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1
1                     Richard Desjardins
                    OECD Education




    Insights from Nordic results in
            IALS and ALL




    Presentation at Swedish and Norwegian Club in Paris,
                  Paris, October 22, 2012
2
2           Nordic participation in IALS and ALL
    •   International Adult Literacy Survey (IALS)
        Sweden (1994)
        Denmark (1998)
        Finland (1998)
        Norway (1998)

    •   Adult Literacy and Lifeskills Survey (ALL)
        Norway (2003)


    •   OECD Survey of Adult Skills (2012)
        Denmark
        Estonia
        Finland
        Norway
        Sweden
3
3          Key information processing skills directly
                          measured
    •   International Adult Literacy Survey (1994-1998)
         Literacy (prose , document, quantitative as separate domains)


    •   Adult Literacy and Lifeskills Survey (2003-2007)
         Literacy (prose , document as separate domains) , numeracy, problem solving


    •   OECD Survey of Adult Skills (2012)
         Literacy (prose , document combined) , numeracy, problem solving in technology-rich
             environments


    •   Cover only a narrow range of skill but are nevertheless key because their
        mastery to at least a minimum level of functionality:
         Influences the potential to develop and maintain other higher order and job specific skills
            (basic building blocks)
         Helps people to cope with text-based processing tasks which are relevant to a wide range of
            jobs and are of increasing importance in a wide variety of contexts: civic, social, political
            and personal life (widely applicable and transversal across contexts)
         Serves as a clear policy focus because this can be seen as a human right, has pervasive
            public benefits in the economic and social realm, and as general skills are subject to
            market failure.
4
4     Comparative distribution of key information
        processing skills of adults (1994-1998)
    Per cent                                                      Adults 16-65 in 1994-1998                                                                                                              Level 2                                              Level 1
     100
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Level 3                                              Level 4/5
      80

      60

      40

      20

       0

      20
     20
      40
     40
      60
     60
      80
     80
    100                                         28, 33, 37, 46% at Levels 1 & 2
    100




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Italy
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Switzerland
                                                                                                                                                    Germany




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Hungary
               Sweden




                                                                                                                                                                                               Ireland
                                                                  Canada




                                                                                                                                                                               International
                                                    Netherlands




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Chile
                                                                                                     Denmark




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Poland
                                          Finland




                                                                                       New Zealand




                                                                                                                               Belgium (Flanders)



                                                                                                                                                              United Kingdom




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Slovenia
                                                                                                               United States




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Portugal
                        Norway (Bokmal)




                                                                                                                                                                                                         Czech Republic
                                                                           Australia




    Source: International Adult Literacy Survey,1994-1998
5
5          Comparative distribution of key information
             processing skills of adults (2003-2007)
                                   Adults 16-65 in 2003-2007
    Per cent
     100
                                                                                           Level 2                 Level 1
                                                                                           Level 3                 Level 4/5
      80

      60

      40

      20

       0
     20
      20

     40
      40

     60
      60

      80
     80
                        33% at Levels 1 & 2 – no change from 1998
                        1% percentage point shift from Level 1 to 2
    100
    100
               Norway




                                                                                                                                   Italy
                                                                                           Switzerland



                                                                                                         Hungary
                         Bermuda



                                      Canada



                                               Netherlands



                                                             New Zealand




                                                                                                                   International
                                                                           United States




    Source: Adult Literacy and Lifeskills Survey, 2003-2007
6
6     Comparative distribution of key information
        processing skills of youths (1994-1998)
    Per cent
                                                                  Youths 16-25 in 1994-1998
     100
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Level 2                                               Level 1
      80
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Level 3                                               Level 4/5
      60

      40

      20

       0

      20
      20
      40
      40
      60
      60
      80
      80
     100                          16, 21, 22, 38% at Levels 1 & 2
     100
                         Sweden




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                United States

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Hungary
                                                                                                                                Switzerland
                                                                                                          Germany




                                                                                                                                                                                                        Italy
                                                                                                                                              Czech Republic



                                                                                                                                                                             Ireland
                                                    Netherlands




                                                                                                Denmark




                                                                                                                                                                                                                International
               Finland




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Chile
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Poland
                                                                                                                                                               New Zealand
                                                                                       Canada
                                                                  Belgium (Flanders)




