Idea to Business (Hint:  it’s a journey not a task) Process Overview  TL Faley, PhD Managing Director, ZLI April 3, 2008
Reality? Idea Business Plan Venture Financing Successful Company …  And the steps you skip will destroy any chance of success  WRONG
Non-Linear, Interdependent, Process Phases Phase I:  Business Design Identifying opportunities and shaping business concepts Phase II:  Feasibility analysis and assessment Phase III:  Creating your business plan Phase IV:  Launching your business Aligning the necessary resources (including money)  Phase V:  Growing your business Phase VI:  Exiting your business From succession planning to IPOs
Short Overview Articles “ The Process of Business Creation ,” TL Faley,  Inc. Magazine  (on-line), August 23, 2005.  http://www.inc.com/resources/startup/articles/20050801/process.html “ Is your Business Idea Feasible?,” TL Faley,  Inc. Magazine  (on-line), October 4, 2005.  http://www.inc.com/resources/startup/articles/20051001/analysis.html “ Creating Your Business Plan,” TL Faley & PS Kirsch,  Inc. Magazine  (on-line), November 3, 2005.  http://www.inc.com/resources/startup/articles/20051101/bplans.html Business Plan Guide:  http://www.ey.com/global/Content.nsf/UK/_FG_-_Library_-_Guide_to_producing_a_business_plan “ Growing Your New Venture,” TL Faley,  Inc. Magazine  (on-line), February 21, 206.  http://www.inc.com/resources/startup/articles/20060201/venture.html “ Making Your Exit,” TL Faley & TS Porter,  Inc. Magazine  (on-line), March 15, 2005.  http://www.inc.com/resources/startup/articles/20060301/tfaley.html
A Staged, Gated Process to Plan Innovation Source Business Hypothesis Business Hypothesis Business Feasibility Study Business Feasibility Study Business Plan Other  entrants Other  entrants Hypothesis strong enough to merit deeper investigation? Business merit planning/launching? Opportunity What   is the product or service? Who   are your users? Why  do they buy? How   does your business make money? Customers Market Industry Company Team Full Plan and Investor Pitch Assessment Integration
Levels of Thinking/Planning Business Design – Vector Direction Structured, Detailed, but Qualitative Assessment  -  Vector Dimension Quantitative Business Plan Operating document Specific to You, Today
ZLI Programs that can help Dare-to-Dream Michigan Business Planning Mingle ‘n Match Others Details: http://www.zli.bus.umich.edu/events_programs/
Dare to Dream encourages ..the thoughtful development of student-led businesses AND ..the development of student entrepreneurial skills and understanding
ZLI Activities for 2007-08 Frankel Commercialization Fund Wolverine Venture Fund Michigan Business Challenge & Intercollegiate Competitions Entrepreneurial MAP domestic & international opportunities Marcel Gani Internship Program (includes self-hosted internships) Williamson CoE/RSB E-education Initiative Entrepreneurial Studies Courses Action-based Learning New Business Development Seminars ZLI Office Hours, Coaching and Executive Consulting Counseling Michigan Growth Capital Symposium Private Equity Conference  Entrepalooza: Exploration of entrepreneurship across multiple industries and business stages Symposia/Events Zell and Mondry Entrepreneurial Scholarships Mingle ‘n’ Match Academics
Where you are Some of you have identified a compelling unmet market need or emerging market Some of you have identified a product that is the embodiment of some interesting technology or other innovation source A rare few of you have product concepts targeted at specific users
Where you are not None of you have a sustainable business design So let’s first talk about how you get to a complete business design
Innovative New Business Design Process Pyramid Business Environmental Influences Persona (target market segment) Product Idea (Starter Concept) Community Enabler (ex.  technology) Solution Positioning Statement Bus Hypothesis Product Offering Innovation Source(s) Building the Iceberg  from the bottom up Business Hypothesis What  is your product/service? (What does your company do?) Who  are your customers? Why  will they use your product? (Value proposition to the user?) How  does your company make money? (Company’s value capture mechanism?)
Drucker’s 7 Sources on Innovation Unexpected Occurrences Incongruities Process Needs Industry and Market Changes Demographic Changes Changes in Perception New Knowledge
Business Hypothesis:  Core Elements of the Business Model Core Business Elements: Your  Business Hypothesis What  is your product/service? Who  are your customers? Why  do they use your product? How  does your company make money? Marketing Strategy Distribution Strategy  Product Strategy (leading edge, service, low cost?) Business Partnerships/Alliances Cost Structures Core competencies/capabilities
Outputs of each portion Business  Formulation : Explicitly determine Businesses’ Product Offering Determine precisely what the business does Determine Business’ Value Proposition Both value creation & capture. Product Concept Creation : Determine core enabler benefits  Product concept brainstorming Market segmentation  (persona development for new markets)  Determine Product Benefit / Customer  Need Match(es) Timing Identify the Innovation source that enables the opportunity now Solution Positioning Statement BUSINESS HYPOTHESIS What   is the product or service offered? (exactly what does the company do/provide?) Who  are your users? Why  will they use your product? How  does your business make money? POSITIONING STATEMENT For ...  (target segment) The ...  (product/brand) Is...  (most important benefits) Because...  (reason why,  underlying enabler) WHY NOW? Opportunity Drivers …  which 7 sources  of innovation Persona (target market segment) Product Idea (starter concepts) Community Enabler (ex.  technology) Business Environmental Influences Bus Hypothesis Product Offering Innovation Source(s)
Take an initial guess at a business hypothesis Business Hypothesis Influence Diagram Business Positioning Assessment Product Offering Working through the business environmental influences Finding the Path to Commercialization
Business Hypothesis Elements What  precisely is your product/service? What precisely does the company do? Who  are your customers? What is your target persona? (Need-based market segment?) Why  do they use your product? What Value do you create/problem do you solve for the user? How  does your company make money? Value capture mechanism
What  is your product or service? What  specifically  does your company do? Distribution Sales Marketing Mfg Product   Design Technology Raw Materials
Less is more “ I have often said there are  three types of business :  making stuff, selling stuff, and servicing stuff .  The usefulness of this for a startup is that too many business plans attempt to be in two or more different sorts of businesses... Being good at one thing is tough enough.  Being good at two or more is even tougher! ”  --Charles Fry, serial entrepreneur
How  do you make money? Product retail sales: using value chain    HP  Product internet sales: direct to customer    Dell B2B: commercial purchase on terms    Xerox, BASF Advertising: provide ad space    Yahoo, ABC Licensing: per unit revenue, payable    IBM, universities Consulting: fee for service or impact    McKinsey Services: per unit charges   H&R Block Transaction fees: per activity    eBay Subscription: content over time    Consumer Reports Affiliate: referrals and partnerships    Amazon
Refining the top of the Pyramid Business Environmental Influences Bus Hypothesis Product Offering Business  Formulation : Explicitly determine Businesses’ Product Offering Determine precisely what the business does Determine Business’ Value Proposition Both value creation & capture. Product Concept Creation : Determine core enabler benefits  Product concept brainstorming Market segmentation  (persona development for new markets)  Determine Product Benefit / Customer  Need Match(es) Timing Identify the Innovation source that enables the opportunity now Solution Positioning Statement BUSINESS HYPOTHESIS What   is the product or service offered? (exactly what does the company do/provide?) Who  are your users? Why  will they use your product? How  does your business make money? POSITIONING STATEMENT For ...  (target segment) The ...  (product/brand) Is...  (most important benefits) Because...  (reason why,  underlying enabler) WHY NOW? Opportunity Drivers …  which 7 sources  of innovation Persona (target market segment) Product Idea (starter concepts) Community Enabler (ex.  technology) Innovation Source(s)
Business Positioning Evaluation Loop  Business Hypothesis Influence Diagram Business Positioning Assessment Product Offering
Business Positioning Evaluation Loop  Business Hypothesis Influence Diagram Business Positioning Assessment Product Offering
Where Where is your proposed company in the value chain?
