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Securing Infrastructure for Mining in
Africa
Key trends and observations
Infrastructure Panel Session
Mining on Top Summit
26 June 2014
Setting the Scene
• Key trends
– Interplay between Infrastructure and Mining
– Comparison against BRIC & other countries
– Chinese Investment in Africa
• Practical Examples
– South Africa
– Mozambique
– Guinea
• Themes for discussion
Interplay between Infrastructure and Mining
Investment
• “Africa’s infrastructure deficit is both a
potential bottleneck for mining development
and a development challenge. There is
increasingly an overlay between the
geography of mining deposits and where
there is lack of available transport, power and
water. Multi-use infrastructure can be an
opportunity for mining to enhance its
development impact on countries and regions
for the long term as they serve as critical
anchors for road, rail, port, water, power and
even telecommunications investment.”
Bernard Sheahan, International Finance Corporation (IFC), Director of Infrastructure and
Natural Resources for Africa and Latin America (February, 2013)
Interplay between Infrastructure and Mining
Investment
• Acute demand for infrastructure in the mining and natural
resources sectors
– 60% of all Capex Expenditure on natural resource projects is
infrastructure related – on some new build mining projects this
figure can be higher
– USD50bn of rail infrastructure investment required if the
continent's natural resources are to be exploited for wider
economic benefit
– Standard Bank has identified 15 major rail network projects,
together with roads, ports and power infrastructure that need to
be procured to ensure continued exploitation of resource wealth
(Standard Bank, January & February 2013)
Interplay between Infrastructure and Mining
Investment
• Continuing infrastructure deficit
– USD 93bn infrastructure gap with other developing regions
(AICD, January 2013)
– In lower-income countries, infrastructure is a major constraint on
doing business, and is found to depress firm productivity by around
40%
– The negative impact of
deficient infrastructure is at
least as large as that
associated with corruption,
crime, financial market and
red tape constraints
(World Bank Fact Sheet)
– Opportunities for miners
Comparison with BRIC Countries
• African economic
growth reflected
in FDI into
Projects
• Surpassed
Russia and
catching up with
China and India
• Enough to bridge
infrastructure
deficit and
capitalise on
mining wealth?(Ernst & Young, Africa Attractiveness Survey, 2012)
Chinese Investment in Africa
• Deepening Sino-African trade links:
– 2013: USD200bn (forecasted) with 22% y/y monthly
increase
– 2012: USD166bn
– Africa is China's fastest-growing trade partner,
accelerating faster than Latin America and Asia
(Standard Bank, February 2013)
• Continued focus on infrastructure
• Developing mining experience
– 2011: Jinchuan purchased Metorex, a South African
miner listed in Johannesburg
– 2013: Jinchuan invested in Wesizwe Platinum's
Bakubung mine in South Africa
South Africa (Developed Market – coordinated
approach to new infrastructure)
• Developed market and home to
the biggest names in mining:
– Anglo American, Xstrata, Rio
Tinto Group and BHP Billiton
and AngloGold Ashanti
• Transnet to spend USD40bn on
rail infrastructure over seven years
to encourage further investment
• South African Government's
National Infrastructure Plan,
including 18 Strategic Integrated
Projects (SIPs)
South Africa
• SIP 1
• Exploit mineral
wealth
• Build out
accompanying
rail, road, water,
power
infrastructure
• Urban
development
and logistics
corridor
Mozambique (Developing Market – example of
multiple interests)
• Developing market well placed for exports to Asia-Pacific
• Large untapped deposits of coking coal
• Could be producing 100 million tonnes of coal a year
after 2015
• Lack of infrastructure inhibiting growth: USD20bn
required
• Vale Moçambique, Rio Tinto, Jindal, ENRC, Beacon Hill,
Ncondezi Coal Mining and Anglo-American all producing
or intending to produce coal
(Mining Weekly, April 2013)
Mozambique • Sena line
currently only
export route
from Tete
• Capacity could
be doubled to
12m tonnes by
2018, well short
of miners‟
predicted output
• Miners have
proposed
different routes
as options
• Government
wants multi-use
infrastructure
assurances
Guinea
(Developing Market – Integrated Project model)
• Simandou Project
– An iron ore mine of 95
million tonnes per year at
full production
– A Trans-Guinean railway of
approximately 670 km to
transport the ore from the
mining concession to the
Guinean coast
– A new deepwater port south
of Conakry in the
Forécariah prefecture
Guinea
• Simandou Project
– Government of Guinea, Rio
Tinto, Aluminium Corporation
of China and the International
Finance Corporation
– PPP delivery model for
infrastructure
– Cost doubled to USD20bn –
two times original estimate
– Despite recent difficulties in
negotiations with the Guinea
Government, the project has
received praise from the IFC:
“The economic effects around such
multi-use infrastructure can be
enormous, perhaps stimulating as
much GDP growth as the
infrastructure itself”
Bernard Sheahan, International Finance Corporation (IFC), Director of
Infrastructure and Natural Resources for Africa and Latin America
(February, 2013)
Some themes for discussion
• Strategic, integrated planning and cross
border co-operation – lack of joined up
thinking?
