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Zero to a Million Users@drewhouston, @asmith
From Zero to a Million Users - Dropbox and Xobni lessons learned
@drewhouston(dropbox)@asmith(xobni)
Summer 2006: Humble beginnings
Xobni, Dropbox – VC-backed startups in SFBoth reached 2 million users in 2 years2 ,000,0000
From Zero to a Million Users - Dropbox and Xobni lessons learned
Biggest risk: making something nobody wants
Weak product-market fit cannot be fixed by good marketingGood marketing will not fix a bad product
But good product will be wind at your back
Xobni Analytics: Solved problem no one had
Goal: product-market fit ASAP
learn early, learn often
Cost of change at each stageIdeaPrototypeLaunch
Learning on a $0 budget: Talk to people!
Learn without launchingAdWords tests Hacks: Fake landing pages, screenshots, etc.
Dropbox’s minimum viable product: 3 min screencast on Hacker News (Apr 07)
Simple landing page: capture interest/email address
starting from zero
Go where your early adopters hang out
Private beta launch video  12,000 diggs; beta waiting list jumps from 5,000 to 75,000 in one day (Mar 2008)
Avoid ghost towns: bootstrapping to critical mass
Niche first, world later
Fake it till you make it: Aardvark & simulating features that weren’t ready
marketing: building buzz
Tie yourself to a bigger trend
AdamMeet journalists in person.  All the time.
Journalists are really busy – come up with the angle for them.
Media resources page on web site
Word of mouth rule #1: have a great product
Generate word of mouth with scarcity
Help users generate tell their friends
Invite screenFacebook pictures
Auto-ranked
Outlook detection via looking at mail headers   = FUN!
Sex it up!  Have fun!
Inbound marketing / “social media”
how do you get people to use your product?
Focus: do a few things really well instead of a lot of things poorly
Every 10% easier  50% larger audience
Don’t make me think: No decisions  nothing to screw up
Don’t make me read, either:Designing landing pages & signup flowsearly betaconcise beats comprehensive
call out the next step
simple converts betterlate beta
Hook the user first, educate over time(tours, tip emails, etc.)
You do not see the same product your users do! (craigslist, usertesting.com)
Make feedback painless – then iterate!
how do you make a product that spreads itself?
The best products turn users into evangelists
Encouraging word-of-mouth: Referral program increased signups by 60%
Tricks of the trade: FB & Twitter feed, emails, contact list importers Trailing 30 days: 3 million invites sent
metrics: know thy funnel
Users$$$Basic funnel
Startup Metrics for Pirates. Live it.
Output I: know where to invest marketing $$
Xobni finding: AdWords users don’t convert to paid BUT they refer others who do!
Output II: allocate engineering resources between usability, engagement, & virality
Example: user education around people search
scaling without virality:“dollar in, dollar out” marketing
Some markets don’t elicit virality or buzz
From Zero to a Million Users - Dropbox and Xobni lessons learned
Netflix example(numbers not exact)($16 rev - $10  svc cost) per month  $6/mo  x 22 mo lifetime= $132$40 advertising, affiliates, etc.$92 lifetime gross margin/user
a quick taste…
example user acquisition costs

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From Zero to a Million Users - Dropbox and Xobni lessons learned

Editor's Notes

  • #14: Xobni analytics -> prototype stage.Segway example -> millions spent on launch; best investors in the worldCould have realized much earlier that the problem wasn’t the technology, it’s that you look like a douche while ridingGoal is not to never fail, it’s to fail as early as possible
  • #17: So shipping code was out of the question – bad experience  tell all friendsYC app – ship in 8 wks vs 18 mosPrototype worked; video could show product in best light; get much of the same feedback as if we shipped working code
  • #18: Video created fans; capture that interestEarly adopters more forgiving
  • #20: Building product for ourselves; where would we look for something like Dropbox?
  • #22: Google Wave
  • #24: AardvarkexmapleReddit users faking comments to avoid ghost town feeling
  • #37: Always lose feature comparisons
  • #38: One invariant of our installer
  • #39: One invariant of our installer
  • #51: “I don’t mean to imply that you want to gamble your VC dollars..”
  • #53: Engagement: email people who haven’t used certain features, etc. Active user versus registered user.
  • #56: What kind of markets tend to be dominated by DIDO marketing?
  • #57: Virality can e.g. double TLV.
  • #58: Virality can e.g. double TLV.