Value Chain:  Material, Money, and information flow Design Manufacture Sales Consumer Distribution
Value Chains can be complicated…. The Commercialization of drugs
Value Chain Assessment Value ($-flow) versus Supply Chain (material-flow) ID Who has the Value Capture Power now? Value Creation through: Become a New Entrant (competitor of existing products; cheaper, better, faster) Create a Substitute (alternative to existing solutions—different way of doing something; search engine v. yellow pages) Aggregation/Consolidation Industry consolidation to shift 5-forces equilibrium Collapsing the Value Chain Eliminating links out of the chain (ala Dell) Addressing an emerging market (see innovation sources) Other? Exploit new technology (ex internet) to get economy of scale of services (ex: call centers)
What?  What are does your company  really  have? What is the driving need/desire of  the proposed buyer ? What complementary assess (CA) does your company need to deliver its product that fulfills this need? What complementary benefits (CB) does the company’s product also need to deliver in order to satisfy the complimentary needs of the customer?
Teece’s Framework:  Determining the optimal value-capture vehicle for your Intellectual Asset  Niche Business Potential IAs have no capturable value Strong New Business Potential License to or Partner with CA holder Intellectual Asset Position is: Strong Complementary Assets are: Weak Generic Specialized If control the IA and  the CAs, then you have the potential to create an extremely  well-positioned business. Note:  This assessment assumes that you are the IA holder, but do not currently have the complimentary assets necessary to fully commercialize your IA. Ref:  David Teece, 1986
Intellectual Assets (IAs) Patent Basics Rights Prevent others from making, using, or selling the subject matter of the patent Duration: 20 years from date of application Three criteria New (novel) Non-obvious (to someone skilled in the art) Useful (utility)
Intellectual Assets continued Copyright Basics Rights Reproduction Creation of derivative works Distribution to public Public performance or display Duration Life of author plus 70 years “ Work for Hire” 95 years from first publication  or 120 years from creation Subject Matter Works of authorship Fixed in any tangible medium Expression, not concepts
Complimentary Assets All those things necessary to transform the assets you have into the products/services your customers desire (and delivering it to them). Advantaged Complimentary Assets: Physical and intellectual assets: Brand name Manufacturing Plants Distribution channels Customer relationships IP that others may need (blocking their ‘freedom to practice’) Resources (ex: deep financial pockets) Capabilities: Manufacturing or design capabilities Sales and service expertise
How? How does the company plan on acquire/gaining access to its necessary complimentary assets? Create/Develop/Reproduce? Buy? Rent/Lease? Borrow? How will the company pay for these? Cash? Equity? % of Future Sales?
Business Positioning Evaluation Loop  Business Hypothesis Influence Diagram Business Positioning Assessment Product Offering
Who? Who holds the value capture power? Porter’s Five Forces Use Company Operating Margins for companies across the chain as a proxy for relative value capture strength www.hoovers.com
Porter’s 5 Forces:  Industry Analysis Industry Competitiveness Threat of New Entrants (Barriers to Entry) Bargaining  Power Of  Suppliers Threat of Substitute Products/Services Bargaining Power Of Buyers
Porter’s 5 Forces:  Industry Value-chain Analysis Industry Competi- tiveness Threat of New Entrants Bargaining  Power Of  RM Suppliers Threat of Substitute Products/Services Bargaining Power Of End users Industry Competi- tiveness Industry Competi- tiveness Threat of New Entrants Threat of New Entrants Threat of Substitute Products/Services Threat of Substitute Products/Services Who hold the “value capture” power? Can you Shift the equilibrium of the  Industry’s Balance of Power?
Business Positioning Evaluation Loop  Business Hypothesis Influence Diagram Business Positioning Assessment Product Offering
Innovative New Business Design Process Pyramid Business Environmental Influences Persona (target market segment) Product Idea (Starter Concept) Community Enabler (ex.  technology) Solution (Positioning Statement) Bus Hypothesis Product Offering Innovation Source(s) What’s the difference?
Solution to Product Offering Company Product Offering as a  subset  of “Solution” Example:  Users need faster processing computer “ Solution” is a new, advanced processing chip Intel/AMD own (expensive/specialized) complementary assets Your Company Offering becomes a  chip design  and you partner with Intel/AMD/TSMC for mfg. Company Product Offering as a  superset  of “Solution” Example:  Users need information on joint replacement therapy “ Solution” is content/information Efficient Channel to deliver content to user does not exist Complimentary assets to create channel are cheap/generic Your Company Offering becomes a  web portal  for joint replacement therapy information
Business Positioning Evaluation Loop  Business Hypothesis Influence Diagram Business Positioning Assessment Product Offering
The Innovation Process Pyramid Business Environmental Influences Persona Solution idea, Starter concept Community Enabler (ex. Technology) Bus Hypothesis Product Offering First Down, then up. Business Hypothesis What  is your product/service? (What does your company do?) Who  are your customers? Why  will they use your product? (Value proposition to the user?) How  does your company make money? (Company’s value capture mechanism?) Solution (Positioning Statement) Innovation Source(s)
Talk to people!! Especially potential customers!!! Let them help you design the future Be aware:  People adopt to their surroundings -- accept what currently is Need to “read between the lines” The Why Chain LOCA (Latent Observations / Constant Annoyances)
Outputs of each portion Business  Formulation : Explicitly determine Businesses’ Product Offering Determine precisely what the business does Determine Business’ Value Proposition Both value creation & capture. Product Concept Creation : Determine core enabler benefits  Product concept brainstorming Market segmentation  (persona development for new markets)  Determine Product Benefit / Customer  Need Match(es) Timing Identify the Innovation source that enables the opportunity now Solution Positioning Statement BUSINESS HYPOTHESIS What   is the product or service offered? (exactly what does the company do/provide?) Who  are your users? Why  will they use your product? How  does your business make money? POSITIONING STATEMENT For ...  (target segment) The ...  (product/brand) Is...  (most important benefits) Because...  (reason why,  underlying enabler) WHY NOW? Opportunity Drivers …  which 7 sources  of innovation Persona (target market segment) Product Idea (starter concepts) Community Enabler (ex.  technology) Business Environmental Influences Bus Hypothesis Product Offering Innovation Source(s)
Developing a Feasibility Study More Detail – More Quantitative COPYRIGHT © 2006  THE REGENTS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN  ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
Feasibility Study Introduction The Micro-Market The Macro-Market The Macro-Industry The Firm (a.k.a. Micro-Industry) Team: Mission, Aspirations, and Risks Team: Can you execute? Team: Connectedness Summary
Business Assessment Framework TEAM DOMAIN Connectedness up, down, and across value chain Ability to execute CSFs Missions, aspirations, Propensity for risk Market Domain Industry Domain Macro-level Micro-level REF:  The New Business Road Test , John Mullins © 2003.  Market Attractiveness Industry Attractiveness Target segments benefits and attractiveness Sustainable advantage Large/growing? Move from Initial persona  to other personas? Personas Porter’s 5 Forces Value-capture position (IA vs CA) (Teece, 1986) Product Differentiation (Intellectual Assets)
Opportunity    Assessment Building the foundation for the assessment phase The Business Hypothesis Market Domain Industry Domain Macro-level Micro-level Market Attractiveness Industry Attractiveness Target segments benefits and attractiveness Sustainable advantage Business Product Offering Intermediate Outcomes &  Tools Opportunity Phase Assessment Phase Effort Community Map (user needs/desires & “Players”) Technology Map (benefits of existing,  complimentary, future) Personas Solution (“starter”) Concepts Solution Positioning Statement Business Environmental Influences
Introduction Use this opportunity to set up your audience  One or two paragraphs Clear elaboration of the Core Concept Should clearly answer The hypothesis, model are you testing, e.g. Integrated manufacturer Consulting firm Design and IP firm Be clear about the product or services your company sells
Definition of Market Segment Set of potential, actual customers for Your set of products & services who  Have a common set of needs, wants and Refer to one another when making buying decisions
Micro-Market Pain What customer pain will you resolve?  What are potential customers doing now? A current solution  does  exist Does your product offer clear and compelling benefits? In the  customers’  minds, are these benefits superior to what’s currently offered? Is this better, faster, cheaper, prettier, etc.  Why now? Connect timeliness of solution to the market pain
Micro-Market Pain Are you offering a solution at a price your customers will pay? What evidence do you have? Remember The market need will fuel the business growth and value The product fills a need Products, companies  do not  create a market Know the difference between customers and users!!