                                                                                                                                                                                       United Kingdom




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Portugal
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Slovenia
                                  Norway (Bokmal)




                                                                                                                    Australia




     Source: International Adult Literacy Survey,1994-1998
7
7          Comparative distribution of key information
             processing skills of youths (2003-2007)
    Per cent                       Youths 16-25 in 2003-2007
                                                                                                   Level 2                              Level 1
     100
                                                                                                   Level 3                              Level 4/5
      80

      60

      40

      20

       0

     20
     20

     40
     40

     60
     60

     80
     80                 23% at Levels 1 & 2 – 1% percentage point increase in 5 years
     100
                        Small percentage point shift from Level 1 to 2
     100
               Norway




                                                             Switzerland




                                                                           Hungary




                                                                                                                                             Italy
                                      Netherlands




                                                                                                        International
                                                                                     New Zealand
                                                    Canada
                         Bermuda




                                                                                                                        United States
    Source: Adult Literacy and Lifeskills Survey, 2003-2007
8
8       Low performance at Level 1 and 2 linked to
                  economic disadvantage
     Odds ratios showing the likelihood of adults with low levels of foundation skills (Levels 1 & 2)
     in multiple skill domains experiencing poor outcomes compared to those with higher levels of skills
      3.5
                                                                                   In lowest two quintiles
      3.0                                                                          of personal income


      2.5
                                                                                   Unemployed

      2.0


      1.5                                                                          Received social
                                                                                   assistance in last year
      1.0


      0.5                                                                          Did not receive
                                                                                   investment income in last
      0.0                                                                          year
                 0            1            2           3           4
                    Number of information processing skills
         (prose literacy, document literacy, numeracy, problem solving)
                      in which adults show low performance

    Adjusted for education, parental education, age, gender and migration status
    Source: Adult Literacy and Lifeskills Survey, 2003-2007
9
9         Low performance at Level 1 and 2 linked to
                     social disadvantage
    Odds ratios showing the likelihood of adults with low levels of foundation skills (Levels 1 & 2)
    in multiple skill domains experiencing poor outcomes compared to those with higher levels of skills
    2.5



    2.0
                                                                                   Has fair to poor
                                                                                   health
    1.5


                                                                                   Does not participate
    1.0                                                                            in community groups
                                                                                   or organizations

    0.5



    0.0
                0           1            2           3           4
                 Number of information processing skills
      (prose literacy, document literacy, numeracy, problem solving)
                   in which adults show low performance

    Adjusted for education, parental education, age, gender and migration status
    Source: Adult Literacy and Lifeskills Survey, 2003-2007
10
10       Nordic countries characterized by comparatively high
              levels of key information processing skills


     •    Also characterized by high levels of participation in Adult Education
          (AE)

     •    Substantial differences in level of participation in AE between countries
          at comparable stages in the modernisation process and similar economies:

     •    Group1 (>50%): Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden.

     •    Group2 (35-50%): Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the United Kingdom
          and the United States. Luxembourg, the Netherlands and Switzerland.

     •    Group3 (20-35%): Austria, Belgium (Flanders), and Germany. Czech
          Republic, and Slovenia. France, Italy and Spain.

     •    Group4 (<20%): Greece and Portugal. Hungary and Poland.
11
11            And distinctly characterized by high
            volumes of adult education over lifespan
      Full time equivalent years of adult education
      1.5


      1.0


      0.5


      0.0


      0.5


      1.0


      1.5
             FI DE SE DK BE NO AT UK ES LV LT BG EE PT FR IT NL HR HU GR SI CZ SK PL RO
                                 Formal education (job-related reasons)
                                 Non-formal education (job-related reasons)
                                 Formal education (non-job related reasons)
                                 Non-formal education (non-job related reasons)
     Source: EU Adult Education Survey, 2005-2008
12
12       And not least, high levels of equity in access to adult
                               education


     •    Disadvantaged groups are similar among Nordic
          countries and non-Nordic countries
           those who are women, older, from low socio-economic
             backgrounds, low-educated, low-skilled, in low-skill jobs,
             unemployed, and/or immigrants are the least likely to
             participate

     •    Distinctiveness of Nordic countries lies in the
          attenuation of differences among otherwise
          disadvantaged groups.
Nordic countries feature highest levels of access for
13
13
                         least educated
       Full time equivalent years of adult education
         2
                                                    At least some tertiary education
      1.8
                                                    Upper secondary, post-secondary non-
      1.6                                           tertiary education
                                                    Less than upper secondary education
      1.4

      1.2

         1

      0.8

      0.6

      0.4

      0.2

         0
             DK SE FI NO AT NL DE BE HR EE LV ES PT UK LT FR HU PL IT SI SK GR CY CZ BG RO

     Source: EU Adult Education Survey, 2005-2008
14
14                    A key question is why?