• Contract Models – innovative Guinea PPP
structure
• Access to funding – over-reliance on users?
• Exclusive use – security, maintenance, access (Queensland model)
• Trickle down effect - local procurement – labour, materials
• Social licence and stakeholder issues – resettlement, water, welfare
• Environmental and regulatory framework
• Differentiate between utilities and transport infrastructure
• Length of procurement process, access to different procurement models
and capacity building
• Rising fuel costs and renewable options
The Panel
• Sarah Thomas
Partner, Infrastructure & Natural
Resources, Pinsent Masons LLP
Sarah.Thomas@pinsentmasons.com
• Roland Janssens
Fund Manager, Frontier Markets
Fund Management
Roland.Janssens@frontiermarketsfm.com
• Manuel Duggal
Director, MCD International
Energy Solutions
manu.duggal@mcdie.com
• Andrew Dixon
Deputy Director, Mining Services,
Parsons Brinckerhoff
andrew.dixon@pbworld.com
• Dr Gachao Kiuna
CEO, Transcentury
gachao@transcentury.co.ke
Pinsent Masons LLP is a limited liability partnership registered in England & Wales (registered number: OC333653) authorised and regulated by
the Solicitors Regulation Authority, and by the appropriate regulatory body in the other jurisdictions in which it operates. The word „partner‟, used in
relation to the LLP, refers to a member of the LLP or an employee or consultant of the LLP or any affiliated firm of equivalent standing. A list of the
members of the LLP, and of those non-members who are designated as partners, is displayed at the LLP‟s registered office: 30 Crown Place,
London EC2A 4ES, United Kingdom. We use „Pinsent Masons‟ to refer to Pinsent Masons LLP and affiliated entities that practise under the name
„Pinsent Masons‟ or a name that incorporates those words. Reference to „Pinsent Masons‟ is to Pinsent Masons LLP and/or one or more of those
affiliated entities as the context requires. © Pinsent Masons LLP 2013
For a full list of our locations around the globe please visit our websites:
www.pinsentmasons.com www.Out-Law.com

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Infrastructure and Mining in Africa

  • 1. Securing Infrastructure for Mining in Africa Key trends and observations Infrastructure Panel Session Mining on Top Summit 26 June 2014
  • 2. Setting the Scene • Key trends – Interplay between Infrastructure and Mining – Comparison against BRIC & other countries – Chinese Investment in Africa • Practical Examples – South Africa – Mozambique – Guinea • Themes for discussion
  • 3. Interplay between Infrastructure and Mining Investment • “Africa’s infrastructure deficit is both a potential bottleneck for mining development and a development challenge. There is increasingly an overlay between the geography of mining deposits and where there is lack of available transport, power and water. Multi-use infrastructure can be an opportunity for mining to enhance its development impact on countries and regions for the long term as they serve as critical anchors for road, rail, port, water, power and even telecommunications investment.” Bernard Sheahan, International Finance Corporation (IFC), Director of Infrastructure and Natural Resources for Africa and Latin America (February, 2013)
  • 4. Interplay between Infrastructure and Mining Investment • Acute demand for infrastructure in the mining and natural resources sectors – 60% of all Capex Expenditure on natural resource projects is infrastructure related – on some new build mining projects this figure can be higher – USD50bn of rail infrastructure investment required if the continent's natural resources are to be exploited for wider economic benefit – Standard Bank has identified 15 major rail network projects, together with roads, ports and power infrastructure that need to be procured to ensure continued exploitation of resource wealth (Standard Bank, January & February 2013)
  • 5. Interplay between Infrastructure and Mining Investment • Continuing infrastructure deficit – USD 93bn infrastructure gap with other developing regions (AICD, January 2013) – In lower-income countries, infrastructure is a major constraint on doing business, and is found to depress firm productivity by around 40% – The negative impact of deficient infrastructure is at least as large as that associated with corruption, crime, financial market and red tape constraints (World Bank Fact Sheet) – Opportunities for miners
  • 6. Comparison with BRIC Countries • African economic growth reflected in FDI into Projects • Surpassed Russia and catching up with China and India • Enough to bridge infrastructure deficit and capitalise on mining wealth?(Ernst & Young, Africa Attractiveness Survey, 2012)