Relationship of Market Terms Total Addressable Market All microprocessors – or –  Target Market Electronic device manufacturers – or –  Market Segment Cell phone manufacturer – or –  Ideal or First Customer Nokia or Motorola Size:  Now & Future
Porter’s 5 Forces:  Industry Analysis Industry Competitiveness Threat of New Entrants (Barriers to Entry) Bargaining  Power Of  Suppliers Threat of Substitute Products/Services Bargaining Power Of Buyers
Macro-Industry: Porter’s 5 Forces What is the  threat of new entrants  to this industry? How great is the  power of suppliers  to set terms and conditions? How great is the  power of buyers  to set terms and conditions? Is there a  threat of substitution  from other products to steal your customers? How intense is  competitive rivalry ?
Macro-Industry: Top-level Issues In what industry will you compete?  Requires careful definition Based on  all five  forces, what is your overall assessment of attractiveness of the industry?  If your industry is a poor performer overall, are there  specific  and persuasive reasons why you will fare differently? What will likely change in response to the success of your venture?
The Firm: “Proprietary-ness” What proprietary elements do you have that other firms cannot duplicate? Patents, copyrights, trade secrets, etc. Key managerial personnel (see Team) Can your business develop a competitive advantage? Superior processes Access to resources, customers
The Firm: Financial Issues Key issues to understanding the economic viability of your business model Have you identified all your revenue streams and relationship between them? E.g. Software sales and recurring seat licenses How long before you start generating revenue? How much will it cost and how long will it take acquire and retain customers? Will your revenue, bootstrapping, fit with the “start” that a capital investment will provide?
The Firm: Financial Issues Key issues to understanding the economic viability of your business model What are the key items in your cost structure? Necessary technology and product development How much cash must be tied up in working capital, inventory, etc.? For how long? How quickly will customers pay? Accounts receivable amount and terms vs. online cc payments
The Team Mission, Aspirations, and Risks You must talk with your team members now Imagine how difficult in 1, 2, 5 years Can you execute? Can your team execute on each and every CSF? If not, have you identified how you will complete the team to address the missing CSFs? Connectedness:  Who do you and your team know within the  value chain? Likely  suppliers  and  technologists ? Key  customers ? Most pressing  competitors ?
The Critical Success Factors Which assumptions are critical to the success of your business?  What are the “big levers”? Sensitivity analysis Typically time (to develop  and  through the transition) Market size (total sales)
Summary Information Summary: only 4 reasonable conclusions Feasible as proposed and moving forward Feasible w/ changes and moving forward Feasible (w/ or w/o changes) but not moving forward Not feasible (w/ or w/o changes) and not moving forward Not feasible and moving forward
References to Industry Norms Use Industry-specific Data to guide your projections of expenses and margins Robert Morris Associates Annual Statement Studies  HG4050.R64 (in Kresge Library)
Mullins’ Assessment Framework Applied Market Domain Industry Domain Macro-level Micro-level REF:  The New Business Road Test , John Mullins © 2003.  Market Attractiveness Industry Attractiveness Target segments benefits and attractiveness Sustainable advantage x x  Necessary but not sufficient Sufficient by itself. VC:  x SB:  _ VC:  x SB:  x VC:  x SB:  x  (__ if niche) VC:  x SB:  _ VC Deal-breaker  if absent
Assembling The Full Business Plan Paul Kirsch Samuel Zell & Robert H. Lurie Institute For Entrepreneurial Studies January 25, 2008
Agenda Business plan in the context of business development Purpose  Audience Contents Format Challenges  Pitfalls
Coordinated Message of Your Business You need the right message … for the right audience  … at the right time …  clearly articulated …  and delivered with  PASSION! Business Plan Executive Summary Elevator   Pitch Core Concept Investor Presentation
Purpose To force the entrepreneur to do a thorough and effective analyses To provide a roadmap for development To propose a new venture To raise capital for the company To benchmark progress Should evaluate, not promote Good plans take the emotion out of decisions and focus attention on reality (continued)
Purpose Always a work in progress About the process NOT the document Ties all aspects of your business and plan together Offers clear linkage between Vision and ideas Company to make it happen Business Plan
Audience Investors FFF | Banks | Private investors | VCs |  Grantors Business partners Beta customers | Suppliers | Distributors Management team Current – talking from the same script Potential – need to understand business
Business Plan Contents Executive Summary What is the concept? Market Need or Pain Market Size  Value Proposition Business Model Competitive Advantage Competition and Industry  Products and Services Marketing and Sales Management Risk Mitigation Action Plan, Milestones Key Financials Exit Strategies
What Is the Concept?  Core Concept statement that defines product and business Can include The “story” behind the business? Relationship to current solutions Linear development or disruptive? Improvement or new? Evolutionary or revolutionary? (continued)
What Is the Concept?  Be clear and complete Be brief and to the point State the idea for  the company  and what it does Not simply a cool website or product Use plain English and No MBA buzzwords or engineering geek speak Get your head out of your assets Use plain English but  Use technical language, schematics  where necessary
Market Need or Pain What is the pain in the market? Market need drives business The product or service fills the need Products, companies  do not  create a market What are potential customers doing now? A current solution  does  exist Connect the listener to the problem Why now? Connect timeliness of idea to market pain Staying power and permanence Fads can be very profitable Know the difference between customers and users!!
In Discussion of Market You must size the market You must size the segments From credible sources Which databases? Summary of primary research Using three credible measures Total dollars spent Number of customers Number of units sold
Market Size Quantify “pain” in terms of true market opportunity - just how “big” is this? Which market segments are in the initial  planning horizon of 3 to 5 years? Describe your customers Quantify the segments: Geographically, demographically, psychographically Business, economics, SIC codes http://www.osha.gov/pls/imis/sicsearch.html
Definition of Market Segment Set of potential, actual customers for Your set of products & services who  Have a common set of needs, wants and Refer to one another when making buying decisions
Relationship of Market Terms Total Addressable Market All microprocessors – or –  Target Market Electronic device manufacturers – or –  Market Segment Cell phone manufacturer – or –  Ideal or First Customer Nokia or Motorola
About the Target Customer Is there an identifiable buyer? Accessible to your channel? Able to pay? Referring back to the market pain Does full product address full market pain? Are auxiliary features, products, services needed? Reason to buy   now ? Can customer wait a year?
Value Proposition Why do your customers care? How valuable is your idea to your customers? What’s your customer’s ROI? Cost avoidance? New revenue? Cheaper, faster, prettier, better? Who else do you need to make this happen? Value chain relationships How are you going to extract this value from the marketplace?
