Exploring cynefin transitions v14
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The document discusses expanding on the Cynefin knowledge framework by exploring additional domains and transitions between domains. It proposes adding "ambiguous," "affirmative," and "emergent" domains. It also discusses different types of coherence that can occur between domains, such as intentional, dispositional, and retrospective coherence. Further, it examines how knowledge is formed through interactions between domains like moving from critique to emergence.
Exploring cynefin transitions v14
- 1. 12/9/2014 1 Exploring Transitions in the Complex Domain Expanding upon the Cynefin Knowledge Framework @tonyjoyce Working draft v14 @tonyjoyce 2 This is the starting place for my search 12/9/2014 http://www.cognitive-edge.com/blogs/dave/2011/10/a_typology_of_foresight.php
- 2. 12/9/2014 2 From my blog post on the Transitory Zone Easy Unknown Impossible Unexpected Plausible Deliberate bluffing, bogey diplomacy, soft power, integrative negotiation brinksmanship, chicken coercion, demands seize opportunity, early adopters neglect, avoidance, laggards collusion, Luddites follow the crowd, mainstream Awareness of dynamic Ability to manage constraint Complex domain Inauthentic disorder 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 3 Easy (Ability to Manage) Working Across the Transition Zone (shifted 45° to emphasize the baseline) Disorder Ambiguity Complexity Unknown (Unaware, Hidden) Plausible (Mainstream) Deliberate (Awareness of dynamic) Plausible (Integrative) Unknown (Aware, Crisis) Higher Constraints Lower Constraints 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 4
- 3. 12/9/2014 3 About Collaboration •Collaboration is a dispositional coherence –Intentional coherence is the vector into the complex domain (from higher & lower constraints and ambiguity) –In retrospective coherence either the cause (intentioned) or disposition (outcome) might be found –Retrospective coherence can be from ambiguous (intentioned) or random (outcomes) actions •Collaboration as shown is –Alignment of Easy-plausible and Impossible-plausible (center vertical in slide 3) –Recognizable by strange bedfellows and enemy-of-my- enemy narratives 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 5 Remapping into different visual Easy 7 6 5 Unknown 8 9 4 Impossible 1 2 3 Unexpected Plausible Deliberate Awareness of dynamic Ability to manage constraint Complex domain Inauthentic disorder 8 6 2 4 9 7 3 1 5 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 6
- 4. 12/9/2014 4 The Transitory Zone Able to Manage (Being Social & Engaging) Deliberate (Dynamic awareness, incremental steps) Death & Rebirth (Disorder) Managed Innovation (Complexity) Unexpected Impossible Easy Deliberate Unexpected Easy Impossible Deliberate Plausible Unknown Plausible Unknown Ambiguous 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 7 Adding Boundary Cases •Ritual dissent as a crowdsourcing process –Process = a partially constrained system pattern –RD moves from critiques to a collection of stories •Recipes as formulaic processes –Intentional coherence, when diligently followed –Understanding what was produced is usually by retrospective coherence –Convergence is often premature; this may statistically favor dispositional coherence –This is basic to “Abduction in the Pareto World” –also see Dave’s many comments on Sick stigma 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 8
- 5. 12/9/2014 5 Cynefin Orientation of Boundary Cases Disorder Social Engagement (Exploit) (Praxis) Probe & Respond Easy & Recipe Critique Complexity Complexity Limits of cohesion Limits of agreement 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 9 Expanded Transition Zones Disorder (Social Engagement) Exploit Probes (Gamble, Practice) Easy Recipe Critique Complexity Casual, Purposeful Dispositional, Observed Dispositional, Observed Casual, Purposeful Plausible Unknown 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 10
- 6. 12/9/2014 6 Explanation of Constraints •The opposite of the exploit is the gamble –This is constraints as either/or –Aka constraint-based thinking –Shown as higher and lower loops in slide 4 •To accept ambiguity is a different case –This is the middle way to either/and –It leads in a different direction than above –It may be a dive through disorder (revealed later) 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 11 Reorientation in the Transitory Zone Ambiguous Being Social & Connecting Deliberate Death & Rebirth (Disorder) Managed Innovation (Complexity) Unexpected Impossible Easy Deliberate Unexpected Easy Impossible Deliberate Plausible Unknown Plausible Unknown Retrospective Coherence Inauthentic or Can’t avoid it Exploit Gamble Unknowable Emergent 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 12