     •   Long shared history of supporting and fostering a rich
         adult learning culture

     •   Various historical, social and cultural factors are
         behind this, but Nordic countries also share a strong
         record of public policy that aims to:
         Promote adult learning
         Foster favourable structural conditions
         Target various barriers to participation
         Ensure that disadvantaged groups have equal access

     •   Nordic “institutional” model of lifelong learning with
         the state as a major player
         focus on equity
         correcting for market failures
Targeted adult education by skill level
15
15     Changes in per cent of adults aged 16 to 65 in adult education between
                 IALS 1994/1998 and ALL 2003, by literacy levels

       Per cent
        20

        15

        10

          5

          0

        -5

      -10
                Switzerland       Switzerland           Norway             Canada        United States Switzerland
                 (German)          (French)                                                             (Italian)

                                     Level 4/5         Level 3        Level 2       Level 1


     Source: Adult Literacy and Life Skills Survey, 2003; International Adult Literacy Survey, 1994-1998.
16
16       Despite positive scenario in Nordic countries vis-a-vis
                           international peers:
                         The job is not finished

     •    Inequalities in the distribution still exist

     •    Barriers continue to persist among certain groups
          despite targeted effort
17Adults in Nordic & non-Nordic countries experience similar
17
                   barriers to AE and nearly to same extent
      Per cent reporting different types of barriers to AE
     60



     50



     40



     30



     20



     10



       0
             NO       FI       IS    SE        DK   PT     UK      ES      DE     NL    AT
                      Job related barriers               Family/household related barriers
                      Institutional barriers             Dispositional barriers
    Source: Eurobarometer, 2003.
18
18     Nordics more likely to overcome barriers to AE even if
                  face barriers to same extent

     Percent participating in AE despite perceived barriers
      80


      70


      60


      50


      40


      30


      20


      10


      0

            FI       IS       SE    DK   NO      UK      NL     DE      AT     ES     PT
               Job related barriers                   Family/household related barriers
               Institutional barriers                 Dispositional barriers

     Source: Eurobarometer, 2003.
19
19
         Overcoming barriers to adult learning
     •    Nordic countries comparatively successful at overcoming
          perceived family and job related barriers

     •    Policy matters to overcome barriers

     •    Family and job-related barriers linked to wider social and welfare
          state policies focusing on structural relations between state-
          family, state-work, work-family.

     •    Institutional barriers appear more persistent (~ 50 %
          participated)
          More directly related to education and skills policies
          Many recent reforms relate to targeting of institutional barriers


     •    Dispositional barriers are perhaps the most challenging (~ 40 %
          participated)
          Can be related to both wider social policy and specific education/skills policies
          Incentivising adults who otherwise are not inclined to participate (e.g., vouchers)
20
20
                             Conclusions
     •   Targeted policy measures seem to help in reducing
         structural constraints and hence boost participation
         rates
         Good for maintenance and development of adults skills


     •   Available data suggests that it is (individually based)
         dispositional constraints that may be most challenging
         for public policy to address and overcome

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Insights from Nordic results in IALS and ALL