Value Chain Players Examples of value chain partners include: Suppliers Technology or logistics partners Sales partners: dealers, resellers, retail chain Ultimate customers Users
Business Model What is the business model? This is really two questions What do you do? How do you make money?
Bus. Model: What do you do? Distribution Sales Marketing Mfg Product   Design Technology Raw Materials
Bus. Model: How do you make money? Product retail sales: using  value chain  Product internet sales: direct to customer  B2B: commercial purchase on terms  Advertising: provide ad space  Licensing: per unit revenue, payable  Consulting: fee for service or impact Services: per unit charges  Transaction fees: per activity  Subscription: content over time  Affiliate: referrals and partnerships  HP Dell Xerox, BASF Yahoo, ABC IBM, universities McKinsey H&R Block eBay Consumer Reports Amazon          
Competitive Advantage What is your  primary  competitive advantage? Intellectual property Legal protections ≠ advantage Management team Exclusive customer relationships How are you going to act on it? Being the “first mover”  is not  a sustainable competitive advantage What you  do  with the competitive advantage is important! Effective execution is more important than being first
Competition and Industry Who is your competition? Porter’s 5 Forces analysis Threat of entry Supplier power Buyer power Threat of substitutes Competitive rivalry Write about the attractiveness of the industry that analysis uncovers Do not write about the analysis (continued)
Competition and Industry Value chain issues How are you affected by competitors’ relationships with value chain partners? How will competition respond? Always assume you will be successful The sincerest form of flattery Established players are likely to be better resourced Then there’s the GoogleSoft approach
Products and Services Detailed description Intellectual property protection Where in the product development process? R&D concerns? Key development hurdles? Where in the product life cycle?
Marketing and Sales Product  | Price | Place | Promotion State the price of the product How are your going to price your product? Market-based Value-based Cost-based How are you going to sell your product? Be realistic, don’t overpromise or oversimplify (continued)
Marketing and Sales What “beta” relationships exist? Why? Who are your first prospective paying customers? In discussion of promotion, remember to tie in the relationships between target market and total market
Management Highlight team’s ability to deliver  Past success is a good indicator of future performance Has team worked together before? Be honest about team’s missing skills Can use Advisory Board to “bolster” management skills
Risk Mitigation Type of Risk What happens Example of how to address Technology Science does not work repeatedly or in product Utilize prototypes extensively Market Customers aren’t paying OR adoption rates are lower  Beta products provide early customer feed back opportunities Competition More competitors exist or they are stronger than anticipated Alter pricing strategy Management People in charge have skills that are misaligned to business Hire people with right skills for right phase; let others go Execution Missing milestones Emphasize right priorities Regulatory Product won’t pass current or pending regulations Move on regulations as early as possible; get “preliminaries” Financing Insufficient funds to continue or  next round is in question Always stay in fundraising mode
Action Plan, Milestones Overview of timeline Demonstrates YOUR understanding of KEY issues for YOUR business Shows that the team knows what is whose responsibility Only items that are your responsibility can be a milestone Include product launch/first sales in ANY discussion of milestones
Key Financials Sales/revenue forecast is the starting point Provide credible financial measures Sales | Units | Margins | Customers | Market share Cash flow is king KNOW your assumptions  “ The Good, The Bad and the Likely” Be realistic: don’t overpromise or oversimplify (continued)
Financials: The Ask How much are you seeking? What is the money to be used for? Most important: where are you now and what will the money get you to? Good: concept, prototype, beta product, commercial product, first sales, profitability Develop Technology  Prototype  Beta Unit  First Sale  Expand Sales Bad: “through next year”, “while we wait for our patent” Where will the next round of funding come from?
Key Financials What do you need NOW? What are your start-up costs? Provide a Sources and Uses discussion and appendix Working capital is a legitimate use of funds Allowing a percentage of “cushion” is okay Estimate costs and revenues to the best of your ability
Exit Strategy Investors don’t invest to get IN Offer feasible exit strategies What is “typical” in your industry? Acquisition IPO Management buyout Dividend payments (continued)
Exit Strategy Acquisition Who?  How many “who’s” IPO Recent market track record  IPO Monitor What performance measures are important? Management buyout is not necessarily a desirable exit Dividends are a tough sell also
The Document
Format of Document Single or 1½ spaced within paragraphs, double-spaced between paragraphs Integrated graphics 11 or 12-point font with 1-1-1-1 inch   margins Numbered pages Hard copies of business plans should be professionally bound Soft copies of business plans should be in a  single  .pdf document (continued)
Format  of Content Cover page (not included in page total) Company name, logo, tagline All team member names Full contact information for at least team leader Body of plan – 20 pages - includes the executive summary and summary financial data Appendices – not to exceed 10 pages No new information Include only when data support statements in the plan Audience may not be able to read all the material in the appendices, so the body portion must contain all pertinent information in a clear and concise manner
Format  of Content Presentations of information Stay away from text only approach Use a variety of graphical representations Charts Pictures Diagrams Use, set aside and highlight quotes for experts and customers Use header and footers wisely Company name, small logo Page numbers
Challenge Many plans are product/technology-centric or driven by perceived market Focus on the intersection of market need and technology/product benefits Ideas and Inventions Needs and Desires Technology  Starter Concepts Solutions  Effects Community  Personas
Challenge Many plans are written in an academic style, i.e., dry, boring Solution Put your passion for the business in the plan Think about what story you want to tell There is  no right way  to organize a business plan
Challenge Many entrepreneurs address preparing the plan and giving the pitch as a necessary evil Solution It’s about the  process , not the document Treat “marketing” your company as essential as “running” your company View opportunities for feedback as invaluable instances that will be difficult to duplicate in the “real world”
Challenge “ There’s no way to do this in 20 pages!” Solution Succinct and concise understanding AND presentation of key issues is paramount View assembly of plan and presentation as much a communication challenge as it is a business issue Teams have NO option in competitions
Typical Pitfalls Product idea not linked to market need Over-simplification of the issues Unrealistic goals and/or timelines No credible go-to-market strategy The “1% market share” objective Under-capitalized and/or over-leveraged Sources and uses of funds Unclear role for the audience, investor (continued)
Typical Pitfalls One-person show Team composition and experience  Executive summary does not have a “hook” Important information is hidden No contingencies Document not reviewed Document not reviewed by “uninterested” parties
This is YOUR story Develop an engaging narrative Make document readable Layout Graphics Font and spacing Table of contents Headings and emphasis (continued)
This is YOUR story Infuse delivery with personality and passion Not a “right” way to tell the story Different aspects of a plan will be emphasized differently for different types of businesses Don’t give evaluators a reason to mistrust or disbelieve you or the plan (continued)
This is YOUR story Have you demonstrated…  Large potential market? Logical go-to-market strategy? Captivating idea with growth potential? Sustainable competitive advantage? Sound financial plan? Strong, core team?
Coordinated Message of Your Business You need the right message … for the right audience  … at the right time …  clearly articulated …  and delivered with  PASSION! Business Plan Executive Summary Elevator   Pitch Core Concept Investor Presentation
Questions ?