- 7. 12/9/2014 7 Orientation to the Cynefin Framework Disorder (Social Engagement) Exploit (Praxis) Probe & Respond Critique Easy & Recipe Disorder Complexity Complicated Chaotic Cynefin Complexity Plausible == Exploit Probe == Gamble 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 13 Orientation in a Knowledge Space •Exploit is complicated (requires ordered space vice unordered) •Gamble is chaotic (random, pseudo random, fractals) •An example of how knowledge may be created •A brief reflection on my KMWorld 2012 talk –It was an examination of Typology vrs Taxonomy –and Boisoit’s i-Space –Feedback on my talk, it was “too theoretical” •It concluded with a philosophical idea of belief and knowledge correlating with Cynefin domains 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 14
- 8. 12/9/2014 8 Knowledge Formation Easy Recipe Critique Casual Dispositional Dispositional Casual Plausible Emergent Reflection barrier Reflection Barrier is Path Dependency 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 15 @tonyjoyce 16 Concept in my KMWorld 2012 paper Knowledge (fantasy = too loosely coupled) Disordered (too many constraints) Simple (too few constraints) Chaotic Complicated Complex Belief (biased = too highly coupled) 12/9/2014
- 9. 12/9/2014 9 Five Realms of Knowledge Complex Fuzzy Philosophy Emergent Ordered Inspired by Escher 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 17 Tolerating Ambiguity •Tolerance of ambiguity leads to 2 new domains •First, emergence near the limit of cohesion –Bricolage (see http://www.yiannisgabriel.com/2012/08/on- paragrammes-theory-of- organizations.html?q=bricolage) –Abduction in Pareto World •A new layered framework is presented as strata of Ordered, Uncertain and Emergent –Does this layering illuminate the ABIDE criteria? 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 18
- 10. 12/9/2014 10 Chaotic Affirmative Emergent Expanding on the Cynefin Framework Disorder Ambiguous Complex Unknown Simple Complicated Fuzzy set Ordered set Uncertain set Emergent set 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 19 Within Emergence •We also have a different domain that originates near ritual dissent, an affirmation of each other –A new “way of talking” –Found in the study of hermeneutics –Also in informatics of classification; see Bowker & Starr’s “Classification and its Consequences” •Note, the Fuzzy set – chaotic, disorder and unknown – remains indeterminate until history (retrospective) is apparent 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 20
- 11. 12/9/2014 11 A Dynamic Knowledge Framework Unknown Disorder Chaotic Affirmative Ambiguous Simple Complicated Complex Emergent Cynefin hook or catastrophic fold (Act/probe/react) act-sense- respond Ordered set Transitory submodel Under Tension 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 21 Anticipation (appreciative awareness) Chaotic Affirmative Emergent The Expanded Cynefin Contexts Disorder Ambiguous Complex Unknown Simple Complicated Easy (able to manage) Deliberate (awareness of dynamic) Exploit Gamble Intentioned coherence 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 22
- 12. 12/9/2014 12 Emergence is a Realm of Tension •A Tension that is intractable –It is the distance across the catastrophic fold –Released in spurts of innovation and paradigm shifts •It is a permanent feature of social activity because networks are constantly changing •The change has intensified with modern technology and it is now more visible through this expanded Cynefin framework •Can be visualized in terms of KM metaphors using C Kurtz’s dimensional form of Cynefin (“eyes”) 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 23 “Three Strands in a Braid: Identity Interaction in Social Software” – Cynthia Kurtz Catastrophic fold Emergence (committing + realizing) Probe-Sense-Respond Affirmation (selecting + relating) Act-Sense-Respond Network Building Network Pruning 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 24
- 13. 12/9/2014 13 Conclusions •Collaboration is a form of dispositional coherence •Bricolage is a distinct form of dispositional coherence •Affirmation, i.e. the generative aspect of appreciative inquiry, is dispositional coherence •As we can see in the Dynamic Knowledge Framework, emergence is different from the intentional complexity of Alice Juarreo’s “Dynamics in Action; Intentional Behavior as a Complex System” 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 25 Future Work •Articulation of a learning practices boundary case –Kolb’s reflective learning cycle –Note this is social constructionism –It need not be grounded to “reality” •A model of decisions –(Needs explanation) 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 26
- 14. 12/9/2014 14 How is knowledge formed? Unknown Disorder Chaotic Affirmative Ambiguous Simple Complicated Complex Emergent Kolb learning loop 12/9/2014 @tonyjoyce 27 Tony Joyce