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The Future of E-learning
Jon Dron and Terry Anderson (2016) The Future of E-
learning. In the SAGE Handbook of E-learning Research
(2016) Second Edition. Edited by Caroline
Haythornthwaite, Richard Andrews, Jude Fransman
and Eric M. Meyers. Sage
• This is not the first attempt to predict the
future of e-learning and our first confident
prediction is that it will not be the last.
• “E-learning is a combination of methods,
structures and networked electronic tools
orchestrated into systems that bring about, or
are intended to bring about, learning.”
http://www.moodlenews.com/2013/future-of-elearning-infographic-highlights-trends-and-st
Future of e learning Open University of Catalonia
http://venturebeat.com/2016/09/05/moocs-no-longer-massive-still-attract-millions/
E-Learning is not only Institutional
• “Almost everything shared on the Internet,
almost every interaction, is an opportunity for
learning, whether deliberately sought (e.g.
Google, Wikipedia, MOOCs, YouTube) or as a
side-effect of interaction (e.g. Facebook,
email, Twitter).”
• On the Internet, almost everyone is a teacher
and everyone is a learner, whether
intentionally, effectively, accurately, reliably or
not.
Edinburgh Scenarios
(Bell & Stewart, 2004)
Virtually Vanilla
Toonlet.com
Blended Learning
Recorded Lectures
Virtually Vanilla
same pedagogy - new technology
http://venturebeat.com/2016/09/05/moocs-no-longer-massive-still-attract-millions/
Back(wards) to the Future
Majority of
both students
and teachers
prefer Face-
to-Face
teaching/lear
ning
Back(wards) to the Future
https://www.theguardian.com/education/2015/may/16/schools-mobile-phones-
academic-results
Web of Confidence
MOOCs
Web of Confidence
You Choose – frustrated learners take
control themselves
Diversity
All of the Edinburgh Futures
are thriving
- now and in the
foreseeable future
Mapping to 3 Generations of Distance
Education Pedagogy
1. Cognitive-behavioural (instructivist)
2. Social Constructivist
3. Connectivist
Technologies of the Future Adapted to
E-Learning
http://www.ues-wosc.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/edtech-1024x389.png
Learning and Teaching Analytics
Collective technologies
Artificial Intelligence
http://europe.newsweek.com/robo-beer-worlds-first-beer-brewed-artificial-intelligence-
480341?rm=eu
Disaggregated Tools
Mobility and Device Diversity
Future of e learning Open University of Catalonia
Virtual and Augmented Reality
elements and characteristics of this next
generation of pedagogies and methods
1. It will be focused
heavily on the individual
learner
2. It will be distributed, technically,
socially and organizationally
3. It will be crowd-driven
and emergent
4. It will be integrated, just-in-time and
authentic
5. Courses will play a less
significant role
6. Learning will be divorced
from accreditation
Social Media will become mainstream
Emerging Research on Social Media Use in Education: A Study of Dissertations.
C Piotrowski - Research in Higher Education Journal, 2015
• findings of 29 dissertations that had a specific focus
on SM-Education issues. Of these, only 2 studies
reported any negative views by either students or
faculty on the implementation of SMplatforms for
academic purposes.
• Instructors’ lack of efficacy in Web 2.0 technology,
privacy issues, and data overload were challenges
Threats to the Future
Open versus Closed
http://progrium.com/blog/2012/12/15/avoiding-environmental-fallacy-with-systems-
thinking/
The loss of mind, the loss of soul
“All technologies change us, especially
those affecting something as
fundamental as how we learn, and not
all of those changes will be positive”.
Adoption in Formal Education
Learning as Dance
(Anderson, 2008)
• Technology
sets the
beat and the
timing.
• Pedagogy
defines the
moves.
E-Learning will Thrive –
Will Open Universities?
• Increased competition from both well organized
and “Lone Ranger” competitors
• Open Universities have a culture of striving to be
“real universities”
• Need to overcome inertia and past success
mentality
• Most Western Open Universities have been losing
market share in the past decade
• Need to focus research on teaching/learning
within the disciplines – not discipline based
research!
Conclusion
• The future will be somewhat like the past –
low adoption rates by instructional education
• Adjacent possibilities of new ideas and
technologies always bring unanticipated and
emergent opportunities and challenges
• However, the institutions may provide the
stability necessary for human scale adaptation
to technology induced hyper- change
How is the Future of E-Learning
Emerging at UOC?
Contacts
Terry Anderson, Ph.D., Professor Emeritus
Centre for Distance Education
Athabasca University
10005 93 St
Edmonton, AB Canada
T5H 1W6 Ph 780 425 5950
Google Scholar profile: http://tinyurl.com/terrydanderson
Twitter - @terguy
Blog - VirturalCanuck.ca

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Future of e learning Open University of Catalonia

Editor's Notes

  • #4: The ‘e’ part of the term therefore matters as much as the ‘learning’ part. Neither occupies a privileged place, any more than the engine of a car is any more or any less important than the skills of its driver.
  • #10: Virtually vanilla – technology to support e-learning mainly in the hands of large corporations and institutions Back to the future – trust lost in e-learning, with a subsequent return to traditional values and face-to-face teaching Web of confidence – the Web enables people to learn and work together in new ways, leading to decentralization and a shift in power away from large organizations U choose – a world where people are frustrated by and reject new technologies but find new ways to gain greater control over their learning and greater independence from central authorities.
  • #14: Nice summary of MOOCs - more monetization, credentialling, and self-pacing from VentureBeat
  • #15: the majority of students still prefer face-to-face over online learning (Taylor et al., 2011). If it has achieved nothing else, the popularity of MOOCs has renewed a focus on the strengths of traditional face-to-face education (Ritzer, 2013) and traditionalists have found a new assertiveness about the value of older pedagogies (Brooks, 2012).
  • #16: the majority of students still prefer face-to-face over online learning (Taylor et al., 2011). If it has achieved nothing else, the popularity of MOOCs has renewed a focus on the strengths of traditional face-to-face education (Ritzer, 2013) and traditionalists have found a new assertiveness about the value of older pedagogies (Brooks, 2012).
  • #17: Google Search, Wikipedia, Facebook, blogs, Twitter, Stack Overflow, the Khan Academy and Reddit have come to dominate informal learning
  • #18: Google Search, Wikipedia, Facebook, blogs, Twitter, Stack Overflow, the Khan Academy and Reddit have come to dominate informal learning
  • #24: Collective technologies: traditional communication tools have been one-to-one, one-to-many or many-to-many. Internet technologies such as collaborative filters, tag clouds, reputation systems, network-mining algorithms and crowd-driven search algorithms make many-to-one communication possible. The crowd, in conjunction with intelligent aggregation of its actions, in effect becomes a teacher.
  • #25: Deep learning and artificial intelligence: simple AI approaches have been supporting learning for decades, from Microsoft’s Clippy to intelligent tutoring systems. More recently, deep learning algorithms that mimic aspects of human learning have become significantly more powerful and are beginning to provide everything from contextual help to machine translations.
  • #34: The Bologna Process is a series of ministerial meetings and agreements between European countries designed to ensure comparability in the standards and quality of higher education qualifications.
  • #40: A learning technology, by definition, is an orchestration of technologies, necessarily including pedagogies, whether implicit or explicit.