Estimating Startup Costs Sales Time Development Transition Modest Growth Working it backwards from the Steady-state numbers: Obtain steady state costs (GS&A, etc, as % of sales   from industry data) Make costs constant over transition Add development costs  Ramp down develop costs while ramping up operating costs Costs

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Idea To Business

  • 1. Idea to Business (Hint: it’s a journey not a task) Process Overview TL Faley, PhD Managing Director, ZLI April 3, 2008
  • 2. Reality? Idea Business Plan Venture Financing Successful Company … And the steps you skip will destroy any chance of success WRONG
  • 3. Non-Linear, Interdependent, Process Phases Phase I: Business Design Identifying opportunities and shaping business concepts Phase II: Feasibility analysis and assessment Phase III: Creating your business plan Phase IV: Launching your business Aligning the necessary resources (including money) Phase V: Growing your business Phase VI: Exiting your business From succession planning to IPOs
  • 4. Short Overview Articles “ The Process of Business Creation ,” TL Faley, Inc. Magazine (on-line), August 23, 2005. http://www.inc.com/resources/startup/articles/20050801/process.html “ Is your Business Idea Feasible?,” TL Faley, Inc. Magazine (on-line), October 4, 2005. http://www.inc.com/resources/startup/articles/20051001/analysis.html “ Creating Your Business Plan,” TL Faley & PS Kirsch, Inc. Magazine (on-line), November 3, 2005. http://www.inc.com/resources/startup/articles/20051101/bplans.html Business Plan Guide: http://www.ey.com/global/Content.nsf/UK/_FG_-_Library_-_Guide_to_producing_a_business_plan “ Growing Your New Venture,” TL Faley, Inc. Magazine (on-line), February 21, 206. http://www.inc.com/resources/startup/articles/20060201/venture.html “ Making Your Exit,” TL Faley & TS Porter, Inc. Magazine (on-line), March 15, 2005. http://www.inc.com/resources/startup/articles/20060301/tfaley.html
  • 5. A Staged, Gated Process to Plan Innovation Source Business Hypothesis Business Hypothesis Business Feasibility Study Business Feasibility Study Business Plan Other entrants Other entrants Hypothesis strong enough to merit deeper investigation? Business merit planning/launching? Opportunity What is the product or service? Who are your users? Why do they buy? How does your business make money? Customers Market Industry Company Team Full Plan and Investor Pitch Assessment Integration
  • 6. Levels of Thinking/Planning Business Design – Vector Direction Structured, Detailed, but Qualitative Assessment - Vector Dimension Quantitative Business Plan Operating document Specific to You, Today
  • 7. ZLI Programs that can help Dare-to-Dream Michigan Business Planning Mingle ‘n Match Others Details: http://www.zli.bus.umich.edu/events_programs/
  • 8. Dare to Dream encourages ..the thoughtful development of student-led businesses AND ..the development of student entrepreneurial skills and understanding
  • 9. ZLI Activities for 2007-08 Frankel Commercialization Fund Wolverine Venture Fund Michigan Business Challenge & Intercollegiate Competitions Entrepreneurial MAP domestic & international opportunities Marcel Gani Internship Program (includes self-hosted internships) Williamson CoE/RSB E-education Initiative Entrepreneurial Studies Courses Action-based Learning New Business Development Seminars ZLI Office Hours, Coaching and Executive Consulting Counseling Michigan Growth Capital Symposium Private Equity Conference Entrepalooza: Exploration of entrepreneurship across multiple industries and business stages Symposia/Events Zell and Mondry Entrepreneurial Scholarships Mingle ‘n’ Match Academics
  • 10. Where you are Some of you have identified a compelling unmet market need or emerging market Some of you have identified a product that is the embodiment of some interesting technology or other innovation source A rare few of you have product concepts targeted at specific users
  • 11. Where you are not None of you have a sustainable business design So let’s first talk about how you get to a complete business design
  • 12. Innovative New Business Design Process Pyramid Business Environmental Influences Persona (target market segment) Product Idea (Starter Concept) Community Enabler (ex. technology) Solution Positioning Statement Bus Hypothesis Product Offering Innovation Source(s) Building the Iceberg from the bottom up Business Hypothesis What is your product/service? (What does your company do?) Who are your customers? Why will they use your product? (Value proposition to the user?) How does your company make money? (Company’s value capture mechanism?)
  • 13. Drucker’s 7 Sources on Innovation Unexpected Occurrences Incongruities Process Needs Industry and Market Changes Demographic Changes Changes in Perception New Knowledge
  • 14. Business Hypothesis: Core Elements of the Business Model Core Business Elements: Your Business Hypothesis What is your product/service? Who are your customers? Why do they use your product? How does your company make money? Marketing Strategy Distribution Strategy Product Strategy (leading edge, service, low cost?) Business Partnerships/Alliances Cost Structures Core competencies/capabilities
  • 15. Outputs of each portion Business Formulation : Explicitly determine Businesses’ Product Offering Determine precisely what the business does Determine Business’ Value Proposition Both value creation & capture. Product Concept Creation : Determine core enabler benefits Product concept brainstorming Market segmentation (persona development for new markets) Determine Product Benefit / Customer Need Match(es) Timing Identify the Innovation source that enables the opportunity now Solution Positioning Statement BUSINESS HYPOTHESIS What is the product or service offered? (exactly what does the company do/provide?) Who are your users? Why will they use your product? How does your business make money? POSITIONING STATEMENT For ... (target segment) The ... (product/brand) Is... (most important benefits) Because... (reason why, underlying enabler) WHY NOW? Opportunity Drivers … which 7 sources of innovation Persona (target market segment) Product Idea (starter concepts) Community Enabler (ex. technology) Business Environmental Influences Bus Hypothesis Product Offering Innovation Source(s)
  • 16. Take an initial guess at a business hypothesis Business Hypothesis Influence Diagram Business Positioning Assessment Product Offering Working through the business environmental influences Finding the Path to Commercialization
  • 17. Business Hypothesis Elements What precisely is your product/service? What precisely does the company do? Who are your customers? What is your target persona? (Need-based market segment?) Why do they use your product? What Value do you create/problem do you solve for the user? How does your company make money? Value capture mechanism
  • 18. What is your product or service? What specifically does your company do? Distribution Sales Marketing Mfg Product Design Technology Raw Materials
  • 19. Less is more “ I have often said there are three types of business : making stuff, selling stuff, and servicing stuff . The usefulness of this for a startup is that too many business plans attempt to be in two or more different sorts of businesses... Being good at one thing is tough enough. Being good at two or more is even tougher! ” --Charles Fry, serial entrepreneur
  • 20. How do you make money? Product retail sales: using value chain  HP Product internet sales: direct to customer  Dell B2B: commercial purchase on terms  Xerox, BASF Advertising: provide ad space  Yahoo, ABC Licensing: per unit revenue, payable  IBM, universities Consulting: fee for service or impact  McKinsey Services: per unit charges  H&R Block Transaction fees: per activity  eBay Subscription: content over time  Consumer Reports Affiliate: referrals and partnerships  Amazon
  • 21. Refining the top of the Pyramid Business Environmental Influences Bus Hypothesis Product Offering Business Formulation : Explicitly determine Businesses’ Product Offering Determine precisely what the business does Determine Business’ Value Proposition Both value creation & capture. Product Concept Creation : Determine core enabler benefits Product concept brainstorming Market segmentation (persona development for new markets) Determine Product Benefit / Customer Need Match(es) Timing Identify the Innovation source that enables the opportunity now Solution Positioning Statement BUSINESS HYPOTHESIS What is the product or service offered? (exactly what does the company do/provide?) Who are your users? Why will they use your product? How does your business make money? POSITIONING STATEMENT For ... (target segment) The ... (product/brand) Is... (most important benefits) Because... (reason why, underlying enabler) WHY NOW? Opportunity Drivers … which 7 sources of innovation Persona (target market segment) Product Idea (starter concepts) Community Enabler (ex. technology) Innovation Source(s)
  • 22. Business Positioning Evaluation Loop Business Hypothesis Influence Diagram Business Positioning Assessment Product Offering
  • 23. Business Positioning Evaluation Loop Business Hypothesis Influence Diagram Business Positioning Assessment Product Offering
  • 24. Where Where is your proposed company in the value chain?
