging case mix and financial information • TPR hospitals in year 3 of three year agreements – Discussions happening for next TPR agreements 19
  • 20. Population-Based Reimbursement (“PBR”) • In alignment with CMS’ goals to provide incentives for hospitals treating populations, the HSCRC has begun exploring concepts in Population Health Management • The methodology is still in development but it’s concepts are as follows. 20
  • 21. PBR Methodology – In Development • It is important to understand the components of the PBR concept: – Geographic area → controls activity (cases and visits) in identified zip codes – Hospital spending → includes both inpatient and outpatient services – Major services lines → responsible only for services that they provide • Excludes tertiary services • Excludes specialty services 21
  • 22. PBR Methodology – In Development Geographic Area • The defined geographic area must be an area that the PBR hospital controls • Control is defined at the zip code level on a percentage basis. Options under consideration include a range: – 25% to 75% • Approximately 50% of the patient activity suggests the PBR hospital has significant market penetration to influence patient health – Less than 50% may not provide significant control 22
  • 23. PBR Methodology – In Development Hospital Spending • The PBR encompasses the HSCRC regulated charges in the PBR zip codes for all hospitals – It includes both inpatient and outpatient charges • PBR zip code thresholds could be set using an equivalent case 23
  • 24. PBR Methodology – In Development Major Service Lines • PBR hospitals would only be responsible for services they provide – For example: If the PBR hospital did not provide obstetric services, they would be excluded from the PBR. – Currently testing methodologies for service exclusion: • APR-DRG basis for inpatient services • CPT/ICD-9 basis for outpatient services • Other exclusions could include services outside the PBR hospital’s control. For example: – Tertiary services (example: certain services provided JHH and UMMC) – Specialty services (example: certain services provided at Kernan) 24
  • 25. Methods Requiring CMS Authorization • Under a model testing demonstration, Maryland may request authority for methods not currently available to the state – ACOs – Gain sharing – Bundled payments • Maryland’s all payer hospital system provides power of scale to magnify system savings under ACOs, gain sharing, and bundled payment initiatives – We recognize the need of these methods to enhance TPR, PBR, and ARR – However, translating these to an all payer environment is not well defined; will require much activity to establish the programs 25
  • 26. Bundled Payments • Maryland hospitals were not permitted to participate in CMS’ Bundled Payment initiative • One of the most valuable parts of applying for the bundled payment initiative was access to the underlying data 26
  • 27. Bundled Payments • How could bundled payments work in Maryland without the participation of physicians, post-acute providers, and other provider entities? • Bundled payments are not a new concept – Charge per case – Charge per episode – Alternative Rate Methodologies (“ARM”) 27
  • 28. Bundled Payments • Alternative Rate Arrangements (“ARM”) – The Commission may permit arrangements to accept financial risk for the provision of hospital services under certain conditions and circumstances. • Capitated contracts • Global pricing • Case-rate pricing • Procedure-based pricing – Must be based on underlying cost – Must be available to all payers on the same terms and conditions 28
  • 29. Quality • Under a new CMS model testing demonstration hospital and system quality continues to be important – CMS will require monitoring across a range of indicators including access to care and patient experience – CMS also will require reporting • Continue to move forward initiatives to keep pace with CMS quality programs 29
  • 30. In Conclusion… • The State is working with CMS to develop a CMS model testing demonstration with incentives around population health management. • The HSCRC’s tools and methodologies must support the shift in this operational mindset. • It will take significant efforts from HSCRC and hospital staff to develop thoughtful methods to succeed under this new model testing approach. 30
  • 31. Emerging HSCRC Methodologies Mary Beth Pohl James Case Deputy Director, Manager Research and Methodology KPMG LLP HSCRC Mary.Pohl@maryland.gov jcase@kpmg.com