  • 1. 1 1 Richard Desjardins OECD Education Insights from Nordic results in IALS and ALL Presentation at Swedish and Norwegian Club in Paris, Paris, October 22, 2012
  • 2. 2 2 Nordic participation in IALS and ALL • International Adult Literacy Survey (IALS) Sweden (1994) Denmark (1998) Finland (1998) Norway (1998) • Adult Literacy and Lifeskills Survey (ALL) Norway (2003) • OECD Survey of Adult Skills (2012) Denmark Estonia Finland Norway Sweden
  • 3. 3 3 Key information processing skills directly measured • International Adult Literacy Survey (1994-1998) Literacy (prose , document, quantitative as separate domains) • Adult Literacy and Lifeskills Survey (2003-2007) Literacy (prose , document as separate domains) , numeracy, problem solving • OECD Survey of Adult Skills (2012) Literacy (prose , document combined) , numeracy, problem solving in technology-rich environments • Cover only a narrow range of skill but are nevertheless key because their mastery to at least a minimum level of functionality: Influences the potential to develop and maintain other higher order and job specific skills (basic building blocks) Helps people to cope with text-based processing tasks which are relevant to a wide range of jobs and are of increasing importance in a wide variety of contexts: civic, social, political and personal life (widely applicable and transversal across contexts) Serves as a clear policy focus because this can be seen as a human right, has pervasive public benefits in the economic and social realm, and as general skills are subject to market failure.
  • 4. 4 4 Comparative distribution of key information processing skills of adults (1994-1998) Per cent Adults 16-65 in 1994-1998 Level 2 Level 1 100 Level 3 Level 4/5 80 60 40 20 0 20 20 40 40 60 60 80 80 100 28, 33, 37, 46% at Levels 1 & 2 100 Italy Switzerland Germany Hungary Sweden Ireland Canada International Netherlands Chile Denmark Poland Finland New Zealand Belgium (Flanders) United Kingdom Slovenia United States Portugal Norway (Bokmal) Czech Republic Australia Source: International Adult Literacy Survey,1994-1998
  • 5. 5 5 Comparative distribution of key information processing skills of adults (2003-2007) Adults 16-65 in 2003-2007 Per cent 100 Level 2 Level 1 Level 3 Level 4/5 80 60 40 20 0 20 20 40 40 60 60 80 80 33% at Levels 1 & 2 – no change from 1998 1% percentage point shift from Level 1 to 2 100 100 Norway Italy Switzerland Hungary Bermuda Canada Netherlands New Zealand International United States Source: Adult Literacy and Lifeskills Survey, 2003-2007
  • 6. 6 6 Comparative distribution of key information processing skills of youths (1994-1998) Per cent Youths 16-25 in 1994-1998 100 Level 2 Level 1 80 Level 3 Level 4/5 60 40 20 0 20 20 40 40 60 60 80 80 100 16, 21, 22, 38% at Levels 1 & 2 100 Sweden United States Hungary Switzerland Germany Italy Czech Republic Ireland Netherlands Denmark International Finland Chile Poland New Zealand Canada Belgium (Flanders) United Kingdom Portugal Slovenia Norway (Bokmal) Australia Source: International Adult Literacy Survey,1994-1998
  • 7. 7 7 Comparative distribution of key information processing skills of youths (2003-2007) Per cent Youths 16-25 in 2003-2007 Level 2 Level 1 100 Level 3 Level 4/5 80 60 40 20 0 20 20 40 40 60 60 80 80 23% at Levels 1 & 2 – 1% percentage point increase in 5 years 100 Small percentage point shift from Level 1 to 2 100 Norway Switzerland Hungary Italy Netherlands International New Zealand Canada Bermuda United States Source: Adult Literacy and Lifeskills Survey, 2003-2007
  • 8. 8 8 Low performance at Level 1 and 2 linked to economic disadvantage Odds ratios showing the likelihood of adults with low levels of foundation skills (Levels 1 & 2) in multiple skill domains experiencing poor outcomes compared to those with higher levels of skills 3.5 In lowest two quintiles 3.0 of personal income 2.5 Unemployed 2.0 1.5 Received social assistance in last year 1.0 0.5 Did not receive investment income in last 0.0 year 0 1 2 3 4 Number of information processing skills (prose literacy, document literacy, numeracy, problem solving) in which adults show low performance Adjusted for education, parental education, age, gender and migration status Source: Adult Literacy and Lifeskills Survey, 2003-2007
  • 9. 9 9 Low performance at Level 1 and 2 linked to social disadvantage Odds ratios showing the likelihood of adults with low levels of foundation skills (Levels 1 & 2) in multiple skill domains experiencing poor outcomes compared to those with higher levels of skills 2.5 2.0 Has fair to poor health 1.5 Does not participate 1.0 in community groups or organizations 0.5 0.0 0 1 2 3 4 Number of information processing skills (prose literacy, document literacy, numeracy, problem solving) in which adults show low performance Adjusted for education, parental education, age, gender and migration status Source: Adult Literacy and Lifeskills Survey, 2003-2007