  • 25. Value Chain: Material, Money, and information flow Design Manufacture Sales Consumer Distribution
  • 26. Value Chains can be complicated…. The Commercialization of drugs
  • 27. Value Chain Assessment Value ($-flow) versus Supply Chain (material-flow) ID Who has the Value Capture Power now? Value Creation through: Become a New Entrant (competitor of existing products; cheaper, better, faster) Create a Substitute (alternative to existing solutions—different way of doing something; search engine v. yellow pages) Aggregation/Consolidation Industry consolidation to shift 5-forces equilibrium Collapsing the Value Chain Eliminating links out of the chain (ala Dell) Addressing an emerging market (see innovation sources) Other? Exploit new technology (ex internet) to get economy of scale of services (ex: call centers)
  • 28. What? What are does your company really have? What is the driving need/desire of the proposed buyer ? What complementary assess (CA) does your company need to deliver its product that fulfills this need? What complementary benefits (CB) does the company’s product also need to deliver in order to satisfy the complimentary needs of the customer?
  • 29. Teece’s Framework: Determining the optimal value-capture vehicle for your Intellectual Asset Niche Business Potential IAs have no capturable value Strong New Business Potential License to or Partner with CA holder Intellectual Asset Position is: Strong Complementary Assets are: Weak Generic Specialized If control the IA and the CAs, then you have the potential to create an extremely well-positioned business. Note: This assessment assumes that you are the IA holder, but do not currently have the complimentary assets necessary to fully commercialize your IA. Ref: David Teece, 1986
  • 30. Intellectual Assets (IAs) Patent Basics Rights Prevent others from making, using, or selling the subject matter of the patent Duration: 20 years from date of application Three criteria New (novel) Non-obvious (to someone skilled in the art) Useful (utility)
  • 31. Intellectual Assets continued Copyright Basics Rights Reproduction Creation of derivative works Distribution to public Public performance or display Duration Life of author plus 70 years “ Work for Hire” 95 years from first publication or 120 years from creation Subject Matter Works of authorship Fixed in any tangible medium Expression, not concepts
  • 32. Complimentary Assets All those things necessary to transform the assets you have into the products/services your customers desire (and delivering it to them). Advantaged Complimentary Assets: Physical and intellectual assets: Brand name Manufacturing Plants Distribution channels Customer relationships IP that others may need (blocking their ‘freedom to practice’) Resources (ex: deep financial pockets) Capabilities: Manufacturing or design capabilities Sales and service expertise
  • 33. How? How does the company plan on acquire/gaining access to its necessary complimentary assets? Create/Develop/Reproduce? Buy? Rent/Lease? Borrow? How will the company pay for these? Cash? Equity? % of Future Sales?
  • 34. Business Positioning Evaluation Loop Business Hypothesis Influence Diagram Business Positioning Assessment Product Offering
  • 35. Who? Who holds the value capture power? Porter’s Five Forces Use Company Operating Margins for companies across the chain as a proxy for relative value capture strength www.hoovers.com
  • 36. Porter’s 5 Forces: Industry Analysis Industry Competitiveness Threat of New Entrants (Barriers to Entry) Bargaining Power Of Suppliers Threat of Substitute Products/Services Bargaining Power Of Buyers
  • 37. Porter’s 5 Forces: Industry Value-chain Analysis Industry Competi- tiveness Threat of New Entrants Bargaining Power Of RM Suppliers Threat of Substitute Products/Services Bargaining Power Of End users Industry Competi- tiveness Industry Competi- tiveness Threat of New Entrants Threat of New Entrants Threat of Substitute Products/Services Threat of Substitute Products/Services Who hold the “value capture” power? Can you Shift the equilibrium of the Industry’s Balance of Power?
  • 38. Business Positioning Evaluation Loop Business Hypothesis Influence Diagram Business Positioning Assessment Product Offering
  • 39. Innovative New Business Design Process Pyramid Business Environmental Influences Persona (target market segment) Product Idea (Starter Concept) Community Enabler (ex. technology) Solution (Positioning Statement) Bus Hypothesis Product Offering Innovation Source(s) What’s the difference?
  • 40. Solution to Product Offering Company Product Offering as a subset of “Solution” Example: Users need faster processing computer “ Solution” is a new, advanced processing chip Intel/AMD own (expensive/specialized) complementary assets Your Company Offering becomes a chip design and you partner with Intel/AMD/TSMC for mfg. Company Product Offering as a superset of “Solution” Example: Users need information on joint replacement therapy “ Solution” is content/information Efficient Channel to deliver content to user does not exist Complimentary assets to create channel are cheap/generic Your Company Offering becomes a web portal for joint replacement therapy information
  • 41. Business Positioning Evaluation Loop Business Hypothesis Influence Diagram Business Positioning Assessment Product Offering
  • 42. The Innovation Process Pyramid Business Environmental Influences Persona Solution idea, Starter concept Community Enabler (ex. Technology) Bus Hypothesis Product Offering First Down, then up. Business Hypothesis What is your product/service? (What does your company do?) Who are your customers? Why will they use your product? (Value proposition to the user?) How does your company make money? (Company’s value capture mechanism?) Solution (Positioning Statement) Innovation Source(s)
  • 43. Talk to people!! Especially potential customers!!! Let them help you design the future Be aware: People adopt to their surroundings -- accept what currently is Need to “read between the lines” The Why Chain LOCA (Latent Observations / Constant Annoyances)
  • 44. Outputs of each portion Business Formulation : Explicitly determine Businesses’ Product Offering Determine precisely what the business does Determine Business’ Value Proposition Both value creation & capture. Product Concept Creation : Determine core enabler benefits Product concept brainstorming Market segmentation (persona development for new markets) Determine Product Benefit / Customer Need Match(es) Timing Identify the Innovation source that enables the opportunity now Solution Positioning Statement BUSINESS HYPOTHESIS What is the product or service offered? (exactly what does the company do/provide?) Who are your users? Why will they use your product? How does your business make money? POSITIONING STATEMENT For ... (target segment) The ... (product/brand) Is... (most important benefits) Because... (reason why, underlying enabler) WHY NOW? Opportunity Drivers … which 7 sources of innovation Persona (target market segment) Product Idea (starter concepts) Community Enabler (ex. technology) Business Environmental Influences Bus Hypothesis Product Offering Innovation Source(s)
  • 45. Developing a Feasibility Study More Detail – More Quantitative COPYRIGHT © 2006 THE REGENTS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
  • 46. Feasibility Study Introduction The Micro-Market The Macro-Market The Macro-Industry The Firm (a.k.a. Micro-Industry) Team: Mission, Aspirations, and Risks Team: Can you execute? Team: Connectedness Summary
  • 47. Business Assessment Framework TEAM DOMAIN Connectedness up, down, and across value chain Ability to execute CSFs Missions, aspirations, Propensity for risk Market Domain Industry Domain Macro-level Micro-level REF: The New Business Road Test , John Mullins © 2003. Market Attractiveness Industry Attractiveness Target segments benefits and attractiveness Sustainable advantage Large/growing? Move from Initial persona to other personas? Personas Porter’s 5 Forces Value-capture position (IA vs CA) (Teece, 1986) Product Differentiation (Intellectual Assets)
  • 48. Opportunity  Assessment Building the foundation for the assessment phase The Business Hypothesis Market Domain Industry Domain Macro-level Micro-level Market Attractiveness Industry Attractiveness Target segments benefits and attractiveness Sustainable advantage Business Product Offering Intermediate Outcomes & Tools Opportunity Phase Assessment Phase Effort Community Map (user needs/desires & “Players”) Technology Map (benefits of existing, complimentary, future) Personas Solution (“starter”) Concepts Solution Positioning Statement Business Environmental Influences
  • 49. Introduction Use this opportunity to set up your audience One or two paragraphs Clear elaboration of the Core Concept Should clearly answer The hypothesis, model are you testing, e.g. Integrated manufacturer Consulting firm Design and IP firm Be clear about the product or services your company sells
  • 50. Definition of Market Segment Set of potential, actual customers for Your set of products & services who Have a common set of needs, wants and Refer to one another when making buying decisions
  • 51. Micro-Market Pain What customer pain will you resolve? What are potential customers doing now? A current solution does exist Does your product offer clear and compelling benefits? In the customers’ minds, are these benefits superior to what’s currently offered? Is this better, faster, cheaper, prettier, etc. Why now? Connect timeliness of solution to the market pain
  • 52. Micro-Market Pain Are you offering a solution at a price your customers will pay? What evidence do you have? Remember The market need will fuel the business growth and value The product fills a need Products, companies do not create a market Know the difference between customers and users!!
