InfraRisk terminology
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This document provides a glossary of terms used in the INFRARISK project, which aims to develop novel indicators for identifying critical infrastructure at risk from natural hazards. The glossary defines terms related to general risk concepts, risk communication, and risk assessment. It was produced to ensure common understanding of terminology between the research partners involved in the project.
InfraRisk terminology
- 1. © The INFRARISK Consortium FP7 2013 Cooperation Work Programme Theme 6: Environment (Including Climate Change) Novel indicators for identifying critical INFRAstructure at RISK from Natural Hazards This project has received funding from the European Union’s Seventh Programme for research, technological development and demonstration under grant agreement No 603960. Primary Author Bryan Adey & Jürgen Hackl, /Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich (ETHZ) WP N/A Submission Date N/A Primary Reviewer Mark Tucker (ROD) & All Partners Dissemination Level PU INFRARISK Terminology
- 2. INFRARISK INFRARISK Terminology © The INFRARISK Consortium i Project Information Project Duration: 1/10/2013 ‐ 30/09/2016 Project Coordinator: Professor Eugene O' Brien Roughan & O’ Donovan Limited eugene.obrien@rod.ie Work Programme: 2013 Cooperation Theme 6: Environment (Including Climate Change). Call Topic: Env.2013.6.4‐4 Towards Stress Testing of Critical Infrastructure Against Natural Hazards‐FP7‐ENV‐2013‐two stage. Project Website: www.infrarisk‐fp7.eu Partners: Roughan & O’ Donovan Limited, Ireland Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich, Switzerland. Dragados SA, Spain. Gavin and Doherty Geosolutions Ltd., Ireland. Probabilistic Solutions Consult and Training BV, Netherlands. Agencia Estatal Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, Spain. University College London, United Kingdom. PSJ, Netherlands. Stiftelsen SINTEF, Norway. Ritchey Consulting AB, Sweden. University of Southampton (IT Innovation Centre), United Kingdom.
- 3. INFRARISK INFRARISK Terminology © The INFRARISK Consortium ii Document Information Version Date Description Primary Author Rev01 18/02/2014 Draft for review Bryan Adey, Jurgen Hackl Rev02 05/04/2014 Revised Draft for review Bryan Adey, Jurgen Hackl Rev03 10/12/14 Final Bryan Adey, Jurgen Hackl This document and the information contained herein may not be copied, used or disclosed in whole or part except with the prior written permission of the partners of the INFRARISK Consortium. The copyright and foregoing restriction on copying, use and disclosure extend to all media in which this information may be embodied, including magnetic storage, computer print‐out, visual display, etc. The information included in this document is correct to the best of the authors’ knowledge. However, the document is supplied without liability for errors and omissions. All rights reserved.
- 4. INFRARISK INFRARISK Terminology © The INFRARISK Consortium iii Table of Contents 1.0 INTRODUCTION ......................................................................................................................... 4 2.0 GLOSSARY OF TERMS ................................................................................................................ 5 2.1 General Items ............................................................................................................................ 5 2.2 Risk Communication .................................................................................................................. 7 2.3 Risk Assessment ......................................................................................................................... 7 2.4 Risk Control ................................................................................................................................ 8
- 5. INFRARISK INFRARISK Terminology © The INFRARISK Consortium 4 1.0 INTRODUCTION This document provides a glossary of terms sue dint he INFRARISK project. The purpose of this document is to ensure that all terms used in the project have a specific definition and all partners have a common understanding of the terms and their definition. If requested, this terminology document will also be made available to the commission and those projects with which coordination is required, in order to ensure a common terminology is used between the various projects.
- 6. INFRARISK INFRARISK Terminology © The INFRARISK Consortium 5 2.0 GLOSSARY OF TERMS 2.1 General Items Term Definition Black Swan (Option 1) An event for which no statistical distribution exists. It can be an event that occurred previously but never before occurred at an assumed low probability magnitude. Black Swan (Option 2) A hazard or hazard scenario that has not been modelled but if it occurs will result in higher consequences that anything else modelled Consequence The result of an event. It may be seen as positive or negative. It may or may not be directly monetisable. Critical Infrastructure (EC) An asset, system or part thereof located in Member States which is essential for the maintenance of vital societal functions, health, safety, security, economic or social well‐being of people, and the disruption or destruction of which would have a significant impact in a Member State as a result of the failure to maintain those functions Critical Infrastructure (INFRARISK) Elements of the Ten‐T Core Transport Network such as for example, bridges, tunnels, earthworks and other structures (culverts etc.) Critical infrastructure Infrastructure that if non‐operational would result in the occurrence of large consequences with a high probability. Damage State A state in which an object does not provide an adequate level of service Disaster An event that has large consequences. The definition of large consequences is dependent on the situation and stakeholders being considered. Element at risk An aspect of the system that plays a significant role in the determination of risk, e.g. if the variation of the number of persons living in an area has a large effect on the risk in the area, than this element of the system is considered to be an element at risk Failure The inability of an object to provide an adequate level of service, e.g. if an adequate level of service of a bridge includes having a safety margin of x and following an earthquake it has a safety margin of x ‐1 it has failed, or if an adequate level of service of a road section includes having no cracks and following a flood it has cracks, it has failed. Fault When an object does not work as intended it is said to have a fault, e.g. the bearing of bridge does not provide the lateral displacement it was intended to provide, or the steel of which a track is made does not have the specified yield stress. A fault does not mean that the object provides an inadequate level of service. Hazard Any event or a sequence of events that can lead to negative consequences. e.g. earthquake or earthquake which leads to ground accelerations which leads to physical damage of a bridge.
