Financial
Statement
Analysis
K R Subramanyam
John J Wild

McGraw-Hill/Irwin

Copyright © 2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Overview of Financial
Statement Analysis

1

CHAPTER

1-2
1-3

Business Analysis
Evaluate Prospects

Evaluate Risks
1-4

Information Sources for Business
Analysis
1-5
1-6

Credit Analysis
1-7

Credit Analysis
Credit worthiness: Ability to honor credit obligations
(downside risk)

Liquidity
Ability to meet shortterm obligations
Focus:
• Current cash flows
• Make up of current
assets and liabilities
• Liquidity of assets

Solvency
Ability to meet longterm obligations
Focus:
• Long-term profitability
• Capital structure
1-8

Equity Analysis
Assessment of downside risk and upside potential

Technical analysis /
Charting
• Patterns in price or
volume history of a
stock
• Predict future price
movements

Fundamental Analysis
Determine Intrinsic value
without reference to
price
• Analyze and interpret
key factors
– Economy
– Industry
– Company
1-9
1-10

Accounting Analysis
Process to evaluate and adjust financial
Process to evaluate and adjust financial
statements to better reflect economic reality
statements to better reflect economic reality

Accounting
Risk
1-11

Financial Analysis
Process to evaluate financial position and
Process to evaluate financial position and
performance using financial statements
performance using financial statements
Profitability analysis — Evaluate return
on investments
Risk analysis ——— Evaluate riskiness
& creditworthiness
Analysis of —
cash flows

Evaluate source &
deployment of funds

Common tools
Common tools

Ratio
analysis

Cash
flow
analysis
1-12

Prospective Analysis
Process to forecast future payoffs
Business Environment
& Strategy Analysis
Accounting Analysis
Financial Analysis

Intrinsic Value
1-13

Dynamics of Business Activities
Business Activities

Time
1-14

Business Activities
1-15

Business Activities

Financing activities
• Owner (equity)
• Nonowner (liabilities)

Financing
1-16

Business Activities

Investing activities
• Buying resources
• Selling resources

Investing

Financing

Investing = Financing
1-17

Business Activities

Operating Activities

Revenues and expenses from providing
goods and services
1-18

Financial Statements Reflect Business Activities
1-19

Financial Statements
1-20
1-21

Balance Sheet
Total Investing = Total Financing
= Creditor Financing + Owner Financing
1-22
1-23

Income Statement
Revenues – Cost of goods sold = Gross Profit
Gross profit – Operating expenses = Operating Profit

Colgate’s Profitability
(in $billions)
$12.238 - $5.536 = $6.701 Gross Profit
$6.701 - $4.5411 = $2.160 Operating profit
1-24
1-25

Statement of Cash Flows
1-26
1-27

Additional Information
(Beyond Financial Statements)
1-28

Analysis Preview
Yr1

Yr2

Yr3

Comparative Analysis
Purpose: Evaluation of consecutive
financial statements
Output: Direction, speed, & extent of any
trend(s)
Types: •
Year-to-year Change
Analysis
•
Index-Number Trend
1-29

Analysis Preview
1-30

Analysis Preview
Common-Size Analysis
Purpose : • Evaluation of internal makeup
of financial statements
• Evaluation of financial statement
accounts across companies
Output:
Proportionate size of assets,
liabilities, equity, revenues, &
expenses
1-31

Analysis Preview
1-32

Analysis Preview
1-33

Analysis Preview
Ratio Analysis
Purpose :

Evaluate relation between two or more
economically important items (one
starting point for further analysis)
Output:
Mathematical expression of relation
between two or more items
Cautions: • Prior Accounting analysis is important
• Interpretation is key - long vs short
term & benchmarking
1-34

Analysis Preview
Valuation
Valuation - an important goal of many types
of business analysis

Purpose: Estimate intrinsic value of a
company (or stock)
Basis:
Present value theory (time value of
money)
1-35

Analysis Preview
Debt (Bond) Valuation

Bt is the value of the bond at time t
It +n is the interest payment in period t+n
F is the principal payment (usually the debt’s face value)
r is the investor’s required interest rate (yield to maturity)
1-36

Analysis Preview
Equity Valuation

Vt is the value of an equity security at time t
Dt +n is the dividend in period t+n
k is the cost of capital
E refers to expected dividends
1-37

Analysis Preview
Equity Valuation - Free Cash Flow to Equity
Model

FCFt+n is the free cash flow in the period t + n [often
defined as cash flow from operations less capital
expenditures]
k is the cost of capital
E refers to an expectation
1-38

Analysis Preview
Equity Valuation - Residual Income Model

BV is the book value at the end of period t
Rit+n is the residual income in period t + n [defined as
net income, NI, minus a charge on beginning
book value, BV, or RIt = NIt - (k x BVt-1)]
k is the cost of capital
E refers to an expectation
t
1-39

Analysis in an Efficient Market
Three assumed forms of market efficiency
Weak Form - prices reflect information in
past prices
Semi-strong - prices reflect all public
Form
information
Strong Form - prices reflect all public and
private information
1-40

Book Organization

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