  • 53. Relationship of Market Terms Total Addressable Market All microprocessors – or – Target Market Electronic device manufacturers – or – Market Segment Cell phone manufacturer – or – Ideal or First Customer Nokia or Motorola Size: Now & Future
  • 54. Porter’s 5 Forces: Industry Analysis Industry Competitiveness Threat of New Entrants (Barriers to Entry) Bargaining Power Of Suppliers Threat of Substitute Products/Services Bargaining Power Of Buyers
  • 55. Macro-Industry: Porter’s 5 Forces What is the threat of new entrants to this industry? How great is the power of suppliers to set terms and conditions? How great is the power of buyers to set terms and conditions? Is there a threat of substitution from other products to steal your customers? How intense is competitive rivalry ?
  • 56. Macro-Industry: Top-level Issues In what industry will you compete? Requires careful definition Based on all five forces, what is your overall assessment of attractiveness of the industry? If your industry is a poor performer overall, are there specific and persuasive reasons why you will fare differently? What will likely change in response to the success of your venture?
  • 57. The Firm: “Proprietary-ness” What proprietary elements do you have that other firms cannot duplicate? Patents, copyrights, trade secrets, etc. Key managerial personnel (see Team) Can your business develop a competitive advantage? Superior processes Access to resources, customers
  • 58. The Firm: Financial Issues Key issues to understanding the economic viability of your business model Have you identified all your revenue streams and relationship between them? E.g. Software sales and recurring seat licenses How long before you start generating revenue? How much will it cost and how long will it take acquire and retain customers? Will your revenue, bootstrapping, fit with the “start” that a capital investment will provide?
  • 59. The Firm: Financial Issues Key issues to understanding the economic viability of your business model What are the key items in your cost structure? Necessary technology and product development How much cash must be tied up in working capital, inventory, etc.? For how long? How quickly will customers pay? Accounts receivable amount and terms vs. online cc payments
  • 60. The Team Mission, Aspirations, and Risks You must talk with your team members now Imagine how difficult in 1, 2, 5 years Can you execute? Can your team execute on each and every CSF? If not, have you identified how you will complete the team to address the missing CSFs? Connectedness: Who do you and your team know within the value chain? Likely suppliers and technologists ? Key customers ? Most pressing competitors ?
  • 61. The Critical Success Factors Which assumptions are critical to the success of your business? What are the “big levers”? Sensitivity analysis Typically time (to develop and through the transition) Market size (total sales)
  • 62. Summary Information Summary: only 4 reasonable conclusions Feasible as proposed and moving forward Feasible w/ changes and moving forward Feasible (w/ or w/o changes) but not moving forward Not feasible (w/ or w/o changes) and not moving forward Not feasible and moving forward
  • 63. References to Industry Norms Use Industry-specific Data to guide your projections of expenses and margins Robert Morris Associates Annual Statement Studies HG4050.R64 (in Kresge Library)
  • 64. Mullins’ Assessment Framework Applied Market Domain Industry Domain Macro-level Micro-level REF: The New Business Road Test , John Mullins © 2003. Market Attractiveness Industry Attractiveness Target segments benefits and attractiveness Sustainable advantage x x Necessary but not sufficient Sufficient by itself. VC: x SB: _ VC: x SB: x VC: x SB: x (__ if niche) VC: x SB: _ VC Deal-breaker if absent
  • 65. Assembling The Full Business Plan Paul Kirsch Samuel Zell & Robert H. Lurie Institute For Entrepreneurial Studies January 25, 2008
  • 66. Agenda Business plan in the context of business development Purpose Audience Contents Format Challenges Pitfalls
  • 67. Coordinated Message of Your Business You need the right message … for the right audience … at the right time … clearly articulated … and delivered with PASSION! Business Plan Executive Summary Elevator Pitch Core Concept Investor Presentation
  • 68. Purpose To force the entrepreneur to do a thorough and effective analyses To provide a roadmap for development To propose a new venture To raise capital for the company To benchmark progress Should evaluate, not promote Good plans take the emotion out of decisions and focus attention on reality (continued)
  • 69. Purpose Always a work in progress About the process NOT the document Ties all aspects of your business and plan together Offers clear linkage between Vision and ideas Company to make it happen Business Plan
  • 70. Audience Investors FFF | Banks | Private investors | VCs | Grantors Business partners Beta customers | Suppliers | Distributors Management team Current – talking from the same script Potential – need to understand business
  • 71. Business Plan Contents Executive Summary What is the concept? Market Need or Pain Market Size Value Proposition Business Model Competitive Advantage Competition and Industry Products and Services Marketing and Sales Management Risk Mitigation Action Plan, Milestones Key Financials Exit Strategies
  • 72. What Is the Concept? Core Concept statement that defines product and business Can include The “story” behind the business? Relationship to current solutions Linear development or disruptive? Improvement or new? Evolutionary or revolutionary? (continued)
  • 73. What Is the Concept? Be clear and complete Be brief and to the point State the idea for the company and what it does Not simply a cool website or product Use plain English and No MBA buzzwords or engineering geek speak Get your head out of your assets Use plain English but Use technical language, schematics where necessary
  • 74. Market Need or Pain What is the pain in the market? Market need drives business The product or service fills the need Products, companies do not create a market What are potential customers doing now? A current solution does exist Connect the listener to the problem Why now? Connect timeliness of idea to market pain Staying power and permanence Fads can be very profitable Know the difference between customers and users!!
  • 75. In Discussion of Market You must size the market You must size the segments From credible sources Which databases? Summary of primary research Using three credible measures Total dollars spent Number of customers Number of units sold
  • 76. Market Size Quantify “pain” in terms of true market opportunity - just how “big” is this? Which market segments are in the initial planning horizon of 3 to 5 years? Describe your customers Quantify the segments: Geographically, demographically, psychographically Business, economics, SIC codes http://www.osha.gov/pls/imis/sicsearch.html
  • 77. Definition of Market Segment Set of potential, actual customers for Your set of products & services who Have a common set of needs, wants and Refer to one another when making buying decisions
  • 78. Relationship of Market Terms Total Addressable Market All microprocessors – or – Target Market Electronic device manufacturers – or – Market Segment Cell phone manufacturer – or – Ideal or First Customer Nokia or Motorola
  • 79. About the Target Customer Is there an identifiable buyer? Accessible to your channel? Able to pay? Referring back to the market pain Does full product address full market pain? Are auxiliary features, products, services needed? Reason to buy now ? Can customer wait a year?
  • 80. Value Proposition Why do your customers care? How valuable is your idea to your customers? What’s your customer’s ROI? Cost avoidance? New revenue? Cheaper, faster, prettier, better? Who else do you need to make this happen? Value chain relationships How are you going to extract this value from the marketplace?