  • 10. 10 10 Nordic countries characterized by comparatively high levels of key information processing skills • Also characterized by high levels of participation in Adult Education (AE) • Substantial differences in level of participation in AE between countries at comparable stages in the modernisation process and similar economies: • Group1 (>50%): Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden. • Group2 (35-50%): Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the United Kingdom and the United States. Luxembourg, the Netherlands and Switzerland. • Group3 (20-35%): Austria, Belgium (Flanders), and Germany. Czech Republic, and Slovenia. France, Italy and Spain. • Group4 (<20%): Greece and Portugal. Hungary and Poland.
  • 11. 11 11 And distinctly characterized by high volumes of adult education over lifespan Full time equivalent years of adult education 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 FI DE SE DK BE NO AT UK ES LV LT BG EE PT FR IT NL HR HU GR SI CZ SK PL RO Formal education (job-related reasons) Non-formal education (job-related reasons) Formal education (non-job related reasons) Non-formal education (non-job related reasons) Source: EU Adult Education Survey, 2005-2008
  • 12. 12 12 And not least, high levels of equity in access to adult education • Disadvantaged groups are similar among Nordic countries and non-Nordic countries those who are women, older, from low socio-economic backgrounds, low-educated, low-skilled, in low-skill jobs, unemployed, and/or immigrants are the least likely to participate • Distinctiveness of Nordic countries lies in the attenuation of differences among otherwise disadvantaged groups.
  • 13. Nordic countries feature highest levels of access for 13 13 least educated Full time equivalent years of adult education 2 At least some tertiary education 1.8 Upper secondary, post-secondary non- 1.6 tertiary education Less than upper secondary education 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 DK SE FI NO AT NL DE BE HR EE LV ES PT UK LT FR HU PL IT SI SK GR CY CZ BG RO Source: EU Adult Education Survey, 2005-2008
  • 14. 14 14 A key question is why? • Long shared history of supporting and fostering a rich adult learning culture • Various historical, social and cultural factors are behind this, but Nordic countries also share a strong record of public policy that aims to: Promote adult learning Foster favourable structural conditions Target various barriers to participation Ensure that disadvantaged groups have equal access • Nordic “institutional” model of lifelong learning with the state as a major player focus on equity correcting for market failures
  • 15. Targeted adult education by skill level 15 15 Changes in per cent of adults aged 16 to 65 in adult education between IALS 1994/1998 and ALL 2003, by literacy levels Per cent 20 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 Switzerland Switzerland Norway Canada United States Switzerland (German) (French) (Italian) Level 4/5 Level 3 Level 2 Level 1 Source: Adult Literacy and Life Skills Survey, 2003; International Adult Literacy Survey, 1994-1998.
  • 16. 16 16 Despite positive scenario in Nordic countries vis-a-vis international peers: The job is not finished • Inequalities in the distribution still exist • Barriers continue to persist among certain groups despite targeted effort
  • 17. 17Adults in Nordic & non-Nordic countries experience similar 17 barriers to AE and nearly to same extent Per cent reporting different types of barriers to AE 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 NO FI IS SE DK PT UK ES DE NL AT Job related barriers Family/household related barriers Institutional barriers Dispositional barriers Source: Eurobarometer, 2003.
  • 18. 18 18 Nordics more likely to overcome barriers to AE even if face barriers to same extent Percent participating in AE despite perceived barriers 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 FI IS SE DK NO UK NL DE AT ES PT Job related barriers Family/household related barriers Institutional barriers Dispositional barriers Source: Eurobarometer, 2003.
  • 19. 19 19 Overcoming barriers to adult learning • Nordic countries comparatively successful at overcoming perceived family and job related barriers • Policy matters to overcome barriers • Family and job-related barriers linked to wider social and welfare state policies focusing on structural relations between state- family, state-work, work-family. • Institutional barriers appear more persistent (~ 50 % participated) More directly related to education and skills policies Many recent reforms relate to targeting of institutional barriers • Dispositional barriers are perhaps the most challenging (~ 40 % participated) Can be related to both wider social policy and specific education/skills policies Incentivising adults who otherwise are not inclined to participate (e.g., vouchers)
  • 20. 20 20 Conclusions • Targeted policy measures seem to help in reducing structural constraints and hence boost participation rates Good for maintenance and development of adults skills • Available data suggests that it is (individually based) dispositional constraints that may be most challenging for public policy to address and overcome