- 7. INFRARISK INFRARISK Terminology © The INFRARISK Consortium 6 Term Definition Hazard scenario A combination of multiple hazards that can lead to negative consequences, e.g. earthquake leads to ground accelerations and flood leads to high water levels, together they lead to physical damage of a bridge and a road section. Objective probability The probability determined using theoretical arguments or adequate statistical data. Objective risk An estimate of the risk obtained using theoretical arguments or adequate statistical data (for example the annual expected fatalities from car accidents) or from quantified risk analysis methods (QRA, PRA). Probability The likelihood or degree of belief of an event occurring. Reliability The ability of an object to provide an adequate level of service, e.g. fulfill code requirements, over a given period of time (e.g. design life). Risk The multiplication of the probability of occurrence of an event and its consequences for a given hazard, area and time period. Risk management The process of to evaluate and change risk Safety The state of having a low probability of being hurt or killed. Stakeholder An individual, group or organization that can affect, be affected by, or perceive itself to be affected by an event. (Within this project, stakeholders are the users of the INFRARISK Decision Support Tool. Subjective probability The probability determined using intuition and relevant experience. System A bounded group of interrelated, interdependent or interacting elements forming an entity that achieves a defined objective in its environment through interaction of its parts. Trigger An event, or multiple events, that cause another event or events to occur, e.g. a heavy rain fall event is considered to be a trigger, if it causes the occurrence of a landslide event. Value at risk The maximum consequences that can occur due to the occurrence of a hazard or hazard scenario, e.g. the maximum number of fatalities and the maximum number of building to be restored multiplied by the cost of restoring these. Vulnerability The risk related to a specific event or combination of events. It is seen as a subset of risk. For example, the vulnerability related to an earthquake occurring leading to a bridge collapsing is estimated assuming that an earthquake occurs and estimating the probability of the ground accelerations knowing that the earthquake has occurred and multiplying these probabilities with the probable consequences.
- 8. INFRARISK INFRARISK Terminology © The INFRARISK Consortium 7 2.2 Risk Communication Term Definition Acceptable risk A level of risk, in which, society is not willing to execute interventions to reduce the risk. The acceptable level of risk depends on possible interventions and ability of society to execute an intervention. This is synonymous with tolerable risk. . Interested party Person or group having an interest in the performance of an organization. Examples: Customers, owners, people in an organization, suppliers, bankers, unions, partners or society. Risk communication The process of exchanging or sharing information about risk between the decision‐maker and other stakeholders. Risk perception Way in which a stakeholder views a risk, based on a set of values or concerns. Stakeholder An individual, group or organization that can affect, be affected by, or perceive itself to be affected by, a risk 2.3 Risk Assessment Term Definition Causal analysis A process to describe and/or estimate the probability of the occurrence of precursor events, i.e. events that lead to other events or causes. Consequence analysis A process to describe and/or estimate subsequent events and setting a value to these events. Hazard identification A process to determine the hazards and hazard scenarios to be considered in an analysis. Intervention analysis A process to identify possible interventions to change risk. Risk analysis A process to estimate risk. Risk analysis is synonymous with risk estimation. Risk assessment A process to analyse risks and to determine the possible interventions to reduce risks. This may include the determination of the degree of risk acceptance. This is synonymous Risk estimation A process to estimate risk. Risk estimation is synonymous with risk analysis. Risk evaluation A process to analyse risks and determine the possible interventions to reduce risks. This may include the determination of the degree of risk acceptance. This is synonymous with risk assessment. Sensitivity analysis A process to describe and/or calculate the effect of variations in the input data and underlying assumptions in general on the final result
- 9. INFRARISK INFRARISK Terminology © The INFRARISK Consortium 8 2.4 Risk Control Term Definition Mitigation A process of selection and execution of interventions to reduce the consequences of a particular event. Residual risk The risk remaining after an intervention has been executed to minimize risk or the decision has been made to execute no intervention to minimize risk. Risk acceptance A process of determining that no intervention should be executed to minimize risk Risk avoidance A process of not becoming involved in a situation, with which risk is associated. Risk control A process to ensure that the level of risk is acceptable/tolerable. Risk financing Financial resources secured to ensure that interventions to execute interventions to change risks. Risk optimization A process to minimize the negative risks. Risk reduction A process of selection and execution of interventions to reduce risks. Risk retention The decision that no intervention should be executed to minimize risk. Risk transfer A process of shifting the risk associated with one situation from one stakeholder to another. Risk treatment A process of selection and execution of interventions to change risk Safety management A process to ensure to that there is an adequate level of safety Tolerable Risk A level of risk, in which, society is not willing to execute interventions to reduce the risk. The acceptable level of risk depends on possible interventions and ability of society to execute an intervention. This is synonymous with acceptable risk.