  • 81. Value Chain Players Examples of value chain partners include: Suppliers Technology or logistics partners Sales partners: dealers, resellers, retail chain Ultimate customers Users
  • 82. Business Model What is the business model? This is really two questions What do you do? How do you make money?
  • 83. Bus. Model: What do you do? Distribution Sales Marketing Mfg Product Design Technology Raw Materials
  • 84. Bus. Model: How do you make money? Product retail sales: using value chain Product internet sales: direct to customer B2B: commercial purchase on terms Advertising: provide ad space Licensing: per unit revenue, payable Consulting: fee for service or impact Services: per unit charges Transaction fees: per activity Subscription: content over time Affiliate: referrals and partnerships HP Dell Xerox, BASF Yahoo, ABC IBM, universities McKinsey H&R Block eBay Consumer Reports Amazon          
  • 85. Competitive Advantage What is your primary competitive advantage? Intellectual property Legal protections ≠ advantage Management team Exclusive customer relationships How are you going to act on it? Being the “first mover” is not a sustainable competitive advantage What you do with the competitive advantage is important! Effective execution is more important than being first
  • 86. Competition and Industry Who is your competition? Porter’s 5 Forces analysis Threat of entry Supplier power Buyer power Threat of substitutes Competitive rivalry Write about the attractiveness of the industry that analysis uncovers Do not write about the analysis (continued)
  • 87. Competition and Industry Value chain issues How are you affected by competitors’ relationships with value chain partners? How will competition respond? Always assume you will be successful The sincerest form of flattery Established players are likely to be better resourced Then there’s the GoogleSoft approach
  • 88. Products and Services Detailed description Intellectual property protection Where in the product development process? R&D concerns? Key development hurdles? Where in the product life cycle?
  • 89. Marketing and Sales Product | Price | Place | Promotion State the price of the product How are your going to price your product? Market-based Value-based Cost-based How are you going to sell your product? Be realistic, don’t overpromise or oversimplify (continued)
  • 90. Marketing and Sales What “beta” relationships exist? Why? Who are your first prospective paying customers? In discussion of promotion, remember to tie in the relationships between target market and total market
  • 91. Management Highlight team’s ability to deliver Past success is a good indicator of future performance Has team worked together before? Be honest about team’s missing skills Can use Advisory Board to “bolster” management skills
  • 92. Risk Mitigation Type of Risk What happens Example of how to address Technology Science does not work repeatedly or in product Utilize prototypes extensively Market Customers aren’t paying OR adoption rates are lower Beta products provide early customer feed back opportunities Competition More competitors exist or they are stronger than anticipated Alter pricing strategy Management People in charge have skills that are misaligned to business Hire people with right skills for right phase; let others go Execution Missing milestones Emphasize right priorities Regulatory Product won’t pass current or pending regulations Move on regulations as early as possible; get “preliminaries” Financing Insufficient funds to continue or next round is in question Always stay in fundraising mode
  • 93. Action Plan, Milestones Overview of timeline Demonstrates YOUR understanding of KEY issues for YOUR business Shows that the team knows what is whose responsibility Only items that are your responsibility can be a milestone Include product launch/first sales in ANY discussion of milestones
  • 94. Key Financials Sales/revenue forecast is the starting point Provide credible financial measures Sales | Units | Margins | Customers | Market share Cash flow is king KNOW your assumptions “ The Good, The Bad and the Likely” Be realistic: don’t overpromise or oversimplify (continued)
  • 95. Financials: The Ask How much are you seeking? What is the money to be used for? Most important: where are you now and what will the money get you to? Good: concept, prototype, beta product, commercial product, first sales, profitability Develop Technology Prototype Beta Unit First Sale Expand Sales Bad: “through next year”, “while we wait for our patent” Where will the next round of funding come from?
  • 96. Key Financials What do you need NOW? What are your start-up costs? Provide a Sources and Uses discussion and appendix Working capital is a legitimate use of funds Allowing a percentage of “cushion” is okay Estimate costs and revenues to the best of your ability
  • 97. Exit Strategy Investors don’t invest to get IN Offer feasible exit strategies What is “typical” in your industry? Acquisition IPO Management buyout Dividend payments (continued)
  • 98. Exit Strategy Acquisition Who? How many “who’s” IPO Recent market track record IPO Monitor What performance measures are important? Management buyout is not necessarily a desirable exit Dividends are a tough sell also
  • 100. Format of Document Single or 1½ spaced within paragraphs, double-spaced between paragraphs Integrated graphics 11 or 12-point font with 1-1-1-1 inch margins Numbered pages Hard copies of business plans should be professionally bound Soft copies of business plans should be in a single .pdf document (continued)
  • 101. Format of Content Cover page (not included in page total) Company name, logo, tagline All team member names Full contact information for at least team leader Body of plan – 20 pages - includes the executive summary and summary financial data Appendices – not to exceed 10 pages No new information Include only when data support statements in the plan Audience may not be able to read all the material in the appendices, so the body portion must contain all pertinent information in a clear and concise manner
  • 102. Format of Content Presentations of information Stay away from text only approach Use a variety of graphical representations Charts Pictures Diagrams Use, set aside and highlight quotes for experts and customers Use header and footers wisely Company name, small logo Page numbers
  • 103. Challenge Many plans are product/technology-centric or driven by perceived market Focus on the intersection of market need and technology/product benefits Ideas and Inventions Needs and Desires Technology Starter Concepts Solutions Effects Community Personas
  • 104. Challenge Many plans are written in an academic style, i.e., dry, boring Solution Put your passion for the business in the plan Think about what story you want to tell There is no right way to organize a business plan
  • 105. Challenge Many entrepreneurs address preparing the plan and giving the pitch as a necessary evil Solution It’s about the process , not the document Treat “marketing” your company as essential as “running” your company View opportunities for feedback as invaluable instances that will be difficult to duplicate in the “real world”
  • 106. Challenge “ There’s no way to do this in 20 pages!” Solution Succinct and concise understanding AND presentation of key issues is paramount View assembly of plan and presentation as much a communication challenge as it is a business issue Teams have NO option in competitions
  • 107. Typical Pitfalls Product idea not linked to market need Over-simplification of the issues Unrealistic goals and/or timelines No credible go-to-market strategy The “1% market share” objective Under-capitalized and/or over-leveraged Sources and uses of funds Unclear role for the audience, investor (continued)
  • 108. Typical Pitfalls One-person show Team composition and experience Executive summary does not have a “hook” Important information is hidden No contingencies Document not reviewed Document not reviewed by “uninterested” parties
  • 109. This is YOUR story Develop an engaging narrative Make document readable Layout Graphics Font and spacing Table of contents Headings and emphasis (continued)
  • 110. This is YOUR story Infuse delivery with personality and passion Not a “right” way to tell the story Different aspects of a plan will be emphasized differently for different types of businesses Don’t give evaluators a reason to mistrust or disbelieve you or the plan (continued)
  • 111. This is YOUR story Have you demonstrated… Large potential market? Logical go-to-market strategy? Captivating idea with growth potential? Sustainable competitive advantage? Sound financial plan? Strong, core team?
  • 112. Coordinated Message of Your Business You need the right message … for the right audience … at the right time … clearly articulated … and delivered with PASSION! Business Plan Executive Summary Elevator Pitch Core Concept Investor Presentation
  • 114. Estimating Startup Costs Sales Time Development Transition Modest Growth Working it backwards from the Steady-state numbers: Obtain steady state costs (GS&A, etc, as % of sales from industry data) Make costs constant over transition Add development costs Ramp down develop costs while ramping up operating costs Costs