  • 7. Chinese Investment in Africa • Deepening Sino-African trade links: – 2013: USD200bn (forecasted) with 22% y/y monthly increase – 2012: USD166bn – Africa is China's fastest-growing trade partner, accelerating faster than Latin America and Asia (Standard Bank, February 2013) • Continued focus on infrastructure • Developing mining experience – 2011: Jinchuan purchased Metorex, a South African miner listed in Johannesburg – 2013: Jinchuan invested in Wesizwe Platinum's Bakubung mine in South Africa
  • 8. South Africa (Developed Market – coordinated approach to new infrastructure) • Developed market and home to the biggest names in mining: – Anglo American, Xstrata, Rio Tinto Group and BHP Billiton and AngloGold Ashanti • Transnet to spend USD40bn on rail infrastructure over seven years to encourage further investment • South African Government's National Infrastructure Plan, including 18 Strategic Integrated Projects (SIPs)
  • 9. South Africa • SIP 1 • Exploit mineral wealth • Build out accompanying rail, road, water, power infrastructure • Urban development and logistics corridor
  • 10. Mozambique (Developing Market – example of multiple interests) • Developing market well placed for exports to Asia-Pacific • Large untapped deposits of coking coal • Could be producing 100 million tonnes of coal a year after 2015 • Lack of infrastructure inhibiting growth: USD20bn required • Vale Moçambique, Rio Tinto, Jindal, ENRC, Beacon Hill, Ncondezi Coal Mining and Anglo-American all producing or intending to produce coal (Mining Weekly, April 2013)
  • 11. Mozambique • Sena line currently only export route from Tete • Capacity could be doubled to 12m tonnes by 2018, well short of miners‟ predicted output • Miners have proposed different routes as options • Government wants multi-use infrastructure assurances
  • 12. Guinea (Developing Market – Integrated Project model) • Simandou Project – An iron ore mine of 95 million tonnes per year at full production – A Trans-Guinean railway of approximately 670 km to transport the ore from the mining concession to the Guinean coast – A new deepwater port south of Conakry in the Forécariah prefecture
  • 13. Guinea • Simandou Project – Government of Guinea, Rio Tinto, Aluminium Corporation of China and the International Finance Corporation – PPP delivery model for infrastructure – Cost doubled to USD20bn – two times original estimate – Despite recent difficulties in negotiations with the Guinea Government, the project has received praise from the IFC: “The economic effects around such multi-use infrastructure can be enormous, perhaps stimulating as much GDP growth as the infrastructure itself” Bernard Sheahan, International Finance Corporation (IFC), Director of Infrastructure and Natural Resources for Africa and Latin America (February, 2013)
  • 14. Some themes for discussion • Strategic, integrated planning and cross border co-operation – lack of joined up thinking? • Contract Models – innovative Guinea PPP structure • Access to funding – over-reliance on users? • Exclusive use – security, maintenance, access (Queensland model) • Trickle down effect - local procurement – labour, materials • Social licence and stakeholder issues – resettlement, water, welfare • Environmental and regulatory framework • Differentiate between utilities and transport infrastructure • Length of procurement process, access to different procurement models and capacity building • Rising fuel costs and renewable options
  • 15. The Panel • Sarah Thomas Partner, Infrastructure & Natural Resources, Pinsent Masons LLP Sarah.Thomas@pinsentmasons.com • Roland Janssens Fund Manager, Frontier Markets Fund Management Roland.Janssens@frontiermarketsfm.com • Manuel Duggal Director, MCD International Energy Solutions manu.duggal@mcdie.com • Andrew Dixon Deputy Director, Mining Services, Parsons Brinckerhoff andrew.dixon@pbworld.com • Dr Gachao Kiuna CEO, Transcentury gachao@transcentury.co.ke
  • 16. Pinsent Masons LLP is a limited liability partnership registered in England & Wales (registered number: OC333653) authorised and regulated by the Solicitors Regulation Authority, and by the appropriate regulatory body in the other jurisdictions in which it operates. The word „partner‟, used in relation to the LLP, refers to a member of the LLP or an employee or consultant of the LLP or any affiliated firm of equivalent standing. A list of the members of the LLP, and of those non-members who are designated as partners, is displayed at the LLP‟s registered office: 30 Crown Place, London EC2A 4ES, United Kingdom. We use „Pinsent Masons‟ to refer to Pinsent Masons LLP and affiliated entities that practise under the name „Pinsent Masons‟ or a name that incorporates those words. Reference to „Pinsent Masons‟ is to Pinsent Masons LLP and/or one or more of those affiliated entities as the context requires. © Pinsent Masons LLP 2013 For a full list of our locations around the globe please visit our websites: www.pinsentmasons.com www.Out-Law.com